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Lecture 2

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29 views7 pages

Lecture 2

Uploaded by

Luke
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Darke : Thursday IS June 2023 ® Ina group of 10 people what is tHe probability ther ext least 2 people will have the same birthday ? lernan tary probability will have the Same birthday ) same birthday ) Using comp plat least 2 people =1- Pp (no two people will have He e355 (e-) = 14- 38. 564 BER .--- 356 * =365-J3 35. SGD ED 365 = 56s! 365, n . 2} =i - 355! } Fro Sr = Fier)! 3cs° % al r= @-n! = 1- 3c5p <— Noofways 4o paple on have. wes different Sintchys Sg tal neof ways le peopk can have their birthdays = ot Write down a general expression dove of n people P (et least 2 peope will have the same birthdey seSp the case of & Group group of 1 people)= 1- Nole - Ais the neof people n inrcaesy the probability increnss 6 994 lity oul? O-4ll 9-706 0-89! 0-970 _ Increasing probabi ", => Ne of combinabons of drawing e objects out of n objects mutations (Grrangeme-ts) F drawing Pp > No of per . cut of n objects r objects P= "c. * ok © Tibulate - Rearrange the F objects . Fy = p(t least 4 six hh © brows of a fair die) P, =P (at least 2 sixes in !2 Hows of afair die) Ps = (at least 3 sixes 1913 thows of a fair die) Py = p (ot least 4 cixes In 4 throws of a fair die) Fair dic => Unbiased dies Sample Space Se ty 2,5, 4,5,65 Each possible outcome 16 ally likely fo cour pl =pl)= plsd= pl= p&) = p= + p(é on any throw )= é] Eqpally likely probability of P(E on any thow)= 1-p (6 on ony throw) = b= Pps p (at least 1 six in 6 throws of a fair die) = 4- posix) = 4 -(S)° = 0688 R= plet leact 2 Sixes in 12 throvs of = fair die) = 1 - plne sk er 4 six) 4 “e+ ORE] = °° Ps =P (at least 3 sixes in !8 threws of a fai die) (no six or 1d six or 2 sixes) =i- p = 1 figy*+ (IE (DOO) = 0:59] F, = p (at least 4 sixes in 24 throws of & Fair die) - 1- (no six or 1six or 2sixes or 3 sixes) ~1- [MOG OOS * OES] = 9% Gn throws of afeir de platleast nsxes in 6n throes ofa Fair die) 0-665 0.619 decreosing 9.591 probabity 0-584 (6) N different messages oe cont to N computers, but they get med up and arrive at random clestnabns, One message per cornpurer For the case of N=3 how many messages Ore received by te correct” computers 7 Gnsicer the ase f N=3 let He 3 Compubers be C1, C2 and C3 . (et te 3 mess FS be M1, M2 and M3. lo of C1 | C2 Gs coos Probability rrable of the numer let xX bea discrete random Va d aorreetly, of corcect messages 6S of messages receive Expected (Average) number Ee - == 2) w= + P Xx ° I 3 ree | % | % | o | 4] BPO? ocpl=) oO Y O x px) x =f£=1 & On average , He number of comet messagss received is 4 Repeat fr te aseck N=4. Grsider the ase of N= 4 be C1, C2, CS and C4, be M4, N2, H3 and M4. Let the 4 computers let dhe 4 messages No of Gorrect messages -—-N NF pr ON FOOL Protebility Ne FS | rebability rm -ypo- S9 on-poOdod of r of the number be Q discrete random Nariall let X be i correctly . to, {2 [s+ y= 4 ° a Spe = B | £ ° 24 . & _ a = a1 4 Sec p@) = zu & 12 oO za oe rs ap){ O | ap | 2 ye correctly Sq. Number f messages received On Average,

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