ARMS

ARMS
– active participation is a must
A
R - raise your hand if
you want
M answer or ask to

S question
ARMS

– make sure you are

ready!
ARMS

– silence is a must during

discussion
 What is Probability?
 What is the difference among
experiment, outcome, and sample
space?
 WORD DRILL
Probability Simple Probability
Experiment Event
Sample Space
DIAGNOSTIC TEST
Group Activity: Picture Analysis!
Picture 1 1. How many shirts are there?
A. 4 B. 2
2. How many pairs of short pants are there?
A. 2 B. 4
Picture 2 3. How many pairs of long pants are there?
A. 2 B. 4
4. How many different outfits can you choose?
A. 4 B. 8
5. How do you find your answer from number 4?
Picture 3 A. It is because you can pair these two shirts in
any of these lower garments.
B. It is because he can only pair two shirts in any
of his short pants.
 Have you at a certain time asked
yourself, what are my chances of
getting the correct answer in a
True/False-Type question?
Multiple choice question? Or
should I bring my umbrella
tomorrow?
 From the activity that you’ve done,
what do you think is our topic today?

*Probability of Simple Events

OBJECTIVE

At the end of the lesson, 75% of the

students are expected to:
S

1. describe simple event with the

given statement;
OBJECTIVE

2. state the importance of

probability of simple event to
real-life setting; and
S
OBJECTIVE

3. find the probability of

simple event with the given
S

problem.
 PROBABILITY OF SIMPLE
EVENTS
The probability of an event, P(event), is a
number from 0 to 1 which tells you how
likely the event is to be happened.
A simple event is one that can only happen
in one way - in other words, it has a single
outcome.
Probability of simple event can be calculated
using the formula:
or P(E) =
where E is the event, n(E) is the number of
favorable outcomes, while n(S) is the total
number of possible outcomes of an experiment
or the total number of outcomes in the sample
space.
To find the probability of an event to
occur, first we should know the total
number of possible outcomes or the
sample space (S), and second is to know
the number of times the event can occur
or the number of favorable outcome,
then use the formula.
Probability Rules:
* 1. If the event will never happen, then the
probability is 0.
Example: When a single die is rolled, find the
probability of getting an 8. In this situation, a die
containing 6 faces and each face contains a
number 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. Since the sample space
consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, it is impossible to
get an 8. Hence, P (8) = 0.
* 2. If an event is sure to happen, then the
probability is 1
Example: When a single die is rolled, what is
the probability of getting a number less than
7? Again, a die have 6 faces and each face
contains a number 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. So, you
can write P= 6/6 = 1.
* 3. The sum of the probabilities of all the
outcomes in the sample space is 1.
Example: In rolling a fair of die, each
outcome in the sample space has a
probability of 1/6. Hence, the sum of the
probabilities of the outcomes is 1. Why? It is
because 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 =
6/6 = 1.
*4. The probability of any event is a
number (either a fraction, a decimal,
or a percent) from 0 to 1.
Example: The weather forecast
shows a 70% rain.
P (rain) = 70%
Let’s do the example by using the formula of simple
event.
EXAMPLE 1:

PROBLEM: If you flip a coin once, what is the

probability of getting a head?
Solution:
When you flip a coin once, there are two possible
outcomes, either a head or a tail. So, to calculate the
probability of getting a head, we use the formula for
getting the probability of simple events.
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) where: P(E) is the probability of the
event (H). n(E) is the number of getting a head. n(S) is the
total number of possible outcomes.
P(H) = 1/2.
So, the probability of getting a head in flipping a coin
once is 1/2.
Example 2

PROBLEM: Given a standard die, what is the

probability of getting an odd number?
Solution:
There are three odd numbers in a die (1, 3, 5)
and there are six possible outcomes. Using the
formula, we get, P(odd number) = 3/6 = 1/2,
therefore the probability of getting an odd
number in rolling a die once is ½
1. What is the video all
about?
2. How important is the
video?
RUBRIC

Criteria 5 4 3 2
CORRECTN Able to provide Able to provide Able to provide Showed effort and
ESS accurate answer and appropriate steps. accurate answer and interest.
appropriate steps. showed nearly
acceptable solution.

TIMELINES Able to do the task Thirty (30) seconds One (1) minute Two (2) minutes
S on time. behind the time behind the time given. behind the time given.
given.
COOPERATI All the members of Several members of Few members of the Only selected
ON the group show the group show group show members of the group
cooperation and cooperation and cooperation and show cooperation and
actively participated actively participated actively participated actively participated
in doing the task. in doing the task. in doing the task. in doing the task.
Group 1: Find and solve the probability of the simple event
with the given situations, and answer the questions.

Problem: In Helen‘s bag, there are

5 blue marbles, 4 red marbles, 1
green marble, and 2 black marbles.
Suppose you draw 1 marble at
random.
Group 2: Make your own problem involving simple probability
and show your solution, then answer the follow up questions:

1. What formula did you used to come

with exact solution?
2. How did you know that the problem
you make is a simple probability? What
is your basis?
 The School of Palomoc National High School was conducted
a Reading Rrogram on each particular section in order to
determine their reading level. The table below shows the
number of grade 8 students who participated in the said
program and was categorized according to their reading
level.

Reading Level Number of Grade 8 Students

Frustration 8
Instructional 13
Independent 5
TOTAL
QUESTIONS:
1. How many Grade 8 students answered the
survey?
2. What is the probability that the reading level
is frustration?
3. If you are the reader, which reading level is
prefer to you? Why?
PROBLEM:
Your bag contains 3 chocolate candies, 5
orange candies and 7 durian candies. If
one candy is drawn at random from the
bag, find the probability of getting:
1. Durian candy
2. Chocolate candy
 In your Science subject, You were taught about the
pannet square. What is the importance of the panet
Square?
 Say for instance, we are to crossbreed a traits Tall
and short, what will be the probability of Tall and
short?

Therefore, given this pannet table, we can acquire

75% traits tall, and 25% traits short, since each table
contains 25%.
 In your English subject class,
you hear the word vowel, right?
 What are those vowel words? What is
the importance of vowel words in
English language?
*it helps in building blocks in speaking
language.
 VOWEL

 A box contains a letter of the word

BEAUTIFUL, Ana randomly
chosen a letter from the box. What
is the probability of picking vowel
letters?
 How would you state the importance of
probability to real life setting?

 Probability helps us make informed decisions,

and understand uncertain outcomes. Just like
a weather forecasting, Meteorologists use
probability to predict chances of rain, snow, or
other conditions.
APPLICATION

Now, can you imagine your

life without probability in
math?
 Directions: Determine whether each of the following is
an example of a simple event or not. Put a check inside
the box if it is.
EVENT Simple Event Not
1. A perfect square number turning up in
rolling a die once.
2. Choosing a vowel from the word
“HONESTY”
3. Getting 2 heads in flipping a coin twice.

4. Drawing a red ball from a bag containing 6

blue and 4 red balls.
5. Drawing a jack or an ace card from a deck of
52 cards
1. What is probability of simple events?
2. How do you describe simple events
with the given situation?
3. Why is it important to know the basis
in determining whether an event is
simple or not?
Multiple Choices.

Read and analyze carefully the

given questions. Write the letter of
the correct answer.
1. Which statement describe simple
event?
A. Choosing a vowel from the word
“MATHEMATICS”
B. Drawing a king or queen card
from a deck of 52 cards
C. picking red ball and a yellow ball
from the basket
D. Getting two tail in flipping a coin
twice.
2. How would you describe probability of simple events?
A. It is an event where one experiment happens at a
time and it will be having a single outcome.
B. It is an event where one experiment happens at a
time and it will be having a double outcome.
C. It is an event where one or two experiment happens
at a time and it will be having a single outcome.
D. It is an event where one experiment never happens
at a time and it will be having a single outcome.
3. A fair die is rolled once. What is the
probability that the number turning
up is not divisible by 3?
A. 2/3 B. 1/6
C. 1/3 D. ½
4. Marie‘s pencil case contains 7 blue
pencils, 8 yellow pencils and 3 red pencils.
If a pencil is randomly chosen from the
case, what is the probability of getting a
blue?
A.7/18 B. 4/9
C. 1/6 D. 0
5. How would you relate problems on probability in
real life situation?
A. probability is used by weather forecaster to
predict the weather conditions if there will be rain in
a certain area.
B. getting head is an example of simple events.
C. simple individual relies on life’s prediction.
D. probability is not used by scientists because
there is no enough evidence on it.