JP2000048073A - Disaster Decision Support Device and its System Considering Time Management Rules for Countermeasures - Google Patents

Abstract

(57) [Summary] [PROBLEMS] To provide a disaster decision support device that supports decision making so that each section of a response organization can respond quickly and accurately in the event of a disaster. A disaster decision support device includes an information input accepting unit for accepting input of disaster information, an intention for determining a next measure to be performed from a disaster prevention plan rule, decision history information, and a measure schedule. A decision support information creation unit 112 for creating decision support information, an intention to receive an instruction input in response to the decision support information presented to the countermeasure, and to execute a process corresponding to the received instruction A decision information execution unit 113, a time information management unit 114 that measures and manages the occurrence time and input time of the disaster event indicated by the disaster information, the execution time of the countermeasure item, and the like, and creates a schedule of the countermeasure based on the time information and stores the schedule A schedule management unit 115 stored in the unit 170 is provided.

Description

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

[0001]

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION 1. Field of the Invention The present invention relates to a device for supporting decision-making so that each local government or each department of a response organization can respond quickly and accurately in the event of a disaster such as a natural disaster or a catastrophic accident. Information collection and transmission of information can be carried out by displaying the items of measures that can be taken to personnel in response to occurrences such as occurrences and disasters such as the establishment of a disaster response headquarters, and their countermeasures in accordance with predetermined disaster prevention plan rules. The present invention relates to a disaster decision-making support device for supporting activities necessary for decision-making for implementing measures, and a system including the same.

[0002]

2. Description of the Related Art In a conventional system for providing decision support at the time of a disaster, when a disaster countermeasure receives information on a disaster, it refers to a corresponding place in a disaster prevention plan to respond to the disaster, or By making a search and making an inquiry to a database server that stores information on the response status of each department and related organizations including the above, actions such as communication and transmission to be performed next are determined.

On the other hand, in the field of plant monitoring, there is an apparatus which supports decision making in an emergency using a computer described in Japanese Patent Application Laid-Open No. 3-296699.
The decision support device described in the related art outputs support information such as an operation guide when a plant malfunctions. This decision support device receives an abnormal signal when a plant is abnormal, compares the abnormal signal with knowledge information stored in advance, and outputs corresponding support information.

[0004]

However, it is difficult for disaster countermeasures personnel to grasp all external situations and to refer to and grasp the history of how they acted in a certain situation without fail. The response may not be possible.

At present, the action guidelines for disaster countermeasures by local governments in the event of natural disasters such as large fires, large earthquakes, storms and floods are determined by regional disaster prevention plans and the like. On the other hand, it is not always clear that this must be done, and there are various alternatives to the course of action. Also, the disaster situation changes from moment to moment, and depending on this change in the situation, there are various decision options at each point in time,
It is very difficult to know which option is best to choose and implement. It is even more so in the event of confusion following a disaster. Furthermore, the action guidelines at the time of disaster prevention measures are such that the options that can be selected change from moment to moment depending on the change of the person in charge of disaster measures or the execution history taken by the person in charge of disaster measures.

Another problem is that if a part of disaster-related information indicating a disaster and its countermeasures is not transmitted, it is not possible to show a sufficiently appropriate action procedure for a disaster activity.

The present invention has been made in view of the above points, and it is possible to sequentially present predetermined countermeasures to disaster-related information at each time to countermeasures persons. An object of the present invention is to provide a disaster decision support device and its system.

Further, as time elapses from the occurrence of a disaster, not only situation-based countermeasures at each time point but also a plurality of occurrence events such as a disaster and its countermeasures may be complicatedly related in time. Conceivable. Therefore, in order to support decision-making, it is important to consider the management of the disaster situation and the implementation of countermeasures against it on a time axis.

Accordingly, another object of the present invention is to provide a disaster decision support system and its system which enable management on a time axis with respect to recognition of a disaster situation and implementation of measures against the situation. .

[0010]

In order to achieve the above object, according to the present invention, a decision support for supporting a decision making operation at the time of a disaster according to an event (occurrence event) occurring in relation to the disaster. In the disaster decision support device for creating information, an information input receiving unit for receiving disaster information related to the occurrence event, and time information indicating a time related to the occurrence event indicated by the disaster information are created, and the created time information is created. A time information management unit that manages the disaster information, a disaster prevention plan rule in which a countermeasure rule that prescribes a countermeasure that can be taken with respect to the occurrence event is predetermined, a history information of the already determined decision making activity, and the time A schedule management unit that creates schedule information for setting an execution time of a measure that can be performed based on the information, the disaster prevention plan rule, the disaster information, Information, and a decision support information creation unit that creates the decision support information for indicating items of measures that can be performed on an operator of the device based on the schedule information, and a decision support information creation unit that is presented to the operator. A decision information execution unit configured to receive an instruction about a process to be performed next, which is input by the operator, and execute a process according to the instruction, in accordance with the decision support information. .

In the above invention, the occurrence event may include an occurrence event relating to a disaster and execution of a measure taken in response to the disaster.

In the above invention, the disaster prevention plan rule is executed next according to the event and at least one of a time related to the event and a relative relationship between times related to a plurality of events. It may be configured to include at least a time management rule that defines a possible countermeasure item and a scheduled execution time.

[0013] More specifically, in the above invention, for example, the disaster prevention plan rule includes a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event in addition to the time management rule, and the time management rule includes a countermeasure item and an execution time. Or a plurality of countermeasure items and a countermeasure rule corresponding to a time interval of their execution time, and the time information management unit indicates the current time and the time related to the occurrence event indicated by the disaster information. The schedule management unit creates schedule information in which the next executable measure and its scheduled execution time are set according to the time management rule, and the decision support information creation unit Based on the information, create decision support information for indicating at least an item of a measure to be performed and a scheduled execution time of each measure item It may be formed.

In the above invention, for example, as the disaster prevention plan rule, a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event is provided in addition to the time management rule, and the time management rule includes the event and its occurrence time. The schedule management unit creates schedule information that includes a corresponding countermeasure rule or a countermeasure rule corresponding to a plurality of occurrence events and a time interval of the occurrence times thereof, and further includes a scheduled occurrence time of the event scheduled to occur by the schedule management unit. Then, the decision support information creation unit may be configured to create the decision support information including a countermeasure when the event actually occurs at the scheduled time or when the event does not occur.

[0015] In the above invention, for example, the disaster prevention plan rule further includes a rule for defining a priority order of the countermeasures, and the decision support information creation unit detects an event scheduled at a scheduled time based on the schedule information. If it did or did not,
According to the priority of each measure set based on the rule on the priority of the measure, the configuration for creating the decision support information in which the presentation form of the measure item to be displayed to the operator is changed. Good.

In the above invention, for example, when the event actually scheduled at the scheduled time based on the schedule information occurs, or when the event does not occur, the decision support information creating unit determines in advance. Create information for performing a notification for confirming the occurrence of an event to the relevant department, and automatically transmit the information for performing the confirmation notification by the decision making information execution unit, or to an operator. It may be configured to present a warning prompting a notification.

In the above invention, for example, as the disaster prevention plan rule, in addition to the time management rule, a countermeasure rule corresponding to the content of the event is provided, and the time management rule is based on the countermeasure item and its execution time. Measures rules,
And at least one of a plurality of countermeasure items and a countermeasure rule corresponding to a time interval between the execution times thereof, wherein the schedule management unit creates schedule information for setting a scheduled execution time of the countermeasure, and the decision support information creation unit When there is an inconsistency between the schedule and the actual situation, the operator selects a rule to be applied from the countermeasure rules in order to eliminate the inconsistency, or provides decision support information for changing the rule. The decision support information execution unit may be configured to receive a selection or change command from an operator and execute a process corresponding to the command on the rule.

In the above invention, for example, as the disaster prevention plan rule, in addition to the time management rule, a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event and a rule for changing the countermeasure schedule according to a predetermined criterion are provided. Wherein the time management rule includes at least one of a countermeasure rule according to a countermeasure item and its execution time, and a countermeasure rule according to a time interval between a plurality of countermeasure items and their execution time, and the schedule management unit includes Creates schedule information for setting a scheduled execution time of the measure, and the decision support information creating unit creates decision support information for prompting an operator to change the schedule including resetting the schedule according to a rule for changing the measure schedule. Then, the decision support information execution unit receives a change command from the operator and responds to the command. It may be configured to change the schedule Te.

Further, in order to achieve the above object, according to the present invention, by displaying measures that can be performed in accordance with a predetermined disaster prevention plan rule for an event related to a disaster, it is necessary to make a decision on the execution of measures. In a system that supports various activities, the disaster decision support device as described above and the disaster prevention plan rules, the history information, the time information, and the schedule information used in the disaster decision support device are stored, respectively. The disaster prevention plan rule storage unit, the decision history storage unit, the time information storage unit, and the schedule storage unit, and the decision support information indicating at least executable action items created by the decision support device, A display unit to be presented to an operator of the system;
An instruction input unit configured to receive an instruction from the operator regarding a process to be performed next, which is performed in response to the display of the decision support information.

In order to achieve the above object, according to the present invention, decision support information for supporting decision making activities in the event of a disaster is created according to an event (occurrence event) occurring in connection with the disaster. In the disaster decision support method, the disaster information regarding the occurrence event is received, time information indicating the time related to the occurrence event indicated by the disaster information is created and managed, and the disaster information and the occurrence event are implemented. Based on the disaster prevention plan rules that prescribe the countermeasure rules that prescribe possible countermeasures, the history information of the already determined decision-making activities, and the time information, create schedule information that sets the implementation time of the countermeasures that can be performed. A measure that can be implemented for an operator of the apparatus based on the disaster prevention plan rule, the disaster information, the history information, and the schedule information. Generating the decision support information for presenting the instruction, and accepting an instruction about a process to be performed next, which is input by the operator, in accordance with the decision support information presented to the operator, and Is performed.

In order to achieve the above object, the present invention is characterized in that a computer readable storage medium records program data for realizing the disaster decision support method.

[0022]

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS FIG. 1 shows the configuration of a system including a disaster decision support device 110 according to an embodiment of the present invention.
This will be described with reference to FIG.

In the system according to the present embodiment, the disaster decision-making support device 110 provides a decision-making support system for a person in charge of measures to make a decision in accordance with disaster information relating to an occurrence event such as a disaster or its countermeasures. This is for generating decision support information. The disaster decision-making support device 110 inputs and outputs a disaster situation, a countermeasure item corresponding to the disaster condition, and a command for executing the countermeasure, and displays an input device such as a keyboard and a mouse and an output screen as shown in FIG. The input / output device 140, which is an output device such as a display for displaying, transmits the content of the decision made by the own department to another department, stores it in the decision history storage unit 130, or inputs the content of the decision made from the other device 160. A communication device 150, a disaster information input unit 180 that receives disaster information transmitted through various networks such as a prefectural seismic intensity information network that transmits seismic intensity information after an earthquake, items of countermeasures corresponding to a disaster situation, and The disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120 in which the countermeasure rules defining the execution procedure are stored, according to the decision support information presented earlier. Decision history storage unit 130 stores the already made decisions matters, schedule storage unit 170 which schedules the disaster countermeasures are stored, and, input disaster information and the decision support device 11
0 is connected to a time information storage unit 190 in which time information set corresponding to the processing operation of 0 is stored.

The output screen shown in FIG. 3 is specifically a status report window 31 for displaying disaster information and decision history on the right side of the figure, and a disaster countermeasure window 32 for displaying disaster countermeasure items in the upper left. And a guidance window 33 for displaying the countermeasure procedure at the lower left. For example, in this example, the window 31 displays disaster information indicating the occurrence of an earthquake with a seismic intensity of 7 and a decision history indicating that an emergency deployment system has been issued. Represents.

As shown in FIG. 1, the disaster decision-making support device 110 is used to receive an alert for a disaster or to receive an input of disaster information at the time of a disaster, for example, information on the epicenter, seismic intensity, and fire situation of an earthquake. The input receiving unit 111, the disaster prevention plan rules including the disaster countermeasure items stored in the disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120 and various countermeasure rules defining the implementation procedure, and the decision making determined by the disaster decision support device 110 Support information creation unit 112 for creating decision support information for making a decision to respond to a disaster based on the history information of the information and the countermeasure schedule created by the schedule management unit 115 described later. A decision to execute a predetermined process according to a processing command input by the operator in accordance with the decision support information created by the information creating unit 112 The information execution unit 113, the occurrence time and input time of the disaster event included in the input disaster information, the display time and execution time of the measure indicated by the decision support information created by the decision support information creation unit 112, the communication device 150 A time information management unit 114 that measures and manages the execution time and the like of the countermeasure item by another device that is input via the PC, and creates a schedule of the countermeasure based on the time information measured and managed by the time information management unit 114. Schedule storage unit 170
, And a schedule management unit 115 for storing the information.

Incidentally, in order to actually realize such a disaster decision support device 110, as shown in FIG. 1, each information input reception unit 111, decision support information creation unit 112, and decision information execution unit 113 Although it can be realized as an apparatus including a time information management unit 114 and a schedule management unit 115, an information processing apparatus such as a computer including an arithmetic unit and a storage medium reading apparatus can execute the processing according to a processing procedure as shown in FIG. By inserting a storage medium storing an application program for achieving the functions of the apparatus and installing the application program, each information input receiving unit 111, decision support information creating unit 112, decision information The same functions as those of the execution unit 113, the time information management unit 114, and the schedule management unit 115 are realized. It may be formed.

Further, the disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120, the decision history storage unit 130, the schedule storage unit 170, and the time information storage unit 190 are installed as database storage units at locations separated from the disaster decision support device 110. May be. In this case, the disaster decision support device 1
10 and each of the storage units 120, 130, 170, and 190 are communicated via the communication device 150 and a transmission path such as a network.

Next, the processing procedure in the disaster decision support device 110 of the present embodiment will be described with reference to the flowchart of FIG.

In this process, first, the information input receiving unit 111 of the disaster decision support device 110 receives input of disaster information (step 201). For example, when an earthquake occurs, the input / output device 14 receives notification of disaster information such as an epicenter and a seismic intensity received by telephone or radio.
And inputting disaster information such as a direct epicenter and a seismic intensity into the disaster information input unit 18.
The input is accepted by receiving the information via the “0”.

FIG. 4 shows an example of disaster information input data in which disaster information has been input, and is a diagram showing a format configuration of disaster information input data received by the disaster information input receiving unit 111. As shown in the event series 420, the disaster information input data is input in the order of the time series of the input disaster information. Reference numeral 410 denotes a format for storing the content of the disaster information, for example, "occurrence of a seismic intensity 7". Here, reference numeral 411 denotes an identification code for distinguishing disaster information. The storage items include a transmission source, transmission information, an information name (412), and the like. Further, depending on the details of the disaster, a configuration may be adopted in which information specific to the disaster is added. For example, for an earthquake occurrence, an epicenter, occurrence time, etc. (413) can be added as items. Note that the storage items 412 (source, transmission time, information name) are displayed in the status report window 31 of FIG. 3 described above.

Upon receiving the disaster information, the disaster decision support device 110 reads the decision history stored in the decision history storage unit 130 (step 20).
2).

FIG. 5 is a diagram showing an example of the format configuration of the decision history stored in the decision history storage section 130. As shown in FIG. The decision history sequence 600 in the decision history storage unit 130 is stored, for example, in the order of the time series of the decision items that have made a decision. It should be noted that nothing is stored in the decision-making history sequence 600 in the initial state where no selection or decision is made. Reference numeral 610 denotes a format for storing the contents of a decision history such as an emergency deployment system announcement. The storage items are a transmission source, a transmission time, and an information name, and each content is described and distributed by an execution link processing program described later. 6
Reference numeral 20 denotes a format for storing the contents of a decision making history, for example, the establishment of a prefectural disaster response headquarters. As in the case of 610, there are items of originator, originating time, and information name. Note that the storage items (source, transmission time, information name) are displayed in the status report window 31 of FIG. 3 described above.

Next, the decision support information creation section 112 of the disaster decision support apparatus 110 stores the information in the disaster prevention plan rule storage section 120 in order to create decision information, that is, information on disaster countermeasure items and their countermeasure procedures. The retrieved disaster prevention plan rule is searched (step 203), and it is determined whether or not the current situation satisfies the ignition condition.

FIG. 6 is a diagram showing an example of a format configuration of the disaster prevention plan rule data stored in the decision making history storage section 130. The disaster prevention plan rule data 510 includes a firing condition unit 511, a disaster countermeasure item unit 512, a detailed guidance unit 513, and an execution link unit 514. An example of the disaster prevention plan rule data corresponding to the case where an earthquake of seismic intensity 7 occurs is 510 to 513. In the firing condition section 511, “earthquake occurrence_intensity 7” which is a firing condition is described, and a disaster countermeasure item section 512 and a detailed guidance section 513 are provided.
Describes the contents to be displayed in the windows 32 and 33, respectively, and the execution link section 514 specifies a keyword to be selected or executed in the window 33.

In the example shown in FIG. 6, the detailed guidance section 51
The keywords in 3 are enclosed in rectangles, and “display”, “activation”, and “execution” are set as the types of execution links. For example, in FIG. 6, “transmission time” in the detailed guidance unit 513 automatically “displays” the disaster information transmission time.
"Chapter 2/10" corresponds to "starting" the document DB system, and "Complete" stores the history of "Prefectural disaster countermeasures headquarters installation" in the decision history storage unit 130. "Execute" the corresponding process. Here, the arrow in the figure indicates the mutual relationship between the keyword and the link.

Further, when there are a plurality of disaster countermeasure items for the same firing condition, a data set including an ignition condition section, a disaster countermeasure item section, a detailed guide section, and an execution link section is provided for each disaster countermeasure item. (510,
530, 540, 550).

If there is no information in each section, they may be omitted. Further, it is assumed that a logical expression representing a countermeasure condition can be described in the firing condition part. For example,
An example of the disaster prevention plan rule data corresponding to the case where an earthquake of seismic intensity 7 has occurred and the emergency deployment system has not been issued is shown in FIG.
0 is shown. “(Earthquake occurrence_Seismic intensity 7)
AND NOT (emergency deployment system issuance) "is described, and the item name and" automatic "indicating that it is issued unconditionally are described in the disaster countermeasure item section 562. In this case, since the automatic issuance is unconditional, there is no need to particularly specify the detailed guidance and the execution link, and these units are omitted.

Further, the firing condition part of the disaster prevention plan rule data is separately stored as a firing condition column 570, and the storage location of the individual disaster prevention plan rule data corresponding to the storage location 571 in the firing condition column of each firing condition is as follows. It is assumed that they are related by an appropriate expression means such as a pointer.

In this embodiment, the countermeasure item and the disaster event are represented by identification codes, and the ignition condition part 511 is described by a logical expression using the identification codes. FIG. 7 shows a specific example of the disaster event 701 and its identification code 702, and FIG. 8 shows a specific example of the countermeasure item 801 and its identification code 802.

FIG. 9 shows an example in which the disaster prevention plan rules are expressed in sentences using the identification codes shown in FIGS.
FIG. 0 shows an example in which the disaster prevention plan rule of FIG. 9 is expressed as a firing condition by a logical expression based on an identification code.

If the identification code correspondence data as shown in FIGS. 7 and 8 is stored in an appropriate area of the disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120, the condition unit 1001 in FIG. 10 is stored in the firing condition column 570 and the firing condition in FIG. In the part 511, the conclusion part 10 of FIG.
02 can be described in the disaster countermeasure item 512 of FIG.

It should be noted that the consideration of the time factor of the occurrence event, which is a characteristic of the present invention, is performed in step 209 and thereafter.
In the disaster prevention plan rule illustrated in FIG. 10 used in this step, the time factor of the occurrence event is not considered.

Further, the decision support information creating section 112 of the disaster decision support apparatus 110 prepares the decision support information based on the measure schedule from among the measure schedules stored in the schedule storage section 170 at the present time. Search for the countermeasure items scheduled to be implemented in
The corresponding countermeasure item is extracted (step 204).

FIG. 13 shows a specific example of schedule management data stored in the schedule storage section 170. FIG.
The data of No. 3 is created in advance based on, for example, a time management rule expressed in a sentence as shown in FIG. 11 and stored in the disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120 (see FIG. 1).
This is created by the schedule management unit 170 from 2).

FIGS. 11 and 12 and the creation / update of the schedule will be described later in steps 210 and 211. The decision support information creating unit 112 searches for the disaster countermeasure items currently scheduled to be implemented in the scheduled execution unit 1302 in FIG.

In steps 203 and 204, it is checked whether there is a countermeasure item that satisfies the corresponding firing condition or a countermeasure item to be implemented (step 205). The unit 112 displays the disaster countermeasure item 512 (see FIG. 6) in the corresponding disaster prevention plan rule in the disaster countermeasure item display window 32 on the display screen of FIG. 3 (step 206).

Next, in order to display the countermeasure procedure of the disaster countermeasure item determined to be executed by the operator, the input / output device 14
A selection input for the disaster countermeasure items displayed in the disaster countermeasure item display window 32 of FIG. 3 is received by a keyboard or the like as an input means of 0, and a procedure for implementing a countermeasure for the selected item is executed (Step S10). 207).

For example, a countermeasure procedure (detailed guidance section 513) for the selected item is displayed in the detailed guidance display window 33, and execution information in the detailed guidance is provided so that a disaster countermeasure person can execute a specific countermeasure procedure. Accept selection input. As shown in the example of the disaster prevention plan rule data in FIG. 6, the selection input is accepted to the keyword in the content 513 displayed as the detailed guidance.
Are set, and each keyword is accepted when the operator clicks on it with the mouse.

When a keyword is selected, the processing is executed according to the contents of the selected execution link 514. As shown in FIG. 6, a plurality of link types are set. For example, when a "display" link is followed, designated information is displayed during detailed guidance (in the example of FIG. 6, the disaster information transmission at 412 in FIG. 4 is performed). (The time is displayed.) When the “start” link is followed, the designated system is started (in the example of FIG. 6, the document DB system, and when the operator finishes using the start system, the operator ends the system). If the "execute" link is followed, it is assumed that the countermeasure described in the detailed guidance has been taken, and the history is stored in the decision-making history storage unit 130 according to the format of FIG. 5 (step 208).
The processing in step 208 is the operation of the above-described execution link processing program. The decision history is stored using, for example, the identification code of the implemented countermeasure item as shown in FIG.

Next, the time information management unit 114 of the decision support device 110 measures the current time, and
Disaster event in the disaster information received at step 2
07 and the decision history storage unit 13
Based on the decision history stored in 0, the corresponding time management rule data is searched from the time management rules as shown in FIG. 12 (step 209). Here, the time management rule as shown in FIG. 12 corresponds to each occurrence event (disaster event and countermeasure item) in the disaster prevention plan rule as shown in FIG.
It is assumed that the time factor is further taken into consideration, and that it is created in advance and stored in the disaster prevention plan rule storage unit 120.

FIG. 11 shows a textual example of a time management rule including a temporal relationship between a countermeasure item and a disaster event. In the example shown in FIG. 12, the time management rule of FIG. 11 is described by IF-THEN rule expression using the example of the identification code of FIGS.

Next, as described above, the time information management unit 114, based on the current time, the disaster event in the disaster information, the implemented countermeasure items, and the decision making history, To extract the corresponding time management rule.
If there is a corresponding time management rule, the process proceeds to step 211; otherwise, the process proceeds to step 213 (step 210).

If there is a corresponding time management rule,
Schedule management unit 1 of disaster decision support device 110
15, the time management rule and the time information (time of occurrence of the disaster event or execution time of the countermeasure item) extracted in step 209 are passed through the decision support information creation unit 112 to the time variable of the time management rule. (Specific time is substituted for the time variables A and B in the condition part and the conclusion part in FIG. 12) (step 21).
1).

Next, the schedule management unit 115 determines the condition unit 1201 of the time management rule in which the specific time is substituted.
Is added to the schedule management data as the established fact part and the conclusion part 1202 as the scheduled execution part.
The schedule management data is updated by storing the data in the storage 70 (step 212).

FIG. 13 shows an example of schedule management data created when a specific time is assigned to all the time management rules in FIG. The schedule management unit 115 stores the schedule in the schedule storage unit 170, for example, in a format as shown in FIG.

Finally, the schedule management unit 112 of the decision support device 110 determines whether an input of a processing end command has been accepted and whether there is an input for selecting a disaster countermeasure item (step 213).

When the input of the processing end command is accepted, the series of processing is terminated. When the selection of the disaster countermeasure item is input, the process returns to step 207, and when neither of them is selected, the process returns to step 201. .

According to the present embodiment, by using a time management rule that takes into account the time factor of the event, it is possible to manage on the time axis with respect to the recognition of the disaster situation and the implementation of countermeasures. A decision support device and its system can be provided.

Another embodiment of a system including a disaster decision support device to which the present invention is applied will be described with reference to FIG.

In the present embodiment, a disaster prevention plan rule including a rule related to a priority order is used, and when a countermeasure item is displayed, a presentation form can be changed according to the priority order. Hereinafter, only the configuration different from the system of the above embodiment will be described, and the description of the same configuration will be omitted.

FIG. 14 shows examples 510 'and 530' of disaster prevention plan rule data including priority information. The disaster prevention plan rule data 510 ′ and 530 ′ are obtained by adding items 710 and 720 describing importance to the disaster prevention plan rule data of FIG. 6, respectively. Here, it is assumed that the importance is evaluated in three stages of the most important (priority 1), important (priority 2), and normal (priority 3). For example, as shown in FIG. 14, consider a case where the countermeasures items “Recommendation of Prefectural Disaster Countermeasures Headquarters” and “Confirmation of Prefectural Seismic Intensity Information” exist for a disaster occurrence event (disaster event) of “earthquake occurrence_seismic intensity 7”. "Prefectural disaster countermeasures headquarters setting recommendation" sets the importance level to "most important (priority order 1)" (710), and "prefecture seismic intensity information confirmation" sets the importance level to "normal (priority level 3)" (72).
0).

Further, in the present embodiment, the decision support information creation unit 112 determines the display mode when displaying on the output device so as to reflect the importance of each disaster prevention plan rule. For example, when a countermeasure item is displayed on the disaster countermeasure item window 32 on the display screen shown in FIG. 3, the number and the display color of the mark "!" Then, marking is displayed, and the images are displayed in order of importance from above the display screen.

FIGS. 15 to 15 show another embodiment of a system including a disaster decision support device to which the present invention is applied.
This will be described with reference to FIG.

The present embodiment further includes a process in a case where a mismatch occurs between the countermeasure schedule used for generating the decision support information and the actual situation. In the following, a description will be given of an example of inconsistency in a case where contradiction occurs between rules depending on the situation.

FIG. 15 shows a situation where inconsistency with the time management rule occurs and an example of schedule management data at that time.
FIG. 15A shows a time management rule 1501 that states, “If disaster event B occurs within 2 hours after disaster event A occurs, implement countermeasure item C within 1 hour of occurrence of disaster event B”. , In the same format as in FIG.
Further, FIG. 15B shows a time management rule 1502 that “If the countermeasure item D has been executed and the disaster event B has occurred, the countermeasure item C is executed two hours after the occurrence of the disaster event B”.
Is shown. By the way, "Countermeasure item D has been implemented,
When Disaster Event A Occurs at 13:00 and Disaster Event B Occurs at 14:00 ", the time management rules 1501, 15
02, the schedule management data is created using the scheduled execution time 1503 of the countermeasure item C in the scheduled execution section of the schedule management data, as shown in FIG.
1504 is inconsistent.

In the present embodiment, the following procedure is executed in order to deal with the inconsistency as described above.

(1) The occurrence of inconsistency is regarded as one of disaster events, and an identification code similar to the disaster event shown in FIG. 7, for example, a disaster event 999 is assigned in advance.

(2) For example, as shown in FIG. 16, a disaster prevention plan rule 1601 of “implement a countermeasure item 888 when a disaster event 999 occurs” is described in a format similar to that of FIG. Planning rule storage unit 1
20.

(3) The schedule management unit 115 searches for the inconsistency of the scheduled part as described above at the time of updating the schedule. If the inconsistency is detected, the schedule management unit 115 activates the system itself as a disaster event of the disaster event 999.

(4) The decision support information creation unit 112
The disaster prevention plan rule 1602 in FIG. 16 is fired, and a display is performed according to the contents of the predetermined countermeasure item 888.

FIG. 10 shows an example of the disaster prevention plan rule data in the countermeasure item 888 set corresponding to the disaster event 999. In this example, in order to prompt the operator to select or change a countermeasure rule in the disaster prevention plan rule data corresponding to the disaster event 999 in which a fire event is detected when the disaster event 999 is detected, FIG. Disaster countermeasure items 1711 and detailed guidance 171 as shown
2. An execution link 1713 is provided.

In the present embodiment, in response to the disaster event 999, the disaster countermeasure item 1711 “selection or change of the countermeasure rule” is displayed in the window 32 of FIG. 3, and when the operator selects it, the detailed guidance 1712 is displayed. This is displayed in the window 33 of FIG. In the detailed guidance 1712, the "measure item display / selection module" and the "measure rule editing module" are linked to the "display / selection" character string and the "correction / change" character string according to the description of the execution link 1713, respectively. Each module can be activated according to the selection by the operator on the window 32 in FIG. When the countermeasure item display / selection module is started, inconsistent countermeasure rules 1501, 1
502 is displayed to allow the operator to select a countermeasure rule to be forcibly invalidated. Also, when the countermeasure rule editing module is started, the contradictory countermeasure rules 1501,
An edit instruction for temporarily changing 1502 is received from the operator.

Another embodiment of a system including a disaster decision support device to which the present invention is applied is shown in FIGS.
This will be described with reference to FIG.

In the present embodiment, a process for changing or resetting a countermeasure schedule according to a criterion such as importance is further provided. In the following, FIG.
Similar to the third embodiment, the inconsistency in the case where inconsistency occurs between rules depending on the situation will be described as an example.

When the degree of importance of the target countermeasure item (eg countermeasure item C in FIG. 15) is the most important (see FIG. 14) when an inconsistency occurs, the processing procedure for resetting the schedule management data is as follows. This will be described below.

(1) When inconsistency occurs, the case where the importance of the target countermeasure item is the most important is regarded as one of the disaster events, and the same identification code as the disaster event shown in FIG. Is assigned in advance.

(2) For example, as shown in FIG. 18, a disaster prevention plan rule 1801 such as “implement a countermeasure item 888 when a disaster event 999 occurs” is described in a format similar to FIG. Planning rule storage unit 1
20.

(3) The schedule management unit 115 searches for inconsistencies in the scheduled execution units as described above when updating the schedule. When the inconsistency is detected, the importance of the corresponding countermeasure item is further checked, and when the importance is the most important, it is issued to the system itself as a disaster event of the disaster event 999.

(4) The decision support information creation unit 112
The disaster prevention plan rule 1602 of FIG. 18 is fired, and a display is performed according to the contents of the predetermined countermeasure item 888.

FIG. 19 shows an example of disaster prevention plan rule data in the countermeasure item 888. In this example, the disaster event 999
In order to urge the operator to issue an instruction on resetting the schedule in the disaster prevention plan rule data 1910 corresponding to
11, a detailed guidance 1912, and an execution link 1913 are provided.

In the present embodiment, in response to the disaster event 999, the disaster countermeasure item 1911 “Reset schedule” is displayed in the window 32 of FIG. 3 and when the operator selects this, the detailed guidance 1912 is displayed. FIG.
Is displayed in the window 33. In the detailed guidance 1912, the "schedule display module" and the "schedule edit module" are linked to the "display" character string and the "reset" character string, respectively, according to the description of the execution link 1913, and are displayed on the window 32 in FIG. Each module can be started according to the selection by the operator.

By activating the schedule display module, the operator confirms the schedule management data, activates the schedule editing module, and resets the schedule by using the function of deleting all schedules. it can.

In the present embodiment, the schedule is reset in consideration of the importance which is the target item of the inconsistency. However, when a predetermined number or more of inconsistencies is detected irrespective of the importance, the schedule is reset. May be configured to prompt resetting.

[0084]

According to the present invention, it is considered that it is the best to take next in the event of a disaster, based on the disaster information which is input and changed every moment, the input history information of the decision at the time of the disaster and their temporal relationship. It is possible to provide a disaster decision support device and its system capable of presenting countermeasure option information.

Further, according to the present invention, the person in charge of disaster prevention can memorize all disaster situations and response histories that change from moment to moment, and create a countermeasure plan while taking into account a temporally complicated sequence relationship. In addition, it is possible to provide a disaster decision support device and a system thereof that support the user to quickly and accurately make a decision on the next action.

[Brief description of the drawings]

FIG. 1 is a block diagram illustrating a configuration example of a disaster decision support device and a system according to an embodiment of the present invention.

FIG. 2 is a flowchart illustrating an example of a processing flow in the embodiment of FIG. 1;

FIG. 3 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of an output screen of the disaster decision support device.

FIG. 4 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of disaster information input data.

FIG. 5 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of decision history data.

FIG. 6 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of disaster prevention plan rule data.

FIG. 7 is a chart showing a specific example of a disaster event and an identification code.

FIG. 8 is a table showing specific examples of countermeasure items and identification codes.

FIG. 9 is a chart showing an example of a disaster prevention plan rule.

FIG. 10 is a chart showing a data expression example of a disaster prevention plan rule.

FIG. 11 is a chart showing a specific example of a time management rule including a temporal relationship.

FIG. 12 is a chart showing a specific example of time management rule data based on FIGS. 7, 8 and 11;

13 is a chart showing a specific example of schedule management data based on the time management rule data of FIG.

FIG. 14 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of disaster prevention plan rule data including a disaster prevention plan including priority order information.

FIG. 15A is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a time management rule in which inconsistency occurs depending on the situation. FIG. 15B is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a time management rule in which inconsistency occurs depending on the situation. FIG. 15C is an explanatory diagram showing an example of schedule management data corresponding to FIGS. 15A and 15B.

FIG. 16 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a disaster prevention plan rule for dealing with inconsistency.

FIG. 17 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of disaster prevention plan rule data for coping with inconsistency.

FIG. 18 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a disaster prevention plan rule for dealing with inconsistency.

FIG. 19 is an explanatory diagram showing another example of disaster prevention plan rule data for coping with inconsistency.

[Explanation of symbols]

110: Disaster decision support device, 111: Information input receiving unit, 112: Decision support information creating unit, 113 ...
Decision information execution unit, 114... Time information management unit, 115
Schedule management unit, 120: disaster prevention plan rule storage unit,
130 ... decision history storage unit, 140 ... input / output device, 1
Reference numeral 50 denotes a communication device, 160 denotes a disaster decision support device in another department, and 170 denotes a schedule storage unit.

(72) Inventor Hiroshi Masashima 7-1-1, Omika-cho, Hitachi City, Ibaraki Prefecture Inside Hitachi Research Laboratory, Hitachi, Ltd. (72) Kunizo Sakai 5-2-1 Omika-cho, Hitachi City, Ibaraki Prefecture (72) Inventor Hideo Ozawa 4-6 Kanda Surugadai, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo In-house Hitachi Systems Co., Ltd. 5B049 CC00 GG09 5C087 AA05 AA60 DD02 DD49 EE06 EE08 EE15 GG07

Claims (12)

[Claims] 1. An event that has occurred in connection with a disaster (occurrence event)
A disaster decision support device that creates decision support information for supporting decision making activities in a disaster according to the information input receiving unit that receives disaster information on the occurrence event, A time information indicating a time associated with the event to be generated, and a time information management unit that manages the generated time information; Based on the determined disaster prevention plan rules, history information of the determined decision-making activities, and the time information, based on the time information, a schedule management unit that creates schedule information for setting an execution time of an executable measure, and the disaster prevention plan rules, Based on the disaster information, the history information, and the schedule information, to indicate items of countermeasures that can be performed for an operator of the device. A decision support information creation unit that creates the decision support information of the above, and receives an instruction about a process to be performed next that is input by the operator in accordance with the decision support information presented to the operator. And a decision-making information executing unit for executing a process according to the instruction. 2. The disaster decision support device according to claim 1, wherein the occurrence event includes an occurrence event relating to the disaster and execution of a measure taken in response to the disaster. Disaster decision support equipment. 3. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 2, wherein the disaster prevention plan rule includes a relative relationship between the occurrence event, a time related to the occurrence event, and a time related to a plurality of occurrence events. A disaster decision-making support device characterized by including at least a time management rule that defines a next executable measure item and a scheduled execution time according to at least one of the items. 4. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 3, wherein the disaster management plan rule includes a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event in addition to the time management rule. The rule includes at least one of a countermeasure rule according to a countermeasure item and its execution time, and a countermeasure rule according to a time interval between a plurality of countermeasure items and their execution times. And the time information indicating the time related to the occurrence event indicated by the disaster information is measured and managed, and the schedule management unit measures the next executable measure and its execution schedule according to the time management rule. Based on the schedule information, the decision support information creating unit creates an item of a measure to be executed, Disaster decision support system which is characterized in that to create a decision support information to indicate at least the scheduled execution time of each eye. 5. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 3, wherein the disaster management plan rule includes a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event in addition to the time management rule. The rule includes at least one of a countermeasure rule corresponding to the occurrence event and the time of occurrence thereof, and a countermeasure rule corresponding to a time interval between a plurality of occurrence events and the time of occurrence thereof, wherein the schedule management unit includes: Based on the disaster prevention plan rules, create schedule information further including the scheduled time of occurrence of the event that is scheduled to occur, the decision support information creation unit, the event scheduled at the scheduled time based on the schedule information Of the event that has actually occurred and the event that the event scheduled at the scheduled time has not occurred A disaster decision support device that creates decision support information including at least one. 6. The disaster decision support device according to claim 5, further comprising a rule for defining a priority order of a measure as the disaster prevention plan rule, wherein the decision support information creating unit includes: If the event actually scheduled at the scheduled time occurs, or if the event scheduled at the scheduled time does not occur, the rule based on the priority order of the countermeasures is used. A decision support information in which a presentation form of a measure item to be displayed to an operator is changed in accordance with a priority order set for each measure set in a disaster. 7. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 5, wherein the decision-making support information creation unit is configured to execute a process when an event actually scheduled at a scheduled time based on the schedule information occurs, or If the event scheduled at the scheduled time does not occur, create information for performing a notification for confirming the occurrence of the event to a predetermined department that has been determined in advance, and the decision information execution unit Is characterized by executing one of a transmission process of automatically transmitting information for performing the confirmation notification, and a warning process of presenting a warning for prompting a notification to an operator. apparatus. 8. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 3, wherein the disaster management plan rule includes a countermeasure rule according to the content of the event in addition to the time management rule. The rule includes at least one of a countermeasure rule according to a countermeasure item and its execution time, and a countermeasure rule according to a time interval between a plurality of countermeasure items and their execution times. Creating schedule information for setting a scheduled time; the decision support information creating unit, when an inconsistency occurs between the schedule indicated by the schedule information and the actual situation, removes the inconsistency; The operator selects a rule to be applied from rules or creates decision support information for changing the rule, and the decision support information execution unit Accepts the selection or change command from the operator, disaster decision support system and executes a process corresponding to the instruction with respect to the rules. 9. The disaster decision-making support device according to claim 3, wherein the disaster prevention plan rules include, in addition to the time management rules, a countermeasure rule according to the content of the occurrence event and a predetermined criterion. Therefore, a rule for changing the countermeasure schedule is provided.The time management rule includes a countermeasure rule according to the countermeasure item and the execution time thereof, and a plurality of countermeasure items and a time interval between the execution times thereof. Including at least one of the corresponding countermeasure rules, wherein the schedule management unit creates schedule information for setting a scheduled execution time of the countermeasure, and the decision support information creating unit, according to a rule for changing the countermeasure schedule, Creating decision support information for prompting the operator to make a change including a reset of the schedule indicated by the schedule information; The decision support information execution unit receives a change command from an operator, and changes the schedule according to the command. 10. A system for supporting an activity necessary for decision making of a countermeasure by displaying a countermeasure item that can be performed in accordance with a predetermined disaster prevention plan rule for an event related to a disaster, The disaster decision support device according to any one of 1 to 9, and the disaster prevention plan rule, the history information, the time information, and the schedule information, which are used in the disaster decision support device, respectively, Disaster prevention plan rule storage,
A display for presenting an operator of the system with a decision history storage unit, a time information storage unit, and a schedule storage unit, and the decision support information indicating at least executable action items created by the decision support device; And a command input unit that receives an instruction from the operator regarding a process to be performed next, which is performed in response to the display of the decision support information, and includes a disaster decision support device. system. 11. A disaster decision support method for creating decision support information for supporting a decision making operation in a disaster in accordance with an event (occurrence event) occurring in relation to a disaster, wherein: Disaster information relating to the occurrence event is received, time information indicating the time related to the occurrence event indicated by the disaster information is created and managed, and the disaster information and a countermeasure rule prescribing a measure that can be performed for the occurrence event are set in advance. Based on the determined disaster prevention plan rule, the history information of the already determined decision-making activities, and the time information, create schedule information for setting the implementation time of the measure that can be performed, the disaster prevention plan rule, the disaster information, Based on the history information and the schedule information, the decision support information for presenting an actionable item to an operator of the device is provided. Creating, in response to the decision support information presented to the operator, receiving an instruction about a process to be performed next that is input by the operator, and executing a process according to the instruction. How to support decision making during a disaster. 12. A computer-readable storage medium having recorded thereon program data for realizing the disaster decision support method according to claim 11.