- Economist in trade, development and the environmentedit
We construct the world's centers of gravity for human population, GDP and CO2 emissions by taking the best out of five recognized data sources covering the last two centuries. We also propose a more appropriate two-map representation... more
We construct the world's centers of gravity for human population, GDP and CO2 emissions by taking the best out of five recognized data sources covering the last two centuries. We also propose a more appropriate two-map representation of the location of the center of gravity, which abstracts from the usual distortions affecting the projection of a point within a three-dimensional sphere on a two-dimensional map. This allows for a more accurate interpretation of the underlying trends. We find a radical Western shift of GDP and CO2 emissions centers during the 19th century, in sharp contrast with the stability of the demographic center of gravity. Both GDP and emissions trends are reversed in the first half of the 20th century, after World War I for CO2 emissions, and after World War II for GDP. Since then, both centers are moving eastward at an accelerating speed. These patterns are consistent with the initial lead of Western countries starting the industrial revolution and the ad...
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ABSTRACT This chapter proposes a refined and updated measurement of the World's Economic Center of Gravity over the 1950–2008 period, based on historical data provided by Maddison (2010) and on the detailed grid data of the G-Econ... more
ABSTRACT This chapter proposes a refined and updated measurement of the World's Economic Center of Gravity over the 1950–2008 period, based on historical data provided by Maddison (2010) and on the detailed grid data of the G-Econ (Nordhaus, 2006) database. The economic center of gravity is located in the vicinity of Iceland during the first three decades, and then heads strongly toward the East since 1980. Regarding geographic concentration, world production is less concentrated than population across the Earth's surface, and becomes even less so over time. A new decomposition technique is proposed, which suggests a structural break at the end of the 1970s. Measures of R&D activity, education expenditures and literacy as growth related indicators depict a spatial pattern that is consistent with the Eastern shift of the world economic center of gravity.
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... 1999). We thank Gabrielle Antille, Marc Bacchetta, and Daniel Morales for helpful suggestions and Rolando Alcala, Anne Chatton, Samuel Guillet and José Ramirez for excellent research assistance. Page 2. 1 1. Introduction ...
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This paper makes the link between the literature on CO2 per capita emission convergence and the literature on the impact of trade on income per capita convergence. It includes more coun- tries than the recent papers on emission... more
This paper makes the link between the literature on CO2 per capita emission convergence and the literature on the impact of trade on income per capita convergence. It includes more coun- tries than the recent papers on emission convergence and applies the methodology introduced by Ben David (2000) to take into ac- count trade as a conditionning factor. Overall, it con…rms that there is no sign of convergence at the world wide level but conver- gence between OECD countries. Trade appears to be a positive contributing factor, although it is di¢ cult to disentangle its in‡u- ence from the impact of income per capita similarity or geographic proximity.
ABSTRACT We identify the driving factors of manufacturing activity across Chinese provinces with a particular focus on energy endowments. A model of production location is estimated, including both comparative advantage and economic... more
ABSTRACT We identify the driving factors of manufacturing activity across Chinese provinces with a particular focus on energy endowments. A model of production location is estimated, including both comparative advantage and economic geography determinants. The data set used consists of a panel of 28 Chinese provinces and 12 manufacturing industries over the period 1999-2009. Results confirm the relative importance of energy endowments. We find that larger energy endowments are significantly correlated with larger production of energy-intensive sectors. Disaggregating across energy carriers shows that coal exhibits the strongest impact. These results are robust across alternatives.
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We use a Ricardo-Viner model to study the determinants of the supply of outmigration in developing countries in a model with neterogenous households. We assume that heterogeneity and migration costs prevent households from total migration.
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Alors que la premiere vague d'interet sur les problemes environnementaux avait trait a la pollution dans les pays industrialises, la seconde vague s'est plus largement penchee sur les implications environnementales du commerce... more
Alors que la premiere vague d'interet sur les problemes environnementaux avait trait a la pollution dans les pays industrialises, la seconde vague s'est plus largement penchee sur les implications environnementales du commerce Nord-Sud. Dans une premiere partie, ce papier reprend les arguments theoriques permettant d'identifier les determinants et les consequences du commerce de produits polluants. Dans une seconde partie, l'analyse identifie les changements de structure dans le commerce mondial de produits polluants au cours des 25 dernieres annees.
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... Mexican manufacturing Jean-Marie Grether ... First, most studies were carried out on a cross-section basis at the industry level. Second, the proxy variables for the intensity of competition from foreign supply (usually the import... more
... Mexican manufacturing Jean-Marie Grether ... First, most studies were carried out on a cross-section basis at the industry level. Second, the proxy variables for the intensity of competition from foreign supply (usually the import penetration rate) were less than satisfactory. ...
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... control measures. As pointed out by Schiff (1996), the change in attitude in the North towards immigration from the South is well exemplified by the change in attitudes in the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Not surprisingly... more
... control measures. As pointed out by Schiff (1996), the change in attitude in the North towards immigration from the South is well exemplified by the change in attitudes in the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Not surprisingly ...
... ABCD www.cepr.org Available online at: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP4168.asp www.ssrn.com/xxx/xxx/xxx No. 4168 INDIA'S TRADE POLICY FOR SALE: HOW MUCH? WHO BUYS? Olivier Cadot, Jean-Marie Grether and Marcelo Olarreaga... more
... ABCD www.cepr.org Available online at: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP4168.asp www.ssrn.com/xxx/xxx/xxx No. 4168 INDIA'S TRADE POLICY FOR SALE: HOW MUCH? WHO BUYS? Olivier Cadot, Jean-Marie Grether and Marcelo Olarreaga INTERNATIONAL TRADE Page 2. ...