Agrilife

This work analyzes the medium term effects of the recent commodity price spike in a typical Low-Income-Food-Deficit country, Malawi, as well as a set of possible policy responses. Simulations were performed with a single-country static Computable General Equilibrium model, based on the 2004 Malawi Social Accounting Matrix provided by IFPRI, modified with data from the 2004 household budget survey. Results

This report presents the simulations made with two different models of two alternative hypothetical versions of a bilateral free trade agreement between the EU and Mercosur. The two versions of the agreement are based on the final negotiating positions of each party in the previous unresolved negotiating round. A global CGE model, GLOBE, simulates the economy-wide impacts of the trade policy changes involving all sectors of the two regional blocks. A global partial equilibrium model, CAPRI

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance DAM (GERD) will become the largest dam and hydroelectric scheme in Africa; it is also one of the world’s most controversial dam projects and one of four large scale hydropower projects currently under construction in Ethiopia. Ethiopia’s endowment of water resources, with its 12 major river basins, is impressive but its potential to exploit is scarcely developed (AQUASTAT, 2005). It is estimated that over 85% of the Nile waters and sediment reaching Egypt originate from the Ethiopian highlands. Nevertheless the 1959 Nile Waters Treaty, between Egypt and Sudan, allocated well over 95% of the estimated available Nile waters to Egypt (75%) and Sudan (25%) thereby leaving very little to the other 8 states in the Nile basin. This study uses a variant of the GLOBE_EN, extended by segmenting the electricity generating sector between hydro and fossil fuel powered electricity generating sections in Ethiopia, Egypt and Rest of Eastern Africa (that includes Suda...

Examining the potential implications of changes in irrigation efficiency associated with improvements in water quality is crucial for the Egyptian economy. This study provides quantitative assessments for the impact of quality enhancements of different types of irrigation water under water scarcity conditions using a single country CGE (STAGE) model that is calibrated using a new SAM for Egypt. The SAM segments the agricultural accounts by season and by irrigation technology; Nile water-dependent and groundwater-dependent agricultural activities. The simulation results show that Egypt should be able to manage the potential reductions in the supply for Nile water with more efficient irrigation practice that secures higher productivity for Nile water, groundwater and irrigated land. The results however suggests more ambitious plan to boost irrigation efficiency for summer rice in order to overweight any potential shrinkages in its output and exports. Furthermore, the findings show tha...

This study provides quantitative assessments for the impacts of crop yields enhancement associated with changes in water quality and soil fertility. It employs a single country CGE (STAGE) model calibrated to an extended version of a recently constructed SAM for Egypt 2008/09. The main contribution of this study is incorporating satellite accounts for water quality indicators into the SAM/CGE framework. The SAM segments the agricultural accounts by season and by irrigation scheme; Nile water- and groundwater-dependent as well as rain-fed agricultural activities. The simulations report strong positive economy-wide impacts, which imply that the planned investments in water quality improvements are worthwhile even with very low generated crop yields. Furthermore, the results show that, without increasing irrigation water requirements, Egypt can achieve outstanding expansions in rice output and exports. This highlights the importance of by investing in improving irrigation water quality...