98912-Kukuh Panji Yudhistira-Feb
98912-Kukuh Panji Yudhistira-Feb
98912-Kukuh Panji Yudhistira-Feb
By
INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM
JAKARTA
2010
DECLARATION SHEET
NIM : 604082000019
Faculty : Economic
Major : Management
Thesis Title : The Causality of Islamic Money Market with Conventional Money Market
Hereby, I declare that the results of Thesis writing that I have made is a result of my own
works and true authenticity. If in my writing thesis is the result of plagiarism, or plagiarism of
other people's work, then I am ready to accept the sanctions under disciplinary rules.
The Writer
Submitted to Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences as Partial Requirement for Acquiring the
Bachelor degree of Economics
Submitted by:
Under Guidance of
INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM
JAKARTA
2010
Curriculum Vitae
Personal details
Computing & internet (Ms. Word, Ms. Excel, Ms. Power point, browsing jurnal & article, and
etc)
Language with Active fluent English skills
Business & Management Skills (basic entrepreneurship, management control system,
organizational behavior, measuring & control Asset, Human Resources Management, industry
relations, International Business and etc)
Achievements
This study aims to determine the reciprocal relationship (causal) between money market
and capital market in Indonesia. In this study, which used as a research variable is the
conventional interbank money market (PUAS), Islamic interbank money market (PUASSY),
Bank Indonesia certificates (SBI) and Bank Indonesia Certificates (SWBIs). This study uses data
from January 2008 until January 2010, so the amount available is 25. The research method used
in this study is Granger Causality Test (which is reciprocal relationship). In this study, we use
application of E-views version 4 and SPSS version 17.
The result showed that the significant value of 0.64983> 0.05, so there is no significant
relationship between market by 0.5255. Likewise there is no significant relationship between the
Islamic interbank money market (PUASSY) with conventional interbank money market (PUAS)
with significance value of 0.64983> 0.05.
This research also shows that there is no significant relationship between Bank Indonesia
Certificates (SBI) with Bank Indonesia Certificates (SWBI) due to the significant value of
0.59233> 0.05. vice versa, the significance of 0.75559> 0.05 indicates that there is no significant
relationship between Bank Indonesia Certificates (SWBI) with Bank Indonesia Certificates
(SBI).
Praise is to Allah Almighty who has given us the opportunity to be able to present a
thesis which will be a reference for the introduction of Islamic banking activities. And peace and
hope is always devoted to supervising the Prophet Muhammad's faithful to his relatives, his
friends, and his people until the end of time. An appreciation for me to publish this thesis as the
embodiment of contributing and enriching the treasury for the development of sharia banks in the
The writer realizes that this thesis is too far from the perfection, realizing that the
limitation of the knowledge as well as experiences that the writer has, but because many parties
support, finally the writer could finish this thesis by hoping that it could be worthwhile for every
reader. The writer also expects for any suggestion to improve the content of this thesis.
DECLARATION SHEET i
VALIDITY PAGE ii
CURRICULUM VITAE iii
ABSTRACT iv
FOREWORD v
TABLE OF CONTENTS vi
CONTENT OF GRAPHICS viii
CONTENT OF TABLES ix
CONTENT OF PICTURES x
CHAPTER I PRELIMINARY 1
A. Background 1
B. Problems 9
A. Objectives and Benefits 9
CHAPTER IV DISCUSSION 53
A. Objects Overview Research 53
B. The findings and discussion 54
1. Descriptive Analysis 55
2. Data Analysis 67
a. Stationary Test 67
b. Granger Causality Test 71
CHAPTER V. CONCLUSION 79
BIBLIOGRAPHY 81
Content of Graphs
No Explanation Page
No Explaination Page
4.1 Stationary Variable SBI test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) 69
4.2 Stationary Variable SWBI test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) 69
4.3 Stationary Variable PUAS test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) 70
4.4 Stationary Variable PUASSY test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) 71
No Explanation Page
PRELIMINARY
A. Background
In the financial system, financial markets (money market) and capital markets are
part of the financial market. Money market is a market groups for short-term credit
instruments, which are usually of high quality money market instruments for trading. The
range time is usually due within one year or less. Money market is market who traded
Every Monday at 1:30 P.M. EST a hand in the biggest and most lucrative (if you
win) poker game in America is played. A typical hand may play for $200 billion, $300
billion, or more. The game is the Treasury Department’s weekly auction of Treasury
The existence of the money market is actually very closely related to liquidity
institutions, corporations non-financial and other participants in both the short-term funding
needs and in order to fund the placement of excess likuiditasnya.7 Hence the presence in the
money market economy system is absolutely necessary, due to the number of institutions or
companies and individuals that have cash flows that do not fit between the inflows and
outflows.
Thus, in order to increase efficiency in the management of bank funds if problems are
associated with an Islamic banking liquidity conditions, then of course it takes an interbank
money market is based on the principles of Islamic teachings that exist. Therefore PUAS
tool in the arena of Islamic banking in Indonesia is to meet the need of the money market.
The money market is a component of the financial markets for assets involved in
short-term borrowing and lending with original maturities of one year or shorter time
frames. Trading in the money markets involves Treasury bills, commercial paper, bankers'
acceptances, certificates of deposit, federal funds, and short-lived mortgage- and asset-
backed securities. It provides liquidity funding for the global financial system.
The money market consists of financial institutions and dealers in money or credit
who wish to either borrow or lend. Participants borrow and lend for short periods of time,
commonly called "paper." This contrasts with the capital market for longer-term funding,
The core of the money market consists of banks borrowing and lending to each
other, using commercial paper, repurchase agreements and similar instruments. These
instruments are often benchmarked to (i.e. priced by reference to) the London Interbank
eligible assets into an ABCP conduit. Examples of eligible assets include auto loans, credit
similar financial assets. Certain large corporations with strong credit ratings, such as General
Electric, issue commercial paper on their own credit. Other large corporations arrange for
banks to issue commercial paper on their behalf via commercial paper lines.
In other meaning money market is the market that provides a means of allocating
and short-term loans, because that money market liquidity is the primary market. While the
capital markets associated with securities are long terms. The funds are traded in capital
market with the money market is in place the implementation of the transaction.
Capital markets own a certain place called the stock exchange transactions in
financial markets effect. Transacts done through means of telecommunication, so the market
is sometimes referred to as the abstract market transaction because the execution was not
carried out in certain places such as on capital markets through the stock exchange. Financial
markets are also a market that did not form an organized (unorganized market).
Picture 1.1
SBI
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Source: Data reporting BI (Processed Data)
Graph 4.1 inform the development of Bank Indonesia certificate data in 2008 than
in January (1) until December (12). From the graph 4.1 above, we see that happened volatile
than bank certificates of Indonesia. The average of the certificate data is 101.414. The
highest value of bank certificates of Indonesia occurred in January while the month of
Money market and capital market is a means of investment and the mobilization
of funds for investors. Financial markets are currently looking for investments that offer the
highest return Expected to specific risk levels in line with the growth of world trade.
conducted using SBI (Bank Indonesia Certificates) and money market securities. SBI as an
instrument in conducting open market operations are used for purposes of monetary
1. Financial institutions
2. Large companies
3. Government Institutions
4. Individuals
The development of SBSI can be seen in the chart below:
Picture 1.2
SWBI
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Similarly, SBI, SBSIs also experienced fluctuating in progress during 2008. Table
1.2 shows that the highest value in the period of 2008 is happening on the 8 th month.
Financial markets are mechanisms that bring together those who have surplus
funds with those experiencing a deficit. Transactions in financial markets are largely short
term. A financial market on the one hand serves as to meet the needs of the firm's short-term
funds, financial institutions, and government, ranging from overnight to maturities of one
year. At the same time financial markets also provide an investment outlet for the surplus in
the short-term funds who want to earn revenue on unused funds. Therefore the existence of
In other side, Islamic Banking concept is relatively new for the Indonesian people,
including for the Muslim community itself. Although the basic concepts of thought banking
sharia are already running long, in fact it was the practice of sharia banks new start in 1992.
Based on the fact that the banking practices Sharia new in the early stages (an infant stage),
it is reasonable when the system Islamic banking is still poorly understood by society, so
most from their view, even some of them had participated in using bank services Sharia,
with anticipation and doubt as well. Therefore before we get to the core subjects, first needs
outlined briefly some aspects concerning the principles of the sharia related to banking.
relationship (causality) between the conventional money market products with Islamic
money market product. Therefore, the authors take the title of The Causality of Islamic
1. Research objectives
2. Research benefits
a. For money market sector (both conventional and Islamic, can serve as a note /
b. For the development of Economics, especially issues of money market, this case
c. For the academics / researchers, can be used as reference to make further research.
CHAPTER II
In the financial system, financial markets are part of the financial market
(financial market) in addition to the capital market. Some recent literature also includes
commodity markets and foreign exchange market as part of the financial markets. (Rodoni,
148).
Financial markets are markets where the group of short-term credit instruments (a
meeting place between supply and demand will be short-term funds), which is generally of
high quality to be traded and low risk. The term money market instruments usually maturing
companies and other participants in both the short-term funding needs and in order to make
1. Financial institutions
2. Large companies
3. Government agencies
4. Individuals
1. Market Risk
2. Reinvestment risk
4. Inflation Risk
5. Currency Risk
6. Political Risk
7. Liquidity Risk
3. Certificates of Deposit
4. Commercial Paper
5. Call Money
6. Repurchase Agreement
7. Banker's Acceptance
8. Promise Notes
F. Money in the view of Islam
Money is the way an economy's lubricant has always been a hot topic to discuss.
Like an engine without oil, the economy also will not work without the money. However,
many of us who only understand the meaning of money in the context of its form as bank
notes and coins. In fact, the definition of money is anything that can be accepted as a means
of payment for goods and services within a particular economic system. In fact, in ancient
times people use stone, animal skins, salt, and shells as money. At the time of the Prophet
(SAW), a gold coin (dinar) derived from the Roman and a silver coin (dirhams), which
comes from the Persian are the two precious metals are regarded as currency. Today, paper
money (fiat money) has become a commonly used means of payment in all countries in the
world.
exchange, store of value, and measuring the value of a commodity. However, the wide
system of interest in the current financial transaction, the function of money has increased to
financial theory as in the Loan able Funds Theory. In this theory of interest is considered as
the price of the funds available for lending (loan able funds), which became one of the
variables that affect the rate of supply and demand of the loan able funds.
Based on the above theory, we can conclude that the supply loan able funds would
be willing to lend money to the borrower if the borrower is only willing to return the
borrowed money in amounts greater than the principal. The difference between the amount
to be paid by the borrower and that the principal is called interest. By contract, the price
(interest) the borrower must pay under any circumstances (the borrower's business profits or
losses) to the lender, because the lender is considered already sells a commodity called
money.
Here is very clearly seen that in the current financial system, money is regarded as
a tradable commodity. This is in contrast with the view that Islam does not accept the
functions of money as a commodity. That's because the money does not qualify as a
finance, there are at least three factors that differentiate the commodity currencies. First,
money has no utility intrinsic. In contrast to commodities, money cannot be eaten, worn, or
used directly. Money can only be exchanged for commodities, then commodities are going
in to eat, wear or use. In economic terms, money only has value in exchange as commodities
Second, money does not need the quality to determine the value, in terms of paper
currency IDR 100.000 worn published in 2007 with paper money of Rp 100 000 new
publications in 2009 has the same purchasing power. As with commodities, for example, the
output of the Honda Jazz 2007 with output in January 2009 has a different price. This shows
the difference in quality between the two cars on top of which reflected the differences
Third, the money does not require specification of when the validity of
transactions, while commodities have specific properties when the validity of the
transaction. For example, if we want to buy the goods we will choose the things we want
according to our tastes, like color, other complementary accessories. That is, if the seller
offers the same goods but they were not in accordance with our tastes may be we will refuse.
However, another case with the money that is not specific. For example, for the payment of
monthly electricity bills amounted to USD 300 000. We can pay these bills by using three
pieces of money USD $ 100,000 or four sheets of currency USD 50 000 plus one sheet of
USD 100 000 and even we can pay these bills with three hundred pieces of USD 1000. For
the recipient there will be no difference in the value of the three methods of payment above.
with fiat money we use today. Paper money (fiat money) to current has no intrinsic value.
Banknotes became legal tender by law, issued a state that claimed legitimacy of the money.
This shows that the acceptance of paper money as a means of payment only to the
government because the trust factor that ensures the validity of these banknotes. That is, if
the trust was lost or diminished the value of these currencies will weaken (depreciated) due
to more people off, by selling money, than to have them. Because obviously, have no
intrinsic value.
However, it should also be stressed here that fiat money is legitimate money on
the side of the sharia. The author does not agree with the view that gold is only valid on the
sharia. Indeed, the true gold is the money the best and most stable in value, and if we can re-
use gold as a standard of value for money, is certainly the world's financial system would be
much better. However, claims that only gold or silver are recognized Islam as the money and
besides gold and silver will be invalid, this claim is excessive. The proof of the Caliph Omar
never intended to make the camel as a currency, but then was advised not to do it, because
Similarly Imam Malik once said that if people make the animal skin as a currency,
he undoubtedly would ban the buying and selling animal skins but with cash and may not be
the same kosher is just bad on the side of Islam with that which is unlawful. If fiat money is
haraam, then surely we dowry becomes invalid, and our marriage was not valid, then our
children are also to be illegitimate. Is not that logical consequence of the said fiat money is
increasing demand and the number of humans, the exchange occurs of goods called barter.
Along with the progress of the age, is something that is not practical if one has to find people
who needed goods and at the same time require goods and services that are owned (or
double coincidence of wants). And this will complicate muamalah among humans.
Therefore we need a medium of exchange that can be accepted by all parties. Thus a
medium of exchange called money. The first time, the money is known in Sumerian and
Babylonian civilizations.
In the use of money, the Arabs had known solidus, gold coins in use since Roman
times, and used silver dirhams Persia, before Islam came. After Islam came, and during the
life of Prophet Muhammad, the use of solidus and the dirhams to be continued.
In the Qur'an explicitly mentioned gold (dinar) and silver (dirham) as a currency, as
property or as a symbol of wealth owned. Besides mentioned in the verses of the Qur'an,
Islamic Dinar and Dirham mentioned a lot in the Hadith of Prophet Muhammad.
1. Dinar to the Dirham, no excess in between the two (if exchanged) and Dinar and Dirham
2. In another Hadith the Prophet Muhammad used the term wariq; "silver coins whose
numbers below five auqiyah no zakat on his obligations." (Narrated by Bukhari and
exchange. One of the most important characteristic is the money not needed for
consumption, but is required to purchase other items that can fulfill human needs.
medium of exchange but money is not needed for the money itself. Money was created to
facilitate the exchange and creation of a fair value of these exchanges, and money is not a
commodity. Money likened to a mirror that has no color, but can reflect all the colors.
Meanings of money does not have price. But it can reflect all of the price of goods. This is
Islamic economy, if the money used to buy goods, the goods that provide uses.
1. Transaction Motivation
2. Motivation guard.
Speculation in the meaning of Keynes's economics did not exist in Islam, so that
the function of money demands for speculative purposes (as a function of the interest rate) to
zero.
Demand for money in Islamic economics associated with the level of income. The
amount of cash held inventories are influenced by income level and frequency of spending.
The same analysis can be used for companies that need the cash for the purchases of raw
materials and receipts from sales of products in the form of cash. Cash needs will change in
cash beyond what is used for transaction, in order to fulfill its obligations and the various
opportunities that are not supposed to purchase in advance, with very limited amounts.
motivations that have been mentioned above, which is a function of income level, at a
certain level has been determined Zakat on less productive asset. Rising incomes will
increase demand for money by the community, to a certain income level affected zakat
formulated as follows;
MD f Y/ )
MD/ Y) d 0
societies Y = Income
An increase in the cost of idle money which, at certain income levels will tend to
reduce the amount of the demand for money. In the following picture, if the income is Y1
and the level of costs is 1 then the total demand for money is M1D. Increase the level of costs
Graph 2.1
M3D M2D M1 D
Associated with the function described the Liquidity Preference Keyness, from
the results of statistical analysis, to all the Islamic countries (which the people of Islam
1. Demand for money in an Islamic state is determined by income, in this case the motive of
3. Money demand in the narrow sense and broad is not influenced by the level of interest so
a. Preferences vary with the model of the Islamic ummah Keyness, so speculation is not
b. Elimination of the overall rate in the countries of Islam will not pose a serious problem
achieving economic value added. Without the economic value added, the money cannot
create prosperity. This is contrary to where the money interest-based banking develops
breeding of money, no matter if used in productive activities or not. Time is the main factor.
Meanwhile, in the view of sharia, the money will only grow when implanted into real
economic activity (tangible economic activities). Thus the relationship between the Islamic
bank and its customers is more a partner than as a lender or borrower. Islamic bank may act
as buyers, sellers, or lessors (lessors). This can be done directly, which the bank has
expertise to act as a trading company (trading house), or Indirect not by acting as an agent
To generate the profit, money must be closely related to basic economic activities
(Primary economic activity), either directly acting as a trading house engaged in transactions
such as trade, industrial activity or lease etc., or indirectly acting as an investment company
Based on the principles of Sharia Bank may withdraw funds in the form:
2. Capital participation and sharing of risk sharing (non-guaranteed deposits) for general
investment (general investment account / mudharabah mutlaqah) where the bank will pay
3. Special Investments (Special investment / mudharabah muqayyadah) where the bank acts
as investment manager for get fee. So the banks do not participate fully invested, while
From the brief description is clear that the scope of Islamic banking business is a
universal banking. It covers the commercial banking and investment banking. Nevertheless,
Islamic banking system is in principle very different from the conventional banking system.
These differences have consequences the need for different settings with
conventional banking arrangements, among others, such as regulations on the control pattern
Bank managers are always trying to maximize their profitability (Return on Total
Assets) and how to invest as much as possible of available funds. However, management has
also been urged by the need to have enough liquidity to solve every problem that occurs
mismatch between assets and liabilities. One of the operational difficulties faced by Islamic
banks is their difficulty controlling their liquidity efficiently. It looks at some of the
symptoms include:
funds accumulate and are unemployed for a few days hence reducing their income on
average;
2. Difficulty withdraws funds ongoing investments, withdrawal of funds at the time there in
critical situations. As a result, Islamic banks hold illiquid his equipment in larger
quantities than the average conventional banking. Again, this condition also causes an
more likely to transfer funds to other banks, while our loyal customers impressed that follow
1. Lack of access to obtain liquidity from the Central Bank funds (except only in some
2. Lack of access to the Money Market (Money Market) so that Islamic banks can only
As mentioned above, the main task of bank management, including the Islamic
Bank is to maximize the welfare of the stakes holders by increasing the value of shareholders’
investment, minimize risk and ensure the availability of adequate liquidity. Management
cannot arbitrarily draw customers to save their money in the bank, without any assurance that
the funds can be invested profitably and may be returned when the fund at any time is
withdrawn by the customer or the fund has matured. Besides, management must also
simultaneously consider the various risks that will influence the changes in the level of
profits.
To ensure that the assets of Islamic Banking in addition has provided funds over
time, the Bank should maintain a high level of liquidity in anticipation of a withdrawal, the
withdrawal of funds, because Sharia Banks should not draw funds from the sources of
interest-based funds.
Obviously, that lack of access to the Bank to borrow funds in the money market to
fund their assets is a fundamental problem that they face. If there is a withdrawal of large
amounts, for whatever reason, whether the funds from wadia or mudaraba, it will happen
when:
3. Sharia banks are prohibited from borrowing funds in interest, to replace funds withdrawn
by customers.
Any banker would be able to imagine how the liquidity problems faced by Islamic
Banks will also face the same problem, considering that the banking sector in general difficult
to avoid the financial position of the mismatched. To take advantage of temporarily idle
funds, banks should be able to conduct short-term investments in money market, and vice
versa to meet the funding requirements for short-term liquidity, due to mismatch, the bank
Because the securities that exist in conventional financial markets, except share,
based on the system of interest, Islamic banks face constraints because they are not allowed to
be part of the assets and liabilities that interest-based. This problem negatively affects the
banking had to just concentrate their portfolios in the short-term asset, related to trade, and
but they have not reached the depth of the market that guarantee profits (profit ABILITY) and
business continuity (viability) the long term. Sooner or later than they get out of this mess,
will depend on speed, aggressiveness and effectiveness they build instruments and techniques
that enable the achievement of intermediary functions in both directions for Islamic Banking.
They find ways and means of rendering the development of Islamic financial instruments are
marketable, in which the portfolio generated by the Islamic Banking can be marketed in the
are the securities-based rates, so that Islamic banking cannot take advantage of existing
money market. Even if there is also a sign of its shares as a capital investment letter-based
profit-sharing, but still require investments in research, whether the object is free of activity
that is not approved by Islam. In other words there must be assurance that the issuers do not
hold commercial goods that are prohibited by the sharia, or contain elements of usury, and
gharar maisir. Therefore, to create a Money Market for the benefit of Islamic Banking Money
Market instruments must be created based on sharia. With its active money market
instruments on sharia Islamic Banking can perform its function fully, not only in facilitating
trade in the short term but also serves to support the long-term investment. The financial
structure of development projects that will enrich the sharia-based Islamic financial tool and
opened a larger participation from all market participants, including non-Muslims, because
financial institutions are prohibiting riba (interest) in Islamic financial institutions, both usury
nasiah, namely usury in lending and borrowing money (qard) and riba fadl, namely riba in
trade. Revenues or profits may only be obtained by working or conducting commerce that is
not prohibited by Islam. To avoid violation of the limits set by the shariah is the financial tool
that is created must be backed by assets, the project assets or transactions that lie behind them
(underlying transaction).
Money cannot generate anything. Money will only grow if invested in real economic
The success of economic activity measured by return on investment (ROI). Return may
Part of shares in the company, or partnership activity musharaka mudaraba can traded
investment activities and not for speculative purposes or for purposes of trade paper;
Islamic financial tools, such as the stake in a partnership or company can be negotiated
(bought or sold) because he represents the share in total assets, from real business.
Some Restrictions relating to the sale and purchase of such share is:
Value per share in the business must be based on assessment of the business itself
(fundamental analysis)
Are allowed to buy shares in companies that have debt on corporate balance sheets, but
Capital owners have the right to terminate its ownership if he wants, unless agreed
otherwise.
Assets can be financed from equity or loan. Karana loans cannot be traded, while
equities can be traded, then why do we not build a system where the financing is done by
Financial tool that can be formed through the securitization of assets / projects
assets (asset securitization), which is proof of ownership, either in the form of loss sharing
(shared management), which include fixed capital (fixed capital) with the right to manage,
supervise and voting rights in decision making (voting, light), or in the form of investment
mudaraba (Participation share), representing the capital crimes (variable capital), with the
rights of capital and profits from the capital, but without voting rights.
In order to provide the means for investment funds or fund management based on
the principles of sharia in Indonesia, the first strategy has been implemented by Bank
Indonesia, Bank Indonesia Regulation 2/8/PBI/2000 number dated February 23, 2000 on the
Interbank Money Market Sharia (PUAS). Participants consisted of PUAS Bank and Bank
Conventional. Sharia banks can conduct or management of funds and investment funds, while
the Conventional Banks can only do investment funds. Instrument was used in the form of
compensation for IMA Certificate refers to the rate of investment return for issuing banks
mudaraba accordance with the planting period and an agreed profit sharing ratio.
within tolerance limits and provisions outlined by the sharia, such as among others:
Fatwa Ulama at the symposium sponsored by the Dallah al Baraka Group in November
1984 in Tunisia, stated: “It is permissible to sell the capital share of each company where
the management company remained in the hands of the owner of a trade name (owner of
trade name) that has been registered legally. Buyer only has rights over the capital and on
capital gains in cash without the right supervision over the management or distribution of
was held in Jakarta on July 30 to 31, 1997, has enabled to trade in mutual funds that
contain securities of companies whose products or operations are not contrary to Islamic
sharia.
Funds that have been collected by the Islamic Bank in the form of deposit investment
mudaraba largely invested in murabahah, bai al salam, istisnaâ, ijara, Ijarah Muntahia bi
tamlik etc. those assets are then protect by Special Purpose Companies (SPC) which is
managed by the Bank as the securitization vehicles. If the bank then the bank has mismatch
Allowances to withdraw the funds through the sale of investment units issued by
such SPC. Other banks including the Central Bank can also purchase these units include the
placement of funds. SPC is able to announce the price of investment units each month, every
Based on the calculation of net asset value is doing, so that investments in these
units have a high level of liquidity. To provide flexibility for the Bank Syariah, SPCs Tiers
A fund will be attracted to invest in financial instruments where it is believed that the
instrument can be withdrawn at any time without reducing the effective income from
investments. Therefore any financial instrument must meet several requirements, among
others:
low risk;
Simple; and
Flexibility.
In order to meet these conditions, without ignoring the limits allowed by the
sharia, it is necessary to the existence of a special purpose company (hereinafter called ‘the
of new assets, in the framework of the primary market through the creation of new
investment opportunities and to test the feasibility (feasibility) of his. This phase is called
Creating a secondary market that was built through a variety of approaches that can
organize and promote consensus among the dealers trade, including a repurchase
(redemption).
concept can be applied more broadly with the utilization of the resources of other
Small savers and investors with low income may benefit from the projects feasible
(feasible) and successful where they can easily melt back with a good income;
Expanding the base for the primary market; and
Bridging trouble finding companies willing to participate in the capital (joint stock
the necessity to develop the following concepts further guidance. The developers and makers
of policy and procedure initiatives require money market, especially in the case of buy back
guarantee for investors. Therefore, a quality marketing agencies are also required. If all of
these needs can be met it will be many exciting new financial instrument, associated with
whether individuals or legal entities, which must be preserved and restored whenever the
Care willed. Can also term wadiah yad al mandate. For this type of deposit or wadiah, the
If linked to Islamic banks, for this wadiah there such a thing al-yad wadiah
dhamanah ADH. That means people who commend or storage (mustawda ‘, in this case
the banks) were allowed to use the assets entrusted to be used or exploited. But there are
a prerequisite, namely the mustawda ‘it must get permission from the Care (muwaddi’, in
time deposits (saving accounts). As a consequence of ADH yadh dhamanah, all profits
generated from the deposits of the bank belongs, and also the bank as a guarantor all
possible losses.
In return, the treasure Care gets security guarantees. However, as the recipient
bank deposits, as well as parties who have made use of these funds, are not forbidden to
provide such incentives in the form of bonuses on deposits, with terms not previously
required, and the amount is not specified in nominal or percentage in advance, but it
Sources of Law
a. The concept of wadiah is not specifically mentioned in the Quran. However, as far as
safekeeping which is closely related to trust is concerned, there are some indications
o “Those who are faithfully true to their trusts (amanah) and to their covenants”
23:8
o “Verily, Allah commands that you should render back the trusts to those, to whom
b. In the Sunnah, Al-Bayhaqi narrated that ‘A’ishah said on the occasion of the
Prophet’s (pbuh) migration to Medina (Hijrah), “The Messenger of Allah asked ‘Ali
to take his place in Makkah in order to deliver the deposited things to their owners.”
c. Moreover, the prophet (pbuh) is reported to have said: “Return the trust to those who
entrusted you, and do not betray those who betrayed you.” (Abu Dawood and
Tirmizi)
a. Bank Indonesia as the central bank should publish monetary instruments based on
Islamic principles, called Wadiah Bank Indonesia Certificates (SBSI), which can
b. Akad used for the instrument is an agreement SBSI wadiah as stipulated in the Fatwa
DSN No. 01/DSNMUI / IV/2000 about the current accounts and the Fatwa DSN No.
Money market (money market) is a market within which the securities are
traded short term. The articles that are traded in the money market are the money
(money) and quasi money (near money). Money and quasi money, which is none other
than the securities (financial paper), which represent money which the person (or
Securities that are traded in financial markets can vary, can be securities
deposits of less than one year to securities with a maturity of five years, but in fact a large
portion of financial assets traded in the money market securities futures is less than one
year. This is because the securities longer-term more than usually owned by investors in
capital markets.
profits, minimize risks and ensure adequate liquidity is always available, no less and no
more. With the existence of the interbank money market facilities, the Shariah banks will
have easy-ease, to utilize the funds that are temporarily idle, the bank can conduct short-
term investments in money market, and vice versa, to meet liquidity needs short term;
conventional interest-based securities, then banks cannot take advantage Shariah existing
markets, because Shariah banking is not allowed to become part of the asset and liability
Therefore, to support Shariah banking in managing its liquidity, it needs money market
instruments based on Shariah, that sharia banking can perform its function fully, not only
in facilitating short-term trading activity but also play a role in support the long-term
investment.
is a certificate that is used as a means of investment for the Bank of the excess funds to
make profit, and on the other hand Mudharabah Interbank Investment Certificate Shariah
(IMA) as well as the means for the Bank Syariah experiences a lack of funds for short-
term funds mudharabah principle. In Indonesia, this issue has been regulated by Bank
Mudharabah (IMA).
6) Investment Duration.
9) Place of Payment.
For Islamic banks that have been issued a Certificate of Sharia Interbank
Investment Mudharabah (IMA) are required to report to Bank Indonesia on the day of
Managers of funds in triplicate, sheet The first and the second shall be submitted to the
bank as proof of investor funds for investment, while the third sheet is used as an
(IMA) make payment to the bank issuing the certificate of IMA using credit notes
done by the bank’s first venture fund, while the second fund investor banks are not
allowed to transfer the other bank until the end of term time, means a certificate of
intended that the certificate issuer Bank IMA can make a payment to the bank which is
entitled, therefore, the bank shall notify the holder of the last certificate of ownership
Investments last at nominal value (face value) with using credit notes through the
clearing, using BI current accounts or using electronic funds transfer. While the
Certificate Shariah (IMA) was calculated based on the level of benefits realization
benefits Mudharabah Investment Deposits at the bank issuing the term of the investment.
a. Investment certificates based on interbank rates are not justified according to sharia.
has established the general provisions in these regulations definitions shall apply:
1) Sharia Banks, hereinafter called the BUS is a Commercial Bank as referred to in Act
Number 7 Year 1992 on Banking as amended by Act No. 10 Year 1998, which is
b) Work units in the branches of a conventional bank domiciled abroad who serves
based on Sharia Principles denominated short term amount of money issued by the
Bank Indonesia.
5) Bank Indonesia Script less Securities Settlement System, hereinafter called the BI-
participants, organizers and the Indonesian Bank System –Real Time Gross
Settlement.
6) Repurchase Agreement Transactions SBIS hereinafter called Repo SBIS is a lending
(collateralized borrowing).
Indonesia rupiah.
As for the contract and the characteristics used in the Indonesian bank
certificates of sharia which also stipulated in article 3 and article 4 in the regulation of
Indonesian banks SBIS issued by Bank Indonesia to use Ju’alah and SBIS contract has
2) BUS or UUS shall meet the requirements of Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) set by
Bank Indonesia.
3) BUS or UUS can have SBIS trough direct purchases and / or through money market
a) BUS or UUS Repo SBIS can be submitted to Bank Indonesia. Repo SBIS as
intended based on the principle followed by Rahn and qard. BUS or UUS who
filed Repo SBIS must be entered in the Framework Agreement SBIS Delays
Repo SBIS and submitted the required supporting documents to Bank Indonesia.
b) Bank Indonesia eventually establishes and charge for Repo SBIS. With the
c) Bank Indonesia Certificates have been issued before the Bank Regulation
Indonesia is imposed, shall remain valid and subject to the provisions of Bank
d) With the issuance of this Bank Indonesia Regulation, Bank Indonesia Regulation
4. Al-sharf
exchange, while the Arabic term al-called sharf. In the dictionary of al-Munjid fi al-
Lughah mentioned that al-sharf means selling currency with other currencies. Al-Sharf
harfiyah which means the addition, exchange, avoidance, or sale and purchase
transactions. Thus al-Sharf is an exchange sale and purchase agreement with any other
currency. Forex or al-sharf freely interpreted as currency issued and used as legal tender
in other countries.
Taqiyyudin defines al-sharf with obtaining property by other property, in the form of gold
and silver, which is similar to one another between the gold, which equates with a gold
one another, or between the silver one with the other silver or gold with different types
such as silver, with matching or overestimate the kind that one with another type.
1) Purchase of currency with the same currency as exchange of the new Iraqi dinar
2) The exchange of currency with foreign currencies like the pound-dollar exchange
Egypt
3) Purchases of certain goods with money and the purchase of such currency with
foreign currencies such as buying a plane with the dollar, and exchange of dollars to
4) Sales of goods in the currency, e.g. U.S. dollars with Australian dollars.
J. Previous Research
Nurul Huda in 2009 studied the causal relationship of Islamic and conventional
financial markets. Variables used in the interbank money market, Islamic interbank money
market, certificates of Indonesian banks, and certificates wadiah Indonesian bank. Research
results show that there is no significant reciprocal relationship between PUAS with PUASSY.
Likewise there is no significant reciprocal relationship between the SBI with SBSIs.
Moreover, with Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha in 2009 Islamic money market yields
that move in sync with conventional rates simply means that, users of a central bank would
face the same extent of interest rate risk that conventional players do. It is indeed ironical that
despite creating new markets and institutions that are supposed to enable interest free
operations, players end up with as much interest rate exposure if not more. This, unfortunately
is the reality of central bank operating within a dual banking system. Just as water cannot be at
two levels within the same container, an Islamic financial system operating within a larger
conventional 20 macro environment cannot completely sterilize itself from interest rate risks.
If a common customer pool that can freely move funds between banking systems
is the explanation for interest rate risk transmission to Islamic banks. The results of this study
imply that the existence of a central bank may actually enhance this transmission. There are at
least 3 additional channels of transmission with an IIMM. These are; (i) through the pricing in
interbank rates, (ii) through the pricing of Islamic money market instruments and (iii) through
Picture 2.1
Theoretical Framework
As Figure 2.1 shows, as a result of Malaysia’s dual banking system there is an interesting
dimension to the IIMM. Not only do Islamic banks and other Islamic financial institutions have
access, conventional banks, insurance companies and other conventional NBFI’s (non-bank
Is particularly so, for the second component of IIMM, which is Islamic money market
instruments. While Islamic financial institutions have no access to the conventional money
Conventional financial institutions have access to the IIMM. There are no limits on the
or selling the ones they own. They cannot issue their own Islamic papers into IIMM, nor bid for
them in the primary market. In the secondary market, however, there is no differentiation. In fact,
until end-2003, conventional banks were allowed to issue Green BAs which were essentially
Islamic banker’s acceptances. This effectively meant that conventional banks could raise funds
in the IIMM. The Shari’ah compatibility of the Green BAs came from the fact that
their underlying asset was halal. Since January 2004, the practice has been disallowed and Green
K. Consideration Framework
In this study, to calculate all the variables that have obtained the data will be
processed using the software Microsoft Excel 2007, after which the Excel-formatted data is
converted to E-views version 4 for further testing requirements stationery analysis of test data.
Then to see the interrelationships among variables in this study will use analytical methods
granger causality test. Framework of thought can be seen in the following table:
Picture 2.2
Consideration Framework
Search Data
Data from BI
Manual Input
Data needed
Granger Causality
L. Hypothesis
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
A. Research Scope
Descriptive research design was causal. Descriptive research related to the exposure
of data relating to research, while the causal research to see the relationship that exists
between independent variables and the dependent variable, whether a two-way relationship,
econometric data analysis techniques. Data used in this research that in 2008 up to 2010
January.
non-random). The method is the selection of samples taken under consideration (judgment
sampling) that is the type of sample selection is not random that the information obtained
with the use of certain considerations (which is adapted to the purpose or research problem).
Data used in this study are secondary data. Secondary data used in this study are:
1. Research Library
2. Field Research
Data obtained through direct observation in the field especially related to the
research object.
analysis. Where quantitative analysis is a study that aims to find the description thoroughly,
quantitative facts or data related to the problem and then create a mathematical model that
describes the objectives, constraints and others associated with the problem, then with one or
several other methods, the analyst will provide recommendations based on quantitative data
(Anderson, 1994).
The next step is to enter the values of these variables into the software Microsoft
Excel 2007 and then converted into Software Eviews4, then analyzed using statistical tests.
1. Stationary Test
This test is performed to detect whether the data really are stationary, because
the data does not mean there is instability of stationary time series models that allow for
autocorrelation can cause interference on econometric models. To see this phenomenon,
Stationary testing whether the data to be analyzed, carried out by using the unit
By using the Dickey Fuller table corresponding to model time series (2), the
null hypothesis which states the nature of the stationary in the model (2) will be rejected
if the value of t-statistics obtained by the regression coefficient associated with this
Stationary test is needed before making a granger causality test. Stationary test
goal is to make the mean stable and its random error = 0, so that they obtained
regression model has the ability to predict more reliable and there is no spurious
regression. If the two variables tested did not stationary, it can generate fake regression.
By granger and newold, if R2> Durbin-Watson statistics, we should suspect that the
result is a regression palsy. This research will be conducted on a stationary test method
granger causality test. Granger causality test using the writer to know whether there is
causality between the dependent variable. In essence, the test can indicate whether a
The basic "Granger Causality" definition is quite simple. Suppose that we have
three terms, , , and , and that we first attempt to forecast using past
terms of and . We then try to forecast using past terms of , , and
. If the second forecast is found to be more successful, according to standard
cost functions, then the past of appears to contain information helping in
forecasting that is not in past or . In particular, could be a vector of
possible explanatory variables. Thus, would "Granger cause" if
(a) occurs before ; and (b) it contains information useful in
forecasting that is not found in a group of other appropriate variables.
Naturally, the larger is, and the more carefully its contents are selected, the
information about that is not found in other variables which is why the
"causality" label is perhaps appropriate.
The definition leans heavily on the idea that the cause occurs before the effect,
which is the basis of most, but not all, causality definitions. Some implications are that
variable. The specification shows the dimensions and indicators of variables obtained
1. PUAS
instruments (a meeting place between supply and demand will be short-term funds),
which is generally of high quality to be traded and low risk. The term money market
2. PUASSY
meeting place between supply and demand will be short-term funds), which is generally
of high quality to be traded and low risk. The term money market instruments usually
3. SBI
debt (1-3 months) with a system of discount / interest. SBI is one of the mechanisms
used by Bank Indonesia to control the stability of the rupiah. By selling SBI, Bank
Since the economic crisis that hit Indonesia since mid 1997 has resulted in a sharp
decline in economic activity and weakening consumer purchasing power. Most banks in
Indonesia have experienced negative spread and cover bad loans in large numbers.
few conventional banks that have no other choice but to offer high deposit interest rates at
closed down for failing to pay their duty. This condition is not the case with Islamic banks is
implementing revenue-sharing system and be free from the influence of interest rate
fluctuations that occur. Since then, the numbers of Islamic banks thrive because profit-
sharing system has to offer and in fact is not less profitable than conventional banks are
applying the system of interest. So it is not surprising that until now many of the
conventional banks also opened units or sharia his window to see a promising prospect of
In the context of the development of this Islamic banking sector is only fitting to
walk side by side with the real sector and financial sector as an area of Islamic investment.
Hence the establishment of appropriate infrastructure ranging from legal instruments that
govern it, the completeness of monetary instruments and financial markets until the
the system and the existing financial instruments cannot provide assurance most satisfaction
with the community in its operational mechanism, so the expectations that arise related to
the financial system in accordance with Islamic values can be realized and this may be an
alternative option for Muslim investors to promote their funds in an investment. Data used in
Graph 4.1
Bank Indonesia Certificate Data in 2008
SBI
140,452
150,000 136,431 131,517
122,025
106,458
99,075 107,489
100,000 93,900
68,876 82,598
69,048
50,000
59,098
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12
2008 than in January (1) until December (12). From the graph 4.1 above, we see
that happened volatile than bank certificates of Indonesia. The average of the
occurred in January while the month of December to the lowest point of the value
Graph 4.2
Certificates of Bank Indonesia in 2009 and 2010 months January
Source:
for 2009 from January (1) until December (12) and 2010 January (13). From
the graph 4.2 above, we see that happened volatile than bank certificates of
while the month of December to the lowest point of the value of certificates of
Bank Indonesia.
c. SBI Data in 2008 until January 2010
Graph 4.3
SBI Data in 2008 until January 2010
SBI
200,000
186,801
180,000
172,672
160,000 156,870161,132
140,000140,452 141,177
136,431 131,517
Axis Title 120,000 122,025
106,458107,489
100,000 99,075 93,900 97,423
93,598
89,969
40,000 36,998
33,674
20,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425
Source: BI
from 2008 until January 2010. From the graph 4.3 above, we see that happened
volatile than bank certificates of Indonesia. The average of the certificate data is
103.888.
2009 while the month of December in 2009 to the lowest point of the value of
Graph 4.4
Data SBSI 2008
SBSI
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Indonesia in 2008. From the graph 4.4 above, we see that happen to fluctuate from
Indonesian banks wadiah certificate. The average of the certificate data is 2.103
April to the lowest point of the value of wadiah Bank Indonesia certificates.
e. SBSI data from 2009 to January 2010
Graph 4.5
SBSI data from 2009 to January 2010
SBSI
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13
data from 2009 to January 2010. From the graph 4.5 above, we see that happen to
fluctuate from Indonesian banks wadiah certificate. The average of the certificate
data is 2.864.
January of 2010 to the lowest point of the value of wadiah Bank Indonesia
certificates.
f. SBSI data 2008 to January 2010
Graph 4.6
Data SBSI 2008 to January 2010
SBSI
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
data from 2009 to January 2010. From the graph 4.6 above, we see that happen to
fluctuate from Indonesian banks wadiah certificate. The average of the Indonesian
Graph 4.7
PUAS data in 2008
PUAS
600,000
400,000
200,000
1 2 3
4 5 6
7 8 9
10 11 12
money market in 2008. From the graph 4.7 above, we see that happen to fluctuate
from the interbank money market certificate conventional. The average of the
occurred in March while June to the lowest point of the conventional interbank
money market.
h. PUAS data from 2009 to January 2010
Graph 4.8
PUAS data from 2009 to January 2010
PUAS
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13
money market in 2009 until January 2010. From the graph 4.8 above, we see that
happen to fluctuate from the conventional interbank money market. Average data
Graph 4.9
Data PUAS 2008 until January 2010
PUAS
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425
money market in 2008 until January 2010. From the graph 4.9 above, we see
Graphics 4.10
PUASSY Data in 2008
market in 2008. From 4.10 graphs above, we see that happen to fluctuate from
Islamic interbank money market. The average of the interbank money market
Graphics 4.11
PUASSY data from 2009 to January 2010
market in 2009 until January 2010. From 4.11 graphs above, we see that
happen to fluctuate from Islamic interbank money market. The average of the
Graphics 4.12
Data PUASSY 2008 until January 2010
market in 2008 until January 2010. From 4.12 graph above, we see that happen
a. Stationary test
test goal is to make the mean graphic and its random error = 0, so that they obtained
regression model has the ability to predict more reliable and there is no spurious
regression. If the two variables tested did not stationary, it can generate fake
Before doing Granger causality test we must perform the stationary test
data firstly, while the method used is the ADF test statistic where this test will
compare the value of the critical value and test value of ADF test. Critical value
taken in 5% or 95% confidence level. If the test results of ADF test value < CV
then the data is stationer, so reject Ho, otherwise if PP tests > CV then the data are
not stationary. Test results with the help of the program Eviews 4.1 shows all the
Table 4.1
Stationary test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF)
critical value (CV), which has an alpha of 5% in Table 4.1 indicating that the
variable Bank Indonesia certificates after testing the stationary using E-Views
4, it turns out certificates of Bank Indonesia has been variable Stationary at 1st
level difference. That is, do not do anymore testing stationary on 2nd level
difference.
Table 4.2
Stationary test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF)
variables wadiah Bank Indonesia (SBSI) even after the stationary tests using
the unit root test (augmented Dickey Fuller) is stationary in 1st difference. this
is shown by the ADF test after test conducted using the test the unit root test
Table 4.3
Stationary test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF)
In table 4.3 above, after testing using the unit root test with the
results of the ADF and the CV-value of -2.040625 -1.96843 (alpha 5%). This
Table 4.4
Stationary test with Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF)
using the unit root test ADF value of -9.448894 with CV value of -1.956406
(alpha 5%).
Ho is Rejected when the data was stationary. SBSIs stationary in 1st difference
stationary.
b. Granger Causality Test
To answer the research hypotheses and research questions, then carried the
granger causality test. After which there is certainly all the variables have been
stationary, the granger causality test can be performed, this test essentially indicates
independently. On a test that can be seen granger causality is the influence of the
Table 4.5
Granger Causality between PUASSY and PUAS
Cause PUAS
Table 4.5 informs that there is no causality between the Islamic money
market with the conventional money market. based on test results using granger
If the probability value is greater than the alpha value, then as they arrive
many instruments are bought and sold in this market, while not deviating from
Islamic practices.
between Islamic interbank money market with the conventional money market
money between the two markets shows that the practice is independent. The
money market with the conventional interbank money market. all forms of
transactions that occurred in the Islamic interbank money market with all its
Table 4.6
Granger Causality between PUAS and PUASSY
Granger Cause
PUASSY
The data in table 4.6 above shows that after a thorough examination using
granger causality test (granger causality test), yielding the probability value of
Islamic interbank money market can be explained simply that if the probability value
is greater than the alpha value, then Ho is accepted and Ha is rejected. Vice versa, if
the probability value smaller than the alpha value, then Ho is rejected and Ha
accepted.
In this study, the probability value is 0.5255. If we compare with the value
of alpha, then 0.5255> 0.05. That is, accept Ho and reject Ha. So in this study there is
Previous research as done by Nurul Huda in 2009, showed the same thing.
The results of this study show the same thing with what was done in
previous studies. Because this study wanted to see the relationship is reciprocal, it is
interbank money market with the conventional Islamic interbank money market
shows that whatever happens in the conventional interbank money market will not
timbale behind money market between Islamic banks with a conventional bank
money market; show the same thing where there is no causal relationship between
the conventional interbank money market to the Islamic interbank money market in
Indonesia.
The results of this study further reinforce that existing money market
relationship that is mutual. Means that whatever happens in the Islamic money
market will not significantly affect the conventional interbank money market, as well
Table 4.7
Granger Causality between SBSI and SBI
Granger Cause
SBI
Previous research as done by Nurul Huda in 2009, showed the same thing.
The results of this study show the same thing with what was done in
previous studies. Because this study wanted to see the relationship is reciprocal, it is
interbank money market with the conventional Islamic interbank money market
shows that whatever happens in the conventional interbank money market will not
timbale behind money market between Islamic banks with a conventional bank
money market; show the same thing where there is no causal relationship between
the conventional interbank money market to the Islamic interbank money market in
Indonesia.
The results of this study further reinforce that existing money market
relationship that is mutual. Means that whatever happens in the Islamic money
market will not significantly affect the conventional interbank money market, as well
Table 4.8
Granger Causality between SBI and SBSI
Granger Cause
SBSI
This study shows that the probability value of 0.75559 and the F-statistics
are at 0.28466. Statistical testing to see if there is any relationship between variables
Indonesia can be explained simply that if the probability value is greater than the
alpha value, then Ho is accepted and Ha is rejected. Vice versa, if the probability
value smaller than the alpha value, then Ho is rejected and Ha accepted. In this study,
rejected. Then it is, then it could be concluded no significant relationship between the
A previous study by Nurul Huda in 2009 showed the same thing. Where
This study informs that even if the value of bank certificates of Indonesia -
as the basis for determining the rate of conventional bank bung - up or down, will not
affect the value of wadiah certificates of Bank Indonesia (the Shariah compliant).
The results of this study inform interested to be studied further, because the Bank
Indonesia, which confirmed that in Indonesia enacted a dual banking system have
certificates wadiah.
causality. If both X and Y is driven by a common third process with different lags,
one might still accept the alternative hypothesis of Granger causality. Yet,
manipulation of one of the variables would not change the other. Indeed, the Granger
test is designed to handle pairs of variables, and may produce misleading results
when the true relationship involves three or more variables. A similar test involving
Another interpretation is when the test for Granger causality works by first
the variable Y — that is, Y minus its one-period-prior value. The regressions are
performed in terms of ΔY rather than Y if Y is not stationary but ΔY is.) Once the set
regression is augmented with lagged levels of ΔX. Any particular lagged value of ΔX
is retained in the regression if (1) it is significant according to a t-test, and (2) it and
the other lagged values of ΔX jointly add explanatory power to the model according
to an F-test. Then the null hypothesis of no Granger causality is accepted if and only
Y but not the other way around. In practice, however, it may be found that neither
variable Granger-causes the other, or that each of the two variables Granger-causes
the other.
CHAPTER V
According to the research question of this research then there are some conclusions
as follows:
1. Islamic money market product include product certificate wadiah Indonesian bank (SBSI)
whose existence from 31 March 2008 was replaced with a bank certificate of Islamic
Indonesia (SBIS) that uses a sell contract. in addition, there are products of Islamic
investment certificates interbank mudaraba (IMA) and the product AL-Sharf (buying and
2. This study shows that the probability value of 0.75559 and the F-statistics are at 0.28466. In
this study, namely 0.75559 the probability value> 0.05 (alpha). Means Ho and Ha accepted
and rejected respectively. Then it is, then it could be concluded no significant reciprocal
relationship between certificates of Bank Indonesia with Bank Indonesia certificates. This
study informs that even if the value of bank certificates of Indonesia - as the basis for
determining the rate of conventional bank - up or down, will not affect the value of wadiah
certificates of Bank Indonesia (the Shariah compliant). The results of this study inform
interested to be studied further, because the Bank Indonesia, which confirmed that in
Indonesia enacted a dual banking system have started to be corroborated by the results of this
with Bank Indonesia certificates wadiah. In this study, namely 0.59233 the probability
value> 0.05 (alpha). Means Ho Ha received and rejected. Then it is, then it could be
concluded no significant reciprocal relationship between Bank Indonesia certificates wadiah
3. In this study, the probability value is 0.5255. If we compare with the value of alpha, then
0.5255> 0.05. That is, accept Ho and reject Ha. So in this study there is no significant
causality between the conventional interbank money market with Islamic interbank money
market. The result showed that the absence of a significant relationship causality between
Islamic interbank money market with the conventional money market money between the
two markets shows that the practice is independent. The absence of significant intervention
of what happened in the Islamic interbank money market with the conventional interbank
money market. all forms of transactions that occurred in the Islamic interbank money market
with all its derivatives will not affect the conventional interbank money market.
4. Given the very strong correlation we have seen between the inter-bank rates, changes in
interest rates in the conventional money market would simply be transmitted to Islamic banks
when they use the PUASSY for their liquidity management. Similarly, since PUASSY
instruments are priced using discounting, interest rate changes cause re pricing risk because
discount rates change. Prices and yields of PUAS instruments will invariably converge with
those of conventional money markets because of the possibility for pure arbitrage. As such,
Islamic institutions issuing PUASSY instruments will face higher cost if conventional
interest rates rise, while investors of PUASSY instruments would get lower returns if the
opposite happens. The third transmission channel arises from central bank intervention.
liquidity or execution of new monetary policy, the central bank’s actions in the PUAS must
reflect its actions in the conventional money market. Failing which, profitable arbitrage
against the central bank or a carry trade between the markets would both be feasible. Given
this, no matter how supportive a central bank is of the Islamic financial sector, it cannot
possibly maintain dual rates nor cause changes in one market and not in the other.
5. Paradoxical as it may seem, the implication is that a PUASSY could bring the Islamic
banking sector into closer orbit with the conventional sector. Does this mean that not having
a PUASSY is better in a dual banking system? Obviously not. While an IIMM may provide
additional channels for rate risk transmission, as we saw in the first section, it nevertheless
plays several pivotal roles, liquidity management being the most important. The challenge
then is to have well functioning PUASSY that do not pass on rate risks. One tempting
solution is to detach the Islamic financial system form the conventional one and keep it truly
separate by not allowing transactions across markets. Not only would this not be feasible, it
would also be hugely distortionary and very costly to maintain. Unless the Islamic financial
sector is to be kept as a small niche, it would simply not be possible to keep it totally
detached.
References
Ahmad, Ausyaf. Contemporary Practices of Islamic Financing Technics., Research paper
No. 20 Islamic Development Bank, Islamic Research and Training Institute, 1993.
Ahmad, Ausyaf. Towards an Islamic Financial Market. Research paper No. 45 Islamic
Development Bank, Islamic Research and Training Institute, 1997.
Ahmed, Osman Babikir. Islamic Financial Instrument to Manage Short term Excees
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