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Probability

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
36 views33 pages

Probability

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Uploaded by

mdeepika.maths
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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STATISTICS £08 (OAV Ree mEnT QMITL LeTRODYETION Bosse olefins and Sule fer probobeheby Comeledionol probably 7 iirolipirctince 9 evenk, pdoro vara bles, Prohabiticky yal, Pocssor, Uni ferea anek Bayes thuorern and fa dilredutcons ! Bi nere permet Aesbcbuters . x Detinikon: Shakshin. Statistics & cleptal cu, the colkckten, prasentakon, ounalgees ond errtarpretatcon of numetice date - eBepeniioveme © Mandeno #apecionents Gey Towed and & Span expounent G eakecl, comin the number ekaimes , cb leer Aame concilions, OF Leste bub m peel nok gue unk We any one Cig the Aoutreat possi nabeprats Thurs ow ackton ov a? operation cwkuch axn outcome. ¢2 collect a preooluce ang meawlk or Drandors exponent or ical omol He cubcomi crn knew os even, Or CaBER. Exccrmple i) Tossug Qa com Ch & Buel and getesp head CH) or betlOT) Bow euent. iv) Rolling o Hee erbucol omc geting Z ch aw event. &- Sample spre: The Lotaloty oy ath possrb. outcomes of a random kxperement ¢c& called a ample spaw S. Ser oxample wy Lhrowng @ cle, all the cubeoms 1, 2, 34, 5 owl 6 bogether Comsbe tute a Sample Space - aE bekely esonks | The oukcomis arr Sail AB he egpally Aekely yoom of thorn te Qxmpochack & occur 1n pregoune [ ofkinr- SRux OMe or rove Quenk ane sat & te eyuclly he each one og thir Ras am epral chante an Whee we ca Horown, the Asal a am wa ns ae , 6 fun up as the Lath. Hen. ALT ate equally Atckely event. Ay Muh excluseve auenk on Incompalialle euents: Tao evenk aw sail b& be ‘rmufuclly excluscva when boty cannot Aapper~ Airnulkereously wo tral er We can Ex Hat Par Otcwrante a ang om o¢ pharm 2x ois thea Occerteane the other, for example, a Corr boscect, ex thin koma can be up o tall canbe up, but Gore Cannot G32 up ab the Aame fome. FAus or bosseng of a Cor , Are even Zook’ and bail? Be a excbtstvecuent. s. xhoushve event? outcoma are kat & exfhanrshve whn trey vrclile all pombe Cuttorts. Ber example, While rotlitg a clin the possi hte cutcome art 1, 8,3 4,5 rd bound Lenco Phe: exhaushiue numnbron HY Cases & 6. 6, Snelepemetint events: Two or mere euenk arte @ Consicteccct. vielipenctint y occanane Fon event cloes not ope the occumane oF He Offor- goa corn Hhewwn pate, the conc Hine oF 7° bo e chen Hor. Thus He For example, Pesule of re SE : fre Puesull $ tre pat evens are indspowdent even . T. Complementary even, A Cablecl comptimentas event % Bland vee vena) y A onk One muboolly exclusive auc exhkaushue - Ulam a dit & Hanon, occummu of an eren number (2,4, 6) enrol odd numba Clhac One Complleman boty ven. Bepithon of Pobabelaly | Sh tum ore 9 eaprally Bench, mubwalle, Cxclusir-e cme exhaeshve outcomes and m them aun fovcutable fy aw ouent A, Pha frobabotaly of He Roppeniee of & clap as te ratio MY, FF we adonoke fie. Probab bely (or chan) of The Aappendg og an event A oy p Aken Aumdt-ow % frowoalte Onsen PCA)= Px Total number % rex hats hue Cares = Mw Rutos ha Bi bet | - }. For any event A, PLAIZO, wa, the probabrlety oy Query event & Non- ragakve - Cgample spaced 2. Pls)si, uw, He prob. Za wrtarr event & / 3. FP Ars Az, Pn re fen k number 3 ola yeore euenls % 8, dhto a PCA U Ms U-=-UAnd= PCADIAPCALD +27 PEM) = S Pray a, He prob a union 3 cluyorné eon & & fe ey 28. > hey, GDh, mae, «ont Hamels . Problems i - 2 Sr bossing A Cour, Tar prehs & getty 2 kad Ww geen os p- Neo- Peurmrurelte cased Cases jo of eX Rarisdve & FO Ri Fy Ehrourt é So fhrowrig a cee, the pred. ean grin by. , FIO re “ pr Meg favewebte cases Q ex fauchv2 Caer ei gene. we kave 6 exhauohve euenk tut one favewalle event (ad 4 li) ow ode dict Me prob. g Hererwmy Ces Uti Cw ovctmany mumiisr (cy ore ee MAP An Solukon:- “a ween Hh Bg O ai. Hee a ae wey 9 fag A + Seiai han 9 waers p falls 226 & Probalbibs ly = YD) Number Q woop 4 galley oda negM LB 5)=2 Probalibetay = a= sto 2 Nog Woe FZ paling 20 Probatribty= 2 > 6 4. Find the probalslely g Boerne 7 wel theo ole. Selutton:- no 3 possible wags J dhresusigy hue olete = bx 6 wos, J getty Te se ib, (Lad cosh UC star, (ht, 3 74)= 6. Tota beloty : & fh even ng (a, 24, +28 i yy SA contans bred Brad 7 blac tath, i) Find te. prebabiicky 9 Anauing a med Ball. Qolubien:- Sohal ne. of posschhe wiry | GG bale = b+7 = /3- Nox of ways op gure | pad dah = 5 Potable ~ & 6. duoc the prob. of a Cand docaun at Prandem a a deamand. prem an oven pack, Solubpo! . ; Tobab ne: of anys F Gee 1} Covel = rey , Number 3 wags g getey ] clvarnaodk 4/3. . & i. <. probasitety ~ B=. 7 Grem ao pos climen ak wander - Fedde geleg a queer’ Solution ?- A gpesn meg he. Tolal number 3 wos ZB . Probedetelg = 4 ah. au chosen ak random prem n, & women ancl chosen 1 4 wougs. selichag [earcl = $2, 6. Four peuens oO gneup Contain 3 Gat the chance tHhak exackly ChAdeun & 2: Solution?- Totally we Bore Gy Pvcors (34994), 4 persons Caw Aw Chto out : Ga oree B® pocsons = IQ6 wags. wi Fw 2 = Geet” 4 eg 1x QX BAL 1b exhaushve num bow F cases we meee & choose 4 persons: out 4 Posse 4 Ae chebbun anid fhvreyere Wome)» gle ng BwrH FB choosing 2 chekdasn cule 9 A chekdlren %* A Cy WAY a, AX 2 6 ways (xm TAL Aomeening Aico persons can dre Choosen fre eo pansons (3 man + 2 women) me SO w - 5% Q wage aes - [Owayps. ~ Neg forraralibe Cares au b6x102 bo Pl gneup consals a exactly Puro Ackdun) ng foucerahls Conse q -exefanshue Cares Gre e GMP B 3 Frdvoms, 4 paksatan’a owel S Armurtcars, a sub- Committe % seleckad AY Lota. Final bee n pep & ub Conmmittee. will cemsale x porob. trek the A i) 2 Fndeana and & pokabanis iv) 1 Four, 1 Pakistan! aud & Ameumns fir) 4 Pmewcand Solutron-- A committee &Rovld consak g A pepper - Tote ne pepe = BthtS a/R - Caw bre Chet niyste. A peores weg = 14 ee pa (2 pose TRAX Bry a4 9 Sways, Be ci} 2) ® Fncans Can Axe. chuzsen prove 3 Frdvons = Bey > 24228 Ix 2 DlPakrulans Can Le Chosen prom 4 paksifanis = At - AaB Ub LK AL The umber 9 wrgs Y Choosing 2 Fneeana ond 2 PakdspaniS = Bx b&= [By wage. - NO F frewovsea ler Cortes = SP CCommitter. cons, of & Fodians and 2 Pakeidert 3) - /& _6& Aas ~ jes . iD 4 Feclun can te Chosen from 8 Fodcans we Bc, woys = 3 | Pocktsbant Can de chosen frore 4 Pakisteant AC, ways = 4 RB Amourens canta chosen pero & Amerccans m Sey wot = axe * She number | weugs oe choose 1 Frotcone | Pakistani ond S Amuijcans 2/0" = Bx4RlOo = | Ba wags 2 Ske number Y fovouratle Cases =/9., PC Cormmilder Cmedls | Fnetian, | Poikestonl, SA-mericn _ AoO-G $ dx Cader Total no -% Srhauskve Cas er = /!80 = ay AGS 29° Amenteans Can Le Chosen ftom SAmunricars we By Ww = SK4XBx2 ae UTX axaxy = S ways. /0. PC committee consake 3 only Ly Brmictcans) = & . bk has” 29. a Conkams 7 utile, 6rel ond § ALatkh, tratls” Suro balls ane qrawn ot Randon. Find Te prob Hat thy bork nett tre whe - Solutton:- Totol mumtonr of balls > 7+64+8 =12 fier fuse. 1@ falls Can tne olruen’n /BQwags = (8x17 Jen xa -- Total num ber gways g duauing a tells =/5.3 Q uit Lally can Le cltaron Prod 7 ukib. bell, RTC, Wi = Txb . we TG, wayk = SEO 2 al wags 2) The No fovounralls Cases = 2/. 7 . z = Ls ©: PCatnoureny ture onl balls)» SLs Z wheat & he chan theak a Avap Yeer 3 elected ak random ucctl eontatas S3 Sunclays 2 Solutoo!: A Leap yeor consalk gq 366 Oak of fhuse 366 days ure fave SQ Fell Woe ey and [fen we Rave Sa Aundays ahepenibel 7 qhse fuodlays may £2 Lb Monday, Tucoct fi) Jusrday, wednes fii) Wedrgotay, Thunsceay iW) Thursday, Priclay v) Pride Saturctar, W Sakurcley, Qanday vy Sunday, Mondo | of thse T cases fre last theo Cares Comsany Sunday and ante wet Rare 2 ferouratile Casts. Probabibebey = & . Conelitronal _ Probabrtesy - Bepent hen: The condtbeenal probably q event AL ken te event B has alneady Aappered Aspunid ae pcaiey- POOR per Note. PoBD 7 > Oe I¢ A and 8 ace orrutuclbey Ccobsane even , dhen plangy=0- OPCAlID =O: a Formula’: 1 Po@vad = PCA PCR — Peane> 2 Prades i- PCM B.dwo ecentk A ord Batt ondspoendent, The Pranm: PCA PCR - a PCAlD= PO 4 PCB/a)= PCRD - & S poems PC ANB) 4 PC PNP) 2 PCRDS pcaneyx P CANE) - Sh pcr > o-% PpcBs/ad = o@, pr PCane Qolulron ? pane P(e/A = PCA Prana: PCBle). PCA) > Oe Xx OF 2 O-T2. 23, ned andl by arbi, abe. 2. A beg contauis two oltaus& CU wrod. sethonk Paplerrs a he ane red. what ub the prob: Hat Arolt Solutron': Pl clraunag a TA aw, Poads B&B. = out 7 balls, one Aalh elreacty cleaver, wan dally are alt vi He fare txeund> 3 = at Ham Ore, Peel - dt. “eecond Ain Pierce ges Ciel damien = % ue, P(B/ a= Qy: PCB/A) = Popo PLA

cbc awing rp cand) s ZL PC anergy a peer cone a roan A. SY PCobeawrny a burg apt Ce Qpreen hor Aron Aratony A rol PCB/A» = 4 SP CROR) = PEM» PCB/AY ~ Ka Mo J as, 5 662 em tn maltemabtes & Qwente 3 Azbutenk: Adlueng (L ore Lt I 4. A probl & fhe PR bee * BRB Whase chants @ Buspechvely. Whal O fie“ prob. Ika vill Le AdUredl ? Solution! “PC p will nok Bde Lt prob lem)= PCH) =1-FC4) st-L+b PC vill not cole Lie problem) = yt 2 & = “if ned Galo be prrcblem) 1) wilt av vu frobler) I-23, pce te Hh uth not Actor Pl [Prat lo P Call Mu Hinee ie oe De ) ~ bree x 5 & Ce BrP he periows A PCa Me Hane wilt adlve tee prrollem ) {-) . 83 7 4° 2.3 Theorerd dit By Bor ---? Brn tre o set of Rt hausdve and onedually erclusve Quen & owl Ate Ourediur ueme awoucdel Wt Rr, din pc be/p). PERI: PCPIan) = pcm. PCAIRE) _—A Suppose By Ba, Bg te Bk ex host ve and rouckualle eoclumea evant , thew (ava) _ Peo. PCA er) __ P(Bd: PCPLa,) + PC) -PCA/ BP (B.)- PCO/ 9 P( Ba/e) ~ “tb Pay 9(BD-K Pad + PCBad- PLOT + PCBs) Pl Ba; Pl Bale) ~ PUR) PC AB Pla POLES PLB.) * PLAS Rey PLB; A mane cchutely fom prreckuces Breel popes ve Heur. pland, uth. claily predurcking ef S00, 008 anal G@e00 unt Pr Aveby. Aecordutg (6 post ue Onn bo a Oe Be procken of olegechue ieloule procul Ay Phare pian’ one. Puspeckvely Q.00s, 6-008 arcl 0.010. Tf x Pepe O elrobed from a dau Btal precslucten ane fersrd & be cligeckve, what 8 the freobs drat UL eame from the pew Plant. ? "gob us olf a Pye bp ad Ay fei poist phaok p> Pope & Palast ay Acznc part kay Puck phank . He ee ob follows: PCB = a 2SDO 7 PlG)2 GE 2 ‘BSvO 7 2geo 1 4 Re) « “ bee, 2) > Bsve 7 Pc /B,) = 0.005 pl Pla) = 9 008 PC P)bxd» OP > Pl depechve Pe comes from frst Plant) pe PCB)» PL 8/2.) = P/®/A) = +PCB3)-PC E18 5) PlepsPCPla) +e? PCP.) pd xooos ! az 00 0-005 A xO x + 4 x o.0)e 2. Bn wtn contums & balls. Two balls cree olxawwn ancl pound te be uhuls what te Hoe [rrob. pak all he walls ane whele ? Bs - 3 ” > " ko ce ~ ws Aotls are kite a 5 Tuo falls dren arte ° b- er, yg Bg ree appa AG OO Pre,-4 p(n,y2 4 RP 1 PlB,)2 4. C22) = , 5d (B23, (B27, 4 QC. pC A/a) = a, 2h p( 0/Pa) > St, * a PF (1 Bq) 2 = 4 PRuerem , fy Boge Plall Balls are whik) ~ PCG, JA) PoP Pla.) é 2 pl Be): PC Afar) - i= 3 10 At g P(6/B3)* et | \ 3h) Te (Pear eayre “ = 4. nis all tustned cuk nen 3. lie macke focus cashrys- clefeckve and Gree ay Each L¢ the cue put . ap ams clelernmints @ probabsletres 09 Cb mackie protec 1Y, fun B- Q7 and qrachimt pe poltt C68 mache © pecker -CxauTeNnes ¢ Aenglt cashing, wheer #é gren~ lepecve- Eslemah tke "9 houwry Ancer produced Ary each raekire Solutrer:: Le He events Are depend as follow: Aa-a caste & preodnce: Bey 00 he A B- » " ” & cn D ” Y » < D- a cashing uo nce- aepe lve . Guveo ? ai = pra: & Pimd= se L Plo~ +: PcDB/]a)= O01, PCB] py= O82: P(Ble) OS PC D/a) = \— PCB /a)= \n oor = AQ PCE/ad = \-e (Bley = \— 202 = ae PCDZ) = \-P(B/c) = j-oos = OAS: B4 Beye Meoren 5 play -PLP/a) PCAlD) = eee pray-P(2)0) * pla) -P(2/m) + PCO-Pe) \ Brae 4x0. 98 * Le oas 2 263s Satz OSA pie). PCD/n) Oo. A733 P(B/p) = dyads ZO O.AT3> a = O-B2Sb- pCclp>= peed. PC Plc 6-GT33 Ax Oas = O-4T33 - 2 0-328h A. postion coleman, Crudit manage Kwowrd dha the Compo Uses tp errcomtage collecteon of cle Litgpent accoun&» Frovo Post calleckion records, ta earns thot Yo percent ot the accoun& are called ow > porseralty, Qo poreanté Ore phoned and fo porwr ane donk & Dabber The probalolebrts % Colleckng 7 mperolue amornt an account wit, Ba ahret otros 6 and 0.65 nespectreelsy. My. Goleman ment frome a post - clue account - urkat & the probs Heke thir accounk (D wee callecl on persoratly? WD Recwed a phone. Crll ? ’ Cid Recenel a Athan 2 : Solution! - dak the erent be hepa om follows ® By - The account | Called on personally The account prored Ba- The account & Benk a Aten . B — Gust due account & co flected preva Phe Qeccunl PB) 020 3 P (BsDe 0-10 PlAlp,)2 Obo + PP Es)> 06s P(B\2= 0-70 P(Ple y= o7S By Gays irorem, lee Qccocent Pak ree post - cl om porsonatley clue accounk was) = pCar+ PC&ls = , p(®/) = Peor(hlad* P(e). PCAle2) 40 yD 7 (Ale, * 5 6s ocTox-TS + creates O \ox + 0.s2S = | 9. Syrnt Jody, 0.13%: pC Pale) = eas PC AB.) 6.20x 04 _ ©.\bos Epp lee = “ono Ea ? CBsle) = — Lot3at * fo. \Br8] \- [oA 084 b. valk. PROBABILTY DISTRIBUTIONS QyNoOmise ste) BOTION- pet the poobalosLoby {ea in an bral ve pend prokabe re of faduce fhe A=\-P Bude kcal, oe Rent Po. Thaw % uncomses Cam be obbawed we Rese ond go the probabelcky 24, gekhiy enntly ge Bcc endee Px a2) = nee yD M2 OND == and pone cabled. Mv vocam chery Binomestl ola bie bu cub onl we WwW ew ACR p) te donote tet K follews binomial Abu: bubton usekte pascomekers wm ond P- A Lanomiall Aeshebubyn - Joan and varsete Of SO ——— Meaw = KP Varttomte = TY Showelard pestakion = Jn, Vne Ay di. proe dptod, Sey a @ y) Jy 20% of poachinne, OF Sopeckeve, Soksncasas the. pods Shale aut of; A ” SD. chon oe nondan, ") exactly ame, WO tin) abrecth 2 Wh Ire chore chive. How, Sucve on qoeves °. dapechive nek tok denol. he courlove of, olsyeokey © Bch . prob: rok & Soothe O Aapeetiyt 2 20” = 28, OR (00 A: \-P> \-O2 =9° 2 nz Lineal dine buhton wot me NR 7 OL POx = = nem? 3 pias 2 hoe ooF to. 1) PC exactly one) = PCx =1) = 40, (0-29 (0 ex = ©. 40Kb WwW PC Getwg Zao) = P(x=0 2 A¢,(©25 (oe! = 0, 4096 wi) EF Gabonese a= Perea PAs =0) +PK= ay) 4 PCX= 29 «Or hots O4cqs + Woal0-25 F oer 2 9.81240: Isab = OAT LS 2 6 Avee are Akeowsn TRA tora: Hig Sik cing, donnie do yeu ‘eepeck okteast 3 glee te Ber a Ger, FEF Solult on! Lok ¥ be Ww oo Bing owe of & doce ue pob- ap. getticg Bor 6 i | thre of | dee Be, PL xz) Pl \~ PCx< Dd = i= [ Poe meeps nes ai, =~] ba VS 2 + Sec)” + 6G Sy] - | Sh 4 W982 Que 7124 TAA T24 AIG 223 Faq T28 Expecka) mumber % A Aheucv’g Sort 233 429x% 2 724 223, W Ww B The pobabekeky of & dise & 0.05. ® out of \y components heb B&B the probable Lely Hat Ud atmest autll fe Ud akleast 3 uth ea. Componenti. Solubion: ° ps prob: of force = OOS a oe cl O.4s. n=l: By Beromsal libtibuls 1M, me nN PCXs% = Noe PB Vige od = \n Cy (0-089 Co.as) 1) PCakmost Componanta dlvag) = Plxsde P& By PER = 2D PAD (hp (0-059 foasd'a\ 2 ~&N4C, Co-0s) \ wu) Lc\(O-OS) (0-45) (y-2 \y-3 (09S) + 14, eos) @as> > OLVTIT + OBSASA ©. 229 * ©-0254% 2 0 4488 ii) P Coeheast vol feild = PCX 3a) ,—ox <3) \- { Pex 203 + Pee DA PUX=25] 2 1~ Lo-ae tts O2s8% ye. i224 2 yo 019699 = o~ 0301 A. A made manufactur Avuwss & lenmon fo produu 57 cejeckve « Go a Random Serpe ls soma, Wheel & Hie probs dhods there, are Dexackhly Howe dnjectovts tt) Noe Mere dhown Siow dlagechives. Solutron?- pz S* = Ae lope Bose = nee pegn et. 150, Co.0S)~ Com ays 1) PC exackhy a ctgechu 2D = PCx = is-3 ©-0S5 \-o-0s 2 0.48 mK 19c,(0-05) (e-ds) = 0.0307. i) POnok move +Hon 3 dapeekven) = Poxs PCXsod + Pad Pexs2d4+ Pies ° 1S ISCgto-0sd (04S) SC, (o- Os" to-asy'4 we i ae St, (0ST (OAS) Scan (9-05)? (0.28)? ©. 46324 0. BEST +60-1244 4 O- OZ07 0: Ad4s z eon aronment S oe wn cate. ST ene Aamphe Zod baker Serr vispechon « Goad the Jao. that 1) Drtira UD Ak mosk thw att S obefe UD Exoackly thee are, Mou dopeckve Salira, Solution. p= 10% = Or - \-P? |- OV = O-% m220- ! Remy Ge pra. pox Col CO-Ad e) Pl all ow good Lutter &® =< POmone Ot cAayectives) = PCx=0) 20¢, Co-15 Coa W = ON21b © Plakmoss ture at 3 claje clive. oul.) = PxSD = Pl sepa PUK= x os (0.43 4.2.06 C0 DAPCK=D + PCHRD a ae t = w@-\2ibs Zeal > OAD 2ec,(0-9" Ca o.\olb+ 0. 270%+ 0.28524 ©.190) = O« BA I) Pcerackhy B cyeerve bubba 2PCX=3 7 = 2oegCor1>* (09> solu thet ehonets of = ONAN, . 6, A and ® phay % ame Ue WReely thet | earning cute Oe the male aia. cdf Chote of yawning oe Leask % qos ouk 9, s games pla fae se. Amok A wine se dee he omer Ch oon wee = R gorlow® jormomt pe ve, op ee pCa ex)> Neel nm 5G(%) iS - PLARD = e(xezer ~ > = PCA na) & PCR ED a PUKE - ‘s * 2 ° ee, seule + eC CS) = 6.356 +0. 2592 % o. ort = © 686. “a _

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