Decision Making Process
Decision Making Process
The English word 'Decision' originated from the Latin word 'decisio' which means "to cut from." 'To decide' means "to come to a conclusion" or "to pass a resolution." Decision making means to select a course of action from two or more alternatives. It is done to achieve a specific objective or to solve a specific problem.
Means and ends are linked together through decision-making. To decide means to come to some definite conclusion for follow-up action. Decision is a choice from among a set of alternatives. The word 'decision' is derived from the Latin words de ciso which means 'a cutting away or a cutting off or in a practical sense' to come to a conclusion. Decisions are made to achieve goals through suitable follow-up actions. Decision-making is a process by which a decision (course of action) is taken. Decision-making lies embedded in the process of management. According to Peter Drucker, "Whatever a manager does, he does through decision-making". A manager has to take a decision before acting or before preparing a plan for execution. Moreover, his ability is very often judged by the quality of decisions he takes. Thus, management is always a decision-making process. It is a part of every managerial function. This is because action is not possible unless a firm decision is taken about a business problem or situation. This clearly suggests that decision-making is necessary in planning, organising, directing, controlling and staffing. For example, in planning alternative plans are prepared to meet different possible situations. Out of such alternative plans, the best one (i.e., plan which most appropriate under the available business environment) is to be selected. Here, the planner has to take correct decision. This suggests that decision-making is the core of planning function. In the same way, decisions are required to be taken while performing other functions of management such as organising, directing, staffing, etc. This suggests the importance of decision-making in the whole process of management. The effectiveness of management depends on the quality of decision-making. In this sense, management is rightly described as decision-making process. According to R. C. Davis, "management is a decision-making process." Decision-making is an intellectual process which involves selection of one course of action out of many alternatives. Decision-making will be followed by second function of management called planning. The other elements which follow planning are many such as organising, directing, coordinating, controlling and motivating. Decision-making has priority over planning function. According to Peter Drucker, it is the top management which is responsible for all strategic decisions such as the objectives of the business, capital expenditure decisions as well as such operating decisions as training of manpower and so on. Without such decisions, no action can take place and naturally the resources would remain idle and unproductive. The managerial decisions should be correct to the maximum extent possible. For this, scientific decision-making is essential.
8. Time-consuming activity: Decision-making is a time-consuming activity as various aspects need careful consideration before taking final decision. For decision makers, various steps are required to be completed. This makes decision-making a time consuming activity. 9. Needs effective communication: Decision-taken needs to be communicated to all concerned parties for suitable follow-up actions. Decisions taken will remain on paper if they are not communicated to concerned persons. Following actions will not be possible in the absence of effective communication. 10. Pervasive process: Decision-making process is all pervasive. This means managers working at all levels have to take decisions on matters within their jurisdiction. 11. Responsible job: Decision-making is a responsible job as wrong decisions prove to be too costly to the Organisation. Decision-makers should be matured, experienced, knowledgeable and rational in their approach. Decision-making need not be treated as routing and casual activity. It is a delicate and responsible job.
5. Decision-making is a delicate and responsible job: Managers have to take quick and correct decisions while discharging their duties. In fact, they are paid for their skill, maturity and capacity of decision-making. Management activities are possible only when suitable decisions are taken. Correct decisions provide opportunities of growth while wrong decisions lead to loss and instability to a business unit.
Orientation stage This phase is where members meet for the first time and start to get to know each
other.
Conflict stage Once group members become familiar with each other, disputes, little fights and
arguments occur. Group members eventually work it out.
Emergence stage The group begins to clear up vague opinions by talking about them. Reinforcement stage Members finally make a decision, while justifying themselves that it was the
right decision.
The figure given below suggests the steps in the decision-making process:-
1. Identifying the Problem: Identification of the real problem before a business enterprise is the first step in the process of decision-making. It is rightly said that a problem well-defined is a problem halfsolved. Information relevant to the problem should be gathered so that critical analysis of the problem is possible. This is how the problem can be diagnosed. Clear distinction should be made between the problem and the symptoms which may cloud the real issue. In brief, the manager should search the 'critical factor' at work. It is the point at which the choice applies. Similarly, while diagnosing the real problem the manager should consider causes and find out whether they are controllable or uncontrollable. 2. Analyzing the Problem: After defining the problem, the next step in the decision-making process is to analyze the problem in depth. This is necessary to classify the problem in order to know who must take the decision and who must be informed about the decision taken. Here, the following four factors should be kept in mind: 1. Futurity of the decision, 2. The scope of its impact, 3. Number of qualitative considerations involved, and 4. Uniqueness of the decision. 3. Collecting Relevant Data: After defining the problem and analyzing its nature, the next step is to obtain the relevant information/ data about it. There is information flood in the business world due to new developments in the field of information technology. All available information should be utilised fully for analysis of the problem. This brings clarity to all aspects of the problem. 4. Developing Alternative Solutions: After the problem has been defined, diagnosed on the basis of relevant information, the manager has to determine available alternative courses of action that could be used to solve the problem at hand. Only realistic alternatives should be considered. It is equally important to take into account time and cost constraints and psychological barriers that will
restrict that number of alternatives. If necessary, group participation techniques may be used while developing alternative solutions as depending on one solution is undesirable. 5. Selecting the Best Solution: After preparing alternative solutions, the next step in the decisionmaking process is to select an alternative that seems to be most rational for solving the problem. The alternative thus selected must be communicated to those who are likely to be affected by it. Acceptance of the decision by group members is always desirable and useful for its effective implementation. 6. Converting Decision into Action: After the selection of the best decision, the next step is to convert the selected decision into an effective action. Without such action, the decision will remain merely a declaration of good intentions. Here, the manager has to convert 'his decision into 'their decision' through his leadership. For this, the subordinates should be taken in confidence and they should be convinced about the correctness of the decision. Thereafter, the manager has to take follow-up steps for the execution of decision taken. 7. Ensuring Feedback: Feedback is the last step in the decision-making process. Here, the manager has to make built-in arrangements to ensure feedback for continuously testing actual developments against the expectations. It is like checking the effectiveness of follow-up measures. Feedback is possible in the form of organised information, reports and personal observations. Feed back is necessary to decide whether the decision already taken should be continued or be modified in the light of changed conditions. Every step in the decision-making process is important and needs proper consideration by managers. This facilitates accurate decision-making. Even quantitative techniques such as CPM, PERT/OR, linear programming, etc. are useful for accurate decision-making. Decision-making is important as it facilitates entire management process. Management activities are just not possible without decision-making as it is an integral aspect of management process itself. However, the quality of decision-making should be always superior as faulty/irrational decisions are always dangerous. Various advantages of decision-making (already explained) are easily 'available when the entire decision-making process is followed properly. Decisions are frequently needed in the management process. However, such decisions should be appropriate, timely and rational. Faulty and hasty decisions are wrong and even dangerous. This clearly suggests that various advantages of decision-making are available only when scientific decisions are taken by following the procedure of decision-making in an appropriate manner. For accurate/rational decision-making attention should be given to the following points: 1. Identification of a wide range of alternative courses of action i.e., decisions. This provides wide choice for the selection of suitable decision for follow-up actions. 2. A careful consideration of the costs and risks of both positive and negative consequences that could follow from each alternation.
3. Efforts should be made to search for new information relevant to further evaluation of the alternatives. This is necessary as the quality of decision depends on the quality of information used in the decision-making process. 4. Re-examination of the positive and negative effects of all known alternatives before making a final selection. 5. Arrangements should be made for implementing the chosen course of action including contingency plans in the event that various known risks were actually to occur. 6. Efforts should be made to introduce creativity and rationality in the final decision taken.
time of decision-making. As a result, the decisions become defective or irrational. Such decision may prove to be faulty in the course of time. This is how the decisions become irrational to certain extent. 2. Uncertain environment: Decisions are taken on the basis of information available about various environmental variables. However, the variables are many and complex in nature. They may be related to political, economic, social and other aspects. It is not possible to study all such variables in depth due to inadequate information/data. This leads to inaccuracy in decision making and the decisions taken are not fully rational. 3. Limited capacity of decision-maker. A decision-maker should be expert, knowledgeable, intelligent and matured. He needs vision and capacity to imagine possible future situation. In the absence of such qualities, the decision-maker may not be able to take rational decisions. Similarly, the decision taken may not be rational if the decision-maker fails to follow all necessary steps required for scientific decision-making. A hasty decision or decision taken without full use of all mental faculties may not be fully rational. Thus, decisions are likely to be less rational if the decision maker lacks capacity to take rational decisions. 4. Personal element in decision-making: Decision-making should be always impartial and also favorable to the Organisation. Decision against Organisation but favorable to decision maker or other employees will be unfair. Such decision will not be rational. Similarly, every decision-maker has his own personal background in the form of personal beliefs, attributes, preferences, likes and dislikes and so on. A decision-maker is expected to keep these elements away while taking management decisions. This may not be possible in the case of all decision-makers and on all occasions. However, decisions are not fully rational when such personal element comes in the picture. 5. A decision cannot be fully independent: Managerial decisions are interlinked and interdependent. A manager has to make adjustments or compromises while making decisions. For example, for reducing price, some compromise with the quality may be necessary. A manager gives more importance to one and less to the other. He takes one decision which is rational at the same time makes some compromise in the other decision. As a result, other decision is not likely to be fully rational. In short, business decisions are interlinked. This brings an element of irrationality in some decisions. The points noted above suggest why it is not possible to take rational and right decisions on all occasions.
particular type of planning. A decision is a type of plan involving commitment to resources for achieving specific objective. According to Peter Drucker, it is the top management which is responsible for all strategic decisions such as the objectives of the business, capital expenditure decisions as well as operating decisions such as training of manpower and so on. Without management decisions, no action can take place and naturally the resources would remain idle and unproductive. The managerial decisions should be correct to the maximum extent possible. For this, scientific decision-making is essential.
1. Better Utilisation of Resources: Decision making helps to utilise the available resources for achieving the objectives of the organisation. The available resources are the 6 Ms, i.e. Men, Money, Materials, Machines, Methods and Markets. The manager has to make correct decisions for all the 6 Ms. This will result in better utilisation of these resources.
3. Business Growth
Quick and correct decision making results in better utilisation of the resources. It helps the organisation to face new problems and challenges. It also helps to achieve its objectives. All this results in quick business growth. However, wrong, slow or no decisions can result in losses and industrial sickness.
4. Achieving Objectives
Rational decisions help the organisation to achieve all its objectives quickly. This is because rational decisions are made after analysing and evaluating all the alternatives.
5. Increases Efficiency
Rational decisions help to increase efficiency. Efficiency is the relation between returns and cost. If the returns are high and the cost is low, then there is efficiency and vice versa. Rational decisions result in higher returns at low cost.
6. Facilitate Innovation
Rational decisions facilitate innovation. This is because it helps to develop new ideas, new products, new process, etc. This results in innovation. Innovation gives a competitive advantage to the organisation.
7. Motivates Employees
Rational decision results in motivation for the employees. This is because the employees are motivated to implement rational decisions. When the rational decisions are implemented the organisation makes high profits. Therefore, it can give financial and non-financial benefits to the employees.
2. Compromised Decisions
In group decisions, there is a difference of opinion. This results in a compromised decision. A compromised decision is made to please all the members. It may not be a correct and bold decision. The quality of this decision is inferior. So it will not give good results on implementation.
3. Subjective Decisions
Individual decisions are not objective. They are subjective. This is because the decisions depend on the knowledge, education, experience, perception, beliefs, moral, attitude, etc., of the manager. Subjective decisions are not good decisions.
4. Biased Decisions
Sometimes decisions are biased. That is, the manager makes decisions, which only benefit himself and his group. These decisions have a bad effect on the workers, consumer or the society.
5. Limited Analysis
Before making a decision the manager must analyse all the alternatives. He must study the merit and demerits of each alternative. Then only he must select the best alternative. However, most managers do not do this because they do not get an accurate date, and they have limited time. Inexperienced researchers and wrong sampling also result in a limited analysis. This limited analysis results in bad decisions.
7. Uncertain Future
Decisions are made for the future. However, the future is very uncertain. Therefore, it is very difficult to take decisions for the future.
8. Responsibility is Diluted
In an individual decision, only one manager is responsible for the decision. However, in a group decision, all managers are responsible for the decision. That is, everybody's responsibility is nobody's responsibility. So, the responsibility is diluted.
1. Brainstorming Technique
The brainstorming technique was developed by Alex Faickney Osborn, who is called "The Father of Brainstorming." The purpose of this technique is to improve problem solving by finding new or creative solutions. In a brainstorming session, five to ten persons sit together. The leader of the group tells them the problem. All possible ideas are invited to solve the problem. All the ideas are discussed and analysed. Finally, the best idea is selected.
2. Delphi Technique
Delphi technique is similar to brainstorming technique, except that the group members do not meet face to face. The group members are located at different places. That is, in different parts of the state or country or even in other countries. The group members interact / communicate with each other through modern tools like video conferencing. Questionnaires (list of questions about the problem) are also used to collect information from the group members. Delphi technique gives very good solutions for the problems. This is because the group members are not influenced by one another, since they do not meet fact to face. The problems are solved quickly because this technique use all latest technology for the group members to interact with one another.
4. Quality Circles
Quality Circles was started in Japan in the early 1960s. Quality Circle is a small group of employees from the same department who volunteer to meet regularly in order to identify, analyse and to solve problems about their work.
5. Heuristic Technique
In Heuristic Technique, decisions are made based on experience, rule of thumb, common sense, etc. For e.g. Companies sell their products on an installment basis because they assume that people can pay product's price regularly in installments rather than in one lump sum amount.
Conclusion
Life is full of choices at every moment of time. There are multitudes of possibilities in front of you to choose from. You need to select one course of action from all available options based on your judgment. That is what constitutes making a decision. If you think about it, life is a series of decisions and consequences that follow them. Smart decisions are the triumphs of judgment while bad decisions are opportunities to learn from and rectify our strategy. The importance of the decision process in life is immense, as what we eventually become, is a consequence of the decision we made in the past. We are what our choices and decisions make us to be.