From May 7 to 14, 2021, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 651 likely voters in Pennsylvania using web
panel
respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, and voting
history. The survey was conducted in English. The margin of error is ±4 percentage points.
NB: subgroups with a n-size less than 50 (<50) are not shown on these cross-tabs. We choose not to display N<50
subgroups because the sample is too small to have statistical significance. We did, however, take samples of these
subgroups for representational and weighting purposes to accurately reflect the electorate makeup. Some values may
not add up to 100 due to rounding.
[1] In November of 2022 there will be a general election for the U.S. Senate. How likely are you to vote in this election?
Response Topline Democrat Independent / Third party Republican Female Male Under 45 45+ No College College
Definitely will vote 64 71 50 64 63 66 49 73 58 75
Probably will vote 17 16 18 19 18 17 23 14 19 14
Fifty-fifty 13 9 21 12 13 12 22 8 16 8
Probably will not vote 4 3 6 3 4 3 3 4 4 2
Definitely will not vote 2 1 5 1 2 2 4 1 3 1
Weighted N 651 272 123 256 349 302 236 415 400 251
[2] If the general election for the U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania was being held tomorrow, and these were the
candidates, who would you vote for?
Response Topline Democrat Independent / Third party Republican Female Male Under 45 45+ No College College
Democrat John Fetterman 48 87 46 7 48 48 61 41 42 56
Republican Jeff Bartos 38 3 27 80 39 36 32 40 40 35
Not sure 14 10 27 13 13 16 6 18 18 9
Weighted N 310 131 57 122 167 143 100 210 185 125
[3] If the general election for the U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania was being held tomorrow, and these were the
candidates, who would you vote for?
Response Topline Democrat Independent / Third party Republican Female Male Under 45 45+ No College College
Democrat John Fetterman 48 88 51 3 47 49 61 42 42 56
Republican Sean Parnell 40 4 26 84 41 38 34 43 42 37
Not sure 12 8 22 12 12 13 5 16 16 7
Weighted N 310 131 57 122 167 143 100 210 185 125
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[4] If the general election for the U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania was being held tomorrow, and these were the
candidates, who would you vote for?
Response Topline Democrat Independent / Third party Republican Female Male Under 45 45+ No College College
Democrat Conor Lamb 43 85 33 4 39 48 50 39 38 53
Republican Jeff Bartos 42 5 32 85 43 40 30 49 46 34
Not sure 15 10 35 11 18 12 19 12 16 14
Weighted N 341 141 66 134 182 159 135 205 215 126
[5] If the general election for the U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania was being held tomorrow, and these were the
candidates, who would you vote for?
Response Topline Democrat Independent / Third party Republican Female Male Under 45 45+ No College College
Democrat Conor Lamb 42 84 29 5 39 46 47 39 37 51
Republican Sean Parnell 44 7 37 86 44 44 34 50 48 37
Not sure 14 9 34 9 17 10 19 10 15 11
Weighted N 341 141 66 134 182 159 135 205 215 126
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