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CN118919089A - Machine learning-based severe specialty ability assessment method and system - Google Patents

Machine learning-based severe specialty ability assessment method and system Download PDF

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CN118919089A
CN118919089A CN202411404834.9A CN202411404834A CN118919089A CN 118919089 A CN118919089 A CN 118919089A CN 202411404834 A CN202411404834 A CN 202411404834A CN 118919089 A CN118919089 A CN 118919089A
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张洁
王珩
朱德刚
张岩
张文雅
张树梅
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Hefei Comprehensive National Science Center Big Health Research Institute
First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统,涉及医疗信息技术领域,该方法包括以下具体步骤:数据收集与预处理:从医院信息系统和电子病历系统中收集重症患者的临床数据,本发明通过结合医学知识和数据挖掘技术,对重症患者的临床数据进行深度分析和特征选择,并通过采用关联规则挖掘技术,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,基于这些关联规则通过机器学习算法构建的潜在风险预测模型,提前预测重症患者可能出现的并发症风险,并给出个性化的预防措施建议。相比传统方法更加精准和个性化,有助于提高诊疗效果,减少并发症的发生,提升患者的生存质量和满意度。

The present invention discloses a critical care specialist capability assessment method and system based on machine learning, which relates to the field of medical information technology. The method includes the following specific steps: data collection and preprocessing: clinical data of critically ill patients are collected from hospital information systems and electronic medical record systems. The present invention combines medical knowledge and data mining technology to conduct in-depth analysis and feature selection on the clinical data of critically ill patients, and uses association rule mining technology to discover potential association rules between different factors. Based on these association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed through a machine learning algorithm to predict the possible complication risks of critically ill patients in advance, and give personalized preventive measures. Compared with traditional methods, it is more accurate and personalized, which helps to improve the diagnosis and treatment effect, reduce the occurrence of complications, and improve the quality of life and satisfaction of patients.

Description

一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统A critical care specialist capability assessment method and system based on machine learning

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及医疗信息技术领域,具体为一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统。The present invention relates to the field of medical information technology, and in particular to a critical care specialist capability assessment method and system based on machine learning.

背景技术Background Art

在医疗健康领域,随着医疗技术的迅猛发展和医疗信息化的深入推进,医疗健康数据呈现出爆炸式增长的趋势,这些数据不仅包含了患者的基本信息、诊断结果、治疗过程,还涵盖了丰富的预后信息和临床反馈,为医疗服务的持续改进和个性化治疗提供了宝贵资源,特别是在重症医学领域,患者的临床数据往往更加复杂多变,对诊疗的及时性和准确性提出了更高要求。In the field of medical health, with the rapid development of medical technology and the in-depth advancement of medical informatization, medical health data has shown an explosive growth trend. These data not only include patients' basic information, diagnosis results, and treatment process, but also cover a wealth of prognostic information and clinical feedback, providing valuable resources for the continuous improvement of medical services and personalized treatment. Especially in the field of critical care medicine, patients' clinical data are often more complex and changeable, which places higher requirements on the timeliness and accuracy of diagnosis and treatment.

传统的重症专科能力综合评估方法中,往往依赖于专家的主观判断和经验总结,缺乏客观、量化的评估指标和体系,特别是对于关联规则挖掘这一先进的数据挖掘技术,传统方法未能充分利用其优势,一方面,传统方法忽视了数据中不同因素之间的潜在关联,导致评估结果不够全面和准确,另一方面,传统方法在处理海量数据时效率低下,难以实时更新评估结果,无法满足现代医疗服务的快速响应需求,此外,传统评估方法还缺乏对患者潜在风险的精准预测,无法为医护人员提供及时的决策支持。Traditional comprehensive assessment methods for critical care specialist capabilities often rely on the subjective judgment and experience of experts, and lack objective and quantitative assessment indicators and systems. In particular, traditional methods fail to fully utilize the advantages of association rule mining, an advanced data mining technology. On the one hand, traditional methods ignore the potential correlation between different factors in the data, resulting in incomplete and inaccurate assessment results. On the other hand, traditional methods are inefficient when processing massive amounts of data, making it difficult to update assessment results in real time and unable to meet the rapid response needs of modern medical services. In addition, traditional assessment methods lack accurate predictions of potential risks to patients and cannot provide timely decision-making support for medical staff.

针对上述问题,有必要对现有的重症专科能力综合评估方法及系统进行优化,通过深度挖掘重症患者的临床数据、治疗过程及预后信息中的潜在关联规则,并利用机器学习算法实现对患者未来风险的提前预测,同时结合实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力和服务质量进行综合评估,从而提高诊疗效果,因此,开发一种能够综合实现上述特点的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统具有重要意义。In response to the above problems, it is necessary to optimize the existing comprehensive assessment methods and systems for critical care specialist capabilities, by deeply mining the potential association rules in the clinical data, treatment process and prognosis information of critically ill patients, and using machine learning algorithms to achieve early prediction of patients' future risks. At the same time, combined with the actual diagnosis and treatment effects, a comprehensive assessment of the diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality of critical care specialists is conducted to improve the diagnosis and treatment effects. Therefore, it is of great significance to develop a critical care specialist capability assessment method and system based on machine learning that can comprehensively realize the above characteristics.

发明内容Summary of the invention

本发明的目的就是为了弥补现有技术的不足,提供了一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统,它能够通过关联规则挖掘技术深度分析重症患者的临床数据、治疗过程及预后信息,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联,并据此通过机器学习算法建立模型,提前预测患者可能出现的风险,同时,本发明还结合实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估,为医院持续改进和提升医疗服务水平提供了科学依据。The purpose of the present invention is to make up for the shortcomings of the existing technology and provide a critical care specialist capacity assessment method and system based on machine learning. It can deeply analyze the clinical data, treatment process and prognosis information of critically ill patients through association rule mining technology, discover the potential correlation between different factors, and establish a model through machine learning algorithm based on this to predict the possible risks of patients in advance. At the same time, the present invention also combines the actual diagnosis and treatment effects to comprehensively evaluate the diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality of critical care specialists, providing a scientific basis for hospitals to continuously improve and enhance the level of medical services.

本发明为解决上述技术问题,提供如下技术方案:一方面,一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,该方法包括以下具体步骤:In order to solve the above technical problems, the present invention provides the following technical solutions: On the one hand, a critical care specialist capability assessment method based on machine learning, the method comprises the following specific steps:

数据收集与预处理:从医院信息系统和电子病历系统中收集重症患者的临床数据,包括但不限于患者基本信息、症状描述、检查结果、治疗方案、用药记录和预后情况,并对收集到的数据进行处理;Data collection and preprocessing: Collect clinical data of critically ill patients from hospital information systems and electronic medical record systems, including but not limited to basic patient information, symptom descriptions, examination results, treatment plans, medication records, and prognosis, and process the collected data;

特征选择与转换:根据医学知识和数据挖掘经验,选择对重症患者风险评估具有重要意义的特征,包括症状组合、生命体征指标和治疗反应,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式;Feature selection and conversion: Based on medical knowledge and data mining experience, select features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients, including symptom combinations, vital signs indicators, and treatment responses, and convert the original data into a data format suitable for association rule mining;

关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测:采用关联规则挖掘技术,对预处理后的数据进行深度挖掘,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,并设置支持度和置信度阈值,筛选出具有高支持度和置信度的关联规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对重症患者的未来风险进行预测;Association rule mining and potential risk prediction: Association rule mining technology is used to conduct in-depth mining of preprocessed data to discover potential association rules between different factors, and support and confidence thresholds are set to screen out association rules with high support and confidence. Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed to predict the future risks of critically ill patients;

重症专科能力综合评估:根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估。Comprehensive assessment of critical care specialist capabilities: Based on potential risk prediction results and actual diagnosis and treatment effects, a comprehensive assessment of the critical care specialist's diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality is conducted.

进一步地,所述特征选择与转换步骤中,根据医学文献和专家经验,选择对重症患者风险评估有重要意义的特征,使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数来筛选特征,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式,包括将连续型变量离散化为分类变量,对分类变量进行编码,将患者记录转换为事务数据形式。Furthermore, in the feature selection and conversion step, based on medical literature and expert experience, features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients are selected, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient is used to screen the features, and the original data is converted into a data format suitable for association rule mining, including discretizing continuous variables into categorical variables, encoding categorical variables, and converting patient records into transaction data form.

更进一步地,所述特征选择与转换步骤中,根据医学文献和专家经验,选择对重症患者风险评估有重要意义的特征,使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数来筛选特征,其算法公式为:,其中,代表样本数量,即参与特征选择的重症患者样本的个数,代表两个变量秩的差,即某个潜在风险评估特征和重症患者的风险等级,是斯皮尔曼等级相关系数。Furthermore, in the feature selection and conversion step, based on medical literature and expert experience, features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients are selected, and the Spearman rank correlation coefficient is used to screen the features, and the algorithm formula is: ,in, represents the number of samples, that is, the number of samples of critically ill patients participating in feature selection, Represents the difference between the ranks of two variables, namely a potential risk assessment feature and the risk level of critically ill patients, is the Spearman rank correlation coefficient.

更进一步地,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤根据数据规模和特点选择关联规则挖掘算法,并设置支持度阈值和置信度阈值,通过应用算法和参数对数据进行挖掘,生成关联规则,根据支持度和置信度阈值筛选出有意义的关联规则,同时评估规则的医学意义,排除无实际意义的规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对新入院的重症患者或正在接受治疗的患者应用预测模型,评估其潜在风险,输出预测结果。Furthermore, the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step selects an association rule mining algorithm according to the data scale and characteristics, and sets a support threshold and a confidence threshold. The data is mined by applying the algorithm and parameters to generate association rules, and meaningful association rules are screened out according to the support and confidence thresholds. At the same time, the medical significance of the rules is evaluated, and rules with no practical significance are excluded. Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed, and the prediction model is applied to newly admitted critically ill patients or patients undergoing treatment to evaluate their potential risks and output prediction results.

更进一步地,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,根据数据规模和特点选择Apriori算法对数据进行挖掘,并设置支持度阈值和置信度阈值,具体地,找出数据集中所有频繁1项集,即支持度大于最小支持度阈值的单个项,利用这些频繁1项集生成候选2项集,并计算它们的支持度,其支持度的计算公式为:,其中,是数据集中包含项集X的事务(或记录)数,是数据集中的总事务数,重复此过程,逐步生成候选k项集,直到无法再生成更多频繁项集,对于每个频繁项集,计算其支持度和与其他项集形成的关联规则的置信度,其计算公式为:,其中,是项集和项集同时出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,是项集出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,根据置信度阈值,筛选出满足条件的关联规则。Furthermore, in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step, the Apriori algorithm is selected to mine the data according to the data scale and characteristics, and the support threshold and confidence threshold are set. Specifically, all frequent 1-item sets in the data set, that is, single items whose support is greater than the minimum support threshold, are found, and candidate 2-item sets are generated using these frequent 1-item sets, and their support is calculated. The calculation formula for the support is: ,in, is the number of transactions (or records) in the dataset that contain itemset X, is the total number of transactions in the data set. Repeat this process to gradually generate candidate k-item sets until no more frequent item sets can be generated. For each frequent item set, calculate its support and the confidence of the association rules formed with other item sets. The calculation formula is: ,in, It is an item set and item sets The ratio of the number of transactions occurring simultaneously to the total number of transactions, It is an item set The proportion of the number of transactions that occur to the total number of transactions is used to filter out association rules that meet the conditions based on the confidence threshold.

更进一步地,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,具体地,利用逻辑回归方程构建潜在风险预测模型,其算法公式为:,其中,表示在给定自变量的条件下,因变量的概率,是权重向量,表示各个自变量对风险发生概率的影响程度,是自变量向量,是偏置项,是自然对数的底数,通过训练数据集确定模型的权重向量和偏置项,并使用测试数据集对模型进行评估,根据评估结果通过算法调整模型参数,优化模型性能,将待预测数据输入到训练好的模型中,计算潜在风险的发生概率,并根据概率值进行风险预警或决策支持。Furthermore, in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step, a potential risk prediction model is constructed based on the mined association rules. Specifically, the potential risk prediction model is constructed using a logistic regression equation, and its algorithm formula is: ,in, Indicates that given the independent variable Under the condition of The probability of is a weight vector, which indicates the influence of each independent variable on the probability of risk occurrence. is the independent variable vector, is the bias term, is the base of the natural logarithm, and the weight vector of the model is determined by the training data set and the bias term , and use the test data set to evaluate the model. According to the evaluation results, the model parameters are adjusted through the algorithm to optimize the model performance. The data to be predicted is input into the trained model, the probability of occurrence of potential risks is calculated, and risk warning or decision support is carried out according to the probability value.

更进一步地,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,根据评估结果通过算法调整模型参数,优化模型性能,其算法公式为:,其中,是训练样本的数量,是第个样本的真实标签,是第个样本的特征向量,是预测值,表示模型参数。Furthermore, in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction steps, the model parameters are adjusted by the algorithm according to the evaluation results to optimize the model performance. The algorithm formula is: ,in, is the number of training samples, It is The true labels of samples, It is The feature vector of the samples, is the predicted value, Represents model parameters.

更进一步地,所述重症专科能力综合评估步骤中,根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估,其算法公式为:,其中,是潜在风险预测准确率,是并发症预防成功率,是患者满意度,医疗资源利用效率,是各个指标的权重。Furthermore, in the step of comprehensive assessment of the critical care specialist's capabilities, a comprehensive assessment of the critical care specialist's diagnostic and treatment capabilities and service quality is conducted based on the potential risk prediction results and actual diagnostic and treatment effects, and the algorithm formula is: ,in, is the potential risk prediction accuracy, is the success rate of complication prevention, is patient satisfaction, Efficiency of medical resource utilization, is the weight of each indicator.

另一方面,一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估系统,其特征在于,所述该系统包括以下组成部分:数据收集与预处理模块、特征选择与转换模块、关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测模块和重症专科能力综合评估模块;On the other hand, a critical care specialist capability assessment system based on machine learning is characterized in that the system comprises the following components: a data collection and preprocessing module, a feature selection and conversion module, an association rule mining and potential risk prediction module, and a critical care specialist capability comprehensive assessment module;

所述数据收集与预处理模块从医院信息系统和电子病历系统中收集重症患者的临床数据,包括但不限于患者基本信息、症状描述、检查结果、治疗方案、用药记录和预后情况,并对收集到的数据进行处理;The data collection and preprocessing module collects clinical data of critically ill patients from the hospital information system and electronic medical record system, including but not limited to basic information of patients, symptom descriptions, examination results, treatment plans, medication records and prognosis, and processes the collected data;

所述特征选择与转换模块根据医学知识和数据挖掘经验,选择对重症患者风险评估具有重要意义的特征,包括症状组合、生命体征指标和治疗反应,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式;The feature selection and conversion module selects features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients, including symptom combinations, vital sign indicators, and treatment responses, based on medical knowledge and data mining experience, and converts raw data into a data format suitable for association rule mining;

所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测模块采用关联规则挖掘技术,对预处理后的数据进行深度挖掘,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,并设置支持度和置信度阈值,筛选出具有高支持度和置信度的关联规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对重症患者的未来风险进行预测;The association rule mining and potential risk prediction module uses association rule mining technology to perform in-depth mining on preprocessed data, discover potential association rules between different factors, set support and confidence thresholds, screen out association rules with high support and confidence, and build a potential risk prediction model based on the mined association rules to predict the future risks of critically ill patients;

所述重症专科能力综合评估模块根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估。The comprehensive assessment module for critical care unit capabilities conducts a comprehensive assessment of the critical care unit's diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality based on potential risk prediction results and actual diagnosis and treatment effects.

与现有技术相比,该一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法及系统具备如下有益效果:Compared with the existing technology, this critical care specialist capability assessment method and system based on machine learning has the following beneficial effects:

一、本发明通过结合医学知识和数据挖掘技术,对重症患者的临床数据进行深度分析和特征选择,并通过采用关联规则挖掘技术,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,基于这些关联规则通过机器学习算法构建的潜在风险预测模型,提前预测重症患者可能出现的并发症风险,并给出个性化的预防措施建议,相比传统方法更加精准和个性化,有助于提高诊疗效果,减少并发症的发生,提升患者的生存质量和满意度。1. The present invention combines medical knowledge and data mining technology to conduct in-depth analysis and feature selection of the clinical data of critically ill patients, and uses association rule mining technology to discover potential association rules between different factors. Based on these association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed through a machine learning algorithm to predict the risk of complications that may occur in critically ill patients in advance, and give personalized preventive measures. Compared with traditional methods, it is more accurate and personalized, which helps to improve the diagnosis and treatment effects, reduce the occurrence of complications, and improve the quality of life and satisfaction of patients.

二、本发明通过设定评估指标,对专科的服务绩效进行全面衡量,这种定期、系统的评估机制,能够及时发现专科服务中存在的问题和不足,为医院管理层提供决策支持,同时,通过对比不同时间段或不同专科的评估结果,可以激励医护人员不断提升专业技能和服务水平,促进医疗质量的持续改进。2. The present invention comprehensively measures the service performance of specialists by setting evaluation indicators. This regular and systematic evaluation mechanism can timely discover problems and deficiencies in specialist services and provide decision-making support for hospital management. At the same time, by comparing the evaluation results of different time periods or different specialties, it can motivate medical staff to continuously improve their professional skills and service levels and promote continuous improvement of medical quality.

本发明的其他优点、目标和特征在某种程度上将在随后的说明书中进行阐述,并且在某种程度上,基于对下文的考察研究对本领域技术人员而言将是显而易见的,或者可以从本发明的实践中得到教导。Other advantages, objectives and features of the present invention will be set forth in part in the following description and, in part, will be apparent to those skilled in the art based on an examination of the following or may be taught from the practice of the present invention.

附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例或现有技术描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍。显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings required for use in the embodiments or the prior art descriptions are briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention, and for ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without creative work.

图1为一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法的流程图;Figure 1 is a flow chart of a critical care specialist capability assessment method based on machine learning;

图2为一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法中关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测的流程图。Figure 2 is a flowchart of association rule mining and potential risk prediction in a critical care specialist capacity assessment method based on machine learning.

具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION

下面将对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整的描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention are described clearly and completely below. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of them. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.

实施例一Embodiment 1

本实施例详细描述了一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法的应用过程,通过对重症患者的临床数据进行深度挖掘,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,并基于这些规则构建潜在风险预测模型,最终,结合实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力进行综合评估,以提升医疗质量和患者满意度。This embodiment describes in detail the application process of a critical care specialist capacity assessment method based on machine learning. By deeply mining the clinical data of critically ill patients, potential association rules between different factors are discovered, and a potential risk prediction model is constructed based on these rules. Finally, combined with the actual diagnosis and treatment effects, a comprehensive assessment of the diagnosis and treatment capabilities of critical care specialists is conducted to improve medical quality and patient satisfaction.

在数据收集与预处理步骤中,从医院的信息系统(HIS)和电子病历系统(EMR)中收集重症患者的临床数据,这些数据包括但不限于患者的基本信息(如年龄、性别、既往病史等)、症状描述、检查结果(如血液检验、影像学检查等)、治疗方案、用药记录和预后情况等,并对收集到的数据进行清洗,去除噪声、异常值和重复值,将清洗后的数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的格式,这通常包括将连续型变量(如年龄、血压等)离散化为分类变量(如年龄段、血压等级),对分类变量进行编码(如使用独热编码或标签编码),并将患者记录转换为事务数据形式,每个事务包含该患者的一次就诊或一段时间内的所有相关特征。In the data collection and preprocessing steps, clinical data of critically ill patients are collected from the hospital information system (HIS) and electronic medical record system (EMR). These data include but are not limited to basic information of patients (such as age, gender, medical history, etc.), symptom descriptions, test results (such as blood tests, imaging examinations, etc.), treatment plans, medication records and prognosis, etc. The collected data are cleaned to remove noise, outliers and duplicate values, and the cleaned data are converted into a format suitable for association rule mining, which usually includes discretizing continuous variables (such as age, blood pressure, etc.) into categorical variables (such as age group, blood pressure level), encoding categorical variables (such as using one-hot encoding or label encoding), and converting patient records into transaction data form. Each transaction contains all relevant features of the patient's visit or a period of time.

在特征选择与转换步骤中,根据医学文献和专家经验,选择对重症患者风险评估有重要意义的特征,这些特征可能包括特定的症状组合、生命体征指标(如心率、血压、血氧饱和度等)和治疗反应(如药物敏感性、治疗后的症状改善情况等),使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数进一步筛选特征,计算每个潜在特征与重症患者风险等级之间的相关性,其算法公式为:,其中,代表样本数量,即参与特征选择的重症患者样本的个数,代表两个变量秩的差,即某个潜在风险评估特征和重症患者的风险等级,是斯皮尔曼等级相关系数,选择相关性较高的特征作为模型输入,将筛选后的特征转换为适合Apriori算法挖掘的数据格式,这通常包括将连续型变量离散化为分类变量(如果尚未离散化),并对分类变量进行编码。In the feature selection and transformation step, based on medical literature and expert experience, features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients are selected. These features may include specific symptom combinations, vital signs (such as heart rate, blood pressure, blood oxygen saturation, etc.) and treatment responses (such as drug sensitivity, symptom improvement after treatment, etc.). The Spearman rank correlation coefficient is used to further screen features and calculate the correlation between each potential feature and the risk level of critically ill patients. The algorithm formula is: ,in, represents the number of samples, that is, the number of samples of critically ill patients participating in feature selection, Represents the difference between the ranks of two variables, namely a potential risk assessment feature and the risk level of critically ill patients, is the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. Features with higher correlation are selected as model inputs, and the screened features are converted into a data format suitable for Apriori algorithm mining, which usually includes discretizing continuous variables into categorical variables (if not discretized yet) and encoding categorical variables.

在关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,采用Apriori算法对预处理后的数据进行关联规则挖掘,首先找出数据集中所有频繁1项集,即支持度大于最小支持度阈值的单个项,然后,利用这些频繁1项集生成候选2项集,并计算它们的支持度,重复此过程,逐步生成候选k项集,直到无法再生成更多频繁项集,对于每个频繁项集,计算其支持度和与其他项集形成的关联规则的置信度,根据设定的置信度阈值,筛选出满足条件的关联规则,这些规则揭示了不同因素之间的潜在关联,对重症患者的风险评估具有重要意义,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,通过训练数据集确定模型参数,并使用测试数据集评估模型性能,将待预测数据输入到训练好的模型中,计算潜在风险的发生概率,根据概率值进行风险预警或决策支持,为医护人员提供及时、准确的风险提示。In the association rule mining and potential risk prediction steps, the Apriori algorithm is used to mine association rules on the preprocessed data. First, all frequent 1-item sets in the data set are found, that is, single items whose support is greater than the minimum support threshold. Then, these frequent 1-item sets are used to generate candidate 2-item sets and their support is calculated. This process is repeated to gradually generate candidate k-item sets until no more frequent item sets can be generated. For each frequent item set, its support and the confidence of the association rules formed with other item sets are calculated. According to the set confidence threshold, the association rules that meet the conditions are screened out. These rules reveal the potential associations between different factors and are of great significance for the risk assessment of critically ill patients. Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed, the model parameters are determined through the training data set, and the model performance is evaluated using the test data set. The data to be predicted is input into the trained model, the probability of occurrence of potential risks is calculated, and risk warnings or decision support are performed based on the probability value, providing timely and accurate risk prompts for medical staff.

在重症专科能力综合评估步骤中,根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,设定一系列评估指标对重症专科的诊疗能力进行综合评估,这些指标可能包括潜在风险预测准确率、并发症预防成功率、患者满意度和医疗资源利用效率等,采用加权求和法,对各项指标进行量化评分并加权计算综合得分,其算法公式为:,其中,是潜在风险预测准确率,是并发症预防成功率,是患者满意度,医疗资源利用效率,是是各个指标的权重,根据综合得分对重症专科的诊疗能力进行排名或分级评价,将评估结果以报告形式呈现给医院管理层和医护人员,通过对比分析不同时间段或不同专科的评估结果,识别存在的问题和不足,并提出改进措施和建议,同时,将评估结果作为医院绩效考核和资源配置的重要依据,推动医疗质量的持续改进和提升。In the comprehensive assessment step of critical care specialist capabilities, a series of evaluation indicators are set to comprehensively evaluate the diagnosis and treatment capabilities of critical care specialists based on the potential risk prediction results and actual diagnosis and treatment effects. These indicators may include the accuracy of potential risk prediction, the success rate of complication prevention, patient satisfaction, and the efficiency of medical resource utilization. The weighted summation method is used to quantify the scores of various indicators and calculate the weighted comprehensive scores. The algorithm formula is as follows: ,in, is the potential risk prediction accuracy, is the success rate of complication prevention, is patient satisfaction, Efficiency of medical resource utilization, It is the weight of each indicator. According to the comprehensive score, the diagnosis and treatment capabilities of critical care specialists are ranked or graded, and the evaluation results are presented to the hospital management and medical staff in the form of a report. By comparing and analyzing the evaluation results of different time periods or different specialties, existing problems and deficiencies are identified, and improvement measures and suggestions are proposed. At the same time, the evaluation results are used as an important basis for hospital performance appraisal and resource allocation, to promote the continuous improvement and enhancement of medical quality.

综上所述,本实施例通过结合医学知识和数据挖掘技术,对重症患者的临床数据进行深度分析和特征选择,并通过采用关联规则挖掘技术,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,基于这些关联规则通过机器学习算法构建的潜在风险预测模型,提前预测重症患者可能出现的并发症风险,并给出个性化的预防措施建议,相比传统方法更加精准和个性化,有助于提高诊疗效果,减少并发症的发生,提升患者的生存质量和满意度。In summary, this embodiment combines medical knowledge and data mining technology to conduct in-depth analysis and feature selection of the clinical data of critically ill patients, and adopts association rule mining technology to discover potential association rules between different factors. Based on these association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed through a machine learning algorithm to predict the risk of complications that may occur in critically ill patients in advance, and give personalized preventive measures. Compared with traditional methods, it is more accurate and personalized, which helps to improve the diagnosis and treatment effects, reduce the occurrence of complications, and improve the quality of life and satisfaction of patients.

实施例二Embodiment 2

本实施例在实施例一的基础上,详细描述了一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法中关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测的具体应用过程。Based on the first embodiment, this embodiment describes in detail the specific application process of association rule mining and potential risk prediction in a critical care specialist capability assessment method based on machine learning.

采用Apriori算法对预处理后的数据进行关联规则挖掘,首先找出数据集中所有频繁1项集,即支持度大于最小支持度阈值的单个项,然后,利用这些频繁1项集生成候选2项集,并计算它们的支持度,其支持度的计算公式为:,其中,是数据集中包含项集的事务(或记录)数,是数据集中的总事务数,重复此过程,逐步生成候选k项集,直到无法再生成更多频繁项集。The Apriori algorithm is used to mine association rules on the preprocessed data. First, all frequent 1-item sets in the data set are found, that is, single items whose support is greater than the minimum support threshold. Then, these frequent 1-item sets are used to generate candidate 2-item sets and their support is calculated. The calculation formula for the support is: ,in, The data set contains the itemset The number of transactions (or records) is the total number of transactions in the data set. Repeat this process to gradually generate candidate k-item sets until no more frequent item sets can be generated.

对于每个频繁项集,计算其支持度和与其他项集形成的关联规则的置信度,根据设定的置信度阈值,其计算公式为:,其中,是项集和项集同时出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,是项集出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,根据置信度阈值,筛选出满足条件的关联规则,筛选出满足条件的关联规则,这些规则揭示了不同因素之间的潜在关联,对重症患者的风险评估具有重要意义。For each frequent item set, calculate its support and the confidence of the association rules formed with other item sets. According to the set confidence threshold, the calculation formula is: ,in, It is an item set and item sets The ratio of the number of transactions occurring simultaneously to the total number of transactions, It is an item set The proportion of the number of transactions that occur to the total number of transactions is used to screen out association rules that meet the conditions based on the confidence threshold. These rules reveal the potential associations between different factors and are of great significance for risk assessment of critically ill patients.

基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,具体地,利用逻辑回归方程构建潜在风险预测模型,其算法公式为:,其中,表示在给定自变量的条件下,因变量的概率,是权重向量,表示各个自变量对风险发生概率的影响程度,是自变量向量,是偏置项,是自然对数的底数,通过训练数据集确定模型的权重向量和偏置项,并使用测试数据集对模型进行评估。Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed. Specifically, the potential risk prediction model is constructed using the logistic regression equation, and its algorithm formula is: ,in, Indicates that given the independent variable Under the condition of The probability of is a weight vector, which indicates the influence of each independent variable on the probability of risk occurrence. is the independent variable vector, is the bias term, is the base of the natural logarithm, and the weight vector of the model is determined by the training data set and the bias term , and evaluate the model using the test dataset.

根据评估结果通过算法调整模型参数,优化模型性能,其算法公式为:,其中,是训练样本的数量,是第个样本的真实标签,是第i个样本的特征向量,是预测值,表示模型参数,将待预测数据输入到训练好的模型中,计算潜在风险的发生概率,并根据概率值进行风险预警或决策支持。According to the evaluation results, the model parameters are adjusted through the algorithm to optimize the model performance. The algorithm formula is: ,in, is the number of training samples, It is The true labels of samples, is the feature vector of the i-th sample, is the predicted value, Represents model parameters, inputs the data to be predicted into the trained model, calculates the probability of occurrence of potential risks, and performs risk warning or decision support based on the probability value.

综上所述,本实施例通过设置合理的支持度和置信度阈值,筛选出了具有高价值的关联规则,这些关联规则不仅揭示了疾病发展的内在规律,还为风险评估提供了科学依据,基于这些关联规则构建的风险预测模型,能够提前预测重症患者可能出现的并发症风险,为医护人员制定个性化的诊疗方案提供了有力支持。In summary, this embodiment screens out high-value association rules by setting reasonable support and confidence thresholds. These association rules not only reveal the inherent laws of disease development, but also provide a scientific basis for risk assessment. The risk prediction model constructed based on these association rules can predict the risk of complications that may occur in critically ill patients in advance, and provide strong support for medical staff to formulate personalized diagnosis and treatment plans.

对于本领域技术人员而言,显然本发明不限于上述示范性实施例的细节,而且在不背离本发明的精神或基本特征的情况下,能够以其他的具体形式实现本发明。因此,无论从哪一点来看,均应将实施例看作是示范性的,而且是非限制性的,本发明的范围由所附权利要求而不是上述说明限定,因此旨在将落在权利要求的等同要件的含义和范围内的所有变化囊括在本发明内。不应将权利要求中的任何附图标记视为限制所涉及的权利要求。It will be apparent to those skilled in the art that the invention is not limited to the details of the exemplary embodiments described above and that the invention can be implemented in other specific forms without departing from the spirit or essential features of the invention. Therefore, the embodiments should be considered exemplary and non-limiting in all respects, and the scope of the invention is defined by the appended claims rather than the foregoing description, and it is intended that all variations falling within the meaning and scope of the equivalent elements of the claims be included in the invention. Any reference numeral in a claim should not be considered as limiting the claim to which it relates.

Claims (9)

1.一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,该方法包括以下具体步骤:1. A critical care specialist capability assessment method based on machine learning, characterized in that the method comprises the following specific steps: 数据收集与预处理:从医院信息系统和电子病历系统中收集重症患者的临床数据,包括但不限于患者基本信息、症状描述、检查结果、治疗方案、用药记录和预后情况,并对收集到的数据进行处理;Data collection and preprocessing: Collect clinical data of critically ill patients from hospital information systems and electronic medical record systems, including but not limited to basic patient information, symptom descriptions, examination results, treatment plans, medication records, and prognosis, and process the collected data; 特征选择与转换:根据医学知识和数据挖掘经验,选择对重症患者风险评估具有重要意义的特征,包括症状组合、生命体征指标和治疗反应,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式;Feature selection and conversion: Based on medical knowledge and data mining experience, select features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients, including symptom combinations, vital signs indicators, and treatment responses, and convert the original data into a data format suitable for association rule mining; 关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测:采用关联规则挖掘技术,对预处理后的数据进行深度挖掘,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,并设置支持度和置信度阈值,筛选出具有高支持度和置信度的关联规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对重症患者的未来风险进行预测;Association rule mining and potential risk prediction: Association rule mining technology is used to conduct in-depth mining of preprocessed data to discover potential association rules between different factors, and support and confidence thresholds are set to screen out association rules with high support and confidence. Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed to predict the future risks of critically ill patients; 重症专科能力综合评估:根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估。Comprehensive assessment of critical care specialist capabilities: Based on potential risk prediction results and actual diagnosis and treatment effects, a comprehensive assessment of the critical care specialist's diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality is conducted. 2.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述特征选择与转换步骤中,根据医学文献和专家经验,选择对重症患者风险评估有重要意义的特征,使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数来筛选特征,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式,包括将连续型变量离散化为分类变量,对分类变量进行编码,将患者记录转换为事务数据形式。2. According to claim 1, a critical care specialist capacity assessment method based on machine learning is characterized in that, in the feature selection and conversion step, features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients are selected based on medical literature and expert experience, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient is used to screen the features, and the original data is converted into a data format suitable for association rule mining, including discretizing continuous variables into categorical variables, encoding categorical variables, and converting patient records into transaction data form. 3.根据权利要求2所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述特征选择与转换步骤中,根据医学文献和专家经验,选择对重症患者风险评估有重要意义的特征,使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数来筛选特征,其算法公式为:,其中,代表样本数量,即参与特征选择的重症患者样本的个数,代表两个变量秩的差,即某个潜在风险评估特征和重症患者的风险等级,是斯皮尔曼等级相关系数。3. According to the method for evaluating the ability of critical care specialists based on machine learning in claim 2, it is characterized in that in the feature selection and conversion step, features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients are selected based on medical literature and expert experience, and the Spearman rank correlation coefficient is used to screen the features, and the algorithm formula is: ,in, represents the number of samples, that is, the number of samples of critically ill patients participating in feature selection, Represents the difference between the ranks of two variables, namely a potential risk assessment feature and the risk level of critically ill patients, is the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. 4.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤根据数据规模和特点选择关联规则挖掘算法,并设置支持度阈值和置信度阈值,通过应用算法和参数对数据进行挖掘,生成关联规则,根据支持度和置信度阈值筛选出有意义的关联规则,同时评估规则的医学意义,排除无实际意义的规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对新入院的重症患者或正在接受治疗的患者应用预测模型,评估其潜在风险,输出预测结果。4. According to claim 1, a critical care specialist capacity assessment method based on machine learning is characterized in that the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step selects an association rule mining algorithm according to the data scale and characteristics, and sets a support threshold and a confidence threshold. The data is mined by applying the algorithm and parameters to generate association rules, and meaningful association rules are screened out according to the support and confidence thresholds. At the same time, the medical significance of the rules is evaluated, and rules with no practical significance are excluded. Based on the mined association rules, a potential risk prediction model is constructed, and the prediction model is applied to newly admitted critically ill patients or patients undergoing treatment to evaluate their potential risks and output prediction results. 5.根据权利要求4所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,根据数据规模和特点选择Apriori算法对数据进行挖掘,并设置支持度阈值和置信度阈值,具体地,找出数据集中所有频繁1项集,即支持度大于最小支持度阈值的单个项,利用这些频繁1项集生成候选2项集,并计算它们的支持度,其支持度的计算公式为:,其中,是数据集中包含项集X的事务数,是数据集中的总事务数,重复此过程,逐步生成候选k项集,直到无法再生成更多频繁项集,对于每个频繁项集,计算其支持度和与其他项集形成的关联规则的置信度,其计算公式为:,其中,是项集和项集同时出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,是项集出现的事务数占总事务数的比例,根据置信度阈值,筛选出满足条件的关联规则。5. According to the method for evaluating the ability of critical care specialists based on machine learning in claim 4, it is characterized in that in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step, the Apriori algorithm is selected to mine the data according to the data scale and characteristics, and the support threshold and confidence threshold are set. Specifically, all frequent 1-item sets in the data set, that is, single items whose support is greater than the minimum support threshold, are found, and candidate 2-item sets are generated using these frequent 1-item sets, and their support is calculated. The calculation formula for the support is: ,in, is the number of transactions in the dataset that contain itemset X, is the total number of transactions in the data set. Repeat this process to gradually generate candidate k-item sets until no more frequent item sets can be generated. For each frequent item set, calculate its support and the confidence of the association rules formed with other item sets. The calculation formula is: ,in, It is an item set and item sets The ratio of the number of transactions occurring simultaneously to the total number of transactions, It is an item set The proportion of the number of transactions that occur to the total number of transactions is used to filter out association rules that meet the conditions based on the confidence threshold. 6.根据权利要求4所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,具体地,利用逻辑回归方程构建潜在风险预测模型,其算法公式为:,其中,表示在给定自变量的条件下,因变量的概率,是权重向量,表示各个自变量对风险发生概率的影响程度,是自变量向量,是偏置项,是自然对数的底数,通过训练数据集确定模型的权重向量和偏置项,并使用测试数据集对模型进行评估,根据评估结果通过算法调整模型参数,优化模型性能,将待预测数据输入到训练好的模型中,计算潜在风险的发生概率,并根据概率值进行风险预警或决策支持。6. According to the method for evaluating the ability of critical care specialists based on machine learning in claim 4, it is characterized in that in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction step, a potential risk prediction model is constructed based on the mined association rules. Specifically, the potential risk prediction model is constructed using a logistic regression equation, and its algorithm formula is: ,in, Indicates that given the independent variable Under the condition of The probability of is a weight vector, which indicates the influence of each independent variable on the probability of risk occurrence. is the independent variable vector, is the bias term, is the base of the natural logarithm, and the weight vector of the model is determined by the training data set and the bias term , and use the test data set to evaluate the model. According to the evaluation results, the model parameters are adjusted through the algorithm to optimize the model performance. The data to be predicted is input into the trained model, the probability of occurrence of potential risks is calculated, and risk warning or decision support is carried out according to the probability value. 7.根据权利要求6所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测步骤中,根据评估结果通过算法调整模型参数,优化模型性能,其算法公式为:,其中,是训练样本的数量,是第个样本的真实标签,是第个样本的特征向量,是预测值,表示模型参数。7. A critical care specialist capacity assessment method based on machine learning according to claim 6, characterized in that in the association rule mining and potential risk prediction steps, the model parameters are adjusted by an algorithm according to the assessment results to optimize the model performance, and the algorithm formula is: ,in, is the number of training samples, It is The true labels of samples, It is The feature vector of the samples, is the predicted value, Represents model parameters. 8.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估方法,其特征在于,所述重症专科能力综合评估步骤中,根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估,其算法公式为:,其中,是潜在风险预测准确率,是并发症预防成功率,是患者满意度,医疗资源利用效率,是各个指标的权重。8. According to a method for evaluating the capabilities of critical care specialists based on machine learning in claim 1, it is characterized in that in the step of comprehensively evaluating the capabilities of critical care specialists, the diagnostic and treatment capabilities and service quality of critical care specialists are comprehensively evaluated according to the potential risk prediction results and the actual diagnosis and treatment effects, and the algorithm formula is: ,in, is the potential risk prediction accuracy, is the success rate of complication prevention, is patient satisfaction, Efficiency of medical resource utilization, is the weight of each indicator. 9.一种基于机器学习的重症专科能力评估系统,其特征在于,所述该系统包括以下组成部分:数据收集与预处理模块、特征选择与转换模块、关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测模块和重症专科能力综合评估模块;9. A critical care specialist capability assessment system based on machine learning, characterized in that the system comprises the following components: a data collection and preprocessing module, a feature selection and conversion module, an association rule mining and potential risk prediction module, and a critical care specialist capability comprehensive assessment module; 所述数据收集与预处理模块从医院信息系统和电子病历系统中收集重症患者的临床数据,包括但不限于患者基本信息、症状描述、检查结果、治疗方案、用药记录和预后情况,并对收集到的数据进行处理;The data collection and preprocessing module collects clinical data of critically ill patients from the hospital information system and electronic medical record system, including but not limited to basic information of patients, symptom descriptions, examination results, treatment plans, medication records and prognosis, and processes the collected data; 所述特征选择与转换模块根据医学知识和数据挖掘经验,选择对重症患者风险评估具有重要意义的特征,包括症状组合、生命体征指标和治疗反应,并将原始数据转换为适合关联规则挖掘的数据格式;The feature selection and conversion module selects features that are important for risk assessment of critically ill patients, including symptom combinations, vital sign indicators, and treatment responses, based on medical knowledge and data mining experience, and converts raw data into a data format suitable for association rule mining; 所述关联规则挖掘与潜在风险预测模块采用关联规则挖掘技术,对预处理后的数据进行深度挖掘,发现不同因素之间的潜在关联规则,并设置支持度和置信度阈值,筛选出具有高支持度和置信度的关联规则,基于挖掘出的关联规则,构建潜在风险预测模型,对重症患者的未来风险进行预测;The association rule mining and potential risk prediction module uses association rule mining technology to perform in-depth mining on preprocessed data, discover potential association rules between different factors, set support and confidence thresholds, screen out association rules with high support and confidence, and build a potential risk prediction model based on the mined association rules to predict the future risks of critically ill patients; 所述重症专科能力综合评估模块根据潜在风险预测结果和实际诊疗效果,对重症专科的诊疗能力、服务质量进行综合评估。The comprehensive assessment module for critical care unit capabilities conducts a comprehensive assessment of the critical care unit's diagnosis and treatment capabilities and service quality based on potential risk prediction results and actual diagnosis and treatment effects.
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