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CN121055320A - Method and system for improving self-healing capacity of expressway micro-grid in extreme weather - Google Patents

Method and system for improving self-healing capacity of expressway micro-grid in extreme weather

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CN121055320A
CN121055320A CN202511556113.4A CN202511556113A CN121055320A CN 121055320 A CN121055320 A CN 121055320A CN 202511556113 A CN202511556113 A CN 202511556113A CN 121055320 A CN121055320 A CN 121055320A
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CN121055320B (en
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李顺
彭士涛
齐兆宇
黄伟
范兴达
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Tianjin Research Institute for Water Transport Engineering MOT
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Abstract

本发明提出一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法及系统,涉及电力系统自动化技术领域。方法通过部署传感器采集实时运行数据,结合气象数据经融合处理生成一体化系统状态数据集;数字孪生引擎通过状态估计和动态仿真生成系统状态预测数据;随机多目标优化模型据此求解生成预防性调度指令,控制发电、储能及负荷单元调整运行点;通过残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,并利用序列决策模型生成自愈控制指令序列,控制开关设备隔离故障并恢复供电,实现了从预测、调度到自愈的闭环管理,提升了高速公路微电网在极端气候下的供电可靠性与快速恢复能力。

This invention proposes a method and system for enhancing the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions, relating to the field of power system automation technology. The method involves deploying sensors to collect real-time operational data, which is then fused with meteorological data to generate an integrated system state dataset. A digital twin engine generates system state prediction data through state estimation and dynamic simulation. A stochastic multi-objective optimization model solves this data to generate preventative scheduling commands, controlling the adjustment of operating points for generation, energy storage, and load units. Fault detection and identification are performed through residual analysis, and a sequence decision model is used to generate a sequence of self-healing control commands to control switching equipment to isolate faults and restore power supply. This achieves closed-loop management from prediction and scheduling to self-healing, improving the power supply reliability and rapid recovery capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions.

Description

一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法及系统A method and system for enhancing the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及电力系统自动化技术领域,尤其涉及一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法及系统。This invention relates to the field of power system automation technology, and in particular to a method and system for enhancing the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions.

背景技术Background Technology

随着极端气候事件的频率和强度持续加剧,高速公路微电网作为关键交通能源基础设施,面临着前所未有的运行风险。传统电网架构在应对极端天气时表现出明显的不足,例如,在热浪或暴风雪等复合气候的压力下,系统恢复时间过长、供电可靠性急剧下降,甚至引发大规模停电事故。现有技术中,尽管数字孪生等先进技术已在部分系统组件中取得进展,但往往局限于孤立应用,缺乏对高速公路微电网整体运行状态的实时同步与协同调控。具体而言,传统方法难以有效整合实时运行数据与气象预测信息,导致预防性调度和故障自愈能力不足,在极端事件发生时无法快速响应和恢复,造成严重的能源中断和经济损失。此外,现有系统在物理基础设施与虚拟模型之间的协同优化方面存在脱节,无法实现从预测、调度到自愈的闭环管理,制约了微电网韧性的全面提升。With the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, highway microgrids, as critical transportation energy infrastructure, face unprecedented operational risks. Traditional power grid architectures exhibit significant shortcomings in responding to extreme weather. For example, under the pressure of combined weather events such as heat waves or blizzards, system recovery times are excessively long, power supply reliability declines sharply, and large-scale power outages can even occur. While advanced technologies such as digital twins have made progress in some system components, they are often limited to isolated applications, lacking real-time synchronization and coordinated control of the overall operational status of highway microgrids. Specifically, traditional methods struggle to effectively integrate real-time operational data with meteorological forecasts, resulting in insufficient preventative scheduling and fault self-healing capabilities. This leads to an inability to respond and recover quickly during extreme events, causing severe energy outages and economic losses. Furthermore, existing systems suffer from a disconnect in the coordinated optimization between physical infrastructure and virtual models, failing to achieve closed-loop management from forecasting and scheduling to self-healing, thus hindering the comprehensive improvement of microgrid resilience.

因此,亟需一种能够实现全流程协同、动态适应极端天气的高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法。Therefore, there is an urgent need for a method to enhance the self-healing capability of highway microgrids that can achieve full-process collaboration and dynamically adapt to extreme weather.

发明内容Summary of the Invention

针对现有技术存在的上述问题,本发明第一方面提出一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法,包括:To address the aforementioned problems in existing technologies, the first aspect of this invention proposes a method for enhancing the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions, comprising:

S1.基于部署于高速公路微电网中的传感器所采集的实时运行数据,以及外部气象监测系统输入的天气预报数据,通过数据融合层进行时间对齐、冗余剔除与一致性校验处理,生成包含系统电气状态、设备运行状态及环境状态的一体化系统状态数据集;S1. Based on real-time operational data collected by sensors deployed in highway microgrids and weather forecast data input from external meteorological monitoring systems, the data fusion layer performs time alignment, redundancy removal, and consistency verification to generate an integrated system status dataset containing system electrical status, equipment operating status, and environmental status.

S2.基于一体化系统状态数据集,通过数字孪生引擎中的状态估计算法对系统不可测状态进行估计,并结合内置的物理模型与输入的气候预测数据进行动态仿真推演,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据;S2. Based on the integrated system state dataset, the unmeasurable state of the system is estimated by the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine, and dynamic simulation is performed by combining the built-in physical model and the input climate prediction data to generate system state prediction data including power balance, node voltage and frequency stability for a future preset period.

S3.基于系统状态预测数据,通过随机多目标优化模型进行求解,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令,预防性调度指令包含发电单元、储能单元及可控负荷单元的功率设定值;S3. Based on the system state prediction data, a stochastic multi-objective optimization model is used to solve the problem and generate preventive dispatch instructions for pre-adjusting the system operating point. The preventive dispatch instructions include the power setpoints of the power generation unit, energy storage unit and controllable load unit.

S4.将预防性调度指令下发至高速公路微电网的物理执行单元,控制物理执行单元调整有功与无功功率输出,并基于部署于物理执行单元附近的传感器采集预防性调度指令执行后的系统状态反馈数据;S4. Send preventive dispatch instructions to the physical execution unit of the highway microgrid, control the physical execution unit to adjust the active and reactive power output, and collect system status feedback data after the execution of preventive dispatch instructions based on sensors deployed near the physical execution unit;

S5.基于系统状态反馈数据,通过数字孪生引擎的预估数据与实时运行数据的残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,当确认故障发生后,通过序列决策模型进行计算,生成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列;S5. Based on system status feedback data, fault detection and identification are performed through residual analysis of the predicted data and real-time operating data by the digital twin engine. When a fault is confirmed, a sequence decision model is used to calculate and generate a self-healing control command sequence for isolating the fault and restoring power supply.

S6.将自愈控制指令序列下发至高速公路微电网中的断路器、接触器及功率变换器执行,以隔离故障区域和恢复非故障区域的供电。S6. The self-healing control command sequence is sent to the circuit breakers, contactors and power converters in the highway microgrid for execution, in order to isolate the faulty area and restore power supply to the non-faulty area.

与现有技术相比较,本发明的有益效果在于:Compared with the prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows:

首先,在S1中,基于部署于高速公路微电网中的传感器所采集的实时运行数据以及外部气象监测系统输入的天气预报数据,通过数据融合层进行时间对齐、冗余剔除与一致性校验处理,生成一体化系统状态数据集,确保了数据源的准确性和一致性,为后续分析奠定可靠基础。接着,在S2中,基于一体化系统状态数据集,通过数字孪生引擎中的状态估计算法对系统不可测状态进行估计,并结合内置的物理模型与输入的气候预测数据进行动态仿真推演,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据,实现了对极端天气影响的超前感知和系统行为预测。在S3中,基于系统状态预测数据,通过随机多目标优化模型进行求解,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令,该指令包含发电单元、储能单元及可控负荷单元的功率设定值,从而在气候事件发生前优化资源配置,降低运行风险。First, in S1, based on real-time operational data collected by sensors deployed in the highway microgrid and weather forecast data input from an external meteorological monitoring system, a data fusion layer performs time alignment, redundancy removal, and consistency verification to generate an integrated system state dataset. This ensures the accuracy and consistency of the data source, laying a reliable foundation for subsequent analysis. Next, in S2, based on the integrated system state dataset, the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine estimates the unmeasurable state of the system. Combined with the built-in physical model and input climate prediction data, dynamic simulation is performed to generate system state prediction data for a future preset time period, including power balance, node voltage, and frequency stability. This achieves advanced perception of the impact of extreme weather and prediction of system behavior. In S3, based on the system state prediction data, a stochastic multi-objective optimization model is used to generate preventative scheduling instructions for pre-adjusting system operating points. These instructions include power setpoints for generation units, energy storage units, and controllable load units, thereby optimizing resource allocation and reducing operational risks before climate events occur.

然后,在S4中,将预防性调度指令下发至高速公路微电网的物理执行单元,控制物理执行单元调整有功与无功功率输出,并基于部署于物理执行单元附近的传感器采集预防性调度指令执行后的系统状态反馈数据,形成闭环控制,确保调度指令的准确执行和实时反馈。在S5中,基于系统状态反馈数据,通过数字孪生引擎的预估数据与实时运行数据的残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,当确认故障发生后,通过序列决策模型进行计算,生成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列,实现快速精准的故障响应。最后,在S6中,将自愈控制指令序列下发至高速公路微电网中的断路器、接触器及功率变换器执行,以隔离故障区域和恢复非故障区域的供电,显著缩短停电时间。Then, in S4, preventative dispatch commands are issued to the physical execution units of the highway microgrid. These units adjust active and reactive power output and collect system status feedback data after the execution of the preventative dispatch commands based on sensors deployed near the physical execution units, forming a closed-loop control system to ensure accurate execution and real-time feedback of the dispatch commands. In S5, based on the system status feedback data, fault detection and identification are performed through residual analysis of the predicted data from the digital twin engine and the real-time operating data. Once a fault is confirmed, a sequence decision model is used to calculate and generate a self-healing control command sequence for fault isolation and power restoration, achieving rapid and accurate fault response. Finally, in S6, the self-healing control command sequence is issued to the circuit breakers, contactors, and power converters in the highway microgrid for execution, isolating the faulty area and restoring power to the non-faulty area, significantly shortening the power outage time.

整个流程通过数据融合、预测优化、指令执行和反馈控制的协同作用,实现了从预防到自愈的全链条韧性提升,有效减少了故障恢复时间,降低了运营成本,并维持系统韧性指数较高,解决了传统方法响应慢、协同差和恢复能力不足的问题。The entire process, through the synergistic effect of data fusion, predictive optimization, instruction execution, and feedback control, achieves a full-chain resilience improvement from prevention to self-healing, effectively reducing fault recovery time, lowering operating costs, and maintaining a high system resilience index, thus solving the problems of slow response, poor coordination, and insufficient recovery capability of traditional methods.

附图说明Attached Figure Description

为了更清楚地说明本发明具体实施方式或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对具体实施方式或现有技术描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图是本发明的一些实施方式,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其它的附图。To more clearly illustrate the specific embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings used in the description of the specific embodiments or the prior art will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are some embodiments of the present invention. For those skilled in the art, other drawings can be obtained from these drawings without creative effort.

图1所示为本发明一实施例提供的一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法的流程示意图。Figure 1 is a flowchart illustrating a method for enhancing the self-healing capability of a highway microgrid under extreme weather conditions, according to an embodiment of the present invention.

图2所示为本发明一实施例提供的一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升系统的结构示意图。Figure 2 shows a schematic diagram of a self-healing capability enhancement system for highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions, provided by an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed Implementation

为使本发明的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将对本发明的技术方案进行清楚、完整的描述。显然,所描述的实施例仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动的前提下所得到的所有其它实施例,都属于本发明所保护的范围。To make the objectives, technical solutions, and advantages of this invention clearer, the technical solutions of this invention will be clearly and completely described below. Obviously, the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of this invention, and not all of them. Based on the embodiments of this invention, all other embodiments obtained by those skilled in the art without creative effort are within the scope of protection of this invention.

下面对本发明的具体实施方式做出说明。The specific embodiments of the present invention will be described below.

实施例1Example 1

如图1所示,本发明提出了一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升方法,包括:As shown in Figure 1, this invention proposes a method for improving the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions, including:

S1.基于部署于高速公路微电网中的传感器所采集的实时运行数据,以及外部气象监测系统输入的天气预报数据,通过数据融合层进行时间对齐、冗余剔除与一致性校验处理,生成包含系统电气状态、设备运行状态及环境状态的一体化系统状态数据集;S1. Based on real-time operational data collected by sensors deployed in highway microgrids and weather forecast data input from external meteorological monitoring systems, the data fusion layer performs time alignment, redundancy removal, and consistency verification to generate an integrated system status dataset containing system electrical status, equipment operating status, and environmental status.

S2.基于一体化系统状态数据集,通过数字孪生引擎中的状态估计算法对系统不可测状态进行估计,并结合内置的物理模型与输入的气候预测数据进行动态仿真推演,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据;S2. Based on the integrated system state dataset, the unmeasurable state of the system is estimated by the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine, and dynamic simulation is performed by combining the built-in physical model and the input climate prediction data to generate system state prediction data including power balance, node voltage and frequency stability for a future preset period.

S3.基于系统状态预测数据,通过随机多目标优化模型进行求解,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令,预防性调度指令包含发电单元、储能单元及可控负荷单元的功率设定值;S3. Based on the system state prediction data, a stochastic multi-objective optimization model is used to solve the problem and generate preventive dispatch instructions for pre-adjusting the system operating point. The preventive dispatch instructions include the power setpoints of the power generation unit, energy storage unit and controllable load unit.

S4.将预防性调度指令下发至高速公路微电网的物理执行单元,控制物理执行单元调整有功与无功功率输出,并基于部署于物理执行单元附近的传感器采集预防性调度指令执行后的系统状态反馈数据;S4. Send preventive dispatch instructions to the physical execution unit of the highway microgrid, control the physical execution unit to adjust the active and reactive power output, and collect system status feedback data after the execution of preventive dispatch instructions based on sensors deployed near the physical execution unit;

S5.基于系统状态反馈数据,通过数字孪生引擎的预估数据与实时运行数据的残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,当确认故障发生后,通过序列决策模型进行计算,生成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列;S5. Based on system status feedback data, fault detection and identification are performed through residual analysis of the predicted data and real-time operating data by the digital twin engine. When a fault is confirmed, a sequence decision model is used to calculate and generate a self-healing control command sequence for isolating the fault and restoring power supply.

S6.将自愈控制指令序列下发至高速公路微电网中的断路器、接触器及功率变换器执行,以隔离故障区域和恢复非故障区域的供电。S6. The self-healing control command sequence is sent to the circuit breakers, contactors and power converters in the highway microgrid for execution, in order to isolate the faulty area and restore power supply to the non-faulty area.

在具体实施中,通过六个关键步骤的紧密衔接,实现了高速公路微电网在极端气候事件下的全流程韧性提升。首先,在步骤S1中,部署于高速公路微电网中的传感器持续采集实时运行数据,包括电压、电流、功率等电气参数,同时外部气象监测系统输入天气预报数据,如风速、辐照度、气温等;数据融合层对这些多源异构数据进行时间对齐处理,确保不同来源的信息在时间轴上同步,随后进行冗余剔除以消除重复或矛盾数据,并通过一致性校验识别并修正异常值,最终生成一体化系统状态数据集,该数据集整合了系统电气状态、设备运行状态及环境状态,为后续分析提供统一、可靠的数据基础。这一步骤的技术效果在于解决了传统方法中数据来源分散、格式不一致导致的决策延迟问题,通过数据融合层的处理,显著提高了数据的准确性和可用性,从而为数字孪生引擎的预测和优化奠定坚实根基;时间对齐避免了时序错乱引发的仿真误差,冗余剔除减少了计算负担,一致性校验则通过规则库或机器学习模型识别数据矛盾,确保后续状态估计的可靠性,最终形成的高质量数据集直接支撑了系统行为的精确建模。In its implementation, the highway microgrid achieved enhanced resilience across the entire process under extreme weather events through the close integration of six key steps. First, in step S1, sensors deployed within the highway microgrid continuously collect real-time operational data, including electrical parameters such as voltage, current, and power. Simultaneously, an external meteorological monitoring system inputs weather forecast data, such as wind speed, irradiance, and temperature. The data fusion layer performs time alignment processing on this multi-source heterogeneous data to ensure that information from different sources is synchronized on the timeline. Redundancy is then eliminated to remove duplicate or contradictory data, and outliers are identified and corrected through consistency checks. Finally, an integrated system status dataset is generated. This dataset integrates the system's electrical status, equipment operating status, and environmental status, providing a unified and reliable data foundation for subsequent analysis. The technical effect of this step is to solve the decision delay problem caused by the scattered data sources and inconsistent formats in traditional methods. Through the processing of the data fusion layer, the accuracy and availability of the data are significantly improved, thus laying a solid foundation for the prediction and optimization of the digital twin engine. Time alignment avoids simulation errors caused by time sequence disorder, redundancy elimination reduces the computational burden, and consistency verification identifies data contradictions through rule bases or machine learning models to ensure the reliability of subsequent state estimation. The resulting high-quality dataset directly supports the accurate modeling of system behavior.

在步骤S2中,基于一体化系统状态数据集,数字孪生引擎中的状态估计算法对系统不可测状态进行估计,例如通过滤波技术推断节点电压相角或设备健康状态;同时,引擎结合内置的物理模型,如电网拓扑和能量守恒方程,以及输入的气候预测数据,进行动态仿真推演,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据。这一步骤的技术效果在于实现了对极端天气影响的超前感知和系统行为的多维度预测,避免了传统响应式控制的滞后性;状态估计算法利用历史数据和实时测量补偿不可直接观测的变量,而动态仿真则通过物理模型模拟气候扰动下的系统演化,从而提前识别潜在风险点,如电压越限或频率波动,为预防性调度提供前瞻性输入。步骤S3基于系统状态预测数据,通过随机多目标优化模型进行求解,该模型综合考虑运行成本、风险暴露和未满足能量等因素,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令,指令具体包含发电单元、储能单元及可控负荷单元的功率设定值;技术效果在于优化了资源配置,在极端事件发生前平衡经济性与可靠性,降低系统脆弱性;随机优化通过场景分析处理气候不确定性,多目标函数则通过权重调整实现最优,从而生成兼顾安全与效率的调度策略。In step S2, based on the integrated system state dataset, the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine estimates the unmeasurable states of the system, such as inferring node voltage phase angles or equipment health status through filtering techniques. Simultaneously, the engine combines built-in physical models, such as grid topology and energy conservation equations, with input climate prediction data to perform dynamic simulation and generate system state prediction data for a preset future time period, including power balance, node voltage, and frequency stability. The technical advantage of this step lies in achieving advanced perception of the impact of extreme weather and multi-dimensional prediction of system behavior, avoiding the lag of traditional responsive control. The state estimation algorithm uses historical data and real-time measurements to compensate for variables that cannot be directly observed, while the dynamic simulation simulates system evolution under climate disturbances through physical models, thereby identifying potential risk points in advance, such as voltage exceedances or frequency fluctuations, providing forward-looking input for preventative scheduling. Step S3, based on system state prediction data, is solved using a stochastic multi-objective optimization model. This model comprehensively considers factors such as operating costs, risk exposure, and unmet energy needs to generate preventative scheduling instructions for pre-adjusting system operating points. The instructions specifically include power setpoints for power generation units, energy storage units, and controllable load units. The technical effect is to optimize resource allocation, balance economy and reliability before extreme events occur, and reduce system vulnerability. Stochastic optimization handles climate uncertainty through scenario analysis, and the multi-objective function achieves optimality through weight adjustment, thereby generating a scheduling strategy that balances safety and efficiency.

步骤S4将预防性调度指令下发至高速公路微电网的物理执行单元,控制其调整有功与无功功率输出,例如通过逆变器或控制器调节发电和负荷;同时,基于部署于物理执行单元附近的传感器采集指令执行后的系统状态反馈数据,形成闭环控制回路。技术效果在于确保了调度指令的准确执行和实时监控,防止指令偏差累积成系统故障;物理执行单元的响应通过传感器反馈验证,任何偏差可及时纠正,从而维持系统稳定。步骤S5基于系统状态反馈数据,通过数字孪生引擎的预估数据与实时运行数据的残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,即比较预期值与实际值的差异;当确认故障发生后,通过序列决策模型进行计算,生成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列。技术效果在于实现了快速、精准的故障诊断和恢复策略生成,大幅缩短停电时间;残差分析通过阈值比较识别异常,序列决策模型则基于系统状态和资源约束优化恢复路径,确保关键负荷优先供电。最后,步骤S6将自愈控制指令序列下发至高速公路微电网中的断路器、接触器及功率变换器执行,以隔离故障区域和恢复非故障区域的供电,完成从预防到自愈的闭环管理。技术效果在于通过自动化执行减少了人为干预延迟,提升了系统整体可用性和韧性;指令序列的精确下发确保了故障隔离和负荷恢复的协同,避免故障扩散,同时通过电力电子设备的快速响应实现无缝切换。Step S4 issues preventative dispatch commands to the physical execution units of the highway microgrid, controlling them to adjust active and reactive power output, for example, by regulating generation and load through inverters or controllers. Simultaneously, based on system status feedback data collected by sensors deployed near the physical execution units after command execution, a closed-loop control loop is formed. The technical effect is to ensure accurate execution and real-time monitoring of dispatch commands, preventing command deviations from accumulating into system faults; the response of the physical execution units is verified through sensor feedback, and any deviations can be corrected promptly, thus maintaining system stability. Step S5, based on the system status feedback data, performs fault detection and identification through residual analysis of the predicted data from the digital twin engine and the real-time operating data, i.e., comparing the difference between expected and actual values; when a fault is confirmed, a sequence decision model is used to calculate and generate a self-healing control command sequence for fault isolation and power restoration. The technical effect is to achieve rapid and accurate fault diagnosis and recovery strategy generation, significantly shortening outage time; residual analysis identifies anomalies through threshold comparison, while the sequence decision model optimizes the recovery path based on system status and resource constraints, ensuring priority power supply to critical loads. Finally, step S6 sends the self-healing control command sequence to the circuit breakers, contactors, and power converters in the highway microgrid for execution, isolating faulty areas and restoring power to non-faulty areas, completing closed-loop management from prevention to self-healing. The technical benefits lie in reducing human intervention delays through automated execution, improving the overall system availability and resilience; the precise issuance of the command sequence ensures coordinated fault isolation and load restoration, preventing fault propagation, while seamless switching is achieved through the rapid response of power electronic equipment.

整体而言,通过数据融合、预测仿真、优化调度、指令执行和反馈控制的协同作用,实现了高速公路微电网在极端气候下的全流程韧性增强。该方法显著提升了系统对气候扰动的适应能力,通过预防性调度降低了运行风险,并借助自愈控制快速恢复供电,从而解决了传统方法响应慢、协同差的问题。最终,该实施方式确保了系统在极端事件中维持高可靠性,同时优化了经济性,为关键基础设施提供了可持续的运营范式。Overall, by leveraging the synergistic effects of data fusion, predictive simulation, optimized scheduling, command execution, and feedback control, the resilience of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions was enhanced across the entire process. This method significantly improves the system's adaptability to climate disturbances, reduces operational risks through preventative scheduling, and rapidly restores power supply via self-healing control, thus addressing the slow response and poor coordination issues of traditional methods. Ultimately, this implementation ensures high system reliability during extreme events while optimizing economics, providing a sustainable operating paradigm for critical infrastructure.

在一些实现方式中,S2包括:In some implementations, S2 includes:

S21.基于一体化系统状态数据集中的节点电压、支路功率及发电机出力数据,通过一组描述电网拓扑与能量守恒定律的耦合微分-代数方程进行数值求解,生成系统物理状态的连续动态估计数据;S21. Based on the node voltage, branch power and generator output data in the integrated system state dataset, a set of coupled differential-algebraic equations describing the power grid topology and the law of energy conservation are numerically solved to generate continuous dynamic estimation data of the system physical state.

S22.基于系统物理状态的连续动态估计数据与一体化系统状态数据集中传感器直接测量值,通过带有自适应协方差矩阵的卡尔曼滤波算法进行数据融合与误差校正,生成包含所有节点的电压幅值与相角的系统状态向量;S22. Based on the continuous dynamic estimation data of the system physical state and the direct sensor measurement values of the integrated system state data, the data is fused and error corrected by the Kalman filter algorithm with adaptive covariance matrix to generate a system state vector containing the voltage amplitude and phase angle of all nodes.

S23.基于系统状态向量,并融入一体化系统状态数据集中的未来风速、辐照度及气温预测数据作为外部扰动输入,通过数字孪生引擎中的线性化系统模型进行前向滚动时域仿真,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据。S23. Based on the system state vector, and incorporating the future wind speed, irradiance and temperature prediction data from the integrated system state dataset as external disturbance input, forward rolling time-domain simulation is performed through the linearized system model in the digital twin engine to generate system state prediction data including power balance, node voltage and frequency stability within a preset future time period.

在步骤S21中,基于一体化系统状态数据集中的节点电压、支路功率及发电机出力数据,通过一组描述电网拓扑与能量守恒定律的耦合微分-代数方程进行数值求解,生成系统物理状态的连续动态估计数据;具体地,耦合微分-代数方程模拟了电网中能量流动和设备动态,例如通过牛顿-拉夫逊法迭代求解潮流方程,从而得到电压、功率等参数的连续变化轨迹。技术效果在于提供了高精度的物理状态估计,为后续预测奠定基础;微分方程捕捉系统动态行为,代数方程约束拓扑关系,通过数值求解避免了简化模型带来的误差,确保估计数据真实反映系统运行状况。步骤S22基于系统物理状态的连续动态估计数据与一体化系统状态数据集中传感器直接测量值,通过带有自适应协方差矩阵的卡尔曼滤波算法进行数据融合与误差校正;自适应协方差矩阵根据实时数据噪声特性动态调整,例如通过创新序列或协方差匹配技术,从而生成包含所有节点的电压幅值与相角的系统状态向量。技术效果在于提高了状态估计的鲁棒性和准确性,尤其在数据噪声大或系统突变时;卡尔曼滤波通过预测-校正机制融合估计和测量,自适应协方差则优化了滤波增益,减少估计偏差,最终形成一致且可靠的状态向量。In step S21, based on the node voltage, branch power, and generator output data in the integrated system state dataset, a set of coupled differential-algebraic equations describing the power grid topology and the law of energy conservation are numerically solved to generate continuous dynamic estimation data of the system's physical state. Specifically, the coupled differential-algebraic equations simulate energy flow and equipment dynamics in the power grid. For example, the power flow equations are solved iteratively using the Newton-Raphson method to obtain the continuous variation trajectory of parameters such as voltage and power. The technical effect is to provide high-precision physical state estimation, laying the foundation for subsequent predictions. Differential equations capture the dynamic behavior of the system, while algebraic equations constrain topological relationships. Numerical solutions avoid errors caused by simplified models, ensuring that the estimated data truly reflects the system's operating status. In step S22, based on the continuous dynamic estimation data of the system's physical state and the direct sensor measurements in the integrated system state dataset, data fusion and error correction are performed using a Kalman filter algorithm with an adaptive covariance matrix. The adaptive covariance matrix is dynamically adjusted according to the noise characteristics of real-time data, for example, through innovative sequence or covariance matching techniques, thereby generating a system state vector containing the voltage amplitude and phase angle of all nodes. The technical benefits lie in improving the robustness and accuracy of state estimation, especially when the data is noisy or the system undergoes sudden changes. Kalman filtering fuses estimation and measurement through a prediction-correction mechanism, while adaptive covariance optimizes the filter gain, reduces estimation bias, and ultimately forms a consistent and reliable state vector.

步骤S23基于系统状态向量,并融入一体化系统状态数据集中的未来风速、辐照度及气温预测数据作为外部扰动输入,通过数字孪生引擎中的线性化系统模型进行前向滚动时域仿真,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据;线性化模型例如通过小信号分析或状态空间表示,在每个时步更新系统响应,模拟气候扰动下的演化。技术效果在于实现了对极端天气事件的动态预测,提前识别系统薄弱点;外部扰动输入模拟了气候影响,滚动仿真则通过时域推进捕获系统瞬态行为,从而预测未来状态如功率缺额或电压跌落,为优化调度提供可靠输入。Step S23, based on the system state vector and incorporating future wind speed, irradiance, and temperature prediction data from the integrated system state dataset as external disturbance input, performs forward rolling time-domain simulation using a linearized system model in the digital twin engine. This generates system state prediction data for a preset future time period, including power balance, node voltage, and frequency stability. The linearized model, for example through small-signal analysis or state-space representation, updates the system response at each time step, simulating the evolution under climate disturbances. The technical effect is to achieve dynamic prediction of extreme weather events and identify system vulnerabilities in advance. The external disturbance input simulates the impact of climate, while the rolling simulation captures transient system behavior through time-domain progression, thereby predicting future states such as power deficits or voltage drops, providing reliable input for optimized scheduling.

整体上,通过耦合方程求解、自适应滤波和滚动仿真的协同,提升了状态估计和预测的完整性与可靠性。该方法确保了数字孪生引擎在复杂气候条件下的精确建模,通过物理约束和数据融合减少了预测不确定性。最终,该实施方式增强了系统对气候扰动的预见性,为预防性调度和自愈控制提供了坚实的技术支撑。Overall, the completeness and reliability of state estimation and prediction are improved through the synergy of coupled equation solving, adaptive filtering, and rolling simulation. This method ensures accurate modeling of the digital twin engine under complex climatic conditions and reduces prediction uncertainty through physical constraints and data fusion. Ultimately, this implementation enhances the system's predictability of climate disturbances, providing solid technical support for preventative scheduling and self-healing control.

在一些实现方式中,S3包括:In some implementations, S3 includes:

S31.基于系统状态预测数据中的极端天气发生概率与强度数据,通过场景生成与削减技术构建典型气候扰动场景集,并对每个场景计算其导致的系统性能损失期望值,生成量化的气候扰动风险值;S31. Based on the probability and intensity data of extreme weather occurrence in the system state prediction data, a set of typical climate disturbance scenarios is constructed through scenario generation and reduction technology, and the expected value of system performance loss caused by each scenario is calculated to generate a quantitative climate disturbance risk value.

S32.基于气候扰动风险值、发电燃料成本与设备运维成本模型、以及因供电中断引起的惩罚成本模型,构建随机多目标优化模型的加权求和目标函数,其中权重系数随气候预警等级动态调整;S32. Based on the climate disturbance risk value, power generation fuel cost and equipment operation and maintenance cost model, and the penalty cost model caused by power outage, construct a weighted summation objective function for a stochastic multi-objective optimization model, wherein the weight coefficients are dynamically adjusted according to the climate warning level;

S33.在满足系统潮流方程、发电机出力上下限、储能充放电速率及线路传输容量约束的条件下,采用随机规划算法求解加权求和目标函数,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令。S33. Under the conditions of satisfying the system power flow equation, generator output upper and lower limits, energy storage charging and discharging rate and line transmission capacity constraints, a stochastic programming algorithm is used to solve the weighted summation objective function to generate preventive scheduling instructions for pre-adjusting the system operating point.

在步骤S31中,基于系统状态预测数据中的极端天气发生概率与强度数据,通过场景生成与削减技术构建典型气候扰动场景集,并对每个场景计算其导致的系统性能损失期望值,生成量化的气候扰动风险值;场景生成例如通过蒙特卡洛抽样从概率分布中提取天气参数,削减技术则通过聚类或重要性采样减少场景数量,保留代表性案例,从而计算每个场景下的失负荷概率或设备损坏期望。技术效果在于将气候不确定性转化为可量化的风险指标,为优化提供依据;场景集覆盖了多种可能的气候事件,通过期望值计算综合评估系统脆弱性,从而避免单一场景的局限性,确保风险值的全面性。步骤S32基于气候扰动风险值、发电燃料成本与设备运维成本模型、以及因供电中断引起的惩罚成本模型,构建随机多目标优化模型的加权求和目标函数,其中权重系数随气候预警等级动态调整;例如,在高预警等级时,风险权重增加以优先安全,成本权重则相应降低。技术效果在于实现了多目标间的动态平衡,适应不同气候条件下的运营需求;加权求和将多目标转化为单目标优化,动态权重则通过规则或反馈机制调整,确保模型在极端事件中侧重风险最小化,而在常态下优化经济性。In step S31, based on the probability and intensity data of extreme weather occurrence in the system state prediction data, a set of typical climate disturbance scenarios is constructed using scenario generation and reduction techniques. The expected value of system performance loss caused by each scenario is calculated, generating a quantified climate disturbance risk value. Scenario generation, for example, extracts weather parameters from the probability distribution through Monte Carlo sampling. Reduction techniques reduce the number of scenarios through clustering or importance sampling, retaining representative cases, thereby calculating the probability of load loss or expected equipment damage under each scenario. The technical effect is to transform climate uncertainty into quantifiable risk indicators, providing a basis for optimization. The scenario set covers a variety of possible climate events, and the system vulnerability is comprehensively assessed through expected value calculation, thus avoiding the limitations of a single scenario and ensuring the comprehensiveness of the risk value. Step S32, based on the climate disturbance risk value, the power generation fuel cost and equipment operation and maintenance cost model, and the penalty cost model caused by power outage, constructs a weighted summation objective function for a stochastic multi-objective optimization model. The weight coefficients are dynamically adjusted according to the climate warning level; for example, at a high warning level, the risk weight increases to prioritize safety, while the cost weight decreases accordingly. The technical effect lies in achieving a dynamic balance among multiple objectives, adapting to operational needs under different climatic conditions; weighted summation transforms multiple objectives into single-objective optimization, while dynamic weights are adjusted through rules or feedback mechanisms to ensure that the model focuses on minimizing risk in extreme events, while optimizing economic efficiency under normal conditions.

步骤S33在满足系统潮流方程、发电机出力上下限、储能充放电速率及线路传输容量约束的条件下,采用随机规划算法求解加权求和目标函数,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令;随机规划例如通过样本平均近似或Benders分解处理场景不确定性,在约束下寻找最优发电、储能和负荷设定值。技术效果在于生成了鲁棒且经济的调度策略,提升了系统应对气候扰动的韧性;约束条件确保了调度指令的可行性,随机优化则通过场景分析规避高风险决策,从而生成既能预防气候影响又兼顾成本的指令。Step S33, under the constraints of system power flow equations, generator output limits, energy storage charging and discharging rates, and line transmission capacity, employs a stochastic programming algorithm to solve the weighted summation objective function, generating preventative scheduling instructions for pre-adjusting system operating points. Stochastic programming, for example, uses sample averaging or Benders decomposition to handle scenario uncertainties, seeking optimal generation, energy storage, and load setpoints under constraints. The technical effect is the generation of robust and economical scheduling strategies, enhancing the system's resilience to climate disturbances. The constraints ensure the feasibility of the scheduling instructions, while stochastic optimization avoids high-risk decisions through scenario analysis, thus generating instructions that both prevent climate impacts and consider cost.

整体上,通过场景化风险量化、动态多目标优化和随机求解的集成,实现了气候自适应调度。该方法显著降低了极端事件中的运行风险和经济损失,通过前瞻性优化避免了系统过载或供电中断。最终,该实施方式确保了高速公路微电网在多变气候下的稳定运营,为韧性提升提供了核心优化机制。Overall, climate-adaptive scheduling was achieved through the integration of scenario-based risk quantification, dynamic multi-objective optimization, and stochastic solution. This method significantly reduces operational risks and economic losses during extreme events, and avoids system overload or power outages through proactive optimization. Ultimately, this implementation ensures the stable operation of highway microgrids under variable climate conditions, providing a core optimization mechanism for enhancing resilience.

在一些实现方式中,S31包括:In some implementations, S31 includes:

S311.基于长期历史气象数据与短期数值天气预报数据,通过核密度估计方法,生成极端天气关键参数的联合概率分布函数;S311. Based on long-term historical meteorological data and short-term numerical weather forecast data, a joint probability distribution function of key parameters of extreme weather is generated using the kernel density estimation method;

S312.基于系统状态预测数据中的网络结构与负载水平,通过预先建立的系统脆弱性曲线模型,计算在不同强度气候扰动下系统的预期失负荷概率与容量;S312. Based on the network structure and load level in the system state prediction data, calculate the expected load loss probability and capacity of the system under different intensities of climate disturbances through a pre-established system vulnerability curve model;

S313.基于极端天气关键参数的联合概率分布函数与系统预期失负荷概率与容量,通过蒙特卡洛模拟进行风险期望值计算,生成量化的气候扰动风险值。S313. Based on the joint probability distribution function of key parameters of extreme weather and the expected probability and capacity of system load loss, the expected risk value is calculated through Monte Carlo simulation to generate a quantitative climate disturbance risk value.

在步骤S311中,基于长期历史气象数据与短期数值天气预报数据,通过核密度估计方法,生成极端天气关键参数的联合概率分布函数;核密度估计作为一种非参数统计方法,利用核函数平滑历史数据点,从而拟合出风速、气温等参数的联合分布,避免了对分布形式的先验假设。技术效果在于提供了更准确的气候不确定性表征,减少了模型偏差;长期数据捕捉气候趋势,短期预报更新即时信息,核密度估计则通过平滑处理适应数据稀疏性,最终生成能反映极端事件统计特性的概率分布。步骤S312基于系统状态预测数据中的网络结构与负载水平,通过预先建立的系统脆弱性曲线模型,计算在不同强度气候扰动下系统的预期失负荷概率与容量;脆弱性曲线例如通过历史故障数据或仿真校准,将气候参数映射为系统性能损失,如高温导致光伏效率下降或强风引发线路故障。技术效果在于量化了系统对气候扰动的敏感度,为风险分析提供具体输入;网络结构和负载水平定义了系统运行点,脆弱性曲线则通过函数关系评估扰动影响,从而计算出预期失负荷指标,识别高风险区域。In step S311, based on long-term historical meteorological data and short-term numerical weather forecast data, a joint probability distribution function of key parameters for extreme weather is generated using the kernel density estimation method. Kernel density estimation, as a non-parametric statistical method, uses kernel functions to smooth historical data points, thereby fitting the joint distribution of parameters such as wind speed and temperature, avoiding prior assumptions about the distribution form. The technical effect is to provide a more accurate characterization of climate uncertainty and reduce model bias; long-term data captures climate trends, short-term forecasts update real-time information, and kernel density estimation adapts to data sparsity through smoothing, ultimately generating a probability distribution that reflects the statistical characteristics of extreme events. In step S312, based on the network structure and load level in the system state prediction data, the expected load loss probability and capacity of the system under different intensities of climate disturbance are calculated using a pre-established system vulnerability curve model. Vulnerability curves, for example, map climate parameters to system performance losses through historical fault data or simulation calibration, such as high temperatures causing a decrease in photovoltaic efficiency or strong winds causing line faults. The technical effect lies in quantifying the system's sensitivity to climate disturbances, providing specific input for risk analysis; network structure and load level define the system's operating point, while vulnerability curves assess the impact of disturbances through functional relationships, thereby calculating the expected load loss index and identifying high-risk areas.

步骤S313基于极端天气关键参数的联合概率分布函数与系统预期失负荷概率与容量,通过蒙特卡洛模拟进行风险期望值计算,生成量化的气候扰动风险值;蒙特卡洛模拟通过随机抽样从联合分布中生成大量场景,对每个场景应用脆弱性曲线计算损失,最后取平均得到风险期望。技术效果在于实现了全面且稳健的风险评估,覆盖了气候不确定性的全范围;蒙特卡洛方法通过大量重复模拟减少抽样误差,结合概率分布和脆弱性模型,最终输出综合风险值,为优化调度提供可靠输入。Step S313 calculates the expected risk value using Monte Carlo simulation based on the joint probability distribution function of key extreme weather parameters and the system's expected load loss probability and capacity, generating a quantified climate disturbance risk value. The Monte Carlo simulation generates numerous scenarios from the joint distribution through random sampling, applies vulnerability curves to each scenario to calculate losses, and finally averages the results to obtain the expected risk. The technical advantage lies in achieving a comprehensive and robust risk assessment, covering the full range of climate uncertainties. The Monte Carlo method reduces sampling errors through numerous repeated simulations, and by combining probability distributions and vulnerability models, it ultimately outputs a comprehensive risk value, providing reliable input for optimized scheduling.

整体上,通过概率分布建模、脆弱性评估和蒙特卡洛模拟的协同,提升了风险量化的科学性和实用性。该方法确保了气候扰动风险值的准确计算,通过统计方法处理了极端事件的稀有性和变异性。最终,该实施方式为随机优化提供了高质量的风险输入,增强了系统在气候应急中的决策可靠性。Overall, the synergy of probability distribution modeling, vulnerability assessment, and Monte Carlo simulation enhances the scientific rigor and practicality of risk quantification. This method ensures accurate calculation of climate disturbance risk values and addresses the rarity and variability of extreme events through statistical methods. Ultimately, this implementation provides high-quality risk input for stochastic optimization, enhancing the reliability of the system's decision-making in climate emergencies.

在一些实现方式中,S5包括:In some implementations, S5 includes:

S51.基于系统状态反馈数据中的电压、电流测量值,与数字孪生引擎在对应时刻产生的预期正常值进行逐点比较,计算得到测量残差向量;S51. Based on the voltage and current measurements in the system status feedback data, compare them point by point with the expected normal values generated by the digital twin engine at the corresponding time, and calculate the measurement residual vector.

S52.基于当前气象条件数据与系统平均负载率,通过线性映射函数动态计算故障判定阈值,并将测量残差向量与动态故障判定阈值进行比较,当残差持续超阈时生成包含故障元件标识与类型的故障信息集合;S52. Based on current meteorological data and system average load rate, dynamically calculate the fault judgment threshold through a linear mapping function, and compare the measurement residual vector with the dynamic fault judgment threshold. When the residual continuously exceeds the threshold, generate a set of fault information containing fault component identification and type.

S53.基于故障信息集合以及当前储能剩余容量与可调发电机备用容量,构建部分可观测的马尔可夫决策过程模型,马尔可夫决策过程模型的即时奖励函数与每个决策步骤中恢复的负荷重要程度及数量正相关;S53. Based on the fault information set and the current remaining energy storage capacity and adjustable generator standby capacity, a partially observable Markov decision process model is constructed. The immediate reward function of the Markov decision process model is positively correlated with the importance and quantity of the load restored in each decision step.

S54.采用值迭代算法求解部分可观测的马尔可夫决策过程模型,生成控制动作序列,构成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列。S54. The partially observable Markov decision process model is solved using a value iteration algorithm to generate a sequence of control actions, which constitutes a self-healing control command sequence for isolating faults and restoring power supply.

在步骤S51中,基于系统状态反馈数据中的电压、电流测量值,与数字孪生引擎在对应时刻产生的预期正常值进行逐点比较,计算得到测量残差向量;预期正常值来自数字孪生的仿真输出,残差向量则通过差值运算量化实际与预期的偏差。技术效果在于实现了实时故障检测的初步定位,为后续诊断提供数据基础;逐点比较确保了检测的细粒度,残差向量捕捉异常模式,从而识别潜在故障点,如电压骤降或电流过载。步骤S52基于当前气象条件数据与系统平均负载率,通过线性映射函数动态计算故障判定阈值,并将测量残差向量与动态故障判定阈值进行比较,当残差持续超阈时生成包含故障元件标识与类型的故障信息集合;线性映射函数例如将气温、负载率等参数映射为阈值调整量,动态阈值则随环境变化自适应。技术效果在于提高了故障检测的准确性和适应性,减少误报和漏报;动态阈值通过环境因素调整,避免了固定阈值在极端条件下的失效,持续超阈判断则通过时间序列分析确认故障,最终生成详细的故障信息以支持决策。In step S51, based on the voltage and current measurements in the system status feedback data, a point-by-point comparison is made with the expected normal values generated by the digital twin engine at the corresponding time, and a measurement residual vector is calculated. The expected normal values come from the simulation output of the digital twin, and the residual vector quantifies the deviation between the actual and expected values through difference calculation. The technical effect is that it realizes the preliminary location of real-time fault detection, providing a data foundation for subsequent diagnosis; the point-by-point comparison ensures fine-grained detection, and the residual vector captures abnormal patterns, thereby identifying potential fault points, such as voltage drops or current overloads. In step S52, based on the current meteorological conditions and the system's average load rate, a fault judgment threshold is dynamically calculated through a linear mapping function, and the measurement residual vector is compared with the dynamic fault judgment threshold. When the residual continuously exceeds the threshold, a fault information set containing the fault component identification and type is generated; the linear mapping function maps parameters such as temperature and load rate to threshold adjustment amounts, and the dynamic threshold adapts to environmental changes. The technical benefits include improved accuracy and adaptability of fault detection, and reduced false alarms and missed alarms. Dynamic thresholds are adjusted by environmental factors to avoid the failure of fixed thresholds under extreme conditions. Continuous over-threshold judgment confirms the fault through time series analysis, and finally generates detailed fault information to support decision-making.

步骤S53基于故障信息集合以及当前储能剩余容量与可调发电机备用容量,构建部分可观测的马尔可夫决策过程模型,该模型的即时奖励函数与每个决策步骤中恢复的负荷重要程度及数量正相关;部分可观测指系统状态不完全可知,需通过观测推断,马尔可夫决策过程则建模状态转移和奖励,以优化长期恢复效果。技术效果在于生成了智能化的自愈策略,优先保障关键负荷;故障信息和资源约束定义了状态空间,奖励函数则通过权重体现负荷优先级,从而引导模型选择最优恢复动作。步骤S54采用值迭代算法求解部分可观测的马尔可夫决策过程模型,生成控制动作序列,构成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列;值迭代通过迭代更新状态值函数,收敛至最优策略,输出序列如断路器操作或功率调整。技术效果在于实现了高效且可靠的自愈决策,缩短恢复时间;值迭代处理部分可观测性通过信念状态,优化奖励累积,最终生成可执行的指令序列。Step S53 constructs a partially observable Markov decision process model based on the fault information set, the current remaining energy storage capacity, and the adjustable generator reserve capacity. The immediate reward function of this model is positively correlated with the importance and quantity of the loads restored in each decision step. Partial observability refers to the fact that the system state is not fully known and needs to be inferred through observation. The Markov decision process models state transitions and rewards to optimize long-term recovery performance. The technical effect is the generation of an intelligent self-healing strategy that prioritizes critical loads. Fault information and resource constraints define the state space, and the reward function reflects load priority through weights, thereby guiding the model to select the optimal recovery action. Step S54 uses a value iteration algorithm to solve the partially observable Markov decision process model, generating a sequence of control actions that constitutes a self-healing control command sequence for fault isolation and power restoration. Value iteration updates the state value function iteratively, converging to the optimal strategy, and outputting sequences such as circuit breaker operation or power adjustment. The technical effect is the realization of efficient and reliable self-healing decision-making, shortening recovery time. Value iteration processes partial observability through belief states, optimizes reward accumulation, and ultimately generates an executable command sequence.

整体上,通过残差分析、动态阈值、决策建模和值迭代的集成,提升了故障响应和恢复的智能化水平。该方法确保了自愈控制的快速性和准确性,通过自适应机制适应多变运行条件。最终,该实施方式显著增强了系统在极端事件中的自愈能力,为高速公路微电网的连续供电提供了关键技术保障。Overall, by integrating residual analysis, dynamic thresholding, decision modeling, and value iteration, the intelligence level of fault response and recovery is improved. This method ensures the speed and accuracy of self-healing control, adapting to varying operating conditions through an adaptive mechanism. Ultimately, this implementation significantly enhances the system's self-healing capability in extreme events, providing key technical support for continuous power supply to highway microgrids.

在一些实现方式中,S52中动态计算故障判定阈值包括:In some implementations, the dynamic calculation of the fault determination threshold in S52 includes:

S521.基于一体化系统状态数据集中的实时气温、湿度及风速数据,通过预设的气候应力系数表进行查表计算,生成基础阈值调整量;S521. Based on the real-time temperature, humidity and wind speed data in the integrated system status dataset, the basic threshold adjustment amount is generated by looking up the table through the preset climate stress coefficient table.

S522.基于系统状态预测数据中的区域负载率预测值,通过线性比例关系,生成与负载水平相关的附加阈值调整量;S522. Based on the predicted regional load rate in the system status prediction data, generate an additional threshold adjustment amount related to the load level through a linear proportional relationship;

S523.将预先设定的正常工况基准阈值、基础阈值调整量与附加阈值调整量相加,得到动态故障判定阈值。S523. Add the pre-set normal operating condition baseline threshold, basic threshold adjustment amount and additional threshold adjustment amount to obtain the dynamic fault judgment threshold.

在步骤S521中,基于一体化系统状态数据集中的实时气温、湿度及风速数据,通过预设的气候应力系数表进行查表计算,生成基础阈值调整量;气候应力系数表通过历史数据分析或实验校准建立,将不同气候参数映射为阈值调整系数,例如高温或高湿度对应较高的调整量,以反映环境应力对系统稳定性的影响。技术效果在于使故障检测能够自适应气候条件的变化,避免固定阈值在极端天气下的失效;气候应力系数表通过量化环境因素对设备性能的影响,例如高温可能增加线路电阻或设备故障率,从而动态调整阈值以匹配当前风险水平,确保检测灵敏度与气候严重程度正相关。步骤S522基于系统状态预测数据中的区域负载率预测值,通过线性比例关系,生成与负载水平相关的附加阈值调整量;线性比例关系例如通过函数将负载率映射为调整量,高负载率时增加阈值以容忍正常波动,低负载率时降低阈值以捕捉细微异常。技术效果在于根据系统负载状态优化检测阈值,减少因负载波动引起的误报;负载率直接影响系统运行应力,高负载可能掩盖故障信号,而低负载使系统更敏感,通过线性比例动态调整阈值,可以平衡检测精度和稳定性,避免在负载高峰时过度报警或负载低谷时漏报。步骤S523将预先设定的正常工况基准阈值、基础阈值调整量与附加阈值调整量相加,得到动态故障判定阈值;正常工况基准阈值基于系统设计参数或历史运行数据确定,而动态调整量通过前述步骤计算,最终阈值综合了气候和负载因素。技术效果在于实现了多因素协同的阈值计算,提升故障检测的鲁棒性和可靠性;基准阈值提供基础参考,气候和负载调整量则引入实时适应性,通过加法操作融合多源信息,确保阈值在多变条件下仍能准确区分正常波动和真实故障,从而支持残差分析的精准性。In step S521, based on real-time temperature, humidity, and wind speed data in the integrated system status dataset, a basic threshold adjustment is generated by looking up a preset climate stress coefficient table. The climate stress coefficient table, established through historical data analysis or experimental calibration, maps different climate parameters to threshold adjustment coefficients; for example, high temperature or high humidity corresponds to a higher adjustment, reflecting the impact of environmental stress on system stability. The technical effect is that fault detection can adapt to changes in climate conditions, avoiding the failure of fixed thresholds under extreme weather conditions. The climate stress coefficient table quantifies the impact of environmental factors on equipment performance; for example, high temperature may increase line resistance or equipment failure rate, thereby dynamically adjusting the threshold to match the current risk level and ensuring that detection sensitivity is positively correlated with the severity of the climate. In step S522, based on the predicted regional load rate in the system status prediction data, an additional threshold adjustment related to the load level is generated through a linear proportional relationship. This linear proportional relationship, for example, maps the load rate to the adjustment amount through a function; the threshold is increased at high load rates to tolerate normal fluctuations, and decreased at low load rates to capture subtle anomalies. The technical effect lies in optimizing the detection threshold based on the system load status, reducing false alarms caused by load fluctuations. The load rate directly affects the system's operating stress; high load may mask fault signals, while low load makes the system more sensitive. By dynamically adjusting the threshold in a linear proportion, detection accuracy and stability can be balanced, avoiding excessive alarms during peak load periods or missed alarms during low load periods. Step S523 adds the pre-set normal operating condition baseline threshold, the basic threshold adjustment amount, and the additional threshold adjustment amount to obtain the dynamic fault judgment threshold. The normal operating condition baseline threshold is determined based on system design parameters or historical operating data, while the dynamic adjustment amount is calculated through the aforementioned steps. The final threshold integrates climate and load factors. The technical effect is that it realizes multi-factor collaborative threshold calculation, improving the robustness and reliability of fault detection. The baseline threshold provides a basic reference, while climate and load adjustments introduce real-time adaptability. By fusing multi-source information through additive operations, it ensures that the threshold can accurately distinguish between normal fluctuations and real faults under changing conditions, thereby supporting the accuracy of residual analysis.

整体上,通过气候应力查表、负载比例调整和阈值融合的协同,使故障检测系统能够动态响应环境与运行状态的变化。该方法显著降低了误报和漏报概率,通过自适应机制确保检测阈值在极端气候和负载波动下保持最优。最终,该实施方式增强了故障辨识的准确性,为自愈控制提供了可靠输入,从而提升系统在复杂工况下的整体韧性。Overall, by synergistically combining climate stress lookup, load ratio adjustment, and threshold fusion, the fault detection system can dynamically respond to changes in the environment and operating status. This method significantly reduces the probability of false alarms and false negatives, and ensures that the detection threshold remains optimal under extreme climate and load fluctuations through an adaptive mechanism. Ultimately, this implementation enhances the accuracy of fault identification, provides reliable input for self-healing control, and thus improves the overall resilience of the system under complex operating conditions.

在一些实现方式中,S53中即时奖励函数的设计包括:In some implementations, the design of the immediate reward function in S53 includes:

S531.基于高速公路微电网中负荷的预先分类等级,为交通信号灯、应急照明、通信基站关键负荷分配最高的奖励系数;S531. Based on the pre-classification level of loads in highway microgrids, the highest reward coefficient is assigned to key loads such as traffic lights, emergency lighting, and communication base stations;

S532.在即时奖励函数中,将每个控制动作执行后新恢复的负荷功率加权和作为正向奖励项,其中权重为负荷对应的奖励系数;S532. In the instant reward function, the weighted sum of the newly restored load power after each control action is executed is used as the positive reward item, where the weight is the reward coefficient corresponding to the load;

S533.在即时奖励函数中,引入对储能单元放电深度超过安全限值、以及分布式发电机过载运行的惩罚项作为负向奖励项;S533. In the immediate reward function, a penalty term is introduced as a negative reward term for the energy storage unit's discharge depth exceeding the safety limit and the distributed generator's overload operation;

S534.将正向奖励项与负向奖励项相加,形成与恢复负荷重要程度及数量正相关,同时约束设备安全运行的即时奖励函数。S534. Add the positive reward items and the negative reward items to form an instant reward function that is positively correlated with the importance and quantity of the restored load, while constraining the safe operation of the equipment.

在步骤S531中,基于高速公路微电网中负荷的预先分类等级,为交通信号灯、应急照明、通信基站关键负荷分配最高的奖励系数;负荷分类等级通过系统规划或运营策略确定,例如根据负荷对交通安全和公共安全的重要性进行分级,关键负荷赋予较高系数以优先保障。技术效果在于确保恢复策略优先考虑关键基础设施,提升系统在紧急情况下的社会和经济价值;通过预先分类和系数分配,奖励函数在决策中自然偏向重要负荷,从而在资源有限时最大化恢复效益,避免因均衡恢复导致的重点失守。步骤S532在即时奖励函数中,将每个控制动作执行后新恢复的负荷功率加权和作为正向奖励项,其中权重为负荷对应的奖励系数;加权和计算通过数学运算实现,例如将恢复的功率值与系数相乘后求和,量化每个动作的积极贡献。技术效果在于量化恢复进度,并引导决策模型向高效恢复方向演进;正向奖励项直接关联恢复负荷的数量和重要性,通过加权和体现综合价值,从而激励模型选择能快速恢复高优先级负荷的动作,加速系统功能重建。步骤S533在即时奖励函数中,引入对储能单元放电深度超过安全限值、以及分布式发电机过载运行的惩罚项作为负向奖励项;安全限值基于设备规格或运行规程设定,惩罚项通过负值表示,例如当动作导致储能过度放电或发电机超载时扣除奖励。技术效果在于约束设备操作在安全范围内,防止自愈过程引发二次故障;负向奖励项通过风险规避机制,抑制可能损害设备或系统稳定的动作,确保恢复策略在追求速度的同时不牺牲长期可靠性。步骤S534将正向奖励项与负向奖励项相加,形成与恢复负荷重要程度及数量正相关,同时约束设备安全运行的即时奖励函数;加法操作整合了正向激励和负向约束,形成综合奖励值。技术效果在于实现了多目标平衡的奖励设计,指导决策模型生成安全且高效的自愈策略;通过奖励加和,模型在优化过程中同时考虑恢复效益和设备安全,从而避免片面追求快速恢复而忽略系统完整性,最终生成可持续的控制序列。In step S531, based on the pre-classification level of loads in the highway microgrid, the highest reward coefficients are assigned to critical loads such as traffic lights, emergency lighting, and communication base stations. The load classification level is determined through system planning or operational strategies, for example, by classifying loads according to their importance to traffic safety and public safety, with critical loads assigned higher coefficients for priority protection. The technical effect is to ensure that the recovery strategy prioritizes critical infrastructure, enhancing the social and economic value of the system in emergency situations. Through pre-classification and coefficient allocation, the reward function naturally favors important loads in decision-making, thereby maximizing recovery benefits when resources are limited and avoiding the loss of key infrastructure due to balanced recovery. In step S532, in the immediate reward function, the weighted sum of the newly restored load power after each control action is used as a positive reward item, where the weight is the reward coefficient corresponding to the load. The weighted sum is calculated through mathematical operations, such as multiplying the restored power value by the coefficient and then summing the results, quantifying the positive contribution of each action. The technical effect lies in quantifying the recovery progress and guiding the decision-making model towards efficient recovery. Positive reward items are directly related to the quantity and importance of the restored loads, and through weighted summation, they reflect comprehensive value, thereby incentivizing the model to select actions that can quickly restore high-priority loads and accelerate system function reconstruction. Step S533 introduces penalty items as negative reward items into the immediate reward function for energy storage unit discharge depth exceeding safety limits and distributed generator overload operation. Safety limits are set based on equipment specifications or operating procedures, and penalty items are represented by negative values; for example, rewards are deducted when an action causes excessive energy storage discharge or generator overload. The technical effect is to constrain equipment operation within a safe range, preventing secondary failures caused by the self-healing process. Negative reward items, through risk avoidance mechanisms, suppress actions that may damage equipment or system stability, ensuring that the recovery strategy pursues speed without sacrificing long-term reliability. Step S534 adds the positive and negative reward items to form an immediate reward function that is positively correlated with the importance and quantity of the restored loads while constraining the safe operation of the equipment. The addition operation integrates positive incentives and negative constraints to form a comprehensive reward value. The technical effect lies in achieving a multi-objective balanced reward design, guiding the decision-making model to generate a safe and efficient self-healing strategy; through reward summation, the model considers both recovery benefits and equipment safety during the optimization process, thereby avoiding the one-sided pursuit of rapid recovery while ignoring system integrity, and ultimately generating a sustainable control sequence.

整体上,通过负荷分级、加权奖励、安全惩罚和函数融合的集成,构建了智能化的奖励机制。该方法确保了自愈决策在优先恢复关键负荷的同时,严格遵守设备运行约束,从而提升恢复过程的安全性和效率。最终,该实施方式通过奖励函数引导模型生成最优策略,显著增强系统在故障事件中的自愈能力和整体韧性。Overall, an intelligent reward mechanism is constructed by integrating load grading, weighted rewards, safety penalties, and function fusion. This method ensures that self-healing decisions prioritize the restoration of critical loads while strictly adhering to equipment operating constraints, thereby improving the safety and efficiency of the recovery process. Finally, this implementation guides the model to generate optimal strategies through a reward function, significantly enhancing the system's self-healing capability and overall resilience in the event of failures.

在一些实现方式中,在S6之后还包括模型增强步骤:In some implementations, a model enhancement step is included after S6:

S7.基于自愈控制指令序列执行过程中采集的系统实际响应数据,与数字孪生引擎在相同输入下仿真得到的预期响应数据进行对比,计算得到模型预测误差向量;S7. Based on the actual system response data collected during the execution of the self-healing control command sequence, compare it with the expected response data obtained by the digital twin engine simulation under the same input, and calculate the model prediction error vector;

S8.基于模型预测误差向量,通过梯度下降算法对数字孪生引擎中状态估计算法的关键参数矩阵进行在线辨识与更新;S8. Based on the model prediction error vector, the key parameter matrix of the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine is identified and updated online using the gradient descent algorithm;

S9.将更新后的关键参数矩阵载入数字孪生引擎中,用于后续的状态估计与动态仿真推演过程。S9. Load the updated key parameter matrix into the digital twin engine for subsequent state estimation and dynamic simulation.

在步骤S7中,基于自愈控制指令序列执行过程中采集的系统实际响应数据,与数字孪生引擎在相同输入下仿真得到的预期响应数据进行对比,计算得到模型预测误差向量;系统实际响应数据来自物理传感器测量,预期响应数据来自数字孪生仿真,误差向量通过差值运算量化实际与预测的偏差,例如电压或功率值的差异。技术效果在于提供了模型精度的直接反馈,为参数更新提供依据;通过对比实际和预期数据,误差向量捕捉了模型与物理系统的不匹配之处,例如因设备老化或环境变化导致的模型漂移,从而识别出需要校正的环节。步骤S8基于模型预测误差向量,通过梯度下降算法对数字孪生引擎中状态估计算法的关键参数矩阵进行在线辨识与更新;梯度下降算法通过迭代调整参数以最小化误差函数,例如更新卡尔曼滤波中的协方差矩阵或状态转移矩阵,从而减少预测偏差。技术效果在于实现了模型的动态校准,提升数字孪生的长期准确性;梯度下降通过误差反馈优化参数,使模型逐步适应系统变化,例如气候应力或负载模式的演变,从而维持仿真与现实的同步性,避免累积误差导致的决策失效。步骤S9将更新后的关键参数矩阵载入数字孪生引擎中,用于后续的状态估计与动态仿真推演过程;参数载入通过软件接口或内存更新实现,确保新参数立即生效。技术效果在于完成了学习闭环,使数字孪生具备持续进化能力;通过定期或事件驱动的参数更新,模型能够吸收最新运行经验,从而在后续预测和优化中表现更优,最终提升整个框架的适应性和可靠性。In step S7, the actual system response data collected during the execution of the self-healing control command sequence is compared with the expected response data obtained by the digital twin engine simulation under the same input to calculate the model prediction error vector. The actual system response data comes from physical sensor measurements, while the expected response data comes from the digital twin simulation. The error vector quantifies the deviation between the actual and predicted values through interpolation, such as differences in voltage or power values. The technical effect is to provide direct feedback on model accuracy, providing a basis for parameter updates. By comparing the actual and expected data, the error vector captures the mismatch between the model and the physical system, such as model drift caused by equipment aging or environmental changes, thereby identifying the links that need correction. In step S8, based on the model prediction error vector, the key parameter matrix of the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine is identified and updated online using the gradient descent algorithm. The gradient descent algorithm iteratively adjusts parameters to minimize the error function, such as updating the covariance matrix or state transition matrix in the Kalman filter, thereby reducing prediction bias. The technical effect lies in achieving dynamic model calibration, improving the long-term accuracy of the digital twin; gradient descent optimizes parameters through error feedback, enabling the model to gradually adapt to system changes, such as the evolution of climate stress or load patterns, thereby maintaining the synchronization between simulation and reality and avoiding decision failures caused by accumulated errors. Step S9 loads the updated key parameter matrix into the digital twin engine for subsequent state estimation and dynamic simulation derivation; parameter loading is achieved through software interfaces or memory updates, ensuring that new parameters take effect immediately. The technical effect is the completion of a learning loop, enabling the digital twin to have continuous evolution capabilities; through periodic or event-driven parameter updates, the model can absorb the latest operational experience, thereby performing better in subsequent predictions and optimizations, ultimately improving the adaptability and reliability of the entire framework.

整体上,通过误差计算、梯度优化和参数载入的协同,建立了数字孪生模型的自我完善机制。该方法显著降低了模型预测的不确定性,通过在线学习适应系统动态变化,从而增强预防性调度和自愈控制的准确性。最终,该实施方式确保了数字孪生框架在长期运行中保持高保真度,为高速公路微电网的韧性管理提供了可持续的技术支撑。Overall, a self-improvement mechanism for the digital twin model was established through the coordinated efforts of error calculation, gradient optimization, and parameter loading. This method significantly reduces the uncertainty of model predictions and enhances the accuracy of preventative scheduling and self-healing control by adapting to dynamic changes in the system through online learning. Ultimately, this implementation ensures that the digital twin framework maintains high fidelity during long-term operation, providing sustainable technical support for the resilient management of highway microgrids.

在一些实现方式中,S4中物理执行单元的控制过程包括:In some implementations, the control process of the physical execution unit in S4 includes:

S41.发电单元,包括光伏逆变器和风力发电机组,接收预防性调度指令中的有功功率设定值,并通过发电单元内部控制环路调整功率半导体器件的开关状态,跟踪有功功率设定值;S41. A power generation unit, including a photovoltaic inverter and a wind turbine generator, receives the active power setpoint in the preventive dispatch command and adjusts the switching state of the power semiconductor devices through the internal control loop of the power generation unit to track the active power setpoint.

S42.储能单元,包括电池储能系统的双向DC-AC变换器,接收预防性调度指令中的充放电功率指令,并通过调整储能单元的调制波信号改变功率流动的方向与大小;S42. Energy storage unit, including a bidirectional DC-AC converter of a battery energy storage system, receives charging and discharging power commands in preventive dispatch commands, and changes the direction and magnitude of power flow by adjusting the modulation wave signal of the energy storage unit;

S43.可控负荷单元,包括电动汽车充电桩的控制器,接收预防性调度指令中的负荷功率调整指令,并通过通信接口调节充电桩的输出电流或暂时中断充电过程。S43. Controllable load unit, including the controller of electric vehicle charging pile, receives load power adjustment instructions in the preventive scheduling instructions, and adjusts the output current of the charging pile or temporarily interrupts the charging process through the communication interface.

在步骤S41中,发电单元,包括光伏逆变器和风力发电机组,接收预防性调度指令中的有功功率设定值,并通过发电单元内部控制环路调整功率半导体器件的开关状态,跟踪有功功率设定值;内部控制环路例如采用脉宽调制或最大功率点跟踪技术,通过调节开关频率或占空比改变输出功率,以匹配设定值。技术效果在于实现发电功率的快速精确调节,支撑系统功率平衡;发电单元通过电力电子控制响应指令,例如逆变器调整直流-交流转换,确保可再生能源出力与调度目标一致,从而在气候事件中维持稳定供电。步骤S42中,储能单元,包括电池储能系统的双向DC-AC变换器,接收预防性调度指令中的充放电功率指令,并通过调整储能单元的调制波信号改变功率流动的方向与大小;调制波信号控制变换器的导通和关断,例如通过电压或电流参考值调节,实现充电或放电模式的切换。技术效果在于灵活管理能量存储和释放,缓冲可再生能源间歇性和负载波动;储能单元通过双向变换响应调度指令,例如在过剩发电时充电、在需求高峰时放电,从而平滑功率曲线并提升系统可靠性。步骤S43中,可控负荷单元,包括电动汽车充电桩的控制器,接收预防性调度指令中的负荷功率调整指令,并通过通信接口调节充电桩的输出电流或暂时中断充电过程;通信接口例如采用CAN总线或无线协议,控制器通过降低电流或暂停操作减少负荷需求。技术效果在于实现负荷侧的可控调节,辅助系统削峰填谷;可控负荷单元通过需求响应机制参与调度,例如在极端天气时暂缓非关键充电,从而减轻系统压力并优化资源分配。In step S41, the power generation unit, including a photovoltaic inverter and a wind turbine generator, receives the active power setpoint from the preventive dispatch command and adjusts the switching state of the power semiconductor devices through the internal control loop of the power generation unit to track the active power setpoint. The internal control loop, for example, uses pulse width modulation or maximum power point tracking technology to change the output power by adjusting the switching frequency or duty cycle to match the setpoint. The technical effect is to achieve rapid and accurate adjustment of power generation, supporting system power balance. The power generation unit responds to the command through power electronic control, such as adjusting the DC-AC conversion of the inverter, to ensure that the output of renewable energy is consistent with the dispatch target, thereby maintaining stable power supply during climate events. In step S42, the energy storage unit, including a bidirectional DC-AC converter of a battery energy storage system, receives the charging and discharging power command from the preventive dispatch command and changes the direction and magnitude of power flow by adjusting the modulation wave signal of the energy storage unit. The modulation wave signal controls the switching on and off of the converter, for example, by adjusting the voltage or current reference value to achieve switching between charging and discharging modes. The technical benefits lie in the flexible management of energy storage and release, buffering the intermittency of renewable energy and load fluctuations. The energy storage unit responds to dispatch commands bidirectionally, such as charging during periods of excess power generation and discharging during peak demand, thereby smoothing the power curve and improving system reliability. In step S43, the controllable load unit, including the controller of the electric vehicle charging pile, receives load power adjustment commands from the preventative dispatch instructions and adjusts the output current of the charging pile or temporarily interrupts the charging process through a communication interface. The communication interface may employ a CAN bus or wireless protocol, and the controller reduces load demand by lowering the current or pausing operation. The technical benefits include achieving controllable adjustment on the load side, assisting the system in peak shaving and valley filling. The controllable load unit participates in dispatch through a demand response mechanism, such as suspending non-critical charging during extreme weather, thereby reducing system pressure and optimizing resource allocation.

整体上,通过发电、储能和负荷单元的协同控制,将预防性调度指令转化为具体物理动作。该方法确保了指令的准确执行和系统状态的实时调节,通过电力电子和通信技术实现快速响应。最终,该实施方式形成了从虚拟调度到物理执行的闭环,显著提升高速公路微电网在极端气候下的运行稳定性和韧性。Overall, by coordinating the control of power generation, energy storage, and load units, preventative dispatch commands are translated into concrete physical actions. This method ensures accurate execution of commands and real-time adjustment of system status, achieving rapid response through power electronics and communication technologies. Ultimately, this implementation forms a closed loop from virtual dispatch to physical execution, significantly improving the operational stability and resilience of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions.

实施例2Example 2

如图2所示,第二方面,本发明提出一种极端天气下高速公路微电网自愈能力提升系统,系统采用上述任一实施例提供的方法,系统包括:As shown in Figure 2, in a second aspect, the present invention proposes a system for enhancing the self-healing capability of highway microgrids under extreme weather conditions. The system employs the method provided in any of the above embodiments and includes:

数据融合与预处理模块,用于基于部署于高速公路微电网中的传感器所采集的实时运行数据,以及外部气象监测系统输入的天气预报数据,通过数据融合层进行时间对齐、冗余剔除与一致性校验处理,生成包含系统电气状态、设备运行状态及环境状态的一体化系统状态数据集;The data fusion and preprocessing module is used to generate an integrated system status dataset that includes system electrical status, equipment operating status and environmental status based on real-time operating data collected by sensors deployed in the highway microgrid and weather forecast data input from the external meteorological monitoring system, through time alignment, redundancy removal and consistency verification by the data fusion layer.

数字孪生引擎模块,用于基于一体化系统状态数据集,通过数字孪生引擎中的状态估计算法对系统不可测状态进行估计,并结合内置的物理模型与输入的气候预测数据进行动态仿真推演,生成未来预设时段内包含功率平衡、节点电压及频率稳定性的系统状态预测数据;The digital twin engine module is used to estimate the unmeasurable state of the system based on the integrated system state dataset, through the state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine, and to perform dynamic simulation and deduction by combining the built-in physical model and the input climate prediction data, to generate system state prediction data including power balance, node voltage and frequency stability for a future preset period.

预防性调度优化决策模块,用于基于系统状态预测数据,通过随机多目标优化模型进行求解,生成用于预先调整系统运行点的预防性调度指令,预防性调度指令包含发电单元、储能单元及可控负荷单元的功率设定值;The preventive dispatch optimization decision module is used to generate preventive dispatch instructions for pre-adjusting the system operating point by solving a stochastic multi-objective optimization model based on system state prediction data. The preventive dispatch instructions include power setpoints for power generation units, energy storage units, and controllable load units.

指令下发与执行反馈模块,用于将预防性调度指令下发至高速公路微电网的物理执行单元,控制物理执行单元调整有功与无功功率输出,并基于部署于物理执行单元附近的传感器采集预防性调度指令执行后的系统状态反馈数据;The instruction issuance and execution feedback module is used to issue preventive dispatch instructions to the physical execution units of the highway microgrid, control the physical execution units to adjust the active and reactive power output, and collect system status feedback data after the execution of preventive dispatch instructions based on sensors deployed near the physical execution units.

故障检测与自愈决策模块,用于基于系统状态反馈数据,通过数字孪生引擎的预估数据与实时运行数据的残差分析进行故障检测与辨识,当确认故障发生后,通过序列决策模型进行计算,生成用于隔离故障和恢复供电的自愈控制指令序列;The fault detection and self-healing decision module is used to detect and identify faults based on system status feedback data and residual analysis of predicted data and real-time operating data by a digital twin engine. When a fault is confirmed, a sequence decision model is used to calculate and generate a sequence of self-healing control commands for isolating the fault and restoring power supply.

自愈控制指令执行模块,用于将自愈控制指令序列下发至高速公路微电网中的断路器、接触器及功率变换器执行,以隔离故障区域和恢复非故障区域的供电。The self-healing control command execution module is used to send the self-healing control command sequence to the circuit breakers, contactors and power converters in the highway microgrid for execution, so as to isolate the faulty area and restore the power supply to the non-faulty area.

本系统与上述实施例1提供的方法对应,在此不再一一赘述。This system corresponds to the method provided in Embodiment 1 above, and will not be described in detail here.

最后应说明的是:以上各实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制;尽管参照前述各实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分或者全部技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明各实施例技术方案。Finally, it should be noted that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, and not to limit them; although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that modifications can still be made to the technical solutions described in the foregoing embodiments, or equivalent substitutions can be made to some or all of the technical features; and these modifications or substitutions do not cause the essence of the corresponding technical solutions to deviate from the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of the expressway micro-grid in extreme weather is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
S1, performing time alignment, redundancy elimination and consistency verification processing through a data fusion layer based on real-time operation data acquired by sensors deployed in a highway micro-grid and weather forecast data input by an external weather monitoring system, and generating an integrated system state data set containing a system electrical state, a device operation state and an environment state;
S2, estimating the undetectable state of the system through a state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine based on an integrated system state data set, and carrying out dynamic simulation deduction by combining a built-in physical model and input climate prediction data to generate system state prediction data comprising power balance, node voltage and frequency stability in a future preset period;
S3, solving through a random multi-objective optimization model based on system state prediction data to generate a preventive scheduling instruction for pre-adjusting a system operation point, wherein the preventive scheduling instruction comprises power set values of a power generation unit, an energy storage unit and a controllable load unit;
S4, issuing the preventive dispatching instruction to a physical execution unit of the highway micro-grid, controlling the physical execution unit to adjust active power output and reactive power output, and acquiring system state feedback data after the preventive dispatching instruction is executed based on a sensor arranged near the physical execution unit;
S5, based on system state feedback data, performing fault detection and identification through residual analysis of pre-estimated data and real-time operation data of the digital twin engine, and after confirming that the fault occurs, performing calculation through a sequence decision model to generate a self-healing control instruction sequence for isolating the fault and recovering power supply;
s6, issuing a self-healing control instruction sequence to a breaker, a contactor and a power converter in the highway micro-grid to execute so as to isolate a fault area and restore power supply of a non-fault area.
2. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of the highway micro-grid under extreme weather according to claim 1, wherein S2 comprises:
S21, carrying out numerical solution through a set of coupled differential-algebraic equations describing the topology of a power grid and the conservation law of energy based on node voltage, branch power and generator output data in the integrated system state data set to generate continuous dynamic estimation data of the physical state of the system;
S22, based on continuous dynamic estimation data of the system physical state and direct measurement values of sensors in the integrated system state data set, carrying out data fusion and error correction through a Kalman filtering algorithm with a self-adaptive covariance matrix, and generating a system state vector comprising voltage amplitudes and phase angles of all nodes;
S23, based on the system state vector, future wind speed, irradiance and air temperature prediction data integrated into an integrated system state data set are used as external disturbance input, forward rolling time domain simulation is carried out through a linearization system model in the digital twin engine, and system state prediction data comprising power balance, node voltage and frequency stability in a future preset period are generated.
3. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of the highway micro-grid under extreme weather according to claim 1, wherein S3 comprises:
S31, constructing a typical climate disturbance scene set by a scene generation and reduction technology based on extreme weather occurrence probability and intensity data in system state prediction data, calculating a system performance loss expected value caused by the typical climate disturbance scene set for each scene, and generating a quantized climate disturbance risk value;
s32, constructing a weighted summation objective function of a random multi-objective optimization model based on a climate disturbance risk value, a power generation fuel cost and equipment operation and maintenance cost model and a punishment cost model caused by power interruption, wherein a weight coefficient is dynamically adjusted along with a climate early warning level;
s33, under the condition that the system tide equation, the upper and lower limits of the generator output, the energy storage charging and discharging rate and the line transmission capacity constraint are met, solving a weighted summation objective function by adopting a random programming algorithm, and generating a preventive scheduling instruction for pre-adjusting the system operating point.
4. The method for improving self-healing capacity of an expressway micro-grid in extreme weather according to claim 3, wherein S31 comprises:
s311, generating a joint probability distribution function of the extreme weather key parameters through a nuclear density estimation method based on long-term historical meteorological data and short-term numerical weather forecast data;
s312, calculating expected load loss probability and capacity of the system under different intensity climate disturbance by a pre-established system vulnerability curve model based on a network structure and load level in system state prediction data;
S313, calculating a risk expected value through Monte Carlo simulation based on a joint probability distribution function of extreme weather key parameters and expected load loss probability and capacity of the system, and generating a quantized climate disturbance risk value.
5. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of the highway micro-grid under extreme weather according to claim 1, wherein S5 comprises:
S51, comparing the voltage and current measured values in the feedback data of the system state with an expected normal value generated by the digital twin engine at the corresponding moment point by point, and calculating to obtain a measurement residual vector;
S52, dynamically calculating a fault judgment threshold value through a linear mapping function based on current meteorological condition data and system average load rate, comparing a measured residual vector with the dynamic fault judgment threshold value, and generating a fault information set containing fault element identifications and types when residual continuously exceeds the threshold;
S53, constructing a partly observable Markov decision process model based on the fault information set, the current energy storage residual capacity and the standby capacity of the adjustable generator, wherein an instant rewarding function of the Markov decision process model is positively related to the load importance degree and the load quantity recovered in each decision step;
S54, solving a part of observable Markov decision process model by adopting a value iterative algorithm, and generating a control action sequence to form a self-healing control instruction sequence for isolating faults and recovering power supply.
6. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of an expressway micro-grid in extreme weather according to claim 5, wherein dynamically calculating the fault determination threshold in S52 comprises:
s521, based on real-time air temperature, humidity and wind speed data in the integrated system state data set, performing table lookup calculation through a preset climate stress coefficient table to generate a basic threshold adjustment quantity;
S522, generating an additional threshold adjustment quantity related to a load level through a linear proportional relation based on a regional load rate predicted value in system state predicted data;
S523, adding the preset normal working condition reference threshold value, the preset basic threshold value adjustment quantity and the additional threshold value adjustment quantity to obtain a dynamic fault judgment threshold value.
7. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of an expressway micro-grid in extreme weather according to claim 5, wherein the designing of the instant prize function in S53 comprises:
S531, distributing the highest rewarding coefficient for key loads of traffic lights, emergency lighting and communication base stations based on the pre-classification level of the loads in the expressway micro-grid;
S532, taking a weighted sum of the load power newly restored after each control action is executed as a forward rewarding item in the instant rewarding function, wherein the weight is a rewarding coefficient corresponding to the load;
s533, introducing a penalty item for overload operation of the distributed generator, which exceeds a safety limit value on the discharge depth of the energy storage unit, as a negative-going reward item in the instant reward function;
s534, adding the positive rewarding item and the negative rewarding item to form an instant rewarding function positively related to the importance degree and the quantity of the restoring load and restraining the safe operation of the equipment.
8. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of an expressway micro-grid in extreme weather according to claim 1, further comprising the step of model enhancement after S6:
S7, comparing actual response data of the system acquired in the execution process of the self-healing control instruction sequence with expected response data obtained by simulation of the digital twin engine under the same input, and calculating to obtain a model prediction error vector;
S8, on-line identification and updating are carried out on key parameter matrixes of a state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine through a gradient descent algorithm based on the model prediction error vector;
s9, loading the updated key parameter matrix into a digital twin engine for subsequent state estimation and dynamic simulation deduction processes.
9. The method for improving the self-healing capacity of the micro-grid on the expressway in extreme weather according to claim 1, wherein the control process of the physical execution unit in S4 comprises the following steps:
S41, a power generation unit comprises a photovoltaic inverter and a wind generating set, receives an active power set value in a preventive scheduling instruction, adjusts the switching state of a power semiconductor device through an inner control loop of the power generation unit, and tracks the active power set value;
S42, an energy storage unit, which comprises a bidirectional DC-AC converter of a battery energy storage system, receives a charge and discharge power instruction in a preventive scheduling instruction, and changes the direction and the magnitude of power flow by adjusting a modulation wave signal of the energy storage unit;
s43, a controllable load unit comprises a controller of the electric vehicle charging pile, receives a load power adjustment instruction in the preventive scheduling instruction, and adjusts the output current of the charging pile through a communication interface or temporarily interrupts the charging process.
10. A highway micro-grid self-healing capacity improving system in extreme weather, characterized in that the system adopts the method according to any one of claims 1 to 9, the system comprises:
The data fusion and preprocessing module is used for carrying out time alignment, redundancy elimination and consistency check processing through the data fusion layer based on real-time operation data acquired by the sensors deployed in the expressway micro-grid and weather forecast data input by the external weather monitoring system, and generating an integrated system state data set containing a system electrical state, an equipment operation state and an environment state;
the digital twin engine module is used for estimating the unmeasurable state of the system through a state estimation algorithm in the digital twin engine based on the integrated system state data set, and carrying out dynamic simulation deduction by combining a built-in physical model and input climate prediction data to generate system state prediction data comprising power balance, node voltage and frequency stability in a future preset period;
The preventive scheduling optimization decision module is used for solving through a random multi-objective optimization model based on system state prediction data to generate a preventive scheduling instruction for pre-adjusting a system operating point, wherein the preventive scheduling instruction comprises power set values of a power generation unit, an energy storage unit and a controllable load unit;
The instruction issuing and executing feedback module is used for issuing the preventive dispatching instruction to a physical execution unit of the highway micro-grid, controlling the physical execution unit to adjust active and reactive power output, and collecting system state feedback data after the preventive dispatching instruction is executed based on a sensor arranged near the physical execution unit;
The fault detection and self-healing decision module is used for carrying out fault detection and identification through residual analysis of the estimated data and the real-time operation data of the digital twin engine based on the system state feedback data, and calculating through the sequence decision model after confirming that the fault occurs, so as to generate a self-healing control instruction sequence for isolating the fault and recovering the power supply;
And the self-healing control instruction execution module is used for issuing a self-healing control instruction sequence to a breaker, a contactor and a power converter in the highway micro-grid for execution so as to isolate a fault area and restore power supply of a non-fault area.
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