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Lab Probability

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FACULTY OF APPLIED SCIENCE

BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (HONS) BIOLOGY

EXPERIMENTAL BIOLOGY: DESIGN &ANALYSIS (BIO610)

LABORATORY 2:

NO NAME CLASS STUDENT RESPONSIBILITY


ID
1 SYAHIRA BINTI MOHAMAD RAS2015B 202085340 GROUP MEMBER
ZAKRI 2
2 NUR FATINI BALQIS BINTI RAS2015B 202083428 GROUP MEMBER
AZMI 4
3 NURUL NABILA HANIM RAS2015B 202082000 GROUP MEMBER
BINTI ZAMZILAH 8
4 NUR DIYANA BINTI RAS2015B 202086233 GROUP MEMBER
RAMLAN 2

LECTURER’S NAME: EN. TUN MOHD FIRDAUS BIN AZIS

SUBMISSION DATE: 5 JANUARY 2022


A. BINOMIAL PROBLEM

a. Probability distribution: suppose a treatment is successful 25% of the time.


The treatment is used in 3 patients. Using the binomial formula learned in the
class, calculate the probability of seeing 0 of three positive responses. Then,
calculate the probability of seeing 1 response, 2 response and 3 responses.
These probabilities comprise the probability distribution X b (n=3, p=0.25),

i. Pr (X=0)

Pr (X=0) = n! p x q n-x
= n!
(n-x)! x!

= 3! 0.25 0 0.75 3
(3-0)! 0!
=1 27/64
= 27/64

ii. Pr (X=1)

Pr (X=1) = n! p x q n-x
= n!
(n-x)! x!
= 3! 0.25 1 0.75 2
= n!
(3-1)! 1!
= 3 9/64
= 27/64

iii. Pr (X=2)

Pr (X=2) = n! p x q n-x
= =
n! n!
(n-x)! x!
= 3! 0.25 2 0.75 1
= n! = n!
(3-2)! 2!
= 3 3/64
= n!
= 9/64
iv. Pr (X=3)

Pr (X=3) = n! p x q n-x
= n!
= n!
(n-x)! x!
= 3! 0.25 3 0.75 0
= n! = n!
(3-3)! 3!
= 1 1/64
= n!
= 1/64

b. Draw a probability histogram of your binomial distribution with “# of


successes” on the x-axis and “probability” on y-axis. The area under histogram
bar corresponds to the probability of each outcome.
# of successes Probability
0 0.4219
1 0.4219
2 0.1406
3 0.0156

The Treatment For Three Patients


Probability

0.45 0.4219 0.4219


0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15 0.1406

0.1
0.05 0.0156
0
0 1 2 3

# of successes

c. The cumulative probability of an event is the probability of seeing exactly that


number or less. Calculate the following cumulative probabilities:

Pr (X≤0) = Pr (X=0)
= 27/64
Pr (X≤1) = Pr (X=0) + Pr (X=1)
= 27/64 + 27/64
= 27/32
Pr (X≤2) = Pr (X=0) + Pr (X=1) + Pr (X=2)
= 27/64 + 27/64 + 9/64
= 63/64
Pr (X≤3) = Pr (X=0) + Pr (X=1) + Pr (X=2) + Pr (X=3)
= 27/64 + 27/64 + 9/64 + 1/64
=1

d. On the histogram you create in part b, shade the bars corresponding to Pr


(X=0) and Pr (X=1). This represents Pr (X≤1). Notice that this is the area in
the LEFT TAIL of distribution.

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