Thandeka Phiri

SUMMARY. The report of a mass die-off of white-winged terns (Chlidonias leucopterus) along the shores of Lake Victoria in Uganda in January 2017 was a warning that highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N8 clade 2.3.4.4 had entered the avian populations of the African Rift Valley. In early June 2017, Zimbabwe reported an outbreak of the virus in commercial breeder chickens near Harare, and on June 19, 2017, the first case of HPAI H5N8 was confirmed in a broiler breeder operation near Villiers, Mpumalanga Province, South Africa, representing the first ever notifiable influenza in gallinaceous poultry in South Africa. Forty viruses were isolated from wild birds, backyard hobby fowl, zoo collections, commercial chickens, and commercial ostriches over the course of the outbreak and full genomes were sequenced and compared to determine the epidemiologic events in the introduction and spread of clade 2.3.4.4 H5N8 across the country. We found that multiple virus variants were involved in the primary outbreaks in the north-central regions of South Africa, but that a single variant affected the southernmost regions of the continent. By November 2017 only two of the nine provinces in South Africa remained unaffected, and the layer chicken industry in Western Cape Province was all but decimated. Two distinct variants, suggesting independent introductions, were responsible for the first two index cases and were not directly related to the virus involved in the Zimbabwe outbreak. The role of wild birds in the incursion and spread was demonstrated by shared recent common ancestors with H5N8 viruses from West Africa and earlier South African aquatic bird low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses. Improved wild bird surveillance will play a more critical role in the future as an early warning system.

In southern Africa, clade 2.3.4.4B H5N1 high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) was first detected in South African (SA) poultry in April 2021, followed by outbreaks in poultry or wild birds in Lesotho and Botswana. In this study, the complete or partial genomes of 117 viruses from the SA outbreaks in 2021–2022 were analyzed to decipher the sub-regional spread of the disease. Our analysis showed that seven H5N1 sub-genotypes were associated with the initial outbreaks, but by late 2022 only two sub-genotypes still circulated. Furthermore, SA poultry was not the source of Lesotho’s outbreaks, and the latter was most likely an introduction from wild birds. Similarly, SA and Botswana’s outbreaks in 2021 were unrelated, but viruses of Botswana’s unique sub-genotype were introduced into SA later in 2022 causing an outbreak in ostriches. At least 83% of SA’s commercial poultry cases in 2021–2022 were point introductions from wild birds. Like H5N8 HPAI in 2017–2018, a coastal seabird-rest...