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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 6-9
693LV
Aug. 6-9
693LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+2
Aug. 6-9
693RV
Aug. 6-9
693RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

0%
43%
TrumpHarris+2
Aug. 6-9
693LV
Aug. 6-9
693LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Aug. 6-9
693RV
Aug. 6-9
693RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Aug. 6-8
1,000LV
Aug. 6-8
1,000LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+2
July 31-Aug. 3
743LV
July 31-Aug. 3
743LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+2
July 29-Aug. 1
600LV
July 29-Aug. 1
600LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%
45%
TrumpEven
July 29-Aug. 1
600LV
July 29-Aug. 1
600LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
July 29-30
627RV
July 29-30
627RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
July 26-30
500LV
July 26-30
500LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%

Oliver

2%
46%
TrumpHarris+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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