CN118446559B - Soybean unit production remote sensing estimation method and device based on data and knowledge dual driving - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及农业生产技术领域,尤其涉及一种基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法及装置。The present invention relates to the field of agricultural production technology, and in particular to a soybean yield remote sensing estimation method and device based on dual drive of data and knowledge.
背景技术Background Art
早期的作物单产估算模型主要由数据驱动,一些数据驱动背景下的机器学习模型,如分布式梯度增强模型、随机森林模型、支持向量机模型以及人工神经网络等已经被广泛应用于农作物单产遥感估算应用中。通过将遥感反演的作物生长状态参量(如叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,简称为LAI)、冠层吸收的光合有效辐射比例以及各种植被指数(Vegetation Index Scale ,简称为VIS)等)与作物单产构建经验统计模型。Early crop yield estimation models were mainly driven by data. Some machine learning models under data-driven backgrounds, such as distributed gradient boosting models, random forest models, support vector machine models, and artificial neural networks, have been widely used in crop yield remote sensing estimation applications. An empirical statistical model is constructed by combining crop growth state parameters inverted by remote sensing (such as Leaf Area Index (LAI), the proportion of photosynthetically active radiation absorbed by the canopy, and various vegetation indices (VIS)) with crop yield.
但是,经验统计类模型对于产量预测的准确性依赖于大量训练样本的数据质量以及模型的代表性,尽管遥感数据为估产模型的构建提供了一定的数据支持,但是对于农作物单产的估算的精度始终有限、估算效果不佳。进一步地,随着对作物生长过程的不断深入了解,由农学机理知识驱动的作物生长模型通过模拟光合作用、冠层与大气之间的气体交换、物候、土壤水分和温度变化、生物量积累和籽粒的形成来预测作物从播种到收获的演化过程,预测精度相较于经验统计类模型,但是作物生长模型在实际的推广应用中,依赖于大量的地面观测样本,耗费大量的人力物力且难以大面积应用。However, the accuracy of yield prediction by empirical statistical models depends on the data quality of a large number of training samples and the representativeness of the model. Although remote sensing data provides certain data support for the construction of yield estimation models, the accuracy of crop yield estimation is always limited and the estimation effect is poor. Furthermore, with the continuous in-depth understanding of the crop growth process, crop growth models driven by agronomic mechanism knowledge predict the evolution of crops from sowing to harvesting by simulating photosynthesis, gas exchange between the canopy and the atmosphere, phenology, soil moisture and temperature changes, biomass accumulation and grain formation. The prediction accuracy is compared with empirical statistical models, but the actual promotion and application of crop growth models depends on a large number of ground observation samples, consumes a lot of manpower and material resources, and is difficult to apply on a large scale.
发明内容Summary of the invention
针对现有技术存在的问题,本发明提供一种基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法及装置,用以解决现有技术中对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题。以实现对于作物单产的高精度估算。In view of the problems existing in the prior art, the present invention provides a soybean yield remote sensing estimation method and device based on dual drive of data and knowledge, so as to solve the problem of poor crop yield estimation effect in the prior art, so as to achieve high-precision estimation of crop yield.
第一方面,本发明提供一种基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法,包括:获取作物的遥感数据,并通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,所述第一平均叶面积指数为从出苗到开花阶段的平均叶面积指数,所述第二平均叶面积指数为从开花到成熟阶段的平均叶面积指数;输入所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数至作物单产估算模型,得到所述作物单产估算模型输出的所述作物的单产产量;所述作物单产估算模型是基于多个作物样本的所述第一平均叶面积指数、所述第二平均叶面积指数和所述单产产量,对循环神经网络进行训练得到的。In a first aspect, the present invention provides a soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge, comprising: acquiring remote sensing data of crops, and determining a first average leaf area index and a second average leaf area index of the crops through the remote sensing data, wherein the first average leaf area index is the average leaf area index from seedling to flowering stage, and the second average leaf area index is the average leaf area index from flowering to maturity stage; inputting the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crops into a crop yield estimation model to obtain the yield of the crops output by the crop yield estimation model; the crop yield estimation model is obtained by training a recurrent neural network based on the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield of multiple crop samples.
可选地,所述多个作物样本的所述第一平均叶面积指数、所述第二平均叶面积指数和所述单产产量是通过作物生长模型对多种不同的生长情景进行模拟得到的,每种生长情景对应一套情景参数组合,所述情景参数组合包括气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数的组合。Optionally, the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield per unit area of the multiple crop samples are obtained by simulating a plurality of different growth scenarios with a crop growth model, each growth scenario corresponding to a set of scenario parameter combinations, and the scenario parameter combination includes a combination of meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measure parameters.
可选地,所述作物生长模型的输入为气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数,输出为叶面积指数、日期、发展阶段、地上总干重、存储器官干重、叶干重、茎重、根重、蒸腾速率、实际根深、实际根区土壤含水量和土壤剖面总水量。Optionally, the input of the crop growth model is meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measure parameters, and the output is leaf area index, date, development stage, total aboveground dry weight, storage organ dry weight, leaf dry weight, stem weight, root weight, transpiration rate, actual root depth, actual root zone soil moisture content and total water content in the soil profile.
可选地,所述获取作物的遥感数据,包括:根据积温带确定所述作物的熟型;根据所述作物的熟型,确定所述作物从出苗到开花阶段的第一时间范围以及从开花到成熟阶段的第二时间范围;基于所述第一时间范围和所述第二时间范围获取对应的遥感数据。Optionally, the acquiring of remote sensing data of crops includes: determining the maturity type of the crops based on the accumulated temperature zone; determining a first time range from the seedling stage to the flowering stage and a second time range from the flowering stage to the maturity stage of the crops based on the maturity type of the crops; and acquiring corresponding remote sensing data based on the first time range and the second time range.
可选地,所述循环神经网络为门控循环单元模型。Optionally, the recurrent neural network is a gated recurrent unit model.
可选地,所述通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,包括:基于所述遥感数据中的地表反射率数据反演得到所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数。Optionally, determining the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop through the remote sensing data includes: obtaining the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop based on inverting surface reflectivity data in the remote sensing data.
第二方面,本发明提供了一种基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置,所述装置包括:第一处理模块,用于获取作物的遥感数据,并通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,所述第一平均叶面积指数为从出苗到开花阶段的平均叶面积指数,所述第二平均叶面积指数为从开花到成熟阶段的平均叶面积指数;第二处理模块,用于输入所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数至作物单产估算模型,得到所述作物单产估算模型输出的所述作物的单产产量;其中,所述作物单产估算模型是基于多个作物样本的第一平均叶面积指数、第二平均叶面积指数和单产产量,对循环神经网络进行训练得到的。In a second aspect, the present invention provides a soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge, the device comprising: a first processing module, used to obtain remote sensing data of crops, and determine a first average leaf area index and a second average leaf area index of the crops through the remote sensing data, the first average leaf area index being the average leaf area index from seedling to flowering stage, and the second average leaf area index being the average leaf area index from flowering to maturity stage; a second processing module, used to input the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop into a crop yield estimation model, to obtain the yield of the crop output by the crop yield estimation model; wherein the crop yield estimation model is obtained by training a recurrent neural network based on the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield of multiple crop samples.
第三方面,本发明还提供一种电子设备,包括存储器、处理器及存储在存储器上并可在处理器上运行的计算机程序,所述处理器执行所述程序时实现如上述任一种所述基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。In a third aspect, the present invention also provides an electronic device comprising a memory, a processor, and a computer program stored in the memory and executable on the processor, wherein when the processor executes the program, it implements any of the above-mentioned methods for remote sensing estimation of soybean yield based on dual drive of data and knowledge.
第四方面,本发明还提供一种非暂态计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序被处理器执行时实现如上述任一种所述基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。In a fourth aspect, the present invention further provides a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, which, when executed by a processor, implements any of the above-described methods for remote sensing estimation of soybean yield based on dual drive of data and knowledge.
第五方面,本发明还提供一种计算机程序产品,包括计算机程序,所述计算机程序被处理器执行时实现如上述任一种所述基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。In a fifth aspect, the present invention also provides a computer program product, including a computer program, which, when executed by a processor, implements any of the above-mentioned methods for remote sensing estimation of soybean yield based on dual drive of data and knowledge.
本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法,通过获取作物的遥感数据,确定出作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,将第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数输入至通过循环神经网络模型得到的作物单产估算模型中,即可实现对于作物单产产量的估算。解决了现有技术中,对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题,通过使用叶面积指数为输入指标,借助循环神经网络模型简化了作物单产的估算过程,同时提高了估算的精度。The soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention obtains the remote sensing data of the crop, determines the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop, and inputs the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index into the crop yield estimation model obtained by the recurrent neural network model, so as to realize the estimation of the crop yield. The problem of poor crop yield estimation effect in the prior art is solved. By using the leaf area index as the input indicator, the crop yield estimation process is simplified with the help of the recurrent neural network model, and the estimation accuracy is improved.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了更清楚地说明本发明或相关技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例或相关技术描述中所需要使用的附图作一简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the present invention or related technologies, the following briefly introduces the drawings required for use in the embodiments or related technical descriptions. Obviously, the drawings described below are some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without paying creative work.
图1是本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法的流程示意图。FIG1 is a flow chart of a soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention.
图2是本发明提供的GRU模型结构示意图。FIG2 is a schematic diagram of the GRU model structure provided by the present invention.
图3是本发明提供的WOFOST模型的结构示意图。FIG3 is a schematic diagram of the structure of the WOFOST model provided by the present invention.
图4是本发明提供的基于数据和知识共同驱动的混合建模方法对作物单产进行估测的流程示意图。FIG4 is a schematic diagram of a flow chart of the hybrid modeling method for estimating crop yields based on data and knowledge driven hybrid modeling provided by the present invention.
图5是本发明提供的大豆LAI模拟示意图。FIG5 is a schematic diagram of soybean LAI simulation provided by the present invention.
图6是本发明提供的大豆存储器官干重模拟图。FIG. 6 is a simulated diagram of the dry weight of soybean storage organs provided by the present invention.
图7是本发明提供的2022-2023年的单点尺度大豆单产估算精度验证图。FIG7 is a single-point scale soybean yield estimation accuracy verification diagram for 2022-2023 provided by the present invention.
图8是本发明提供的2019-2022年的区域尺度大豆单产估算精度验证图。FIG8 is a regional-scale soybean yield estimation accuracy verification diagram for 2019-2022 provided by the present invention.
图9是本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置的结构示意图。FIG9 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention.
图10是本发明提供的电子设备的结构示意图。FIG. 10 is a schematic diagram of the structure of an electronic device provided by the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
为使本发明的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将结合本发明中的附图,对本发明中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。以下通过具体应用场景的示例对本发明提供的上述方法进行举例说明。In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the present invention will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the drawings in the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are part of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments in the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention. The above method provided by the present invention is illustrated below by examples of specific application scenarios.
图1是本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法的流程示意图,如图1所示,该方法包括以下步骤S102-S104:FIG1 is a flow chart of a soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention. As shown in FIG1 , the method includes the following steps S102-S104:
步骤S102:获取作物的遥感数据,并通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,所述第一平均叶面积指数为从出苗到开花阶段的平均叶面积指数,所述第二平均叶面积指数为从开花到成熟阶段的平均叶面积指数。Step S102: Acquire remote sensing data of crops, and determine a first average leaf area index and a second average leaf area index of the crops through the remote sensing data, wherein the first average leaf area index is the average leaf area index from seedling emergence to flowering stage, and the second average leaf area index is the average leaf area index from flowering to maturity stage.
需要说明的是,本申请中所述的作物为大豆。It should be noted that the crop described in this application is soybean.
需要说明的是,叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,简称为LAI)是衡量植被覆盖程度的一个重要指标,指的是单位地面上单位投影面积的植被叶面积。It should be noted that the Leaf Area Index (LAI) is an important indicator for measuring the degree of vegetation coverage, which refers to the vegetation leaf area per unit projected area on unit ground.
在一个示例性的实施例中,所述获取作物的遥感数据,可以通过以下步骤S11-S13实现:In an exemplary embodiment, the acquisition of crop remote sensing data may be achieved by following steps S11-S13:
步骤S11:根据积温带确定所述作物的熟型。Step S11: determining the maturity type of the crop according to the accumulated temperature zone.
需要说明的是,由于不同地区存在气候差异,所以在实际中会根据积温带对于研究区域进行分区,大豆的熟型包括:早熟,中早熟,中熟,中晚熟,晚熟。根据积温带的划分,结合文献资料确定不同的积温带分别种植哪种熟型的大豆。It should be noted that due to climate differences in different regions, the research area is divided according to the accumulated temperature zone in practice. The maturity types of soybeans include: early maturity, medium early maturity, medium maturity, medium late maturity, and late maturity. According to the division of accumulated temperature zones, combined with literature data, it is determined which type of soybeans should be planted in different accumulated temperature zones.
步骤S12:根据所述作物的熟型,确定所述作物从出苗到开花阶段的第一时间范围以及从开花到成熟阶段的第二时间范围。Step S12: Determine a first time range from the emergence to the flowering stage and a second time range from the flowering to the maturity stage of the crop according to the maturity type of the crop.
需要说明的是,作物的阶段划分主要通过有效积温来界定。有效积温是作物基准温度以上的日平均温度的累加,当有效积温达到一个生长阶段所需要的积温阈值时,作物的生长便会进入到下一生长阶段。作物生育阶段的时间,通常以日历日天数表示,通过将日历时间转换为热时间从而确定出所述时间范围,作物生育阶段的长度和持续时间将根据不同年份的温度状况进行调整。有效积温的计算公式如下:It should be noted that the stage division of crops is mainly defined by effective accumulated temperature. Effective accumulated temperature is the accumulation of daily average temperature above the base temperature of the crop. When the effective accumulated temperature reaches the accumulated temperature threshold required for a growth stage, the growth of the crop will enter the next growth stage. The time of the crop growth stage is usually expressed in calendar days. The time range is determined by converting calendar time into thermal time. The length and duration of the crop growth stage will be adjusted according to the temperature conditions in different years. The calculation formula for effective accumulated temperature is as follows:
其中, T 是日平均气温。是发育临界温度的下限,为大豆发育的上限温度。Where T is the average daily temperature. is the lower limit of the critical temperature for development. It is the upper limit temperature for soybean development.
步骤S13:基于所述第一时间范围和所述第二时间范围获取对应的遥感数据。Step S13: Acquire corresponding remote sensing data based on the first time range and the second time range.
作为一种可选地实施例,作物达到不同的生长阶段所用的时间范围主要基于GEE(Google Earth Engine)平台提供的ERA5-Land Daily Aggregated - ECMWF ClimateReanalysis数据进行,该数据集提供了从1950年至今地表2米高度的逐日平均气温数据。As an optional embodiment, the time range used by crops to reach different growth stages is mainly based on the ERA5-Land Daily Aggregated - ECMWF ClimateReanalysis data provided by the GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform, which provides daily average temperature data at an altitude of 2 meters above the surface from 1950 to the present.
在一个示例性的实施例中,所述通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,可以通过以下步骤S21实现:In an exemplary embodiment, determining the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop by using the remote sensing data can be achieved by the following steps S21:
步骤S21:基于所述遥感数据中的地表反射率数据反演得到所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数。Step S21: obtaining a first average leaf area index and a second average leaf area index of the crop based on inversion of the surface reflectance data in the remote sensing data.
作为一种可选地实施例,所述遥感数据通常为通过GEE(Google Earth Engine)平台查找、处理并下载的得到的Sentinel-2 Level-2A级数据,LA2级数据是已经完成辐射定标和大气校正地表反射率数据。As an optional embodiment, the remote sensing data is usually Sentinel-2 Level-2A data obtained by searching, processing and downloading through the GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform, and the LA2-level data is the surface reflectance data that has completed radiation calibration and atmospheric correction.
作为一种可选地实施例,基于地表反射率数据进行反演时,可以使用植被指数来实现,其中,的定义为:As an optional embodiment, when performing inversion based on surface reflectivity data, the The vegetation index is implemented, where is defined as:
上述式子中,NIR为Sentinel-2影像的近红外波段(B8A)的反射率,RE为Sentinel-2影像红边波段(B5,704nm)的反射率。In the above formula, NIR is the reflectivity of the near-infrared band (B8A) of the Sentinel-2 image, and RE is the reflectivity of the red edge band (B5, 704nm) of the Sentinel-2 image.
进一步地,基于大豆的LAI可以进一步表示为:Further, based on The LAI of soybean can be further expressed as:
步骤S104:输入所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数至作物单产估算模型,得到所述作物单产估算模型输出的所述作物的单产产量。Step S104: inputting the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop into a crop yield estimation model to obtain the yield of the crop output by the crop yield estimation model.
其中,所述作物单产估算模型是基于多个作物样本的所述第一平均叶面积指数、所述第二平均叶面积指数和所述单产产量,对循环神经网络进行训练得到的。The crop yield estimation model is obtained by training a recurrent neural network based on the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield of multiple crop samples.
需要说明的是,所述循环神经网络为门控循环单元模型。门控循环单元(GatedRecurrent Unit,简称为GRU)主要用于解决长期记忆和反向传播中的梯度等问题。GRU将LSTM 的门结构进行了合并,改进了以往循环神经网络复杂的单元结构。可以增加网络的训练速度并且保证模型的训练精度不会下降。相比于 LSTM 的“三门”结构,GRU 只有更新门和重置门两个门结构用于控制长期信息的流动,对网络结构进行简化,可以提高模型的训练速度。GRU模型的计算过程为:It should be noted that the recurrent neural network is a gated recurrent unit model. The gated recurrent unit (GRU) is mainly used to solve problems such as long-term memory and gradients in back propagation. GRU merges the gate structure of LSTM and improves the complex unit structure of the previous recurrent neural network. It can increase the training speed of the network and ensure that the training accuracy of the model will not decrease. Compared with the "three-gate" structure of LSTM, GRU only has two gate structures, the update gate and the reset gate, to control the flow of long-term information. The network structure is simplified and the training speed of the model can be increased. The calculation process of the GRU model is:
其中,sigmoid()是S型激活函数;tanh()表示双曲正切激活函数;表示t时刻重置门的输出;表示t时刻更新门的输出;表示重置门的权重矩阵;表示更新门的权重矩阵;表示候选隐状态的权重矩阵;表示GRU模型在t时刻的输入;表示GRU模型在t时刻的隐藏层状态输出;表示当前输入的候选隐状态,表示GRU模型在t-1时刻的隐藏层状态输出。Among them, sigmoid() is the S-type activation function; tanh() represents the hyperbolic tangent activation function; represents the output of the reset gate at time t; represents the output of the update gate at time t; represents the weight matrix of the reset gate; represents the weight matrix of the update gate; The weight matrix representing the candidate hidden state; Represents the input of the GRU model at time t; Represents the hidden layer state output of the GRU model at time t; represents the candidate hidden state of the current input, Represents the hidden layer state output of the GRU model at time t-1.
需要说明的是,本发明将作物从出苗到开花阶段(0<DVS≤1)和开花到成熟阶段(1<DVS≤2)的平均LAI作为模型的时序输入特征,以作物的单产作为模型的输出特征。It should be noted that the present invention uses the average LAI of crops from seedling to flowering stage (0<DVS≤1) and flowering to maturity stage (1<DVS≤2) as the time series input feature of the model, and the yield of the crop as the output feature of the model.
作为一种可选地实施例,在训练模型的过程中,模型优化器为Adam,损失函数为均方误差,对网络多次训练从而寻找最优的GRU层数、神经元个数units、epochs、batch size、dropout等参数值,如图2所示,是本发明提供的GRU模型结构示意图。As an optional embodiment, in the process of training the model, the model optimizer is Adam, the loss function is the mean square error, and the network is trained multiple times to find the optimal GRU layer number, number of neurons units, epochs, batch size, dropout and other parameter values, as shown in Figure 2, which is a schematic diagram of the GRU model structure provided by the present invention.
需要说明的是,所述多个作物样本的所述第一平均叶面积指数、所述第二平均叶面积指数和所述单产产量是通过作物生长模型对多种不同的生长情景进行模拟得到的,每种生长情景对应一套情景参数组合,所述情景参数组合包括气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数的组合。It should be noted that the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield per unit area of the multiple crop samples are obtained by simulating a variety of growth scenarios with a crop growth model, and each growth scenario corresponds to a set of scenario parameter combinations, which include a combination of meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measures parameters.
作为一种可选地实施例,作物生长模型可以选择世界粮食研究模型(World FoodStudies Model,简称为WOFOST),图3是本发明提供的WOFOST模型的结构示意图,如图所示模型主要包括四个模块:气象、作物、土壤与田间管理。以相应的气象条件、作物品种、土壤参数、及田间管理措施为约束机制,来模拟各种作物的生长发育过程。所述作物生长模型的输入为气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数,输出为叶面积指数、日期、发展阶段、地上总干重、存储器官干重、叶干重、茎重、根重、蒸腾速率、实际根深、实际根区土壤含水量和土壤剖面总水量。As an optional embodiment, the crop growth model can select the World Food Studies Model (abbreviated as WOFOST). FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the structure of the WOFOST model provided by the present invention. As shown in the figure, the model mainly includes four modules: meteorology, crops, soil and field management. The growth and development process of various crops is simulated with corresponding meteorological conditions, crop varieties, soil parameters, and field management measures as constraint mechanisms. The input of the crop growth model is meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measure parameters, and the output is leaf area index, date, development stage, total aboveground dry weight, storage organ dry weight, leaf dry weight, stem weight, root weight, transpiration rate, actual root depth, actual root zone soil moisture content and total soil profile moisture.
需要说明的是,气象参数包括:日期(DAY,d)、入射短波辐射(IRRAD,KJ/m2/day)、平均水汽压(VAP,kpa)、最高温度(TMAX,℃)、最低温度(TMIN,℃)、平均风速(WIND,m/s)、降水量(RAIN,mm)和积雪深度(SNOWDEPTH,cm)。It should be noted that the meteorological parameters include: date (DAY, d), incident shortwave radiation (IRRAD, KJ/m2/day), average vapor pressure (VAP, kpa), maximum temperature (TMAX, ℃), minimum temperature (TMIN, ℃), average wind speed (WIND, m/s), precipitation (RAIN, mm) and snow depth (SNOWDEPTH, cm).
需要说明的是,作物参数包括:出苗的低温阈值、出苗的高温阈值、播种到出苗的积温、出苗到开花的积温、开花到成熟的积温、初始农作物总干重、叶面积指数的最大增长率、比叶面积(DVS=0.0)、比叶面积(DVS=0.45)、比叶面积(DVS=0.90)、比叶面积(DVS=2.00)、叶片在35摄氏度时的寿命、叶龄的低温阈值、可见光漫射的消光系数与DVS的函数、单叶的光能利用率与日均温的函数、叶片最大同化率(DVS=0.0)、叶片最大同化率(DVS=1.7)、叶片最大同化率(DVS=2.0)、叶片的同化物转换效率、存储器官的同化物转换效率、根的同化物转换效率、茎的同化物转换效率、温度增加10℃呼吸速率相对变量、叶片的维持呼吸速率、存储器官的维持呼吸速率、根的维持呼吸速率、茎的维持呼吸速率、总干物质相对于根的比例与DVS的函数、地上干物质相对于叶的比例与DVS的函数、地上干物质相对于茎的比例与DVS的函数、地上干物质相对于器官的比例与DVS的函数、水分胁迫导致叶片的最大相对死亡率、初始根深、每日最大根深度增加量、最大根深。It should be noted that the crop parameters include: low temperature threshold for emergence, high temperature threshold for emergence, accumulated temperature from sowing to emergence, accumulated temperature from emergence to flowering, accumulated temperature from flowering to maturity, initial total dry weight of crops, maximum growth rate of leaf area index, specific leaf area (DVS=0.0), specific leaf area (DVS=0.45), specific leaf area (DVS=0.90), specific leaf area (DVS=2.00), leaf life at 35 degrees Celsius, low temperature threshold of leaf age, extinction coefficient of visible light diffusion as a function of DVS, light energy utilization rate of a single leaf as a function of daily average temperature, maximum leaf Assimilation rate (DVS=0.0), maximum leaf Assimilation rate (DVS=1.7), maximum leaf Assimilation rate (DVS=2.0), assimilate conversion efficiency of leaves, assimilate conversion efficiency of storage organs, assimilate conversion efficiency of roots, assimilate conversion efficiency of stems, relative variable of respiration rate when temperature increases by 10℃, maintenance respiration rate of leaves, maintenance respiration rate of storage organs, maintenance respiration rate of roots, maintenance respiration rate of stems, ratio of total dry matter to roots as a function of DVS, ratio of aboveground dry matter to leaves as a function of DVS, ratio of aboveground dry matter to stems as a function of DVS, ratio of aboveground dry matter to organs as a function of DVS, maximum relative mortality of leaves caused by water stress, initial root depth, maximum daily increase in root depth, maximum root depth.
需要说明的是,土壤参数主要包括枯萎系数(SMW)、饱和含水量(SM0)和田间持水量(SMFCF)等,这些参数的值主要取决于土壤质地和结构。It should be noted that soil parameters mainly include the wilting coefficient (SMW), saturated water content (SM0) and field holding capacity (SMFCF), and the values of these parameters mainly depend on the soil texture and structure.
需要说明的是,管理措施参数包括种植日期等。It should be noted that management measure parameters include planting date, etc.
作为一种可选地实施例,本发明中可以基于“查找表”思想对于四种类型输入数据进行广泛的设置其排列组合生成众多生长情景,利用模型逐一对每一种生长情景下的作物生长发育和单产形成过程进行模拟,从而构建出一个庞大的单产形成过程农学知识库。通过作物样本构建的庞大的单产形成过程农学知识库,解决了现有的估测方法依赖大量地面观测样本,观测样本的获取需要耗费大量人力物力的问题,通过构建的单产形成过程农学知识库可以更加适用于大面积的作物单产估算场景。As an optional embodiment, the present invention can widely set the four types of input data based on the "lookup table" concept to generate numerous growth scenarios through their permutations and combinations, and use the model to simulate the crop growth and development and yield formation process under each growth scenario one by one, thereby constructing a huge agronomic knowledge base for the yield formation process. The huge agronomic knowledge base for the yield formation process constructed through crop samples solves the problem that the existing estimation method relies on a large number of ground observation samples, and the acquisition of observation samples requires a lot of manpower and material resources. The constructed agronomic knowledge base for the yield formation process can be more suitable for large-scale crop yield estimation scenarios.
需要说明的是,生长期最后一天的存储器官干重即用于表征本申请中的作物单产产量。It should be noted that the storage organ dry weight on the last day of the growth period is used to characterize the crop yield per unit area in this application.
作为一种可选地实施例,在得到单产估算模型输出的作物单产产量以后,可以进一步进行估算精度验证。估算精度验证包括实测样点验证和统计数据验证两方面。其中,实测样点验证数据来自野外采集的样本数据,精度验证指标包括决定系数(Coefficientof Determination)、均方根误差RMSE(Root Mean Square Error)和平均相对误差MRE(Mean Relative Error)。越高,RMSE和MRE越小,代表估产模型的表现越好。计算公式如下:As an optional embodiment, after obtaining the crop yield per unit area output by the yield estimation model, the estimation accuracy can be further verified. The estimation accuracy verification includes two aspects: actual sample point verification and statistical data verification. Among them, the actual sample point verification data comes from sample data collected in the field, and the accuracy verification indicators include the determination coefficient (Coefficient of Determination), root mean square error RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and mean relative error MRE (Mean Relative Error). The higher it is, the smaller the RMSE and MRE are, which means the performance of the yield estimation model is better. The calculation formula is as follows:
其中,和分别表示实际单产和估算单产,是实际单产的均值。in, and Represent the actual yield and estimated yield, respectively. is the mean of the actual yield.
通过上述步骤S102-S104,通过获取作物的遥感数据,确定出作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,将第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数输入至通过循环神经网络模型得到的作物单产估算模型中,即可实现对于作物单产产量的估算。解决了现有技术中,对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题,通过使用叶面积指数为输入指标,借助循环神经网络模型简化了作物单产的估算过程,同时提高了估算的精度。Through the above steps S102-S104, by acquiring the remote sensing data of the crop, the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop are determined, and the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index are input into the crop yield estimation model obtained by the recurrent neural network model, so as to realize the estimation of the crop yield. The problem of poor crop yield estimation effect in the prior art is solved, and by using the leaf area index as an input indicator, the crop yield estimation process is simplified with the help of the recurrent neural network model, and the estimation accuracy is improved.
该方法中各步骤的执行主体可以是基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置,该装置可通过软件和/或硬件实现,该装置可集成在电子设备中,电子设备可以是终端设备(如智能手机、个人电脑等),也可以是服务器(如本地服务器或云端服务器,也可以为服务器集群等),也可以是处理器,也可以是芯片等。The executor of each step in the method can be a soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge. The device can be implemented through software and/or hardware. The device can be integrated in an electronic device. The electronic device can be a terminal device (such as a smart phone, a personal computer, etc.), or a server (such as a local server or a cloud server, or a server cluster, etc.), or a processor, or a chip, etc.
显然,上述所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明的一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。为了更好的理解上述方法,以下结合实施例对上述过程进行说明,但不用限定本发明实施例的技术方案,具体地:Obviously, the above-described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all the embodiments. In order to better understand the above method, the above process is described below in conjunction with the embodiments, but the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention are not limited. Specifically:
本发明基于农学机理,耦合机器学习方法和作物生长模型建立了一种基于数据和知识共同驱动的混合建模方法对作物单产进行估测,图4是本发明提供的基于数据和知识共同驱动的混合建模方法对作物单产进行估测的流程示意图。为了便于理解,本发明中以大豆为例,本发明解决了单产估算研究中的样本稀缺、对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题,扩展了估产模型的时空泛化能力。Based on agronomic mechanisms, the present invention couples machine learning methods and crop growth models to establish a hybrid modeling method driven by data and knowledge to estimate crop yields. FIG4 is a flow chart of the hybrid modeling method driven by data and knowledge provided by the present invention to estimate crop yields. For ease of understanding, the present invention takes soybeans as an example. The present invention solves the problems of sample scarcity and poor crop yield estimation in yield estimation research, and expands the spatiotemporal generalization capability of the yield estimation model.
一、大豆单产形成过程农学知识库构建1. Construction of agronomic knowledge base on soybean yield formation process
WOFOST能够以天为步长定量模拟气象和其他环境因子影响下的作物生长过程,且模型对过程的描述是通用的,可以通过改变参数模拟不同的地理位置上的不同作物。WOFOST模型以同化作用、呼吸作用、蒸腾作用和干物质分配等作物生理生态过程为模拟基础,主要包括潜在生长条件、水分限制条件和养分限制条件下作物生长的模拟。以东北黑土区为例,模型参数设置如下。WOFOST can quantitatively simulate the crop growth process under the influence of meteorological and other environmental factors with a day-long step, and the model's description of the process is universal, and different crops in different geographical locations can be simulated by changing parameters. The WOFOST model is based on the simulation of crop physiological and ecological processes such as assimilation, respiration, transpiration, and dry matter distribution, mainly including the simulation of crop growth under potential growth conditions, water-limited conditions, and nutrient-limited conditions. Taking the Northeast Black Soil Region as an example, the model parameters are set as follows.
(1)气象参数(1) Meteorological parameters
WOFOST模型需要的气象参数包括日期(DAY,d)、入射短波辐射(IRRAD,KJ/m2/day)、平均水汽压(VAP,kpa)、最高温度(TMAX,℃)、最低温度(TMIN,℃)、平均风速(WIND,m/s)、降水量(RAIN,mm)和积雪深度(SNOWDEPTH,cm)。研究使用的气象观测数据集来自气象网站,选取东北黑土区内319个气象站,时间范围为1980-2023年。为了进一步筛选气象站点,以2023年大豆种植分布图为基准,选择了距离大豆种植地块1km以内的共51个气象站点为模型提供气象输入数据。该气象观测数据集包含逐日的观测数据,包括:最高气温(℃)、平均气温(℃)、最低气温(℃)、平均风速(m/sec)、降水量(mm)、平均水汽压(kPa)和日照时数(h)。The meteorological parameters required by the WOFOST model include date (DAY, d), incident shortwave radiation (IRRAD, KJ/m2/day), average vapor pressure (VAP, kpa), maximum temperature (TMAX, ℃), minimum temperature (TMIN, ℃), average wind speed (WIND, m/s), precipitation (RAIN, mm) and snow depth (SNOWDEPTH, cm). The meteorological observation dataset used in the study comes from the meteorological website, and 319 meteorological stations in the Northeast Black Soil Region are selected, with a time range of 1980-2023. In order to further screen meteorological stations, based on the 2023 soybean planting distribution map, a total of 51 meteorological stations within 1 km of the soybean planting plot were selected to provide meteorological input data for the model. The meteorological observation dataset contains daily observation data, including: maximum temperature (℃), average temperature (℃), minimum temperature (℃), average wind speed (m/sec), precipitation (mm), average vapor pressure (kPa) and sunshine hours (h).
(2)作物参数(2) Crop parameters
WOFOST模型需要的作物品种参数如表1所示。由于大豆的生长过程受积温调控,由于大豆的生长过程受积温调控,本发明根据已有研究对大豆从出苗到开花的积温(TSUM1)、从开花到成熟的积温(TSUM2)进行了分级设置,把东北黑土区种植的大豆分为早熟、中早熟、中熟、中晚熟和晚熟五种熟型。其中,早熟大豆需要更少的积温达到不同的生长阶段,晚熟的大豆对积温的需求更大。对于其他非敏感性作物参数,如大豆出苗的低温阈值(TBASEM)、高温阈值(TEFFMX)、初始农作物总干重(TDWI)、比叶面积(SLATB)主要参考WOFOST模型提供的大豆默认参数取值和同研究区相关研究校准值进行设置。The crop variety parameters required by the WOFOST model are shown in Table 1. Since the growth process of soybeans is regulated by accumulated temperature, the present invention has graded the accumulated temperature from emergence to flowering (TSUM1) and the accumulated temperature from flowering to maturity (TSUM2) of soybeans according to existing research, and divided the soybeans planted in the Northeast Black Soil Region into five maturity types: early, medium-early, medium, medium-late and late. Among them, early-maturing soybeans require less accumulated temperature to reach different growth stages, and late-maturing soybeans have a greater demand for accumulated temperature. For other non-sensitive crop parameters, such as the low temperature threshold (TBASEM) of soybean emergence, the high temperature threshold (TEFFMX), the initial crop total dry weight (TDWI), and the specific leaf area (SLATB), they are mainly set with reference to the soybean default parameter values provided by the WOFOST model and the calibration values of related studies in the same study area.
表 1 WOFOST模型作物参数设置Table 1. Crop parameter settings of WOFOST model
表 1续表 WOFOST模型作物参数设置Table 1. WOFOST model crop parameter settings
表 1续表 WOFOST模型作物参数设置Table 1. WOFOST model crop parameter settings
表 1续表 WOFOST模型作物参数设置Table 1. WOFOST model crop parameter settings
(3)土壤参数(3) Soil parameters
WOFOST模型所需的主要土壤参数主要包括枯萎系数(SMW)、饱和含水量(SM0)和田间持水量(SMFCF)等,这些参数的值主要取决于土壤质地和结构。主要包括土壤空间分布、土壤物理性质、土壤化学性质和土壤养分数据,将东北黑土区土壤类型分为砂壤土、轻壤土、中壤土和重壤土四种类型,不同土壤类型的参数取值如表2和表3所示,涉及参数主要包括枯萎系数(SMW)、田间持水量(SMFCF)、饱和含水量(SM0)、饱和导水率(K0)、土壤通气临界空气含量(CRAIRC)、深苗床第一层表土渗流参数(SPADS)、深苗床第二层表土渗流参数(SPODS)、浅苗床第一层表土渗流参数(SPASS)、浅苗床第二层表土渗流参数(SPOSS)等。其他参数取值参考已有文献研究和WOFOST模型提供的默认参数取值。The main soil parameters required by the WOFOST model include the wilting coefficient (SMW), saturated water content (SM0) and field water holding capacity (SMFCF), etc. The values of these parameters mainly depend on soil texture and structure. It mainly includes soil spatial distribution, soil physical properties, soil chemical properties and soil nutrient data. The soil types in the Northeast Black Soil Region are divided into four types: sandy loam, light loam, medium loam and heavy loam. The parameter values of different soil types are shown in Tables 2 and 3. The parameters involved mainly include the wilting coefficient (SMW), field water holding capacity (SMFCF), saturated water content (SM0), saturated hydraulic conductivity (K0), critical air content of soil ventilation (CRAIRC), deep seedling bed first layer topsoil seepage parameters (SPADS), deep seedling bed second layer topsoil seepage parameters (SPODS), shallow seedling bed first layer topsoil seepage parameters (SPASS), shallow seedling bed second layer topsoil seepage parameters (SPOSS), etc. The values of other parameters refer to the existing literature research and the default parameter values provided by the WOFOST model.
表 2 WOFOST模型主要土壤参数设置Table 2 Main soil parameter settings of WOFOST model
表3 WOFOST模型主要土壤参数设置(续表)Table 3 Main soil parameter settings of WOFOST model (continued)
(4)管理措施参数(4) Management measures parameters
WOFOST模型以同化作用、呼吸作用、蒸腾作用和干物质分配等作物生理生态过程为模拟基础,主要包括潜在生长条件、水分限制条件和养分限制条件下作物生长的模拟。由于东北黑土区种植的大豆基本为雨养模式,因此研究选用水分胁迫模式对大豆生长过程进行模拟。根据地面调查结果,在进行作物生长模拟时设置了4个大豆播种日期,分别是4月20日、4月30日、5月10日和5月20日。The WOFOST model is based on the simulation of crop physiological and ecological processes such as assimilation, respiration, transpiration and dry matter distribution, mainly including the simulation of crop growth under potential growth conditions, water limitation conditions and nutrient limitation conditions. Since soybeans planted in the black soil region of Northeast China are basically rain-fed, the study used the water stress model to simulate the soybean growth process. According to the ground survey results, four soybean sowing dates were set for crop growth simulation, namely April 20, April 30, May 10 and May 20.
为了模拟多种农业情景下大豆的生长过程,解决现有模型样本依赖的问题,基于“查找表”思想对于四种类型输入数据进行了广泛的设置,并将其排列组合生成众多生长情景,利用模型逐一对每一种生长情景下的大豆生长发育和单产形成过程进行模拟,共设置超过15万(3851454)种大豆种植情景最终构建出一个庞大的多情景模拟数据集(如表4所示)。In order to simulate the growth process of soybeans under various agricultural scenarios and solve the problem of sample dependence of existing models, a wide range of settings for four types of input data were made based on the "lookup table" idea, and their arrangement and combination generated many growth scenarios. The model was used to simulate the growth and yield formation process of soybeans under each growth scenario one by one, with a total of more than 150,000 (38 51 4 5 4) soybean planting scenarios and finally constructed a large multi-scenario simulation data set (as shown in Table 4).
表 4 WOFOST模型模拟情景Table 4 WOFOST model simulation scenarios
进一步地,如表5所示,模型的输入模拟参数主要包括日期(day)、发展阶段(DVS)、叶面积指数(LAI)、地上总干重(TAGP)、存储器官干重(TWSO)、叶干重(TWLV)、茎重(TWST)、根重、蒸腾速率(TRA)、实际根深(RD)、实际根区土壤含水量(SM)和土壤剖面总水量(WWLOW)。WOFOST模型在给定参数后,可以从作物出苗开始以天为步长实现对作物生长过程的连续模拟,其中,生长期最后一天的存储器官干重即为本发明关注的大豆产量。Further, as shown in Table 5, the input simulation parameters of the model mainly include date (day), development stage (DVS), leaf area index (LAI), total aboveground dry weight (TAGP), storage organ dry weight (TWSO), leaf dry weight (TWLV), stem weight (TWST), root weight, transpiration rate (TRA), actual root depth (RD), actual root zone soil moisture content (SM) and soil profile total water content (WWLOW). After the parameters are given, the WOFOST model can realize continuous simulation of the crop growth process with a step length of days starting from the emergence of crops, wherein the storage organ dry weight on the last day of the growth period is the soybean yield of concern in the present invention.
表 5 WOFOST模型输出的模拟参数Table 5. Simulation parameters output by WOFOST model
二、大豆单产估算智能化建模2. Intelligent Modeling of Soybean Yield Estimation
本发明选用循环神经网络GRU模型进行大豆单产估算的智能化建模。GRU模型的计算过程为:The present invention uses a recurrent neural network GRU model to perform intelligent modeling for soybean yield estimation. The calculation process of the GRU model is:
其中,sigmoid()是S型激活函数;tanh()表示双曲正切激活函数;表示t时刻重置门的输出;表示t时刻更新门的输出;表示重置门的权重矩阵;表示更新门的权重矩阵;表示候选隐状态的权重矩阵;表示GRU模型在t时刻的输入;表示GRU模型在t时刻的隐藏层状态输出;表示当前输入的候选隐状态,表示GRU模型在t-1时刻的隐藏层状态输出。Among them, sigmoid() is the S-type activation function; tanh() represents the hyperbolic tangent activation function; represents the output of the reset gate at time t; represents the output of the update gate at time t; represents the weight matrix of the reset gate; represents the weight matrix of the update gate; The weight matrix representing the candidate hidden state; Represents the input of the GRU model at time t; Represents the hidden layer state output of the GRU model at time t; represents the candidate hidden state of the current input, Represents the hidden layer state output of the GRU model at time t-1.
在模型构建过程中,考虑到WOFOST模型将作物的生长阶段分为出苗,开花,成熟三个阶段,将大豆从出苗到开花阶段(0<DVS≤1)和开花到成熟阶段(1<DVS≤2)的平均LAI(LAImean)作为模型的时序输入特征,以大豆的单产作为模型的输出特征。将模拟数据集按照9:1的比例划分为训练样本和测试样本。模型优化器为Adam(Adaptive MomentEstimation),损失函数为均方误差,对网络多次训练从而寻找最优的GRU层数、神经元个数units、epochs、batch size、dropout等参数值。In the process of model construction, considering that the WOFOST model divides the growth stage of crops into three stages: emergence, flowering, and maturity, the average LAI (LAImean) of soybeans from emergence to flowering (0<DVS≤1) and flowering to maturity (1<DVS≤2) is used as the temporal input feature of the model, and the yield of soybeans is used as the output feature of the model. The simulated data set is divided into training samples and test samples in a ratio of 9:1. The model optimizer is Adam (Adaptive MomentEstimation), and the loss function is the mean square error. The network is trained multiple times to find the optimal GRU layer number, number of neurons units, epochs, batch size, dropout and other parameter values.
三、基于多情景模拟数据集的大豆单产遥感估算3. Remote sensing estimation of soybean yield based on multi-scenario simulation dataset
由于不同地区存在气候差异,需要根据积温进行分区,从而分区下载遥感影像下载。以东北黑土区为例,参考黑龙江省20世纪90年代积温带划分标准,以日平均气温≥10℃活动积温作为热量资源指标,以1981-2019年东北黑土区气象站点的逐日平均气温数据为基础,采用五日滑动平均方法,以200℃·d 为级差,采用经验频率法按80%保证率取值,将东北黑土区分为了10个积温带。Due to climate differences in different regions, it is necessary to divide the regions according to accumulated temperature, so as to download remote sensing images in different regions. Taking the Northeast Black Soil Area as an example, referring to the accumulated temperature zone division standard of Heilongjiang Province in the 1990s, taking the daily average temperature ≥ 10℃ active accumulated temperature as the heat resource indicator, based on the daily average temperature data of meteorological stations in the Northeast Black Soil Area from 1981 to 2019, using the five-day sliding average method, with 200℃·d as the difference, using the empirical frequency method with an 80% guarantee rate to take the value, the Northeast Black Soil Area is divided into 10 accumulated temperature zones.
参考黑龙江省不同积温带上大豆种植熟型划分,本发明针对东北黑土区不同积温带设置了早熟,中早熟,中熟,中晚熟,晚熟五种不同的大豆种植熟型,从而计算了不同大豆熟型种植区域的大豆物候期。其中,吉林、辽宁等省份主要种植中熟、中晚熟、晚熟型大豆,北部区域更倾向种植早熟、中早熟型大豆。With reference to the classification of soybean planting maturity types in different accumulated temperature zones in Heilongjiang Province, the present invention sets five different soybean planting maturity types, namely early-maturing, medium-early-maturing, medium-maturing, medium-late-maturing, and late-maturing, for different accumulated temperature zones in the Northeast Black Soil Region, thereby calculating the soybean phenological period in planting areas with different soybean maturity types. Among them, provinces such as Jilin and Liaoning mainly plant medium-maturing, medium-late-maturing, and late-maturing soybeans, and the northern region tends to plant early-maturing and medium-early-maturing soybeans.
大豆不同生长阶段的划分主要通过有效积温()进行判断,有效积温的计算公式如下:The division of different growth stages of soybean is mainly based on the effective accumulated temperature ( ) is used for judgment, and the calculation formula for effective accumulated temperature is as follows:
其中, T 是日平均气温。是发育临界温度的下限,为大豆发育的上限温度。参考WOFOST模型在构建模拟数据集时对大豆品种参数的设置,对于不同大豆种植熟型,生长阶段所对应的积温阈值如表6所示,其中,TSUM为大豆从播种到出苗所需要的有效积温,TSUM1为大豆从出苗到开花所需要的有效积温,TSUM2为大豆从开花到成熟所需要的有效积温。根据野外调查结果,黑龙江省和内蒙古自治区的大豆播种时间在研究中统一设置为5月5日,吉林省和辽宁省的大豆播种时间较早,统一设置为5月1日。设置东北黑土区的大豆出苗时间最晚不超过6月1日,成熟时间最晚不超过10月1日。Where T is the average daily temperature. is the lower limit of the critical temperature for development. is the upper limit temperature of soybean development. Referring to the setting of soybean variety parameters in the WOFOST model when constructing the simulation data set, the accumulated temperature thresholds corresponding to the growth stages for different soybean planting maturity types are shown in Table 6, where TSUM is the effective accumulated temperature required for soybean from sowing to germination, TSUM1 is the effective accumulated temperature required for soybean from germination to flowering, and TSUM2 is the effective accumulated temperature required for soybean from flowering to maturity. According to the results of field surveys, the soybean sowing time in Heilongjiang Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region was uniformly set to May 5 in the study, while the soybean sowing time in Jilin Province and Liaoning Province was earlier and uniformly set to May 1. The soybean emergence time in the Northeast Black Soil Region is set to no later than June 1, and the maturity time is set to no later than October 1.
表 6 不同大豆熟型对应的积温阈值Table 6 Accumulated temperature thresholds corresponding to different soybean maturity types
大豆物候的计算主要基于GEE(Google Earth Engine)平台提供的ERA5-LandDaily Aggregated - ECMWF Climate Reanalysis数据进行,基于大豆物候期计算结果,研究利用K均值聚类方法(K-means)将物候提取结果一共分为了10类,对不同区域分别获取遥感影像,对大豆LAI进行反演,完成数据的下载。The calculation of soybean phenology is mainly based on the ERA5-LandDaily Aggregated - ECMWF Climate Reanalysis data provided by the GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform. Based on the calculation results of soybean phenological period, the study used the K-means clustering method (K-means) to divide the phenological extraction results into 10 categories, obtained remote sensing images for different regions, inverted the soybean LAI, and completed the data download.
四、结果与分析4. Results and Analysis
1、模拟数据集分析1. Analysis of simulated data sets
图5是本发明提供的大豆LAI模拟示意图、图6是本发明提供的大豆存储器官干重模拟图。从结果中可以看出,参数的多元化设置为模拟提供了丰富的模拟结果。不同生产情景下大豆的生长过程也有所差异,模拟数据提供了广泛的可变性,确保了训练样本数据集的完备性及对于目标区域大豆生长情况的代表性,为后续单产估算智能化建模提供了数据支撑。FIG5 is a schematic diagram of soybean LAI simulation provided by the present invention, and FIG6 is a simulation diagram of soybean storage organ dry weight provided by the present invention. It can be seen from the results that the diversified setting of parameters provides rich simulation results for the simulation. The growth process of soybeans under different production scenarios is also different. The simulation data provides a wide range of variability, ensuring the completeness of the training sample data set and the representativeness of the soybean growth conditions in the target area, providing data support for the subsequent intelligent modeling of yield estimation.
2、单产精度评价2. Yield accuracy evaluation
利用2022和2023年地面实测大豆单产数据对模型预测结果进行单点尺度精度验证,图7是本发明提供的2022-2023年的单点尺度大豆单产估算精度验证图。从结果中可以看出,预测模型在单点尺度上对大豆单产实现了较为精准的估测,精度验证结果显示决定系数为0.73,通过显著性检验(P<0.01,其中P用于表征概率),达到极显著水平,均方根误差为288.72kg/ha,平均相对误差为10.06%,整体预测精度高于85%。利用2019-2022年市级大豆单产统计数据对模型预测结果进行区域尺度精度验证,如图8所示,是本发明提供的2019-2022年的区域尺度大豆单产估算精度验证图。模型在2019-2022年总体估算精度决定系数为0.62,均方根误差为272.36kg/ha,平均相对误差为12.08%。The single-point scale accuracy of the model prediction results was verified using the ground-measured soybean yield data for 2022 and 2023. Figure 7 is a single-point scale soybean yield estimation accuracy verification diagram for 2022-2023 provided by the present invention. It can be seen from the results that the prediction model achieves a relatively accurate estimate of soybean yield at a single-point scale. The accuracy verification results show that the determination coefficient is 0.73, and the significance test (P<0.01, where P is used to characterize probability) reaches an extremely significant level. The root mean square error is 288.72 kg/ha, the average relative error is 10.06%, and the overall prediction accuracy is higher than 85%. The regional scale accuracy of the model prediction results was verified using the municipal soybean yield statistical data from 2019 to 2022. As shown in Figure 8, it is a regional scale soybean yield estimation accuracy verification diagram for 2019-2022 provided by the present invention. The model's overall estimation accuracy determination coefficient for 2019-2022 is 0.62, the root mean square error is 272.36 kg/ha, and the average relative error is 12.08%.
总体来说,像元尺度的单产估算不仅获取了更精细尺度的单产信息,其在市级尺度的表现也可圈可点,再加上该方法能够根据可用数据情况实现动态灵活的单产估算,在大范围大豆单产估算中表现出很大的潜力。In general, the pixel-scale yield estimation not only obtains yield information at a finer scale, but also performs well at the municipal scale. In addition, this method can realize dynamic and flexible yield estimation based on the available data, showing great potential in large-scale soybean yield estimation.
本发明以气象资料、作物品种、土壤参数和管理措施数据为驱动,利用WOFOST模型对大豆种植的多种情景进行模拟,实现大豆单产形成过程农学知识库的构建。模拟情景丰富、模拟过程连续、模拟结果科学合理,为单产估算智能化建模提供农学知识支撑和充足的样本数据;基于大豆多情景模拟数据集,利用深度学习方法探究了大豆单产形成关键指标因子与单产之间的复杂关系,实现单产估算的智能化建模。建模不依赖地面实测样本,为实现早期高精度单产估算、农业生产和农业决策提供了理论指导;同时对研究区进行积温分区,设置不同大豆种植熟型,结合中高分辨率遥感数据、气象资料、统计单产、实测单产数据,利用本发明提出的混合建模方法开展像元尺度大豆单产遥感估算,实现方法的示范应用和精度评价。结果表明,预测模型在单点和区域尺度上都实现了较高的估产精度。利用2022、2023年东北黑土区实测单产数据对模型进行精度评价,决定系数为0.73,通过显著性检验(P<0.01),达到极显著水平,均方根误差为288.72kg/ha,平均相对误差为10.06%,整体预测精度高于85%。与市级统计数据对照,东北黑土区估产总体表现为,RMSE =272.36 kg/ha,MRE = 12.08%,通过显著性检验(P<0.01),且达到极显著水平。估产模型在区域尺度示范应用中展现出较高的时空连续型,能够实现大范围精细、准确、灵活的单产估算。The present invention is driven by meteorological data, crop varieties, soil parameters and management measures data, and uses the WOFOST model to simulate various scenarios of soybean planting, so as to realize the construction of an agronomic knowledge base for the soybean yield formation process. The simulation scenarios are rich, the simulation process is continuous, and the simulation results are scientific and reasonable, which provides agronomic knowledge support and sufficient sample data for the intelligent modeling of yield estimation. Based on the soybean multi-scenario simulation data set, the deep learning method is used to explore the complex relationship between the key indicator factors of soybean yield formation and the yield, and the intelligent modeling of yield estimation is realized. The modeling does not rely on ground measured samples, which provides theoretical guidance for the realization of early high-precision yield estimation, agricultural production and agricultural decision-making. At the same time, the study area is divided into accumulated temperature zones, and different soybean planting maturity types are set. Combined with medium and high-resolution remote sensing data, meteorological data, statistical yields, and measured yield data, the hybrid modeling method proposed in the present invention is used to carry out pixel-scale soybean yield remote sensing estimation, and the demonstration application and accuracy evaluation of the method are realized. The results show that the prediction model achieves high yield estimation accuracy at both single point and regional scales. The accuracy of the model was evaluated using the measured yield data of the Northeast Black Soil Region in 2022 and 2023. The coefficient of determination was 0.73, which passed the significance test (P<0.01) and reached an extremely significant level. The root mean square error was 288.72 kg/ha, the average relative error was 10.06%, and the overall prediction accuracy was higher than 85%. Compared with the municipal statistical data, the overall performance of the Northeast Black Soil Region's yield estimation is , RMSE =272.36 kg/ha, MRE = 12.08%, passing the significance test (P<0.01) and reaching an extremely significant level. The yield estimation model showed a high spatiotemporal continuity in regional scale demonstration applications, and was able to achieve large-scale, precise, and flexible yield estimation.
简而言之,本发明提出了一种结合遥感数据、作物生长模型和深度学习的混合建模方法在像元尺度上对大豆单产进行估算。方法具备农学机理支撑,充分发挥过程模型机理优势和深度学习的数据挖掘优势。研究方法满足单产估算建模的农学知识支持和智能化水平要求,结合忠告分辨率遥感影像能够在像元尺度上实现较理想的大豆估产表现,为作物估产提供了全新思路和方法。解决了现有技术中在地面样本不足的前提下,对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题。In short, the present invention proposes a hybrid modeling method that combines remote sensing data, crop growth models and deep learning to estimate soybean yield at the pixel scale. The method is supported by agronomic mechanisms and gives full play to the advantages of process model mechanisms and data mining advantages of deep learning. The research method meets the requirements of agronomic knowledge support and intelligent level for yield estimation modeling. Combined with high-resolution remote sensing images, it can achieve a relatively ideal soybean yield estimation performance at the pixel scale, providing a new idea and method for crop yield estimation. It solves the problem of poor crop yield estimation in the existing technology under the premise of insufficient ground samples.
下面对本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置进行描述,下文描述的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置与上文描述的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法可相互对应参照。The following is a description of the soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention. The soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge described below and the soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge described above can be referenced to each other.
图9是本发明提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置的结构示意图,如图9所示,该装置包括:FIG9 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the present invention. As shown in FIG9 , the device includes:
第一处理模块902,用于获取作物的遥感数据,并通过所述遥感数据,确定所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,所述第一平均叶面积指数为从出苗到开花阶段的平均叶面积指数,所述第二平均叶面积指数为从开花到成熟阶段的平均叶面积指数;The first processing module 902 is used to obtain remote sensing data of crops, and determine a first average leaf area index and a second average leaf area index of the crops through the remote sensing data, wherein the first average leaf area index is an average leaf area index from seedling to flowering stage, and the second average leaf area index is an average leaf area index from flowering to maturity stage;
第二处理模块904,用于输入所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数至作物单产估算模型,得到所述作物单产估算模型输出的所述作物的单产产量;其中,所述作物单产估算模型是基于多个作物样本的第一平均叶面积指数、第二平均叶面积指数和单产产量,对循环神经网络进行训练得到的。The second processing module 904 is used to input the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop into the crop yield estimation model to obtain the yield of the crop output by the crop yield estimation model; wherein the crop yield estimation model is obtained by training a recurrent neural network based on the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield of multiple crop samples.
通过上述基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算装置,通过获取作物的遥感数据,确定出作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数,将第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数输入至通过循环神经网络模型得到的作物单产估算模型中,即可实现对于作物单产产量的估算。解决了现有技术中,对作物单产产量估算效果不佳的问题,通过使用叶面积指数为输入指标,借助循环神经网络模型简化了作物单产的估算过程,同时提高了估算的精度。By using the above-mentioned soybean yield remote sensing estimation device based on dual drive of data and knowledge, the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop are determined by acquiring the remote sensing data of the crop, and the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index are input into the crop yield estimation model obtained by the recurrent neural network model, so as to realize the estimation of the crop yield. The problem of poor crop yield estimation effect in the prior art is solved. By using the leaf area index as the input indicator, the crop yield estimation process is simplified with the help of the recurrent neural network model, and the estimation accuracy is improved.
可选地,所述多个作物样本的所述第一平均叶面积指数、所述第二平均叶面积指数和所述单产产量是通过作物生长模型对多种不同的生长情景进行模拟得到的,每种生长情景对应一套情景参数组合,所述情景参数组合包括气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数的组合。Optionally, the first average leaf area index, the second average leaf area index and the yield per unit area of the multiple crop samples are obtained by simulating a plurality of different growth scenarios with a crop growth model, each growth scenario corresponding to a set of scenario parameter combinations, and the scenario parameter combination includes a combination of meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measure parameters.
可选地,所述作物生长模型的输入为气象参数、作物参数、土壤参数和管理措施参数,输出为叶面积指数、日期、发展阶段、地上总干重、存储器官干重、叶干重、茎重、根重、蒸腾速率、实际根深、实际根区土壤含水量和土壤剖面总水量。Optionally, the input of the crop growth model is meteorological parameters, crop parameters, soil parameters and management measure parameters, and the output is leaf area index, date, development stage, total aboveground dry weight, storage organ dry weight, leaf dry weight, stem weight, root weight, transpiration rate, actual root depth, actual root zone soil moisture content and total water content in the soil profile.
可选地,第一处理模块902,还用于根据积温带确定所述作物的熟型;根据所述作物的熟型,确定所述作物从出苗到开花阶段的第一时间范围以及从开花到成熟阶段的第二时间范围;基于所述第一时间范围和所述第二时间范围获取对应的遥感数据。Optionally, the first processing module 902 is also used to determine the maturity type of the crop based on the accumulated temperature zone; determine a first time range from the seedling stage to the flowering stage and a second time range from the flowering stage to the maturity stage of the crop based on the maturity type of the crop; and obtain corresponding remote sensing data based on the first time range and the second time range.
可选地,所述循环神经网络为门控循环单元模型。Optionally, the recurrent neural network is a gated recurrent unit model.
可选地,第一处理模块902,还用于基于所述遥感数据中的地表反射率数据反演得到所述作物的第一平均叶面积指数和第二平均叶面积指数。Optionally, the first processing module 902 is further used to invert the first average leaf area index and the second average leaf area index of the crop based on the surface reflectance data in the remote sensing data.
在此需要说明的是,本发明提供的上述装置,能够实现上述方法实施例所实现的所有方法步骤,且能够达到相同的技术效果,在此不再对本实施例中与方法实施例相同的部分及有益效果进行具体赘述。It should be noted here that the above-mentioned device provided by the present invention can implement all the method steps implemented by the above-mentioned method embodiment, and can achieve the same technical effect. The parts and beneficial effects that are the same as the method embodiment in this embodiment will not be described in detail here.
图10是本发明提供的电子设备的结构示意图,如图10所示,该电子设备可以包括:处理器(processor)1010、通信接口(Communications Interface)1020、存储器(memory)1030和通信总线1040,其中,处理器1010,通信接口1020,存储器1030通过通信总线1040完成相互间的通信。处理器1010可以调用存储器1030中的逻辑指令,以执行基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。FIG10 is a schematic diagram of the structure of the electronic device provided by the present invention. As shown in FIG10 , the electronic device may include: a processor 1010, a communications interface 1020, a memory 1030 and a communication bus 1040, wherein the processor 1010, the communications interface 1020 and the memory 1030 communicate with each other through the communication bus 1040. The processor 1010 may call the logic instructions in the memory 1030 to execute the soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge.
此外,上述的存储器1030中的逻辑指令可以通过软件功能单元的形式实现并作为独立的产品销售或使用时,可以存储在一个计算机可读取存储介质中。基于这样的理解,本发明的技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分或者该技术方案的部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来,该计算机软件产品存储在一个存储介质中,包括若干指令用以使得一台计算机设备(可以是个人计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)执行本发明各个实施例所述方法的全部或部分步骤。而前述的存储介质包括:U盘、移动硬盘、只读存储器(ROM,Read-Only Memory)、随机存取存储器(RAM,Random Access Memory)、磁碟或者光盘等各种可以存储程序代码的介质。In addition, the logic instructions in the above-mentioned memory 1030 can be implemented in the form of a software functional unit and can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium when it is sold or used as an independent product. Based on such an understanding, the technical solution of the present invention, in essence, or the part that contributes to the prior art or the part of the technical solution, can be embodied in the form of a software product, and the computer software product is stored in a storage medium, including several instructions for a computer device (which can be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to perform all or part of the steps of the method described in each embodiment of the present invention. The aforementioned storage medium includes: U disk, mobile hard disk, read-only memory (ROM, Read-Only Memory), random access memory (RAM, Random Access Memory), disk or optical disk, etc. Various media that can store program codes.
在此需要说明的是,本发明提供的电子设备,能够实现上述方法实施例所实现的所有方法步骤,且能够达到相同的技术效果,在此不再对本实施例中与方法实施例相同的部分及有益效果进行具体赘述。It should be noted here that the electronic device provided by the present invention can implement all the method steps implemented by the above-mentioned method embodiment, and can achieve the same technical effects. The parts and beneficial effects of this embodiment that are the same as the method embodiment will not be described in detail here.
又一方面,本发明还提供一种非暂态计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序被处理器执行时实现以执行上述各方法提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。On the other hand, the present invention also provides a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, which, when executed by a processor, is implemented to execute the soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual drive of data and knowledge provided by the above-mentioned methods.
在此需要说明的是,本发明提供的非暂态计算机可读存储介质,能够实现上述方法实施例所实现的所有方法步骤,且能够达到相同的技术效果,在此不再对本实施例中与方法实施例相同的部分及有益效果进行具体赘述。It should be noted here that the non-transitory computer-readable storage medium provided by the present invention can implement all the method steps implemented by the above-mentioned method embodiment, and can achieve the same technical effect. The parts and beneficial effects that are the same as the method embodiment in this embodiment will not be described in detail here.
本发明还提供一种计算机程序产品,所述计算机程序产品包括计算机程序,计算机程序可存储在非暂态计算机可读存储介质上,所述计算机程序被处理器执行时,计算机能够执行上述各方法所提供的基于数据与知识双重驱动的大豆单产遥感估算方法。The present invention also provides a computer program product, which includes a computer program. The computer program can be stored on a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium. When the computer program is executed by a processor, the computer can execute the soybean yield remote sensing estimation method based on dual data and knowledge drive provided by the above-mentioned methods.
在此需要说明的是,本发明提供的计算机程序产品,能够实现上述方法实施例所实现的所有方法步骤,且能够达到相同的技术效果,在此不再对本实施例中与方法实施例相同的部分及有益效果进行具体赘述。It should be noted here that the computer program product provided by the present invention can implement all the method steps implemented by the above-mentioned method embodiment, and can achieve the same technical effect. The parts and beneficial effects of this embodiment that are the same as those of the method embodiment will not be described in detail here.
以上所描述的装置实施例仅仅是示意性的,其中所述作为分离部件说明的模块可以是或者也可以不是物理上分开的,作为模块显示的部件可以是或者也可以不是物理单元,即可以位于一个地方,或者也可以分布到多个网络单元上。可以根据实际的需要选择其中的部分或者全部模块来实现本实施例方案的目的。本领域普通技术人员在不付出创造性的劳动的情况下,即可以理解并实施。The device embodiments described above are merely illustrative, wherein the modules described as separate components may or may not be physically separated, and the components displayed as modules may or may not be physical units, that is, they may be located in one place, or they may be distributed on multiple network units. Some or all of the modules may be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the scheme of this embodiment. Those of ordinary skill in the art may understand and implement it without creative effort.
通过以上的实施方式的描述,本领域的技术人员可以清楚地了解到各实施方式可借助软件加必需的通用硬件平台的方式来实现,当然也可以通过硬件。基于这样的理解,上述技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来,该计算机软件产品可以存储在计算机可读存储介质中,如ROM/RAM、磁碟、光盘等,包括若干指令用以使得一台计算机设备(可以是个人计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)执行各个实施例或者实施例的某些部分所述的方法。Through the description of the above implementation methods, those skilled in the art can clearly understand that each implementation method can be implemented by means of software plus a necessary general hardware platform, and of course, can also be implemented by hardware. Based on this understanding, the above technical solution is essentially or the part that contributes to the prior art can be embodied in the form of a software product, and the computer software product can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium, such as ROM/RAM, a disk, an optical disk, etc., including a number of instructions for a computer device (which can be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to execute the methods described in each embodiment or some parts of the embodiments.
最后应说明的是:以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制;尽管参照前述实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明各实施例技术方案的精神和范围。Finally, it should be noted that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, rather than to limit it. Although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the aforementioned embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that they can still modify the technical solutions described in the aforementioned embodiments, or make equivalent replacements for some of the technical features therein. However, these modifications or replacements do not deviate the essence of the corresponding technical solutions from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention.
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