Publications
Filter Total Items: 35
Prototyping a methodology for long-term (1680-2100) historical-to-future landscape modeling for the conterminous United States Prototyping a methodology for long-term (1680-2100) historical-to-future landscape modeling for the conterminous United States
Land system change has been identified as one of four major Earth system processes where change has passed a destabilizing threshold. A historical record of landscape change is required to understand the impacts change has had on human and natural systems, while scenarios of future landscape change are required to facilitate planning and mitigation efforts. A methodology for modeling...
Authors
Jordan Dornbierer, Steve Wika, Charles Robison, Gregory Rouze, Terry Sohl
Disentangling the potential effects of land-use and climate change on stream conditions Disentangling the potential effects of land-use and climate change on stream conditions
Land‐use and climate change are significantly affecting stream ecosystems, yet understanding of their long‐term impacts is hindered by the few studies that have simultaneously investigated their interaction and high variability among future projections. We modeled possible effects of a suite of 2030, 2060, and 2090 land‐use and climate scenarios on the condition of 70,772 small streams...
Authors
Kelly Maloney, Kevin Krause, Claire Buchanan, Lauren Hay, Gregory McCabe, Zachary Smith, Terry Sohl, John Young
Remote sensing as the foundation for high-resolution United States landscape projections – The Land Change Monitoring, assessment, and projection (LCMAP) initiative Remote sensing as the foundation for high-resolution United States landscape projections – The Land Change Monitoring, assessment, and projection (LCMAP) initiative
The Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) initiative uses temporally dense Landsat data and time series analyses to characterize landscape change in the United States from 1985 to present. LCMAP will be used to explain how past, present, and future landscape change affects society and natural systems. Here, we describe a modeling framework for producing high...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Jordan Dornbierer, Steve Wika, Charles Robison
Linking landscapes and people—Projecting the future of the Great Plains Linking landscapes and people—Projecting the future of the Great Plains
We developed a unique set of landscape projections for the Great Plains that use real land-management parcels to represent landscape patterns at high spatial and thematic resolution.Both anthropogenic land use and natural vegetation respond in the model to projected changes in groundwater availability and climate change.Thirty-three scenario combinations were modeled, facilitating...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Jordan Dornbierer, Steve Wika
Simulating the effects of management practices on cropland soil organic carbon changes in the Temperate Prairies Ecoregion of the United States from 1980 to 2012 Simulating the effects of management practices on cropland soil organic carbon changes in the Temperate Prairies Ecoregion of the United States from 1980 to 2012
Understanding the effects of management practices on soil organic carbon (SOC) is important for designing effective policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture. In the Midwest United States, management practices in the croplands have been improved to increase crop production and reduce SOC loss since the 1980s. Many studies of SOC dynamics in croplands have been...
Authors
Zhen Li, Shuguang Liu, Zhengxi Tan, Terry Sohl, Yiping Wu
Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report
Executive SummaryThe U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has a long history of advancing the traditional Earth science disciplines and identifying opportunities to integrate USGS science across disciplines to address complex societal problems. The USGS science strategy for 2007–2017 laid out key challenges in disciplinary and interdisciplinary arenas, culminating in a call for increased focus...
Authors
Karen E. Jenni, Martin Goldhaber, Julio Betancourt, Jill Baron, Sky Bristol, Mary Cantrill, Paul Exter, Michael Focazio, John Haines, Lauren Hay, Leslie Hsu, Victor Labson, Kevin Lafferty, K. Ludwig, Paul Milly, Toni Morelli, Suzette Morman, Nedal T. Nassar, Timothy R. Newman, Andrea Ostroff, Jordan Read, Sasha Reed, Carl Shapiro, Richard Smith, Ward Sanford, Terry Sohl, Edward Stets, Adam Terando, Donald Tillitt, Michael Tischler, Patricia Toccalino, David Wald, Mark Waldrop, Anne Wein, Jake Weltzin, Christian Zimmerman
Parcels versus pixels: modeling agricultural land use across broad geographic regions using parcel-based field boundaries Parcels versus pixels: modeling agricultural land use across broad geographic regions using parcel-based field boundaries
Land use and land cover (LULC) change occurs at a local level within contiguous ownership and management units (parcels), yet LULC models primarily use pixel-based spatial frameworks. The few parcel-based models being used overwhelmingly focus on small geographic areas, limiting the ability to assess LULC change impacts at regional to national scales. We developed a modified version of...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Jordan Dornbierer, Steve Wika, Kristi Sayler, Robert Quenzer
Grand challenges in understanding the interplay of climate and land changes Grand challenges in understanding the interplay of climate and land changes
Half of Earth’s land surface has been altered by human activities, creating various consequences on the climate and weather systems at local to global scales, which in turn affect a myriad of land surface processes and the adaptation behaviors. This study reviews the status and major knowledge gaps in the interactions of land and atmospheric changes and present 11 grand challenge areas...
Authors
Shuguang Liu, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Lena Boysen, James Ford, Andrew Fox, Kevin Gallo, Jerry Hatfield, Geoffrey Henebry, Thomas Huntington, Zhihua Liu, Thomas Loveland, Richard Norby, Terry Sohl, Allison Steiner, Wenping Yuan, Zhao Zhang, Shuqing Zhao
Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios
A variety of land-use and land-cover (LULC) models operating at scales from local to global have been developed in recent years, including a number of models that provide spatially explicit, multi-class LULC projections for the conterminous United States. This diversity of modeling approaches raises the question: how consistent are their projections of future land use? We compared...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Michael Wimberly, Volker Radeloff, David Theobald, Benjamin Sleeter
Modeled historical land use and land cover for the conterminous United States Modeled historical land use and land cover for the conterminous United States
The landscape of the conterminous United States has changed dramatically over the last 200 years, with agricultural land use, urban expansion, forestry, and other anthropogenic activities altering land cover across vast swaths of the country. While land use and land cover (LULC) models have been developed to model potential future LULC change, few efforts have focused on recreating...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Ryan Reker, Michelle A. Bouchard, Kristi Sayler, Jordan Dornbierer, Steve Wika, Robert Quenzer, Aaron Friesz
Modelling regional land change scenarios to assess land abandonment and reforestation dynamics in the Pyrenees (France) Modelling regional land change scenarios to assess land abandonment and reforestation dynamics in the Pyrenees (France)
Over the last decades and centuries, European mountain landscapes have experienced substantial transformations. Natural and anthropogenic LULC changes (land use and land cover changes), especially agro-pastoral activities, have directly influenced the spatial organization and composition of European mountain landscapes. For the past sixty years, natural reforestation has been occurring...
Authors
Laure Vacquie, Thomas Houet, Terry Sohl, Ryan Reker, Kristi Sayler
Simulating forest landscape disturbances as coupled human and natural systems Simulating forest landscape disturbances as coupled human and natural systems
Anthropogenic disturbances resulting from human land use affect forest landscapes over a range of spatial and temporal scales, with diverse influences on vegetation patterns and dynamics. These processes fall within the scope of the coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) concept, which has emerged as an important framework for understanding the reciprocal interactions and feedbacks...
Authors
Michael Wimberly, Terry Sohl, Zhihua Liu, Aashis Lamsal