La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
Energia: Probabilidad.
Duration: 5 Weeks, 14 hours
Unit dates: 25th Apr 2023 - 31st May 2023
Subjects: Mathematics: analysis and approaches
Levels: SL
Grades: DP 1, DP 2
Inquiry & action
Name & subject focus
Level(s)
SL
Unit description and texts
Should I take my umbrella? Should we play our best team right from the start? What transport
should I use to make sure I am on time for my important exam?
Quantifying randomness:probability
You use the language of probability all the time:• What is the chance it will rain tomorrow on my
way to school?• How likely do you think it is you will pass your driving test on your next attempt?•
What do you think the probability is that we will win the game this afternoon?• Am I certain to
get to school on time if I catch the bus rather than walk?Uncertainty and randomness occur in
many aspects of our daily life. Decision making in the worlds of business, investment,
agriculture and industry, healthcare and all aspects of real life is based on expectation and
prediction. Having a good knowledge of probability helps you make sense of these uncertainties,
understand risk and make better decisions about the future.
libro Oxford analysis and approaches SL
Final assessments for unit
Practica Analisis probabilidad
Un Unit description
Statistics and probability Concepts Essential understandings:Statistics is concerned with the
collection, analysis and interpretation of data and the theory of probability can be used to
estimate parameters, discover empirical laws, test hypotheses and predict the occurrence of
events. Statistical representations and measures allow us to represent data in many different
forms to aid interpretation.Probability enables us to quantify the likelihood of events occurring
and so evaluate risk. Both statistics and probability provide important representations which
enable us to make predictions, valid comparisons and informed decisions. These fields have
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
power and limitations and should be applied with care and critically questioned to differentiate
between the theoretical and the empirical/observed. Probability theory allows us to make
informed choices, to evaluate risk, and to make predictions about seemingly random events.
Transfer goals
• Los estudiantes emplean las herramientas probabilisticas para resolver problemas de la
vida real.
• Los estudiantes determinan el modelo probabilistico mas adecuado para resolver una
situacion especifica segun la informacion y el contexto dados.
• Los estudiantes analizan situaciones de su interes mediante modelos probabilisticos y
obtienen conclusiones validas fundamentadas en la teoria y la evidencia.
Essential understandings
Students will know the following content:
Concepts of trial, outcome, equally likely outcomes,relative frequency, sample space
Expected number of occurrences.
Use of Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, sample space diagrams and tables of outcomes to
calculate probabilities.
Conditional probability
Combined events
Concept of discrete random variables and their probability distributions.Expected value (mean),
for discrete data.Applications
Binomial distribution.Mean and variance of the binomial distribution.
The normal distribution and curve.Properties of the normal distribution.Diagrammatic
representation
Normal probability calculations
Inverse Normal probability calculations
Standardization of normal variables (z- values).
Students will develop the following skills:
Use of z-values to calculate unknown means andstandard deviations
For inverse normal calculations mean and standarddeviation will be given.This does not involve
transformation to thestandardized normal variable z
Awareness of the natural occurrence of the normaldistribution.Students should be aware that
approximately 68%of the data lies between μ ± σ, 95% lies betweenμ ± 2σ and 99.7% of the data
lies between μ ± 3σ.
Situations where the binomial distribution is anappropriate model.In examinations, binomial
probabilities should befound using available technology.
Problems can be solved with the aid of a Venndiagram, tree diagram, sample space diagram
ortable of outcomes without explicit use of formulae.Probabilities with and without replacement
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
Students will grasp the following concepts:
venn diagram
sample space
random variable
normal distribution
binomial distribution
In Inquiry questions
Could mathematics make alternative, equally true, formulae? What does this tell us about
mathematical truths?
Student Inquiries / Consultas del Estudiante
Cuando se descubrieron las formulas de probabilidad
que significa probabilidad
Aims and objectives
Aims
Subject group aims - Mathematics
Develop a curiosity and enjoyment of mathematics, and appreciate its elegance and power
Assessment objectives
Knowledge and understanding : Recall, select and use their knowledge of mathematical facts,
concepts and techniques in a variety of familiar and unfamiliar contexts.
Inquiry approaches : Investigate unfamiliar situations, both abstract and from the real world,
involving organizing and analyzing information, making conjectures, drawing conclusions, and
testing their validity.
Syllabus content
Topics and subtopics
Topic 4: Statistics and probability
SL 4.5 - Probability concepts, expected numbers
Concepts of trial, outcome, equally likely outcomes, relative frequency, sample space (U) and event; The
probability of an event A is P(A) = n(A)/n(U); The complementary events A and A′ (not A)
Expected number of occurrences
SL 4.6 - Combined, mutually exclusive, conditional, independence, probability diagrams
Use of Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, sample space diagrams and tables of outcomes to calculate
probabilities
Combined events: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B); Mutually exclusive events: P(A ∩ B) = 0
Conditional probability: P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Independent events: P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
SL 4.7 - Discrete random variables
Concept of discrete random variables and their probability distributions; Expected value (mean), for discrete
data; Applications
SL 4.8 - Binomial distribution
Binomial distribution; Mean and variance of the binomial distribution
SL 4.9 - Normal distribution and calculations
The normal distribution and curve; Properties of the normal distribution; Diagrammatic representation
Normal probability calculations
Inverse normal calculations
Remarks:
ninguno
Learner profile attributes
• Thinkers
Remarks:
ninguno
Ce Central idea / Idea central
Central Idea / Content/ Idea Principal / Conceptos
probabilidad
metodos probabilisticos
uso de tecnologia
Approaches to learning (ATL)
ATL skills
DP 1
Thinking
Research
Details:
ninguno
Differentiation
Details:
solo se puede dar mas tiempo a los estudiantes que lo requieran y tengan aprobado el uso de
este beneficio por best
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
TOK connections
Areas of knowledge
The human sciences
Details:
Does the use of statistics lead to an over-emphasis on attributes that can be easily measured
over those that cannot?
CAS connections
CAS strands
Not added yet
Resources
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 5 del 22 al 26 de Mayo del 2023.
Binomial Theorem HW 2 (9 jun. 2021 2:53:04 p. m.)
Binomial Theorem HW 2 (9 jun. 2021 2:54:01 p. m.)
10 Binomial Theorem Quiz
10 Binomial Expansion Extension
jkg803 Javogue R
Probability and the Binomial Theorem
Binomial Theorem 3 (14 jun. 2021 9:45:17 a. m.)
Binomial Theorem 3 (14 jun. 2021 9:04:15 p. m.)
Binomial theorem
Probabilidad 11th Analisis
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 4-del 15 al 19 de Mayo del 2023.
Probabilidad 11th Analisis
11th Analisis Random Variable 1
11th Ejercicios Random Variable
2022 P2
2022 P1
2021 P2
Probabilidad 11th Analisis
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 3-del 8 al 12 de Mayo del 2023.
Probabilidad 11th Parte 1
2021 P2
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
2022 P2
2022 P1
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 2-del 2 al 5 de Mayo del 2023.
Ejercicios resuelts distribucion normal
Google Drive: Sign-in
Google Slides: Sign-in
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 1-del 25 al 28 de abril del 2023.
Plantilla de 11th AN-Semana 2-del 2 al 5 de Mayo del 2023.
Sign in - Google Accounts
Diagramas de Venn-1
Google Drive: Sign-in
Mathematics_connections_template_e
Probabilidad repaso
Sign in - Google Accounts
esta presentacion tiene todo el tema de probabilidad en orden, por lo cual es la que se empleara cada semana ,
el documento adjunto llamado practica de probabilidad tiene practica para las primeras 4 semanas
para las siguientes 2 semanas la practica esta en la misma presentacion
11th Analisis Probabilidad.
Probabilidad 11th Analisis
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La Paz Community School (Cabo Velas) School code: 001
Reflection
Post-unit reflection
What worked well
es muy agotador usar esta aplicacion para llenar las unidades, en la parte de las lecciones creo
que sera mas facil
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