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Dusan Jolovic

Dusan Jolovic

  • I have graduated with BA from University of Belgrade in 2009. My undergraduate studies are closely related to the tra... moreedit
  • Peter T Martinedit
Arterial traffic signal systems, predominantly in the United States, deploy multiple signal timing plans to account for daily variability of traffic demand. Those types of traffic flow deviations should be anticipated when timing plans... more
Arterial traffic signal systems, predominantly in the United States, deploy multiple signal timing plans to account for daily variability of traffic demand. Those types of traffic flow deviations should be anticipated when timing plans are designed and, therefore, serviced satisfactorily. When traffic flow patterns are no longer predictable, a predetermined time-of-day (TOD) plan may no longer be the optimal one. This research aimed to examine signal timing optimality by applying a method similar to the selection of a traffic responsive plan to recognize automatically the best timing plan suited to current traffic conditions. The proposed method attempted to determine whether the optimality of signal timing settings could have been effectively estimated when systematic detector counts of the major approach were available. The study used 4 months of data from field microwave detectors coupled with data of turning-movement counts obtained over several days. The findings show that TOD signal timing plans mainly depended on adequate data collection that best describes a specific set of traffic conditions. Thus, the designed plan was as optimal as the related traffic information was reliable, whereas a problem arose in the case of limited-availability and low-quality data. New technologies are capable of collecting and storing massive amounts of data. Even if the granularity of collected data is low, the data can be used to improve traffic performance (i.e., reduce corridor delay). This realization could be of particular importance to traffic agencies that have installed, or plan to install, new field devices. Most urban traffic signal systems in the United States deploy multiple signal timing plans to account for within-day variability of traffic demand (i.e., morning peak, midday, evening peak, off peak, and nighttime). Signal groups forming a zone or section usually operate in a coordinated manner along an urban arterial. This coordination essentially means that signal timing plans change at the same time for all signals in a given group (zone, section etc.) to facilitate vehicle progression throughout a series of signals (1). Any type of unusual circumstances, such as incidents, construction, or severe weather, causes a significant change in anticipated traffic conditions. Traffic flow patterns are no longer predictable a priori, and a predetermined time-of-day (TOD) plan may substantially underperform under these conditions. In contrast, day-today and diurnal variations in traffic volumes and patterns are typically considered to be served in a satisfactory manner by the developed plans, because these deviations should be anticipated when the plans are originally designed. Traffic responsive plan selection (TRPS) and adaptive traffic control systems designed and deployed over the past several decades were intended to provide quicker response to constantly varying traffic conditions (2). A recent application included development of a real-time weather-responsive signal control (3). These advances attempted to incorporate more robustness into designed signal timing plans. Common existing engineering practice tends to rely on limited observations of relevant traffic patterns and volumes by considering a small data set only over several weekdays. Traffic signal settings (e.g., cycle length, splits, and offsets) are fixed within each TOD period, but traffic demands may still fluctuate significantly. Examining historical volume variations in daily traffic and corresponding responsiveness of the traffic control system can assist traffic engineers in assessing deficiencies in the state of the current traffic system. Well-designed signal control settings reduce delay and unnecessary stops at intersections and thus improve traffic flow without roadway widening. Hence, a key priority for transportation agencies is to ensure demand-suitable traffic signal timings. Yet, despite readily available detector counts, many do not regularly collect, review, or assess the quality of the traffic information they use when signal timings are designed and updated. This study attempts to demonstrate the benefit of using a large set of directional sensor data to estimate day-today variations in demand and proposing a straightforward method to evaluate current performance of TOD signal plans. The proposed approach estimates how the system would perform if it deployed an adaptive-TRPS signal control logic and whether the difference in performance warrants system retiming or upgrade. The practicality of this method is reflected in reducing the time and effort required by the existing signal design-retiming practice. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to devise a methodology to assess the extent to which existing timing plans along an arterial corridor are serving observed demands in a manner that is close to optimal and thereby to provide an upper bound on the potential
Research Interests:
The New Mexico Statewide Travel Demand Model (NMSTDM) has served a number of purposes since its initial development, providing support for projects around the state such as traffic projections for engineering design projects and... more
The New Mexico Statewide Travel Demand Model (NMSTDM) has served a number of purposes since its initial development, providing support for projects around the state such as traffic projections for engineering design projects and Intermodal/Inland Port Facilities, and scenario testing project analysis for New Mexico Department of Transportation (NMDOT) Districts. The statewide model matters. A national research group forecasts that in 2017, $109 billion in goods will have been shipped to and from New Mexico, predominantly by trucks
(TRIP - A National Transportation Research Group, 2017). The average driver in the Albuquerque area loses 36 hours per year, and the Santa Fe driver about 19 hours due to congestion. New Mexico’s population reached 2.1 million in 2015, which is a 15% increase since 2000. Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) has increased by 16% from 2000 to 2015. For the same period, New Mexico’s gross domestic product increased by 24%, compared to 27% for the US. We expect New Mexico VMT will increase by 20% by 2030 (TRIP - A National Transportation Research Group, 2017). If the NMSTDM is to continue to serve the state’s needs and be able to provide support for planned infrastructure projects, the model must be updated, expanded and enhanced.  This report addresses the way we should improve the NMSTDM.
Consultants have supported modeling development and operations at NMDOT since 2008, but most recent support has been by one individual. So it is time to evaluate the state model and its platform. This report evaluates the current model and recommends improvements.
This report reviews national practices for State DOT travel demand models, different modeling platforms, various data sources available, the most common modeling concepts, and evaluates the NMSTDM. It concludes with specific recommendations on how the NMSTDM should be improved.
Research Interests:
Arterial traffic signal systems in the U.S., predominantly, deploy multiple signal timing plans to account for daily variability of traffic demand. These types of traffic flow deviations should be anticipated when timing plans are... more
Arterial traffic signal systems in the U.S., predominantly, deploy multiple signal timing plans to account for daily variability of traffic demand. These types of traffic flow deviations should be anticipated when timing plans are designed and therefore, serviced satisfactorily. When traffic flow patterns are no longer predictable, a predetermined time-of-day (TOD) plan may no longer be the optimal one. This research aims to examine the signal timing optimality by applying a method similar to traffic responsive plan selection to automatically recognize the best timing plan suited to the current traffic conditions. The proposed method attempts to determine whether signal timing settings’ optimality could be effectively estimated when systematic, major approach detector counts are available. The study uses four months of field microwave detector data coupled with turning movement count data obtained over several days. The findings showed that TOD signal timing plans mainly depend on an adequate data collection which best describes a specific set of traffic conditions. Thus, the designed plan is as optimal as the related traffic
information is reliable, while a problem arises in the case of limited availability and low quality data. New technologies are capable of collecting and storing massive amounts of data. Even if the granularity of collected data is low, the data can be utilized to improve traffic performance i.e., reduce corridor delay. This could be of particular importance to traffic agencies that have
installed, or plan to install new field devices.
Research Interests:
Microscopic traffic simulation models are considered to be valuable and powerful tools for analyzing traffic operations in a wide range of planning and modeling tasks. However, modeling large-scale urban traffic networks is particularly... more
Microscopic traffic simulation models are considered to be valuable and powerful tools for analyzing traffic operations in a wide range of planning and modeling tasks. However, modeling large-scale urban traffic networks is particularly challenging task even on a macroscopic level.
The challenges are multifold when attempting to represent large urban networks in high-fidelity manner with operational details. While many previous studies proposed various simulation model calibration and validation methods, these processes are still considered to be more an art than science, especially if performed manually. This study describes such a manually-crafted simulation building, calibration and validation process that features a major urban grid network, encompassed with 6 busy arterials and 160 signalized intersections. A VISSIM model was calibrated and validated by using variety of traffic data, from two temporally, spatially, and characteristically different field data-collection campaigns. The accuracy and sensitivity of the model was repetitively fine-tuned and tested, until a chosen calibration criteria for several variables (volume, speed and travel times) was successfully met. Validation tests were performed with a completely fresh dataset at the end of the process. While the calibration efforts were a full success, the validation results were only half successful. Potential factors that could have impacted the mixed validation results are higher sensitivity of the validation data and seasonal shifts in traffic demand and distribution. Future research will focus on collecting and testing new validation data sets, which will improve robustness and reliability of the simulation model.
Research Interests:
Prema klasifikaciji glavnih uzroka smrtnosti, saobraćaj zauzima osmo mesto, a predviđa se pomak ka petom do 2030. godine. Svake godine na globalnom nivou pogine 1.24 miliona ljudi, a 20 do 50 miliona biva povređeno kao posledica... more
Prema klasifikaciji glavnih uzroka smrtnosti, saobraćaj zauzima osmo mesto, a predviđa se pomak ka petom do 2030. godine. Svake godine na globalnom nivou pogine 1.24 miliona ljudi, a 20 do 50 miliona biva povređeno kao posledica saobraćajnih nezgoda. Ljudski faktor, neispravnost vozila i uslovi na putevima su primarni razlozi. Sprečavanje negativnih posledica ljudskog faktora se postiže edukacijom, putnim dizajnom i zakonodavstvom. Efikasno sprovođenje saobraćajnih zakona doprinosi smanjenju saobraćajnih nezgoda, ali je često narušeno korupcijom. Korupcija je zloupotreba službenog položaja radi ostvarivanja lične dobiti. Prema istraživanjima javnog mnjenja o policiji, Srbija je na prvom mestu u regionu po davanju/uzimanju mita. Vodeće mesto na listi najkorumpiranijeg sektora policije zauzima saobraćajna policija. Cilj ovog rada je sumiranje pozitivih i negativnih iskustava u borbi protiv korupcije razvijenih, kao i zemalja u razvoju, sa posebnim osvrtom na Srbiju i region. Na osnovu analiziranih studija i zaključaka autora, biće predloženi detaljni koraci za unapređenje trenutne strategije za borbu protiv korupcije.
Left-turns are one of the most critical maneuvers at signalized intersections. There are several types of left turn signal phasing in use: protected-only, permitted/protected, permitted-only, and prohibited. If the protected part of a... more
Left-turns are one of the most critical maneuvers at signalized intersections. There are several types of left turn signal phasing in use: protected-only, permitted/protected, permitted-only, and prohibited. If the protected part of a left turn phase is assigned before the through phase starts, a left-turn sequence is called lead. If the opposite is true, it is called lag. Currently there are no uniform guidelines on left-turn installations. Furthermore, the practice on left-turns is not consistent.  This paper summarizes a literature on left turn phasing, sequencing and left-turn signal displays (e.g., flashing yellow arrows) and points out the key findings and shortcomings. The authors propose computational and simulation tools – driving simulators, microsimulation, surrogate safety models and augmented reality for future research which could lead toward the unification of left-turn set of guidelines.
Research Interests:
Several factors are usually considered when recommending left-turn phasing at signalized intersections: the volume of through traffic opposing the left-turn maneuvers, the volume of left-turn traffic, the speed of the opposing traffic,... more
Several factors are usually considered when recommending left-turn phasing at signalized intersections: the volume of through traffic opposing the left-turn maneuvers, the volume of left-turn traffic, the speed of the opposing traffic, sight distance, crash history, and cycle length. The goal of this paper is to find the optimal signal phasing designs that can improve efficiency and safety of the particular signal design in the field in order to test current recommendations and guidelines on left-turn treatments. The researchers assess the impact of the number of rings in a phasing structure, the number of phases and whether to adopt lead or lag phasing on the safety and efficiency of a four-legged signalized intersection. A comprehensive set of 338 signal phasing designs is developed and the impacts are modeled using VISSIM microsimulation. The efficiency of signal phasing sets is evaluated in VISSIM, while the safety aspect is assessed using SSAM software. Optimal scenarios are tested using sensitivity analysis for various traffic flows. The findings show that the current left-turn guidelines may over-protect left-turners which results in reduced efficiency and left-turn delays that can be increased by up to 25%. Revised guidelines should contribute to the decreased delays for left turning vehicles, while keeping the safety standards high.
Users of International Land Ports of Entries (LPOEs) at the US – Mexico border experience excessive wait times on a daily basis. This contributes to the increased transportation costs, and also generates health and environmental problems... more
Users of International Land Ports of Entries (LPOEs) at the US – Mexico border experience excessive wait times on a daily basis. This contributes to the increased transportation costs, and also generates health and environmental problems in border regions. Traffic simulation models are effective tools for evaluating passenger vehicle, pedestrian and commercial traffic operations. These tools can be used to assess various scenarios and visualize current traffic conditions. Results obtained from these tools should be taken into account in congestion relief decision making processes. The research team developed, calibrated and validated three traffic models of the Ysleta-Zaragoza LPOE using three different software packages (i.e., Transmodeler, VISSIM, and Aimsun). This paper presents advantages and disadvantages of each tool when modeling international LPOEs. Results presented herein can be used by practitioners to decide which tool should to be used for modeling LPOEs at the U.S. – Mexico border.
Land Ports of Entry (LPOEs) are facilities that control access into the U.S., as well as departures of persons and freight. While traffic simulation modeling techniques are not typically used to evaluate LPOE operational processes, they... more
Land Ports of Entry (LPOEs) are facilities that control access into the U.S., as well as departures of persons and freight. While  traffic simulation modeling techniques are not typically used to evaluate LPOE operational processes, they should be considered more often, because LPOEs have a significant impact on surrounding traffic conditions and vice versa. This paper proposes a methodology for developing microscopic traffic simulation models of LPOEs
along the U.S.-Mexico border. The methodology consists of seven steps: (i) collect data; (ii) develop traffic or roadway network; (iii) model inspection and toll booths; (iv) develop traffic management strategies; (v) set up traffic demand; (vi) calibrate model; and (vii) validate model. The paper also presents a case study in which this methodology was followed to develop the Ysleta – Zaragoza LPOE traffic simulation model, which can be controlled from a web-based interface to help LPOE personnel without previous transportation modeling experience.
The HCM2010 freeway facilities methodology offers a supplemental computational engine FREEVAL, which is a macroscopic/mesoscopic tool. It enables users to implement HCM-based freeway analysis quickly. Vissim is a microscopic simulation... more
The HCM2010 freeway facilities methodology offers a supplemental computational engine FREEVAL, which is a macroscopic/mesoscopic tool. It enables users to implement HCM-based freeway analysis quickly. Vissim is a microscopic simulation tool that enables users to model real-world conditions with high level of accuracy. One of the commonly used performance measures for freeway assessment is the Level-of-Service (LOS). The HCM freeway facility methodology uses density to estimate LOS. However, density is calculated differently in FREEVAL and Vissim, and comparing the estimated LOSs between the two may lead to invalid conclusions. The aim of this paper is to address a gap in the literature by comparing and contrasting the methodologies behind the two tools and by offering explanation and discussion of their outputs in terms of density and LOS. The study covers three major HCM freeway segment types (basic, on-ramp, and weaving) in under-saturated conditions. The assessment reveals that both tools are capable of replicating the field conditions after the calibration process. Finding show that LOS differs by maximum one grade between these tools. Segment density obtained from HCM methods is generally higher than the segment density from Vissim microsimulation.
Traffic Management Centers require dedicated management and staff with specialized skills and training. They rely on advanced technologies and require operating and capital funding. Investments in new technologies and services should... more
Traffic Management Centers require dedicated management and staff with specialized skills and training. They rely on advanced technologies and require operating and capital funding. Investments in new technologies and services should allow agencies to proactively manage and control traffic to optimize performance of a surface transportation system. The Utah Department of Transportation has commissioned a study to identify potential technological and service improvements for its TMC. The goal was to synthesize the current state of practice on applying innovative and advanced procedures, applications, and tools in TMC operations. This paper presents a summary of a broad web-based survey of transportation agencies and field visits to TMC agencies whose practices were recognized as most interesting for UDOT. The survey contained 22 questions which were developed for UDOT’s need to investigate improvement areas in its own operations. After reviewing responses from 54 agencies, a technica...
Research Interests:
The HCM 2010 does not provide a methodology to assess Level-of-Service (LOS), density, and space mean speed for oversaturated freeway weaving segments. In its supplemental chapters it suggests use of either analytical tool called FREeway... more
The HCM 2010 does not provide a methodology to assess Level-of-Service (LOS), density, and space mean speed for oversaturated freeway weaving segments. In its supplemental chapters it suggests use of either analytical tool called FREeway EVALuation (FREEVAL) or a commercial microsimulation software. This study evaluates ability of such tools to realistically generate density and speed on oversaturated freeway weaving segments. The study utilizes NGSIM data for an oversaturated weaving segment on a US 101 Hollywood Freeway in California to populate FREEVAL and VISSIM (a representative of commercial microsimulation software) models. Both models are calibrated, to the best possible extent, to replicate field data for the first two 15-minute intervals from NGSIM data set. The last 15-minute interval is used to assess ability of these tools to reproduce performance measures on an oversaturated freeway segment. Results show that FREEVAL is not able to accurately estimate both speed and density of oversaturated freeway weaving segment. On the other hand, the results showed that VISSIM microsimulation model can be successfully calibrated to replicate speed and density from the field but only after introducing a speed reduction areas to emulate effects of queue propagation from downstream (out of model) links.
Research Interests:
The New Mexico Statewide Travel Demand Model (NMSTDM) has served a number of purposes since its initial development, providing support for projects around the state such as traffic projections for engineering design projects and... more
The New Mexico Statewide Travel Demand Model (NMSTDM) has served a number of purposes since its initial development, providing support for projects around the state such as traffic projections for engineering design projects and Intermodal/Inland Port Facilities, and scenario testing project analysis for New Mexico Department of Transportation (NMDOT) Districts.
This report reviews national practices for State DOT travel demand models, different modeling platforms, various data sources available, the most common modeling concepts, and evaluates the NMSTDM. It concludes with specific recommendations on how the NMSTDM should be improved.
Research Interests:
Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2010 methodology for freeway operations contain procedures for calculating traffic performance measures both for undersaturated and oversaturated flow conditions. However, one of the limitations regarding... more
Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2010 methodology for freeway operations contain procedures for calculating traffic  performance measures both for undersaturated and oversaturated flow conditions. However, one of the limitations regarding oversaturated freeway weaving segments is that the HCM procedures have not been extensively calibrated based on field observations on U.S. freeways. This study validates
the HCM2010 methodology for oversaturated freeway weaving segment by comparing space mean speed and density obtained from HCM procedure to those generated by a microsimulation model. A VISSIM model is extensively calibrated and validated based on NGSIM field data for the US 101 Highway. Abundance of the NGSIM data is utilized to calibrate and validate the VISSIM model. Results show that HCM methodology has
significant limitations and while in some cases it can reproduce density correctly, the study finds that speeds estimated by the HCM methodology significantly differ from those observed in the field.
Research Interests:
Traffic Operation Centers (TOCs) require dedicated management and staff with specialized skills and training. They also rely on advanced technologies and require dedicated operating and capital funding. Each new investment in TOC‟s... more
Traffic Operation Centers (TOCs) require dedicated management and staff with specialized skills and training. They
also rely on advanced technologies and require dedicated operating and capital funding. Each new investment in TOC‟s technologies and/or services should allow agencies to proactively manage and control traffic in a manner that
optimizes the performance of a surface transportation system. The Utah Department of Transportation (UDOT) has
commissioned a study to identify potential technological and service improvements for UDOT Traffic Management Center (TMC). The goal of the study is to synthesize the current state of practice on applying innovative and advanced procedures, applications, and tools in operations of TMCs. This report presents outcomes from such a study which was divided into two major phases: a broad web-based survey of the selected agencies and a set of field visits to few of those agencies-leaders in TOC operations. The web based survey was administered through SurveyGizmo during April and May of 2012. Survey contained 22 questions which were developed in accordance
with UDOT needs to investigate improvements areas in its TOC operations. After reviewing responses from 54 agencies UDOT technical advisory team selected a list of TMCs which were good candidates to interview during a field visit. Two field-visit tours were organized. The first one was a tour of “Eastern States” TMCs between June 4th and 7th, during which TMCs of following DOTs were visited: Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Virginia. The second tour visited “Western States” TMCs, from July 9th to 11th, when the UDOT team visited California Department of Transportation (CALTRANS) offices in Sacramento and San Francisco and Kansas City SCOUT in Missouri. A literature review of some of the most prominent TMCs in the world shows some interesting international applications which may show directions in which US TMCs will go in near future. The report is
summarized through the best TMC practices from the field visits and literature review by providing a comprehensive list of the highlights at the end of the report (Chapter 6).
Research Interests: