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Don  Bredin
  • Graduate School of Business
    University College Dublin
    Blackrock
    Dublin
    IRELAND
  • 00 353 1 716 8833

Don Bredin

  • Dr. Don Bredin joined the School of Business, UCD in 2002 from the Research Department of the Central Bank of Ireland... moreedit
ABSTRACT During times of market turmoil, investors often seek to mitigate the risk associated with traditional investment assets such as equities and debt. The hedging, safe-haven and downside risk reduction properties of gold are... more
ABSTRACT During times of market turmoil, investors often seek to mitigate the risk associated with traditional investment assets such as equities and debt. The hedging, safe-haven and downside risk reduction properties of gold are examined in this paper for investors with short- and long-run horizons. Utilizing wavelet analysis, we find that gold acts as a short-run hedge for a variety of international equity and debt markets. The safe haven properties of gold during financial crises are further established, with gold shown to act as a safe haven for equity and debt investors across all horizons. Finally, gold is shown to reduce portfolio downside risk in the short-term but may actually contribute to increased long horizon downside risk during recessionary periods.
Research Interests:
ABSTRACT Using a comprehensive data set of almost 300 UK closed-end equity funds over the period 1990 to 2013, we use the false discovery rate to assess the alpha-performance of individual funds with both domestic and other mandates,... more
ABSTRACT Using a comprehensive data set of almost 300 UK closed-end equity funds over the period 1990 to 2013, we use the false discovery rate to assess the alpha-performance of individual funds with both domestic and other mandates, using self-declared benchmarks and additional risk factors. We find evidence to indicate that up to 16% of the funds have truly positive alphas while around 3% have truly negative alphas. Positive post-formation alphas using fund-price returns depend on the factor model used: there is some positive-alpha performance when post-formation returns are evaluated using a one-factor global model but substantial positive-alpha performance when using a four-factor global model.
This paper examines the influence of institutional investors on firms' over-investment as well as the relation between over-investment and corporate performance. We em-ploy the data in Chinese Stock Market from 2003 to 2008 and an... more
This paper examines the influence of institutional investors on firms' over-investment as well as the relation between over-investment and corporate performance. We em-ploy the data in Chinese Stock Market from 2003 to 2008 and an accounting-based framework devised by ...
∗ Corresponding Author: Gerard O Reilly, Economic Analysis, Research and Publications Department, Central Bank of Ireland, PO Box 559, Dublin 2. Tel.(353-1) 6716666. Fax: (353-1) 6706871. Email: erp@centralbank.ie We wish to thank seminar... more
∗ Corresponding Author: Gerard O Reilly, Economic Analysis, Research and Publications Department, Central Bank of Ireland, PO Box 559, Dublin 2. Tel.(353-1) 6716666. Fax: (353-1) 6706871. Email: erp@centralbank.ie We wish to thank seminar participants at the ...
In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policy changes in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un) expected changes in UK and German/euro area policy rates on UK and German... more
In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policy changes in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un) expected changes in UK and German/euro area policy rates on UK and German aggregate and sectoral stock returns in an event study. The decomposition of the (un) expected changes in policy rates are based on futures markets. Overall, our results suggest that, UK monetary policy surprises have a significant negative influence on both aggregate and industry level ...
The European Union's Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) is the key policy instrument of the European Commissions Climate Change Program aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions to eight percent below 1990 levels by 2012. The... more
The European Union's Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) is the key policy instrument of the European Commissions Climate Change Program aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions to eight percent below 1990 levels by 2012. The key asset traded under the scheme is the ...
The European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is the key policy instrument of the European Commission’s Climate Change Program aimed at reducing green- house gas emissions to eight percent below 1990 levels by 2012. A critically... more
The European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is the key policy instrument of the European Commission’s Climate Change Program aimed at reducing green- house gas emissions to eight percent below 1990 levels by 2012. A critically important element of the EU ETS is the establishment of a market determined price for EU allowances. This article examines the extent to which several theoretically founded factors including, energy price movements, economic growth, temperature and stock market activity determine the expected prices of the European Union CO2 allowances during the 2005 through to the 2009 period. The novel aspect of our study is that we examine the heavily traded futures instruments that have an expiry date in Phase 2 of the EU ETS. Our study adopts both static and recursive versions of the Johansen multivariate cointegration likelihood ratio test as well as a variation on this test with a view to controlling for time varying volatility effects. Our results are indicati...
Research Interests:
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the EU Emissions Trading Scheme options and futures markets’ dynamics during the period 2005 to 2011. We study observations on returns, volatilities and volumes on derivative instruments. In addition, we... more
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the EU Emissions Trading Scheme options and futures markets’ dynamics during the period 2005 to 2011. We study observations on returns, volatilities and volumes on derivative instruments. In addition, we examine spot/future correlations, term structures and option implied volatility smiles and surfaces. We seek to ascertain whether the behavior of the EU ETS derivatives’ markets can be compared to that of commodity markets, specifically the developed West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil derivatives’ market. Our results indicate that the EU Emissions Trading Scheme derivatives’ markets have matured markedly since the start of Phase 2 of the Scheme, with rising volumes and declining return volatilities. Spot/future correlations, term structures and option volatility smiles and surfaces exhibit comparable behavior, over time, albeit with certain discrepancies, with that found in the developed WTI crude oil derivatives’ market. These results are valuable both for traders of EU allowances and for those policy makers seeking to improve the design of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme.
Abstract In this chapter we examine the price formation process in European energy markets during the period 2005–2009. In order to assess the development of these markets, we identify potential theoretical relations related in the price... more
Abstract In this chapter we examine the price formation process in European energy markets during the period 2005–2009. In order to assess the development of these markets, we identify potential theoretical relations related in the price forma-tion process, using a set of factors ...
The influence of foreign monetary policy decisions on the volatility of the Irish stock market is investigated. Specifically, the influence of US monetary policy announcements on the ISEQ is examined. Evidence of the so-called calm before... more
The influence of foreign monetary policy decisions on the volatility of the Irish stock market is investigated. Specifically, the influence of US monetary policy announcements on the ISEQ is examined. Evidence of the so-called calm before the storm is found, i.e., there appears to be a decline in volatility on the day prior to an FOMC meeting and a subsequent

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