Stat - Prob Q3 Module 5
Stat - Prob Q3 Module 5
STATISTICS
and PROBABILITY
Quarter 3 - Module 5
Random Sampling and Sampling
Distribution of Sample Means
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NegOr_Q3_Stat_and_Prob11_Module5_v2
Statistics and Probability – Grade 11
Alternative Delivery Mode
Quarter 3 – Module 5: Random Sampling and Sampling Distribution of Sample
Means
Second Edition, 2021
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Introductory Message
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i
I
This module was designed to provide you with fun and meaningful
opportunities for guided and independent learning at your own pace and time. You
will be enabled to process the contents of the learning resource while being an
active learner.
I
Before studying this module, take this test to determine what you already
know about the topic covered.
PRE-ASSESSMENT
A. Indicate if the following refers to population or sample.
____________1. A group of 50 students selected to test a new learning technique.
____________2. The total machines produced by a factory in three weeks.
B. Classify each sample as simple random, stratified, systematic, or cluster.
____________3. Every 14th customer entering shopping malls is asked to select his
favourite food chain.
____________4. In a certain school in Negros Oriental, all grade 11 teachers are
interviewed to determine whether they believe that students have higher grades now
than in previous year.
C. Determine whether the underlined value is a parameter or a statistic.
____________5. In a national survey on substance abuse, 10% of respondents aged
12 to 17 reported using illicit drugs within the past month
_____________6. 68% of students out of 100 surveyed planned to go to college right after high
school.
D. You are given a population of 3 elements, which are 3, 4, 5. Suppose all possible samples
of size 2 are drawn from the population with replacement, compute for the following:
a. mean of the sample means;
b. variance of the sample means; and
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c. standard deviation of the sample means
’s In
Why do researchers resort to sampling and why is it important to them? Everyone who
has undergone research projects knows that resources are limited. Time, money and people
never come in an unlimited supply. Thus, most researches aim to gather data from a sample of
people, rather than from the entire population. Sampling allows researchers to:
a. save time
b. save money; and
c. collect richer and meaningful data
But what exactly is sampling, and how does it work? A research sample is like any
other sample, it’s a small piece or part of something that represents a larger whole. But what
does it mean to randomly sample people, and how does a researcher do that?
’s New
is It
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In modern statistics, the main object to be analysed is data. If you get a
portion of the totality of data to be analysed, then these data are called sample.
Otherwise, if you analyse the whole data available, then it is called population.
There are many reasons why we resort to sampling. Some of these reasons
or to be considered are the cost, timeliness, accuracy, detailed information, and
destructive testing.
Let us define some important terms that will help us understand more about
random sampling.
Sample –part/portion/fraction/segment of the population being studied
Population – the whole universe or consists of all elements or totality of things
considered in a study
Survey – method of systematically gathering of information
Sample survey - method of systematically gathering of information on a
segment/part/fraction/portion of a population for the purpose of inferring
quantitative descriptors of the attributes of the population
Sampling - process of selecting a section of the population
Random –the outcome is obtained only by chance
Random Sampling – method of choosing an equally distributed subset/portion
from a larger population to be used as basis in describing or making conclusions
about the population
Statistical Inference - process of using sample statistics to draw conclusions
about true population parameters
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There are two types of sampling. These are probability and non-
probability sampling. Probability sampling involves units obtained using chance
mechanism, and requires the use of a sampling frame (a list/map of all the
sampling units in the population) while in a non-probability sample, units are
chosen without regard to their probability of occurrence.
Probability Sampling
It is a sampling method that allows every member of the population to have an
equal chance of being selected into the sample.
Basic types of Probability Sampling
a. Simple random sampling (SRS) involves allowing each possible sample
to have an equal chance of being picked and every member of the
population has an equal chance of being included in the sample. Selection
may be with replacement (selected individual or unit is returned to frame
for possible reselection) or without replacement (selected individual or unit
is not returned to the frame). This sampling method requires a listing of the
elements of the population called the sampling frame. Example of this is
‘draw lots’ activity.
b. Stratified sampling is an extension of simple random sampling which
allows for different homogeneous groups, called strata, in the population to
be represented in the sample. To obtain a stratified sample, the population
is divided into two or more strata based on common characteristics. A SRS
is then used to select from each strata, with sample sizes proportional to
strata sizes. Samples from the strata are then combined into one. This is a
common technique when sampling from a population of voters, stratifying
across racial or socio-economic classes.
c. Systematic sampling, elements are selected from the population at a
uniform interval that is measured in time, order, or space.
Typically, there is firstly, a decision on a desired sample size n. The frame
of N units is then divided into groups of k units: k=N/n. Then, one unit is
randomly selected from the first group, with every k th unit thereafter also
selected.
d. Cluster sampling divides the population into groups called clusters, selects
a random sample of clusters, and then, subjects the sampled clusters to
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complete enumeration, that is everyone in the sampled clusters are made
part of the sample.
’s More
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1. If a population has an equal number of males and females in it, so does the
sample.
2. If we wish to draw a sample of 50 individuals from a population of 1000
patients admitted in a certain hospital, we could place the 1000 names in a
container and blindfolded, draw one name at a time.
3. The Grade 11 student who happens to be taking a STEM course in the
Senior High School and is therefore a convenient subject to use, frequently
becomes part of the sample in a research. The students in a class may
constitute the entire sample because they happen to be in a class whose
teacher is interested in doing a research.
4. A school has 900 students of which 380 are males and 520 are females. A
sample of 120 students are needed. To obtain a sample proportional to the
given members in each stratum, and finding the proportion of the samples
to the population which is equal to the desired sample size of 120 students.
5. In a population of 200, we wish to get a sample of 40. We obtain n by
dividing 200 by 40 to obtain n=5. This means that every 5 th element of a
given population that is arranged alphabetically or in any systematic
fashion is selected to make the sample size.
’s In
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Jessica questions the parents of 50% want (MDL) Modular
HUMSS students Distance Learning
Answer: Claire’s sample is a random sample, giving results that better represent the entire parents of
the school, so it is the better method.
b.
Sampling Method Results
Jean surveys only the family of the 78% claims their patients do not
patients she knows personally. have health problems for the past
week
Peter writes each patient’s name 60% claims their patients do not
on a card. He questions those have health problems for the past
family members whose name he week
draws.
Answer: Peter’s ’s sample is a random sample, giving every family member equal chance to be
surveyed, so it is the better method.
B. Determine which sample better represents the entire population.
a. A TV ratings service is surveying residents of Brgy. Cambaluktot who
bought TVs in the last month about their favorite TV show.
b. A TV ratings service called residents of Brgy. Cambaluktot randomly
selected from the phone directory to conduct a survey about their favorite
show. Answer: b
’s New
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A. Parameter B. Population C. Sample
4. From situation number 3, the large collection of bottles is referred to as
A. Parameter B. Population C. Sample
Answer: 1. B 2. A 3. C4. B
is It
Comparison Chart
Basis for Statistic Parameter
Comparison
Meaning Statistic is a measure which Parameter refers to a
describes a fraction of a measure which describes
population. population.
Numerical Variable and Known Fixed and unknown
Value
Statistical 𝑥 = sample mean
̅ 𝜇= population mean
Notation s = sample standard deviation 𝜎= population standard
p = sample proportion deviation
P= population proportion
x = data element X= data element
n = size of sample N = size of population
r = correlation coefficient 𝜌= correlation coefficient
(Surbhi. 2017)
Examples of Parameter.
1. You could ask a class of grade 11 students in a certain school who like
vanilla ice cream. 85% raise their hands. You have a parameter: 85% of that
class likes vanilla ice cream. You know this because you asked everyone in
the class.
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2. 60% of Philippine senators voted for a particular measure. There are only
24 senators you can count that every one of them voted.
Examples of Statistic.
1. 40% of 1,211 students at a particular elementary school got below a 3 on a
standardized test. You know this because you have each and every students’
test score.
2. 25% of 100 residents in a particular barangay would like to be vaccinated.
’s More
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Lesson Sampling Distribution
3
’s In
Task 3
Suppose a population is composed of only 3 measures: 1, 2, and 3. The possible samples of
size 2 can be draw from this population. List all the possible sample size 2 when repetition is
allowed or with replacement.
Task 4
Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the following measures: 2, 5, 6, 3, 9, 10, 12,
and 15.
’s New
A lot of data drawn by researchers are not population but are actually samples.
Below are a series of questions that somehow will be answered as we go through
with the discussions below.
1. How is a sampling distribution different from the distribution of a sample? From the
distribution of a population? What do these differences tell us about the properties of a
sampling distribution?
2. In what situation would we examine a normal distribution curve? In what situation would
we examine a sampling distribution curve?
3. If we took three different samples of high school students (one from the 1st Congressional
District, one from the 2nd Congressional District, and one from 3rd Congressional District)
and each sample had 500 students, what would the sampling distribution for age look like?
What about for parent’s annual income? Explain each response.
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is It
Example.
There are three balls numbered 1, 2, and 3. Two of the balls are selected
randomly and the average/mean of their numbers is computed.
1. Without replacement
Sample 1: {1, 2}
Sample 2: {1, 3}
Sample 3: {2, 1}
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Sample 4: {2, 3}
Sample 5: {3,1}
Sample 6: {3, 2}
There are six possible outcomes of size 2 from a population of size 3. Since
there are 6 possible samples, there are also 6 sample means. The sample means
are shown in the table below.
1 1 2 1.5
2 1 3 2
3 2 1 1.5
4 2 3 2.5
5 3 1 2
6 3 2 2.5
Table 1.0 All possible outcomes when two balls are drawn without replacement.
We now summarize these means as follows:
a. two samples have mean of 1.5;
b. two samples have mean of 2;
c. two samples have mean of 2.5
Therefore, the sampling distribution of the means from the population of measures
1, 2, and 3 that has sample size two without replacement is as follows:
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Sample 9: {3, 3}
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2.5 2 2/9
3 1 1/9
Table 1.4 Sampling Distribution of Sample Means from Population N=3 (1,2, and 3) and Sample
Size 2 (n=2) With Replacement.
∑𝑥
𝜇=
𝑁
Example on the 3 balls numbered 1, 2, and 3.
∑𝑥
𝜇=
𝑁
1+2+3
=
3
6
=
3
=2
2
∑(𝑥 − 𝜇)2
𝜎 =
𝑁
Example on the given above.
∑(𝑥 −𝜇 )2
𝜎2 =
𝑁
2
=
3
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𝜎 = √𝜎 2
2
= √
3
Sample mean
𝑥
Mean of sample means or expected value (EV)
∑𝑥
𝜇𝑥 =
𝑁
Variance of sample mean
2
∑(𝑥 − 𝜇𝑥 )2
𝜎 𝑥 =
𝑁
Standard Deviation of sample mean or the standard error (SE)
𝜎𝑥 = √𝜎 2 𝑥
Example:
There are three balls numbered 1, 2, and 3. Two of the balls are selected randomly
with replacement and the average/mean of their numbers is computed.
Compute for the following:
a. mean of the sample means
b. variance of the sample means
c. standard deviation of the sample means
1 1 1 1
2 1 2 1.5
3 1 3 2
4 2 1 1.5
5 2 2 2
6 2 3 2.5
7 3 1 2
8 3 2 2.5
9 3 3 3
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Table 1.3 All possible outcomes when two balls are drawn with replacement.
1+1.5+1.5+2+2+2+2.5+2.5+3
𝜇𝑥 =
9
18
=
9
2
∑(𝑥 − 𝜇𝑥 )2
𝜎 𝑥 =
𝑁
(1 − 2)2 + (1.5 − 2)2 + (1.5 − 2)2 + (2 − 2)2 + (2 − 2)2 + (2 − 2)2 + (2.5 − 2)2 + (2.5 − 2)2 + (3 − 2)2
=
9
3
=
9
= 0.33333
𝜎𝑥 = √𝜎 2 𝑥
𝜎𝑥 = √0.33333
= 0.57735
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean for Normal Population when the
Variance/Standard deviation is known or unknown.
Three major points about the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
1. The EV or expected value or mean of sample means is equal to the
population mean µ.
EV = µ
This is the reason why sample can be used to represent a population
because they have the same value for the mean.
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You can prove this by simply comparing the value of population mean of the
three balls in the given examples above and the mean of sample means when
two balls are drawn with replacement.
2. The SE or standard error or standard deviation of sample means can
be computed when population variance is known using
𝜎
𝑆𝐸 = (for samples with replacement) and
√𝑛
𝜎 𝑁−𝑛
𝑆𝐸 = .√ (for samples without replacement) where 𝜎 is the population
√𝑛 𝑁−1
standard deviation.
Example on the case above, three balls numbered 1, 2, and 3. Two samples are
drawn.
2
The standard deviation of the population is 𝜎 = √ .
3
Let us solve for the SE.
2
𝜎 √ 2
3
𝑆𝐸 = = =√ = 0.577
√𝑛 √2 6
3. The shape is approximately normal, provided the sample size is large
enough, and regardless of the shape of parent distribution.
’s More
Task 5
Challenge yourself!
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I Have Learned
Task 6
Do your best!
Apply what you have learned by explaining the cycle on how we give inference/conclusions
on the population from sample.
Source: Jose Ramon G. Albert, Ph.D. Teaching Guide for Senior High School STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY. Quezon
City: Commission on Higher Education, 2016, p. 228
RUBRICS
EFFECTIVE (15 pts) – demonstrate/show a proficient ability to analyze and interpret the
cycle and good understanding of the concepts, processes and methods used.
ADEQUATE (10 pts) – demonstrate/show a developing ability to analyze and interpret the
cycle and beginning understanding of the concepts, processes and methods used.
http://www.csu.edu/CTRE/pdf/rubricexamples-all.pdf
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I Can Do
Task 7
You can do it!
Consider the heights of 5 learners. Suppose you are interested in estimating the average height
of the learners by getting estimates based on the sample average height of two learners selected
at random with replacement. The learners have equal chance of being selected.
Task 8
I. Select the best choice.
1. It is the process of using sample statistics to draw conclusions about true population
parameters.
A. statistical inference C. sampling
B. the scientific method D. descriptive statistics
2. It is the universe or "totality of items or things" under consideration.
A. sample B. population C. parameter D. statistic
3. It is the portion of the universe that has been selected for analysis.
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A .sample B. frame C. parameter D. statistic
4. It is a summary measure that is computed to describe a characteristic from only a sample
of the population.
A. parameter B. census C. statistic D. scientific method
5. Which of the following is most likely a parameter as opposed to a statistic?
A. The average score of the first five learners completing an assignment
B. The proportion of females registered to vote in a county
C. The average height of people randomly selected from a database
D. The proportion of trucks stopped yesterday that were cited for bad brakes
II. Identify which sampling method is applied in the following situations.
6. The teacher randomly selects 20 boys and 15 girls from a batch of learners to be
members of a group that will go to a field trip. (Probability Sampling)
7. A sample of 10 mice are selected at random from a set of 40 mice to test the effect of a
certain medicine. (Probability Sampling)
8. The people in a certain seminar are all members of two of five groups are asked what
they think about the president. (Probability Sampling)
9. A salesclerk for a brand of clothing asks people who comes up to her whether they own
a piece of article from her brand. (Non-probability Sampling)
10. A brand manager of a toothpaste asks ten dentists that have clinic closest to his office
whether they use a particular brand of toothpaste. (Non-probability Sampling)
III. Find what is ask.
Random samples of size 4 are drawn with replacement from a finite population 3,6,9.
a.) How many possible samples of size 4 are possible?
b.) Find the mean of the sample means.
c.) Find the variance of the sample.
d.) Find the standard deviation of the sample.
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PRETEST
A. 1. Sample B. 3. Systematic sampling C. 5. parameter
2. population 4. cluster sampling 6. Statistic
D.
a) 𝜇𝑥 = 4
b) 𝜎 2 𝑥 = 0.333
c) 𝜎𝑥 = 0.577
What’s More (Lesson 1) Task 2.
1. Non-Probability (Quota Sampling)
2. Probability (Simple random Sampling)
3. Non-Probability (Accidental)
4. Probability (Stratified)
5. Probability (Systematic)
Task 3.
Possible samples
(1, 1) (1, 3) (2, 2) (3, 1) (3, 3)
(1, 2) (2, 1) (2, 3) (3, 2)
Task 4. Mean: 7.75 Variance: 17.9375 Standard Deviation: 4.235
Task 5.
1. (3, 3) (3, 5) (3, 7) (5, 3) (5, 5) (5, 7) (7, 3) (7, 5) (7, 7)
2.
sample Mean
3, 3 3
3, 5 4
3, 7 5
5, 3 4
5, 5 5
5, 7 6
7, 3 5
7, 5 6
7, 7 7
3. 𝜎 2 𝑥 = 2.6667
4. 𝜎𝑥 = 1.633
5. 𝜇 = 5
6. 𝜎 2 𝑥 = 1.333
7. 𝜎𝑥 = 1.1547
8. 𝑆𝐸 = 1.1547
Task 6. Answer may vary.
Task 7.
Task 8.
Assessment.
I. II.
1. A 6. Stratified sampling
2. B 7. Simple random sampling
3. A 8. Cluster sampling
4. C 9. Voluntary sampling
5. C 10. Convenience sampling
III.
a) 81
b) 𝜇𝑥 = 6
c) 𝜎 2 𝑥 = 1.5
d) 𝜎𝑥 = 1.225
References
Books
Albert, Jose Ramon G. 2016. In Teaching Guide for Senior High School Statistics and
Probability , 221-242. Quezon CItyCommision on Higher Education.
Malate, Jose S. 2017. In Statistics and Probability for Senior High School. Sta. Ana, Manila:
Vicarish Publications and Trading, Inc.
Mamhot, Millard R., Alice A. Mamhot. 2016. In Statistics and Probability. Manila:
Unlimited Books Library Services and Publishing Inc.
Websites
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