Endo Exo Analysis USD AUD
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Ram CaceresEndo Exo Analysis USD AUD
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Ram CaceresShort Bias USD
Long Bias USD
Total USD/AUD
Exo' deflation for AUD/USD = Short Bias AUD/USD = Exo' inflation for USD - However we do not
Exo' inflation for AUD/USD = Long Bias AUD/USD = Exo' deflation for USD - However we do not s
On an absolute basis the USD is losing its Purchasing Power. On a relative basis it is gaining Purchasing P
We have to be careful with AUD extreme deflationary economics because CA will act aggresively here a
In the background we have USD inflationary conditions and "loose" / easing monetary policy in the Unit
be required to "manage" the USD lower.
Our Fundamental Predisposition on USD is short on an absolute basis and long Relative to AUD (assumi
Now we are beginning to understand the currenct global Macro environment of "Currency Wars" & imp
Endogenous United States Endogenous Australia
High Scale 160 High Scale 160
Low Scale -150 SCORE Low Scale -150 SCORE ??? Bias AUD
Full Scale 310 36 Full Scale 310 0 ???
Half Scale 5 Half Scale 5
Exogenous USD/AUD Exogenous AUD/USD
High Scale 40 High Scale 40
Low Scale -40 SCORE Low Scale -40 SCORE
Full Scale 80 -14 Full Scale 80 -14 Short Bias AUD
Half Scale 0 Half Scale 0
USD AUD Total AUD/USD
SCORE SCORE
22 -14
r USD - However we do not simply add our scorecards together because deflation in Australia gives a short AUD/USD bias.
r USD - However we do not simply add our scorecards together because inflation in Australia gives a long AUD/USD bias.
it is gaining Purchasing Power against the AUD because the AUD is losing more of its Purchasing Power than the USD (assuming Endo' sco
will act aggresively here and we could be predicting inflation very soon and thus a move towards Long AUD/USD - AUD/USD is a leading ind
onetary policy in the United States is required in order maintain GDP Growth, Jobs Growth, Inflation internally. If USD goes too high this co
Relative to AUD (assuming AUD Endo constant) so short AUD/USD
f "Currency Wars" & importing inflation through weak currency / exports.
USD (assuming Endo' scoring for AUS is not inflationary).
AUD/USD is a leading indicator in itself and is dynamic may have already moved.
SD goes too high this could pose a deflationary threat to United States & CA may
