CN118625154A - Battery remaining life prediction method, device, computer equipment and storage medium - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及电子技术领域,具体涉及电池剩余寿命预测方法、装置、计算机设备及存储介质。The present invention relates to the field of electronic technology, and in particular to a method, device, computer equipment and storage medium for predicting remaining battery life.
背景技术Background Art
在电化学储能领域,对于电池剩余寿命的估计一直是研究的热点。传统的估计方法主要基于电池的容量衰减来预测剩余寿命。通过对电池进行测试,利用测试数据来确定电池循环次数和电池容量衰减之间的关系模型,基于该关系模型和电池的已循环次数来确定电池的剩余寿命。然而,电池当前寿命预测方法面临的一个主要挑战是,其预测精度会随着所预测的循环次数的不同而动态变化。然而,这些方法往往无法实时更新和展示这种精度的变化,因此无法准确反映电站使用预测寿命时背后潜在的不确定性。这种不确定性对于电站的长期稳定运行和维护至关重要。如果只是基于电池在测试阶段的数据构建关系模型,基于构建的模型进行电池寿命计算,不考虑电池在运行过程中的循环数据,会导致电池剩余寿命预测结果不够准确。In the field of electrochemical energy storage, the estimation of the remaining life of batteries has always been a hot topic of research. Traditional estimation methods mainly predict the remaining life based on the capacity decay of batteries. By testing the battery, the test data is used to determine the relationship model between the number of battery cycles and the battery capacity decay, and the remaining life of the battery is determined based on the relationship model and the number of cycles the battery has undergone. However, a major challenge facing the current battery life prediction methods is that their prediction accuracy changes dynamically with the predicted number of cycles. However, these methods often fail to update and display this change in accuracy in real time, and therefore fail to accurately reflect the potential uncertainty behind the predicted life of the power station. This uncertainty is crucial for the long-term stable operation and maintenance of the power station. If the relationship model is only built based on the data of the battery in the test phase, and the battery life is calculated based on the built model, without considering the cycle data of the battery during operation, the prediction result of the remaining battery life will be inaccurate.
发明内容Summary of the invention
有鉴于此,本发明提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测方法、装置、计算机设备及存储介质,以解决相关技术中通过电池的测试数据来预测电池运行过程中的剩余寿命而存在的预测结果不够准确的问题。In view of this, the present invention provides a battery remaining life prediction method, device, computer equipment and storage medium to solve the problem of inaccurate prediction results when predicting the remaining life of the battery during operation through battery test data in the related art.
第一方面,本发明提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测方法,该方法包括:获取待测电池的已循环次数以及第一预测模型和第二预测模型,第一预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的容量与循环次数之间的关联关系,循环阶段包括初始循环子阶段和预测循环子阶段,第二预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,第二预测模型是基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的;基于第二预测模型确定预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型;基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,目标容量基于待测电池的初始容量确定;基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果。In a first aspect, the present invention provides a method for predicting the remaining life of a battery, the method comprising: obtaining the number of cycles of a battery to be tested and a first prediction model and a second prediction model, the first prediction model being used to characterize the correlation between the capacity of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles in a cycle stage, the cycle stage comprising an initial cycle sub-stage and a prediction cycle sub-stage, the second prediction model being used to characterize the correlation between the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the capacity prediction accuracy in the cycle stage, the second prediction model being determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the initial cycle sub-stage; determining the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage based on the second prediction model; correcting the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage to obtain a corrected first prediction model; determining the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at a target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, the target capacity being determined based on the initial capacity of the battery to be tested; determining the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity.
本发明提供的电池剩余寿命预测方法,基于第二预测模型确定预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型;基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,目标容量基于待测电池的初始容量确定;基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果。本发明提供的方法,第二预测模型是基于电池在初始循环阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的,用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,基于第二预测模型可以确定预测循环子阶段中不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,基于确定的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型,保证了第一预测模型预测结果的准确性,基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果,有效保证了待测电池剩余寿命预测结果的准确性。The battery remaining life prediction method provided by the present invention determines the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in a prediction cycle sub-stage based on a second prediction model; corrects the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage to obtain a corrected first prediction model; determines the number of cycles of a battery to be tested at a target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, wherein the target capacity is determined based on the initial capacity of the battery to be tested; and determines the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity. The method provided by the present invention, the second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery in the initial cycle stage, and is used to characterize the correlation between the cycle number of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage and the capacity prediction accuracy. Based on the second prediction model, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage can be determined, and the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model is corrected based on the determined capacity prediction accuracy to obtain the corrected first prediction model, thereby ensuring the accuracy of the prediction result of the first prediction model, and determining the cycle number of the battery to be tested at the target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, and determining the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity, thereby effectively ensuring the accuracy of the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested.
在一种可选的实施方式中,第一预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:获取待测电池在测试阶段的电池容量序列数据,电池容量序列数据用于表征随着循环次数的增加,待测电池的电池容量变化数据;基于电池容量序列数据构建待测电池的第一预测模型。In an optional embodiment, the first prediction model is constructed by the following steps: obtaining battery capacity sequence data of the battery to be tested during the test phase, the battery capacity sequence data being used to characterize the battery capacity change data of the battery to be tested as the number of cycles increases; and constructing a first prediction model for the battery to be tested based on the battery capacity sequence data.
在一种可选的实施方式中,第二预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:获取待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的实际电池容量;基于第一预测模型确定待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量;基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;基于初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度构建第二预测模型。In an optional embodiment, the second prediction model is constructed by the following steps: obtaining the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage; determining the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage based on the first prediction model; calculating the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number of the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested based on the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the initial cycle sub-stage and the actual battery capacity; constructing a second prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number of the initial cycle sub-stage.
在一种可选的实施方式中,基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,包括:通过目标关系式计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,目标关系式为:In an optional embodiment, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested is calculated based on the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage and the actual battery capacity, including: calculating the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested by a target relationship, and the target relationship is:
其中,表示容量预测准确度,表示实际电池容量,表示预测电池容量。in, represents the capacity forecast accuracy, Indicates the actual battery capacity. Represents the predicted battery capacity.
第二方面,本发明提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测装置,该装置包括:获取模块,用于获取待测电池的已循环次数以及第一预测模型和第二预测模型,第一预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的容量与循环次数之间的关联关系,循环阶段包括第一循环子阶段和预测循环子阶段,第一循环子阶段用于表征待测电池的初始循环子阶段,第二预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,第二预测模型是基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的;第一确定模块,用于基于第二预测模型确定预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;修正模块,用于基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型;第二确定模块,用于基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,目标容量基于待测电池的初始容量确定;第三确定模块,用于基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果。In a second aspect, the present invention provides a battery remaining life prediction device, the device comprising: an acquisition module, used to obtain the number of cycles of a battery to be tested and a first prediction model and a second prediction model, the first prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the capacity of the battery to be tested in a cycle stage and the number of cycles, the cycle stage includes a first cycle sub-stage and a prediction cycle sub-stage, the first cycle sub-stage is used to characterize the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested, the second prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the number of cycles of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage and the accuracy of capacity prediction, the second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage; The first determination module is used to determine the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage based on the second prediction model; the correction module is used to correct the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage to obtain the corrected first prediction model; the second determination module is used to determine the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, and the target capacity is determined based on the initial capacity of the battery to be tested; the third determination module is used to determine the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity.
在一种可选的实施方式中,第一预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:获取待测电池在测试阶段的电池容量序列数据,电池容量序列数据用于表征随着循环次数的增加,待测电池的电池容量变化数据;基于电池容量序列数据构建待测电池的第一预测模型。In an optional embodiment, the first prediction model is constructed by the following steps: obtaining battery capacity sequence data of the battery to be tested during the test phase, the battery capacity sequence data being used to characterize the battery capacity change data of the battery to be tested as the number of cycles increases; and constructing a first prediction model for the battery to be tested based on the battery capacity sequence data.
在一种可选的实施方式中,第二预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:获取待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的实际电池容量;基于第一预测模型确定待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量;基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;基于初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度构建第二预测模型。In an optional embodiment, the second prediction model is constructed by the following steps: obtaining the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage; determining the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage based on the first prediction model; calculating the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number of the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested based on the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the initial cycle sub-stage and the actual battery capacity; constructing a second prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number of the initial cycle sub-stage.
第三方面,本发明提供了一种计算机设备,包括:存储器和处理器,存储器和处理器之间互相通信连接,存储器中存储有计算机指令,处理器通过执行计算机指令,从而执行上述第一方面或其对应的任一实施方式的电池剩余寿命预测方法。In a third aspect, the present invention provides a computer device, comprising: a memory and a processor, the memory and the processor being communicatively connected to each other, the memory storing computer instructions, and the processor executing the battery remaining life prediction method of the above-mentioned first aspect or any corresponding embodiment thereof by executing the computer instructions.
第四方面,本发明提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,该计算机可读存储介质上存储有计算机指令,计算机指令用于使计算机执行上述第一方面或其对应的任一实施方式的电池剩余寿命预测方法。In a fourth aspect, the present invention provides a computer-readable storage medium having computer instructions stored thereon, the computer instructions being used to enable a computer to execute the battery remaining life prediction method of the first aspect or any corresponding embodiment thereof.
第五方面,本发明提供了一种计算机程序产品,包括计算机指令,计算机指令用于使计算机执行上述第一方面或其对应的任一实施方式的电池剩余寿命预测方法。In a fifth aspect, the present invention provides a computer program product, comprising computer instructions for causing a computer to execute the battery remaining life prediction method of the first aspect or any corresponding embodiment thereof.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了更清楚地说明本发明具体实施方式或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对具体实施方式或现有技术描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图是本发明的一些实施方式,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the specific implementation methods of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings required for use in the specific implementation methods or the description of the prior art will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are some implementation methods of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without paying creative work.
图1是根据本发明实施例的电池剩余寿命预测方法的流程示意图;FIG1 is a schematic diagram of a flow chart of a method for predicting remaining battery life according to an embodiment of the present invention;
图2是根据本发明实施例的电池剩余寿命预测装置的结构框图;2 is a structural block diagram of a device for predicting remaining battery life according to an embodiment of the present invention;
图3是本发明实施例的计算机设备的硬件结构示意图。FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the hardware structure of a computer device according to an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
为使本发明实施例的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。In order to make the purpose, technical solution and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention clearer, the technical solution in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those skilled in the art without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.
相关技术中,通过对电池进行测试,利用测试数据来确定电池循环次数和电池容量衰减之间的关系模型,基于该关系模型和电池的已循环次数来确定电池的剩余寿命。然而,电池当前寿命预测方法面临的一个主要挑战是,其预测精度会随着所预测的循环次数的不同而动态变化。然而,这些方法往往无法实时更新和展示这种精度的变化,因此无法准确反映电站使用预测寿命时背后潜在的不确定性。这种不确定性对于电站的长期稳定运行和维护至关重要。如果只是基于电池在测试阶段的数据构建关系模型,基于构建的模型进行电池寿命计算,不考虑电池在运行过程中的循环数据,会导致电池剩余寿命预测结果不够准确。In the related art, the battery is tested and the test data is used to determine the relationship model between the number of battery cycles and the battery capacity attenuation, and the remaining life of the battery is determined based on the relationship model and the number of cycles the battery has undergone. However, a major challenge facing current battery life prediction methods is that their prediction accuracy changes dynamically with the predicted number of cycles. However, these methods are often unable to update and display this change in accuracy in real time, and therefore cannot accurately reflect the potential uncertainty behind the predicted life of the power station. This uncertainty is critical to the long-term stable operation and maintenance of the power station. If a relationship model is constructed based only on the data of the battery during the testing phase, and the battery life is calculated based on the constructed model, without considering the cycle data of the battery during operation, the prediction result of the remaining battery life will be inaccurate.
有鉴于此,本申请实施例提供的一种电池剩余寿命预测方法,可以应用于一个服务器,以实现电池剩余寿命的预测。本发明提供的方法,第二预测模型是基于电池在初始循环阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的,用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,基于第二预测模型可以确定预测循环子阶段中不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,基于确定的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型,保证了第一预测模型预测结果的准确性,基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果,有效保证了待测电池剩余寿命预测结果的准确性。In view of this, a battery remaining life prediction method provided in an embodiment of the present application can be applied to a server to realize the prediction of the remaining life of the battery. In the method provided by the present invention, the second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery in the initial cycle stage, and is used to characterize the correlation between the number of cycles of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage and the capacity prediction accuracy. Based on the second prediction model, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage can be determined. Based on the determined capacity prediction accuracy, the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model is corrected to obtain the corrected first prediction model, which ensures the accuracy of the prediction result of the first prediction model, determines the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, and determines the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity, which effectively ensures the accuracy of the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested.
根据本发明实施例,提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测方法实施例,需要说明的是,在附图的流程图示出的步骤可以在诸如一组计算机可执行指令的计算机系统中执行,并且,虽然在流程图中示出了逻辑顺序,但是在某些情况下,可以以不同于此处的顺序执行所示出或描述的步骤。According to an embodiment of the present invention, an embodiment of a battery remaining life prediction method is provided. It should be noted that the steps shown in the flowchart of the accompanying drawings can be executed in a computer system such as a set of computer executable instructions, and although a logical order is shown in the flowchart, in some cases, the steps shown or described can be executed in an order different from that shown here.
在本实施例中提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测方法,可用于上述的服务器,图1是根据本发明实施例的电池剩余寿命预测方法的流程图,如图1所示,该流程包括如下步骤:In this embodiment, a method for predicting the remaining battery life is provided, which can be used for the above-mentioned server. FIG. 1 is a flow chart of the method for predicting the remaining battery life according to an embodiment of the present invention. As shown in FIG. 1 , the process includes the following steps:
步骤S101,获取待测电池的已循环次数以及第一预测模型和第二预测模型。Step S101, obtaining the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the first prediction model and the second prediction model.
示例性地,第一预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的容量与循环次数之间的关联关系,循环阶段包括初始循环子阶段和预测循环子阶段,第二预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,第二预测模型是基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的。本申请实施例中,待预测电池可以是需要进行剩余寿命预测的储能电池。对待预测电池在运行前期测试循环N次(例如500~1000次),得到测试数据,基于测试数据可以拟合得到第一预测模型。已循环次数用于表征待测电池测试循环次数与电池运行阶段的循环次数之和。Exemplarily, the first prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the capacity and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage, and the cycle stage includes an initial cycle sub-stage and a prediction cycle sub-stage. The second prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the number of cycles of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage and the accuracy of capacity prediction. The second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage. In an embodiment of the present application, the battery to be predicted may be an energy storage battery for which a remaining life prediction is required. The battery to be predicted is tested N times (for example, 500 to 1000 times) in the early stage of operation to obtain test data, and a first prediction model can be fitted based on the test data. The number of cycles is used to characterize the sum of the number of test cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles in the battery operation stage.
在一些可选的实施方式中,第一预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:In some optional implementations, the first prediction model is constructed by the following steps:
步骤a1,获取待测电池在测试阶段的电池容量序列数据,电池容量序列数据用于表征随着循环次数的增加,待测电池的电池容量变化数据。Step a1, obtaining battery capacity sequence data of the battery to be tested during the test phase, wherein the battery capacity sequence data is used to characterize battery capacity change data of the battery to be tested as the number of cycles increases.
步骤a2,基于电池容量序列数据构建待测电池的第一预测模型。示例性地,本申请实施例中,利用电池容量序列数据可以拟合生成第一预测模型,该拟合曲线用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的容量与循环次数之间的关联关系。Step a2, constructing a first prediction model of the battery to be tested based on the battery capacity sequence data. Exemplarily, in the embodiment of the present application, the battery capacity sequence data can be used to fit and generate a first prediction model, and the fitting curve is used to characterize the correlation between the capacity of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles in the cycle stage.
在一些可选的实施方式中,第二预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:In some optional implementations, the second prediction model is constructed by the following steps:
步骤b1,获取待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的实际电池容量。示例性地,本申请实施例中,初始循环子阶段可以理解为电池循环阶段初期,每经过第一个循环后,可以得到对应循环的实际电池容量,实际电池容量统一以放电容量代表。Step b1, obtaining the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery under test in the initial cycle sub-stage. For example, in the embodiment of the present application, the initial cycle sub-stage can be understood as the initial stage of the battery cycle stage. After each first cycle, the actual battery capacity of the corresponding cycle can be obtained, and the actual battery capacity is uniformly represented by the discharge capacity.
步骤b2,基于第一预测模型确定待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量。Step b2: determining predicted battery capacities corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage based on the first prediction model.
步骤b3,基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度。Step b3, calculating the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested based on the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage and the actual battery capacity.
示例性地,本申请实施例中,通过目标关系式计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,目标关系式为:For example, in the embodiment of the present application, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested is calculated by a target relationship, and the target relationship is:
其中,表示容量预测准确度,表示实际电池容量,表示预测电池容量。in, represents the capacity forecast accuracy, Indicates the actual battery capacity. Represents the predicted battery capacity.
步骤b4,基于初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度构建第二预测模型。Step b4: constructing a second prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage.
示例性地,本申请实施例中,第二预测模型可以通过下式来表示:Exemplarily, in the embodiment of the present application, the second prediction model can be expressed by the following formula:
其中,a、b、c表示拟合系数,N表示循环圈数。Where a , b , and c represent the fitting coefficients, and N represents the number of cycles.
步骤S102,基于第二预测模型确定预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度。Step S102: determining the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-phase based on the second prediction model.
示例性地,本申请实施例中,基于第二预测模型对循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度进行预测,得到预测结果。Illustratively, in the embodiment of the present application, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the cycle sub-stage is predicted based on the second prediction model to obtain a prediction result.
步骤S103,基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型。Step S103, based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage, the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model is corrected to obtain a corrected first prediction model.
示例性地,容量预测准确度可以表征预测电池容量与实际电池容量之间的偏差情况,基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型。Exemplarily, the capacity prediction accuracy can characterize the deviation between the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity. Based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the prediction cycle sub-stage, the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model is corrected to obtain a corrected first prediction model.
步骤S104,基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,目标容量基于待测电池的初始容量确定。Step S104, determining the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at a target capacity based on the modified first prediction model, wherein the target capacity is determined based on an initial capacity of the battery to be tested.
示例性地,待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数可以用于表征待测电池的预测循环寿命。本申请实施例中,目标容量可以为80%的初始容量,当待测电池容量为初始容量的80%时对应的循环次数为待测电池的预计的循环寿命。Exemplarily, the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity can be used to characterize the predicted cycle life of the battery to be tested. In the embodiment of the present application, the target capacity can be 80% of the initial capacity, and the corresponding number of cycles when the capacity of the battery to be tested is 80% of the initial capacity is the predicted cycle life of the battery to be tested.
步骤S105,基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果。Step S105 , determining a remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at a target capacity.
示例性地,本申请实施例中,待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数减去已循环次数,得到待测电池的剩余循环寿命。具体地,若待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数为L,假设已经运行了L0次,则L-L0对应的d值即为实时更新的预测寿命L对应的精确度。For example, in the embodiment of the present application, the number of cycles of the battery under test at the target capacity minus the number of cycles completed is used to obtain the remaining cycle life of the battery under test. Specifically, if the number of cycles of the battery under test at the target capacity is L, and it is assumed that it has run L0 times, then the d value corresponding to L-L0 is the accuracy corresponding to the predicted life L updated in real time.
本实施例提供的电池剩余寿命预测方法,第二预测模型是基于电池在初始循环阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的,用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,基于第二预测模型可以确定预测循环子阶段中不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,基于确定的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型,保证了第一预测模型预测结果的准确性,基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果,有效保证了待测电池剩余寿命预测结果的准确性。The battery remaining life prediction method provided in this embodiment, the second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery in the initial cycle stage, and is used to characterize the correlation between the cycle number of the battery to be tested in the cycle stage and the capacity prediction accuracy. Based on the second prediction model, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage can be determined, and the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model is corrected based on the determined capacity prediction accuracy to obtain the corrected first prediction model, thereby ensuring the accuracy of the prediction result of the first prediction model, determining the cycle number of the battery to be tested at the target capacity based on the corrected first prediction model, and determining the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity, thereby effectively ensuring the accuracy of the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested.
下面通过一个具体的实施例对本申请提供的一种电池剩余寿命预测方法进行说明。A battery remaining life prediction method provided by the present application is described below through a specific embodiment.
实施例:Example:
通过在电池初期运行阶段进行多次测试,生成初始的循环-容量仿真曲线(第一预测模型),并在每一循环后计算实际容量与仿真容量之间的准确度,构建未来圈数与准确度之间的关系曲线(第二预测模型)。然后,在电池的全生命周期内,利用第二预测模型对第一预测模型进行修正,实时更新寿命预测结果,并根据实际运行数据不断修正容量预测值及寿命预测的准确度。By performing multiple tests in the initial operation stage of the battery, an initial cycle-capacity simulation curve (first prediction model) is generated, and the accuracy between the actual capacity and the simulated capacity is calculated after each cycle, and a relationship curve between the number of future cycles and accuracy is constructed (second prediction model). Then, during the entire life cycle of the battery, the second prediction model is used to correct the first prediction model, update the life prediction results in real time, and continuously correct the capacity prediction value and the accuracy of the life prediction based on the actual operation data.
假设某种电池经过初始测试阶段得到循环-容量仿真曲线。在实际运行过程中,经过第一个循环得到实际容量为Cr1,计算出第一个循环的准确度d1。依次类推,通过未来若干循环的准确度数据拟合出未来圈数-准确度关系曲线。在后续的循环中,每次循环后基于实时数据更新容量预测曲线,并依据准确度关系曲线调整预测寿命及其准确度。Assume that a battery has obtained a cycle-capacity simulation curve after the initial test phase. In the actual operation process, the actual capacity obtained after the first cycle is Cr1, and the accuracy d1 of the first cycle is calculated. Similarly, the accuracy data of several future cycles are used to fit the future cycle number-accuracy relationship curve. In subsequent cycles, the capacity prediction curve is updated based on real-time data after each cycle, and the predicted life and its accuracy are adjusted according to the accuracy relationship curve.
在本实施例中还提供了一种电池剩余寿命预测装置,该装置用于实现上述实施例及优选实施方式,已经进行过说明的不再赘述。如以下所使用的,术语“模块”可以实现预定功能的软件和/或硬件的组合。尽管以下实施例所描述的装置较佳地以软件来实现,但是硬件,或者软件和硬件的组合的实现也是可能并被构想的。In this embodiment, a battery remaining life prediction device is also provided, which is used to implement the above-mentioned embodiments and preferred implementation modes, and the descriptions that have been made will not be repeated. As used below, the term "module" can implement a combination of software and/or hardware for a predetermined function. Although the devices described in the following embodiments are preferably implemented in software, the implementation of hardware, or a combination of software and hardware, is also possible and conceivable.
本实施例提供一种电池剩余寿命预测装置,如图2所示,包括:This embodiment provides a battery remaining life prediction device, as shown in FIG2 , comprising:
获取模块201,用于获取待测电池的已循环次数以及第一预测模型和第二预测模型,第一预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的容量与循环次数之间的关联关系,循环阶段包括第一循环子阶段和预测循环子阶段,第一循环子阶段用于表征待测电池的初始循环子阶段,第二预测模型用于表征待测电池在循环阶段的循环次数与容量预测准确度之间的关联关系,第二预测模型是基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量和实际电池容量确定的;An acquisition module 201 is used to acquire the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and a first prediction model and a second prediction model, wherein the first prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the capacity of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles in the cycle stage, the cycle stage includes a first cycle sub-stage and a prediction cycle sub-stage, the first cycle sub-stage is used to characterize the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested, the second prediction model is used to characterize the correlation between the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the accuracy of capacity prediction in the cycle stage, and the second prediction model is determined based on the predicted battery capacity and the actual battery capacity corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage;
第一确定模块202,用于基于第二预测模型确定预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;A first determination module 202 is used to determine the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage based on the second prediction model;
修正模块203,用于基于预测循环子阶段内不同循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度对第一预测模型中预测循环子阶段的电池容量进行修正,得到修正后的第一预测模型;A correction module 203, configured to correct the battery capacity of the prediction cycle sub-stage in the first prediction model based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to different cycle numbers in the prediction cycle sub-stage, to obtain a corrected first prediction model;
第二确定模块204,用于基于修正后的第一预测模型确定待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数,目标容量基于待测电池的初始容量确定;A second determination module 204 is used to determine the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at a target capacity based on the modified first prediction model, where the target capacity is determined based on an initial capacity of the battery to be tested;
第三确定模块205,用于基于待测电池的已循环次数以及待测电池在目标容量下的循环次数确定待测电池的剩余寿命预测结果。The third determination module 205 is used to determine the remaining life prediction result of the battery to be tested based on the number of cycles of the battery to be tested and the number of cycles of the battery to be tested at the target capacity.
在一些可选的实施方式中,第一预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:In some optional implementations, the first prediction model is constructed by the following steps:
获取待测电池在测试阶段的电池容量序列数据,电池容量序列数据用于表征随着循环次数的增加,待测电池的电池容量变化数据;Obtaining battery capacity sequence data of the battery to be tested during the test phase, where the battery capacity sequence data is used to characterize battery capacity change data of the battery to be tested as the number of cycles increases;
基于电池容量序列数据构建待测电池的第一预测模型。A first prediction model for the battery to be tested is constructed based on the battery capacity sequence data.
在一些可选的实施方式中,第二预测模型通过如下步骤构建得到:In some optional implementations, the second prediction model is constructed by the following steps:
获取待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的实际电池容量;Obtain the actual battery capacity of the battery under test corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage;
基于第一预测模型确定待测电池在初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量;Determine the predicted battery capacities corresponding to different cycle numbers of the battery to be tested in the initial cycle sub-stage based on the first prediction model;
基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度;Based on the predicted battery capacities and actual battery capacities corresponding to different cycle numbers in the initial cycle sub-stage, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested is calculated;
基于初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度构建第二预测模型。A second prediction model is constructed based on the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage.
在一些可选的实施方式中,基于初始循环子阶段不同循环次数分别对应的预测电池容量以及实际电池容量计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,包括:In some optional implementations, the capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each number of cycles in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested is calculated based on the predicted battery capacity corresponding to different numbers of cycles in the initial cycle sub-stage and the actual battery capacity, including:
通过目标关系式计算待测电池初始循环子阶段各循环次数分别对应的容量预测准确度,目标关系式为:The capacity prediction accuracy corresponding to each cycle number in the initial cycle sub-stage of the battery to be tested is calculated by the target relationship, and the target relationship is:
其中,表示容量预测准确度,表示实际电池容量,表示预测电池容量。in, represents the capacity forecast accuracy, Indicates the actual battery capacity. Represents the predicted battery capacity.
上述各个模块和单元的更进一步的功能描述与上述对应实施例相同,在此不再赘述。The further functional description of each of the above modules and units is the same as that of the above corresponding embodiments and will not be repeated here.
本实施例中的电池剩余寿命预测装置是以功能单元的形式来呈现,这里的单元是指ASIC(Application Specific Integrated Circuit,专用集成电路)电路,执行一个或多个软件或固定程序的处理器和存储器,和/或其他可以提供上述功能的器件。The battery remaining life prediction device in this embodiment is presented in the form of a functional unit, where the unit refers to an ASIC (Application Specific Integrated Circuit) circuit, a processor and memory that executes one or more software or fixed programs, and/or other devices that can provide the above functions.
本发明实施例还提供一种计算机设备,具有上述图2所示的电池剩余寿命预测装置。An embodiment of the present invention further provides a computer device having the battery remaining life prediction device shown in FIG. 2 .
请参阅图3,图3是本发明可选实施例提供的一种计算机设备的结构示意图,如图3所示,该计算机设备包括:一个或多个处理器10、存储器20,以及用于连接各部件的接口,包括高速接口和低速接口。各个部件利用不同的总线互相通信连接,并且可以被安装在公共主板上或者根据需要以其它方式安装。处理器可以对在计算机设备内执行的指令进行处理,包括存储在存储器中或者存储器上以在外部输入/输出装置(诸如,耦合至接口的显示设备)上显示GUI的图形信息的指令。在一些可选的实施方式中,若需要,可以将多个处理器和/或多条总线与多个存储器和多个存储器一起使用。同样,可以连接多个计算机设备,各个设备提供部分必要的操作(例如,作为服务器阵列、一组刀片式服务器、或者多处理器系统)。图3中以一个处理器10为例。Please refer to FIG. 3, which is a schematic diagram of the structure of a computer device provided by an optional embodiment of the present invention. As shown in FIG. 3, the computer device includes: one or more processors 10, a memory 20, and interfaces for connecting various components, including high-speed interfaces and low-speed interfaces. The various components are connected to each other using different buses for communication, and can be installed on a common motherboard or installed in other ways as needed. The processor can process instructions executed in the computer device, including instructions stored in or on the memory to display graphical information of the GUI on an external input/output device (such as a display device coupled to the interface). In some optional embodiments, if necessary, multiple processors and/or multiple buses can be used together with multiple memories and multiple memories. Similarly, multiple computer devices can be connected, and each device provides some necessary operations (for example, as a server array, a group of blade servers, or a multi-processor system). In FIG. 3, a processor 10 is taken as an example.
处理器10可以是中央处理器,网络处理器或其组合。其中,处理器10还可以进一步包括硬件芯片。上述硬件芯片可以是专用集成电路,可编程逻辑器件或其组合。上述可编程逻辑器件可以是复杂可编程逻辑器件,现场可编程逻辑门阵列,通用阵列逻辑或其任意组合。The processor 10 may be a central processing unit, a network processor or a combination thereof. The processor 10 may further include a hardware chip. The hardware chip may be a dedicated integrated circuit, a programmable logic device or a combination thereof. The programmable logic device may be a complex programmable logic device, a field programmable gate array, a general purpose array logic or any combination thereof.
其中,所述存储器20存储有可由至少一个处理器10执行的指令,以使所述至少一个处理器10执行实现上述实施例示出的方法。The memory 20 stores instructions executable by at least one processor 10, so that the at least one processor 10 executes the method shown in the above embodiment.
存储器20可以包括存储程序区和存储数据区,其中,存储程序区可存储操作系统、至少一个功能所需要的应用程序;存储数据区可存储根据计算机设备的使用所创建的数据等。此外,存储器20可以包括高速随机存取存储器,还可以包括非瞬时存储器,例如至少一个磁盘存储器件、闪存器件、或其他非瞬时固态存储器件。在一些可选的实施方式中,存储器20可选包括相对于处理器10远程设置的存储器,这些远程存储器可以通过网络连接至该计算机设备。上述网络的实例包括但不限于互联网、企业内部网、局域网、移动通信网及其组合。The memory 20 may include a program storage area and a data storage area, wherein the program storage area may store an operating system, an application required for at least one function; the data storage area may store data created according to the use of the computer device, etc. In addition, the memory 20 may include a high-speed random access memory, and may also include a non-transient memory, such as at least one disk storage device, a flash memory device, or other non-transient solid-state storage device. In some optional embodiments, the memory 20 may optionally include a memory remotely arranged relative to the processor 10, and these remote memories may be connected to the computer device via a network. Examples of the above-mentioned network include, but are not limited to, the Internet, an intranet, a local area network, a mobile communication network, and combinations thereof.
存储器20可以包括易失性存储器,例如,随机存取存储器;存储器也可以包括非易失性存储器,例如,快闪存储器,硬盘或固态硬盘;存储器20还可以包括上述种类的存储器的组合。The memory 20 may include a volatile memory, such as a random access memory; the memory may also include a non-volatile memory, such as a flash memory, a hard disk or a solid state drive; the memory 20 may also include a combination of the above types of memory.
该计算机设备还包括通信接口30,用于该计算机设备与其他设备或通信网络通信。The computer device further comprises a communication interface 30 for the computer device to communicate with other devices or a communication network.
本发明实施例还提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,上述根据本发明实施例的方法可在硬件、固件中实现,或者被实现为可记录在存储介质,或者被实现通过网络下载的原始存储在远程存储介质或非暂时机器可读存储介质中并将被存储在本地存储介质中的计算机代码,从而在此描述的方法可被存储在使用通用计算机、专用处理器或者可编程或专用硬件的存储介质上的这样的软件处理。其中,存储介质可为磁碟、光盘、只读存储记忆体、随机存储记忆体、快闪存储器、硬盘或固态硬盘等;进一步地,存储介质还可以包括上述种类的存储器的组合。可以理解,计算机、处理器、微处理器控制器或可编程硬件包括可存储或接收软件或计算机代码的存储组件,当软件或计算机代码被计算机、处理器或硬件访问且执行时,实现上述实施例示出的方法。The embodiment of the present invention also provides a computer-readable storage medium. The method according to the embodiment of the present invention can be implemented in hardware, firmware, or can be implemented as a computer code that can be recorded in a storage medium, or can be implemented as a computer code that is originally stored in a remote storage medium or a non-temporary machine-readable storage medium and will be stored in a local storage medium through network download, so that the method described herein can be stored in such software processing on a storage medium using a general-purpose computer, a dedicated processor, or programmable or dedicated hardware. Among them, the storage medium can be a magnetic disk, an optical disk, a read-only storage memory, a random access memory, a flash memory, a hard disk or a solid-state hard disk, etc.; further, the storage medium can also include a combination of the above types of memories. It can be understood that a computer, a processor, a microprocessor controller or programmable hardware includes a storage component that can store or receive software or computer code. When the software or computer code is accessed and executed by a computer, a processor or hardware, the method shown in the above embodiment is implemented.
本发明的一部分可被应用为计算机程序产品,例如计算机程序指令,当其被计算机执行时,通过该计算机的操作,可以调用或提供根据本发明的方法和/或技术方案。本领域技术人员应能理解,计算机程序指令在计算机可读介质中的存在形式包括但不限于源文件、可执行文件、安装包文件等,相应地,计算机程序指令被计算机执行的方式包括但不限于:该计算机直接执行该指令,或者该计算机编译该指令后再执行对应的编译后程序,或者该计算机读取并执行该指令,或者该计算机读取并安装该指令后再执行对应的安装后程序。在此,计算机可读介质可以是可供计算机访问的任意可用的计算机可读存储介质或通信介质。A part of the present invention may be applied as a computer program product, such as a computer program instruction, which, when executed by a computer, can call or provide the method and/or technical solution according to the present invention through the operation of the computer. Those skilled in the art should understand that the existence of the computer program instruction in a computer-readable medium includes, but is not limited to, a source file, an executable file, an installation package file, etc., and accordingly, the way in which the computer program instruction is executed by the computer includes, but is not limited to: the computer directly executes the instruction, or the computer compiles the instruction and then executes the corresponding compiled program, or the computer reads and executes the instruction, or the computer reads and installs the instruction and then executes the corresponding installed program. Here, the computer-readable medium may be any available computer-readable storage medium or communication medium accessible to the computer.
虽然结合附图描述了本发明的实施例,但是本领域技术人员可以在不脱离本发明的精神和范围的情况下做出各种修改和变型,这样的修改和变型均落入由所附权利要求所限定的范围之内。Although the embodiments of the present invention have been described in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, those skilled in the art may make various modifications and variations without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, and such modifications and variations are all within the scope defined by the appended claims.
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