FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES
Chapter 2
Bond Prices and Yields
Outline
• Bond Pricing
• Time-Value of Money
• Present Value Formula
• Interest Rates
• Frequency
• Continuous Compounding
• Coupon Rate
• Current Yield
• Yield-to-Maturity
• Bank Discount Rate
• Forward Rates
Bond Pricing
• Bond pricing is a 2 steps process
– Step 1: find the cash-flows the bondholder is entitled to
– Step 2: find the bond price as the discounted value of the cash-flows
• Step 1 - Example
– Government of Canada bond issued in the domestic market pays one-half
of its coupon rate times its principal value every six months up to and
including the maturity date
– Thus, a bond with an 8% coupon and $5,000 face value maturing on
December 1, 2005 will make future coupon payments of 4% of principal
value every 6 months
– That is $200 on each June 1 and December 1 between the purchase date
and the maturity date
Bond Pricing
• Step 2 is discounting
T
Ft
P0
t 1 (1 r ) t
• Does it make sense to discount all cash-flows with
same discount rate?
• Notion of the term structure of interest rates – see
next chapter
• Rationale behind discounting: time value of money
Time-Value of Money
• Would you prefer to receive $1 now or $1 in a year
from now?
• Chances are that you would go for money now
• First, you might have a consumption need sooner
rather than later
– That shouldn’t matter: that’s what fixed-income markets are for
– You may as well borrow today against this future income, and consume
now
• In the presence of money market, the only reason
why one would prefer receiving $1 as opposed to $1
in a year from now is because of time-value of
money
Present Value Formula
• If you receive $1 today
– Invest it in the money market (say buy a one-year T-Bill)
– Obtain some interest r on it
– Better off as long as r strictly positive: 1+r>1 iif r>0
• How much is worth a piece of paper (contract, bond)
promising $1 in 1 year?
– Since you are not willing to exchange $1 now for $1 in a year from now, it
must be that the present value of $1 in a year from now is less than $1
– Now, how much exactly is worth this $1 received in a year from now?
– Would you be willing to pay 90, 80, 20, 10 cents to acquire this dollar paid
in a year from now?
• Answer is 1/(1+r) : the exact amount of money that
allows you to get $1 in 1 year
• Chicken is the rate, egg is the value
Interest Rates
• Specifying the rate is not enough
• One should also specify
– Maturity
– Frequency of interest payments
– Date of interest rates payment (beginning or end of periods)
• Basic formula
– After 1 period, capital is C1= C0 (1+ r )
– After n period, capital is Cn = C0(1+ r )n
– Interests : I = Cn - C0
• Example
– Invest $10,000 for 3 years at 6% with annual compounding
– Obtain $11,910 = 10,000 x (1+ .06)3 at the end of the 3 years
– Interests: $1,910
Frequency
• Watch out for
– Time-basis (rates are usually expressed on an annual basis)
– Compounding frequency
• Examples
– Invest $100 at a 6% two-year annual rate with semi-annual compounding
• 100 x (1+ 3%) after 6 months
• 100 x (1+ 3%)2 after 1 year
• 100 x (1+ 3%)3 after 1.5 year
• 100 x (1+ 3%)4 after 2 years
– Invest $100 at a 6% one-year annual rate with monthly compounding
• 100 x (1+ 6/12%) after 1 month
• 100 x (1+ 6/12%)2 after 2 months
• …. 100 x (1+ 6/12%)12 = $106.1678 after 1 year
• Equivalent to 6.1678% annual rate with annual compounding
Frequency
• More generally
– Amount x invested at the interest rate r
– Expressed in an annual basis
– Compounded n times per year
– For T years
– Grows to the amount r nT
x(1 )
n
• The effective equivalent annual (i.e., compounded
once a year) rate ra is defined as the solution to
r
x(1 ) nT x(1 r a )T
n
or n
r
r a 1 1
n
Continuous Compounding
• What happens if we get continuous compounding
• The amount of money obtained per dollar invested
after T years is
r nT
lim x(1 ) xe rT
n n
• Very convenient: present value of X is Xe-rT
• One may of course easily obtain the effective
equivalent annual ra
2 3
r r
xe rT x(1 r a )T r a e r 1 r ...
2 3!
• The equivalent annual rate of a 6% continuously
compounded interest rate is e6% –1 = 6.1837%
Bond Prices
• Bond price
T
Ft
P
t 1 (1 r ) t
• Shortcut when cash-flows are all identical
T
F F 1
P 1 T
t 1 (1 r )
t
r 1 r
• Coupon bond
T
cN N cN 1 N
P 1
T
t 1 (1 r ) t
1 r T
r 1 r 1 r T
– Note that when r=c, P=N (see next example)
Bond Prices - Example
• Example
– Consider a bond with 5% coupon rate
– 10 year maturity
– $1,000 face value
– All discount rates equal to 6%
• Present value
10
50 1,000 50 1 1,050
P
1
10
$926.3991
i 1 (1 6%)
i
1 6% 6% 1 6% 1 6%
10 10
• We could have guessed that price was below par
– You do not want to pay the full price for a bond paying 5% when interest rates are at
6%
• What happens if rates decrease to 5%?
– Price = $1,000
Perpetuity
• When the bond has infinite maturity (consol bond)
cN 1 N cN
P
1 T
r 1 r T 1 r
T
r
• Example
– How much money should you be willing to pay to buy a contract offering
$100 per year for perpetuity?
– Assume the discount rate is 5%
– The answer is
100
P $2,000
.05
– Perpetuities are issued by the British government (consol bonds)
Coupon Rate and Current Yield
• Coupon rate is the stated interest rate on a security
– It is referred to as an annual percentage of face value
– It is usually paid twice a year
– It is called the coupon rate because bearer bonds carry coupons for
interest payments
– It is only used to obtain the cash-flows
• Current yield gives you a first idea of the return on a
bond
cN
yc
P
• Example
– A $1,000 bond has a coupon rate of 7 percent
– If you buy the bond for $900, your actual current yield is
70
yc 7.78%
900
Yield to Maturity (YTM)
• It is the interest rate that makes the present value of
the bond’s payments equal to its price
• It is the solution to (T is # of semester)
T
Ft
P
t 1 (1 YTM ) t
• YTM is the IRR of cash-flows delivered by bonds
– YTM may easily be computed by trial-and-error
– YTM is a semi-annual rate because coupons usually paid semi-annually
– Each cash-flow is discounted using the same rate
– Implicitly assume that the yield curve is flat at point in time
– It is a complex average of pure discount rates (see below)
BEY versus EAY
• Bond equivalent yield (BEY): obtained using simple
interest to annualize the semi-annual YTM (street
convention): y = 2 YTM
• One can always turn a bond yield into an effective
annual yield (EAY), i.e., an interest rate expressed
on a yearly basis with annual compounding
• Example
– What is the effective annual yield of a bond with a 5.5% annual YTM
– Answer is
2
5.5%
r a 1 1 5.5756%
2
One Last Complication
• What happens if we don’t have integer # of periods?
• Example
– Consider the US T-Bond with coupon 4.625% and maturity date
05/15/2006, quoted price is 101.739641 on 01/07/2002
– What is the YTM and EAY?
• Solution (street convention)
– There are 128 calendar days between 01/07/2002 and the next coupon
date (05/15/2002)
8 4.625%
102.3125
101.739641 128
2
t
128 8
YTM 4.353%
t 0 (1 YTM ) 181
(1 YTM ) 181
2 2
– Fed convention: =1+YTM/2*128/181
• EAY is 2
4.353%
1 1 4.40%
2
Quoted Bond Prices - Screen
Quoted Bond Prices - Paper
S o u r c e : W a ll S t r e e t J o u r n a l
G o ve r n m e n t B o n d s & N o te s
F r id a y , O c t o b e r 1 6 , 1 9 9 8
R a te M a t u r it y B id Asked C hg Ask
M o /Y r Y ie ld
7 1 /2 Fe b 05n 1 1 6 :3 0 1 1 7 :0 2 -5 4 .3 8
6 1 /2 M ay 05n 1 1 2 :0 2 1 1 2 :0 6 -3 4 .3 5
8 1 /4 M a y 0 0 -0 5 1 0 5 :2 2 1 0 5 :2 4 -1 4 .4 2
12 M ay 05 1 4 2 :1 0 1 4 2 :1 6 -5 4 .4 7
5 1 /2 A ug 28 1 0 8 :1 0 1 0 8 :1 1 -8 4 .9 6
Quoted Bond Prices
• Bonds are
– Sold in denominations of $1,000 par value
– Quoted as a percentage of par value
• Prices
– Integer number + n/32ths (Treasury bonds) or + n/8ths (corporate bonds)
– Example: 112:06 = 112 6/32 = 112.1875%
– Change -5: closing bid price went down by 5/32%
• Ask yield
– YTM based on ask price (APR basis:1/2 year x 2)
– Not compounded (Bond Equivalent Yield as opposed to Effective
Annual Yield)
Examples
• Example
– Consider a $1,000 face value 2-year bond with 8% coupon
– Current price is 103:23
– What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
• To answer that question
– First note that 103:23 means 103 + (23/32)%=103.72%
– And obtain the following equation
40 40 40 1,040
1,037.2
(1 y ) (1 y ) 2 (1 y ) 3 (1 y ) 4
2 2 2 2
– With solution y/2 = 3% or y = 6%
Accrued Interest
• The quoted price (or market price) of a bond is
usually its clean price, that is its gross price (or dirty
or full price) minus the accrued interest
• Example
– An investor buys on 12/10/01 a given amount of the US Treasury bond with
coupon 3.5% and maturity 11/15/2006
– The current market price is 96.15625
– The accrued interest period is equal to 26 days; this is the number of
calendar days between the settlement date (12/11/2001) and the last
coupon payment date (11/15/2001)
– Hence the accrued interest is equal to the last coupon payment (1.75)
times 26 divided by the number of calendar days between the next coupon
payment date (05/15/2002) and the last coupon payment date (11/15/2001)
– In this case, the accrued interest is equal to $1.75x(26/181) = $0.25138
– The investor will pay 96.40763 = 96.15625 + 0.25138 for this bond
Bank Discount Rate (T-Bills)
• Bank discount rate is the quoted rate on T-Bills
10,000 P 360
rBD
10,000 n
– where P is price of T-Bill
– n is # of days until maturity
• Example: 90 days T-Bill, P = $9,800
10,000 9,800 360
rBD 8%
10,000 90
• Can’t compare T-bill directly to bond
– 360 vs 365 days
– Return is figured on par vs. price paid
Bond Equivalent Yield
• Adjust the bank discounted rate to make it
comparable
10,000 P 365
rBEY
P n
• Example: same as before
10,000 9,800 365
rBEY 8.28%
9,800 90
• BDR versus BEY
P 360
rBEY rBD
10,000 365
Spot Zero-Coupon (or Discount)
Rate
• Spot Zero-Coupon (or Discount) Rate is the
annualized rate on a pure discount bond
1
B 0, t
(1 R0,t ) t
– where B(0,t) is the market price at date 0 of a bond paying off $1 at date t
– See Chapter 4 for how to extract implicit spot rates from bond prices
• General pricing formula
T T
Ft
P0 Ft B 0, t
t 1 (1 R0 ,t )
t
t 1
Bond Par Yield
• Recall that a par bond is a bond with a coupon
identical to its yield to maturity
• The bond's price is therefore equal to its principal
• Then we define the par yield c(n) so that a n-year
maturity fixed bond paying annually a coupon rate of
c(n) with a $100 face value quotes at par
• Typically, the par yield curve is used to determine the
coupon level of a bond issued at par
1
1
n
100c(n) 100 (1 R ) n
100 c ( n ) 0,n
(1 R ) i
(1 R ) n n
1
i 1 0 ,i 0,n
i 1 ( 1 R ) i
0 ,i
Forward Rates
• One may represent the term structure of interest
rates as set of implicit forward rates
• Consider two choices for a 2-year horizon:
– Choice A: Buy 2-year zero
– Choice B: Buy 1-year zero and rollover for 1 year
• What yield from year 1 to year 2 will make you
indifferent between the two choices?
(1 R0, 2 ) 2
1 F1,1
(1 R0,1 )
Forward Rates (continued)
• They are ‘implicit’ in the term structure
• Rates that explain the relationship between spot
rates of different maturity
• Example:
– Suppose the one year spot rate is 4% and the eighteen month spot
rate is 4.5%
(1 R0,18 m ) 3 / 2 (1 R0,1 )(1 F12 m , 6 m )1/ 2
(1.045) 3 / 2 (1.04)(1 F12 m , 6 m )1/ 2 ; F12 m , 6 m 5.51%
Recap: Taxonomy of Rates
• Coupon Rate
• Current Yield
• Yield to Maturity
• Zero-Coupon Rate
• Bond Par Yield
• Forward Rate