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                  17* international Mining Congress and Exhibition of Turkey- IMCBT2001, ©2001, ISBN 975-395-417-4
                 Mining and Society: No Mining, No Future
                 P.N.Martens & L.Rattmann
                 Institute of Mining Engineering I, Aachen University of Technology, Aachen, Germany
                 ABSTRACT: At present, mining as a supplier of raw materials is an important foundation of our society. In
                 order to give an initial overview of the world mining industry, some facts and figures are presented, such as
                 the annual production of mining products compared to that of other commodities, the share of mining
                 products in world trade, and the contribution of the mining industry to gross domestic product. How important
                 mining is for society is illustrated by means of the dependence of the world's primary energy production on
                 mineral fuels and by means of the average consumption of mining products per person in the world. To
                 demonstrate the global presence and the actual role of mining products in everyday life, a car and the raw
                 materials required to build it is taken as an example. By extension from the present, an outlook for the future
                 role of mining in society is given. Although it is incontestable that renewable energy sources and recyclmg
                 will play an increasingly large role in society, mining will remain indispensable in the next few decades and
                 beyond İn satisfying society's demands for energy and raw materials.
                  1   INTRODUCTION                                          billion people, this means that every single
                                                                            inhabitant of the world needs at least 5 t of mining
                 Mining affects the natural environment. The use of         products per year For the year 1900, the same
                 mineral fuels causes CO2 emissions and global              calculation results in a figure of 0.5 t per person per
                 warming, and mining consumes non-renewable                 year. The expansion of world mining in this century
                 resources. These facts lead to the impression that         has been encouraged by two factors; firstly, by the
                 were mining to be stopped immediately, everybody           exceptional growth in the world population, and
                 could drive home and look forward to a better              secondly, by a growing demand for mining products
                 future. But the situation with mining is not that          per inhabitant. Projecting the present figure of 5 t
                 simple. Without mining there would be no homes;            per person per year over an expected life of 60 years,
                 there would be no fuel or cars to drive. Without           every human being will roughly consume more than
                 mining there would be no future for anybody to look        3001 of mining products (Figure 2), with natural
                 forward to. Mining has been the foundation of              aggregates and mineral fuels accounting for a share
                 society since the earliest times. The beginning of         of more than 90%. Of course, this average differs
                 mankind is often dated to the time of the first use of     substantially between industrialised and developing
                 tools. These tools were made of flint mined from the       countries. For example, in Germany the lifetime
                 earth. This aim of this paper is to point out the          consumption of raw materials per person including
                 importance of mining for society now and in the            natural aggregates has been calculated to be around
                 future.                                                     1,2301 (Wellmer & Stein, 1998).
                                                                                A comparison of mining and the primary industry
                                                                            sector of agriculture, fishery and forestry is shown in
                  2 WORLD MINING - PRESENT FACTS AND                        Figure 3. For example, in 1998 production of cereals
                    FIGURES                                                 amounted to 2 billion t, production of wood to 3.5
                                                                            billion t and the total production was 13.4 billion t.
                  In any discussion of world mining, it is normal to        Thus, the tonnage of overall mining production is
                  first look at world mining production. The global         2.3 times higher than the tonnage of the overall
                  mining production of different commodities is             production of agriculture, fishery and forestry. It
                  shown in Figure 1. All in all, total production was       should also be mentioned that this level of
                  around 31 billion t in 1998. If one relates the overall   agricultural production would be impossible without
                  mining production to the '98 world population of 5.9      mineral fertilizers provided by the mining industry.
                                                                                                                                 215
         World Mine Production 1998 (1000 t)
        Diamonds                               0   03
        PGM                                    0   30
        Gold                                   2   50
        Electronic Metals                      3   20
        Silver                                     16
        Cobalt                                     23
        Niobium, Columbium                         29
        Tungsten                                   33
        Uranium                                    35
        Vanadium                                   45
        Antimony                                   81
        Molybdemum                              135
        Mica                                   195
        Tin                                    219
        Magnesium                              380
        Zirkonium                              397
        Dısthene                               538
        Graphite                               590
        Boron                                  776
        Nickel                                1,100
        Asbestos                              1,790
        Dıatomıte                             2,190
        Titanium                              2,770
        Lead                                  3,180           The figures for global mining production only"
        Chromium                              4,160        show the tonnage of real mining products. The total
                                                                                                      3
        Fluorspar                             4,750        world mass moved by mining is 17.8 km of rock
        Barytes                               5,800        per year (Figure 4). This is four times the amount
        Zinc                                  7,400        moved by rivers before the influence of mankind
        Talcum                                7,600        (Neumann-Mahlkau, 1996). A rock volume of 17 8
                                              8,500
                                                           km3 would be sufficient to cover the total land area
        Manganese
                                                           of the Netherlands, which has an extension of
        Feldspar                              8,600
                                                           37,333 km2, to a depth of 0.5 m. Thus, mining is
        Bentonite                             9,600
                                                           expected to be by far the biggest mass mover in the
        Magnesite                            12,000
                                                           world.
        Copper                               12,300
        Peat                                 26,000
        Potash                               26,000
        Aluminium                            28,000              World Agriculture,      Fishery     and Forestry
        Terra alba                           38,000                       Production     1998      (10001)
        Phosphate                            45,000             Cereals                                       2,079,928
        Sulfur                               56,000             Roots & tubers                                  648,132
        Gypsum                              102,000             Sugar crops & sweeteners                      1,515,473
        Salt                                190,000             Pulses                                           56,123
                                                                Nuts                                              6,767
        • ndustoal sands                    300,000
                                                                Oil-beanng crops                                478,749
        Clay                                500,000             Vegetables                                      549,838
        Iron                                563,000             Fruits                                          510,217
        Lignite                             848,000             Feedstuffs                                    3,144,275
        Natural Gas (Oil Equivalent)      2,121,300             Beverage crops & spices                          18,139
                                                                Vegetable Fibres                                 18,435
        Crude Oil                         3,578,000
                                                                Livestock products                              777,300
        Hard Coal                         3,740,000
                                                                Fishery products                                113,100
        Quarry Stone                       4,100,000            Forestry products*                            3,521,000
        Sand & Gravel                     15,000,000            TOTAL                                        13,437,477
         TOTAL                           31,356 538         * Wood calculated at a density of 0 8 t/m1
Figure I World mining production, 1998 (WellmerA Wagner,   Figure 3 World agriculture, fishery and forestry production
2000)                                                      (FAOSTAT database)
216
                                                                                                         ^
                                                            In this respect, the first impression of mining is
                                                         confirmed. Mining produces incredible mass flows
                                                         in connection with fundamental impacts on nature.
                                                         The economic significance of mining related to its
                                                         contribution to the GDP and world trade is rather
                                                         small. So, what is the benefit of mining and what
                                                         exactly does it signify for mankind?
                                                            One of the omnipresent outputs of mining is
                                                         energy. The world production of primary energy in
                                                         1995 was 363.04 quadrillion Btu. This energy was
                                                         provided almost entirely by coal (25%), oil (40%),
                                                         natural gas (21%) and uranium (6%). Only 8% was
                                                         supplied by renewable energy sources (Figure 7).
   So as to give an idea of the economic impact of
world mining, the contribution of mining to the
world gross domestic product (GDP) can be
estimated. The total value of global mine production
in 1998 was about US $1,000 billion. Compared
with the world GDP in 1998 of a little less than US
$30,000 billion, this means the contribution of
mining is roughly 3% of world GDP.
   Another interesting aspect of mining is its
position in world trade (Figure 5). The total value of
world exports of mining products in 1999 was US
$556 billion or around 10% of total world exports.          More than 92% of the world's primary energy
The export value of fuels was US $401 billion or 7%      production is based on mineral fuels. In other words,
of total world exports (WTO, 2001).                      if mining and mineral fuels were to be taken away,
                                                         immediately, 9 out of every 10 lights would go out,
                                                         9 out of every 10 cars would not run, 9 out of every
                                                         10 heaters would stop working, and so on.
                                                            All of these figures can only give a rough
                                                         impression of the importance of mining for society.
                                                         The best way to show how essential mining is for
                                                         society is to have a look at everyday life and the
                                                         things surrounding us. For instance, let's have a look
                                                         at die car. Figure 7 shows how many mining
                                                         products are needed to build a single car. All
                                                         together, around 5,000 kg of ore and other mining
                                                         products are required to produce a car, and this is
                                                         only one example. Nothing that surrounds us would
                                                         be possible without mining. In other words, mining
                                                         products are a part of almost everything.
                                                             Coming back to society's attitude towards
                                                         mining, which is often focused exclusively on the
                                                         negative impacts on the natural environment, İt must
                                                         be said that mining transfers natural resources from
                                                         nature to society, and therefore mining is impossible
                                                         without minimum impact on nature. On the other
                                                                                                           217
hand, it ıs the aim of this article to clearly point out     limited natural resources m a responsible manner
that we all need mining products to satisfy our              Recycling and the use of renewable energy sources
needs. An additional aspect is the fact that unlike          must be encouraged So, let us now take a closer
traffic, agriculture or urban development, the impact        look at these two aspects m the future.
of mining on nature is often confined to a limited               The question of future developments m the world
period of time. Reclamation often takes place after          energy supply was discussed at the 17th World
mining operations, restoring nature to its original          Energy Congress in Houston in 1998 (Semrau,
state.                                                        1998). With respect to the importance of primary
                                                             energy supplies from mimng, the congress came to
                                                             the following results: the restructuring of our energy
                                                             system towards the use of regenerative energy
                                                             supplies will be possible m the long term,
                                                             approximately into the second half of the next
                                                             century During the next decades, however, primary
                                                             energy supplies from mining will shll dominate in
                                                              meeting the increasing demand for energy,
                                                              especially in developing countries and in threshold
                                                             countries. For this purpose, however, efficient and
                                                             ecofhendly technology for energy supply will be
                                                              required.
                                                                 A scenario of four steps was drafted
                                                              1 Improvement of technologies for the current
                                                                  energy system, i.e., technologies for fossil
                                                                  energy carriers until approximately the year
                                                                  2015.
                                                              2. Development of new technologies to supply
                                                                  current      conventional      energies      until
                                                                  approximately the year 2050.
                                                              3 Additional use of new energy systems on a small
                                                                  scale until approximately the year 2050
                                                              4 Use of regenerative energy sources on a large
                                                                  scale, from approximately the year 2050
                                                                  onwards.
Figure 7 Mining products in a car (Mining Industry Council
Missouri, 99)
   At this point, it should also be mentioned that
nowhere else is the depletion of natural resources
more omnipresent than in mining, and that nobody
else is more aware of the limitation of natural
resources than a miner. However, a critical note is
that the mining industry often regards natural
resources simply from the aspect of the deposit
itself.
3   WORLD MINING - FUTURE
    DEVELOPMENTS
AU of this shows that mining is an important
foundation of our present society. But that does not
justify everything the mining industry does. Mining
now and in the future has to take place in an
ecologically, economically and socially justifiable
way. Miners and non-miners have to come together
to realise that aim. The goal must be to handle              Figures Global Energy Perspective (Semrau, 1998) .
218
   The development of world energy consumption              such as petroleum, lead and zinc, will be exhausted
could, for instance, look like a scenario in the study      sometime in the next decades. However, this is not
"Global Energy Perspectives", which was submitted           the case, because if one considers the development
by the International Institute for Applied Systems          of the statistical lifetime of supposedly scarce
Analysis (IIASA) and the World Energy Council               resources over the years, it can be seen that this has
(Figure 8).                                                 remained constant for decades. For instance, in 1955
It can be said that at least until the year 2050, and       the statistical lifetime of zinc was around 25 years,
probably longer, mining will have an outstanding            yet there are still no signs of a scarcity of this
role in the world energy supply.                            resource. On the one hand, this is due to the fact that
   The question of the future significance of mining        new deposits are still being discovered today. On the
for supplying mineral resources may be clarified by         other hand, technical progress enables mining to
taking a look at the metals sector. In 1992, the            exploit deposits, the exploitation of which would
consumption of the non-ferrous metals aluminium,            have been unthinkable some years ago. The quality
copper, zinc, lead and tin amounted to around 46            of mining operations will continue to be improved in
Mio. t in the western world (Figure 9). The                 the future in every respect so that they may meet
proportion of secondary resources in total resource         growing requirements.
consumption varied between 18 % for zinc and 52 %
for lead. This means that a considerable part of the
consumption of these metals is already covered by
recycled materials. Incidentally, this is also true of
natural aggregates, where hardly any improvement
can be expected in recycling rates, at least in highly
populated areas.
                                                            Figure 10. Statistical lifespans of different mineral resources
                                                            (Welimer, 1998).
                                                               Consequently, two things can be said about the
Figure 9. Consumption of Base Metals in the Western World   future significance of mimng. One is that until the
(Metalstatistics, 1993).                                    second half of the next century the world energy
                                                            supply will depend largely on primary energy
    However, it remains doubtful whether there will         sources obtained by mining. The other is mat in the
be a further increase in the proportion of recycling        future, like today, the demand for mineral resources
during the next decades due to the growing demand           will essentially be met by mining.
for resources. Recycling as a source of resources has
its technical, economical and also ecological limits,
since a recycling quota of 100 % would only be              4   CONCLUSIONS
possible with high inputs of energy and other
resources, so that precisely from the point of view of      The development of mankind and its standard of
resource-saving, a recycling quota of 100 % is not          living have always essentially depended on the
desirable. Consequently, mining will remain an              availability of mining products. Technical progress
important, maybe even the most important, supplier          in the past and today is unthinkable without the raw
for the worldwide demand in resources in the long           materials provided by mining. Miners have always
run. This is confirmed by a look at the statistical         been aware of the fact that their work is an
lifespans of some resources (Figure 10) (Wellmer,           intervention in nature and that they remove non-
 1998).                                                     renewable resources. As a mining university, we
    Statistical lifespans could indeed give the             emphasise this responsibility and teach environment-
impression that the world's important resources,            and resource-friendly methods.
                                                                                                                         219
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