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Development
Author(s): H. Myint
Source: Economica , Aug., 1977, New Series, Vol. 44, No. 175 (Aug., 1977), pp. 231-248
Published by: Wiley on behalf of The London School of Economics and Political Science
and The Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related
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By H. MYINT
The London School of Economics
Instead of the simple one-factor model of the Ricardian trade theory, Smith
was able to conduct his trade analysis on the basis of all three factors-land,
labour and capital-and this enabled him to anticipate the modern
Heckscher-Ohlin approach to international trade in terms of the differences
in the relative factor supplies and relative factor prices in different countries.
But instead of assuming the quantities and the productivity of resources to
be exogenously given (as is usual in the static Heckscher-Ohlin
analysis), Smith was able to incorporate the longer-run changes in factor
supplies and their productivity into his analysis as the outcome of the two
major forces of domestic economic development, viz. capital accumulation
and the division of labour. In Section II we shall consider the two controver-
sial trade doctrines of Adam Smith. It will be shown that the doctrine that
equal capitals are capable of putting into motion greater quantities of
productive labour in agriculture than in manufactures, and in manufactures
than in the carrying trade, did not seriously interfere with Smith's analysis of
the effect of capital accumulation on international trade, since in practice he
relied on the profit equalization principle in the allocation of capital between
the different sectors. It will, however, be argued that the "vent-for-surplus"
doctrine still remains an important element of Smith's trade theory in its
applications not only to the colonies and the underdeveloped countries but
also to the developed countries, notably the "landed nations" of Western
Europe such as England and France. In fact, the "vent-for-surplus" concept
in combination with Smith's dictum that "the division of labour is limited by
the extent of the market" provides the elements of the "open-ended" model
of the domestic economy which enables Smith to explore the effect of
foreign trade on domestic economic development. In Section III we shall
assess the significance of Smith's trade-cum-development approach in the
light of subsequent developments in economic thinking. We shall conclude
that Adam Smith has been underrated as an international trade theorist
because of the conventional practice of judging him by his contributions (or
lack of them) to the familiar and established doctrines of neoclassical trade
theory. A true measure of his work cannot be obtained until we judge him
by the insights which his approach can still offer to the unsettled questions of
the interrelationship of international trade and economic development, par-
ticularly in the setting of the underdeveloped countries.
Again,
Whether the advantages which one country has over another, be natural or
acquired, is in this respect of no consequence. As long as one country has those
advantages, and the other wants them, it will always be more advantageous for
the latter, rather to buy of the former than to make. [Book IV, ch. 2, Vol. I, pp.
422-423]
But Smith is concerned not mereiy with the static gains from trade in
terms of consumers' "enjoyments", but also with the gains from trade in
terms of economic development. This is apparent in the well-known passage
setting out the "two distinct benefits" from foreign trade.
It carries out that surplus part of the produce of their land and labour for which
there is no demand among them, and brinigs back in return for it something else
for which there is a demand. It gives a value to their superfluities, by exchanging
them for something else, which may satisfy a part of their wants, and increase
their enjoyments. By means of it, the narrowness of the home market does not
hinder the division of labour in any particular branch of art or manufacture from
being carried to the highest perfection. By opening a more extensive market for
whatever part of the produce of their labour that may exceed the home
consumption, it encourages them to improve its productive powers, and to
augment its annual produce to the utmost and thereby to increase the real
revenue and wealth of the society. [Book IV, ch. 1, Vol. I, p. 413]
Typically also, the potential loss of savings and capital accumulation looms
larger than the static consumers' losses in his criticism of the restrictions on
foreign trade and of monopoly.
But the immediate effect of every such regulation is to diminish its revenue and
what diminishes its revenue is certainly not very likely to augment its capital
faster than it would have augmented of its own accord, lhad capital and industry
been left to find their natural employments. [Book IV, ch. 2, Vol. I, p. 423; also
Book IV, ch. 7, Part III, Vol. II, p.111]
The fact that Smith's theory of foreign trade is closely interwoven with
his theory of economic development which permeates the Wealth of Nations
can be seen in another way. In the Wealth of Nations what Smith has to say
on foreign trade is not confined to the chapters on the mercantile system and
the colonies in Book IV; it is widely scattered all through the book. For
The natural price itself varies with the natural rate of each of the component
parts, of wages, profit and rent; and in every society, this rate varies according to
their circumstances, according to their relative riches or poverty, their advanc-
ing, stationary, or declining condition. [Book I, ch. 7, Vol. I, p. 65]
Agriculture is the proper business of all new colonies; a business which the
cheapness of land renders more advantageous than any other. They abound,
therefore, in the rude produce of land and instead of importing it from other
countries, they have generally a large surplus to export. In new colonies,
agriculture either draws hands from all other employments, or keeps them from
going to any other employment. There are few hands to spare for the necessary,
and none for the ornamental manufactures. The greater part of manufactures of
both kinds, they find it cheaper to purchase of other countries than to make for
themselves. [Book IV, ch. 7, Part III, Vol. II, pp. 109-110; also ch. 7 Part II,
pp. 83-84]
for labour and high wages. High wages in turn would stimulate the growth of
population. Hence the "rapidly advancing condition" of the colonies.
As the colony increases, the profits of stock gradually diminish. When the most
fertile and best situated lands have been all occupied, less profit can be made by
the cultivation of what is inferior both in soil and situation, and less interest can
be afforded for the stock which is so employed. [Book I, ch. 9, Vol. I, p. 94]
The demand for labour increases with the increase of stock whatever be its
profits; and after these are diminished, stock may not only continue to increase,
but to increase much faster than before. It is with industrious nations who are
advancing in the acquisition of riches, as with industrious individuals. A great
stock, though with small profits, generally increases faster than a small stock
with great profits. [Book I, ch. 9, Vol. I, p. 94]
A more extensive foreign trade, however, which to this great home market
added the foreign markets of all the rest of the world; especially if any
considerable part of this trade was carried on in Chinese ships; could scarce fail
to increase very much the manufactures of China and to improve very much the
productive powers of its manufacturing industry. [Book IV, ch. 9, Vol. II, pp.
178-179]
... in manufacturing art and industry, China and Indostan, though inferior, seem
not to be much inferior to any part of Europe. The money price of the greater
part of manufactures, therefore, will naturally be much lower in those great
empires than it is anywhere in Europe. [Book I, ch. 11, Part III, Vol. I, p. 206;
also pp. 189-190]
... perhaps as well fitted by nature as any large country in Europe to be the seat
of foreign commerce, of manufactures for distant sale, and all the improvements
which these can occasion ... on account of the natural fertility of the soil, the
great extent of the sea coast in proportion to the whole country and of the many
navigable rivers which run through it [which] ... afford the conveniency of water
carriage to the most inland parts of it. [Book III, ch. 4, Vol. I, p. 391]
But when by the improvement and cultivation of land the labour of one family
can provide for two, the labour of half the society becomes sufficient to provide
food for the whole. The other half, therefore, or at least the greater part of
them, can be employed in providing other things, or in satisfying the other
wants and fancies of mankind. Cloathing and lodging, houshold furniture and
what is called Equipage, are the principal objects of the greater part of those
wants and fancies. [Book I, ch. 11, Part II, Vol. I, p. 164]
The inhabitants of the town and those of the country are mutually the servants
of one another. The town is a continual fair or market, to which the inhabitants
of the country resort, in order to exchange their rude for manufactured produce.
It is this commerce which supplies the inhabitants of the town both with the
materials of their work and the means of their subsistence. The quantity of
finished work which they sell to the inhabitants of the country, necessarily
regulates the quantity of the materials and provisions which they buy. Neither
their employment nor subsistence, therefore, can augment, but in proportion to
the augmentation of the demand from the country for their finished work; and
this demand can augment only in proportion to the extension of improvement
and cultivation. [Book III, ch. 1, Vol. I, p. 359]
refines, more distant markets. For though neither the rude produce nor even coarse
manufacture could, without the greatest difficulty, support the expence of a consid-
erable land carriage, the refined and improved manufacture easily may. In a small
bulk it frequently contains the price of a great quantity of rude produce. [Book III,
ch. 3, Vol. I, pp. 379-81; italics added]
Smith then extended this principle of small bulk in relation to high value
to the analysis of the transport costs of commodities between different
countries. In his view, next to gold and silver, the most easily tradeable type
of commodity would be the "refined" manufactures. Next in order of
tradeability would be the raw produce based on special advantages of
climate and soil. The least tradeable type of goods would be food and
provisions, which could be grown almost everywhere and which are bulky
relatively to their value (cf. Book IV, ch. 2, Vol. I, p. 424). Thus, except in
the case of "the very rich commercial countries such as Holland and the
territory of Genoa", Smith expected most European countries to be largely
self-sufficient in basic foodstuffs, importing only a small part of them from
neighbouring countries, usually to smooth out harvest fluctuations. In this
connection, Smith referred twice to the fact that the average quantity of
corn imported into England "does not exceed the five hundredth and
seventy one part of the annual consumption" (Book IV, ch. 2, Vol. I, p.
426; Book IV, ch. 5, Vol. II, p. 36). Evidently he regarded this as a fairly
normal case for all developed countries. Now the proposition that food,
because of its bulkiness, is the least tradeable type of commodity is of
far-reaching importance in Smith's analysis. It underlines the need for
domestic agricultural improvements as a prior condition for economic de-
velopment.
We can now put together Smith's views on the trading advantages of the
countries of Europe in which the factors contributing to domestic economic
development, viz. the size of the domestic market and the extension of
commerce between the towns and countries, are combined with the factor
proportions analysis. Smith divided the countries of Europe into three main
categories: (a) the highly advanced "mercantile states", such as Holland,
Hamburg and Genoa; (b) what may be described as the "developed"
countries of western Europe, such as England and France, which Smith
called "the landed nations", and (c) the poor and backward countries of
eastern Europe, such as Poland and Hungary. Because of the scarcity of
land combined with abundance of capital, the highly advanced mercantile
states would have an advantage in the export of manufactures and in the
carrying trade, importing food and raw materials from the other countries.
The developed countries of western Europe, having gone through the
internal development process of agricultural improvement and the extension
of the domestic market, would have an advantage in manufacturing over the
poor countries of eastern Europe, although these two types of countries
would have equal advantage in agricultural exports, subject to the differ-
ences in soil, climate and location. Smith called the advanced western
European countries "landed nations" to stress the belief that they still had
considerable scope for further improvements in agriculture.
In all the great countries of Europe, however, much good land still remains
uncultivated, and the greater part of what is cultivated, is far from being
II
After agriculture, the capital employed in manufactures puts into motion the
greatest quantity of productive labour, and adds the greatest value to the annual
produce. That which is employed in the trade of exportation has the least effect
of any of the three. [Book II, ch. 5, Vol. I, p. 346]
This proposition, first introduced in the chapter "Of the Different Em-
ployment of Capitals", merges into the general doctrine of the "natural order"
of the "Progress of Opulence" developed in Book III. Smith employed this
doctrine mostly negatively to show the undesirable consequences of govern-
ment intervention and monopoly in "forcing some part of the industry into a
channel less advantageous than that in which it would run of its own accord"
and thus "inverting the natural order", in which
... the greater part of the capital of every growing society is, first directed to
agriculture, afterwards to employments, till the profits of all return to their
proper level. This superiority of profit, however, is a proof that, in the actual
circumstances of the society, those distant employments are somewhat under-
stocked in proportion to other employments and that the stock of the society is
not distributed in the properest manner.... Though the same capital never will
maintain the same quantity of productive labour in a distant as in a near
employment, yet a distant employment may be as necessary for the welfare of
society as a near one. [Book IV, ch. 7, Part III, Vol. II, p. 128]
By means of it the narrowness of the home market does not hinder the division
of labour in any particular branch of art or manufacture from being carried to
the highest perfection. By opening a more extensive market for whatever part of
the produce of their labour may exceed the home consumption, it encourages
them to improve its productive powers and to augment its annual produce to the
utmost and thereby increase the real revenue and the wealth of society. [Book
IV, ch. 1, Vol. I, p. 413]
There are two related ideas in this passage. (i) By widening the extent of
the market, international trade improves the division of labour and raises
the general level of productivity of resources within the country. This may
be called the "productivity" theory. (ii) By widening the extent of the
market, international trade provides a market outlet "for whatever part of
the produce of their labour may exceed the home consumption". This
contains the germ of the "vent-for-surplus" theory. (See Myint, 1958, in
which this distinction was first introduced.)
As we have seen, Smith applied his fundamental principle that "division
of labour is limited by the extent of the market" to all levels of economic
activity, and at each level the phraseology and the concept of "vent-for-
surplus" is introduced whenever there is a widening of the market extending
the division of labour. Thus, at the microeconomic level "the certainty of
being able to exchange the surplus part of his labour, which is over and
above his own consumption... encourages every man to a particular occupa-
tion" (Book I, ch. 2, Vol. I, p. 17). The same mode of analysis is extended to
the trade between the inhabitants of the towns and the country. Thus, in a
passage already quoted above, the workmen who are encouraged to settle in
the neighbourhood of an inland country district because of the abundance
and cheapness of provisions are said to
... give a new value to the surplus part of the rude produce, by saving the
expence of carrying it to the waterside or some distant market.... The cul-
tivators get a better price for their surplus produce and ... are thus encouraged
raised on "the unimproved wilds" and pigs and poultry fed on kitchen
scraps or "the offals of the barn and stables". These would provide a
considerable surplus productive capacity, for the farmer could produce meat
without taking land away from corn growing. "They cost the farmer scarce
anything and so he can afford to sell them for very little". This surplus
capacity is fully used only when, with the widening of the market, further
expansion of meat production requires the reallocation of land from corn
growing to fodder and animal feeds. Even in the developed European
countries there would be a considerable surplus productive capacity for
"butcher's meat" until all the available land was fully cultivated and
improved (Book I, ch.11, Vol. I, pp. 187, 219-229).
We can now see how the "vent-for-surplus" theory of foreign trade may
be applied to a developed country such as England or France, which already
possessed a considerable manufacturing sector in a "balanced-growth"
relationship with its agricultural sector, before it is opened to foreign trade.
This country is a "landed nation", so that it is quite possible for it to have an
absolute advantage based on soil, climate and situation, in the export of
some agricultural produce. In this case, export expansion would take place
directly through the "vent-for-surplus" mechanism-by extending cultiva-
tion to the hitherto unused or underutilized land. If the country possesses an
absolute advantage in some manufactured product, then the "productivity"
theory would come into play, enabling the country to reap the gains in the
form of the economies of scale and increasing returns from the opportunity
to sell to a wider international market. But there is a further twist to the
story. The modern economist would imagine that such a country would go
on progressively specializing in the export of manufactures and importing
increasing quantities of food and raw materials. But this is not how Smith
would see the situation. It will be recalled that he regarded food as a
relatively non-tradeable good because of its bulkiness to value and because
it could be grown in almost every type of soil and climate. Thus, it is more in
line with his general thinking to argue that, instead of importing progres-
sively increasing quantities of food, a country like England or France would
find it more advantageous to grow the bulk of their food requirements at
home- "by the extension of improvement and cultivation". Thus, he would
maintain that one of the major benefits of foreign trade to a country that
exports manufactures is the indirect encouragement that this trade can give
to its domestic agriculture. The "vent-for-surplus" mechanism is brought
into play through the expansion of internal trade between the manufacturing
and the agricultural sectors.
The rift in the structure of the later classical economy theory was passed
unnoticed by the neoclassical economists, who reunified the analysis of
foreign trade and the analysis of the domestic economy-but only at the cost
of subsuming both as branches of the static general equilibrium analysis. In
the heyday of neoclassical theory, the great issues raised by Adam Smith
concerning the relationship between international trade and economic de-
velopment dropped out of the ken of the international trade theorists. And
historians of economic thought, looking at Adam Smith through the neoclas-
sical spectacles, blamed him for his lack of contributions to the neoclassical
trade theory.
In recent times, however, the tide has turned. Present-day international
trade theorists, faced with the task of devising more effective theoretical
approaches to the problems of economic development, both in the industri-
ally advanced and in the underdeveloped countries, have increasingly turned
their attention to the issues raised by Adam Smith. (The beginning of this
trend may be traced to J. H. Williams' celebrated article, "The Theory of
International Trade Reconsidered" (1929). For models of the effect of
growth on trade, see Johnson (1968) and Findlay (1973). See also Kenen
(1975, Part I). Highly sophisticated formal models have been developed to
analyse the effect of the autonomously given forces of domestic economic
growth, viz. capital accumulation, population growth and technological
change, on the pattern of a country's foreign trade. But it is fair to say that
the other half of Smith's problem, the effect of foreign trade on the pattern
of domestic economic development, still remains one of the unsettled issues
of modern international theory. The main source of the difficulty may be
traced to the fact that modern international trade theory is still based on the
highly simplified model of the domestic economy depicted by the assump-
tions of perfect competition. Here Adam Smith's model of the domestic
economy may be obsolete for the study of the industrially advanced
economies, characterized by the giant multinational corporations, imperfect
competition and large-scale investment in research and development. But it
still has a greater relevance than the conventional perfect competition model
for the study of the underdeveloped countries, characterized by the large
traditional agricultural sectors which have still to attain the degree of
commercial specialization and the division of labour depicted in the perfect
competition model (see for example the comments by H. G. Johnson and J.
Bhagwati in Vernon, 1970; also Myint, 1976).
But unfortunately, it is in the underdeveloped countries that Adam Smith
is regarded with the greatest suspicion and distrust as the arch advocate of
laissez-faire and free trade policies. It has, therefore, been of some impor-
tance to show that Smith's free trade policy is based not only on the static
theory of the efficient allocation of resources- but also on a thorough going
exploration of the dynamic effects of foreign trade on long-run domestic
economic development. Smith recognized the importance of "learning-by-
doing" as well as any proponent of the "infant industry" argument for the
protection of domestic manufacturing industry (see in particular, Book IV,
ch. 9, Vol. II, pp. 169-170 and 179). But he believed that the "educative
effect" of an open economy would be greater because of "that mutual
communication of knowledge of all sorts of improvements which an exten-
sive commerce to all countries naturally, or rather necessarily, carries along
with it" (Book IV, ch. 7, Part III, Vol. II, p. 125). Perhaps the significance
of Smith's approach to the underdeveloped countries may be best summed
up by saying it offers a more sensible alternative to the two dominant opposing
views: the so-called "outward-looking" and "inward-looking" strategies for
economic development. The "outward-looking" approach emphasizes the
expansion of external trade as the "engine of growth" but tends to under-
play the fact that a country may not be able to take full advantage of its
external economic opportunities unless its internal domestic economic or-
ganization is strengthened and improved. This is a consequence of implicitly
assuming the perfect competition model. The "inward-looking" approach
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