ADC直方图分析对鼻咽癌调强放疗患者放射诱导颞叶损伤的预测价值
ADC直方图分析对鼻咽癌调强放疗患者放射诱导颞叶损伤的预测价值
Abstract
Background: This study evaluated the predictive potential of histogram analysis derived from apparent diffusion
coefficient (ADC) maps in radiation-induced temporal lobe injury (RTLI) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) after
intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).
Results: Pretreatment diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) of the temporal lobes of 214 patients with NPC was retro-
spectively analyzed to obtain ADC histogram parameters. Of the 18 histogram parameters derived from ADC maps, 7
statistically significant variables in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis.
The final best prediction model selected by backward stepwise elimination with Akaike information criteria as the
stopping rule included kurtosis, maximum energy, range, and total energy. A Rad-score was established by combining
the four variables, and it provided areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91–0.98) and
0.89 (95% CI 0.81–0.97) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The combined model, integrating the Rad-
score with the T stage (p = 0.02), showed a favorable prediction performance in the training and validation cohorts
(AUC = 0.96 and 0.87, respectively). The calibration curves showed a good agreement between the predicted and
actual RTLI occurrences.
Conclusions: Pretreatment histogram analysis of ADC maps and their combination with the T stage showed a satis-
factory ability to predict RTLI in NPC after IMRT.
†
Dan Bao and Yanfeng Zhao contributed equally to this work.
*Correspondence: pumccancer@163.com
1
Department of Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research
Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences
and Peking Union Medical College, 17 Panjiayuan Nanli, Chaoyang District,
Beijing 100021, China
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
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Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 2 of 11
Key points
• Histogram parameters from pretreatment ADC maps are associated with RTLI in NPC.
• The ADC and combined models show better performance than the T stage alone.
• The combined model shows excellent performance in predicting RTLI in different subgroups.
Keywords: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma, Diffusion-weighted MRI, Temporal lobe, Radiation therapy, Radiomics
Fig. 1 Diagram for inclusion of patients into the study. IMRT = intensity-modulated radiotherapy, NPC = nasopharyngeal carcinoma,
RTLI = radiation-induced temporal lobe injury
Clinical data every 6 months in years 3–5, and annually thereafter. The
Clinical information was analyzed in this study, includ- endpoint of this study was the development of RTLI or
ing sex, age, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios, TNM the last follow-up for non-RTLI (> 36 months).
stage, pathologic subtype, treatment regimen, date
of pretreatment MRI scan, dosimetric parameters
including maximum dose for each temporal lobe, and Diagnostic criteria of RTLI
planning gross tumor volume including the primary The diagnostic criteria for temporal lobe injury (TLI)
nasopharyngeal tumor or enlarged retropharyngeal were as follows [28]: (a) white matter lesions with homo-
nodes. geneous high signal intensity on T2-weighted images and
low signal intensity on T1-weighted images without con-
trast enhancement, (b) contrast-enhanced lesions with or
Treatment regimen and follow‑up without necrosis on post-contrast T1-weighted images
All patients underwent a standard treatment regimen with heterogeneous signal abnormalities on T2-weighted
consisting of IMRT and concurrent or adjuvant chem- images, and (c) cysts or round or oval well-defined lesions
otherapy, with or without induction chemotherapy, with very high signal intensity on T2-weighted images
based on the National Comprehensive Cancer Network with a thin or imperceptible wall.
guidelines [26]. All patients were treated with IMRT
using the HiArt TomoTherapy system (Accuray, Sunny- Image acquisition
vale, CA) or a Varian-600CD linear accelerator (Varian All patients were examined using a 3.0-T MR scan-
Medical Systems, Palo Alto, CA) with a prescribed dose ner (GE Discovery MR 750; GE Healthcare, Chicago,
of 70–74 Gy in 30–33 fractions [27]. IL) with an 8-channel head and neck phased array coil.
After radiation therapy, patients routinely underwent DWI-MRI examinations were acquired axially using
follow-up MRI every 1–3 months during the first 2 years, a single-shot echo-planar imaging technique with a
Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 4 of 11
spectral pre-saturation attenuated inversion-recovery fat- characteristic curve (ROC) analyses of significant find-
suppressed pulse sequence (repetition time/echo time, ings and combined analyses were performed to evaluate
4000/51 ms; bandwidth, 250 kHz; field of view, 24 cm; the predictive performance. Sensitivity, specificity, nega-
slice thickness, 5 mm; slice gap, 1 mm; number of excita- tive predictive value, and positive predictive value with
tions, 6.0). Diffusion gradients were applied with b values 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. The areas
of 0 and 800 s/mm2. under the curve (AUC) were compared using the DeLong
method.
Temporal lobe segmentation According to the results of the multivariate analysis, the
ADC maps were automatically calculated from b0 and predictive model was visualized as a nomogram to strat-
b800 images using the MRI console. MRI images were ify the individual risk of RTLI. A calibration curve was
reviewed by two radiologists (with 18 and 5 years of expe- used to describe the agreement between predicted and
rience in head and neck imaging, respectively). A tempo- observed RTLI occurrence probabilities. The Hosmer–
ral lobe ROI was drawn on the b = 800 s/mm2 DWI of the Lemeshow test was performed to explain the goodness-
pretreatment MRI using ITK-SNAP (version 3.6.0-RCI; of-fit of the multivariate logistic model. Decision curve
http://www.itk-snap.org). The ROI was manually deline- analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical useful-
ated along the boundaries of the middle and lower por- ness by quantifying the net benefits of the predictive
tions of the bilateral temporal lobes from the top level of model in the validation set. The optimum cutoff value of
the cerebral peduncle to the bottom of the temporal lobe the signature was identified using ROC analysis based on
(Additional file 1: Figure S1). One junior radiologist (Dan its association with the RTLI outcome. Accordingly, the
Bao) manually delineated and a senior neuroradiologist patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups, for
(Yanfeng Zhao) verified that both were blinded to clini- which the RTLI predictive outcomes were compared by
cal outcomes. The ROIs were then propagated to ADC ROC analysis in subgroups within clinical–pathologic
maps. Inter-observer segmentation variability was evalu- factors from the entire dataset.
ated using the Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) [29] in 50
randomly selected patients. Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics were compared using the inde-
Histogram analysis pendent t test or the Mann–Whitney U test (for continu-
Quantitative analysis was performed by a radiologist with ous variables) and Pearson’s chi-square test or Fisher’s
five years of experience in head and neck MRI. For quan- exact test (for categorical variables). Statistical analyses
titative analysis, all ROIs were merged into the volume were conducted using SPSS (version 26.0; IBM, Armonk,
of interest in the ADC maps. Histogram features were NY) and R software (version 3.4.4; R Foundation, Vienna,
extracted using the non-open source software Analysis Austria). A two-sided p value less than 0.05 indicated a
Kit (Version v3.0.1. A, GE Healthcare) with the following significant difference.
parameters: skewness, kurtosis, entropy, energy, range,
uniformity, mean, median, minimum, maximum, vari- Results
ance, 10th percentile, 90th percentile, interquartile range Patient characteristics
(IQR), mean absolute deviation, robust mean absolute A total of 214 patients with pathologically proven NPC
deviation, root mean square, and total energy. and IMRT treatment (median age 47.50 years; IQR 37.8–
56 years; 69 females) were included, including 135 in the
Development and validation groups training set and 79 in the validation set. During follow-
The training cohort used 60% of the dataset and the vali- up, 107 patients were confirmed with RTLI (bilateral,
dation cohort used the remaining 40%. Univariate and 23; left, 39; right, 45). The median duration of follow-up
multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed from the pretreatment MRI was 33.4 months (IQR 26.2–
using the training data to determine the predictive fac- 41.9 months) in the RTLI group and 61.4 months (IQR
tors for RTLI. The backward stepwise was used to select 53.5–68.5 months) in the non-RTLI group. The baseline
variables included in the best models, and the Akaike’s clinical characteristics are given in Table 1. No significant
information as the stopping criterion [30, 31]. A function differences were observed between the training and vali-
based on the variance inflation factor was used to check dation groups (all p > 0.05). The rates of RTLI occurrence
the collinearity of the variables included in the regression were 55.56% (75/135) and 40.50% (32/79) in the training
equation, with a variance inflation factor greater than and validation cohorts, respectively.
10 indicating multicollinearity [32]. Receiver operating
Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 5 of 11
Temporal lobe segmentation analysis for predicting RTLI occurrence in the training
In assessing the reliability of segmentation, the intra- cohort (Additional file 1: Table S1).
reader Dice value was 0.981 ± 0.002 (range 0.979–0.982).
Multivariate analysis of histogram parameters
Univariate analysis of histogram parameters Statistically significant variables in the univariate analy-
Of the 18 histogram parameters derived from ADC maps, sis were included in the multivariate logistic regression
energy, kurtosis, maximum, minimum, range, skew- analysis. The final best prediction model selected by
ness, and total energy were significant in the univariate backward stepwise elimination with Akaike information
Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 6 of 11
Table 2 Results of multivariate logistic regression histogram parameters in the training set
Variable β SE Wald p OR 95% CI
Lower Upper
Table 3 Clinical predictive factors according to univariate and multivariate logistic regression in the training set
Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
Coefficient OR (95% CI) p Coefficient OR (95% CI) p
criteria as the stopping rule included kurtosis (p = 0.06), log (Rad − scrore) =10.34 ± 0.28 × Kurtosis + 0.005
maximum energy (p = 0.05), range (p = 0.06), and total × Maximum ± 0.004 × Range
energy (p < 0.001) (Table 2). ± 8.28E − 11 × Total Energy
Fig. 2 Nomogram and calibration curves. a A nomogram was developed in training cohort, with Rad-score and T stage incorporated. Calibration
curves of the nomogram in (b) training and (c) validation cohorts
independent predictors (Rad-score and T stage) was 0.89) was slightly higher than that of the combined model
developed and presented as a nomogram (Fig. 2A (AUC, 0.87) in the validation cohort, but the difference
and Additional file 1: Table S2). The calibration plots was not significant (p = 0.47).
showed that the predicted RTLI probabilities of the After obtaining the risk scores based on the combined
combined model were in excellent agreement with model, an optimal threshold of 0.55 was determined
actual observations (Fig. 2B and C). The Hosmer– according to the maximized Youden index from the train-
Lemeshow test of model calibration showed no depar- ing cohort. Accordingly, all patients were classified into
ture from a good fit, with no statistical significance high- (Rad-score ≥ 0.55) and low-risk (Rad-score < 0.55)
(p = 0.23). RTLI groups (Additional file 1: Figure S3). Accord-
ing to the proposed risk classifier, the combined model
Performance and validation of predictive models achieved a sensitivity of 81.3% and a specificity of 82.0%
The ROC curves of the Rad-score and the combined for predicting RTLI in the validation cohort, whereas the
model are shown in Fig. 3 and Table 4. Compared with positive and negative predictive values were 81.3% and
the T stage alone (AUC, 0.63 [95% CI 0.52–0.74]), both 87.2%, respectively. Moreover, when the patients were
the Rad-score (p < 0.001) and the combined model stratified based on clinicopathological factors, the overall
(P < 0.001) exhibited better predictive performance for diagnostic accuracy of the risk classifier was excellent in
RTLI after IMRT. The AUC value of the Rad-score (AUC, all subgroups (AUC, 0.79–0.98). The performance of the
Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 8 of 11
Fig. 3 Performances of two models in training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. a, b Rad-score, including four histogram parameters. c, d
Combined model, integrated T stage and four histogram parameters
Table 4 Predictive performances of two models in predicting the radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in the training and
validation cohort
Model AUC 95% CI Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
Lower Upper
Model—ADC
Training cohort 0.95 0.91 0.98 0.85 (64/75) 0.93 (56/60) 0.94 (64/68) 0.83
(56/67)
Validation cohort 0.89 0.81 0.97 0.75 (24/32) 0.89 (42/47) 0.83 (24/29) 0.89
(42/47)
Model—combined
Training cohort 0.96 0.92 0.99 0.88 (66/75) 0.93 (56/60) 0.94 (66/70) 0.86
(56/65)
Validation cohort 0.87 0.78 0.96 0.81 (26/32) 0.82 (41/50) 0.81 (26/32) 0.87
(41/47)
AUC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CI = confidence interval, NPV = negative predictive value, PPV = positive predictive value. *Features used
for the Model-ADC are kurtosis, maximum, range, and total energy
While histogram analysis has been successfully dem- showing the maximum ADC may reflect the lowest cellu-
onstrated in various organs [33–35] and the predictive lar area within the temporal lobe. However, the results of
potential of radiomics features has been explored in RTLI our study indicate that the maximum value was positively
in NPC patients [21, 22, 24, 25], the utility of histogram correlated with RTLI occurrence, which contradicts our
parameters in predicting RTLI still needs to be further previous hypothesis. It is difficult to provide a reasonable
investigated. As previously suggested, image heteroge- explanation based on the current research, and further
neity is correlated with physiological heterogeneity [20]. research on the histological proof of temporal lobe het-
We found that some of the histogram parameters derived erogeneity and RTLI occurrence is required.
from ADC mapping of the temporal lobes were associ- Compared with other studies that established predic-
ated with RTLI occurrence. Kurtosis yielded the highest tion models for predicting RTLI based on pretreatment
(negative) coefficient in selected histogram parameters, MRI parameters, the AUC of the model in this study was
which is a measure of the “peakedness” of the distribution lower than that of the prediction model based on radi-
of values in the image ROI [36]. A lower kurtosis implies omics features extracted from contrast-enhanced T1- or
that the mass of the distribution is concentrated toward fat-suppressed T2-weighted MRI (AUC, 0.89 vs. 0.92)
a spike near the mean value, implying that the temporal [24], and higher than that of the proposed model based
lobes were more functionally homogeneous. The range on features extracted from T1- and T2-weighted MRI
represents the range of gray values in the voxel of inter- (AUC, 0.82) [25]. Therefore, the prediction model based
est (VOI), whereas total energy refers to the value of the on ADC histogram parameters showed persuasive per-
energy feature scaled by the volume of the voxel in m m3 formance in predicting RTLI in NPC, and the feasibility
[36]. Higher values of range and total energy may indicate of a multiparametric MRI model to predict RTLI should
the complexity of the tissue components. In this study, be explored in future studies.
lower values of kurtosis, range, and total energy, which Concerning clinical predictors, the T stage was identi-
led to a higher Rad-score, were associated with patients fied as a clinical predictor for RTLI in our study, which
more prone to developing RTLI. As no histological was consistent with the findings of Wen et al. [9] and
proof of the precise mechanism that leads to RTLI and Guan et al. [8]. This study demonstrated that the nomo-
its association with the heterogeneity of temporal lobes gram incorporating histogram parameters and T stage
was available by this point, we can hypothesize that less yielded satisfactory predictive performance, with favora-
heterogeneous image textures corresponded to the abun- ble calibration and positive net reclassification improve-
dance of cells in the VOI of the temporal lobe, with the ment. DCA also illustrated that both the combined model
cells arranged tightly and regularly [37, 38]. Furthermore, and the Rad-score outperformed the T stage alone in
the abundant blood supply and high oxygen demand of predicting RTLI occurrence, but interestingly, the com-
the corresponding temporal lobe, which means greater bined model did not significantly improve the predictive
sensitivity to radiotherapy [39, 40], were more prone to performance compared to the Rad-score; a similar lack of
developing RTLI. It is well known that a high cell den- improvement in the extended model compared with indi-
sity is associated with a low ADC [41, 42], and the region vidual components has been previously observed in brain
Bao et al. Insights into Imaging (2022) 13:197 Page 10 of 11
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carcinoma. Eur Radiol 32:1106–1114 lished maps and institutional affiliations.