Pakistan Capital Markets FY2020 Analysis
Pakistan Capital Markets FY2020 Analysis
Capital markets mobilize domestic savings and channel them efficiently to the most
productive investments. They play an important role in economic development as they
facilitate growth in the real sector by giving producers of goods and services, and the entities
tasked with infrastructure development, access to long-term financing. Developed capital
markets are, therefore, essential for economic growth and prosperity.
The increasing integration of global capital markets has made it easier for companies to
access global capital. Access to world capital markets expands investors' opportunities for
portfolio diversification. For recipient country, access to world capital markets allows
countries to borrow to smooth consumption in the face of adverse shocks. However, it has
been recognized that the risk of abrupt reversals in capital flows in the context of highly
open capital account may represent a significant cost.
Pakistan holds its position in the MSCI1 Emerging Market (EM). At least three companies
must have a market capitalization of $1.5 billion and $766 million float market
capitalization in order to be classified in an EMs. Pakistan currently has three constituents in
MSCI Emerging market: Habib Bank, Oil and Gas Development Company and MCB Bank
Ltd. A single deletion from among the three would result into downgrading Pakistan to the
Frontier Market Index.
In the first quarter of FY2020, Pakistan and the IMF agreed on a $6 billion 39-Month
Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Pakistan to reduce economic vulnerabilities
and generate balanced growth. The government took austerity measures and the State Bank
of Pakistan (SBP) adopted a double-digit policy rate. The stabilization programme slowed
down the growth and investment. The high interest rate attracted foreign investors and
capital began flowing in to the Pakistan’s debt market. However, COVID-19 pandemic and
declining oil prices jolted the capital markets. In the face of uncertainty, foreign investors
sought shelter in the safe assets, selling their stocks and cashing in their bonds from
emerging markets, including from Pakistan. The government, SBP, and Securities and
Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) took a number of measures that restored
investor’s confidence. These measures will be discussed later in this chapter.
The chapter will be covering performance of the equity market, debt market, commodity
futures market, Non-banking Financial companies, corporate sector, Islamic finance and
insurance sector in the FY2020. The chapter will also cover the reforms and regulations
introduced by the SECP, the apex regulator of the capital markets, to facilitate the capital
markets.
1
    Morgan Stanley Capital International
Pakistan Economic Survey 2019
                         2019-20
I – Equity Market
Equity Market, usually known as a stock market, is the marketplace where public can invest,
buy and sell shares of the companies listed. Equity market gives companies access to capital
and investors a slice of ownership in a company with the potential to realize gains based on
its future performance. Equity market determines the health of an economy to some extent.
Global equity markets:
During FY2020, on global front, protests in Hong Kong, trade war between United States
and China, departure of United Kingdom from European Union, tensions between the           th
United States and Iran, falling oil prices because of a standoff between Saudi Arabia and
Russia, and COVID-19  19 pandemic drove the investors’ emotions. Facing uncertainties on
multiple fronts, almost all major global indices registered a negative growth in
                                                                              i the first nine
months of FY2020.
Table 6.1: World Indices (Jul 2019 – Mar 2020)
                                                                           Index opening on                            Index closing on                    Percent
Country                                   Index
                                                                           01.07.19 (points)                           31.03.20 (points)                   change
Pakistan                KSE 100 Index                                               33,901.58                                  29,231.63                    -13.78%
Turkey                  BIST 100 Index                                              98,662.85                                  89,643.71                     -9.14%
MSCI-EM           MSCI Emerging Market Index                                         1,055.71                                      848.71                   -19.61%
Vietnam                  VN30 Index                                                    864.24                                      610.76                   -29.33%
China                 Shanghai Composite                                             3,024.62                                    2,750.30                    -9.07%
India                       Sensex                                                  39,543.73                                  29,468.49                    -25.48%
Indonesia                  JCI Index                                                 6,381.18                                    4,538.93                   -28.87%
Hong Kong                 Hang Seng                                                 28,904.04                                  23,603.48                    -18.34%
Singapore                 STI Index                                                  3,339.58                                    2,481.23                   -25.70%
Philippines               PSEi Index                                                 8,011.47                                    5,321.23                   -33.58%
Malaysia                 KLCI Index                                                  1,674.91                                    1,350.89                   -19.35%
Thailand                  SET Index                                                  1,744.13                                    1,125.86                   -35.45%
Source: Investing.com
                                                                                                           SINGAPORE
                                                                               INDONESIA
MALAYSIA
                                                                                                                                                          THAILAND
                                             VIETNAM
                                MSCI-EM
        Pakistan
                                                         CHINA
                     Turkey
INDIA
                   -9.14%                              -9.07%
     -13.78%
                              -19.61%                                                      -18.34%                                          19.35%
                                                                                                                                           -19.35%
                                                                 -25.48%                                 -25.70%
                                          -29.33%
                                           29.33%                           -28.87%
                                                                                                                          -33.58%
                                                                                                                                                        -35.45%
       Source: Investing.com
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quarter of FY2020. After the initial dip, the KSE-100 index exhibited an upward trend as
exchange rate stabilized and the economy was on a path to recovery. The index opened at
33,901.58 points on July 1st, reaching the year’s peak of 43,218.67 points on January 13th,
2020. However, as the COVID-19 was engulfing the world, capital began flowing out of the
Pakistan’s stock market.
Between February 26th (the date when first COVID-19 case was reported in Pakistan) and
March 31st, Pakistan’s KSE-100 index benchmark dived 23.75 percent and Rs 1,582.06
billion were wiped out of the market capitalization. Rupee depreciated by 8 percent against a
strengthened dollar between Feb 26 and Mar 31, which severely constrained the spending
power. However, in late March, government announced a fiscal stimulus package of Rs 1.24
trillion and the State Bank of Pakistan cut the policy rate by 425 basis points to 9 percent to
make up for the projected loss. On April 30th, 2020, KSE-100 closed at 34111.64, (up by
16.7 percent since March 31st) and market capitalization closed at Rs 6376.71 billion,
gaining Rs 755.77 billion since March 31st. The KSE-100 index exhibited a modest growth
of 0.61 percent in the first ten months of the CFY, whereas market capitalization lost Rs
510.58 billion during the Jul-April FY2020 period.
The low turnover in the first quarter of FY2020 and in February indicates Investors were
unwilling to put their money at risk by acquiring the shares of a company with low share
turnover.
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2019-20
Despite the double digit policy rate, the upward trajectory depicted in the Figures 1 & 2
(from mid-October to January) can be attributed to timely release of PSDP funds, stable
exchange rate; and improvement in macro indicators (trade balance, foreign direct
investment, remittances). The freefall because of COVID-19 outbreak and subsequent
recovery is clearly visible in the figures below:
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
  20,000
         1-Jul-19   1-Aug-19   1-Sep-19   1-Oct-19    1-Nov-19 1-Dec-19    1-Jan-20   1-Feb-20 1-Mar-20   1-Apr-20
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8,000
7,500
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
      4,000
          1-Jul-19   1-Aug-19   1-Sep-19   1-Oct-19   1-Nov-19   1-Dec-19   1-Jan-20   1-Feb-20 1-Mar-20   1-Apr-20
The total funds mobilized between July 2019 and March 2020 in the national stock
exchange amounted to Rs 250,020 million, as compared to Rs 22,350 million in the
corresponding period last year. The significant difference is due debt amount issued, which
is Rs 230,624 million during Jul-Mar FY2020 period as compared to Rs 14,000 million in
the same period in FY2019.
Around $ 130 million worth of securities were offloaded by foreign investors which were
absorbed by domestic investors.
Table 6.3: Local investors' portfolio investment (LIPI) during Jul-Mar FY 2020
                              GROSS BUY         GROSS SELL           NET BUY /                         NET BUY /
                                (Million)          (Million)           (SELL)                       (SELL) ($ Million)
                                                                    (Rs Million)
Individuals                     1,172,641.18       -1,149,832.84          22,808.34                                   144.36
Companies                          92,210.62          -91,369.40             841.22                                     5.87
Banks / DFI                        84,189.08          -91,563.65          -7,374.56                                   -48.03
NBFC                                 3,560.03           -3,166.66            393.36                                     2.58
Mutual Funds                      116,849.46         -130,417.01         -13,567.55                                   -85.10
Other Organization                 24,150.24          -20,202.79           3,947.45                                    25.09
Broker Proprietary Trading        364,698.28         -366,001.61          -1,303.32                                    -8.57
Insurance Companies                61,944.72          -47,340.79          14,603.92                                     94.0
Lipi Net                        1,920,243.65       -1,899,894.78          20,348.87                                   130.22
Source: Pakistan Stock Exchange
The average daily trading value (T+2)2 from July 2019 – March 2020 was Rs 7.13 billion
and the average daily turnover was 194.08 million shares. The average daily trading value in
futures was Rs 3.4 billion and the trading volume was 87.01 million shares. No new
company was listed with the PSX during July-Mar 2019-20, as compared to two companies
in the FY2019. It implies that companies didn’t want to take a risk by issuing an IPO3 during
uncertain economic times.
2
    T+2 is a shorthand for trade date plus two days indicating when securities transactions must be settled.
3
    Initial public offering
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2019-20
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                                                           Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
Debt markets:
Debt market is the market where debt instruments are traded. It provides an additional
avenue to the corporate sector to raise funds. Due to high interest rates and appreciation in
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2019-20
Pakistani rupee in terms of US dollar, international investors found Pakistan’s debt market
an attractive investment. However, after COVID-19 pandemic, money started flowing out of
the Pakistan’s debt market. The investors took out over $ 1.7 billion from T-bill investments
in the month of March 2020.
During July-March FY2020, no debt instrument was publicly placed while fifteen debt
securities were privately placed. Their break-up is given below:
Table 6.7: Debt securities
Sr. No.                    Type of Security                                No. of Issues             Amount
                                                                                                  (Rs in billions)
       i.          Privately Placed Commercial Papers*                                     7                     37.6
       ii.         Privately Placed Term Finance Certificates**                            3                    19.37
      iii.         Privately Placed Sukuk **                                               5                    19.20
                   Total                                                                   15                   76.17
* : by (i) K-Electric Limited (Rs 8.00 billion), (ii) K-Electric Limited (Rs 9.5 billion), (iii) The Hub Power
Company Limited (Rs 5.0 billion),(iv) TPL Corporation Limited (Rs 1.1 billion),
(v) K-Electric Limited (Rs 4.3 billion, (vi) K-Electric Limited (Rs 4.3 billion) and
(vii) K-Electric Limited (Rs 5.4 billion)
** : by (i) Habib Bank Limited (Rs 12.37 billion), (ii) Askari Bank Limited (Rs 6 billion) and (iii) Pakistan
Mortgage Refinance Company Limited (Rs 1 billion):
*** : by (i) The Hub Power Company Limited (Rs 4.5 billion), (ii) The Hub Power Company Limited (Rs 7.0
billion); (iii) Pak Elektron Limited (Rs 1.2 billion), (iv) Masood Textile Mills Limited (Rs 2.5 billion) and (v)
Meezan Bank Limited (Rs 4 billion);
Source: Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan
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V- Corporate Sector
Measures for e-Governance
Unified Online Company Registration System: In the first half of FY2019, the SECP
completed integration of its eServices with the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) and the
Employees Old Age Benefits Institution (EOBI) at the Federal level and with Business
Registration portals of Punjab and Sindh at the Provincial level. Consequently, the SECP’s
eServices have become a One Stop Shop (OSS) for registration of a company with the
SECP, FBR, EOBI, Punjab Employees Social Security Institution (PESSI), Sindh
Employees Social Security Institute (SESSI), Excise & Taxation Department and Labor
Department of Punjab and Excise, Taxation & Narcotics Control Department and Labor
Department of Sindh.
                                                Box item-III
This landmark achievement has been recognized in the World Bank Doing Business Report 2020, improving
Pakistan’s ranking in “Starting a Business” indicator by 58 points from 130 last year to 72 this year. Moving
forward, the SECP plans to extend OSS facility to Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Baluchistan on the same pattern.
Integration with FMU: The SECP took the initiative by conducting “Pilot” project of
linking the SECP’s database (CRCS) with the Anti Money Laundering software (goAML).
The SECP is the first institution to establish such data connectivity with the FMU.
Company incorporation trend: During first nine months of FY2020, 13,875 new
companies were incorporated with the SECP. As compared to the corresponding period of
the last financial year, it represents a growth of 27 percent. Around 97 percent companies
were incorporated through the online process.
Establishment of Secured Transactions Registry for unincorporated entities: An
electronic Secured Transactions Registry (STR) is required to be established under the
Financial Institutions (Secured Transactions) Act, 2016 (STA) for registration of security
interest over movable assets by unincorporated entities. Federal Government has delegated
the functions of the STR to the SECP. The creation of a secured transaction registry will
facilitate small borrowers from SME and agriculture sector to secure credit from financial
institutions against their movable assets including receivables, intellectual property,
inventory, agricultural produce, petroleum or minerals, motor vehicles, etc.
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        Box item-IV: Regulatory Relief to Corporate Sector to dilute impact of COVID-19 Pandemic:
To facilitate companies and businesses in dealing with the current crisis, the SECP has relaxed the regulatory
deadlines under Companies Act. These measures include:
i.     A general extension of 30 days has been granted to companies, having FY ended on December 31,
       2019, for holding their Annual General Meeting and laying of financial statements before members for
       approval.
ii.     Companies have been directed to modify their usual planning for General Meetings and consider
        provision of video link facilities, webinar or other electronic means.
iii.    Companies can circulate notices of general meetings and annual reports to members, by post or
        electronically.
iv.     Extension of 30 days has been granted to all companies in filing of statutory returns due on or after
        March 24, 2020 without any additional fee or penal action.
v.      Extension of 30 days has been granted to all companies in filing of first quarterly accounts for the
        quarter ended on March 31, 2020.
vi.     In order to hold meetings of the BODs, companies have been advised to prioritize public safety, while
        ensuring corporate compliance, and all underlying circumstances shall be given due consideration by
        the SECP while enforcing regulatory compliance.
vii.    Companies are encouraged to make a necessary arrangement for the use of technology and related
        applications in order to enable them to work from home to meet the regulatory compliance.
viii.   Companies have been advised to direct their CSR activities towards prevention, detection and cure of
        COVID-19 and ensure effective contingency planning and business continuity, while mitigating health
        risk to employees, customers and communities.
ix.     All companies have been allowed relief from the requirements contained in IFRS 9 (IAS 39, IFRS for
        SMEs and AFRS for SSEs) which require recording of fair value adjustments of equity instruments held
        as FVPL (Fair Value through Profit or Loss) in the Statement of Profit or Loss, from March 31, 2020
        till June 30, 2020.
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of further share.
(6) Amendments to the Employees Contributory Funds (Investment in Listed Securities) Regulations,
    2018
The SECP amended the Employees Contributory Funds (Investment in Listed Securities) Regulations, 2018
and the transition period has been increased from one year to 3 years, so that investments by the provident
funds or other contributory funds, which are beyond the investment limits specified in these regulations are
reduced gradually and brought in conformity with parameters of these regulations.
(7) Listed Companies (Code of Corporate Governance) Regulations, 2019
To facilitate businesses, the SECP revamped the corporate governance regulatory regime with a shift from,
“Mandatory” to “Comply or Explain” approach.
(8) Companies (Further Issue of Shares) Regulations, 2020
The SECP has revamped the Companies (Further issue of Shares) Regulations, 2018 and the Companies
(Further Issue of Shares) Regulations, 2020 have been notified. The revised framework is more focused and
certain conditions that were creating an extra burden on the issuers have been removed, such as
 (i)      Restricting more than one right issues in six months;
 (ii)     Statement by the Board regarding compliance of all requirements;
 (iii)    Requirement of declaration by the board of directors;
 (iv)     Requirement for preparation of the financial projections; and
 (v)      Conditions for issuance of ESOS have been simplified
(9) Amendments to fourth and fifth schedules of the Companies Act, 2017
The SECP on July 29, 2019 notified certain amendments in fourth and fifth schedules of the Companies Act,
2017. The amendments were aimed to reduce the excessive disclosure burden and to remove impediments in
compliance with laws by the corporate sector.)
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takaful operators), forty non-life insurers (including three general takaful operators), and one
state- owned national reinsurer. Major achievements in the insurance sector from July 2019
to March 2020 are as follows:
Regulatory Sandbox Guidelines, 2019: To promote innovation in financial sector and
encourage startups, the SECP has issued the Regulatory Sandbox Guidelines, 2019. This is
Pakistan’s first regulatory sandbox in the financial services industry. The guidelines are
aimed at reducing regulatory obligations.
Centralized Insurance Repository for Life Insurers: In order to ensure collaboration
between life insurance industry and Central Depository Company (CDC), the Centralized
Insurance Repository has been launched, enabling holding of details of life insurance/ family
takaful polices issued by the insurers in dematerialized form.
Guidelines on Cyber-security Framework for Insurance Sector, 2020: The SECP has
issued Guidelines on Cyber-security Framework for Insurance Sector, 2020 which stipulates
various risk management measures to ensure safe and robust information technology
systems of insurance companies, data protection and confidentiality of private data to
maintain the confidence of policyholders in the insurance sector.
General Takaful Accounting Regulations, 2019: The SECP notified the General Takaful
Accounting Regulations, 2019 through S.R.O. 1416(I)/2019 dated 20th November, 2019.
The regulations provide the principles based on which accounting and reporting of general
takaful business of general takaful operators and window general takaful operators shall be
made.
Financial Reporting Requirement for Family Window Takaful Operations: The SECP
has introduced financial reporting requirements for life insurance companies carrying on
window takaful operations under the Takaful Rules, 2012 through Circular no. 15 of 2019
dated 18th November, 2019. The requirements are aimed at increasing transparency and
clarity regarding the takaful operation of the family takaful operators.
Ease of doing business (EODB) – Policy Advocacy with Revenue Authorities for
Exemption of Sales Tax from Health and Life Insurance: The SECP has taken up the
issue of imposition of sales tax on life and health insurance with the provincial revenue
authorities with the aim to create conducive and business friendly environment for the
insurance industry in Pakistan.
Reduction in Cost of Doing Business: With an aim to improve ease of doing business and
to facilitate the insurance industry, the SECP reduced the fees applicable on insurance
companies and insurance brokers vide S.R.O 1226(I)/ 2019 dated 15th October, 2019.
Implementation of Motor Third Party Liability Insurance Scheme to Compensate the
Victims of Road Accidents: Motor Third Party Liability insurance offers insurance
protection against death and bodily injury to the victims of the road traffic accidents or their
legal heirs. The law provides compensatory remedy for all such accident victims as
provisions contained in the saved Chapter VIII of the Motor Vehicles Act, 1939 make it
compulsory for all the motor vehicles owners to have the motor third party liability
insurance cover. The Insurance Division had put forward a proposal to amend the Motor
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Vehicles Act, 1939 for smooth implementation of the Motor Third Party Liability Insurance
Scheme to compensate the road accident victims. The proposed amendments are under
process and will be effective soon.
EODB – Simplification of Life Insurance Product Submission Regime Applicable on Life
Insurance Companies. With the aim of bringing efficiencies in the processing of life insurance
product submission, the SECP has notified simplified submission requirements for standardized
products of the life insurers vide S.R.O 234(I)/2020.
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