CN118868426A - Power energy management system based on smart IoT - Google Patents
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J13/00—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
- H02J13/00002—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by monitoring
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J13/00—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
- H02J13/00001—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by the display of information or by user interaction, e.g. supervisory control and data acquisition systems [SCADA] or graphical user interfaces [GUI]
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J13/00—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
- H02J13/00006—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by information or instructions transport means between the monitoring, controlling or managing units and monitored, controlled or operated power network element or electrical equipment
- H02J13/00022—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by information or instructions transport means between the monitoring, controlling or managing units and monitored, controlled or operated power network element or electrical equipment using wireless data transmission
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J13/00—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
- H02J13/00006—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by information or instructions transport means between the monitoring, controlling or managing units and monitored, controlled or operated power network element or electrical equipment
- H02J13/00028—Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by information or instructions transport means between the monitoring, controlling or managing units and monitored, controlled or operated power network element or electrical equipment involving the use of Internet protocols
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Abstract
本发明公开了基于智慧物联的电力能源管理系统,涉及能源管理技术领域,本发明包括数据获取单元、设备状态分析单元、供电数据分析单元、趋势分析单元及决策支持单元;数据获取单元,用于获取并整合来自不同设备和传感器的数据,进行预处理;确定需要监控的用电设备和传感器,并将其与数据获取单元进行物理或无线连接;本发明,通过集成智慧物联技术,显著提高了电力能源管理系统的效率和智能化水平,与传统的人工监控和定期维护方式相比,本系统能够实时监控电网状态,快速响应电网异常,减少响应时间,并利用先进的数据分析技术提供深入的洞察,从而优化能源消耗模式和设备维护策略。
The present invention discloses an electric energy management system based on smart Internet of Things, and relates to the technical field of energy management. The present invention comprises a data acquisition unit, an equipment status analysis unit, a power supply data analysis unit, a trend analysis unit and a decision support unit; the data acquisition unit is used to acquire and integrate data from different devices and sensors for preprocessing; the electric equipment and sensors that need to be monitored are determined, and they are physically or wirelessly connected to the data acquisition unit; the present invention significantly improves the efficiency and intelligence level of the electric energy management system by integrating smart Internet of Things technology. Compared with traditional manual monitoring and regular maintenance methods, the system can monitor the status of the power grid in real time, respond quickly to power grid anomalies, reduce response time, and use advanced data analysis technology to provide in-depth insights, thereby optimizing energy consumption patterns and equipment maintenance strategies.
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及能源管理技术领域,具体为基于智慧物联的电力能源管理系统。The present invention relates to the field of energy management technology, and in particular to an electric energy management system based on smart Internet of Things.
背景技术Background Art
随着电力系统的规模和复杂性日益增加,如何实现对电网的高效、智能化管理成为了一个迫切需要解决的技术难题。现有的电力能源管理系统多采用人工监控和定期维护的方式,这种方式存在响应时间长、效率低下、预测能力有限等问题,难以满足现代社会对能源管理的高效、智能和环保的需求;As the scale and complexity of power systems increase, how to achieve efficient and intelligent management of power grids has become a technical problem that urgently needs to be solved. Existing power energy management systems mostly use manual monitoring and regular maintenance. This method has problems such as long response time, low efficiency, and limited prediction ability. It is difficult to meet the modern society's demand for efficient, intelligent and environmentally friendly energy management;
传统电力能源管理系统常受限于数据采集的局限性、分析方法的落后以及决策支持的不足。它们往往无法实时、准确地监控电网状态,对于设备性能的评估和故障预警能力有限。此外,现有系统在处理大量数据时,常因缺乏高效的数据分析工具和模型而无法提供深入的洞察,导致决策过程中缺乏数据支持,无法实现优化的能源消耗模式和设备维护策略。Traditional power energy management systems are often limited by data collection limitations, backward analysis methods, and insufficient decision support. They are often unable to monitor the state of the power grid in real time and accurately, and have limited capabilities for evaluating equipment performance and warning of faults. In addition, when processing large amounts of data, existing systems often lack efficient data analysis tools and models and are unable to provide in-depth insights, resulting in a lack of data support in the decision-making process and an inability to achieve optimized energy consumption patterns and equipment maintenance strategies.
智慧物联技术的发展为电力能源管理提供了新的解决方案。通过集成先进的传感器、通信技术和数据分析算法,智慧物联系统能够实现对电网的全面监控和深入分析。然而,如何将这些技术有效整合并应用于电力能源管理系统,以实现实时监控、智能预警和优化决策,仍是当前技术发展中的一个挑战。本发明正是在这样的背景下提出的,旨在通过创新的技术方案,克服现有技术的局限性,提供一种更为高效、智能的电力能源管理方式。The development of smart IoT technology provides new solutions for power energy management. By integrating advanced sensors, communication technologies and data analysis algorithms, smart IoT systems can achieve comprehensive monitoring and in-depth analysis of power grids. However, how to effectively integrate and apply these technologies to power energy management systems to achieve real-time monitoring, intelligent early warning and optimized decision-making is still a challenge in the current technological development. It is in this context that the present invention is proposed, aiming to overcome the limitations of existing technologies through innovative technical solutions and provide a more efficient and intelligent power energy management method.
为了解决上述缺陷,现提供技术方案。In order to solve the above defects, a technical solution is now provided.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明的目的在于解决传统电力能源管理系统在实时监控、智能预警和优化决策方面的不足,而提出基于智慧物联的电力能源管理系统。The purpose of the present invention is to solve the deficiencies of traditional power energy management systems in real-time monitoring, intelligent early warning and optimized decision-making, and to propose a power energy management system based on smart Internet of Things.
本发明的目的可以通过以下技术方案实现:The purpose of the present invention can be achieved through the following technical solutions:
基于智慧物联的电力能源管理系统,包括:The power energy management system based on smart IoT includes:
数据获取单元,用于获取并整合来自不同设备和传感器的数据,进行预处理;A data acquisition unit, used to acquire and integrate data from different devices and sensors for preprocessing;
设备状态分析单元,用于通过获取的设备状态数据实时评估设备健康状态;An equipment status analysis unit, used to evaluate the health status of equipment in real time through acquired equipment status data;
供电数据分析单元,用于通过对电网采集的各节点电力参数进行实时的异常分析;The power supply data analysis unit is used to perform real-time abnormal analysis on the power parameters of each node collected from the power grid;
趋势分析单元,用于对存储的数据进行分析,识别能源消耗模式及设备性能退化趋势;A trend analysis unit for analyzing stored data to identify energy consumption patterns and equipment performance degradation trends;
决策支持单元,用于集成不同分析结果并提供决策支持,具体过程如下:The decision support unit is used to integrate different analysis results and provide decision support. The specific process is as follows:
收集并统一不同分析单元的数据格式,确保数据可比性,合并分析结果,识别趋势和问题;Collect and unify data formats from different analysis units to ensure data comparability, consolidate analysis results, and identify trends and issues;
识别设备故障和能源供应风险,并评估影响;Identify equipment failures and energy supply risks, and assess the impact;
基于分析结果,制定多个应对方案,对每个方案进行量化评估,根据评估结果,对方案进行排序,确定最佳选择;Based on the analysis results, formulate multiple response plans, conduct quantitative evaluation on each plan, and rank the plans according to the evaluation results to determine the best option;
向决策者提供行动方案和预期效果,为选定方案制定详细的执行计划,包括时间、资源和责任分配;Provide decision makers with action plans and expected results, and develop detailed implementation plans for selected options, including time, resource and responsibility allocation;
使用模拟工具预测方案实施效果,为决策提供支持,制定监控方案,确保方案实施过程中能及时调整策略。Use simulation tools to predict the effectiveness of program implementation, provide support for decision-making, develop monitoring plans, and ensure that strategies can be adjusted in a timely manner during program implementation.
进一步的,所述决策支持单元中对每个方案进行量化评估确定最佳方案选择的具体过程如下:Furthermore, the specific process of quantitatively evaluating each solution and determining the best solution in the decision support unit is as follows:
评估每个备选方案的可行性、成本效益和潜在影响,根据方案的评估结果,对备选方案进行优先级排序;Evaluate the feasibility, cost-effectiveness and potential impact of each alternative, and prioritize the alternatives based on the evaluation results;
对备选方案的优先级评估包括以下参数的综合评估:The prioritization of alternatives includes a comprehensive assessment of the following parameters:
成本效益分析:初始投资成本、运营成本及预期节约成本或收益;Cost-benefit analysis: initial investment cost, operating costs and expected cost savings or benefits;
技术可行性:技术成熟度、技术实施的难易程度及技术兼容性;Technical feasibility: technical maturity, ease of technical implementation and technical compatibility;
时间框架:实施时间及达到预期效果的时间;Time frame: time for implementation and time to achieve the expected results;
资源需求:人力需求、物资需求及技术资源需求;Resource requirements: human resources, materials and technical resources;
风险评估:技术风险、操作风险及市场风险;Risk assessment: technical risk, operational risk and market risk;
环境影响:碳足迹、能源消耗及可持续性;Environmental impact: carbon footprint, energy consumption and sustainability;
用户和利益相关者的反馈:利益相关者满意度及用户接受度;User and stakeholder feedback: stakeholder satisfaction and user acceptance;
为每个参数分配权重,再对每个方案在各个参数上的表现进行评分,最后计算加权得分,将所有备选方案的加权得分最高的方案视为最终选择的方案。Assign a weight to each parameter, then score each option on the performance of each parameter, and finally calculate the weighted score. The option with the highest weighted score among all alternative options is considered the final selected option.
进一步的,所述数据获取单元获取并整合来自不同设备和传感器的数据,进行预处理的具体操作步骤如下:Furthermore, the data acquisition unit acquires and integrates data from different devices and sensors, and performs preprocessing in the following specific steps:
确定监控对象,通过物理或无线方式连接用电设备和传感器;Determine the monitoring object and connect the electrical equipment and sensors physically or wirelessly;
为设备和传感器设定统一的数据采集和通信协议,确保设备和传感器能实时发送数据至数据获取单元;Set up unified data collection and communication protocols for devices and sensors to ensure that devices and sensors can send data to the data acquisition unit in real time;
同步数据时间戳,保证数据一致性,去除噪声和异常值,执行滤波和去重;Synchronize data timestamps, ensure data consistency, remove noise and outliers, and perform filtering and deduplication;
将数据转换为标准格式,并进行归一化处理,为数据附上设备标识、时间戳和数据类型元信息;Convert the data into a standard format, normalize it, and attach device identification, timestamp, and data type metadata to the data;
将预处理数据存储于数据库或数据仓库,并进行分类,自动化预处理流程,减少手动操作;Store and categorize preprocessed data in a database or data warehouse, automate the preprocessing process, and reduce manual operations;
根据性能和需求定期优化预处理流程,记录预处理过程信息,用于问题追踪和系统调试。Regularly optimize the preprocessing process based on performance and requirements, and record preprocessing process information for problem tracking and system debugging.
进一步的,所述设备状态分析单元通过获取的设备状态数据实时评估设备健康状态的具体操作步骤如下:Furthermore, the specific operation steps of the device status analysis unit to evaluate the health status of the device in real time through the acquired device status data are as follows:
接收预处理的设备状态数据,并提取参数,关于制造商信息和历史数据,为设备参数设定正常运行基线和安全阈值;Receive pre-processed equipment status data and extract parameters, manufacturer information and historical data to set normal operation baselines and safety thresholds for equipment parameters;
持续监测实时数据,并与基线及阈值进行比较,应用统计或机器学习算法来识别数据中的异常模式;Continuously monitor real-time data and compare it to baselines and thresholds, applying statistical or machine learning algorithms to identify abnormal patterns in the data;
计算设备健康状况指标,包括剩余使用寿命,再根据用电设备的异常参数综合评估用电设备的健康状况,对异常数据进行分析,诊断潜在故障原因;Calculate equipment health indicators, including remaining service life, and then comprehensively evaluate the health of electrical equipment based on abnormal parameters of electrical equipment, analyze abnormal data, and diagnose potential causes of failures;
根据设备状态和诊断结果,提供维护和修复建议记录分析结果,包括设备状态、异常、预警和维护建议;Provide maintenance and repair suggestions based on equipment status and diagnostic results. Record analysis results, including equipment status, anomalies, warnings, and maintenance suggestions;
通过用户界面或通知系统将信息传达给相关人员,根据反馈调整评估模型,以提高准确性和可靠性。Communicate information to relevant personnel through the user interface or notification system, and adjust the assessment model based on the feedback to improve accuracy and reliability.
进一步的,所述设备状态分析单元根据用电设备的异常参数综合评估用电设备的健康状况的具体操作步骤如下:Furthermore, the specific operation steps of the device status analysis unit for comprehensively evaluating the health status of the electrical equipment according to the abnormal parameters of the electrical equipment are as follows:
异常参数包括:Exception parameters include:
负载波动:设备负载的波动情况,将不同时刻的负载计算标准差,并记为负波值,以此负波值作为衡量用电设备负载波动情况;Load fluctuation: The fluctuation of equipment load. The standard deviation of the load at different times is calculated and recorded as the negative wave value. This negative wave value is used to measure the load fluctuation of electrical equipment.
故障率:设备故障的频率;Failure rate: how often equipment fails;
维护次数:设备的历史维护和修理记录;Maintenance times: historical maintenance and repair records of the equipment;
性能退化指标:包括效率下降及响应时间增加,这些指标反映了设备性能随时间的退化,记录设备的初始效率及响应时间,根据现有效率及响应时间计算效率下降百分比及响应时间增加百分比,归一化处理后以效率下降百分比为底圆半径,以响应时间增加百分比为高建立圆锥体模型,计算该圆锥体模型的表面积,记为性能值,并以此性退值作为衡量用电设备性能退化的标准;Performance degradation indicators: including efficiency decline and response time increase. These indicators reflect the degradation of equipment performance over time. The initial efficiency and response time of the equipment are recorded. The efficiency decline percentage and response time increase percentage are calculated based on the existing efficiency and response time. After normalization, a cone model is established with the efficiency decline percentage as the base circle radius and the response time increase percentage as the height. The surface area of the cone model is calculated and recorded as the performance value. This performance degradation value is used as the standard for measuring the performance degradation of electrical equipment.
环境因素:通过监测湿度及腐蚀性气体浓度环境因素,并预设标准湿度及标准腐蚀性气体浓度,计算湿度差值及腐蚀性气体浓度差值,归一化处理后,计算湿度差值与腐蚀性气体浓度差值之和,记为环超值,并以此环超值作为衡量环境因素对用电设备的运行影响的标准;Environmental factors: By monitoring the humidity and corrosive gas concentration environmental factors, and presetting the standard humidity and standard corrosive gas concentration, the humidity difference and the corrosive gas concentration difference are calculated. After normalization, the sum of the humidity difference and the corrosive gas concentration difference is calculated and recorded as the environmental excess value. This environmental excess value is used as a standard to measure the impact of environmental factors on the operation of electrical equipment;
将得到的负波值、故障率、维护次数、性退值及环超值分别标定为fc、gz、wc、xt及hc,归一化处理后代入以下公式:以得到状评值ZKP,式中分别为负波值、故障率、维护次数、性退值及环超值的预设权重系数,并将得到的状评值ZKP作为衡量用电设备的健康状况标准;The obtained negative wave value, failure rate, maintenance times, degradation value and ring overload value are calibrated as fc, gz, wc, xt and hc respectively, and after normalization, they are entered into the following formula: To get the state evaluation value ZKP, where The preset weight coefficients are negative wave value, failure rate, maintenance times, degradation value and ring overload value respectively, and the obtained status evaluation value ZKP is used as the health status standard of electrical equipment;
再将得到的用电设备剩余使用寿命与状评值归一化处理后代入以下公式:以得到修正寿命XZZ,式中SSM为计算的用电设备剩余使用寿命,为预设的标准状评值,为预设的修正因子,将得到的修正寿命XZZ作为最终对用电设备剩余使用寿命的评估标准;Then the remaining service life and condition evaluation value of the electrical equipment are normalized and entered into the following formula: To obtain the corrected life XZZ, where SSM is the remaining service life of the electrical equipment. For the preset standard status evaluation, is a preset correction factor, and the obtained corrected life XZZ is used as the final evaluation standard for the remaining service life of the electrical equipment;
将得到的状评值ZKP与预设的标准状评值区间进行比对,判断状评值ZKP是否属于预设的标准状评值区间范围内,当状评值ZKP属于预设的标准状评值区间范围外时,则生成预警信息。The obtained condition evaluation value ZKP is compared with the preset standard condition evaluation value interval to determine whether the condition evaluation value ZKP belongs to the preset standard condition evaluation value interval. When the condition evaluation value ZKP belongs to the preset standard condition evaluation value interval, an early warning message is generated.
进一步的,所述供电数据分析单元通过对电网采集的各节点电力参数进行实时的异常分析的具体操作步骤如下:Furthermore, the specific operation steps of the power supply data analysis unit for performing real-time abnormal analysis on the power parameters of each node collected from the power grid are as follows:
从数据获取单元接收预处理后的电力参数数据,持续监控电网状态,确保数据实时性和准确性;Receive pre-processed power parameter data from the data acquisition unit, continuously monitor the power grid status, and ensure the real-time and accuracy of the data;
基于历史数据建立电力参数的正常运行基线,根据设计标准设定关键参数的安全阈值;Establish normal operation baselines for power parameters based on historical data and set safety thresholds for key parameters according to design standards;
使用统计或机器学习算法识别数据中的异常模式,对实时数据流进行分析,识别问题,通过异常判断机制自动触发报警并通知相关人员;Use statistical or machine learning algorithms to identify abnormal patterns in data, analyze real-time data streams, identify problems, and automatically trigger alarms and notify relevant personnel through abnormal judgment mechanisms;
评估异常对电网稳定性和供电质量的影响,记录异常事件并生成异常分析报告;Evaluate the impact of abnormalities on grid stability and power supply quality, record abnormal events and generate abnormal analysis reports;
根据分析结果调整电网运行参数,恢复正常状态,提供运行优化建议,减少未来异常事件;Adjust grid operation parameters based on analysis results to restore normal conditions, provide operation optimization suggestions, and reduce future abnormal events;
持续优化异常检测算法,提高检测准确性和响应速度。Continuously optimize anomaly detection algorithms to improve detection accuracy and response speed.
进一步的,所述供电数据分析单元中的异常判断机制过程如下:Furthermore, the abnormality judgment mechanism process in the power supply data analysis unit is as follows:
基于历史数据确定电力参数的正常运行范围或模式,计算平均值、标准差统计特性,建立基线;Determine the normal operating range or mode of power parameters based on historical data, calculate the average and standard deviation statistical characteristics, and establish a baseline;
根据设计标准和经验数据,为各参数设定上限和下限阈值,将实时数据与基线和阈值比较,超出阈值的参数视为潜在异常;According to the design standards and empirical data, set upper and lower thresholds for each parameter, compare the real-time data with the baseline and threshold, and regard the parameters exceeding the threshold as potential abnormalities;
应用监督学习和无监督学习算法识别异常模式,评估多个参数间的相互关系,使用多变量方法检测异常;Apply supervised and unsupervised learning algorithms to identify abnormal patterns, evaluate the interrelationships between multiple parameters, and use multivariate methods to detect anomalies;
识别周期性变化、趋势或季节性模式中的异常波动,检测电压或频率参数的快速变化,指示瞬态事件;Identify unusual fluctuations in cyclical changes, trends or seasonal patterns, and detect rapid changes in voltage or frequency parameters, indicating transient events;
分析参数间的关联规则,识别连锁异常模式,根据新数据调整基线和阈值,适应电网运行条件变化;Analyze the association rules between parameters, identify chain abnormal patterns, and adjust baselines and thresholds based on new data to adapt to changes in grid operating conditions;
为异常检测结果分配严重程度评分 ,根据异常严重程度触发相应级别的报警;Assign severity scores to anomaly detection results and trigger alarms of corresponding levels based on the severity of the anomaly;
对异常检测结果进行人工审核,排除误报,确认异常后,通过通信渠道通知相关人员。Manually review the anomaly detection results to eliminate false positives, and notify relevant personnel through communication channels after confirming the anomaly.
进一步的,所述趋势分析单元识别能源消耗模式及设备性能退化趋势的具体过程如下:Furthermore, the specific process of the trend analysis unit identifying the energy consumption pattern and the equipment performance degradation trend is as follows:
持续从数据获取单元收集供电设备状态和用电参数数据,整合不同来源的数据,形成统一视图;Continuously collect power supply equipment status and power consumption parameter data from the data acquisition unit, integrate data from different sources to form a unified view;
分析数据以识别周期性、趋势和季节性变化,基于历史数据,建立关键参数的长期运行基线,使用统计或机器学习算法识别长期趋势和短期波动;Analyze data to identify cyclical, trending, and seasonal changes, establish long-term operating baselines for key parameters based on historical data, and use statistical or machine learning algorithms to identify long-term trends and short-term fluctuations;
分析性能指标变化,识别设备性能退化迹象,通过聚类分析方法识别能源消耗模式,分析不同参数间的相关性;Analyze changes in performance indicators, identify signs of equipment performance degradation, identify energy consumption patterns through cluster analysis methods, and analyze the correlation between different parameters;
构建模型预测未来能源消耗和设备性能,将分析结果整合到决策支持系统中;根据趋势分析反馈调整能源管理和设备维护策略。Build models to predict future energy consumption and equipment performance, and integrate analysis results into decision support systems; adjust energy management and equipment maintenance strategies based on trend analysis feedback.
进一步的,所述趋势分析单元中构建模型预测未来能源消耗和设备性能的过程如下:Furthermore, the process of constructing a model in the trend analysis unit to predict future energy consumption and equipment performance is as follows:
通过可视化和统计分析探索数据特性和模式,识别并选择对预测目标影响最大的特征;Explore data characteristics and patterns through visualization and statistical analysis to identify and select features that have the greatest impact on the prediction target;
将数据分为训练集、验证集和测试集,根据问题和数据特点选择对应的预测模型;Divide the data into training set, validation set and test set, and select the corresponding prediction model according to the problem and data characteristics;
使用训练集数据训练模型,并调整参数以优化性能,使用验证集和指标评估模型性能,通过参数调整、特征选择和集成学习方法优化模型;Train the model using training set data and adjust parameters to optimize performance, evaluate model performance using validation sets and metrics, and optimize the model through parameter adjustment, feature selection, and ensemble learning methods;
使用交叉验证评估模型稳定性和泛化能力,根据结果选择最佳模型并进行调整;Use cross-validation to evaluate model stability and generalization ability, select the best model based on the results and make adjustments;
使用测试集进行模型验证,确保预测准确性,将训练好的模型部署用于实时或定期预测任务;Use the test set to validate the model to ensure prediction accuracy, and deploy the trained model for real-time or periodic prediction tasks;
持续监控模型性能,确保预测准确性,根据新数据和反馈定期更新模型;Continuously monitor model performance to ensure forecast accuracy and regularly update models based on new data and feedback;
生成预测报告和可视化结果,辅助决策,建立反馈机制,收集用户反馈,不断改进模型。Generate prediction reports and visualization results, assist decision making, establish feedback mechanisms, collect user feedback, and continuously improve models.
与现有技术相比,本发明的有益效果是:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following beneficial effects:
本发明,通过集成智慧物联技术,显著提高了电力能源管理系统的效率和智能化水平,与传统的人工监控和定期维护方式相比,本系统能够实时监控电网状态,快速响应电网异常,减少响应时间,并利用先进的数据分析技术提供深入的洞察,从而优化能源消耗模式和设备维护策略;The present invention significantly improves the efficiency and intelligence level of the power energy management system by integrating smart IoT technology. Compared with the traditional manual monitoring and periodic maintenance methods, the system can monitor the power grid status in real time, respond quickly to power grid anomalies, reduce response time, and use advanced data analysis technology to provide in-depth insights, thereby optimizing energy consumption patterns and equipment maintenance strategies;
本发明,通过设备状态分析单元和供电数据分析单元,可以实时评估设备健康状态并进行异常分析,及时发现并预警潜在的设备故障和能源供应风险,这不仅增强了电网的稳定性,还提高了设备的可靠性和使用寿命,减少了意外停机时间,确保了电力供应的连续性和安全性;The present invention, through the equipment status analysis unit and the power supply data analysis unit, can evaluate the equipment health status in real time and perform abnormal analysis, timely discover and warn of potential equipment failures and energy supply risks, which not only enhances the stability of the power grid, but also improves the reliability and service life of the equipment, reduces unexpected downtime, and ensures the continuity and safety of power supply;
本发明,利用决策支持单元综合不同分析结果,提供量化评估和优先级排序,帮助决策者选择最佳方案,不仅提高了决策的准确性,还考虑了成本效益、技术可行性、时间框架、资源需求、风险评估和环境影响等多方面因素,实现了资源的合理分配和优化利用,从而提高了整个电力能源管理系统的经济性和环境可持续性。The present invention utilizes a decision support unit to integrate different analysis results, provide quantitative evaluation and priority sorting, and help decision makers choose the best solution. It not only improves the accuracy of decision-making, but also takes into account multiple factors such as cost-effectiveness, technical feasibility, time frame, resource requirements, risk assessment and environmental impact, thereby achieving reasonable allocation and optimal utilization of resources, thereby improving the economy and environmental sustainability of the entire power energy management system.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了便于本领域技术人员理解,下面结合附图对本发明作进一步的说明;In order to facilitate understanding by those skilled in the art, the present invention is further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings;
图1为本发明的系统总框图。FIG. 1 is a general block diagram of the system of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
下面将结合实施例对本发明的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其它实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solution of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the embodiments. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.
应当理解,本披露的说明书和权利要求书中使用的术语“包括”和 “包含”指示所描述特征、整体、步骤、操作、元素和/或组件的存在,但并不排除一个或多个其它特征、整体、步骤、操作、元素、组件和/或其集合的存在或添加。It should be understood that the terms "include" and "comprising" used in the specification and claims of the present disclosure indicate the presence of described features, integers, steps, operations, elements and/or components, but do not exclude the presence or addition of one or more other features, integers, steps, operations, elements, components and/or collections thereof.
还应当理解,在此本披露说明书中所使用的术语仅仅是出于描述特定实施例的目的,而并不意在限定本披露。如在本披露说明书和权利要求书中所使用的那样,除非上下文清楚地指明其它情况,否则单数形式的“一”、“一个”及“该”意在包括复数形式。还应当进一步理解,在本披露说明书和权利要求书中使用的术语“和/ 或”是指相关联列出的项中的一个或多个的任何组合以及所有可能组合,并且包括这些组合。It should also be understood that the terms used in this disclosure are only for the purpose of describing specific embodiments and are not intended to limit the disclosure. As used in this disclosure and claims, the singular forms of "a", "an", and "the" are intended to include the plural forms unless the context clearly indicates otherwise. It should also be further understood that the term "and/or" used in this disclosure and claims refers to any combination of one or more of the associated listed items and all possible combinations, and includes these combinations.
如图1所示,基于智慧物联的电力能源管理系统,包括数据获取单元、设备状态分析单元、供电数据分析单元、趋势分析单元及决策支持单元;As shown in Figure 1, the power energy management system based on smart IoT includes a data acquisition unit, an equipment status analysis unit, a power supply data analysis unit, a trend analysis unit, and a decision support unit;
数据获取单元用于获取并整合来自不同设备和传感器的数据,进行预处理;The data acquisition unit is used to acquire and integrate data from different devices and sensors for preprocessing;
确定需要监控的用电设备和传感器,并将其与数据获取单元进行物理或无线连接;为不同类型的用电设备和传感器定义统一的数据采集协议,确保数据格式的一致性;建立数据流,确保用电设备和传感器能够实时地将数据发送到数据获取单元中,从而使数据获取单元接收来自各个用电设备和传感器的数据流;Identify the electrical devices and sensors that need to be monitored and connect them to the data acquisition unit physically or wirelessly; define a unified data acquisition protocol for different types of electrical devices and sensors to ensure consistency in data format; establish data streams to ensure that electrical devices and sensors can send data to the data acquisition unit in real time, so that the data acquisition unit receives data streams from various electrical devices and sensors;
将所有接收的数据在时间戳上进行同步,用于后续的分析和处理;通过滤波和去重方法去除数据中的噪声和异常值,并将数据转换为同意的格式;再对数据进行归一化处理,消除不同用电设备和传感器之间的量纲差异,同时为数据添加元数据,如设备标识、时间戳及数据类型;All received data are synchronized on the timestamp for subsequent analysis and processing; noise and outliers in the data are removed through filtering and deduplication methods, and the data is converted into a consistent format; the data is then normalized to eliminate dimensional differences between different electrical devices and sensors, and metadata is added to the data, such as device identification, timestamp, and data type;
将预处理后的数据存储至适当的数据库或数据仓库中,同时对存储的数据进行分类,分为供电设备状态数据及用电参数数据;将上述预处理流程进行自动化设置,减少人工干预,提高效率;根据系统性能和数据分析需求,对预处理流程进行优化,同时对数据预处理过程中的信息进行记录,用于后续问题追踪和系统调试。Store the preprocessed data in an appropriate database or data warehouse, and classify the stored data into power supply equipment status data and power consumption parameter data; automate the above preprocessing process to reduce manual intervention and improve efficiency; optimize the preprocessing process based on system performance and data analysis requirements, and record the information during the data preprocessing process for subsequent problem tracking and system debugging.
设备状态分析单元用于通过获取的设备状态数据实时评估设备健康状态;The device status analysis unit is used to evaluate the health status of the device in real time through the acquired device status data;
首先接收数据获取单元预处理后的用电设备状态数据,对接收的数据进行解析,提取数据中的参数,如温度、振动、电流、电压等;为每种用电设备建立正常运行状态下的参数基线,根据设备制造商的用户手册信息和历史运行数据,为关键参数设定安全阈值;持续监测用电设备的实时数据,与基线和阈值进行比较;First, the state data of the electrical equipment preprocessed by the data acquisition unit is received, and the received data is parsed to extract parameters in the data, such as temperature, vibration, current, voltage, etc.; a parameter baseline under normal operating conditions is established for each electrical equipment, and safety thresholds are set for key parameters based on the user manual information and historical operating data of the equipment manufacturer; the real-time data of the electrical equipment is continuously monitored and compared with the baseline and threshold;
使用统计方法或机器学习算法检测数据中的异常模式,根据用电设备参数,计算用电设备的健康状况指标,如剩余使用寿命,再根据用电设备的异常参数综合评估用电设备的健康状况,异常参数包括:Use statistical methods or machine learning algorithms to detect abnormal patterns in the data, calculate the health indicators of the electrical equipment, such as the remaining service life, based on the parameters of the electrical equipment, and then comprehensively evaluate the health status of the electrical equipment based on the abnormal parameters of the electrical equipment. The abnormal parameters include:
负载波动:设备负载的波动情况,频繁或剧烈的负载变化可能对设备造成损害,将不同时刻的负载计算标准差,并记为负波值,以此负波值作为衡量用电设备负载波动情况;故障率:设备故障的频率,高故障率可能表明设备老化或维护不足;维护次数:设备的历史维护和修理记录,不良的维护历史可能影响设备健康状况;性能退化指标:包括效率下降及响应时间增加,这些指标反映了设备性能随时间的退化,记录设备的初始效率及响应时间,根据现有效率及响应时间计算效率下降百分比及响应时间增加百分比,归一化处理后以效率下降百分比为底圆半径,以响应时间增加百分比为高建立圆锥体模型,计算该圆锥体模型的表面积,记为性能值,并以此性退值作为衡量用电设备性能退化的标准;环境因素:通过监测湿度及腐蚀性气体浓度环境因素,并预设标准湿度及标准腐蚀性气体浓度,计算湿度差值及腐蚀性气体浓度差值,归一化处理后,计算湿度差值与腐蚀性气体浓度差值之和,记为环超值,并以此环超值作为衡量环境因素对用电设备的运行影响的标准;Load fluctuation: Fluctuation of equipment load. Frequent or drastic load changes may cause damage to the equipment. The standard deviation of the load at different times is calculated and recorded as a negative wave value. This negative wave value is used to measure the load fluctuation of the electrical equipment. Failure rate: The frequency of equipment failure. A high failure rate may indicate that the equipment is aging or under-maintained. Maintenance times: The historical maintenance and repair records of the equipment. A poor maintenance history may affect the health of the equipment. Performance degradation indicators: Including efficiency decline and response time increase. These indicators reflect the degradation of equipment performance over time. The initial efficiency and response time of the equipment are recorded, and the efficiency decline is calculated based on the current efficiency and response time. Percentage and response time increase percentage, after normalization, use the efficiency decrease percentage as the base circle radius and the response time increase percentage as the height to establish a cone model, calculate the surface area of the cone model, record it as the performance value, and use this performance degradation value as the standard for measuring the performance degradation of electrical equipment; Environmental factors: by monitoring the humidity and corrosive gas concentration environmental factors, and presetting the standard humidity and standard corrosive gas concentration, calculate the humidity difference and the corrosive gas concentration difference, after normalization, calculate the sum of the humidity difference and the corrosive gas concentration difference, record it as the ring excess value, and use this ring excess value as the standard for measuring the impact of environmental factors on the operation of electrical equipment;
将得到的负波值、故障率、维护次数、性退值及环超值分别标定为fc、gz、wc、xt及hc,归一化处理后代入以下公式:以得到状评值ZKP,式中分别为负波值、故障率、维护次数、性退值及环超值的预设权重系数,并将得到的状评值ZKP作为衡量用电设备的健康状况标准;The obtained negative wave value, failure rate, maintenance times, degradation value and ring overload value are calibrated as fc, gz, wc, xt and hc respectively, and after normalization, they are entered into the following formula: To get the state evaluation value ZKP, where The preset weight coefficients are negative wave value, failure rate, maintenance times, degradation value and ring overload value respectively, and the obtained status evaluation value ZKP is used as the health status standard of electrical equipment;
再将得到的用电设备剩余使用寿命与状评值归一化处理后代入以下公式:以得到修正寿命XZZ,式中SSM为计算的用电设备剩余使用寿命,为预设的标准状评值,为预设的修正因子,取值设置在0.92-1.26之间,将得到的修正寿命XZZ作为最终对用电设备剩余使用寿命的评估标准;同时将得到的状评值ZKP与预设的标准状评值区间进行比对,判断状评值ZKP是否属于预设的标准状评值区间范围内,当状评值ZKP属于预设的标准状评值区间范围外时,则生成预警信息;Then the remaining service life and condition evaluation value of the electrical equipment are normalized and entered into the following formula: To obtain the corrected life XZZ, where SSM is the remaining service life of the electrical equipment. For the preset standard status evaluation, is a preset correction factor, the value of which is set between 0.92 and 1.26. The obtained corrected life XZZ is used as the final evaluation standard for the remaining service life of the electrical equipment. At the same time, the obtained condition evaluation value ZKP is compared with the preset standard condition evaluation value interval to determine whether the condition evaluation value ZKP belongs to the preset standard condition evaluation value interval. When the condition evaluation value ZKP belongs to the preset standard condition evaluation value interval, an early warning message is generated.
对异常状态进行深入分析,诊断可能的故障原因,根据用电设备状态和故障诊断结果,提供维护和修复建议;记录用电设备状态分析的结果,包括正常、异常、预警和维护建议等,将分析结果和预警信息通过用户界面或通知系统告知相关人员;根据维护和修复操作的反馈,调整设备状态评估模型,提高准确性。Conduct in-depth analysis of abnormal conditions, diagnose possible causes of faults, and provide maintenance and repair suggestions based on the status of electrical equipment and fault diagnosis results; record the results of electrical equipment status analysis, including normal, abnormal, warning and maintenance suggestions, and inform relevant personnel of the analysis results and warning information through the user interface or notification system; adjust the equipment status assessment model based on feedback from maintenance and repair operations to improve accuracy.
供电数据分析单元用于通过对电网采集的各节点电力参数进行实时的异常分析;The power supply data analysis unit is used to perform real-time abnormal analysis on the power parameters of each node collected from the power grid;
从数据获取单元中获取经过预处理的电网各个节点的电压、电流、功率、频率等电力参数数据;实时监控电网的运行状态,确保数据的实时性和准确性,为电网的电力参数建立正常运行的基线或模式;根据电网的设计标准和历史数据,为关键参数设定安全阈值,利用统计方法或机器学习算法来识别数据中的异常模式;Obtain pre-processed power parameter data such as voltage, current, power, frequency, etc. of each node of the power grid from the data acquisition unit; monitor the operation status of the power grid in real time to ensure the real-time and accuracy of the data, and establish a normal operating baseline or mode for the power parameters of the power grid; set safety thresholds for key parameters based on the design standards and historical data of the power grid, and use statistical methods or machine learning algorithms to identify abnormal patterns in the data;
识别电网运行中的常见模式和潜在的异常行为,对实时数据流进行快速分析,以便及时发现问题;通过异常判断机制检测异常,系统自动触发报警,通知相关人员,其中异常判断机制如下:Identify common patterns and potential abnormal behaviors in power grid operation, and quickly analyze real-time data streams to detect problems in a timely manner; detect anomalies through the abnormal judgment mechanism, and the system automatically triggers an alarm to notify relevant personnel. The abnormal judgment mechanism is as follows:
首先进行基线建立,收集收集电网在正常运行条件下的大量历史数据,并分析这些数据以确定电力参数(如电压、电流、功率、频率等)的典型范围或模式;使用统计方法来确定参数的统计特性,如平均值、标准差、分布等。基线可以是这些统计特性的函数,例如,平均值加上或减去几个标准差;First, a baseline is established by collecting a large amount of historical data of the power grid under normal operating conditions, and analyzing these data to determine the typical range or pattern of power parameters (such as voltage, current, power, frequency, etc.); using statistical methods to determine the statistical characteristics of the parameters, such as mean, standard deviation, distribution, etc. The baseline can be a function of these statistical characteristics, for example, the mean plus or minus a few standard deviations;
根据电网的设计标准、操作经验以及历史数据,为每个关键参数设定上限和下限阈值。这些阈值定义了参数的正常波动范围;将实时收集的电力参数与基线和阈值进行比较。如果任何参数超出了预设的阈值,将其标记为潜在异常;Set upper and lower thresholds for each key parameter based on the grid’s design standards, operational experience, and historical data. These thresholds define the normal range of fluctuations in the parameters; compare the power parameters collected in real time with the baseline and thresholds. If any parameter exceeds the preset threshold, it is marked as a potential anomaly;
使用机器学习算法来识别数据中的模式和趋势。算法可以是监督学习(如分类算法),也可以是无监督学习(如聚类算法),用于发现数据中的异常模式;用如孤立森林、单类支持向量机、神经网络等算法来检测数据中的异常点。这些算法可以在没有明确基线的情况下识别出不符合正常模式的数据点;考虑多个参数之间的相互关系,使用多变量统计方法或机器学习模型来评估电网状态,对电力参数进行时间序列分析,以识别周期性变化、趋势或季节性模式,并在此基础上检测异常波动;监测参数变化率,如电压或频率的快速变化可能指示电网的瞬态事件,分析不同参数之间的关联规则,识别当一个参数异常时,其他参数是否也表现出异常模式;Use machine learning algorithms to identify patterns and trends in data. Algorithms can be supervised learning (such as classification algorithms) or unsupervised learning (such as clustering algorithms) to discover abnormal patterns in data; use algorithms such as isolation forests, single-class support vector machines, neural networks, etc. to detect anomalies in data. These algorithms can identify data points that do not conform to normal patterns without a clear baseline; consider the relationship between multiple parameters, use multivariate statistical methods or machine learning models to evaluate the state of the power grid, perform time series analysis on power parameters to identify periodic changes, trends or seasonal patterns, and detect abnormal fluctuations on this basis; monitor the rate of change of parameters, such as rapid changes in voltage or frequency may indicate transient events in the power grid, analyze the association rules between different parameters, and identify whether other parameters also show abnormal patterns when one parameter is abnormal;
根据新的数据不断学习和调整基线和阈值,以适应电网运行条件的变化;为异常检测结果分配一个评分,以表示异常的严重程度,根据异常的严重程度和类型,触发不同级别的报警,进行人工审核异常检测结果,以排除误报或确认真正的问题,确认不属于误报后,通过适当的通信渠道通知相关人员。Continuously learn and adjust baselines and thresholds based on new data to adapt to changes in grid operating conditions; assign a score to the anomaly detection result to indicate the severity of the anomaly, trigger different levels of alarms based on the severity and type of the anomaly, and manually review the anomaly detection results to eliminate false alarms or confirm real problems. After confirming that it is not a false alarm, notify relevant personnel through appropriate communication channels.
评估异常对电网稳定性和供电质量的影响,记录异常事件的详细信息,包括时间、参数、影响范围等,生成异常分析报告,为进一步的决策提供依据;根据异常分析结果,自动或手动调整电网运行参数,以恢复正常状态,提供电网运行优化建议,以减少未来的异常事件,通过持续学习不断优化异常检测算法,提高准确性和响应速度。Assess the impact of anomalies on grid stability and power supply quality, record detailed information of abnormal events, including time, parameters, impact range, etc., generate anomaly analysis reports, and provide a basis for further decision-making; according to the results of anomaly analysis, automatically or manually adjust grid operation parameters to restore normal status, provide grid operation optimization suggestions to reduce future abnormal events, and continuously optimize anomaly detection algorithms through continuous learning to improve accuracy and response speed.
趋势分析单元用于对存储的数据进行分析,识别能源消耗模式及设备性能退化趋势;The trend analysis unit is used to analyze the stored data and identify energy consumption patterns and equipment performance degradation trends;
通过数据获取单元持续收集供电设备状态数据及用电参数数据,整合来自不同来源和类型的数据,为分析提供统一的数据视图;对时间序列数据进行分析,识别周期性模式、趋势和季节性变化,基于历史数据,为关键参数建立长期运行的基线或平均值;Continuously collect power supply equipment status data and power consumption parameter data through the data acquisition unit, integrate data from different sources and types, and provide a unified data view for analysis; analyze time series data to identify periodic patterns, trends and seasonal changes, and establish long-term operating baselines or averages for key parameters based on historical data;
使用统计方法或机器学习算法来识别数据中的长期趋势和短期波动,分析设备性能指标随时间的变化,以识别性能退化的迹象;使用聚类分析等方法来识别能源消耗的模式和类别,分析不同参数之间的相关性,以了解它们如何相互影响;Use statistical methods or machine learning algorithms to identify long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in data, and analyze changes in equipment performance indicators over time to identify signs of performance degradation; use methods such as cluster analysis to identify patterns and categories of energy consumption, and analyze correlations between different parameters to understand how they affect each other;
构建预测模型来预测未来的能源消耗和设备性能,具体过程如下:Build a prediction model to predict future energy consumption and equipment performance. The specific process is as follows:
将经过预处理的供电设备状态数据及用电参数数据通过可视化和统计分析来探索数据的基本特性和模式;选择对预测目标影响最大的特征,以提高模型的性能,将数据集分割为训练集、验证集和测试集;The pre-processed power supply equipment status data and power consumption parameter data are visualized and statistically analyzed to explore the basic characteristics and patterns of the data; the features that have the greatest impact on the prediction target are selected to improve the performance of the model, and the data set is divided into training set, validation set and test set;
根据问题的性质和数据的特点,选择对应的预测模型,如线性回归、决策树、随机森林、梯度提升机、神经网络等;使用训练集数据训练模型,调整模型参数以获得最佳性能,使用验证集评估模型的性能,选择如均方误差(MSE)、决定系数(R²)等指标;According to the nature of the problem and the characteristics of the data, select the corresponding prediction model, such as linear regression, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting machine, neural network, etc.; use the training set data to train the model, adjust the model parameters to obtain the best performance, use the validation set to evaluate the performance of the model, and select indicators such as mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination (R²);
通过调整模型参数、使用特征选择或集成学习等方法来优化模型,使用交叉验证技术来评估模型的稳定性和泛化能力,根据交叉验证的结果选择最佳模型,并进行进一步的调整;使用测试集对模型进行最终验证,确保模型的预测能力,解释模型的预测结果,将训练好的模型进行部署,用于实时或定期的预测任务,并持续监控模型在实际应用中的性能,确保预测结果的准确性;Optimize the model by adjusting model parameters, using feature selection or ensemble learning, and use cross-validation techniques to evaluate the stability and generalization ability of the model. Select the best model based on the results of cross-validation and make further adjustments. Use the test set to perform final validation on the model to ensure the model's predictive ability, explain the model's prediction results, deploy the trained model for real-time or periodic prediction tasks, and continuously monitor the performance of the model in actual applications to ensure the accuracy of the prediction results.
根据新的数据和反馈,定期更新模型以适应变化的环境,生成预测报告和可视化结果,帮助决策者理解预测结果,建立反馈机制,收集用户反馈和预测结果的准确性,不断改进模型。Based on new data and feedback, the model is updated regularly to adapt to the changing environment, and forecast reports and visualization results are generated to help decision makers understand the forecast results. A feedback mechanism is established to collect user feedback and the accuracy of forecast results to continuously improve the model.
将趋势分析的结果整合到决策支持系统中,为能源管理和设备维护提供依据,根据趋势分析的反馈调整能源消耗模式和设备维护策略,具体过程如下:Integrate the results of trend analysis into the decision support system to provide a basis for energy management and equipment maintenance. Adjust the energy consumption pattern and equipment maintenance strategy based on the feedback from trend analysis. The specific process is as follows:
深入理解趋势分析报告中的关键指标和发现,包括能源消耗模式、设备性能退化趋势等,基于分析结果,确定需要改进或调整的关键领域,如特定时间段的能源使用、特定设备的维护需求等;为调整设定具体、可量化的目标,如降低能源消耗百分比、延长设备使用寿命等,据目标制定具体的策略和措施,包括:优化能源使用时间,实施需求响应;引入节能技术或升级现有设备;调整生产计划,平衡负载;根据设备性能退化趋势,制定预防性维护计划,包括:Deeply understand the key indicators and findings in the trend analysis report, including energy consumption patterns, equipment performance degradation trends, etc. Based on the analysis results, identify key areas that need improvement or adjustment, such as energy use in a specific time period, maintenance requirements for specific equipment, etc. Set specific, quantifiable goals for adjustments, such as reducing energy consumption percentage, extending equipment life, etc., and formulate specific strategies and measures based on the goals, including: optimizing energy use time, implementing demand response; introducing energy-saving technologies or upgrading existing equipment; adjusting production plans, balancing loads; formulating preventive maintenance plans based on equipment performance degradation trends, including:
设定维护周期和检查点;确定需要更换或修理的部件;根据策略和计划,合理分配人力、物力和财力资源,将策略和计划转化为具体的操作步骤进行实施。Set maintenance cycles and checkpoints; determine parts that need to be replaced or repaired; reasonably allocate human, material and financial resources according to strategies and plans, and convert strategies and plans into specific operational steps for implementation.
决策支持单元用于集成不同分析结果并提供决策支持;The decision support unit is used to integrate different analysis results and provide decision support;
从设备状态分析单元、供电数据分析单元和趋势分析单元收集分析结果,确保来自不同分析单元的数据和结果是标准化的,便于整合和比较;将不同来源的数据和分析结果进行融合,形成一个全面的视图,对融合后的数据进行综合分析,以识别整体趋势和潜在问题,评估分析结果中的风险因素,如设备故障风险、能源供应不稳定等;基于综合分析结果,制定应对不同情况的备选方案,评估每个备选方案的可行性、成本效益和潜在影响,根据方案的评估结果,对备选方案进行优先级排序,具体的过程如下:Collect analysis results from the equipment status analysis unit, power supply data analysis unit, and trend analysis unit to ensure that data and results from different analysis units are standardized for easy integration and comparison; integrate data and analysis results from different sources to form a comprehensive view, conduct comprehensive analysis on the integrated data to identify overall trends and potential problems, and evaluate risk factors in the analysis results, such as equipment failure risk, unstable energy supply, etc.; based on the comprehensive analysis results, formulate alternative plans to deal with different situations, evaluate the feasibility, cost-effectiveness and potential impact of each alternative plan, and prioritize the alternative plans according to the evaluation results of the plan. The specific process is as follows:
对备选方案的优先级评估涉及以下参数的综合评估:The prioritization of alternatives involves a comprehensive evaluation of the following parameters:
成本效益分析:初始投资成本、运营成本、预期节约成本或收益;技术可行性:技术成熟度、技术实施的难易程度、技术兼容性;时间框架:实施时间、达到预期效果的时间;资源需求:人力需求、物资需求、技术资源需求;风险评估:技术风险、操作风险、市场风险;环境影响:碳足迹、能源消耗、可持续性;用户和利益相关者的反馈:利益相关者满意度、用户接受度;Cost-benefit analysis: initial investment cost, operating cost, expected cost savings or benefits; technical feasibility: technology maturity, ease of technology implementation, technology compatibility; time frame: implementation time, time to achieve expected results; resource requirements: manpower requirements, material requirements, technical resource requirements; risk assessment: technical risk, operational risk, market risk; environmental impact: carbon footprint, energy consumption, sustainability; user and stakeholder feedback: stakeholder satisfaction, user acceptance;
为每个参数分配权重,反映其在决策过程中的重要性。然后对每个方案在各个参数上的表现进行评分,最后计算加权得分,将所有备选方案的加权得分最高的方案视为最终的选择的方案。Each parameter is assigned a weight to reflect its importance in the decision-making process. Each option is then scored on its performance on each parameter, and finally a weighted score is calculated. The option with the highest weighted score among all alternative options is considered the final selected option.
为决策者提供明确的建议,包括推荐的行动方案和预期结果,为选定的方案制定详细的实施计划,包括时间表、资源分配和责任分配;使用模拟工具预测方案实施后的效果,为决策提供进一步支持,制定方案实施后的监控计划,确保能够及时调整策略。Provide clear advice to decision makers, including recommended action plans and expected results, and develop detailed implementation plans for selected plans, including timetables, resource allocation, and responsibility allocation; use simulation tools to predict the effects of the plan after implementation to provide further support for decision-making, and develop a monitoring plan after the implementation of the plan to ensure that the strategy can be adjusted in a timely manner.
以上公开的本发明优选实施例只是用于帮助阐述本发明。优选实施例并没有详尽叙述所有的细节,也不限制该发明仅为的具体实施方式。显然,根据本说明书的内容,可作很多的修改和变化。本说明书选取并具体描述这些实施例,是为了更好地解释本发明的原理和实际应用,从而使所属技术领域技术人员能很好地理解和利用本发明。本发明仅受权利要求书及其全部范围和等效物的限制。The preferred embodiments of the present invention disclosed above are only used to help explain the present invention. The preferred embodiments do not describe all the details in detail, nor do they limit the invention to only specific implementation methods. Obviously, many modifications and changes can be made according to the content of this specification. This specification selects and specifically describes these embodiments in order to better explain the principles and practical applications of the present invention, so that those skilled in the art can understand and use the present invention well. The present invention is limited only by the claims and their full scope and equivalents.
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