TM Forum GenAI - Driving Intel in NLM Report
TM Forum GenAI - Driving Intel in NLM Report
org
driving intelligence
in network lifecycle
automation:
focus on Asia-Pacific
sponsored by:
Large CSPs in countries such as Australia, India, Indonesia, are well positioned to exploit the potential of AI and
Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, machine learning. Mark Sanders, Telstra’s Chief Architect,
South Korea and Thailand (note that this report does not notes that many of his engineers are curious about the
include China) are seeing some early value from domain- possibilities of AI, and he adds that they are running
specific deployments that allow them to build the skill sets projects outside regular working hours.
needed to work with intelligence, without the complexities
of cross-domain data gathering or processes. Successful Where’s the value?
projects include anomaly detection for service assurance The graphic at the top of the next page from our AI
and task-specific models in the radio access network Benchmark report highlights an interesting aspect of this
(RAN). Smaller CSPs, or those in developing markets, do enthusiasm in that respondents expect high potential
not have as many intelligence projects underway, and impact from adding intelligence in all three survey
it is unclear whether they will invest heavily unless the categories: customer experience, operations and new
use case solves a significant pain point or provides well- product development. It’s unclear whether this means
documented return on investment (ROI). that there are equally exciting opportunities across the
company or that respondents don’t have a firm idea of
TM Forum surveys conducted this year and last have where the real value will come from yet.
found much enthusiasm and confidence in AI and machine It is unclear
learning among CSPs in the Asia-Pacific region – although This issue of value recognition is one of several challenges whether smaller
the number of respondents from the region is small for CSPs operating in Asia-Pacific. On the technical side, CSPs will invest in
compared to the full group of global respondents. Level 3 onwards of TM Forum’s Autonomous Network
intelligence unless
maturity model, where machine learning begins to be
Our AI Benchmark survey, for example, found that a full deployed across the network, is much more challenging
the ROI is clear.
85% of APAC CSP respondents believe their organizations than earlier levels.
4 inform.tmforum.org
Problems include but are not limited to legacy Where will AI / ML most positively impact
infrastructure, data quality, lack of organizational skill sets,
and several issues related to governance, data privacy and
the telecoms business? (APAC responses)
risk management.
Customer experience / CRM
47%
n We have an architectural
roadmap / vision which we
adhere to strictly
53%
TM Forum, 2024
5 inform.tmforum.org
section 1
6 inform.tmforum.org
Network lifecycle automation (NLA) is the use of intelligence and automation to create end-
to-end processes across multiple domains within a CSP’s environment such as the RAN, IP
transport network and mobile core network, and across multiple vendors’ solutions. Adding
intelligence and automation results in many new capabilities such as fault resolution for the
self-healing network and prediction to allow better network planning.
The six main NLA processes are shown in the graphic (TM Forum defines intent as “the formal specification
on the next page with a rough timeline of intelligence of all expectations, including requirements, goals, and
deployment depicted by the arrow. Rollout typically constraints given to technical systems”.)
starts with descriptive intelligence used in service
assurance scenarios and progresses downward and to Network deployment and maintenance. This process
the right to become prescriptive, encompassing many includes all activities enabling the deployment,
operational processes. The black text shows use cases commissioning, self-configuration, testing and
with the need for machine learning while pink text validation of networks – including RAN-specific
highlights future use cases for Generative AI (GenAI) or actions such as neighbor relations.
other LLM tools. A description of each process follows.
Service orchestration. Service orchestration
Service assurance, trouble management and designs, creates, delivers and monitors service
self-healing. The assurance process includes the offerings, requiring automation that spans order
deployment of AI in operations (AIOps) and other handling, service or resource provisioning, network
intelligence to handle the high volumes of data orchestration, policy management, and assurance. It
generated in 5G networks and to provide complex aims to move from early automation in order handling
anomaly detection, correlation and causal analysis. towards the automated deployment of services
Automation using AIOps will also be necessary to on the (increasingly hybrid and complex) network
move to a self-healing network. and automated assurance of those services against
Adding intelligence
customers’ service level agreements (SLAs) and
Network management. This category contains all intents.
and automation
processes for managing and optimizing network results in many new
domains, including specialized machine learning use capabilities.
cases in the RAN and power management. It also
includes the development of intent-based networks
7 inform.tmforum.org
Network planning/capacity management. Examples of intelligence deployed in
This process includes the strategic design of the
network to meet current and future needs, including
network lifecycle automation
topological design, network dimensioning and Descriptive Diagnostic Predictive Prescriptive
simulations. Capacity management, requiring the
Assurance, Data management Root cause analysis Prediction of future Automated raising
automation of traffic analysis and diagnostics, for monitoring and (automated) issues and their and remediation of
trouble management
forecasting of future capacity needs, and automated and self-healing reporting Anomaly detection impact trouble tickets
8 inform.tmforum.org
Autonomous network levels Specialist mathematical tasks such as those used in
the RAN to calculate tilt on an antenna
5
The system has closed-loop automation of intelligence rollouts. Cloud deployments come from
capabilities across multiple services, multiple
domains (including partners’ domains) and the the IT world with some intelligence in their lifecycle
entire lifecycle via cognitive self-adaptation.
automation processes, and with 5G Advanced on the
Highly autonomous network: horizon, intelligence will be needed within the service
In a more complicated cross-domain
experience-driven networks via AI modeling The next few years will see the broad deployment of
and continuous learning.
intelligence across NLA areas. Some use cases have solid
3
Conditional autonomous network: ROI, such as the potential to save network capex and
The system senses real-time environmental
changes and in certain network domains opex using models that optimize capacity or improve
will optimize and adjust itself to the external
environment to enable, closed-loop management network design and planning. Other deployments
via dynamically programmable policies. underpin a move up the levels of the autonomous
1
Assisted operations and maintenance:
The system executes a specific, repetitive
subtask based on pre-configuration, which can
be recorded online and traced, in order
to increase execution efficiency.
The next few years
Manual operations and maintenance: will see the broad
0 The system delivers assisted monitoring
capabilities, but all dynamic tasks must be
executed manually.
deployment of
intelligence across
NLA areas.
TM Forum, 2024
9 inform.tmforum.org
Focus on GenAI When will GenAI / LLMs have a significant
GenAI is currently mainly used in improving human
interactions. A first wave of automation using non-
impact on your business? (APAC responses)
intelligent technologies such as robotic process
automation (RPA) and rules-based analytics has 11%
significantly reduced the time it takes for humans to
complete repetitive tasks. This has helped CSPs make
improvements in areas such as scheduling of field
services.
10 inform.tmforum.org
section 2
how much AI
and machine
learning
are CSPs
implementing
today?
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TM Forum’s AI Benchmark survey finds that 65% of CSP respondents in the Asia-Pacific region
agree with the statement: “We have made good progress in using AI and machine learning in
different parts of our business.” However, the reality on the ground is that a relatively small
number of machine-learning models are actually in production.
The graphic on the next page shows the results of our 5. Network deployment and maintenance including
analysis into APAC CSPs’ use of intelligence in the six predictive maintenance and self-configuration
main NLA processes outlined in the previous section. of the network
This analysis comes from primary and secondary research 6. Intelligence to support humans including digital
material from TM Forum, recent (and past) discussions assistants
with vendors and CSPs, plus publicly available vendor
case studies. These steps were then divided further into the primary
tasks to be completed in each step. For example, service
To conduct the analysis we split each of these six provisioning requires tasks such as “automatic creation
processes into multiple steps: of technical work orders” and “automated testing of
service”.
1. Automated service orchestration including
service provisioning, resource management and Each task was then considered against two questions:
services design
2. Automated and intelligent network planning 1. Does intelligence need to be added? If the task
and capacity management including automated needed AI or machine learning, it was added to others
planning tools within the process that also needed intelligence. Based
3. Intent-based networks and automation in network on this, we calculated the percentage of tasks within
management including domain orchestration power each process that need intelligence (see the primary A relatively small
management, RAN management and axis shown in the graphic). number of machine-
service orchestration learning models are in
4. Automated assurance, trouble management and 2. What is the progress to date? Are the most advanced production in
self-healing including automated resource and fault tier-1 CSPs that are claiming they have deployed the Asia-Pacific.
management, proactive fault management, and functionality really deploying it, or is it still only on
assurance of customer experience vendor PowerPoint?
12 inform.tmforum.org
Our measurements of progress were as follows: Progress of intelligence deployment in NLA
1 = nothing much developed, but discussions seen in
100% 5.00
industry groups and academic settings
2 = some intelligence available from vendors for a 90%
single use case but not as sophisticated as it could 4.50
be (meaning, there are some diagnostic capabilities 80%
13 inform.tmforum.org
section 3
examples of
intelligence
in network
lifecycle
automation
14 inform.tmforum.org
This section of the report builds on our assessment of the use of intelligence in network lifecycle
automation, providing examples from CSPs and suppliers operating in the Asia-Pacific region.
Data from the network and many other sources (test Getting assurance data to the right
data, weather patterns and customer sentiment, for destination. To meet enterprise customers’
example) is needed in service assurance, alongside new requirements for new services and to ensure
machine-learning models to deal with this increasing satisfaction for all customers, CSPs must
volume of data and to undertake anomaly detection, integrate their data and operations across
The last few
prediction and optimization. In addition, virtualized diverse and complex ecosystems. Delivering the right
data (a mix of assurance, inventory and external third-
years have seen
networks require assurance to span both enterprise IT
and traditional networks, and 5G will increasingly blur the party data) to the right people and processes at the right improvements in
line between the two as enterprise workloads run at the time will provide new visibility and automation to support network resilience
network’s edge. Machine learning models are needed to these new services. from the adoption
deal with the volume of data from multiple domains. of virtualization and
automation.
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An example of AI-driven service assurance from An example of a CSP using intelligence in RAN
Thailand’s AIS is featured in TM Forum’s Autonomous management again comes from AIS, which must deal
Networks Journey Guide. AIS designed a proactive with frequent power interruptions during Thailand’s rainy
approach that consolidates near-real-time customer season. Storms trigger thousands of cell outages monthly,
experience data, network events and process insights causing degradation of customer experience and revenue
using AI models to enable proactive intervention and loss. AIS has introduced the Cell Outage Detection and
optimization. The strategic initiative aims to promptly Compensation (CODC) solution to ensure swift detection
detect and address poor customer experience, utilizing of cell outages, precise coordination of compensation and
intelligent and automated integration to identify problem optimized network performance (see graphic).
areas or potential root causes and integrate this capability
into the complaint process to resolve customers’ network
problems and improve satisfaction. Remote repair in cell out-of-service scenarios
2. Network management
Intelligence in network management is needed across 1. Outage detection 2. Cell recovery (D-SON)
domains such as:
16 inform.tmforum.org
The solution constitutes a remote repair mechanism, In addition to device-level power management, CSPs are
which orchestrates a near-real-time response to cell looking at network power balancing, which uses traffic
outages after triggering an alarm when a cell outage steering to provide the optimum network footprint
is identified. The system determines the exact point of for energy-saving, as well as management of power-
traffic impact and selects the most suitable neighboring related assets such as batteries or air conditioning and
cell for load balancing. Mechanisms for optimization of management of power backup to ensure optimum
radio frequency coverage are put in place, along with battery backup for emergencies.
ongoing monitoring of KPIs.
Intent-based networks. The process of
Power management. This is a popular deploying intent-based networks (see sidebar
area for intelligence deployment, given its on p.18) has started with services like network
ability to decrease opex in an era of rising slicing. Still, automation capabilities, new
energy costs. A proof of concept from intelligence and orchestrators are required
Globe Telecom in the Philippines showed how to across the network to increase the kinds of intents that
automatically switch off idle equipment when not in can be fulfilled. Intelligence will be required in intent-
use, using AI and machine learning to understand the based networking to define the behavior expected from
energy utilization pattern of network elements. Using the network, creating end-to-end service goals and KPIs
energy efficiency software-as-a-service, Globe Telecom for each domain. It is also needed to dynamically optimize Learn more about network
automation use cases in
was able to achieve the equivalent of annual power and remediate services; to deal with multiple, potentially
TM Forum’s Autonomous
savings ranging from 3% to 6%. conflicting intents; to calculate the benefit to customer Networks Journey Guide:
experience or cost in taking a particular action; and to
The solution “uses AI/ML to learn the energy utilization control risk by predicting the outcome of decisions.
< Back to Contents
pattern of each network element, like the base station”, AN JOURNEY GUIDE
Gerard Ortines, Head of Network Solutions and Capex Digital Nasional Berhad (DNB), a special-purpose vehicle Autonomous
Management at Globe Telecom, explained to TM Forum.
“In turn, it reduces energy cost without compromising
company and wholesale mobile operator established in
2021 to serve the six national operators of Malaysia, is
Networks
the network performance and is easy to implement… implementing intent-based network operations, with a Empowering digital
transformation –
[The solution] enables dynamic energy consumption goal of ensuring that 5G connectivity is affordable for SEPTEMBER 2023 evolving from Level 2/3
towards Level 4
through advanced algorithms based on real-time Malaysians. DNB is adding automation and intelligence to
network traffic while maintaining premium mobile network management, and the deployment is delivering Objective: to share the latest updates of business
requirements, architecture, capabilities and collaborative
impressive results.
activities, best practices, and reference implementations on
17 inform.tmforum.org
For example, auto-analysis and correlation of alarms and
actuation in the network led to a 500% reduction in alarm
count six months after its introduction, and AI-based
predictive 5G network management using network data
resulted in network uptime greater than 99.8%.
18 inform.tmforum.org
Analytics and machine learning can also 4. Service orchestration
optimize tools for the allocation of design and Automation has been available for some time within
field resources needed for making changes and certain parts of the service lifecycle such as service
emergency repairs to the network. Coverage assurance, but the end-to-end provisioning and
optimization tools allow antenna attributes such deployment of the service on the network depends on
as height, tilt and azimuth to be calculated from the availability of suitable orchestration and the ability to
a three-dimensional photograph, and tools for modify multiple network elements. With the introduction
capacity auditing and acceptance compare of service orchestration solutions, vendors are articulating
sites’ current performance with baseline goals, intelligence use cases for:
capturing possible issues such as installation
problems or equipment defects. Prescriptive and predictive capabilities to enable
deployment of the complex set of new network
Ongoing site management tools. Intelligence technologies, devices and features
solutions in this area include “humans in the Detection of unusual patterns or outliers in
loop” with use cases such as technicians inventory data
running power into a cell site, installing Understanding patterns of change in the inventory
equipment, connecting cables and troubleshooting database to provide information on how the network
connectivity. is evolving
The ability to define new services using GenAI –
Testing. CSPs are beginning to include humans would use declarative statements to provision
testing as part of closed-loop service and new services, such as “provide a connectivity solution
network orchestration, allowing end-to-end for secure communication from point A to point B”.
service orchestration and rapid deployment
of network functions and devices. Intelligence provides Telstra has been using a service orchestration solution
anomaly detection for diagnostics and a range of and TM Forum Open APIs to integrate new domains
predictions, including future performance and potential such as cloud and SD-WAN with established wireless and
failure scenarios. transport domains, with an average seven day shorter
order fulfilment time. Service composition is first defined
in a declarative template, with the solution automatically
designing the service based on specified parameters such
as latency before instantiating it. It can modify or terminate
the service using workflows dynamically generated from
the service template and provide end-to-end management
and visibility of services.
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Closed-loop operation then enables the composite Intelligence used in network planning and capacity management
domain to maintain the required service level throughout
the lifecycle of the service as conditions and capabilities
change in the underlying domains. Visualization & Design Analysis & Diagnostics
5. Network planning / capacity management Machine learning to provide an Detailed traffic analysis to find
Planning and capacity management are areas where understanding of the network and high-value areas and bottlenecks
optimum connectivity of network
intelligence and automation can result in significant capex
components based on factors like
and opex savings. The past four to five years have seen Network diagnostics providing
cost or customer experience
real-time fault analysis and
the emergence of the first tools adding intelligence to understanding poorly performing
the planning team’s activities. The infographic opposite Improved network dimensioning network elements
(determining how to meet minimum
describes the typical use cases for intelligence in network capacity requirements at peak hour)
Load balancing predictions used
planning and capacity management. Sanders notes that in demand forecasting and long-term
Telstra’s team tended to be very experienced but was still Simulation tools including ‘what-if’ predictions of network behavior
analysis and future use of digital twin
using multiple manual planning and design documents,
which created a large labor cost to support.
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“I’ve met a lot of network experts in this industry that Onsite technology. There are a range of newer
are trying to find some real-time data monitoring or root AI technologies for field technicians undertaking
cause analysis use cases for GenAI. But I don’t think it’s tasks such as running power, installing equipment
possible at this moment,” Chung Suk-guen, Chief Global connecting cables and troubleshooting
AI Officer at SK Telecom, said during an interview for the connectivity, which require intelligence. For
report. “GenAI is not fast enough to handle tons of data in example, video-based tower inspections can
real time. And also, the data is not human readable.” be conducted using a drone to stream video to
the ground operator’s mobile device. This uses
That said, there is a range of (mostly) AI-related computer vision to detect issues with the radio
functionality that could be added in the future to support tower installation in real time.
operations teams, such as:
Computer vision can also identify potential
Support for more complex problems. problems with cable weatherproofing or color
Increasingly, intelligence will be built as digital coding (to identify crossed cables). This AI
assistants to support more complex problem can be augmented with a convolutional neural
solving. These will use data from inside and network (CNN) to identify “bad” versus “good”
outside the organization, as needed. cabling installations. And optical character
recognition can locate the sticker or tag area
More intelligent interactions. Here, machines in images to bring back information about the
start to interact on a more ad-hoc basis, offering details of installed equipment.
suggested corrections (or making automatic
corrections) where human error has crept in. Finally, deep neural networks could also check
A machine may also proactively undertake tasks for installation issues: Are cables neatly bound?
as it perceives a need based on human activity Is equipment that was expected to be deployed
in the recent past. evident in photos of the base station taken as the
engineer leaves?
Support for specialist tasks. GenAI is used
to support declarative statements (allowing The next section offers CSPs advice for increasing Increasingly,
humans to express their high-level objectives in deployment of AI and machine learning in operations.
natural language). It can also be used for code
intelligence will
creation (for example, real-time creation of API be built as digital
script), or it may be involved in the creation and assistants to support
maintenance of documentation. more complex
problem solving.
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section 4
make it happen –
strategies to
take advantage
of new
intelligence
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CSPs operating in the Asia-Pacific region are shifting the focus of intelligence deployment
towards the task of industrializing AI practices. In doing so, they are moving from an early
phase of experimenting in multiple AI projects to developing and implementing an
AI and machine learning strategy that enables them to make good decisions commercially
and technically. Here are four actions that require immediate attention.
Determine the real benefits of implementation intelligence skill sets without needing complex
Creating intelligence roadmaps is difficult. A cross-domain data gathering
large CSP may have developed hundreds of
machine learning models, of which only a small Place within a particular value stream – again,
handful are currently in useful deployment. the project may not bring much immediate
One executive we spoke with commented on financial value but may be an integral part of a
the disjointed approach to AI that is often seen wider NLA goal that will fail without it
today and the tendency to focus on the next new
and exciting technology. Intelligence projects Board-level enthusiasm – many early
should be selected based on a mixed set of intelligence projects have failed to develop
measurements, including: the necessary models, so the highest levels of
management may need to evangelize AI more
Financial value to the organization, both widely across the company.
individually and as part of the total vision
for network lifecycle automation Take a mature approach to road
map development
Immediate feasibility given the maturity of Building out a new technology without an
models and experience within the organization overarching vision risks creating a whole new
layer of technical complexity and debt. CSPs
Immediate usefulness for building knowledge should take a step back to understand any
and experience – for example, small domain- weaknesses in their current road maps for using
specific automation that includes machine intelligence. Questions to ask include:
learning may not offer a huge financial upside
but could provide an opportunity to build
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Have we selected the simplest possible solution Create a robust intelligence discipline
to each problem, given that this may also be the One of CSPs’ key strengths is their background
most cost effective and have the highest chance in developing sophisticated capabilities in
of success? network engineering. This kind of thinking will
also be needed when deploying intelligence
Are we moving swiftly down the path of into NLA. The creation of a small, centralized
creating reusable data assets? Without these team supporting intelligence and automation
there is a risk of creating silos of data or efforts should be considered. The team might
duplicating requests from the network or other include technical experts and business-focused
equipment for the same data. employees responsible for ongoing development
of vision and strategy, business cases, and risk
Do we need a plan (in conjunction with others management.
in the industry) to introduce a more open
ecosystem around intelligence that limits the An example of this type of team has been
reduction in the value of our data by allowing running in Telstra for the last five months.
third parties, such as vendors, to benefit from The team begins by reaching out to areas
ingesting it into their models? where intelligence and automation could be
deployed to answer questions and demonstrate
Is there an evaluation process that removes potential value to skeptical team members. It
in-progress projects where the intelligence is brings technical expertise (as needed) as well
failing? This could be because the problem as commercial expertise, drafting business
requires more mature models than used or cases and analyzing the operational benefits of
because the models are proving problematic (for projects.
example, they are prone to creating subtle and
difficult-to-spot errors).
One of CSPs’
key strengths is
their background
in developing
sophisticated
capabilities in network
engineering.
24 inform.tmforum.org
Build an intelligence-native team New job titles should be considered for
As the dust settles around the hype of addition to the organization. For example,
GenAI, CSPs are beginning to understand the the “knowledge engineer” will obtain
technology’s uses and limitations (some of understanding from the process expert in the
which may be permanent or temporary until operating unit and incorporate this human
more sophisticated or different models become understanding into the intelligence within
available). This knowledge, backed up with automation or digital assistants. Staff issues,
practical experience from deploying AI models including insufficient headcount or expertise,
into NLA will need to be instantiated in the remain a significant headache for APAC
organization and spread across departments CSPs, particularly smaller organizations. Our
to reuse it. Actions might include encouraging research finds that there is not one agreed-
individuals with an early interest in testing upon path to overcoming these problems,
intelligence technologies to get together with CSPs expecting to build up new skill sets
in informal groups to explore topics and through recruitment, reskilling, and acquiring or
exchange ideas. partnering with specialist AI firms.
Staff issues,
including insufficient
headcount or
expertise, remain a
significant headache
for APAC CSPs.
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tm forum
open digital
framework
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A blueprint for intelligent operations fit for the 5G era
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tm forum
research
reports
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February 2024 TM Forum | December 2023 TM Forum | December 2023
REPORT
REPORT
REPORT
closing
REPORT REPORT
closing
the
theloop
loop a numbers game:
CSPs aim to exploiting data to BSS
CSPs aimservice
automate to
automate service
orchestration and drive future for B2B operators generative
strategies
AI:
orchestration and
assurance diverge on the
assurance path to cloud
Author: Sponsored by:
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operators
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take their
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first steps
Author:
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Mark Newman, Chief Analyst
Editor:
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Ian Kemp, Managing Editor
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standout
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strategies:
REPORT REPORT
CSPs take
Digital key steps to
transforming how telcos are
Transformation modernize BSS:
Tracker 7 network inventory
innovating in a
crowded market making
cutting
racing to a flexible,
customer-focused future waves: partner
complexity the future for
with automation
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and AI
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the
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DIGITAL OPERATIONS
MATURITY:
establishing links:
counter a roadmap for sustainable evolving achieving
platform models
in the Open intelligence Asia-Pacific
telecoms
5G core: telco:
engineering
business support systems
business value
from transformation
API economy using AI to
improve growth exploring CSP networks for for future
sponsored by:
experience
Authors: Author: Author:
Mark Newman, Chief Analyst, TM Forum Joanne Taaffe, Editor in Chief, Inform Mark Newman, Chief Analyst
Dawn Bushaus, Contributing Analyst, TM Forum
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Mark Newman, Chief Analyst, TM Forum Principal Analyst
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Meet the Research & Media team
US Office
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