[go: up one dir, main page]

0% found this document useful (0 votes)
81 views15 pages

Probability of A Simple Events

Download as docx, pdf, or txt
Download as docx, pdf, or txt
Download as docx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1/ 15

Republic of the Philippines

Department of Education
BAYAMBANG NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL
Bayambang, Pangasinan
S.Y. 2022-2023

A Detailed Lesson Plan in

Mathematics 8

PROBABILITY

Prepared by:

MARIELLE S. MUNAR
Teaching Intern

Submitted to:

LEA L. MEDRANO
Cooperating Teacher

Noted: Approved:

CRISANTO P. ONG VIRGIL R. GOMEZ


SSHT VI, Mathematics Principal IV

Date of Submission: June 1, 2023


Date of Teaching: June 7, 2023
I. OBJECTIVES

At the end of a 60-minute lesson, the learner should be able to:

1. define probability;
2. describe simple event;
3. find the probability of simple event; and
4. apply the concept of probability of simple event in real-life settings.

II. SUBJECT MATTER

A. Topic: Probability of a Simple Event


B. References:
 Abuzo, & Bryant. (2013). Mathematics Learner’s Module (First
Edition). Book Media Press, Inc.
 Tambayan, D. (2023, May 27). Grade 8 Mathematics Module:
Finding the Probability of a Simple Event; DepEd Tambayan.
DepEd Tambayan. Retrieved from https://depedtambayan.net/wp-
content/uploads/2022/05/MATH8-Q4-MOD7.pdf
 Oronce, O. A. & Mendoza M. O. (2018). Exploring Math. Rex Book
Store, Inc.

C. Materials: PowerPoint Presentation, chalkboard and visual aids

D. Values Integration: Accuracy, Active Participation, Cooperation

III. PROCEDURES

Teacher’s Activity Student’s Activity


A. Preliminary Activities

Greetings: Good Morning Class! Good morning Ma’am!

Opening Prayer: Before we start our


lesson, let us all stand and pray first. (Student A will pray)
Student A, kindly lead the prayer.

Classroom Management: Kindly pick up (Students will pick up the trash


the trash under your chair, if any, and and arrange the chairs).
make sure that the chairs are properly
aligned

Checking of Attendance: Class secretary, None Ma’am


who’s absent today?

Okay, very good!


Collecting of Assignments: Please pass
your assignment in front.

B. Review

I have here illustrations, I would like you to


determine which of the Counting Methods
and Counting Techniques is used.

1.

Tree Diagram Ma’am.


What Counting Method and Technique in
an experiment is used in the illustration?

2.

Tabular Method

What Counting Method and Technique in


an experiment is used in the illustration?
3. FCP

What Counting Method and Technique in


an experiment is used in the illustration?

4.
Systematic Listing

What Counting Method and Technique in


an experiment is used in the illustration?

Very Good!
C. Motivation

Now let’s have a game entitled “What is my


Level of Certainty?”
The mechanics are:
1. The class will be divided into 8 groups.
2. Flash cards will be given to each group
with Impossible, Unlikely, Even Chance,
Likely and Certain written on it.
3. Determine what scale are each short
statements fall whether impossible,
unlikely, even chance, likely, or certain to
happen by raising your flash card with your
answer after saying “DARNA!”
5. You are given 5 seconds to answer each
statement.

Even Chance

Unlikely

1. There is 50% chance that I will win the Likely


game.
2. The weather forecast gives 25 % chance Certain
of rain tomorrow. Impossible
3. The chance that Jay is chosen to
represent his class in the Student Council
is 0.6. Even chance, likely, likely,
4. The month of December has 31 days. impossible and certain.
5. A pig flies.

D. Presentation of the Lesson Yes Ma’am.


From the given activity, what are the word The certainty of an event is the
written on your flash cards? possibility that it will really
happen.
Are you familiar with these?
Probability Ma’am.
Based on our activity, how do you describe
the certainty of an event?

What do we call this certainty or


uncertainty?

Very Good!
Today, we are going to define probability,
describe the probability of simple event, Probability is the measure of
find the probability of simple event and likelihood or chance that an event
apply the concept of probability of simple will happen or occur
event in real-life settings.

E. Development of the Lesson

What is a probability?

Very Good!

Probabilities are written as fractions or


decimals from 0 to 1 or as percent from 0%
to 100%. The higher an event ‘s
probability, the more likely that the event is
to happen.

Let us study the diagram.

Probability Rules:

1. If an event has a probability of 0, or 0%, Zero/Impossible Ma’am


then it will never happen or it is impossible
to happen. Because the faces of a die have
only 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6
Let’s say, A 7 turning up in a rolling a die
once.

What will be the probability of occurrence


of 7 in rolling a die?

How did you say so?

Very good! so the occurrence of 7 in rolling


a die is an impossible event.

2. If an event has a probability of .5 or 50% of winning and 50% losing


50%, then the event has the same chance the game.
or even chance to happen or not to
happen. In playing a chess game, the
player may win or lose. So, there
For example, winning in playing chess with are ½ or 50% chance of winning
your friend. or losing the game.

What is the probability of winning or losing


the game?

How did you say so?

1 or 100% Ma’am
Very good! Hence, your chance of winning
or losing the game is an even event.

3. If an event has a probability of 1, or


100%, then the event is certain to happen.

If today is Monday, what will be the


probability that tomorrow is Tuesday?

Therefore, the event that tomorrow will be Head or Tail


a Tuesday if today is a Monday is a ½, 50 %
certain event. ½, 50 %

4. The sum of the probabilities of all the ½ + ½ = 1, 50% + 50% = 100%


outcomes of an experiment is 1.

For example, Flipping a fair coin once.

What are the possible outcomes?


What is the probability of getting a head?
What is the probability of getting a tail?
Therefore, what is the sum of the
probabilities of all the possible outcomes?

Very Good!

There are different types of probability and


our focus on this lesson is the Simple
Event, it is an experiment that can only
happen in one way - in other words, it has
a single outcome.

Let us compare the following examples:


Because it will have more than
one outcome. When you flip a
coin twice, this experiment
Event Simple Not doesn’t happen at a time and it
Event will have two outcomes which are
Head and head, head and Tail,
Tail and Head, Tail and Tail.
1. A perfect square
number turning up in
rolling a die once.  A simple event has a single
outcome and is an experiment
2. Getting 2 heads in 
that happens at a time.
flipping a coin twice.
Why do we consider example 2 as not
simple event?

How do you describe a simple event?

The Probability of Simple Event can be


calculated using the formula: P(B) = ¼ Ma’am

Number of favorable Outcomes


P ( event )=
Number of all Possible Outcomes The spinner is divided into 4
congruent regions colored blue,
n( E) green, yellow and red. The
In symbol, P ( E )= number of favorable outcome that
n( S)
the spinner will land on color
Let's take a look at a few examples of blue is 1 out of 4. Using the
probability of simple events. formula, P ( B )= n( E) ,= 1
n(S) 4
Example 1. When you spin a spinner with
blue, red, green and yellow on it, what is
the probability that it will land on blue if it is The probability of getting an odd
spun once? number is ½.

How did you arrive at your answer? A fair die has 6 faces and
contains the numbers 1, 2, 3 ,4 ,5
and
6. Therefore, our sample space
has six elements because there
are six possible outcomes that
could occur when we roll a die
Very Good! once, and there are 3 odd
numbers in a die (1,3,5).
Example 2. Given a standard die, find the Therefore, using the formula,
probability of getting an odd number? P(odd number) = 3/6 or ½

How did you arrive at your answer?


There are 5 blue marbles, 4 red
marbles, 1 green marble and 2
black marbles, or a total of 12
marbles. Hence, there are 12
Example 3. In Ana‘s bag, there are 5 blue possible outcomes when we draw
marbles, 4 red marbles, 1 green marble, 1 marble from Anas’ bag.
and 2 black marbles. Suppose you draw 1
marble at random, calculate the probability There is only 1 green marble out
of: of 12. Hence, the remaining
a) not drawing a green marble. number of marbles that is not
green is 11.
How many are the possible outcomes
when we draw 1 marble from Ana’s bag? Using the formula, I get P(not
green) = 11/12

P(blue or red) = ¾
What will be the number of favorable
outcomes? There are 5 blue marbles and 4
red marbles. Hence it gives us 9
favorable outcomes for the two
Hence, what will be the probability of not colors out of 12 possible
drawing a green marble? outcomes. Using the formula, we
get, P(blue or red) = 9/12 = 3/12 .
Very Good!

b.) Probability of getting a blue or red


None Ma’am.
marble.

Kindly explain how did you arrive at your


answer?

The probability that it will land on


number less than 8 is 7/8.
Very good! Therefore, the probability of
getting a blue or red marbles is ¾.

Any questions on getting the probability of


simple event?
Using the formula,
Very Good! n( E) 7
P ( less than 8 )= =
n( S) 8
F. Fixing Skills.
Example 4. Given the spinner below, if it is
spun once, compute the probability that it The probability of getting matcha
will land on a number less than 8. or mango candy is 4/5.

Using the formula,


n( E )
P ( matcha∨mango ) =
n (S )
12 4
¿ =
How did you arrive at your answer? 15 5

Example 5. Your bag contains 3 chocolate


candies, 5 mango candies and 7 matcha
Probability is used by weather
candies. If one candy is drawn at random
forecasters to assess how likely it
from the bag, find the probability of getting
is that there will be rain, snow,
matcha or mango candy.
clouds, etc. on a given day in a
certain area.
How did you arrive at your answer?
In politics, predicting who will win
Very Good! the election by its supporters.
In Traffic, based on the factors
Application like the time of a day, when you
are in the city or the weather, etc.
How will you apply the concept of
probability of simple event in real-life
settings? Probability is the measure of
likelihood or chance that an event
will happen or occur.

A simple event has one


experiment happens at a time
and it will be having a single
outcome.
G. Generalization P ( event )
Number of favorable Outcomes
What is probability? ¿
Number of all Possible Outcomes

How will you describe a simple event?

What is the formula to find the probability


of Simple Event?

IV. EVALUATION
Directions: In ½ sheet of paper, read and solve the following questions. Write
your answer in simplest form.
1. Sakura is asked to choose a day from a week. What is the probability of
choosing a day which starts with S?
2. A box contains 7 red balls, 5 orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6 green balls and 3
balls. What is the probability of drawing out an orange ball?
3. Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of showing a
tail (T) followed by a head (H)?
4. If one letter is chosen at random from the word. TRUSTWORTHY, what is the
probability that the letter chosen is a consonant?
5. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of cards?

Solve the following carefully


then write the correct on the
space provided before
each number. Write your
answer in simplest form.
1. Pia is asked to choose a day
from a week. What is the
probability of choosing a
day which starts with S?
2. A box contains 7 red balls, 5
orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6
green balls and 3 blue
balls. What is the probability
of drawing out an orange ball?
3. Two fair coins are tossed
simultaneously. What is the
probability of showing a tail
(T) followed by a head (H)?
4. If one letter is chosen at
random from the word
TRUSTWORTHY, what is
the
probability that the letter
chosen is a consonant?
5. What is the probability of
getting an 8 from a deck of
cards?
Solve the following carefully
then write the correct on the
space provided before
each number. Write your
answer in simplest form.
1. Pia is asked to choose a day
from a week. What is the
probability of choosing a
day which starts with S?
2. A box contains 7 red balls, 5
orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6
green balls and 3 blue
balls. What is the probability
of drawing out an orange ball?
3. Two fair coins are tossed
simultaneously. What is the
probability of showing a tail
(T) followed by a head (H)?
4. If one letter is chosen at
random from the word
TRUSTWORTHY, what is
the
probability that the letter
chosen is a consonant?
5. What is the probability of
getting an 8 from a deck of
cards?
Solve the following carefully
then write the correct on the
space provided before
each number. Write your
answer in simplest form.
1. Pia is asked to choose a day
from a week. What is the
probability of choosing a
day which starts with S?
2. A box contains 7 red balls, 5
orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6
green balls and 3 blue
balls. What is the probability
of drawing out an orange ball?
3. Two fair coins are tossed
simultaneously. What is the
probability of showing a tail
(T) followed by a head (H)?
4. If one letter is chosen at
random from the word
TRUSTWORTHY, what is
the
probability that the letter
chosen is a consonant?
5. What is the probability of
getting an 8 from a deck of
cards?
V. ASSIGNMENT
Directions: On a one whole sheet of paper give a scenario or situation wherein
you can apply your knowledge about probability of simple events in real life. The
rubrics is given below.

You might also like