[go: up one dir, main page]

0% found this document useful (0 votes)
106 views29 pages

Bond Pricing and Yield Basics

This document provides an overview of key concepts related to pricing fixed-income securities such as bonds. It discusses how to calculate bond prices using a present value formula that discounts future cash flows. It also defines important bond metrics like coupon rate, current yield, and yield to maturity (YTM), which is the internal rate of return of a bond when purchased at a given price. Frequency of interest payments and how it affects equivalent annual yields is also covered.

Uploaded by

m.vakili.a
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
106 views29 pages

Bond Pricing and Yield Basics

This document provides an overview of key concepts related to pricing fixed-income securities such as bonds. It discusses how to calculate bond prices using a present value formula that discounts future cash flows. It also defines important bond metrics like coupon rate, current yield, and yield to maturity (YTM), which is the internal rate of return of a bond when purchased at a given price. Frequency of interest payments and how it affects equivalent annual yields is also covered.

Uploaded by

m.vakili.a
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 29

FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES

Chapter 2

Bond Prices and Yields


Outline

• Bond Pricing
• Time-Value of Money
• Present Value Formula
• Interest Rates
• Frequency
• Continuous Compounding
• Coupon Rate
• Current Yield
• Yield-to-Maturity
• Bank Discount Rate
• Forward Rates
Bond Pricing

• Bond pricing is a 2 steps process


– Step 1: find the cash-flows the bondholder is entitled to
– Step 2: find the bond price as the discounted value of the cash-flows

• Step 1 - Example
– Government of Canada bond issued in the domestic market pays one-half
of its coupon rate times its principal value every six months up to and
including the maturity date
– Thus, a bond with an 8% coupon and $5,000 face value maturing on
December 1, 2005 will make future coupon payments of 4% of principal
value every 6 months
– That is $200 on each June 1 and December 1 between the purchase date
and the maturity date
Bond Pricing

• Step 2 is discounting
T
Ft
P0  
t 1 (1  r ) t

• Does it make sense to discount all cash-flows with


same discount rate?
• Notion of the term structure of interest rates – see
next chapter
• Rationale behind discounting: time value of money
Time-Value of Money

• Would you prefer to receive $1 now or $1 in a year


from now?
• Chances are that you would go for money now
• First, you might have a consumption need sooner
rather than later
– That shouldn’t matter: that’s what fixed-income markets are for
– You may as well borrow today against this future income, and consume
now

• In the presence of money market, the only reason


why one would prefer receiving $1 as opposed to $1
in a year from now is because of time-value of
money
Present Value Formula

• If you receive $1 today


– Invest it in the money market (say buy a one-year T-Bill)
– Obtain some interest r on it
– Better off as long as r strictly positive: 1+r>1 iif r>0
• How much is worth a piece of paper (contract, bond)
promising $1 in 1 year?
– Since you are not willing to exchange $1 now for $1 in a year from now, it
must be that the present value of $1 in a year from now is less than $1
– Now, how much exactly is worth this $1 received in a year from now?
– Would you be willing to pay 90, 80, 20, 10 cents to acquire this dollar paid
in a year from now?
• Answer is 1/(1+r) : the exact amount of money that
allows you to get $1 in 1 year
• Chicken is the rate, egg is the value
Interest Rates

• Specifying the rate is not enough


• One should also specify
– Maturity
– Frequency of interest payments
– Date of interest rates payment (beginning or end of periods)
• Basic formula
– After 1 period, capital is C1= C0 (1+ r )
– After n period, capital is Cn = C0(1+ r )n
– Interests : I = Cn - C0
• Example
– Invest $10,000 for 3 years at 6% with annual compounding
– Obtain $11,910 = 10,000 x (1+ .06)3 at the end of the 3 years
– Interests: $1,910
Frequency

• Watch out for


– Time-basis (rates are usually expressed on an annual basis)
– Compounding frequency
• Examples
– Invest $100 at a 6% two-year annual rate with semi-annual compounding
• 100 x (1+ 3%) after 6 months
• 100 x (1+ 3%)2 after 1 year
• 100 x (1+ 3%)3 after 1.5 year
• 100 x (1+ 3%)4 after 2 years
– Invest $100 at a 6% one-year annual rate with monthly compounding
• 100 x (1+ 6/12%) after 1 month
• 100 x (1+ 6/12%)2 after 2 months
• …. 100 x (1+ 6/12%)12 = $106.1678 after 1 year
• Equivalent to 6.1678% annual rate with annual compounding
Frequency

• More generally
– Amount x invested at the interest rate r
– Expressed in an annual basis
– Compounded n times per year
– For T years
– Grows to the amount r nT
x(1  )
n
• The effective equivalent annual (i.e., compounded
once a year) rate ra is defined as the solution to
r
x(1  ) nT  x(1  r a )T
n
or n
 r 
r a  1    1
 n
Continuous Compounding

• What happens if we get continuous compounding


• The amount of money obtained per dollar invested
after T years is
r nT
lim x(1  )  xe rT
n  n
• Very convenient: present value of X is Xe-rT
• One may of course easily obtain the effective
equivalent annual ra
2 3
r r
xe rT  x(1  r a )T  r a  e r  1  r    ...
2 3!
• The equivalent annual rate of a 6% continuously
compounded interest rate is e6% –1 = 6.1837%
Bond Prices

• Bond price
T
Ft
P
t 1 (1  r ) t
• Shortcut when cash-flows are all identical
T
F F 1 
P  1  T 

t 1 (1  r )
t
r  1  r  
• Coupon bond
T
cN N cN  1  N
P   1  
T 
t 1 (1  r ) t
1  r T
r  1  r   1  r T

– Note that when r=c, P=N (see next example)


Bond Prices - Example

• Example
– Consider a bond with 5% coupon rate
– 10 year maturity
– $1,000 face value
– All discount rates equal to 6%
• Present value
10
50 1,000 50  1  1,050
P   
 1 
10 
  $926.3991
i 1 (1  6%)
i
1  6%  6%  1  6%   1  6% 
10 10

• We could have guessed that price was below par


– You do not want to pay the full price for a bond paying 5% when interest rates are at
6%
• What happens if rates decrease to 5%?
– Price = $1,000
Perpetuity

• When the bond has infinite maturity (consol bond)


cN  1  N cN
P 
 1   T
r  1  r T  1  r 
T 
r
• Example
– How much money should you be willing to pay to buy a contract offering
$100 per year for perpetuity?
– Assume the discount rate is 5%
– The answer is
100
P  $2,000
.05
– Perpetuities are issued by the British government (consol bonds)
Coupon Rate and Current Yield

• Coupon rate is the stated interest rate on a security


– It is referred to as an annual percentage of face value
– It is usually paid twice a year
– It is called the coupon rate because bearer bonds carry coupons for
interest payments
– It is only used to obtain the cash-flows

• Current yield gives you a first idea of the return on a


bond
cN
yc 
P
• Example
– A $1,000 bond has a coupon rate of 7 percent
– If you buy the bond for $900, your actual current yield is
70
yc   7.78%
900
Yield to Maturity (YTM)

• It is the interest rate that makes the present value of


the bond’s payments equal to its price
• It is the solution to (T is # of semester)
T
Ft
P
t 1 (1  YTM ) t

• YTM is the IRR of cash-flows delivered by bonds


– YTM may easily be computed by trial-and-error
– YTM is a semi-annual rate because coupons usually paid semi-annually
– Each cash-flow is discounted using the same rate
– Implicitly assume that the yield curve is flat at point in time
– It is a complex average of pure discount rates (see below)
BEY versus EAY

• Bond equivalent yield (BEY): obtained using simple


interest to annualize the semi-annual YTM (street
convention): y = 2  YTM
• One can always turn a bond yield into an effective
annual yield (EAY), i.e., an interest rate expressed
on a yearly basis with annual compounding
• Example
– What is the effective annual yield of a bond with a 5.5% annual YTM
– Answer is
2
 5.5% 
r a  1    1  5.5756%
 2 
One Last Complication

• What happens if we don’t have integer # of periods?


• Example
– Consider the US T-Bond with coupon 4.625% and maturity date
05/15/2006, quoted price is 101.739641 on 01/07/2002
– What is the YTM and EAY?

• Solution (street convention)


– There are 128 calendar days between 01/07/2002 and the next coupon
date (05/15/2002)
8 4.625%
102.3125
101.739641   128
2
t
 128 8
 YTM  4.353%
t 0 (1  YTM ) 181
(1  YTM ) 181
2 2
– Fed convention: =1+YTM/2*128/181
• EAY is 2
 4.353% 
1    1  4.40%
 2 
Quoted Bond Prices - Screen
Quoted Bond Prices - Paper
S o u r c e : W a ll S t r e e t J o u r n a l

G o ve r n m e n t B o n d s & N o te s
F r id a y , O c t o b e r 1 6 , 1 9 9 8

R a te M a t u r it y B id Asked C hg Ask
M o /Y r Y ie ld

7 1 /2 Fe b 05n 1 1 6 :3 0 1 1 7 :0 2 -5 4 .3 8

6 1 /2 M ay 05n 1 1 2 :0 2 1 1 2 :0 6 -3 4 .3 5

8 1 /4 M a y 0 0 -0 5 1 0 5 :2 2 1 0 5 :2 4 -1 4 .4 2

12 M ay 05 1 4 2 :1 0 1 4 2 :1 6 -5 4 .4 7

5 1 /2 A ug 28 1 0 8 :1 0 1 0 8 :1 1 -8 4 .9 6
Quoted Bond Prices

• Bonds are
– Sold in denominations of $1,000 par value
– Quoted as a percentage of par value

• Prices
– Integer number + n/32ths (Treasury bonds) or + n/8ths (corporate bonds)
– Example: 112:06 = 112 6/32 = 112.1875%
– Change -5: closing bid price went down by 5/32%

• Ask yield
– YTM based on ask price (APR basis:1/2 year x 2)
– Not compounded (Bond Equivalent Yield as opposed to Effective
Annual Yield)
Examples

• Example
– Consider a $1,000 face value 2-year bond with 8% coupon
– Current price is 103:23
– What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
• To answer that question
– First note that 103:23 means 103 + (23/32)%=103.72%
– And obtain the following equation
40 40 40 1,040
1,037.2    
(1  y ) (1  y ) 2 (1  y ) 3 (1  y ) 4
2 2 2 2
– With solution y/2 = 3% or y = 6%
Accrued Interest

• The quoted price (or market price) of a bond is


usually its clean price, that is its gross price (or dirty
or full price) minus the accrued interest
• Example
– An investor buys on 12/10/01 a given amount of the US Treasury bond with
coupon 3.5% and maturity 11/15/2006
– The current market price is 96.15625
– The accrued interest period is equal to 26 days; this is the number of
calendar days between the settlement date (12/11/2001) and the last
coupon payment date (11/15/2001)
– Hence the accrued interest is equal to the last coupon payment (1.75)
times 26 divided by the number of calendar days between the next coupon
payment date (05/15/2002) and the last coupon payment date (11/15/2001)
– In this case, the accrued interest is equal to $1.75x(26/181) = $0.25138
– The investor will pay 96.40763 = 96.15625 + 0.25138 for this bond
Bank Discount Rate (T-Bills)

• Bank discount rate is the quoted rate on T-Bills


10,000  P 360
rBD  
10,000 n
– where P is price of T-Bill
– n is # of days until maturity
• Example: 90 days T-Bill, P = $9,800
10,000  9,800 360
rBD    8%
10,000 90
• Can’t compare T-bill directly to bond
– 360 vs 365 days
– Return is figured on par vs. price paid
Bond Equivalent Yield

• Adjust the bank discounted rate to make it


comparable
10,000  P 365
rBEY  
P n

• Example: same as before


10,000  9,800 365
rBEY    8.28%
9,800 90
• BDR versus BEY
P 360
rBEY    rBD
10,000 365
Spot Zero-Coupon (or Discount)
Rate
• Spot Zero-Coupon (or Discount) Rate is the
annualized rate on a pure discount bond
1
 B 0, t 
(1  R0,t ) t

– where B(0,t) is the market price at date 0 of a bond paying off $1 at date t
– See Chapter 4 for how to extract implicit spot rates from bond prices

• General pricing formula


T T
Ft
P0     Ft B 0, t 
t 1 (1  R0 ,t )
t
t 1
Bond Par Yield

• Recall that a par bond is a bond with a coupon


identical to its yield to maturity
• The bond's price is therefore equal to its principal
• Then we define the par yield c(n) so that a n-year
maturity fixed bond paying annually a coupon rate of
c(n) with a $100 face value quotes at par
• Typically, the par yield curve is used to determine the
coupon level of a bond issued at par
1
1
n
100c(n) 100 (1  R ) n

100     c ( n )  0,n

(1  R ) i
(1  R ) n n
1
i 1 0 ,i 0,n
i 1 ( 1  R ) i
0 ,i
Forward Rates

• One may represent the term structure of interest


rates as set of implicit forward rates
• Consider two choices for a 2-year horizon:
– Choice A: Buy 2-year zero
– Choice B: Buy 1-year zero and rollover for 1 year
• What yield from year 1 to year 2 will make you
indifferent between the two choices?

(1  R0, 2 ) 2
1  F1,1 
(1  R0,1 )
Forward Rates (continued)

• They are ‘implicit’ in the term structure


• Rates that explain the relationship between spot
rates of different maturity
• Example:
– Suppose the one year spot rate is 4% and the eighteen month spot
rate is 4.5%

(1  R0,18 m ) 3 / 2  (1  R0,1 )(1  F12 m , 6 m )1/ 2


(1.045) 3 / 2  (1.04)(1  F12 m , 6 m )1/ 2 ; F12 m , 6 m  5.51%
Recap: Taxonomy of Rates

• Coupon Rate
• Current Yield
• Yield to Maturity
• Zero-Coupon Rate
• Bond Par Yield
• Forward Rate

You might also like