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Duong Tran Anh
  • 69/68 Dang Thuy Tram, Binh Thanh
  • 0358173484
This study appraised and compared the performance of process-based hydrological SWAT (soil and water assessment tool) with a machine learning-based multi-layer perceptron (MLP) models for simulating streamflow in the Upper Indus Basin.... more
This study appraised and compared the performance of process-based hydrological SWAT (soil and water assessment tool) with a machine learning-based multi-layer perceptron (MLP) models for simulating streamflow in the Upper Indus Basin. The study period ranges from 1998 to 2013, where SWAT and MLP models were calibrated/trained and validated/tested for multiple sites during 1998–2005 and 2006–2013, respectively. The performance of both models was evaluated using nash–sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), coefficient of determination (R2), Percent BIAS (PBIAS), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Results illustrated the relatively poor performance of the SWAT model as compared with the MLP model. NSE, PBIAS, R2, and MAPE for SWAT (MLP) models during calibration ranged from the minimum of 0.81 (0.90), 3.49 (0.02), 0.80 (0.25) and 7.61 (0.01) to the maximum of 0.86 (0.99), 9.84 (0.12), 0.87 (0.99), and 15.71 (0.267), respectively. The poor performance of SWAT compared with MLP might be inf...
Climate change has been a significant subject in recent years all around the world. Statistical analysis of climatic parameters such as rainfall can investigate the actual status of the atmosphere. As a result, this study aimed to look at... more
Climate change has been a significant subject in recent years all around the world. Statistical analysis of climatic parameters such as rainfall can investigate the actual status of the atmosphere. As a result, this study aimed to look at the pattern of mean annual rainfall in India from 1901 to 2016, considering 34 meteorological subdivisions. The Mann–Kendall (MK) test, Modified Mann–Kendall (MMK) test, Bootstrapped MK (BMK) test, and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) were used to find trends in yearly rainfall time-series results. Rainfall forecasting was evaluated using detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). Because the research comprised 34 meteorological subdivisions, it may be challenging to convey the general climatic conditions of India in a nutshell. The MK, MMK, and BMK tests showed a significant (p < 0.01 to p < 0.1) negative trend in 9, 8, and 9 sub-divisions, respectively. According to the ITA, a negative trend was found in 17 sub-divisions, with 9 sub-divisions showing a significance level of 0.01 to 0.1. The ITA outperformed the other three trend test techniques. The results of DFA showed that 20 sub-divisions would decrease in future rainfall, suggesting that there was a link between past and future rainfall trends. Results show that highly negative or decreasing rainfall trends have been found in broad regions of India, which could be related to climate change, according to the results. ITA and DFA techniques to discover patterns in 34 sub-divisions across India have yet to be implemented. In developing management plans for sustainable water resource management in the face of climate change, this research is a valuable resource for climate scientists, water resource scientists, and government officials.
In recent years, besides the impacts of socio-economic development activities, climate change (including changes in rainfall and sea level rise) in the Vu Gia - Thu Bon river basin has directly affected water source security in the basin.... more
In recent years, besides the impacts of socio-economic development activities, climate change (including changes in rainfall and sea level rise) in the Vu Gia - Thu Bon river basin has directly affected water source security in the basin. Floods, droughts, and saline intrusion become irregular and increasingly serious, greatly affecting the supply of irrigation water for agricultural production and domestic use in the basin. In this study, we used a mathematical model to simulate changing flow patterns and saline intrusion in the river system in response to different climate change scenarios. Our modelling results show that the annual flow and the dry season flow in the basin tend to decrease under the pathway RCP 8.5 in the future periods 2030-2050, and the distribution of the flow varies among simulation periods and climate change scenarios. Although future flows at the end of century tend to increase due to the impact of climate change, the simulated results show that saline intrusion also increases in all scenarios. Under the RCP 8.5 pathway, on the Vu Gia river, the salinity concentration isoline of 1 ‰ intrudes into the river from 19.7 to 20.1 km, and 4 ‰ saline isoline from 18.4 to 20.8 km. On the Thu Bon river, the salinity isoline of 1‰ enters into the river from 18.6 to 20.3 km, and from 16.7 - 18.5 km for the salinity isoline of 4 ‰. Our results will be a scientific basis for decision making agencies to identify appropriate development strategies to adapt and mitigate negative impacts of climate change to ensure sustainable development at the basin.
One of the major crucial issues that need worldwide attention is open stubble burning, which imposes a variety of adverse impacts on nature and human society, destroying the world's biodiversity. Many earth observation satellites... more
One of the major crucial issues that need worldwide attention is open stubble burning, which imposes a variety of adverse impacts on nature and human society, destroying the world's biodiversity. Many earth observation satellites render information to monitor and assess agricultural burning activities. In this study, different remotely sensed data (Sentinel-2A, VIIRS) has been employed to estimate the quantitative measurements of agricultural burned areas of the Purba Bardhaman district from October-December 2018. The multi-temporal image differencing techniques and indices (NDVI, NBR, and dNBR) and VIIRS active fires data (VNP14IMGT) have been utilized to spot agricultural burned areas. In the case of the NDVI technique, a prominent area, 184.82 km 2 of agricultural burned area (7.85% of the total agriculture), was observed. The highest (23.04 km 2) burned area was observed in the Bhatar block, located in the middle part of the district, and the lowest (0.11 km 2) burned area was observed in the Purbasthali-II block, which is located in the eastern part of the district. On the other hand, the dNBR technique revealed that the agricultural burned areas enwrap 8.18% of the total agricultural area, which is 192.45 km 2. As per the earlier NDVI technique, the highest agricultural burned areas (24.82 km 2) were observed in the Bhatar block, and the lowest (0.13 km 2) burn area occurred in the Purbashthali-II block. In both cases, it is observed that agricultural residue burning is high in the western part of the Satgachia block and the adjacent areas of the Bhatar block, which is in the middle part of Purba Bardhaman. The agricultural burned area was extracted using different spectral separability analyses, and the performance of dNBR was the most effective in spectral discrimination of burned and unburned surfaces. This study manifested that agricultural residue burning started in the central part of Purba Bardhaman. Later it spread all over the district due to the trend of early harvesting rice crops in this region. The performance of different indices for mapping the burned areas was evaluated and compared, revealing a strong correlation (R2) = 0.98. To estimate the campaign's effectiveness against the dangerous practice and plan the control of the menace, regular monitoring of crop stubble burning using satellite data is required.
In Southeast Vietnam, droughts have become more frequent, causing significant damage and impacting the region’s socio-economic development. Water shortages frequently affect the industrial and agricultural sectors in the area. This study... more
In Southeast Vietnam, droughts have become more frequent, causing significant damage and impacting the region’s socio-economic development. Water shortages frequently affect the industrial and agricultural sectors in the area. This study aims to calculate the water balance and the resilience of existing water resource allocations in the La Nga-Luy River basin based on two scenarios: (1) business-as-usual and (2) following a sustainable development approach. The MIKE NAM and MIKE HYDRO BASIN models were used for rainfall–runoff (R-R) and water balance modeling, respectively, and the Keetch–Byram Drought Index (KBDI) was used to estimate the magnitude of the droughts. The results identified areas within the Nga-Luy River basin where abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions are common, as well as subbasins, i.e., in the southeast and northeast, where severe and extreme droughts often prevail. It was also shown that the water demand for the irrigation of the winter–spring and summ...
Ca Mau and Kien Giang, the two provinces of the Mekong Delta bordering the Gulf of Thailand, are facing major environmental challenges affecting the agriculture and aquaculture sectors upon which many livelihoods in this region depend on.... more
Ca Mau and Kien Giang, the two provinces of the Mekong Delta bordering the Gulf of Thailand, are facing major environmental challenges affecting the agriculture and aquaculture sectors upon which many livelihoods in this region depend on. This study maps the suitability of these two provinces for paddy rice cultivation and shrimp farming according to soil characteristics and current and future environmental conditions for variables found to significantly influence the yield of those two sectors, i.e., the level of saltwater intrusion, water availability for rain-fed agriculture, and the length of the growing period. Future environmental conditions were simulated using the MIKE 11 hydrodynamic model forced by four hydrodynamic scenarios, each one representing different extents of saltwater intrusion during both the dry and rainy seasons, while also considering the availability of water resources for rain-fed agriculture. The suitability zoning was performed using a GIS-based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach, resulting in the categorisation of the land according to four suitability levels for each sector. The analysis reveals that paddy rice cultivation will become more suitable to Kien Giang province while shrimp farming will be more suitable to Ca Mau province if the simulated future environmental conditions materialise. A suitability analysis is essential for optimal utilisation of the land. The approach presented in this study will inform the regional economic development master plan and provide guidance to other delta regions experiencing severe environmental changes and wishing to consider potential future climatic and sea level changes, and their associated impacts, in their land use planning
Land use and climate change always induce significant changes in various parameters of the hydrologic cycle (e.g., surface runoff, infiltration, evapotranspiration). The Wadi El-Assiuti downstream area in the Eastern Desert of Egypt is... more
Land use and climate change always induce significant changes in various parameters of the hydrologic cycle (e.g., surface runoff, infiltration, evapotranspiration). The Wadi El-Assiuti downstream area in the Eastern Desert of Egypt is one of the most promising areas for development that is suffering from insufficient water availability and inadequate water quality for different purposes. The main goal of this research is to evaluate the changes in groundwater quality, land use, and climate in association with geology and flooding during three periods within the years 1997–2019 in the downstream portion of Wadi El-Assiuti in the Eastern Desert of Egypt, using spatiotemporal variation associated with groundwater hydrochemical analysis and GIS techniques. About 133 groundwater samples were collected to examine groundwater quality changes over time. Different groundwater quality indices were calculated, and the results show that TDS levels of groundwater in the study area ranged betwee...
Water resources, land and soil degradation, desertification, agricultural productivity, and food security are all adversely influenced by drought. The prediction of meteorological droughts using the standardized precipitation index (SPI)... more
Water resources, land and soil degradation, desertification, agricultural productivity, and food security are all adversely influenced by drought. The prediction of meteorological droughts using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) is crucial for water resource management. The modeling results for SPI at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months are based on five types of machine learning: support vector machine (SVM), additive regression, bagging, random subspace, and random forest. After training, testing, and cross-validation at five folds on sub-basin 1, the results concluded that SVM is the most effective model for predicting SPI for different months (3, 6, 9, and 12). Then, SVM, as the best model, was applied on sub-basin 2 for predicting SPI at different timescales and it achieved satisfactory outcomes. Its performance was validated on sub-basin 2 and satisfactory results were achieved. The suggested model performed better than the other models for estimating drought at sub-basins during ...
The coastline in the Ca Mau and the Kien Giang provinces of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta has been severely eroded in recent decades. Pile-Rock Breakwaters (PRBW) are one of the most widely adopted structures for controlling shoreline... more
The coastline in the Ca Mau and the Kien Giang provinces of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta has been severely eroded in recent decades. Pile-Rock Breakwaters (PRBW) are one of the most widely adopted structures for controlling shoreline erosion in this region. These structures are effective for wave energy dissipation, stimulating sediment accumulation, and facilitating the restoration of mangrove forests. These breakwaters are generally considered to be best-engineering practice however there is currently insufficient scientific evidence with regard to specific structural design aspects. This can lead to PRBW structures being compromised when deployed in the field. This study uses a physical model of a PRBW in a laboratory to investigate several design parameters, including crest width and working states (i.e. submerged, transition, and emerged), and investigates their relationship with the wave transmission coefficient, wave reflection coefficient, and wave energy dissipation. To inve...
The modeling and prediction of land movement susceptibility hazards, i.e., debris flow, landslide, and rock fall, can assist in controlling and preventing a variety of societal and environmental damages. The purpose of this study was to... more
The modeling and prediction of land movement susceptibility hazards, i.e., debris flow, landslide, and rock fall, can assist in controlling and preventing a variety of societal and environmental damages. The purpose of this study was to develop a land movement susceptibility hazard model of debris flow, landslide, and multiple land movement, i.e., combination of debris flow and landslide in the Saveh city of Markazi Province, Iran, using an ensemble of Bayesian generalized linear model (BGLM), sparse partial least squares (SPLS), boosted tree (BT), and random forest (RF) algorithms. For this purpose, 167 debris flow points, 261 landslide points, and 257 multiple (debris flow and landslide) points were identified based on field visits and available information, and 15 suitable conditioning factors were prepared as independent variables for this study. The accuracy and efficiency of the models were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and other statistical indices. The variable importance result indicates that slope is the most important factor in debris flow (25.53), landslide (31.39), and multiple hazard (41.90) occurrences. The accuracy assessment results in the validation phase revealed that the RF is the most optimal among the applied algorithms, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.90, 0.94, and 0.89 for debris flow, landslide, and multiple (D + L) hazard modeling. The findings of this study indicated that the use of a Bayesian and tree-based ensemble model in preparing a land movement-related disaster map could be useful among policymakers and land use planners for sustainable land use management and practices.
Watershed management practices (WMP) are widely used in catchments as a measure to reduce soil erosion and sediment-related problems. We used a paired catchment in the Gonbad region of Hamadan province, Iran, to evaluate sediment yield... more
Watershed management practices (WMP) are widely used in catchments as a measure to reduce soil erosion and sediment-related problems. We used a paired catchment in the Gonbad region of Hamadan province, Iran, to evaluate sediment yield response to watershed management practices (WMP) by employing the concept of sediment connectivity (SC). To do this, the SC index as a representation of sediment yield was firstly simulated for the control catchment that there is no WMP. In the next step, the SC index was simulated for impacted catchment, including some WMP, i.e., seeding, pit-seeding, and exclosure. After assessing the accuracy of the produced SC maps using filed observations and erosion plots, the SC maps using quantile-quantile plot (Q-Q plot) were compared to achieve the role of WMP in reducing the rate of sediment yield. The Q-Q plot showed that there is a strong similarity between the SC of catchments, it can be concluded that the WMP has no significant impact on the reducing ra...
Land degradation and desertification have recently become a critical problem in Ethiopia. Accordingly, identification of land degradation vulnerable zonation and mapping was conducted in Wabe Shebe...
Stilling basins with sudden expansions are one of the energy dissipation structures. In the hydraulic jump, pressure fluctuations cause significant damages in stilling basins by cavity formation, erosion, and vibration. Roughness can also... more
Stilling basins with sudden expansions are one of the energy dissipation structures. In the hydraulic jump, pressure fluctuations cause significant damages in stilling basins by cavity formation, erosion, and vibration. Roughness can also lead to changes of the behavior of stream lines and vortices. Despite the large number of works on the topic, the role of roughness in spatial hydraulic jumps is not yet fully understood. Present research aimed to study the influence of rough bed on pressure fluctuations of S-jump in abrupt expanding stilling basin. Experiments were conducted in a 0.8 m width and 12 m length flume. Channel expansions ratios were 0.33, 0.5, 0.67, and 1 within the range of Froude numbers, 2 to 9.5. The results showed that roughness decreases intensity of pressure fluctuations in an abrupt expansion stilling basin. Additionally, in sudden expanding sections, the energy loss increases, and the intensity of pressure fluctuations decrease due to the formation of lateral ...
Lakes help increase the sustainability of the natural environment and decrease food chain risk, agriculture, ecosystem services, and leisure recreational activities locally and globally. Reliable simulation of monthly lake water levels is... more
Lakes help increase the sustainability of the natural environment and decrease food chain risk, agriculture, ecosystem services, and leisure recreational activities locally and globally. Reliable simulation of monthly lake water levels is still an ongoing demand for multiple environmental and hydro-informatics engineering applications. The current research aims to utilize newly developed hybrid data-intelligence models based on the ensemble adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) coupled with metaheuristics algorithms for lake water-level simulation by considering the effect of seasonality on Titicaca Lake water-level fluctuations. The classical ANFIS model was trained using three metaheuristics nature-inspired optimization algorithms, including the genetic algorithm (ANFIS-GA), particle swarm optimizer (ANFIS-PSO), and whale optimization algorithm (ANFIS-WOA). For determining the best set of the input variables, an evolutionary approach based on several lag months has been ut...
Ca Mau and Kien Giang, the two provinces of the Mekong Delta bordering the Gulf of Thailand, are facing major environmental challenges affecting the agriculture and aquaculture sectors upon which many livelihoods in this region depend on.... more
Ca Mau and Kien Giang, the two provinces of the Mekong Delta bordering the Gulf of Thailand, are facing major environmental challenges affecting the agriculture and aquaculture sectors upon which many livelihoods in this region depend on. This study maps the suitability of these two provinces for paddy rice cultivation and shrimp farming according to soil characteristics and current and future environmental conditions for variables found to significantly influence the yield of those two sectors, i.e., the level of saltwater intrusion, water availability for rain-fed agriculture, and the length of the growing period. Future environmental conditions were simulated using the MIKE 11 hydrodynamic model forced by four hydrodynamic scenarios, each one representing different extents of saltwater intrusion during both the dry and rainy seasons, while also considering the availability of water resources for rain-fed agriculture. The suitability zoning was performed using a GIS-based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach, resulting in the categorisation of the land according to four suitability levels for each sector. The analysis reveals that paddy rice cultivation will become more suitable to Kien Giang province while shrimp farming will be more suitable to Ca Mau province if the simulated future environmental conditions materialise. A suitability analysis is essential for optimal utilisation of the land. The approach presented in this study will inform the regional economic development master plan and provide guidance to other delta regions experiencing severe environmental changes and wishing to consider potential future climatic and sea level changes, and their associated impacts, in their land use planning
Data from historical observatories and future simulations were analyzed using the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario, which covered the period from 1951 to 2100. In order to characterize the drought, three widely used... more
Data from historical observatories and future simulations were analyzed using the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario, which covered the period from 1951 to 2100. In order to characterize the drought, three widely used drought indicators were used: the standardized precipitation index (SPI), the reconnaissance drought index (RDI), and the standardized precipitation and evapotranspiration index (SPEI). The ensemble of the seven (7) GCMs that used RCA-4 was able to capture several useful characteristics of Nigeria’s historical climatology. Future climates were forecasted to be wetter than previous periods during the study period based on the output of drought characteristics as determined by SPI. SPEI and RDI predicted drier weather, in contrast. SPEI and RDI’s predictions must have been based on the effect of rising temperatures brought on by global warming as depicted by RCP 8.5, which would then have an impact on the rate of evapotranspiration. According to drou...
The coastline in Ca Mau and Kien Giang provinces on Mekong Delta has been severely eroded in recent years. The Pile-Rock Breakwater (PRBW) was selected as predominant structure to construct widely more than 30 km on the west coast of Ca... more
The coastline in Ca Mau and Kien Giang provinces on Mekong Delta has been severely eroded in recent years. The Pile-Rock Breakwater (PRBW) was selected as predominant structure to construct widely more than 30 km on the west coast of Ca Mau. This structure shows the effectiveness of wave reduction, stimulating sediment accumulation and facilitating restoration of mangrove forest. However, this breakwater had been designed on the basis of best-engineering practice, lacking sufficient scientific background with regard to the structural design, capacity of wave reduction, working conditions. This study is to investigate the interaction of crest width, working states (submerged, transition and emerged) and the wave transmission coefficient, wave reflection coefficient and wave energy dissipation of PRBW by experiment in the laboratory and derive the empirical formulas for this construction under different sea states and crest widths. The results show a significant influence of width dim...
The quality of groundwater in the study watershed has worsened because of industrial effluents and residential wastes from the urbanized cities; therefore, there is an important need to explore the aquifer vulnerability to pollution for... more
The quality of groundwater in the study watershed has worsened because of industrial effluents and residential wastes from the urbanized cities; therefore, there is an important need to explore the aquifer vulnerability to pollution for sustainable groundwater management in the Irrigated Indus Basin (IIB). This study proposed a novel methodology to quantify groundwater vulnerability using two fully independent methodologies: the first by reintroducing an improved recharge factor (R) map and the second by incorporating three different weight and rating schemes into a traditional DRASTIC framework to improve the performance of the DRASTIC approach. In the current study, we composed a recharge map from Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) output (namely SWAT recharge map) with a drainage density map to retrieve an improved composite recharge map (SWAT-CRM). SWAT-CRM along with other thematic layers was combined using weightage overlay analysis to prepare the maps of groundwater vulnerability index (VI). The weight scale (w) and rating scale (r) were assigned based on a survey of available literature, and we then amended them using the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and a probability frequency ratio (PFR) technique. Results depicted that the region under high groundwater vulnerability was found to be 5–22% using traditional recharge maps, while those are 9–23% using improved SWAT-CRM. The area under the curve (AUC) revealed that groundwater vulnerability zones predicted with SWAT-CRM outperformed the DRASTIC model applied with the traditional recharge map. Groundwater electrical conductivity (EC) was>2500 mS/cm in the high groundwater vulnerability zones, while it was <1000 mS/cm in the low groundwater vulnerability zones. The outcomes of this study can be used to improve the sustainability of the groundwater resources in IIB through proper land-use management practices.
The Mekong delta is one of the most complex river deltas in the world. This is due to its large area, crisscrossed network of rivers, canals, streams and ditches. This study quantifies the response of hydraulics in the Vietnamese Mekong... more
The Mekong delta is one of the most complex river deltas in the world. This is due to its large area, crisscrossed network of rivers, canals, streams and ditches. This study quantifies the response of hydraulics in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) to upstream discharge changes at Kratie and climate change variabilities of rainfall pattern as well as sea level rise. The 1D hydrodynamic model MIKE 11 is applied to simulate the discharge and the water level at certain number of main stations in the delta. Four scenarios of changing upstream boundary conditions with the predicted precipitation for the 2035–2065 period and sea level rise are employed. We downscaled and applied three bias-correction methods for five General Circulation Models (GCM) including ACCESS 1.0, CCSM4, CSIRO-Mk 3.6, HadGEM and MPI. The results showed that all precipitation projections of GCMs have similar trends of an increase in wet seasons and a decrease in dry seasons. For the hydrological assessment, the flow...
This paper uses the recently proposed grasshopper optimization algorithm (GOA) to develop a new hybrid, stochastic training algorithm for the feed-forward neural networks (FFNN). The state-of-the-art hybrid model is then applied to study... more
This paper uses the recently proposed grasshopper optimization algorithm (GOA) to develop a new hybrid, stochastic training algorithm for the feed-forward neural networks (FFNN). The state-of-the-art hybrid model is then applied to study observing pattern of scour depth which is a challenging problem in hydraulic engineering. In order to verify and control the accuracy, stability, and efficiency of the proposed model and its computational process, the model results are compared to networks trained by three different training algorithms. To achieve this, backpropagation, backpropagation with momentum, and Levenberg–Marquardt learning algorithms, which are widely used for various hydraulic problems, are chosen. The results of the model indicated that the proposed model has high stability and performance in solving regression problems. The comparison of prediction accuracy and convergence curves represented that the model could predict the maximum scour depth with the higher convergence speed. Applying the proposed model improves the correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) values by approximately 6%, 30%, and 18%, respectively.
Regional climate change (CC) and land use changes (LUCs) can significantly influence the hydrological processes at watershed scale. Different studies have investigated the impact of climate change in the Indus Basin. However, there is a... more
Regional climate change (CC) and land use changes (LUCs) can significantly influence the hydrological processes at watershed scale. Different studies have investigated the impact of climate change in the Indus Basin. However, there is a need to investigate the impact of environmental changes on the regional hydrology over a complex topographic region. This study quantitatively assesses the relative contributions of CC and LUC on runoff alterations across Gilgit watershed by using multivariable calibration approach using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Mann–Kendall (MK) and Pettitt tests are applied to identify the trends and changes in runoff and climatic variables during 1985–2013. The supervised classification is performed to acquire land use maps and other quantitative details required for the analyses. Moreover, Indicators of Hydrologic Alterations (IHA) analyses were performed for the first time in the Gilgit watershed to investigate the impact of CC and LUCs during the pre- and post-impact periods. The results demonstrated that precipitation, temperature, and runoff of the Gilgit watershed presented significant increasing trends. The change point using Pettitt test is depicted in 1999, 1995, and 1998, respectively. The mean annual increasing rate of precipitation, temperature, and runoff is 4.92 mm/year, 0.04 °C/year, and 2.60 m3/year, respectively. SWAT model performed well and the relative attributed contribution of CC to runoff change is 97.22% and it is 2.78% for LUC. The IHA results showed that runoff has significantly increased in post-impact (1999–2013) as compared to pre-impact (1985–1998), which was further confirmed by analyzing the IHA results using percent bias (PBIAS). Significant overestimation of runoff (higher runoff in post-impact period) was observed in the wet (maximum runoff) season. This study demonstrated that the high contribution of CC to runoff change is mainly due to the change in climate variables and global warming trends.
ABSTRACT This study evaluates the spatial and temporal performance of the Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation Satellite (CHIRPS) against Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA)... more
ABSTRACT This study evaluates the spatial and temporal performance of the Climate Hazard Group InfraRed Precipitation Satellite (CHIRPS) against Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42/3B43 v. 7 and Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM)-based Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG V06), from 2000 to 2013. Several statistical metrics were used to assess the performance of CHIRPS over the Indus Basin, and its hydrological utility is also assessed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The Gilgit and Soan basins were selected for hydrological modelling. The results demonstrate the spatial and temporal dependency of CHIRPS, i.e. better performance was observed in the Lower Indus Basin (LIB) while poor performance was observed in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). The hydrological assessment of CHIRPS revealed poor performance (overestimation of streamflow) across the Gilgit Basin during both calibration and validation periods. Satisfactory to good performance was obtained across the Soan Basin.

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