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CN106570644A - Power transmission and transformation equipment quantization evaluation method based on statistical tool - Google Patents

Power transmission and transformation equipment quantization evaluation method based on statistical tool Download PDF

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CN106570644A
CN106570644A CN201610978459.8A CN201610978459A CN106570644A CN 106570644 A CN106570644 A CN 106570644A CN 201610978459 A CN201610978459 A CN 201610978459A CN 106570644 A CN106570644 A CN 106570644A
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王建
辜超
朱文兵
朱孟兆
杜修明
周加斌
白德盟
马艳
李�杰
张振军
彭飞
陈玉峰
吴奎华
朱振华
杨勇
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Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,包括:建立输变电设备的量化指标体系,其中,输变电设备健康状况评价因素具体包括油浸式输变电设备的评价因素及其它输变电设备的评价因素;采集输变电设备的历史状态数据和当前的状态数据;采用统计工具SPSS对采集的数据对试验数据正态化处理,对异常值进行预处理,保留输变电设备故障原因产生的超出范围的过高异常值;通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定采集数据中的各变量的关联性;通过公共因素关联度分析方法,得出各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值;建立输变电设备健康指数评价模型,计算输变电设备健康指数,根据健康指数评价输变电设备整体健康状况。本发明能够全面评价变压器整体健康状况。

The invention discloses a quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools, including: establishing a quantitative index system for power transmission and transformation equipment, wherein the evaluation factors for the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment specifically include oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment Evaluation factors and other evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment; collect historical state data and current state data of power transmission and transformation equipment; use the statistical tool SPSS to normalize the collected data and test data, and preprocess the abnormal values. Retain the out-of-range abnormal value caused by the failure of power transmission and transformation equipment; through the method of public coefficient analysis, determine the correlation of each variable in the collected data; through the public factor correlation analysis method, it is obtained that each evaluation index is Contribution value when evaluating the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment; establish a health index evaluation model for power transmission and transformation equipment, calculate the health index of power transmission and transformation equipment, and evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment based on the health index. The invention can comprehensively evaluate the overall health status of the transformer.

Description

一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及输变电设备状态安全技术领域,具体涉及一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法。The invention relates to the technical field of state security of power transmission and transformation equipment, in particular to a quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools.

背景技术Background technique

每年由于计划停电检修所产生的直接、间接费用数字庞大,其社会影响更是难以衡量。为了准确、高效地发现投运输变电设备的缺陷,减少故障率,降低运行风险,目前,国内外采取状态检修的方式。这种检修方式依赖于针对电力设备健康状态与风险科学、全面地评估指标体系和计算方法。因此,对于输变电设备健康状况评估,是输变电设备全寿命周期评估中重要的环节。The direct and indirect costs generated by planned power outages and maintenance every year are huge, and its social impact is even more difficult to measure. In order to accurately and efficiently discover the defects of the commissioning and transportation transformation equipment, reduce the failure rate, and reduce the operation risk, at present, the state-of-the-art maintenance method is adopted at home and abroad. This maintenance method relies on a scientific and comprehensive evaluation index system and calculation method for the health status and risk of power equipment. Therefore, the health status assessment of power transmission and transformation equipment is an important link in the life cycle assessment of power transmission and transformation equipment.

有研究将设备某一参量作为主要特征量,对输变电设备的绝缘老化寿命进行评估,但是,反映输输变电设备健康状况的特征参量是涉及多方面多变量的指标体系,利用单参量进行评估无法全面地实现对输变电设备健康状况的准确评估。Some studies have used a certain parameter of equipment as the main characteristic quantity to evaluate the insulation aging life of power transmission and transformation equipment. However, the characteristic parameter reflecting the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment is an index system involving many aspects and variables. Using a single parameter Evaluation cannot fully realize the accurate assessment of the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment.

目前,各指标权重的确定,通常依据专家经验或技术标准,并未对指标关系进行深入研究。人为的主观因素较大,继而导致对输变电设备健康状况的评估存在较大的误差。At present, the determination of the weight of each indicator is usually based on expert experience or technical standards, and no in-depth study of the relationship between indicators has been conducted. Human subjective factors are relatively large, which in turn leads to large errors in the evaluation of the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment.

发明内容Contents of the invention

为解决现有技术存在的不足,本发明公开了一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,本发明的目的是建立量化指标体系,采用统计工具SPSS(statistical productand service solutions),在研究输变电设备各参量之间关系的基础上,得出公共参量关联度及对健康指数的贡献值,最终利用统计方法确定量化权重及基于贡献度分析的健康指数评价模型,提高输变电设备预测准确性,保证输变电设备可靠稳定运行。In order to solve the deficiencies in the prior art, the present invention discloses a quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools. On the basis of the relationship between the parameters of the power transmission and transformation equipment, the correlation degree of the public parameters and the contribution value to the health index are obtained, and finally the quantitative weight is determined by statistical methods and the health index evaluation model based on the contribution analysis is used to improve the power transmission and transformation equipment. Prediction accuracy ensures reliable and stable operation of power transmission and transformation equipment.

为实现上述目的,本发明的具体方案如下:To achieve the above object, the specific scheme of the present invention is as follows:

一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,包括以下步骤:A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools, comprising the following steps:

建立输变电设备的量化指标体系,其中,输变电设备健康状况评价因素具体包括油浸式输变电设备的评价因素及其它输变电设备的评价因素;Establish a quantitative index system for power transmission and transformation equipment, among which, the health status evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment specifically include the evaluation factors of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment and the evaluation factors of other power transmission and transformation equipment;

采集输变电设备的历史状态数据和当前的状态数据;Collect historical state data and current state data of power transmission and transformation equipment;

采用统计工具SPSS对采集的数据对试验数据正态化处理,对异常值进行预处理,保留输变电设备故障原因产生的超出范围的过高异常值;Use the statistical tool SPSS to normalize the collected data and test data, preprocess the abnormal values, and retain the excessively high abnormal values caused by the failure of the power transmission and transformation equipment;

通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定采集数据中的各变量的关联性;Through the method of public coefficient analysis, to determine the correlation of each variable in the collected data;

通过公共因素关联度分析方法,得出各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值;Through the analysis method of the correlation degree of public factors, the contribution value of each evaluation index in evaluating the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment is obtained;

建立输变电设备健康指数评价模型,计算输变电设备健康指数,根据健康指数评价输变电设备整体健康状况。Establish the health index evaluation model of power transmission and transformation equipment, calculate the health index of power transmission and transformation equipment, and evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment according to the health index.

进一步的,所述电力输变电设备的历史状态数据包括电力输变电设备的运检数据、家族缺陷,设备基本信息、负载数据,电力输变电设备的当前的状态数据包括电力输变电设备的例行试验数据。Further, the historical status data of the power transmission and transformation equipment includes inspection data, family defects, basic equipment information, and load data of the power transmission and transformation equipment, and the current status data of the power transmission and transformation equipment includes power transmission and transformation equipment. Routine test data of equipment.

进一步的,通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定采集数据中的各变量的关联性时,首先确定对测试结果有一定影响的未量化因素及公共因素,公共因素与各变量的关联程度越高系数值越大,公共因素之间的关联程度是相互的。Furthermore, when determining the correlation of variables in the collected data through the method of public coefficient analysis, first determine the unquantified factors and public factors that have a certain impact on the test results, the higher the degree of correlation between the public factors and each variable coefficient The larger the value, the degree of association between common factors is mutual.

进一步的,公共因素关联度分析方法具体是,利用统计工具得出多变量之间公共因素关联度分析图,根据该图得出各参量之间的关系及各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值。Further, the analysis method of the correlation degree of public factors is specifically, using statistical tools to obtain the analysis graph of the correlation degree of public factors among multiple variables, and according to the graph, the relationship between each parameter and the evaluation index of each evaluation index are obtained in evaluating the overall power transmission and transformation equipment. Contribution value at health status.

进一步的,输变电设备健康指数计算步骤主要如下:Further, the steps for calculating the health index of power transmission and transformation equipment are mainly as follows:

1)在公共因素关联度分析的基础上,分析公共因素对健康指数的贡献值;1) On the basis of the correlation analysis of public factors, analyze the contribution value of public factors to the health index;

2)确定各个健康指标的权重;2) Determine the weight of each health indicator;

3)根据专家经验和标准规定,制定修正因子;3) Formulate correction factors according to expert experience and standard regulations;

4)将权重经过修正因子修正;4) Correct the weight by the correction factor;

5)得出健康指数,评价输变电设备整体健康状况。5) Obtain the health index to evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment.

进一步的,油浸式输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如下:Further, the health status of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment is evaluated hierarchically according to different components, and the calculation formula is as follows:

其它输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如式(2):Other power transmission and transformation equipment conducts a hierarchical assessment of the health status according to different components, and the calculation formula is as shown in formula (2):

式中,Ki为权重,HIFi为健康指数,HIFmax为健康状况最佳时对应的健康指数。In the formula, K i is the weight, HIF i is the health index, and HIF max is the corresponding health index when the health status is the best.

进一步的,油浸式输变电设备的评价因素包括:纸绝缘聚合度、糠醛、油中溶解气体、水分、酸值、击穿电压、油介质损耗因素、红外测温、缺陷数据、负载历史、外观检查、设备基本信息和例行试验、套管-外观、套管-红外测温、套管-油中溶解气体、套管-绝缘电阻、冷却系统-巡视记录、分接开关-巡视记录、分接开关-运行数据、分接开关-动作特性、分接开关-油中分解气体及非电量保护-巡视记录。Further, the evaluation factors of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment include: paper insulation polymerization degree, furfural, dissolved gas in oil, moisture, acid value, breakdown voltage, oil dielectric loss factor, infrared temperature measurement, defect data, load history , visual inspection, basic equipment information and routine tests, bushing-appearance, bushing-infrared temperature measurement, bushing-dissolved gas in oil, bushing-insulation resistance, cooling system-inspection record, tap changer-inspection record , Tap changer-operating data, tap changer-action characteristics, tap changer-decomposition gas in oil and non-electricity protection-inspection records.

进一步的,输变电设备健康状况评价因素中的其它输变电设备的评价因素包括:红外测温、缺陷数据、负载历史、外观检查、基本信息和例行试验及非电量保护-巡视记录。Further, other evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment in the health status evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment include: infrared temperature measurement, defect data, load history, appearance inspection, basic information, routine tests and non-electricity protection-inspection records.

进一步的,缺陷数据包括设备本身和家族缺陷两部分,缺陷记录应包含运行巡视、检修巡视、带电检测、检修过程中发现的缺陷,缺陷定级以及消缺处理情况。Furthermore, the defect data includes two parts: the equipment itself and family defects, and the defect records should include the defects found during the operation inspection, maintenance inspection, live inspection, inspection, defect classification and defect elimination.

进一步的,设备基本信息主要包括输变电设备铭牌信息,电压等级、容量、短路阻抗;例行试验包括绕组直流电阻、绕组介质损耗因数、电容量、频率响应测试、绕组绝缘电阻、吸收比或极化指数及泄漏电流。Further, the basic information of the equipment mainly includes nameplate information of power transmission and transformation equipment, voltage level, capacity, short-circuit impedance; routine tests include winding DC resistance, winding dielectric loss factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorption ratio or Polarization index and leakage current.

进一步的,根据健康指数进行输变电设备健康状况分级:Further, the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment is classified according to the health index:

健康指数85~100,输变电设备健康状况:状况极佳;The health index is 85-100, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: the condition is excellent;

健康指数70~85,输变电设备健康状况:状况佳;The health index is 70-85, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: good condition;

健康指数50~70,输变电设备健康状况:良好;The health index is 50-70, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: good;

健康指数30~50,输变电设备健康状况:较差;Health index 30-50, health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: poor;

健康指数0~30,输变电设备健康状况:劣化严重。Health index 0-30, health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: serious deterioration.

本发明的有益效果:Beneficial effects of the present invention:

本发明综合考虑变压器历史和当前的状态数据,包括基本信息、例行试验、运维数据。The invention comprehensively considers the history and current state data of the transformer, including basic information, routine tests, and operation and maintenance data.

本发明采用统计工具,基于试验数据,针对变压器各参量之间的关系以及各参量对总健康指标的贡献值,进行分析研究,推导出各指标权重,给出健康指数的计算过程。The present invention adopts statistical tools, and based on test data, analyzes and studies the relationship between parameters of the transformer and the contribution value of each parameter to the total health index, deduces the weight of each index, and provides the calculation process of the health index.

本发明从分层建立电力变压器指标体系入手,进而通过采用统计工具SPSS,对87组变压器油样试验数据进行了分析,研究了各因素之间的关系以及各参量对总健康指数的贡献值。利用统计工具SPSS可对指标体系实现加权,建立健康指标计算模型。未来可将该研究拓展到输变电设备评价领域推广应用。The present invention starts with establishing a power transformer index system in layers, and then analyzes 87 groups of transformer oil sample test data by using the statistical tool SPSS, and studies the relationship between various factors and the contribution value of each parameter to the total health index. The statistical tool SPSS can be used to weight the index system and establish a health index calculation model. In the future, this research can be extended to the field of power transmission and transformation equipment evaluation for promotion and application.

基于SPSS分析的健康指数评估模型扩展应用于输变电设备,对各类设备采用SPSS进行分析,赋予权重,并进行全面的分层分指标评估其健康状况。The health index evaluation model based on SPSS analysis is extended and applied to power transmission and transformation equipment. SPSS is used to analyze various types of equipment, assign weights, and conduct a comprehensive hierarchical and sub-indicator evaluation of their health status.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1公共因素关联度分析图;Fig. 1 Analysis diagram of correlation degree of public factors;

图2基于贡献度分析的健康指数评价模型;Figure 2 Health index evaluation model based on contribution analysis;

图3输变电设备健康状况评价。Figure 3 Health status evaluation of power transmission and transformation equipment.

具体实施方式:detailed description:

下面结合附图对本发明进行详细说明:The present invention is described in detail below in conjunction with accompanying drawing:

本发明建立基于健康指数的输变电设备综合健康状况评估模型,该模型对输变电设备分层、分部件进行多参量统计分析,针对历史数据(运检数据、家族缺陷,设备基本信息、负载)和现状数据(例行试验数据)两个层面,以及不同部件,建立量化指标体系。提出采用统计工具SPSS(statistical product and service solutions),在研究输变电设备各参量之间关系的基础上,得出公共参量关联度及对健康指数的贡献值,最终利用统计方法确定量化权重及基于贡献度分析的健康指数评价模型。最后,以山东电网实际运行的变压器为例,验证了基于健康指数输变电设备状态评估模型的有效性,为输变电设备状态评价、检修提供科学依据。The present invention establishes a comprehensive health evaluation model for power transmission and transformation equipment based on the health index. The model performs multi-parameter statistical analysis on the layers and sub-components of power transmission and transformation equipment, and aims at historical data (operation inspection data, family defects, basic equipment information, Load) and status data (routine test data), as well as different components, establish a quantitative index system. It is proposed to use the statistical tool SPSS (statistical product and service solutions), on the basis of studying the relationship between the parameters of the power transmission and transformation equipment, to obtain the correlation degree of the public parameters and the contribution value to the health index, and finally use the statistical method to determine the quantitative weight and Health index evaluation model based on contribution analysis. Finally, taking the transformer in actual operation of Shandong Power Grid as an example, the effectiveness of the state evaluation model based on health index for power transmission and transformation equipment is verified, which provides a scientific basis for the state evaluation and maintenance of power transmission and transformation equipment.

为了研究电力输变电设备健康状况,首先需要建立指标体系。反映输变电设备健康状态的特征量包括电学特性、化学特性、机械特性及外观表象。从部件层面分为本体、套管、分接开关、冷却系统和非电量保护,各部分在评价中所占比重通过最终健康指数计算反映出来。In order to study the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment, it is first necessary to establish an index system. The characteristic quantities reflecting the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment include electrical characteristics, chemical characteristics, mechanical characteristics and appearance. From the component level, it is divided into body, bushing, tap changer, cooling system and non-electrical protection. The proportion of each part in the evaluation is reflected by the calculation of the final health index.

一、油纸绝缘系统试验1. Oil-paper insulation system test

由于油纸在电、热运行条件下,并伴随环境中过量的氧气、水分作用,发生降解,可通过测试油中降解生成的老化物质(如CO、CO2、糠醛等)和纸绝缘聚合度,衡量变压器健康状况。Since the oil paper degrades under the conditions of electricity and heat operation, accompanied by excessive oxygen and moisture in the environment, the aging substances (such as CO, CO 2 , furfural, etc.) generated by the degradation in the oil and the insulation polymerization degree of the paper can be tested. Measure transformer health.

(1)纸绝缘聚合度(1) Polymerization degree of paper insulation

聚合度反映纸的抗张强度机械特性,随着新材料的应用,聚合度判据也会不断更新。目前,普遍认为,新变压器纸绝缘的聚合度大多在1000左右。纸绝缘聚合度判据如表1所示。The degree of polymerization reflects the mechanical properties of the tensile strength of the paper. With the application of new materials, the criterion of the degree of polymerization will also be continuously updated. At present, it is generally believed that the degree of polymerization of new transformer paper insulation is mostly around 1000. The criteria for the degree of polymerization of paper insulation are shown in Table 1.

表1纸绝缘聚合度限值Table 1 Limits of Polymerization Degree of Paper Insulation

(2)糠醛(2) Furfural

在纸板劣化过程中,纤维素大分子降解后,才形成的一种主要氧杂环化合物。输变电设备运行过程,影响糠醛含量的因素有多个方面,包括油纸比例和本身的制造工艺,输变电设备运行时间、运行条件、负载率,变压器油处理方式。输变电设备发生绝缘局部过热老化、过载等故障也会引起糠醛含量升高。糠醛含量通过变压器油采样测量,含量低则表明输变电设备油纸强度高,性能好,输变电设备整体状况良好。In the process of cardboard deterioration, a main oxygen heterocyclic compound is formed after the degradation of cellulose macromolecules. During the operation of power transmission and transformation equipment, there are many factors that affect the furfural content, including the ratio of oil to paper and its own manufacturing process, the running time, operating conditions, load rate of power transmission and transformation equipment, and the treatment method of transformer oil. Faults such as local overheating, aging, and overload of insulation in power transmission and transformation equipment will also cause an increase in furfural content. The furfural content is measured by sampling transformer oil. A low content indicates that the power transmission and transformation equipment oil paper has high strength and good performance, and the overall condition of the power transmission and transformation equipment is good.

(3)油中溶解气体(3) Dissolved gas in oil

油中溶解气体是一种广泛应用的故障监测和预防手段。输变电设备油和油纸绝缘系统在电热应力长期作用下,发生分子结构的改变,经过一系列化学反应产生各种特征气体,例如氢气、碳氢化合物、烃类。Dissolved gas in oil is a widely used means of fault monitoring and prevention. Under the long-term action of electrothermal stress, the oil and oil-paper insulation system of power transmission and transformation equipment undergoes a change in molecular structure, and produces various characteristic gases through a series of chemical reactions, such as hydrogen, hydrocarbons, and hydrocarbons.

国内外发展了一些方法,可用于判别油中溶解气体的比例来判断变压器内部故障如:过热、不良电接触、局部放电等。CO/CO2<5,表明油纸快速降解。CO2/CO>7时,表明绝缘老化或是大面积低温过热故障。当然,输变电设备发生故障时,变压器油也会分解出CO、CO2气体。无论是输变电设备油纸劣化还是故障,都可归结为输变电设备健康状况,因此,综合考虑CO、CO2Some methods have been developed at home and abroad, which can be used to judge the proportion of dissolved gas in oil to judge internal faults of transformers, such as: overheating, poor electrical contact, partial discharge, etc. CO/CO 2 <5, indicating rapid degradation of oil paper. When CO 2 /CO>7, it indicates insulation aging or large-area low-temperature overheating failure. Of course, when the power transmission and transformation equipment fails, the transformer oil will also decompose CO and CO 2 gases. Whether it is oil paper deterioration or failure of power transmission and transformation equipment, it can be attributed to the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment. Therefore, CO and CO 2 should be considered comprehensively.

二、运维数据和例行试验2. Operation and maintenance data and routine tests

设备基本信息主要包括变压器铭牌信息,电压等级、容量、短路阻抗等。例行试验包括绕组直流电阻,绕组介质损耗因数,电容量,频率响应测试,绕组绝缘电阻、吸收比或极化指数,泄漏电流等,是否满足技术规定要求。The basic equipment information mainly includes transformer nameplate information, voltage level, capacity, short-circuit impedance, etc. Routine tests include winding DC resistance, winding dielectric loss factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorption ratio or polarization index, leakage current, etc., whether it meets the technical requirements.

(1)缺陷数据(1) Defect data

包括设备本身和家族缺陷两部分。缺陷记录应包含运行巡视、检修巡视、带电检测、检修过程中发现的缺陷,缺陷定级以及消缺处理情况。Including the device itself and family defects. Defect records shall include defects found during operation inspection, maintenance inspection, live inspection, inspection and repair, defect grading and defect elimination treatment.

(2)负载历史(2) Load history

设备在近12个月内,每月记录的最大负载值,过载或长期急救负载运行规定,会使变压器性能劣化。The maximum load value recorded monthly by the equipment in the past 12 months, overload or long-term emergency load operation regulations will degrade the performance of the transformer.

(3)红外测温(3) Infrared temperature measurement

红外热像可检测变压器本体、引线接头、电缆终端,红外热像图显示应无异常温升、温差和/或相对温差,可揭示变压器内部隐患。Infrared thermal imaging can detect the transformer body, lead joints, and cable terminals. The infrared thermal image shows that there should be no abnormal temperature rise, temperature difference and/or relative temperature difference, which can reveal hidden dangers inside the transformer.

(4)外观检查(4) Visual inspection

主要通过查阅巡视记录,设备外观完整无损,无异物;引线及汇流排、接头是否正常;接地是否可靠;噪声及振动;风道是否通畅无异物等。Mainly by checking the inspection records, the appearance of the equipment is intact and free of foreign objects; whether the lead wires, busbars, and connectors are normal; whether the grounding is reliable; whether there is noise and vibration; whether the air duct is smooth and free of foreign objects, etc.

三基于统计工具的多变量分析Three multivariate analysis based on statistical tools

(1)数据正态化(1) Data normalization

多变量分析的重要假设条件是数据属于正态分布。试验结果通常并非标准的正态分布,而是存在不同程度地偏差度。首先,通过SPSS工具,将非正态数据利用变换工具进行正态化处理。SPSS是一种数据统计分析工具,便于数据对接,具有内置VBA语言,强大的统计处理功能。利用SPSS对试验数据正态化处理后,原始数据中存在超出范围的过高异常值,在多变量分析中会被忽略,需要对异常值进行预处理,保留输变电设备故障原因产生的异常值。An important assumption in multivariate analysis is that the data are normally distributed. The test results are usually not standard normal distribution, but there are different degrees of deviation. First, through the SPSS tool, the non-normal data is normalized using the transformation tool. SPSS is a data statistical analysis tool, which is convenient for data docking, has built-in VBA language, and powerful statistical processing functions. After using SPSS to normalize the test data, there are excessively high outliers in the original data, which will be ignored in the multivariate analysis. It is necessary to preprocess the outliers and retain the abnormalities caused by the failure of power transmission and transformation equipment. value.

(2)公共系数分析(2) Public coefficient analysis

某几类输变电设备测试项目的结果,可能存在未知关联性,通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定各变量的关联性。本文利用SPSS工具,对多次测试结果进行统计分析,得出不同测试项目之间的联系和公共影响因素对各个项目的影响。The results of certain types of power transmission and transformation equipment test items may have unknown correlations, and the correlation of each variable is determined by the method of public coefficient analysis. This paper uses SPSS tools to conduct statistical analysis on the results of multiple tests, and obtains the relationship between different test items and the influence of public influencing factors on each item.

图1中方框代表测试结果,e1~e12表示对测试结果有一定影响的未量化因素,例如环境温湿度,电磁环境干扰,测试误差等。C1~C5为公共因素,它们与各变量的关联程度越高,系数值越大。C1~C5彼此之间的关联程度是相互的,用双向箭头表示。The boxes in Figure 1 represent the test results, and e1~e12 represent unquantified factors that have a certain impact on the test results, such as ambient temperature and humidity, electromagnetic environment interference, and test errors. C1~C5 are public factors, the higher the degree of correlation between them and each variable, the larger the coefficient value. The degrees of correlation between C1-C5 are mutual, indicated by double-headed arrows.

(3)公共因素关联度分析(3) Correlation analysis of public factors

在电力输变电设备健康状态评价中,油纸绝缘系统的性能状况是最重要的指标之一。通常,油纸绝缘系统的寿命直接决定了油浸式变压器寿命。因此,本文主要针对87组变压器油样试验数据,进行统计分析,首先研究了各参量之间的关系,其次,得出各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值。多变量之间公共因素关联度分析见图1。In the evaluation of the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment, the performance of the oil-paper insulation system is one of the most important indicators. Usually, the life of the oil-paper insulation system directly determines the life of the oil-immersed transformer. Therefore, this paper mainly conducts statistical analysis on the test data of 87 sets of transformer oil samples. Firstly, the relationship between various parameters is studied. Secondly, the contribution value of each evaluation index in evaluating the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment is obtained. The correlation analysis of common factors among multiple variables is shown in Figure 1.

如图1所示,具有相近的性质或伴随同一化学反应产生的物质,划分为一组。在电、热运行条件下,油纸降解老化或是变压器发生故障时,油中分解气体CO、CO2通常是相伴而生的化学产物;变压器油中杂质、水分含量越高,越容易击穿,这种影响关系大的参量,划分为同一组。H2、CH4、C2H6是一组高度关联的参量,与公共因素C3相关。As shown in Figure 1, substances with similar properties or produced by the same chemical reaction are divided into one group. Under electrical and thermal operating conditions, when the oil paper is degraded and aged or the transformer fails, the decomposition gas CO and CO 2 in the oil are usually accompanied by chemical products; the higher the impurity and moisture content in the transformer oil, the easier it is to break down. The parameters with a large influence relationship are divided into the same group. H 2 , CH 4 , and C 2 H 6 are a group of highly correlated parameters, which are related to the common factor C3.

C2与C3之间正关联度最强,为0.53;C1和C3的关联度次之,关联系数为0.47;C4与C5之间则为负相关的关系。各特征参量和公共因素彼此之间的关系分析,为进一步确定参量权重以及健康指数奠定了基础。The positive correlation between C2 and C3 is the strongest, which is 0.53; the correlation between C1 and C3 is next, and the correlation coefficient is 0.47; the relationship between C4 and C5 is negative correlation. The analysis of the relationship between each characteristic parameter and common factors lays the foundation for further determining the parameter weight and health index.

四、输变电设备健康指数评价模型4. Evaluation model of health index for power transmission and transformation equipment

建立基于SPSS分析的健康指数模型;所述模型的建立过程包括:Establish the health index model based on SPSS analysis; The process of establishing the model includes:

基于统计工具的多变量分析,将非正态数据利用变换工具进行正态化处理;Based on multivariate analysis of statistical tools, normalize non-normal data using transformation tools;

利用SPSS工具,对多次测试结果进行统计分析,得出不同测试项目之间的联系和公共影响因素对各个项目的影响;Use SPSS tool to conduct statistical analysis on multiple test results to obtain the relationship between different test items and the influence of public influencing factors on each item;

输变电设备健康指数计算步骤主要如下:The calculation steps of power transmission and transformation equipment health index are as follows:

1)在公共因素关系分析的基础上,分析公共因素对健康指数HI的贡献值;1) On the basis of the analysis of the relationship between public factors, analyze the contribution of public factors to the health index HI;

2)进一步地确定各个健康指标权重;2) Further determine the weight of each health index;

3)根据专家经验和标准规定,制定修正因子;3) Formulate correction factors according to expert experience and standard regulations;

4)将权重经过修正因子修正;4) Correct the weight by the correction factor;

5)得出健康指数,评价输变电设备整体健康状况。5) Obtain the health index to evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment.

其中,第一步是关键的步骤,基于贡献度分析的健康指数评价模型见图2。Among them, the first step is a key step. The health index evaluation model based on contribution analysis is shown in Figure 2.

如图2所示,C4对健康指数的影响最大,其中包括击穿电压、糠醛、水分这三个参量,因此,在评价体系中对其赋予最高权重。输变电设备油中水分在变压器绝缘特性劣化过程,起了重要作用。糠醛含量一定程度反映了输变电设备油纸绝缘系统的性能,糠醛含量越高,则表明绝缘性能越差。通过统计分析得出的分组和权重与现有结论基本一致。在对输变电设备健康状况评价时,对权重分配还需进一步采用校正因子,加以校正,使评价过程更贴近生产现场实际。最终,得到各主要项目的权重和健康指数HIF。As shown in Figure 2, C4 has the greatest impact on the health index, including the three parameters of breakdown voltage, furfural, and moisture, so it is given the highest weight in the evaluation system. Moisture in the oil of power transmission and transformation equipment plays an important role in the deterioration of transformer insulation characteristics. The furfural content reflects the performance of the oil-paper insulation system of power transmission and transformation equipment to a certain extent. The higher the furfural content, the worse the insulation performance. The grouping and weight obtained through statistical analysis are basically consistent with the existing conclusions. When evaluating the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment, the weight distribution needs to be further corrected by using correction factors to make the evaluation process closer to the actual production site. Finally, the weight of each major item and the health index HIF are obtained.

油浸式输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如式(1)。The health status of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment is evaluated hierarchically according to different components, and the calculation formula is shown in formula (1).

其它输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如式(2)。For other power transmission and transformation equipment, the health status is evaluated hierarchically according to different components, and the calculation formula is shown in formula (2).

式中,Ki为权重,HIFi为健康指数,HIFmax为健康状况最佳时对应的健康指数。In the formula, K i is the weight, HIF i is the health index, and HIF max is the corresponding health index when the health status is the best.

表2健康指数分级Table 2 Health Index Grading

表3变压器健康状况评价因素权重及分值Table 3 Weight and score of transformer health status evaluation factors

表4其它输变电设备健康状况评价因素权重及分值Table 4 Weights and scores of other power transmission and transformation equipment health status evaluation factors

更为详细的实施例子:A more detailed implementation example:

110kV正阳站2号主变器,规格型号为SZ10-50000/110,电压等级为220kV,容量为50MVA,冷却方式为自冷,山东鲁能泰山电力设备有限公司生产,2008年4月投运,已运行22年,报废年限30年。110kV Zhengyang Station No. 2 main transformer, the specification model is SZ10-50000/110, the voltage level is 220kV, the capacity is 50MVA, the cooling method is self-cooling, produced by Shandong Luneng Taishan Electric Power Equipment Co., Ltd., put into operation in April 2008, It has been in operation for 22 years, and the scrapping period is 30 years.

220kV宝都变电站2号主变器,规格型号为SFPSZ9-150000/220,电压等级为220kV,容量为150MVA,山东电力设备有限公司生产,2002年12月投运,已运行14年,报废年限30年。两台变压器的运行及试验数据见表5。220kV Baodu Substation No. 2 main transformer, the specification model is SFPSZ9-150000/220, the voltage level is 220kV, the capacity is 150MVA, produced by Shandong Electric Power Equipment Co., Ltd., put into operation in December 2002, has been in operation for 14 years, and the scrapping period is 30 years year. The operation and test data of the two transformers are shown in Table 5.

表4中序号(1)对应正阳站2号主变压器数据,利用公式(1),计算得110kV正阳站2号变压器HIF%为49.182,位于30%~50%区间,总体运行状况较差,接近或略微超过标准限值,应监视运行,适时安排停电检修。该设备实际状况:氢气超标严重,并占氢烃总量的90%以上,总烃超标,CH4占总烃75%以上,特征气体判据判断为局部放电。三比值法编码为010,判断为局部放电。高压侧中性点套管介损超标,电容量接近告警值,主变常规试验正常。综上,该设备总体运行状况较差,且接近报废年限。由此得出,本文健康指数法得出的计算值与实际状况基本吻合。The serial number (1) in Table 4 corresponds to the data of the No. 2 main transformer of Zhengyang Station. Using the formula (1), the calculated HIF% of the No. 2 transformer of the 110kV Zhengyang Station is 49.182, which is in the range of 30% to 50%, and the overall operating condition is poor , close to or slightly exceed the standard limit, the operation should be monitored, and power outage maintenance should be arranged in due course. The actual condition of the equipment: the hydrogen gas exceeds the standard seriously, and accounts for more than 90% of the total hydrogen hydrocarbons, the total hydrocarbons exceed the standard, CH 4 accounts for more than 75% of the total hydrocarbons, and the characteristic gas criterion is judged to be partial discharge. The code of the three-ratio method is 010, which is judged as partial discharge. The dielectric loss of the neutral point bushing on the high voltage side exceeds the standard, the capacitance is close to the alarm value, and the routine test of the main transformer is normal. In summary, the overall operating condition of the equipment is poor, and it is close to the end of life. It can be concluded that the calculated value obtained by the health index method in this paper is basically consistent with the actual situation.

为全面验证模型有效性,选取不同电压等级,不同工况和具有不同缺陷的220kV宝都站主变压器,其中序号(2)为其基本信息和试验数据。与实例1相比,虽同样具有缺陷,但两者性质不同,且试验数据也相差较大,经过模型计算得到HIF为78.052,模型结果表明该设备运行状况良好。实际运行状况:该变压器运行14年,各项指标基本正常,无不良工况,虽有过冷却器方面严重缺陷,已消除,目前运行正常。评价结果与实际状况,吻合较好。In order to fully verify the validity of the model, 220kV Baodu substation main transformers with different voltage levels, different working conditions and different defects are selected, and the serial number (2) is its basic information and test data. Compared with Example 1, although it has the same defects, the properties of the two are different, and the test data are also quite different. After the model calculation, the HIF is 78.052, and the model results show that the equipment is in good condition. Actual operating status: The transformer has been in operation for 14 years, and all indicators are basically normal, and there is no bad working condition. Although there are serious defects in the subcooler, they have been eliminated and are currently operating normally. The evaluation results are in good agreement with the actual situation.

表5变压器运行及试验数据Table 5 Transformer operation and test data

此外,为更好验证该模型评价的一致性,选取山东电网12台不同电气参数和缺陷性质的110kV变压器,各台变压器健康指数HIF见图3。In addition, in order to better verify the consistency of the model evaluation, 12 110kV transformers with different electrical parameters and defect properties were selected in Shandong Power Grid. The health index HIF of each transformer is shown in Figure 3.

计算结果中,最小值为54.346,最大值为78.326,50%~70%区间内的占25%,70%~85%区间的,占75%,整体运行状况良好,个别变压器由于家族缺陷或年检大修即将到期,健康指数偏低,与实际情况基本相符。通过从山东电网选取多台不同运行阶段和电气参数,不同评价状态的变压器,进行计算比较,验证评价模型和计算方法的有效性。In the calculation results, the minimum value is 54.346, the maximum value is 78.326, 25% are in the range of 50% to 70%, and 75% are in the range of 70% to 85%. The overhaul is about to expire, and the health index is low, which is basically in line with the actual situation. By selecting a number of transformers with different operating stages and electrical parameters and different evaluation states from Shandong Power Grid, they are calculated and compared to verify the effectiveness of the evaluation model and calculation method.

上述虽然结合附图对本发明的具体实施方式进行了描述,但并非对本发明保护范围的限制,所属领域技术人员应该明白,在本发明的技术方案的基础上,本领域技术人员不需要付出创造性劳动即可做出的各种修改或变形仍在本发明的保护范围以内。Although the specific implementation of the present invention has been described above in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, it does not limit the protection scope of the present invention. Those skilled in the art should understand that on the basis of the technical solution of the present invention, those skilled in the art do not need to pay creative work Various modifications or variations that can be made are still within the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1.一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,包括以下步骤:1. A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools, characterized in that it comprises the following steps: 建立输变电设备的量化指标体系,其中,输变电设备健康状况评价因素具体包括油浸式输变电设备的评价因素及其它输变电设备的评价因素;Establish a quantitative index system for power transmission and transformation equipment, among which, the health status evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment specifically include the evaluation factors of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment and the evaluation factors of other power transmission and transformation equipment; 采集输变电设备的历史状态数据和当前的状态数据;Collect historical state data and current state data of power transmission and transformation equipment; 采用统计工具SPSS对采集的数据对试验数据正态化处理,对异常值进行预处理,保留输变电设备故障原因产生的超出范围的过高异常值;Use the statistical tool SPSS to normalize the collected data and test data, preprocess the abnormal values, and retain the excessively high abnormal values caused by the failure of the power transmission and transformation equipment; 通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定采集数据中的各变量的关联性;Through the method of public coefficient analysis, to determine the correlation of each variable in the collected data; 通过公共因素关联度分析方法,得出各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值;Through the analysis method of the correlation degree of public factors, the contribution value of each evaluation index in evaluating the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment is obtained; 建立输变电设备健康指数评价模型,计算输变电设备健康指数,根据健康指数评价输变电设备整体健康状况。Establish the health index evaluation model of power transmission and transformation equipment, calculate the health index of power transmission and transformation equipment, and evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment according to the health index. 2.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,所述电力输变电设备的历史状态数据包括电力输变电设备的运检数据、家族缺陷,设备基本信息、负载数据,电力输变电设备的当前的状态数据包括电力输变电设备的例行试验数据。2. A kind of quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, wherein the historical state data of said power transmission and transformation equipment includes inspection data, family Defects, basic equipment information, load data, current state data of power transmission and transformation equipment include routine test data of power transmission and transformation equipment. 3.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,通过公共系数分析的方法,来确定采集数据中的各变量的关联性时,首先确定对测试结果有一定影响的未量化因素及公共因素,公共因素与各变量的关联程度越高系数值越大,公共因素之间的关联程度是相互的。3. a kind of method for quantitative evaluation of power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, it is characterized in that, when determining the relevance of each variable in the collected data by the method of public coefficient analysis, at first determine the The unquantified factors and common factors that have a certain influence on the test results, the higher the degree of correlation between the common factors and each variable, the larger the coefficient value, and the degree of correlation between the common factors is mutual. 4.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,公共因素关联度分析方法具体是,利用统计工具得出多变量之间公共因素关联度分析图,根据该图得出各参量之间的关系及各评价指标在评价输变电设备总体健康状况时的贡献值。4. a kind of quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, is characterized in that, the public factor correlation analysis method is specifically, utilizes statistical tools to draw the public factor correlation analysis between multivariables According to the figure, the relationship between each parameter and the contribution value of each evaluation index in evaluating the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment can be obtained. 5.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,输变电设备健康指数计算步骤主要如下:5. A kind of quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, wherein the calculation steps of power transmission and transformation equipment health index are mainly as follows: 1)在公共因素关联度分析的基础上,分析公共因素对健康指数的贡献值;1) On the basis of the correlation analysis of public factors, analyze the contribution value of public factors to the health index; 2)确定各个健康指标的权重;2) Determine the weight of each health index; 3)根据专家经验和标准规定,制定修正因子;3) Formulate correction factors according to expert experience and standard regulations; 4)将权重经过修正因子修正;4) Correct the weight by the correction factor; 5)得出健康指数,评价输变电设备整体健康状况。5) Obtain the health index to evaluate the overall health status of power transmission and transformation equipment. 6.如权利要求5所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,油浸式输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如下:6. A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 5, wherein the oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment performs hierarchical evaluation of the health status according to different components, and the calculation formula is as follows: (( %% )) Hh II == 0.50.5 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 11 ii == 1212 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 11 ii == 1212 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.20.2 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1313 ii == 1616 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1313 ii == 1616 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.10.1 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1717 ii == 1717 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1717 ii == 1717 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.10.1 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1818 ii == 21twenty one (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 1818 ii == 21twenty one (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.10.1 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 22twenty two ii == 22twenty two (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 22twenty two ii == 22twenty two (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ** 100100 %% -- -- -- (( 11 )) 其它输变电设备按照不同部件,对健康状况进行分层评估,计算公式如式(2):Other power transmission and transformation equipment conducts a hierarchical assessment of the health status according to different components, and the calculation formula is as shown in formula (2): (( %% )) Hh II == 0.20.2 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 11 ii == 11 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 11 ii == 11 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.20.2 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 22 ii == 33 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 22 ii == 33 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.10.1 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 33 ii == 44 (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 33 ii == 44 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ++ 0.50.5 &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 55 ii == bb (( KK ii ** HIFHIF ii )) &Sigma;&Sigma; ii == 55 ii == 66 (( HIFHIF maxmax ** KK ii )) ** 100100 %% 式中,Ki为权重,HIFi为健康指数,HIFmax为健康状况最佳时对应的健康指数。In the formula, K i is the weight, HIF i is the health index, and HIF max is the corresponding health index when the health status is the best. 7.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,油浸式输变电设备的评价因素包括:纸绝缘聚合度、糠醛、油中溶解气体、水分、酸值、击穿电压、油介质损耗因素、红外测温、缺陷数据、负载历史、外观检查、设备基本信息和例行试验、套管-外观、套管-红外测温、套管-油中溶解气体、套管-绝缘电阻、冷却系统-巡视记录、分接开关-巡视记录、分接开关-运行数据、分接开关-动作特性、分接开关-油中分解气体及非电量保护-巡视记录;7. A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, wherein the evaluation factors of oil-immersed power transmission and transformation equipment include: paper insulation polymerization degree, furfural, and dissolved gas in oil , moisture, acid value, breakdown voltage, oil dielectric loss factor, infrared temperature measurement, defect data, load history, appearance inspection, basic equipment information and routine test, bushing-appearance, bushing-infrared temperature measurement, bushing - Dissolved gas in oil, bushing - insulation resistance, cooling system - inspection record, tap changer - inspection record, tap changer - operating data, tap changer - action characteristics, tap changer - decomposed gas in oil and non-electricity protection - inspection records; 输变电设备健康状况评价因素中的其它输变电设备的评价因素包括:红外测温、缺陷数据、负载历史、外观检查、基本信息和例行试验及非电量保护-巡视记录。Other evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment in the health status evaluation factors of power transmission and transformation equipment include: infrared temperature measurement, defect data, load history, appearance inspection, basic information and routine tests, and non-electricity protection-inspection records. 8.如权利要求7所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,缺陷数据包括设备本身和家族缺陷两部分,缺陷记录应包含运行巡视、检修巡视、带电检测、检修过程中发现的缺陷,缺陷定级以及消缺处理情况。8. A quantitative evaluation method for power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 7, wherein the defect data includes two parts of the device itself and family defects, and the defect record should include operation inspection, maintenance inspection, live detection , Defects found in the maintenance process, defect grading and defect elimination treatment. 9.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,设备基本信息主要包括输变电设备铭牌信息,电压等级、容量、短路阻抗;例行试验包括绕组直流电阻、绕组介质损耗因数、电容量、频率响应测试、绕组绝缘电阻、吸收比或极化指数及泄漏电流。9. A method for quantitative evaluation of power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, wherein the basic information of the equipment mainly includes nameplate information of power transmission and transformation equipment, voltage level, capacity, short-circuit impedance; routine test Including winding DC resistance, winding dielectric dissipation factor, capacitance, frequency response test, winding insulation resistance, absorption ratio or polarization index and leakage current. 10.如权利要求1所述的一种基于统计工具的输变电设备量化评估方法,其特征是,根据健康指数进行输变电设备健康状况分级:10. A kind of quantitative evaluation method of power transmission and transformation equipment based on statistical tools as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that, according to the health index, the health status classification of power transmission and transformation equipment is carried out: 健康指数85~100,输变电设备健康状况:状况极佳;The health index is 85-100, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: the condition is excellent; 健康指数70~85,输变电设备健康状况:状况佳;The health index is 70-85, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: good condition; 健康指数50~70,输变电设备健康状况:良好;The health index is 50-70, and the health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: good; 健康指数30~50,输变电设备健康状况:较差;Health index 30-50, health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: poor; 健康指数0~30,输变电设备健康状况:劣化严重。Health index 0-30, health status of power transmission and transformation equipment: serious deterioration.
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