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Medium Commercial Vehicles - Worldwide

Worldwide
  • Unit sales in the Medium Commercial Vehicles market are projected to reach 1.23m vehicles in 2025.
  • Unit sales are expected to show a compound annual rate (CAGR 2025-2030) of 3.21%, resulting in a projected market volume of 1.44m vehicles by 2030.
  • The production of Medium Commercial Vehicles market is expected to reach 2.10m vehicles in 2030, potentially depicting how much the Medium Commercial Vehicles market can grow.
  • From an international perspective, it is shown that most of the sales will be China (356.20k vehicles) in 2025.

Unit Sales

Most recent update:

Source: Statista Market Insights

Production

Most recent update:

Source: Statista Market Insights

Key Players

Most recent update:

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Medium Commercial Vehicle (MCV) market serves as a critical link between light and heavy commercial vehicles, catering to urban deliveries, regional freight transport, and specialized industries like construction and public services. With increasing urbanization and the need for efficient last-mile logistics, demand for MCVs is rising, especially for electric and hybrid models that comply with stricter emissions regulations. Supply chain disruptions and fluctuating fuel prices remain challenges, but advancements in connectivity, fuel efficiency, and alternative powertrains present significant growth opportunities.

In North America and Europe, leading manufacturers such as Daimler, Volvo, and PACCAR are focusing on electrification, telematics, and driver-assistance technologies to enhance fleet efficiency. Stricter government policies on carbon emissions and urban congestion are pushing the adoption of electric and low-emission MCVs, particularly for delivery and logistics companies. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific—led by key players like Tata Motors, Isuzu, and Hino Motors—is experiencing rapid growth, fueled by infrastructure development, rising e-commerce, and government-backed sustainability initiatives.

Overall, the MCV market is positioned for steady growth, driven by the need for sustainable, versatile, and cost-effective transport solutions. With ongoing innovations in electrification and digital fleet management, MCVs will continue to play a vital role in shaping the future of urban and regional transportation.

Global Comparison

Most recent update:

Source: Statista Market Insights

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on unit sales and production of commercial vehicles.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a combined Top-Down and bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Consumer Insights Global survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as consumer spending per capita on transportation and consumer price index for purchase of vehicles. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, linear regression, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated once a year.

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Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update:

Source: Statista Market Insights

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Medium and heavy commercial vehicle market in Europe - statistics & facts

Driver shortage surged in Europe, with forecasts expecting this workforce to drop further in 2022. Around 15 percent of European driver positions were expected to be unfilled in 2021. This dwindling workforce is one side of a commercial vehicle industry that struggles to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic when vehicle production was halted and goods demand dropped. Europe's medium and heavy commercial vehicle production reached around 470,400 units in 2021, approximately 13 percent below 2019 truck production. The European market for medium and heavy commercial vehicles (MHCV)—all motor vehicles over 3.5 metric tons used in a commercial capacity—comprised some 341,600 sales in 2021, close to 12 percent less than 2019's sales volume.
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