PF Module 2-1
PF Module 2-1
PF Module 2-1
Value of money
The value of money, for example the value of rupees note comprises the amount of
commodities and services that it helps to purchase.
Money purchases more when the prices of commodities and services are low and it purchases
less when prices are high.
The value of money, implying the purchasing power of money, depends on the level of prices.
The value of money cannot be found out directly but only indirectly, through the price level.
Definition
In the words of Crowther, “The value of money is what it will buy.” The amount of goods and
services received in exchange for a unit of money constitutes value of money. If in exchange
for one rupee one gets two pencils, then the value of the rupee will be two pencils.
According to Robertson, “By the value of money we mean the amount of the things in
general which will be given in exchange for a unit of money.” Value for money is based not
only on the minimum purchase price (economy) but also on the maximum efficiency and
effectiveness of the purchase.
(ii) In Figure 1-B, when the money supply is doubled from OM to OM1; the value of money
is halved from O1/P to O1/P1 and when the money supply is halved from OM to OM2, the
value of money is doubled from O1/P to O1/P2. The value of money curve, 1/P = f (M) is a
rectangular hyperbola curve showing an inverse proportional relationship between the money
supply and the value of money.
Fisher’s theory can be best explained with the help of a famous equation i.e.,
MV = PT
or
P = MV/T
Where;
M=Quantity of money
V= transaction velocity
P=price level
T= Total goods and service transacted
Like other commodities, the value of money or the price level is also determined by the
demand and supply of money.
MV (Supply of money)
Supply of money consists of a quantity of money in existence (M). It is multiplied by the
number of times this money changes hands which is the velocity of money (V). V is the
transaction velocity of the money in Fisher’s equation. That means that the average number
of times a unit of money turns over or changes hands to effectuate transactions during a
period.
Therefore, MV refers to the total volume of the money in circulation during a period. Since
the money is only to be used for transaction purposes; the total supply of money also forms
the total value of money expenditure in all the transactions in an economy during a period.
Thus, Fisher’s equation of exchange represents equality between the supply of money or the
total value of money expenditures in all transactions and the demand for money or the total
value of all items transacted.
Conclusion
Quantity theory of money states that the quantity of money supplied in an economy is the
main determinants of price level and value of money because every increase or decrease in
the quantity of money there will be a proportionate increase or decrease in price level. And
this negatively effects value of money.
Criticism:
1.Unrealistic Assumption of Long Period
2. Neglects store value of money
3.MV is not always equal to PT
4.Velocity of money is not constant
5. Unrealistic assumptions of full employment
6. Ignores other determinants of price level
CAMBRIDGE THEORY/ EQUATION
Marshall’s Equation
The Marshallian cash-balance equation is expressed as follows:
MV = KPY
Where;
M is the supply of money (currency plus
demand deposits)
P is the price level
Y is aggregate real income; and
K is the fraction of the real income which the people desire to hold in the form of money.
The value of money (1/p) (or, the purchasing power of money), in terms of this equation, can
be found out by dividing the total quantity of goods which the people desire to hold out of the
total income (KY) by the total supply of money (M). Thus,
1/P=KY/M
Similarly, the price level (P) can be found out by dividing the total money supply (M) by the
quantity of goods which the people desire to hold out of the total income (KY). Thus,
P=M/KY
(i) The price level (P) is directly proportional to the money supply (M);
(ii) The price level (P) is indirectly proportional to the aggregate real income (Y) and the
proportion of the real income which people desire to keep in the form of money (K);
(iii) M and Y being constant, with the increase in K price level (P) falls and with the
decreases in K price level (P) rises;
(iv) K and Y remaining unchanged, if supply of money (M) increases, price level (P) rises
and if supply of money (M) decreases, price level (P) falls.
Pigou’s Equation
Pigou’s cash balance equation is as follows:
1/P=KR/M
Where
P is the price level and 1/p is the purchasing power;
R is the total real income or the real resources;
K is the proportion of real income held by the people in the form of money; and
M is the total money supply
Since money is held by the community in the form of cash and in the form of bank deposits,
According to Pigou, K was more significant than M in explaining changes in the purchasing
power of money (value of money). This means that the value of money depends upon the
demand of the people to hold money. Moreover, assuming K and R to be constant, the
relationship between money supply (M) and price level (P) is direct and proportional.
Robertson’s Equation:
Robertson’s cash balance equation is as follows:
M = KPT
Where,
P is the price level;
M is the money supply;
T is the total amount of goods and services to be purchased during a year.
K is the proportion of T which people wish to hold in the form cash.
According to Robertson’s cash balance equation, P changes directly with M and inversely
with K and T.
Keyne’s Equation:
Keyne’s cash balance equation is as follows:
n=pk
Or
p=n/k
Where
n is the cash held by the general public;
p is the price level of consumer goods;
k is the real balance or the proportion of consumer goods over which cash (n) is kept.
Assuming K to be constant, a change in ‘n’ causes a direct and proportional change in ‘p’. In
other words, if the quantity of money in circulation is doubled the price level will also be
doubled, provided k remains constant. In order to include bank deposits in money supply,
Criticism of cash-balance approach:
The cash-balance approach has been criticized on the following grounds:
(1) Like Fisher’s transaction equation, MV = PT, the Cambridge equation, M = KPY, is also a
simple truism.
(2) The cash-balance approach is based on the assumption that the demand for money has
uniform unitary elasticity. (This means that an increase in the desire for holding cash balance
(K) leads to equi-proportionate fall in the price level). This is an unrealistic assumption.
(3) The cash balance approach has not properly analyzed various motives for holding money.
For example, it ignored the speculative motive for holding money which causes violent
changes in the demand for money.
(4) A serious defect in the Cambridge equations (furnished by Pigou and Keynes) is that they
seek to explain the value of money (or, the purchasing power of money) in terms of
consumption goods only and ignored the investment goods altogether. Thus cash balance
approach has unduly narrowed down the conception of the purchasing power of money.
(5) The cash-balance approach ignored the role of rate of interest in explaining the changes in
the price level. The rate of interest has a definite influence on demand for money and, in turn,
on the price level.
(6) The approach ignored the influence of real factors like, income, saving, investment, etc.
on the price level.
(7) The cash balance approach ignored the real-balance effect which means that
(i) An individual’s wealth is influenced by the changes in money balances and the price level;
(ii) The changes in wealth further influence the expenditure on goods.
(8) The approach viewed the real income as the sole determinant of K. It has ignored the
influence of price level, banking and business habits of the people, business integration, etc.
on the value of K.
(9) The approach maintains that the value of money or the price level (P) is determined by K.
But it has been pointed out that K not only influences P but K is also influenced by P.
(10) In terms of cash balance approach it is difficult to visualize, the extent to which prices
and output will change as a result of a given change in the supply of money. Thus the
approach lacks quantitative analysis.
(11) Like Fisher’s Transactions approach, the Cambridge approach also assumes K and T as
given. But it is possible only in a static situation and not in dynamic situation.
(12) Like Fisher’s transactions approach, the Cambridge approach also provides no
explanation for trade cycle.
Assumptions:
* First of all Friedman says that his quantity theory is a theory of demand for money and not
a theory of output, income or prices.
* Secondly, Friedman distinguishes between two types of demand for money.
1) money is demanded for transaction purposes.
It serves as a medium of exchange. This view of money is the same as the old quantity
theory.
2) Money is demanded because it is considered as an asset.
Money is more basic than the medium of exchange. It is a temporary abode of purchasing
power and hence an asset or a part of wealth. Friedman treats the demand for money as a part
of the wealth theory.
* Thirdly, Friedman treats the demand for money just like the demand for any durable
consumer good.
The demand for money depends on three factors :
( a ) The total wealth to be held in various forms
( b ) The price or return from these various assets and
( c ) Tastes and preferences of the asset holders .
Individual wealth divided between human wealth and non-human wealth. Ratio between
human wealth and non-human wealth is represented by "Y”
Total wealth includes all sources of income. Thus income (y) is one of the determinants of
demand for money.
Variable which effects taste and preference of wealth holder represented as " u “
Friedman in his latest empirical study Monetary Trends in the United States and the United
Kingdom (1982) gives the following demand function for money for an individual wealth
holder with slightly different notations from his original study of 1956 as:
Md =f (p, y, Rb , Re , Rd , w , u )
Where,
Md - demand for money
P - price level
y - real income
Rb- interest rate on bond
Re - return on equities
Rd - return on durable goods ( no- human goods )
w - ratio of nonhuman to human wealth
u - taste and preference of wealth holder
Thus Friedman presents the quantity theory as the theory of the demand for money and the
demand for money is assumed to depend on asset prices or relative returns and wealth or
income . He shows how a theory of the stable demand for money becomes a theory of prices
and output . A discrepancy between the nominal quantity of money demanded and the
nominal quantity of money supplied will be evident primarily in attempted spending . As the
demand for money changes in response to changes in its determinants , it follows that
substantial changes in prices or nominal income are almost invariably the result of changes in
the nominal supply of money .
Conclusion :
Demand for money changes along with income
Its Criticisms :
1. Very Broad Definition of Money
2. Money not a Luxury Good
3. More Importance to Wealth Variables
4. Money Supply not Exogenous
5. Ignores the Effect of Other Variables on Money Supply
6. Does not consider Time Factor
7. No Positive Correlation between Money Supply and Money GNP
Index Numbers
Meaning :
The value of money does not remain constant over time . It rises or falls and is inversely
related to the changes in the price level . A rise in the price level means a fall in the value of
money and a fall in the price level means a rise in the value of money . Thus , changes in the
value of money are reflected by the changes in the general level of prices over a period of
time . Changes in the general level of prices can be measured by a statistical device known as
" index number”.
Index number is a technique of measuring changes in a variable or group of variables with
respect to time , geographical location or other characteristics . There can be various types of
index numbers , but , in the present context , we are concerned with price index numbers ,
which measures changes in the general price level ( or in the value of money ) over a period
of time .
( i ) Index numbers are a special type of average . Whereas mean , median and mode measure
the absolute changes and are used to compare only those series which are expressed in the
same units , the technique of index numbers is used to measure the relative changes in the
level of a phenomenon where the measurement of absolute change is not possible and the
series are expressed in different types of items .
( ii ) Index numbers are meant to study the changes in the effects of such factors which
cannot be measured directly . For example , the general price level is an imaginary concept
and is not capable of direct measurement . But , through the technique of index numbers , it is
possible to have an idea of relative changes in the general level of prices by measuring
relative changes in the price level of different commodities .
( iii ) The technique of index numbers measures changes in one variable or group of related
variables . For example , one variable can be the price of wheat , and group of variables can
be the price of sugar , the price of milk and the price of rice .
Inflation
Meaning :
Inflation is commonly understood as a situation of substantial and rapid general increase in
the price level and consequent fall the value of money over a period of time . Inflation means
persistent rise in the general level of prices . Inflation is a long term operating dynamic
process . By and large , inflation is also a monetary phenomenon . It is usually characterized
by an overflow of money and credit . In fact , the root cause of inflation is the expansion of
money supply beyond the normal absorbing capacity of the economy . The behavior of
general prices is measured through price indices . The trend of price indices reveals the
course of inflation or deflation in the economy .
Inflation is often defined in terms of its supposed causes . Inflation exists when money
supply exceeds available goods and services .
Inflation may be defined as ' a sustained upward trend in the general level of prices ' and not
the price of only one or two goods .
Definition :
According to Crowther , " Inflation is a ' state ' is which the value of money is falling i.e. the
prices are rising . "
According to Milton Friedman . " Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon . " .
According to John Maynard Keynes . " Inflation is the result of the excess of aggregate
demand over the available aggregate supply and true inflation starts only after full
employment . "
According to Paul Samuelson . " Inflation occurs when the general level of prices and costs is
rising . "
According to Silverman , " Inflation is the name given to the expansion of the money
supplies whether in currency or credit in the excess of the amount justified by the government
for the trade .
" According to Arthur Cecil Pigou . " Inflation exists when income is expanding more than in
proportion to the income earning activities . " .
According to Hanson , " Inflation is present when the volume of purchasing power is
persistently running ahead of the output of goods and services so that there is a continuous
tendency for prices both for commodities and factors of production to rise because the supply
of goods and services and FPO's fail to keep pace with demand for them . "
• According to Ackely . " A persistent and appreciable rise in the general level or average of
prices . "
According to Meyer . " An increase in the prices that occurs after full employment has been
attained . " According to Coulbourn , " In inflation , too much money chases too few goods . "
Types of Inflation
1. Demand Pull Inflation
2. Cost – Push Inflation
3. Open Inflation
4. Repressed Inflation
5. Hyper - Inflation
6. Creeping and Moderate Inflation
7. True Inflation
8. Semi - Inflation
1.Demand Pull Inflation
This is when the aggregate demand in an economy exceeds the aggregate supply . This
increase in the aggregate demand might occur due to an increase in the money supply or
income or the level of public expenditure
2.Cost - Push Inflation
Supply can also cause inflationary pressure. If the aggregate demand remains unchanged but
the aggregate supply falls due to exogenous causes, then the price level increases.
3.Open Inflation This is the simplest form of inflation where the price level rises
continuously and is visible to people. You can see the annual rate of increase in the price
level.
4.Repressed Inflation Let's say that there is excess demand in an economy. Typically, this
leads to an increase in price . However, the Government can take some repressive measures
like price control, rationing, etc. to prevent the excess demand from increasing the prices .
5.Hyper - Inflation In hyperinflation, the price level increases at a rapid rate . In fact , you can
expect prices to increase every hour . Usually, this leads to the demonetization of an economy
6.Creeping and Moderate Inflation • Creeping - In this case , the price level increases very
slowly over an extended period of time . . Moderate - In this case, the rise in the price level is
neither too fast nor too slow - it is moderate .
7.True Inflation This takes place after the full employment of all the factor inputs of an
economy . When there is full employment , the national output becomes perfectly inelastic .
Therefore , more money simply implies higher prices and not more output .
8.Semi - Inflation Even before full employment , an economy might face inflationary
pressure due to bottlenecks from certain sectors of the economy .
Causes of Inflation :
1. Growing Economy
In a growing or expanding economy , unemployment drops and wages usually rise . As a
result , more people find themselves with more money in their pocket , which they're
willing to spend on luxuries as well as necessities . This higher demand allows suppliers
to increase prices , which in turn leads to more jobs , which puts more money in
circulation , and round and round it goes .
In this context , inflation is considered a positive thing . Indeed , the Federal Reserve
wants there to be inflation , because it is a sign of a humming economy . But the Fed
wants only a little inflation , and aims for a 2 % annual core inflation rate . Many
economists agree , putting the target annual inflation rate at 2 % to 3 % as measured by
the consumer price index . They consider this a healthy increase as long as it doesn't
drastically outpace the growth of the economy as measured by gross domestic product
( GDP ) . Because a growing economy can lead to an increase in consumer spending and
demand , it is considered a form of demand - pull inflation .
2. Expansion of the Money Supply
An expanded money supply can also drive demand - pull inflation . This happens when
the Fed prints money at a rate higher than the growth rate of the economy . With more
money in circulation , demand grows and prices go up .
Here's another way to look at it : Think of an online auction . The more bidders ( or the
more money pursuing an object ) , the higher the price goes . Remember , money is
essentially worth whatever we believe is valuable enough to trade it for .
3. Government Regulation
The government can impose new laws or tariffs that make it more expensive for
companies to produce goods or import them . They pass on those higher expenses to
consumers in the form of increased prices . This results in cost - push inflation .
4. Managing the National Debt
When the national debt skyrockets , the government has two main options . One is to raise
taxes to make its debt payments . If it hikes corporate taxes , companies will likely shift
the burden onto consumers through higher prices . This is another scenario of cost - push
inflation .
The government's other option , of course , is to print more money . As explained earlier ,
this can result in demand - pull inflation . So if the government uses both approaches to
tackle the national debt , it may effect both demand - pull and cost - push inflation .
5. Exchange Rate Changes
When the value of the U.S. dollar dips in relation to foreign currency , it has less purchasing
power . In other words , imported products - the majority of consumer goods bought in
America - become more expensive to buy . Their cost goes up . The resulting inflation is
viewed as the cost - push kind .
Effects of inflation
Positive effects of Inflation :
The favourable impacts of inflation are as follows
1.Higher Profits
Inflation , usually , benefits the producers of products . They experience better profits since
they can sell their products at higher prices .
2.Better Investment Returns
During inflation, investors and entrepreneurs receive added incentives for investing in
productive activities . Therefore , they receive better returns .
3.Increase in Production
Once the producers receive the right investment , they create more goods and services .
Hence , inflation leads to an increase in production of products / services
4.More Employment and Better Income
Since production increases , there is an increased demand for the various factors of
production including manpower . Therefore , employment and income increases during
inflation
5.Shareholders can earn a good income
If a company earns higher profits , which is possible during inflation , it can declare
dividends to its shareholders . Thus , the shareholders can experience a rise in their dividend
income during inflationary periods .
6.Benefits to Borrowers
During inflation , the purchasing power of money decreases . Therefore , if the borrower is
paying a rate of interest which is less than the inflation rate , then he gains in the process .
This is because the real value of the money that the borrower returns is actually less than that
of the money borrowed .