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McCulloch et al., 1993 - Google Patents

Bayesian inference and prediction for mean and variance shifts in autoregressive time series

McCulloch et al., 1993

Document ID
6175276133825078076
Author
McCulloch R
Tsay R
Publication year
Publication venue
Journal of the american Statistical association

External Links

Snippet

This article is concerned with statistical inference and prediction of mean and variance changes in an autoregressive time series. We first extend the analysis of random mean-shift models to random variance-shift models. We then consider a method for predicting when a …
Continue reading at www.tandfonline.com (other versions)

Classifications

    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00—Computer systems based on biological models
    • G06N3/02—Computer systems based on biological models using neural network models
    • G06N3/04—Architectures, e.g. interconnection topology
    • G06N3/0472—Architectures, e.g. interconnection topology using probabilistic elements, e.g. p-rams, stochastic processors
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N99/00—Subject matter not provided for in other groups of this subclass
    • G06N99/005—Learning machines, i.e. computer in which a programme is changed according to experience gained by the machine itself during a complete run
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N5/00—Computer systems utilising knowledge based models
    • G06N5/04—Inference methods or devices
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06F—ELECTRICAL DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F17/00—Digital computing or data processing equipment or methods, specially adapted for specific functions
    • G06F17/10—Complex mathematical operations
    • G06F17/18—Complex mathematical operations for evaluating statistical data, e.g. average values, frequency distributions, probability functions, regression analysis
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06F—ELECTRICAL DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F11/00—Error detection; Error correction; Monitoring
    • G06F11/07—Error detection; Error correction; Monitoring responding to the occurence of a fault, e.g. fault tolerance
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/02—Banking, e.g. interest calculation, credit approval, mortgages, home banking or on-line banking
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B23/00—Testing or monitoring of control systems or parts thereof
    • G05B23/02—Electric testing or monitoring
    • G05B23/0205—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults
    • G05B23/0218—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults characterised by the fault detection method dealing with either existing or incipient faults

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