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World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program Municipal Finance in South-East Europe Marjan Nikolov: MUNICIPAL FINANCES IN MACEDONIA CONTENT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................................................... 3 1 BACKGROUND......................................................................................................................................... 6 2 LOCAL GOVERNMENT FUNCTIONS .......................................................................................................... 6 3 SCOPE OF DECENTRALIZATION.............................................................................................................. 11 4 DIFFERENTIATION AND CONCENTRATION............................................................................................. 14 5 EFFICIENCY OF LOCAL SPENDING........................................................................................................... 17 6 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AT LOCAL LEVEL .............................................................................................. 19 7 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES .......................................................................................................... 21 8 GRANT DEPENDENCY ............................................................................................................................ 26 9 LOCAL FISCAL AUTONOMY.................................................................................................................... 28 10 MUNICIPAL BORROWING AND CREDITWORTHINESS ............................................................................ 29 11 REGIONS IN MACEDONIA ...................................................................................................................... 30 12 ANNEX .................................................................................................................................................. 33 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Local government expenditures by functional classification (programs) for the period 2008-2012 in Macedonian Denars ................................................................................. 9 Figure 2. Local government expenditures for the period 2008-2011 in MKD by type of municipalities ........................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 3. Local government expenditures for selected programs for 2008 and 2011 in MKD by type of municipalities........................................................................................................... 11 Figure 4. Central and local government revenues as percentages of the GDP in Macedonia for the period 1999-2011 and GD P in mln MKD ................................................................... 12 Figure 5. Capital expenditures at local government level in Macedonia by type of municipality for the period 2008-2011 in MKD....................................................................... 21 Figure 6. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by source and by type of municipalities for 2008 and 2011............................................................................................. 22 Figure 7. Total revenues of local governments for the period 2008-2011 by type of local governments in MKD ............................................................................................................... 23 Figure 8. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for accounts 713, 717, 718 and 723 for 2008 and 2011 .................................... 25 Figure 9. Local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for accounts 713, 717, 718 and 723 for 2008 and 2011 in MKD ................................................................. 26 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Figure 10. Transfers from central government to the local government for the period 20082011 in MKD............................................................................................................................ 28 Figure 11. Revenues by source per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for 2008 . 31 Figure 12. Revenues by source per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for 2011 . 32 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Descriptive statistics of population per km2 area across local governments in Macedonia .................................................................................................................................. 7 Table 2. Distribution of Macedonian municipalities ................................................................. 7 Table 3. Local and central government revenues and expenditures over GDP in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011.......................................................................................................... 11 Table 4. Own local government revenues in comparison with total own and grand total local government revenues in MKD.................................................................................................. 13 Table 5. Descriptive statistics of revenues by source across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita .......................................................................... 14 Table 6. Descriptive statistics of expenditures by source across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita ....................................................... 15 Table 7. Inequality of own revenues across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011................................................................................................................................. 16 Table 8. Inequality of own expenditures across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 ..................................................................................................................... 16 Table 9. Descriptive statistics of unit costs across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita...................................................................................... 17 Table 10. Descriptive statistics of unit costs across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita by types of municipalities ............................................ 18 Table 11. Central and local government capital expenditures in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011................................................................................................................................. 19 Table 12 Structure of capital expenditures at local government level in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 ..................................................................................................................... 20 Table 13. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by source for the period 2008-2011................................................................................................................................. 21 Table 14. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for the period 2008-2011 ................................................................................... 23 Table 15. Structure of the local government revenues (transfers) as a share of total revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for the period 2008-2011 ....................................... 27 Table 16. Structure of the local government own revenues as a share of total revenues in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011....................................................................................... 28 Table 17. Stability of revenues at local government level in Macedonia for the period 20082011 in MKD............................................................................................................................ 29 Table 18. Borrowing at local government level in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD ......................................................................................................................................... 29 Table 19. Revenues by source in MKD per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 ............................................................................................................... 30 Table 20. Illustration of the two-phased approach of fiscal decentralization in Macedonia .. 33 2 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Executive summary (1) Macedonia has one tier local government and the process of decentralization in Macedonia started 1996. Macedonia signed the European charter for local government in 1996 and ratified it in 1997. In 1998, the Ministry of local government was established. Government adopted in 1999 Government program and the Government strategy for reforming the public administration. Working team within the Ministry of local government was established in March 1999 to start the process of decentralization. (2) The decentralization initiatives of 1999 gained new momentum with the requirements of the new post OFA Constitution of Macedonia. In 2005 the government adopted a detailed plan for the transfer of competences and resources. In April, 2005, administrative decentralization was planned in terms of transfer of institutions, assets, employees and documentation. (3) The speed of decentralization reforms greatly accelerated during 2004 as the Ministry of local government moved forward with a number of initiatives and intensified its contacts with the ZELS. (4) Macedonia have gradual two phase decentralization process. In accordance with the law on financing local governments (LSG) (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 61/04) there are two phases of the decentralization process prescribed. The first phase started on 1st July 2005. The second phase started on 1st July 2007. The phased approach to fiscal decentralization is closely connected to the transfers from central government. The major principle of this phased approach was to project a gradual devolution of responsibilities proportional to the demonstration of greater capacity by local governments to undertake those responsibilities, and to provide an equitable and adequate transfer of funds for an efficient and ongoing execution of transferred competencies. (5) Macedonian municipalities are heterogeneous and analysing national averages can only distort the reality. Out of 84 municipalities 43.87% of Macedonian population lives in 67 municipalities with less than 40,000 inhabitants. Almost 38% of Macedonian population lives in additional 13 municipalities out of 84 with size between 40,000 and 80,000. The City of Skopje comprises 25% of Macedonian population in 10 municipalities with population between 22,000 and 73,000 inhabitants. There are 16 municipalities with less than 5,000 inhabitants. Also, in Macedonia there are 43 urban and 41 rural municipalities. Urban municipalities comprise 1,625,098 inhabitants (80%) and the rural municipalities comprise 397,449 inhabitants (20%). (6) The assigned competencies to Macedonian municipalities in general follow the subsidiarity principle of the European charter for local government. Local government expenditure’s growth in 2011 compared to 2008 is 41% but almost 50% of this growth is due to the introduction of the second phase’s block grants for the education during the period. (7) However, the dynamic of the local government expenditures differ depending on the type of government. The most dramatic change was in the City of Skopje with a growth of 72% in 2011 compared to 2008 and the rural municipalities with 57% growth in 2011 compared to 2008. These growth rates resulted in decrease of share of urban municipalities in total local government share from 75% in 2008 to 70% in 2011. The share of the City of Skopje in total local government expenditures thus, increased from 14% in 2008 to 17% in 2011. 3 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review (8) The decentralization process and the introduction of devolution of own revenues improved the local government revenue generation trend in Macedonia. Local government revenues as percentage in the GDP increased from 0.88% of the GDP in 1999 to 5.65% of the GDP in 2011. (9) The global crises have impact on local and central government in Macedonia on different economic grounds. The effect of global crisis on local government has impact in 2009 with lower revenues and lower self-financing activities of the local budget users. However, it looks like the local revenues in GDP recover quickly probably because of non-elastic property taxes and because of the revealing the potential fiscal capacity with higher local fiscal effort since the devolution in 2005/06. The central government revenues in the same period decline because of the policy change of introducing flat tax and overall tax burden easing and the effect of the global crisis on the elastic central taxes (mainly VAT and PIT). (10) There is relatively higher variation in Macedonian LSG’s revenues per capita. The median own revenues per capita are always lower than the mean own revenues per capita for the period 2008-2011 which illustrates that there are more than a half of the LSGs (more than 42 LSGs) with lower than the average own revenues per capita in Macedonia. (11) The transfers per capita tend to lower the variation of own revenues and own expenditures per capita among LSGs in the total LSG revenues and expenditures per capita in Macedonia. The transfers from the central government (transfers are the biggest share of financing kindergartens and schools) are more or less resulting (in time) in more balanced expenditures per proper age group (user of service). (12) The inequality among LSGs in Macedonia is varying in the period 2008-2011. In 2008 the 20% of the richest LSGs in Macedonia (17 out of 84) have total own revenues that is 23.7 times higher than the poorest 20% LSGs in Macedonia (17 out of 84). The S80/S20 measure of inequality declined in 2009 but then it worsened again and in 2011 it illustrates that the richest 17 LSGs in Macedonia have 24.2 times higher revenues than the poorest 17 LSGs. The richest 17 LSGs (out of 84 LSGs) generate more than 50% of the total own LSG revenues in Macedonia. In comparison, the poorest 17 LSGs (out of 84 LSGs) in Macedonia generates from 9-12% of the total own LSG revenues in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011. (13) There is higher variation in the efficiency of local spending measured as unit costs for proper age group. In Macedonia the earmarked and block transfers instead of following function are following the existing assets (buildings) and employment. There is no cost of services calculated for any program (function). That is why as a minimum we can get sometimes 0 MKD just because in that particular municipality there is no kindergarten and/or school and the LSGs seem not to have priority, incentive and/or fiscal capacity enough to invest in these services. (14) The global crises have impact on local and central government’s capital expenditures in Macedonia on different economic grounds. Central government capital expenditures over GDP in 2009 decreased as a result of the global crises and since then are increasing reaching 3.8% in 2011. In the same period the local government capital expenditures over GDP are continuously increasing from 0.95% of GDP in 2008 to 1.55% of GDP in 2011 which is 63% increase. However, the local government’s capital expenditures over total local government expenditures in 2008 were 21.17% while in 2009 they declined to 19.54%. Since 2009 the capital expenditures over total local government expenditures are recovering and reaching almost 25% of the total local government expenditures. 4 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review (15) The dynamic of the local government capital expenditures differ depending on the type of government. The capital expenditures are growing for the period 20082011. The highest growth of 120% in 2011 compared to 2008 goes to the City of Skopje. In rural municipalities the proper growth in 2011 compared to 2008 is 68% whereas in urban municipalities it is 48%. Note again that urban population is 80% and rural population is 20% in Macedonia. (16) The transfers from the central government take a substantial share of the total revenues of the local governments in Macedonia. The transfers amount from 68% in 2009 when the impact of the global crisis was picking and then declining to almost 61% in 2011. The next largest share goes to the communal fees (from 13% to 19%) and the property taxes (from 8% to 10%). Possibly because of the crisis, the share of revenues from sale of land increase 0.7% in 2008 to 5.46% in 2011. Also increased are the shares of other domestic borrowing (from 0.15% in 2008 to 1.82% of total revenues) and shares of other non-tax revenues (from 0.58 in 2008 to 0.86 in 2011). (17) Macedonian local government does not have rich experience with borrowing. Credit expansion started in 2011 mainly with the on-lending credit line of the World Bank administered within the Ministry of finance. (18) The regional organization in Macedonia is in accordance with the NUTS III level as the NUTS I and NUTS II is Republic of Macedonia. In Macedonia the local government is one tier and the 8 regions are only administrative and proper regulation for the regions is the law on balanced regional development (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 63/07). Skopje region is dominating the revenues collection as it comprises 26% in 2008 and 27% in 2011 of total revenues in Macedonia. Skopje comprises 29% of total population in Macedonia. The Pelagonia region (18% of total Macedonian population) is the second with highest total revenues in 2008 of 11.9% of total revenues in Macedonia; but in 2011 it is the Polog region (15% of total Macedonian population) with the second highest total revenues of 10.7% of total revenues in Macedonia. Lowest total revenues are accounted in East region in 2008 (6.6% of total Macedonian revenues with 9.0% of total population) and in Vardar region in 2011 (6.8% of total Macedonian revenues with 7.6% of total population). 5 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 1 Background Objective of the report is to analyze local government (LSG) finances by using the information and data from the Macedonian municipal1 finance Treasury dataset, State statistical office dataset and other sources. The targeted audiences are the ZELS experts, the Macedonian policy makers and experts and the international partners working on fiscal decentralization issues. The report aims to give an overview on the status of fiscal decentralization and examines the trends in the period of the economic downturn since 2008. In the calculations in this report we do not take into account the City of Skopje because it operates under a different law and also because it might give us biased results in the indicators because of its size and fiscal capacity. We do however; take into account in the analysis the LSGs within the City of Skopje and sometimes give comparisons among types of municipalities like urban, rural and the City of Skopje. The finances of the City of Skopje in the comparison among the types of municipalities are taken solely of the City of Skopje as a separate unit of LSG and not comprising the finances of the municipalities within the territory of the City of Skopje. 2 Local government functions Background, profile and territory Macedonia signed the European charter for local government in 1996 and ratified it in 1997. In 1998, the Ministry of local government was established. The process of decentralization was further supported by two important documents adopted in 1999, namely the Government program and the Government strategy for reforming the public administration. As a result of these two initiatives, a working team within the Ministry of local government was established in March, 1999, to start the process of decentralization. In 1999, the Kosovo conflict further complicated ethnic tensions in Macedonia and lead to an armed interethnic conflict in 2001. The political crisis in Macedonia ended with the signing of the Ohrid Framework Agreement (OFA) in 2001, thus, the decentralization initiatives of 1999 gained new momentum with the requirements of the new post OFA Constitution of Macedonia. Essentially, the decentralization of particular functions has been delegated to line ministries. The speed of decentralization reforms greatly accelerated during 2004 as the Ministry of local government moved forward with a number of initiatives and intensified its contacts with the Association of local governments (known by its Macedonian acronym, ZELS). In 2005 the government adopted a detailed plan for the transfer of competences and resources. In April, 2005, administrative decentralization was planned in terms of transfer of institutions, assets, employees and documentation. In that plan, the de-concentrated units of line ministries were transferred to the local level as well. This, together with the new legislation, provided an efficient legal framework for the new modern process of decentralization. With the new law on territorial organization (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 55/04) adopted in 2004, the local governments in Macedonia were restructured into 84 municipalities (16 of which have less than 5,000 inhabitants) and with the city of Skopje as a 1 In this report we use LSG, local government and municipality interchangeable. 6 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review special unit comprising 10 municipalities in accordance with a separate law on the City of Skopje (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 55/04). The population density in Macedonia is, on average, 452 persons per km2. However, there is a wide range of differences. The most sparsely-populated municipalities have a minimum of 5 persons per km2, whereas the most densely-populated have 16,193 persons per km2. In Macedonia, 68.3% of the population is between the ages of 15 and 65 years old. The aging index (i.e. the ratio of persons over 65 to children up to 14) shows an average of 0.50 in the entire country. This means that there are twice as many children up to the age of 14 as there are persons over 65. But, as with other statistics, this is merely an overall national average. The discrepancy across municipalities is high, with a minimum aging index of 0.13 and a maximum of 2.30. As illustrated in the table 1, the mean population per km2 of area in municipalities in Macedonia is 452. However, the range of variation is from a minimum of 5 people per km2 to a maximum of 16,193 people per km2. The median is lower than the mean thus, illustrating that most of the local governments in Macedonia have less than the national average density. Table 1. Descriptive statistics of population per km2 area across local governments in Macedonia Population per km2 area Mean Median Maximum (Cair LSG) Minimum (Novaci LSG) Source: Author’s calculation on state statistical office data. 452 56 16,193 5 In the table 2 we illustrate the distribution of Macedonian municipalities. We can see that 43.87% of Macedonian population lives in 67 municipalities (out of 84) with less than 40,000 inhabitants. Almost 38% of Macedonian population lives in additional 13 municipalities out of 84 with size between 40,000 and 80,000. The City of Skopje comprises 25% of Macedonian population in 10 municipalities with population between 22,000 and 73,000 inhabitants. There are 16 municipalities with less than 5,000 inhabitants. Table 2. Distribution of Macedonian municipalities Population range Number of municipalities Number of municipalities cumulative % of total municipalities Total population Total population cumulative % of total municipalities (cumulative) 1,001-2,000 1 1 1.2 1322 1322 0.07 2,001-3,000 2 3 0.3 5,291 6,613 0.33 3,001-4,000 6 9 10.7 20,784 27,397 1.35 4,001-5,000 7 16 19.0 30,304 57,701 2.85 5,001-6,000 3 19 22.6 16,680 74,381 3.68 6,001-7,000 3 22 26.2 19,379 93,760 4.64 7,001-8,000 3 25 29.8 22,304 116,064 5.74 8,001-9,000 5 30 35.7 42,183 158,247 7.82 9,001-10,000 2 32 38.1 19,181 177,428 8.77 7 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 10,001-11,000 3 35 41.7 31,651 209,079 10.34 11,001-12,000 4 39 46.4 46,659 255,738 12.64 12,001-15,000 4 43 51.2 53,891 309,629 15.31 15,001-20,000 10 53 63.1 176,707 486,336 24.05 20,001-40,000 14 67 79.8 400,900 887,236 43.87 40,001-80,000 13 80 95.2 766,820 1,654,056 81.78 more than 80,000 4 84 100.0 368,491 2,022,547 100.00 506,926 25.06 Skopje 10 10 11.9 506,926 Source: Author’s calculation on state statistical office data. Note that in Macedonia there are 43 urban and 41 rural municipalities. Urban municipalities comprise 1,625,098 inhabitants (80%) and the rural municipalities comprise 397,449 inhabitants (20%). Competencies and decentralization process The 2002 law on local government (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 05/02) regulates the competencies of the local governments. A wide range of responsibilities are listed in the provisions of article 22 of this law which include: urban planning and space arrangement; environmental and nature protection; local economic development; communal services; cultural development, in accordance with the national program for culture; sports and recreation; social care and child protection; foundation of education, financing and managing of primary and secondary schools in cooperation with the central government; organization of transport and food supplements for students and student housing; health care, managing the system of public health organizations and primary health care; undertaking measures for the protection and rescue of citizens and material goods in the case of destruction in war, natural disasters and other accidents; fire protection that is provided by the local fire departments; and supervision over activities regarding the municipality’s responsibilities and other matters determined by law. In accordance with the law on financing local governments (LSG) (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 61/04) there are two phases of the decentralization process prescribed. The first phase started on 1st July 2005. The second phase started on 1st July 2007, but only for LSG fulfilling certain criteria (see annex). Phase I related only to the construction, maintenance and operation of premises, for education, social services and culture. This coincided with the introduction of earmarked grants. The system of earmarked grants was introduced, intended to cover the operation and maintenance costs of the designated competencies (actually operation and maintenance of the existing buildings and tangible assets). These comprised: utilities; heating; communication and transport; materials and tools; repairs; current maintenance; and, contractual services. Phase II was initiated in 2007, with devolution of teacher and other personnel salaries and with the introduction of block grants. Under the second phase, block grants are paid, also for operation and maintenance, but which, now, includes salaries and benefits for employees. The phased approach to fiscal decentralization is closely connected to the transfers from central government. The major principle of this phased approach was to project a gradual devolution of responsibilities proportional to the demonstration of greater capacity by local 8 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review governments to undertake those responsibilities, and to provide an equitable and adequate transfer of funds for an efficient and ongoing execution of transferred competencies. In the figure 1 we can see the local government expenditures by functions for the period 2008-2011 in Macedonia. We can see that the expenditures growth in 2011 to 2008 is 41% but almost 50% of this growth is due to the introduction of the block grants from the education during the period. 27,000,000,000 Firefighting 22,000,000,000 Health improvement Environment protection Education 17,000,000,000 Social protection Development programs Sport 12,000,000,000 Culture Communal activities LED 7,000,000,000 Urban planning Administration Mayor 2,000,000,000 Council 2008 2009 2010 2011 -3,000,000,000 Figure 1. Local government expenditures by functional classification (programs) for the period 2008-2012 in Macedonian Denars In the next figure 2 we illustrate the share of expenditures from the City of Skopje, rural and urban municipalities in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in Macedonian Denars (MKD). 9 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 30,000,000,000 25,000,000,000 20,000,000,000 Urban 15,000,000,000 Rural Skopje 10,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 2. Local government expenditures for the period 2008-2011 in MKD by type of municipalities What we can see from figure 2 is that expenditures are increasing in time. The most dramatic change was in the City of Skopje with a growth of 72% in 2011 compared to 2008 and the rural municipalities with 57% growth in 2011 compared to 2008. These growth rates resulted in decrease of share of urban municipalities in total local government share from 75% in 2008 to 70% in 2011. The share of the City of Skopje in total local government expenditures thus, increased from 14% in 2008 to 17% in 2011. Note again that in Macedonia there are 43 urban and 41 rural municipalities. Urban municipalities comprise 1,625,098 inhabitants (80%) and the rural municipalities comprise 397,449 inhabitants (20%) In the next figure 3 we can see the structure of expenditures of more than 85% of the total expenditures that go for administration (Mayor, Council and administration programs), education, communal and social programs for 2008 and 2011. 2008 Rural Urban Skopje 10,000,000,000 9,000,000,000 8,000,000,000 7,000,000,000 6,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 10 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 2011 Rural Urban Skopje 14,000,000,000 12,000,000,000 10,000,000,000 8,000,000,000 6,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 0 Figure 3. Local government expenditures for selected programs for 2008 and 2011 in MKD by type of municipalities We can see that these expenditures increased in 2011 compared to 2008 by 38% with highest growth of communal expenditures of almost 45% (highest growth was in the rural municipalities and they increased their share for education expenditures from 13% to 17% in the total of these selected expenditures). Interesting is that these expenditures of the City of Skopje in 2011 are higher than the proper expenditures of all rural municipalities in Macedonia (in 2008 it was lower). Note that the City of Skopje comprises 25% of total Macedonian population and the rural municipalities are comprising 20% of total Macedonian population. 3 Scope of decentralization In the next table 3 we can see that the local government finances over GDP (in revenues and expenditures) increases in the period 2008-2011. The central government revenues in the same period decline because of the policy change of introducing flat tax and overall tax burden easing and the effect of the global crisis. The effect of global crisis on local government has impact in 2009 with lower revenues and lower self-financing activities of the local budget users. However, it looks like the local revenues in GDP recover quickly probably because of non-elastic property taxes and because of the revealing the potential fiscal capacity with higher local fiscal effort since the devolution in 2005/06. Table 3. Local and central government revenues and expenditures over GDP in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 Total revenues over GDP 2008 Total expenditures over GDP Local government total (own/own plus self-financing2) 4.8 (2.1/2.4) 4.5 (2.0/2.2) Total revenues over GDP Total expenditures over GDP Central government 33.0 33.9 2 Own revenues are from the account 630. Self-financing activities are contributions from citizens for different services (for example school excursions paid by parents) from the account 787. 11 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 2009 2010 2011 5.1 (2.0/2.2) 5.6 (2.4/2.6) 5.7 (2.5/2.7) 5.1 (2.1/2.3) 5.4 (2.3/2.5) 5.6 (2.5/2.7) 31.3 30.4 29.6 33.9 32.9 32.1 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF data. From the next figure 4, we can see the growing trend of local government revenues in the GDP from 0.88% of the GDP in 1999 to 5.65% of the GDP in 2011. The central government revenues in the GDP are between 30% and 35% in the same period except for 2001 and 2002, during and after the ethnic clashes, when it was 41% of the GDP. On the central and local government sector size and its impact on the public sector, it is other literature that is searching for the Leviathan which we will not consider here. 45 500,000 40 450,000 400,000 35 350,000 30 300,000 25 250,000 20 200,000 15 150,000 10 100,000 5 0 50,000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 Central government revenues (share in GDP in %) Local government revenues (share in GDP in %) GDP in mln current denars Figure 4. Central and local government revenues as percentages of the GDP in Macedonia for the period 1999-2011 and GD P in mln MKD We can see from figure 4 that the growth of local government’s revenue in Macedonia over time has gained momentum since 2005 when the post OFA decentralization wave started. A jump is to be noted from 2005 to 2006, which corresponds to the introduction of the first phase of decentralization. The rates of growth of local revenue have remained buoyant between 2006 and 2007 and make a second upward jump starting 2007 with the implementation of the second phase of decentralization and the start of the block grant transfers. At the same period the central government revenues over GDP decline since 2008 because of the policy change of introducing lower taxation and flat tax regime and because of the global crises effect on the elastic taxes (mainly PIT and VAT). In the next table we can see how the effect of devolution of administration of local property taxes (property and property transaction tax, inheritance and gift tax, also communal and business fees) continues to result in increasing of own revenues collection in the period 20082011 from MKD 5.7 bln. to MKD 6.7 bln. or by 17%. In the same period the transfers from 12 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review personal income tax (PIT) increased by 20% from MKD 180 mln in 2008 to MKD 216 mln in 2011. The large increase of item 718 (business fees) in 2009 is because of the policy introduction when producers of energy from fossil fuels must’ve pay to LSGs compensation for pollution. Only 3 LSGs benefit from this fee. More than 50% of these fees are going to Bitola (the largest thermal power plant being placed near Bitola in Novaci LSG). What we can also suspect from the table 4 is that it looks like the global crises hits elastic PIT (account 711) with longer time lag in 2011 while the non-elastic property taxes (account 713) experienced decline in 2009 and then on are increasing. The total own LSG revenues (without transfers, loans and self-financing activities of budget users within LSGs) are reflecting the same trend as the own revenues (account 713-property tax + account 717-communal fees + account 718-business fees) while the grand total revenues are continuously increasing (mainly because of increasing block transfers). Table 4. Own local government revenues in comparison with total own and grand total local government revenues in MKD 711 713 717 718 713+717+718 Total own (account 630 own rev.) Grand total (713+717+718)/630 (713+717+718)/grand total 2008 180,142,678 2,007,649,726 3,676,294,251 12,589,959 5,696,533,935 2009 190,506,426 1,885,921,310 2,653,779,470 36,475,943 4,576,176,722 2010 258,739,077 2,037,047,926 3,841,731,007 43,763,424 5,922,542,357 2011 216,254,233 2,171,679,079 4,446,814,126 49,468,435 6,667,961,639 8,823,145,744 8,140,142,153 10,367,771,345 11,507,904,456 19,739,517,940 20,928,420,824 24,131,713,807 26,160,439,863 64.56 56.22 28.86 21.87 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF data. 57.12 24.54 57.94 25.49 Conclusion here is that it might be that in Macedonia the local government tolerates less impact from the global crises (even though it hits first local government in 2009 and two years later in 2011 it hits the central government’s revenues) than the central government because of two reasons. First, local governments benefit from non-elasticity of the property taxes and second, local governments still experience benefit from its potential to increase revenue collection from policy change of devolution of administration of own revenues. General conclusion is that from 1999 to 2011, the total revenues of local government in Macedonia has grown quite rapidly, due to the design of the overall decentralization process. In terms of money, it grew from 1,983 mln MKD in 1999 (in nominal terms) to 26,160 mln MKD, ten years later (in nominal terms). That is more than a ten-fold nominal increase. Due to this rapid dynamic, the share of total local revenues in the GDP has increased, from a mere 0.88 percent in 1999 to 5.65 per cent in 2011. This share is still lower than it is in most EU countries that became members between 2004 and 2007. Nonetheless, it is not abysmally low, showing that the almost complete neglect of local government, prevailing before 2005, has been somewhat attenuated. 13 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 4 Differentiation and concentration The next table 5 illustrates the descriptive statistics of revenues per capita across local governments in Macedonia. What we can see is that there is relatively higher variation in Macedonian LSGs across revenues per capita by source. Also, we can conclude that the transfers per capita tend to lower the variation of own revenues per capita among LSGs in the total LSG revenues per capita in Macedonia. The median own revenues per capita are always lower than the mean own revenues per capita for the period 2008-2011 which illustrates that there are more than a half of the LSGs (more than 42 LSGs) with lower than the average own revenues per capita in Macedonia. The coefficient of variation is worsening in 2011 illustrating that the variation in collection of own revenues per capita and PIT and VAT shared taxes per capita are varying more in 2011 than in any year before 2011 in the period 2008-2011. The transfers per capita are illustrating lower variation across LSGs in Macedonia measured with the coefficient of variation for the same period. Note that the minimum of 0 MKD in transfers is because of the small rural LSG Vranestica which is the only LSG not receiving transfer from central government. Table 5. Descriptive statistics of revenues by source across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita 2008 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation3 2009 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2010 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2011 Mean Median Maximum Own 630 Donations 785 3,333 2,799 21,724 (Centar) 812 (Suto Orizari) 53 0 714 (Kriva Palanka) 5 0 421 (Karposh) Self-financing 787 223 133 1,038 (Centar) 0 0 0 0.80 630 Loans 786 2.19 785 3,559 3,095 16,506 (Centar) 807 (Suto Orizari) 0 219 131 1,314 (Centar) 0 0 0 2.83 4,173 3,417 21,339 (Novaci) 1,244 (Aracinovo) 230 138 1,404 (Centar) 0 0 0 3.22 4,527 3,490 33,772 6.50 786 112 2 1,855 4,954 5,435 9,395 (Makedonski Brod) 0 (Vranestica) 8,786 8,958 23,598 (Centar) 1,918 (Aracinovo) 0.47 0.43 5,416 5,713 9,451 (Makedonski Brod) 0 (Vranestica) 10,024 10,012 32,998 (Novaci) 1,815 (Aracinovo) 0.42 0.45 5,816 5,919 9,407 10,773 10,343 43,686 1.09 787 97 0 3,416 0.51 930 17 0 796 (Kocani) 785 0.57 1.11 787 188 4 4,701 (Novaci) 0.75 630 NA 786 7,415 7,474 27,796 (Centar) 1,822 (Aracinovo) 930 NA NA 785 Total 3,801 4,160 7,692 (Makedonski Brod) 0 (Vranestica) 1.06 787 54 0 1,178 (Karbinci) 0.68 630 9.17 786 Transfers 930 930 221 147 1,268 3 Coefficient of variation is a ratio of standard deviation to mean. It illustrates how much deviation there is from the mean. Higher coefficient of variation means that LSGs are spread further from the mean and lower coefficient of variation means that LSGs are closer to the mean. 14 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Minimum (Centar) 1,037 (Aracinovo) Coefficient of variation (Ilinden) (Ilinden) (Centar) (Tetovo) 0 0 0 0 (Centar) 2,107 (Zelino) 0.33 0.49 0.94 2.91 4.99 1.07 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF and state statistical office data. As for the expenditures we can also see in table 6 the relatively higher variation in Macedonian LSGs across expenditures per capita by source. Again, we can conclude that the transfers per capita tend to lower the variation of own expenditures per capita among LSGs in the total LSG expenditures per capita in Macedonia. The median own expenditures per capita are always lower than the mean own expenditures per capita for the period 2008-2011 which illustrates that there are more than a half of the LSGs (more than 42 LSGs) with lower than the average own expenditures per capita in Macedonia. The coefficient of variation is worsening from 2008 to 2011 illustrating that the variation in own expenditures per capita plus expenditures from PIT and VAT shared taxes per capita are varying more in time in the period 2008-2011. The expenditures from transfers per capita are illustrating lower variation across LSGs in Macedonia measured with the coefficient of variation for the same period. Note that the minimum of 0 MKD in expenditures from transfers is because of the small rural LSG Vranestica. Table 6. Descriptive statistics of expenditures by source across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita 2008 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2009 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2010 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2011 Mean Median Maximum Own 630 Donations 785 3,306 3,077 12,518 (Centar) 809 (Suto Orizari) 130 7 2,088 (Vevcani) 5 0 421 (Karpos) 0 0 0.58 630 Loans 786 2.35 785 3,616 3,059 20,031 (Centar) 801 (Suto Orizari) 0 0 0 0 3.21 785 4,490 3,557 29,760 96 2 1,865 0.44 229 4,674 143 5,127 1,277 8,594 (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 0 (Vranestica) 0 8,601 8,868 26,714 (Centar) 1,864 (Studenicani) 1.11 0.46 0.43 230 5,260 138 5,596 1,412 9,365 (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 0 0 (Vranestica) 9,770 9,887 33,388 (Novaci) 1,731 (Aracinovo) 6.50 786 930 1.09 787 97 0 3,416 7,281 7,568 18,411 (Centar) 1,526 (Aracinovo) 930 787 17 0 796 (Kocani) Total 0.57 NA 786 191 5 4,784 (Novaci) 0.77 630 0 2.49 1.08 787 0 0 785 4,072 3,330 21,846 (Novaci) 1,159 (Aracinovo) 9.17 786 77 0 1,178 (Karbinci) 0.70 630 Self-financing Transfers 787 930 214 3,625 120 3,975 1,056 6,823 (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 0 0 (Vranestica) 0.41 0.46 5,648 5,780 9,243 10,550 10,039 39,307 930 219 134 1,210 15 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review (Centar) 1,133 (Aracinovo) Minimum Coefficient of variation (Ilinden) (Ilinden) (Centar) 0 0 0 0.90 2.90 5.02 1.08 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF state statistical office data. (Tetovo) 0 (Vranestica) (Centar) 2,407 (Zelino) 0.32 0.47 In the next table 7 we illustrate the quintile share ratio S80/S20 as a measure of inequality of the own revenues collection across LSG in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011. The quintile share ratio S80/S20 is an inequality measure to describe this uneven revenue distribution across LSG in Macedonia and may be interpreted as follows: the own revenues of the richest 20% of the LSGs are higher by a factor of X than the own revenues of the poorest 20% of the LSGs in Macedonia. Thus, we can see from the table 7 that in 2008 the 20% of the richest LSGs in Macedonia (17 out of 84) have total own revenues that is 23.7 times higher than the poorest 20% LSGs in Macedonia (17 out of 84). We can see that this measure of inequality declined in 2009 but then it worsened and in 2011 it illustrates that the richest 17 LSGs in Macedonia have 24.2 times higher revenues than the poorest 17 LSGs. The S80/total own revenues illustrates that the richest 17 LSGs (out of 84 LSGs) generate more than 50% of the total own LSG revenues in Macedonia. In comparison, the poorest 17 LSGs (out of 84 LSGs) in Macedonia generates from 9-12% of the total own LSG revenues in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011. Table 7. Inequality of own revenues across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 2008 S80/S204 S80/total own revenues 50% poorest of all 2009 23.7 2010 19.2 52.6 50.9 8.9 11.6 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF data. 2011 21.1 24.2 50.9 10.2 53.2 9.0 In terms of own expenditures the situation of the inequality across Macedonian LSGs for the period 2008-2012, as illustrated in the next table 8, is similar to that of the inequality illustrated of the own revenues. Table 8. Inequality of own expenditures across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 2008 S80/S20 S80/total 50% poorest of all 2009 2010 19.1 18.8 51.1 52.3 10.2 11.3 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF data. 2011 19.7 51.2 10.3 22.2 50.4 9.2 4 The quintile share ratio S80/S20=X is an inequality measure to describe uneven distribution across LSG in Macedonia and may be interpreted as follows: the own revenues of the richest 20% of the LSGs are higher by a factor of X than the own revenues of the poorest 20% of the LSGs in Macedonia. 16 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 5 Efficiency of local spending In the next table 9 the unit costs are calculated as follows: we take the expenditures by program (function) and divide them by the proper age group of population. For example, we divide the expenditures for kindergartens with the age group of 0-4 of population. We divide expenditures for elementary schools with the age group of population of 5-14 and we divide the expenditures for secondary schools with the age group of population of 15-19. Note that the elementary school in Macedonia begins with 6 years of age but since we do not have proper age structure to fit this policy this is the best we can do with these data. For the capital expenditures per capita, we take the account 48 from the economic classification of expenditures and divide it with the total number of population and for the salaries per capita we take the account 40 from the economic classification of expenditures and divide it with the total number of population. Note that in Macedonia the earmarked and block transfers instead of following function are following the existing assets (buildings) and employment. There is no cost of services calculated for any program (function). That is why as a minimum we can get sometimes 0 MKD just because in that particular municipality there is no kindergarten and/or school and the LSGs seem not to have priority, incentive and/or fiscal capacity enough to invest in these services. One thing in common for the unit costs of kindergartens and schools is that their variation measured with the coefficient of variation is decreasing from 2008 to 2011. This means that the transfers from the central government (transfers are the biggest share of financing these competencies) are more or less resulting (in time) in more balanced expenditures per proper age group (user of service). For the elementary schools the mean is close to the median thus, indicating almost no skewness in the normal distribution of the proper expenditures. Salaries of LSG administration is also illustrating lower (in time) variation measured with the coefficient of variation with mean and median close to each other. The coefficient of variation of capital expenditures per capita is increasing in time. There can be many factors behind this. Maybe some LSGs do not have enough fiscal space for more capital expenditure simply because are too small or it can be that some LSGs lack good managerial skills of the Mayor and the administration. In comparison with the salaries per capita we can see that the difference between the mean capital expenditures per capita and mean salaries per capita are increasing in the period under observation i.e. average salaries per capita are increasing with higher rate than the average capital expenditures per capita in Macedonian local governments. Table 9. Descriptive statistics of unit costs across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita 2008 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Kindergartens 7,163 0 9,580 64,095 (Centar) 0 Elementary schools 20,627 21,260 20,184 60,098 (Novaci) 0 Secondary Capital exp. per schools capita Salaries per capita 6,152 1,439 3,616 0 1,062 3,885 15,193 1,935 4,401 37,160 9,615 7,151 (Tetovo) (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 0 85 351 17 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review (Vranestica) Coefficient of variation 2009 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2010 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2011 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 1.52 0.61 1.58 9,086 25,827 0 26,102 11,504 23,453 79,872 64,502 (Centar) (Staro Nagoricane) 0 (Vranestica) 0 7,927 0 19,744 46,004 (Tetovo) 1.51 0 0.50 1.52 9,203 28,905 2,640 28,927 11,674 25,529 72,859 67,239 (Centar) (Staro Nagoricane) 0 (Vranestica) 0 9,302 0 22,418 51,966 (Tetovo) 1.44 0 0.46 1.48 9,847 30,948 4,656 30,040 12,087 26,842 81,373 67,296 (Centar) (Staro Nagoricane) 0 (Vranestica) 0 9,905 0 23,244 54,807 (Tetovo) 0 (Suto Orizari) (Studenicani) 0.97 0.53 1,627 4,496 1,257 4,955 2,019 5,174 16,754 8,151 (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 27 317 (Demir Hisar) (Studenicani) 1.23 0.44 1,899 5,175 1,453 5,423 2,393 5,792 16,231 9,136 (Novaci) (Makedonski Brod) 177 451 (Studenicani) (Aracinovo) 1.31 0.36 2,158 5,685 1,307 5,913 3,151 6,170 28,595 9,311 (Centar) (Makedonski Brod) 96 516 (Aracinovo) (Zelino) 1.41 0.38 1.39 1.72 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF and state statistical office data. 0.29 In terms of type of municipalities in Macedonia only in one rural municipality (Ilinden) there is a kindergarten (in 2008 and 2009) and one more in the rural Vevcani (in 2010 and 2011) and there are no secondary schools in the rural municipalities in 2008-2010. In 2011 there are secondary schools related expenditures in 3 rural municipalities (Centar Zupa, Mavrovo Rostuse and Lipkovo). For the elementary schools, capital expenditures and salaries we illustrate the urban and rural unit costs in the next table 10. Table 10. Descriptive statistics of unit costs across local governments in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD per capita by types of municipalities 2008 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2009 Mean Median Elementary schools 10,561 3,664 20,184 44,715 0 URBAN Capital exp. per capita 793 224 1,935 9,615 0 Salaries per capita 2,129 815 4,401 7,151 0 RURAL Elementary Capital exp. per schools capita 10,066 645 0 0 20,184 1,935 60,098 5,715 0 0 1.15 1.63 1.15 1.50 1.78 1.35 12,409 4,734 902 70 2,472 940 13,417 0 726 0 2,023 0 Salaries per capita 1,487 0 4,401 6,032 0 18 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2010 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 2011 Mean Median Macedonia Maximum Minimum Coefficient of variation 23,453 53,563 0 2,019 16,754 0 5,174 8,151 0 23,453 64,502 0 2,019 7,159 0 5,174 6,977 0 1.13 2.20 1.13 1.31 1.65 1.23 13,834 3,975 25,529 52,405 0 1,053 374 2,393 16,202 0 2,820 1,115 5,792 9,136 0 15,071 0 25,529 67,239 0 846 0 2,393 16,231 0 2,355 0 5,792 7,097 0 1.10 1.94 1.09 1.28 2.32 1.17 14,413 4,221 26,842 52,988 0 1,231 475 3,151 28,595 0 3,003 1,147 6,170 9,311 0 16,535 0 26,842 67,296 0 927 0 3,151 16,682 0 2,682 0 6,170 7,934 0 2.43 1.10 1.08 2.69 1.07 1.18 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF and state statistical office data. From table 10 we can note that the nominal unit costs are increasing for the period 20082011. The diversity of elementary school unit costs and salaries per capita unit costs for urban and rural municipalities is decreasing for the period measured with the coefficient of variation. The capital expenditures unit costs diversity is higher in 2011 than in 2008 measured with the coefficient of variation. The mean unit costs for elementary schools are getting higher in the rural than in the urban municipalities for the period (except for 2008). The mean salaries per capita and capital expenditures per capita are higher in the urban than in the rural municipalities. 6 Capital expenditures at local level In the next table 11 we can see that the central government capital expenditures over GDP in 2009 decreased as a result of the global crises and since then are increasing reaching 3.8% in 2011. In the same period the local government capital expenditures over GDP are continuously increasing from 0.95% of GDP in 2008 to 1.55% of GDP in 2011 which is 63% increase. However, we can see the effect of global crisis in local government capital expenditures over total local government expenditures in 2009. Namely, the local government capital expenditures over total local government expenditures in 2008 were 21.17% while in 2009 they declined to 19.54%. Since 2009 the capital expenditures over total local government expenditures are recovering and reaching almost 25% of the total local government expenditures. Table 11. Central and local government capital expenditures in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 2008 Central government capital expenditures Over total central Over GDP government expenditures 4.9 14.3 Local government capital expenditures Over GDP 0.95 Over total local government expenditures 21.17 19 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 2009 2010 2011 3.3 9.6 0.99 3.5 10.7 1.17 3.8 11.9 1.55 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 19.54 20.65 24.62 As for the structure of the local government capital expenditures, we can see in the next table 12 that most of these expenditures are going on local roads (from 31% in 2011 to 38% in 2008). Next largest share goes to other capital expenditures (from 22% to 29%). Note the increasing share of monuments from 6% in 2008 to almost 13% of total capital expenditures in 2011 (more than 85% of these expenditures in 2011 goes to the municipality of Centar within the City of Skopje). Buildings have largest share increase in 2011 to 8.29% compared to 4.56% in 2008. Also, there is noticeable increase of share of expenditures for new vehicles. Largest decline of share is in the furniture and water supply related capital expenditures. Table 12 Structure of capital expenditures at local government level in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 Account Budget item 2008 2009 2010 2011 480 Equipment and machinery 0.00 0.00 3.84 3.85 481 Buildings 4.56 4.47 5.06 8.29 482 Other construction 86.50 86.82 84.25 80.76 Roads 38.42 30.98 36.03 30.56 4822 Bridges 1.65 0.98 1.49 2.94 4823 Water treatment plan 2.68 5.38 5.12 3.59 4824 Landfill 0.09 0.18 0.15 0.04 4825 Telecommunications 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 4826 Monuments 5.62 11.91 12.44 12.52 4827 Water supply 7.69 9.05 5.60 3.00 4828 Energy assets 1.06 1.93 0.91 1.06 4829 Other 29.28 26.39 22.46 27.03 483 Furniture 7.24 6.65 0.72 0.61 484 Strategic reserves 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 485 Non-financial assets 1.43 1.86 3.62 1.99 486 Vehicles 0.25 0.20 2.50 3.96 489 Capital subsidies 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.55 48 Capital 2011 100.00 100.00 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 100.00 100.00 Of this: 4821 In order to present the size of the nominal amount of the capital expenditures per type of municipalities we give the next figure 5. 20 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 6,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 Skopje 3,000,000,000 Urban Rural 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 5. Capital expenditures at local government level in Macedonia by type of municipality for the period 2008-2011 in MKD From the figure 5 we can see that capital expenditures are growing for the period under observation. The highest growth of 120% in 2011 compared to 2008 goes to the City of Skopje. In rural municipalities the proper growth in 2011 compared to 2008 is 68% whereas in urban municipalities it is 48%. Note again that urban population is 80% and rural population is 20% in Macedonia. 7 Local government revenues In the next table 13 we can see the structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by source for the period 2008-2011. We can see that Macedonian local governments have own budget revenues coming from: property tax, a share of personal income tax (PIT), nontax revenues from communal taxes and administrative taxes, capital revenues from the sale of assets, share from value added tax (VAT). Donations, as a source category, are mostly coming from foreign donors especially in the education sector. Self-financing activities are a source of revenue from the local government’s budget users (schools and kindergartens) like the participation of parents and the organization of excursions. Transfers from central government are mostly tax revenues for the block and earmarked grants for wages/salaries for teachers and employees in education, kindergartens and libraries and maintenance of the schools and kindergartens and culture buildings. We can easily see how the own revenues as a share in the total revenues drop in 2009 because of the effect of the global crises. Since then the share of own revenues of the local government in the total local government revenues is increasing. Table 13. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by source for the period 2008-2011 2008 Own Donations Loans 2009 45.4 0.5 0.1 2010 38.8 0.4 0.0 2011 42.9 0.8 0.1 44.0 0.7 1.8 21 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Self-financing Transfers Total 4.7 4.2 49.3 56.7 100.0 100.0 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 3.8 52.4 3.4 50.2 100 100 In the next figure 6 we see the structure of local government revenues in Macedonia for 2008 and 2011 by type of municipalities and by source of revenues. We can see that the City of Skopje with 25% of Macedonian population have higher own revenues than the rural municipalities (20% of Macedonian population) and the urban municipalities (80% of total Macedonian population). Self-financing revenues are important share in the City of Skopje as well as loans in 2011. Share of transfers from central government are increasing in the City of Skopje and rural municipalities in 2011 compared to 2008. 2008 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Own 2008 Rural donations Urban loans self-financing Skopje transfers 2011 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Own 2011 Rural donations Urban loans self-financing Skopje transfers Figure 6. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by source and by type of municipalities for 2008 and 2011 22 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review In order to present the nominal amount of the total revenues and to compare the revenues between urban and rural municipalities and the City of Skopje we give the next figure 7. 27,000,000,000 22,000,000,000 17,000,000,000 Skopje Urban 12,000,000,000 Rural 7,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 -3,000,000,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 7. Total revenues of local governments for the period 2008-2011 by type of local governments in MKD We can see from figure 7 that total local government revenues are increasing for the period 2008-2011. Highest growth of 57% in 2011 compared to 2008 goes to the rural municipalities. The proper growth for urban municipalities is 31% and for the City of Skopje is 38%. In the next table 14 we can see the dynamics of the local government revenues share in the total local government share. We can easily see that the transfers from the central government take a substantial share of the total revenues of the local governments in Macedonia. The transfers amount from 68% in 2009 when the impact of the global crisis was picking and then declining to almost 61% in 2011. The next largest share goes to the communal fees (from 13% to 19%) and the property taxes (from 8% to 10%). The share of business fees of the total local government revenues is continuously increasing in the period under observation from 0.06% in 2008 to 0.19% in 2011. The share of revenues from sale of land has largest increase in the period under observation from 0.7% in 2008 to 5.46% in 2011. Also increased are the shares of other domestic borrowing (from 0.15% in 2008 to 1.82% of total revenues) and shares of other nontax revenues (from 0.58 in 2008 to 0.86 in 2011). Table 14. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for the period 2008-2011 Account 711 Budget item Tax revenues 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.91 0.91 1.07 0.83 712 Social insurance revenues 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 713 Property taxes 10.17 9.01 8.44 8.30 714 Taxes on goods and services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 717 Communal fees 18.62 12.68 15.92 17.00 23 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 718 Business fees 0.06 0.17 0.18 0.19 721 Additional property revenues 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 722 Administrative fees 0.37 0.34 0.35 0.60 723 Fees for services 4.71 4.39 4.06 3.60 724 Other government services 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.06 725 Other non-tax revenues 0.58 0.32 0.70 0.86 731 Sale of capital assets 0.15 0.13 0.06 0.05 732 Capital sale of goods 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 733 Sale of land Transfers from central government Foreign donations 0.70 3.20 6.44 5.46 62.96 68.15 61.41 60.57 0.41 0.33 0.62 0.48 741 742 743 Capital donations 0.06 0.02 0.09 0.13 744 Current donations 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 751 Short term domestic borrowing 0.00 -0.03 0.05 0.00 754 Other domestic borrowing 0.15 0.23 Total 100.00 100.00 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 0.43 1.82 100.00 100.00 We also see from table 14 that transfers from central government have highest share in the total revenues of local government in Macedonia from almost 63% in 2008 to almost 61% in 2011. The revenues from accounts 713, 717, 718 and 723 from table 14 are the next highest shares after the transfers from central government in the total revenues comprising 34% in 2008 to 29% in 2011. That is why in the next figure 8 we illustrate the structure of these accounts by type of local government (urban, rural and City of Skopje). We can see from figure 6 that highest share of property taxes from total of these revenues are in the rural municipalities in 2008 (around 35%) and there is no change in the structure of these revenues in 2011 for the rural municipalities. Communal fees take 60% of the total of these accounts for rural municipalities. Fees for services take around 5%. For the urban municipalities, on the other side, fees for services are also important and take 17% in 2008 and 14% in 2011. For the City of Skopje the communal fees are dominant (63% in 2008 and 65% in 2011). 24 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 2008 2008 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Rural property taxes communal fees Urban business fees Skopje fees for services 2011 2011 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Rural property taxes Urban communal fees business fees Skopje fees for services Figure 8. Structure of the local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for accounts 713, 717, 718 and 723 for 2008 and 2011 Related to the nominal amount of these revenues to compare the revenues between urban and rural municipalities and the City of Skopje we give the next figure 9. 25 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 7,700,000,000 6,700,000,000 5,700,000,000 4,700,000,000 Skopje 3,700,000,000 Urban Rural 2,700,000,000 1,700,000,000 700,000,000 -300,000,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 9. Local government revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for accounts 713, 717, 718 and 723 for 2008 and 2011 in MKD From this figure 9 we can see that the impact of global economic crisis hits Macedonian municipalities in 2009 but they recover and their own revenues increase in 2010 and 2011. 8 Grant dependency The law on financing local government (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 61/04) envisions the following channels of transfers from the central government: 1. Value added tax (VAT) revenues (total fund equal to 3 % of the VAT collections in the previous fiscal year). This unconditional grant is distributed by a formula which states that at least 50% of the grant will be distributed according to population and not more than 50% according to other criteria. These other criteria will be stipulated in a methodology to be defined by the government in agreement with the commission to monitor the development of the financing system. The central government sees the VAT as an unconditional transfer for equalisation purposes even though it is defined in law as an own revenue for local governments. In contrast, ZELS views VAT as a kind of unconditional transfer with the stance that central government should introduce a new equalisation transfer or to increase the PIT transfer share to local government. In 2009 there are amendments to the law on financing local government made where there is a new dynamic for gradual increasing of the VAT transfer adopted as follows: 3.4% of GDP in 2010; 3.7% of GDP in 2011; 4% of GDP in 2012 and 4.5% of GDP in 2013. 2. Personal income tax (PIT) revenues are an unconditional grant distributed on an origin basis. The total pool is calculated as 3% of the PIT from salaries allocated to the local government where the employee resides and 100 % PIT collected from artisan activities. 3. Earmarked transfers are allocated for operational costs in the areas of education, culture and social policy. The appropriate ministries and agencies monitor the use of these earmarked funds. 4. Capital transfers are distributed in accordance with programs specified by the government. 26 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 5. Block transfers are the same as the earmarked grants plus the wages and salaries. The appropriate ministries and agencies are responsible for defining the methodology and criteria to be used in this transfer formula. For example, the ministry of education defines the methodology and criteria for the block transfer and how it is to be transferred to each municipality for primary and secondary education. The other responsible ministries are the ministry of labour and the social policy, the ministry of culture (for houses of culture), and the ministry of health (for primary health coverage and preventive health care). 6. Funds received for delegated competencies from the central to the local governments. In this case, the amount of funds is determined by way of a contract signed between the mayor of the local government and the appropriate ministry responsible for the competency. In the next table 15 we can see that the largest share of the transfers are from the block grants. Earmarked transfers are going to end once all LSGs enter the second phase of decentralization (see annex). There are also capital transfers from the central government that reach 4.58% of the total revenues. Table 15. Structure of the local government revenues (transfers) as a share of total revenues in Macedonia by economic classification for the period 2008-2011 Account 2008 2009 2010 2011 741111 Current transfers 0.33 1.07 0.44 0.09 741112 Transfers from the budget 0.44 0.34 0.10 0.06 741113 Transfers from the funds 2.76 1.94 1.32 1.15 741114 Operating surplus from previous year 0.45 1.41 2.23 0.91 741115 VAT share 5.01 5.52 4.96 4.45 741116 Culture earmarked 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.02 741117 1.33 1.09 0.63 0.39 741118 Education earmarked Kindergartens and homes of elderly earmarked 0.25 0.11 0.07 0.05 741119 Firefighting earmarked 1.38 1.37 1.17 1.07 Total earmarked transfers 3.02 2.60 1.88 1.52 741120 Block transfers 44.97 52.78 48.06 47.81 741121 Transfers for delegated competencies 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 741211 Capital transfers 5.98 2.48 2.43 4.58 741 Transfers from central budget 62.96 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 68.15 61.41 60.57 74111(6+7+8+9) Budget item In the next figure 10 we illustrate the transfers from central budget by type of municipalities. We can see that transfers from central government are growing for the period 2008-2011. The highest growth of 54% of transfers from central government in 2011 compared to 2008 goes to the City of Skopje. The growth of transfers from central government in 2011 compared to 2008 for urban and rural municipalities accordingly are 24% and 37%. 27 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 27,000,000,000 22,000,000,000 17,000,000,000 Skopje 12,000,000,000 Urban Rural 7,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 -3,000,000,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 10. Transfers from central government to the local government for the period 20082011 in MKD 9 Local fiscal autonomy In the next table 16 we can see that own revenues for which LSG experience devolution of power (to set tax and fee rate) as a share of total LSG revenues are decreasing in 2009 compared to 2008 but then on are increasing as a share in the total revenues (there is a small decline of the share of property tax in 2011 of 8.30% of total revenues compared to 8.44% in 2010 even though nominally there is increase of property tax revenues). This is mainly due to the large credit LSG expansion in 2011 (from 0.43% of the total LSG revenues in 2010 to 1.82% of the total LSG revenues in 2011). Table 16. Structure of the local government own revenues as a share of total revenues in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 Account 713 Budget item Property taxes 2008 2009 2010 2011 10.17 9.01 8.44 8.30 717 Communal fees 18.62 12.68 15.92 17.00 718 Business fees 0.06 0.17 Total 28.85 21.86 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 0.18 0.19 24.54 25.49 In the next table 17 we can see the PIT, own and VAT revenues of local government in Macedonia. We can also see the proper VAT share, in the last row, which should go to the local governments with the proper percentage as per the law on financing LSG in Macedonia. We can see that nominally PIT transfers decline in 2011 manly because of the global crisis impact. The own revenues decline in 2009 mainly as impact from the global crisis but local governments adjust and started to increase own revenues for the period 2009-2011. The VAT share seems to follow the legally prescribed amounts for the period 2008-2010 but not for the period 2011. In 2011 the VAT share should’ve been 1.39 bln MKD but instead they are 1.16 bln MKD which is almost 20% less than what the law prescribes. 28 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review Table 17. Stability of revenues at local government level in Macedonia for the period 20082011 in MKD 2008 PIT Own VAT PIT+Own+VAT Proper % of VAT in (t-1)5 10 2009 2010 180,142,678 190,506,426 258,739,077 7,009,562,809 6,360,377,868 8,760,295,155 989,000,000 1,154,248,444 1,195,862,000 8,178,705,487 7,705,132,738 10,214,896,232 988,860,000 1,085,190,000 1,195,882,000 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. 2011 216,254,233 9,449,892,255 1,164,166,663 10,830,313,151 1,394,678,000 Municipal borrowing and creditworthiness Macedonian local government does not have rich experience with borrowing. As we can see in the next table 18, credit expansion started in 2011 mainly with the on-lending credit line of the World Bank administered within the Ministry of finance. Table 18. Borrowing at local government level in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 in MKD 2008 2009 2010 2011 751short term domestic loans 754 other domestic loans In % of total In % of total In MKD In MKD revenues revenues 0 0.00 30,148,070 0.15 -6,000,000 -0.002 48,097,050 0.13 13,000,000 0.05 103,960,413 0.43 0 0.00 476,289,480 1.82 Source: Author’s calculation on MoF. Macedonian local government can borrow after consent from the government which is based upon opinion from the ministry of finance. Public enterprises established by the LSGs can also borrow but first a guarantee should be issued upon the decision adopted by the LSG’s council. The Mayor reports to the ministry of finance about the issued guaranties. The guarantee costs should be reserved with proper reservations in the LSG budget. There can be short term and long term LSG borrowing. Short term non-interest bearing borrowing is one from the central budget to overcome liquidity problems during the fiscal year. There can be also long term non-interest bearing borrowing from the central budget. This long term borrowing is due in no longer than 5 years. Macedonian LSGs can also issue securities (muni-bonds) but cannot use as mortgage property that is used for public interest. In general a LSG can borrow short term but it is due to pay back the loan within 12 months from the moment of signing the short term borrowing contract. In this case the total short term debt in the fiscal year cannot be higher than 30% of the realized total revenues of the currentoperational budget from the previous fiscal year. LSGs can generate long term borrowing for financing capital projects and investments but also to refinance debts, to cover for guarantees issued and in cases of natural or environmental incidents. The LSG council approves the long term borrowing after a public hearing is conducted. LSG can generate long term debt after a decision from the council. The decision is 5 Note that in 2009 there are amendments to the law on financing local government where there is a new dynamic for gradual increasing of the VAT transfer adopted as follows: 3.4% of GDP in 2010; 3.7% of GDP in 2011; 4% of GDP in 2012 and 4.5% of GDP in 2013. 29 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review valid only in the same fiscal year when it is adopted. The annuity (principle, interest and other costs) of the long term debt cannot be higher than 30% of the total revenues of the currentoperational budget from the previous fiscal year. The debt due (including guarantees issued) cannot be higher than the total revenues of the current-operational budget from the previous fiscal year. Financial instability of the LSG occur if the LSG account is blocked for more than 6 months or if in a period of 6 months continuously at the end of the calendar month the contingent liabilities of more than 60 days are more than 80% of the realized revenues of the own LSG budget of the previous fiscal year. 11 Regions in Macedonia The regional organization in Macedonia is in accordance with the NUTS III level as the NUTS I and NUTS II is Republic of Macedonia. In Macedonia the LSG is one tier and the 8 regions are only administrative and proper regulation for the regions is the law on balanced regional development (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia, no. 63/07). In the next table we can see the revenues6 by source per capita across NUTS III region in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011. In terms of own revenues, we can see that the Skopje region is driving the Macedonian average up. Interesting is that in 2008 the Pelagonia region have had the highest own revenues after Skopje region and in 2009 it was the Southwest region. In 2010 and 2011 the highest own revenues, after Skopje, are accounted in the Southeast region. Table 19. Revenues by source in MKD per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for the period 2008-2011 Own 630 2008 Donations 785 Selffinancing 787 Loans 786 Transfers 930 Total 1 VARDAR 3,086 33 0 503 5,079 8,891 2 EAST 2,541 74 0 364 4,051 7,155 3 SOUTHWEST 3,304 31 0 183 2,950 6,561 4 SOUTHEAST 3,288 41 0 331 5,461 9,351 5 PELAGONIA 3,982 98 0 385 5,370 9,847 6 POLOG 2,152 4 0 156 4,768 7,190 7 NORTHEAST 2,453 127 0 281 5,106 8,267 8 SKOPJE 4,613 16 43 474 3,639 8,986 MACEDONIA 4,362 51 12 447 4,730 9,760 2009 630 785 786 787 930 630 1 VARDAR 3,441 45 0 483 6,591 10,424 2 EAST 2,706 63 0 345 4,891 8,084 3 SOUTHWEST 3,629 59 0 175 4,182 8,028 4 SOUTHEAST 3,228 113 0 297 6,529 9,854 5 PELAGONIA 3,560 55 0 374 6,287 10,274 6 Note that in these calculations the City of Skopje is not taken into account in the Skopje region but only the LSGs within the city of Skopje. 30 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 6 POLOG 2,240 5 0 145 5,565 7,940 7 NORTHEAST 3,005 24 0 270 6,560 9,759 8 SKOPJE 3,890 8 0 481 4,325 8,702 MACEDONIA 4,025 39 0 432 5,886 10,348 2010 630 785 786 787 930 630 1 VARDAR 3,536 104 0 501 6,934 11,038 2 EAST 3,471 128 167 360 5,069 9,190 3 SOUTHWEST 3,549 81 0 187 4,973 8,756 4 SOUTHEAST 4,897 234 31 347 6,920 12,440 5 PELAGONIA 3,642 123 0 356 6,546 10,649 6 POLOG 2,663 38 0 164 5,835 8,700 7 NORTHEAST 3,142 23 0 301 6,869 10,262 8 SKOPJE 5,342 44 0 490 4,672 10,564 MACEDONIA 5,126 91 18 453 6,255 11,931 2011 630 785 786 787 930 630 1 VARDAR 3,915 42 0 498 7,074 11,510 2 EAST 4,047 132 69 347 5,522 10,092 3 SOUTHWEST 4,023 31 3 171 5,289 9,515 4 SOUTHEAST 4,924 117 5 347 6,847 12,165 5 PELAGONIA 4,154 27 0 354 6,529 11,070 6 POLOG 2,667 41 0 168 6,339 9,204 7 NORTHEAST 3,220 96 0 324 7,090 10,692 8 SKOPJE 6,536 65 374 467 4,860 12,324 5,690 84 231 437 6,501 MACEDONIA Source: Author’s calculation on MoF and state statistical office data. 12,934 In order to present the nominal amount of the total revenues and to compare the revenues among regions in Macedonia we give the next figure 11 and figure 12. 5,100,000,000 4,100,000,000 3,100,000,000 2,100,000,000 1,100,000,000 100,000,000 transfers self-financing loans donations own -900,000,000 Figure 11. Revenues by source per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for 2008 31 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 7,200,000,000 6,200,000,000 5,200,000,000 4,200,000,000 3,200,000,000 2,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 200,000,000 transfers self-financing loans donations own -800,000,000 Figure 12. Revenues by source per capita across NUTS III regions in Macedonia for 2011 We can easily see that Skopje region is dominating the revenues collection as it comprises 26% in 2008 and 27% in 2011 of total revenues in Macedonia. That region comprises 29% of total population in Macedonia. Note how the Pelagonia region (18% of total Macedonian population) is the second with highest total revenues in 2008 of 11.9% of total revenues in Macedonia; but in 2011 it is the Polog region (15% of total Macedonian population) with the second highest total revenues of 10.7% of total revenues in Macedonia. Lowest total revenues are accounted in East region in 2008 (6.6% of total Macedonian revenues with ) and in Vardar region in 2011 (6.8% of total Macedonian revenues with ). 32 World Bank-Austria Urban Partnership Program - Municipal Finance Review 12 Annex Table 20. Illustration of the two-phased approach of fiscal decentralization in Macedonia Phase Starting date Assignment of responsibility 1. st 1 Phase 1 July 2005 (with amendments on 30 Dec. 2004) 2. 3. Transferring own revenues from tax sources (the PIT sharing) to municipalities Developing a methodology for transferring the capital and earmarked transfers The local governments will start with the plan implementation of solving the arrears up to 31st of January 2001 Assignment of the responsibilities (for the block transfers): Conditional on If 90 % of the total municipalities comprising 90 % of the total population will provide: 1. 2. 1. 2. 1. 2. 3. nd 2 Phase Conditional 4. Culture Social welfare and child protection (kindergartens and homes for elderly) Education (primary and secondary school) Healthcare (public health organizations and primary care) 3. 4. 5. 6. At least 2 financial officers At least 3 tax experts All the conditions from phase 1 are satisfied A proper capacity of the financial officers (also in the phase I) Viable results of 24 months for on time and regular reporting confirmed by the ministry of finance There are no accounts payable than usual ones (up to 90 days) The phase commission will evaluate if all the conditions are satisfied There is a written request from municipalities to the proper ministry and the ministry of finance for granting block transfers after all the conditions is satisfied. 33