CN118378921B - Offshore wind farm site selection method, equipment and medium for offshore multi-island area - Google Patents
Offshore wind farm site selection method, equipment and medium for offshore multi-island area Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
本发明公开了一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法、设备、介质,包括:获取待选址区域中迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域的风向实测数据和风速实测数据,计算风场数据集关于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的误差,从而筛选得到第一风场数据集;将第一风场数据集输入至中尺度气候模型,输出第二风场数据;基于第二风场数据计算风功率密度均值;计算待选址区域的风电场选址评分,所述风电场选址评分为风功率密度均值、能源要素指标与环境要素指标的乘积;其中,所述能源要素指标根据第二风场数据进行取值,环境要素指标根据岸线和测深取值。
The present invention discloses a method, device and medium for selecting an offshore wind farm site for a near-shore multi-island area, comprising: obtaining measured wind direction data and measured wind speed data of a windward open area and a leeward sheltered area in a to-be-selected site, calculating the error of a wind farm data set with respect to the measured wind direction data and the measured wind speed data, thereby screening out a first wind farm data set; inputting the first wind farm data set into a mesoscale climate model, and outputting second wind farm data; calculating a mean wind power density based on the second wind farm data; and calculating a wind farm site selection score for the to-be-selected site, wherein the wind farm site selection score is the product of the mean wind power density, an energy factor index and an environmental factor index; wherein the energy factor index is taken according to the second wind farm data, and the environmental factor index is taken according to the coastline and sounding.
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明属于风能或风资源评估领域,特别涉及一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法、设备、介质。The present invention belongs to the field of wind energy or wind resource assessment, and in particular relates to an offshore wind farm site selection method, equipment and medium for near-shore multi-island areas.
背景技术Background Art
风能评估是风电场选址的基础。准确的风场数据是风能评估的前提,进而为风场选址提供可靠的能源导向支持。基于全球或区域风场资料的中尺度气候模型(WRF,WeatherResearch and Forecasting Model)模式的高分辨率输出结果是常见的获取风场数据的方法。选取最贴合当地实际风场的全球或区域风场资料(数据集)能提高WRF模拟结果的准确性。因此,在WRF模拟前,需要确保背景风场资料在研究区域的适用性。然而,当前各类风场资料的表现易受到下垫面地形的影响,尤其在岸线曲折破碎、岛屿较多的近岸区域,其性能差异较大。因此,仅用较少的实测站点数据验证风场资料往往难以反映其在近岸区域的实际准确性。通过选取多个实测点,对多种风场资料进行长周期验证,能更有效的评估风场资料在不同区域的表现性能,综合筛选出最契合当地实际风场的风场资料,为风场选址奠定坚实基础。Wind energy assessment is the basis for wind farm site selection. Accurate wind farm data is the premise of wind energy assessment, which in turn provides reliable energy-oriented support for wind farm site selection. The high-resolution output results of the mesoscale climate model (WRF, Weather Research and Forecasting Model) based on global or regional wind farm data are a common method for obtaining wind farm data. Selecting the global or regional wind farm data (dataset) that best fits the actual local wind farm can improve the accuracy of the WRF simulation results. Therefore, before WRF simulation, it is necessary to ensure the applicability of the background wind farm data in the study area. However, the performance of various types of wind farm data is easily affected by the underlying surface topography, especially in the nearshore areas with tortuous and broken coastlines and many islands, and their performance varies greatly. Therefore, it is often difficult to reflect the actual accuracy of wind farm data in the nearshore area by verifying it with only a few measured site data. By selecting multiple measured points and conducting long-term verification of multiple wind farm data, it is more effective to evaluate the performance of wind farm data in different regions, comprehensively screen out the wind farm data that best fits the actual local wind farm, and lay a solid foundation for wind farm site selection.
目前基于多因素综合评估的方法在风场选址中广为流行。常用的风电场选址计算方法主要分为以下两种:At present, the method based on comprehensive evaluation of multiple factors is widely used in wind farm site selection. Commonly used wind farm site selection calculation methods are mainly divided into the following two types:
(1)加权计算法:加权计算法往往需要通过采用层次分析法(AHP)和德尔菲法(Delphi)等统计学方法,通过专家打分的方式确定各类影响因素的权重,然后将多个指标加权相加。这类方法受主观影响强,并且往往需要综合考虑多位具备充沛知识的各行各业专家的指导意见以及政策导向,因此其计算结果的人文社会因素倾向性强。根据不同时间、不同专家的打分,计算结果容易产生偏差,具有不确定性。(1) Weighted calculation method: The weighted calculation method often requires the use of statistical methods such as the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the Delphi method to determine the weights of various influencing factors through expert scoring, and then weightedly add multiple indicators. This type of method is highly subjective and often requires comprehensive consideration of the guidance and policy orientation of multiple experts from all walks of life with sufficient knowledge. Therefore, the calculation results are highly biased towards humanistic and social factors. Depending on the scores of different experts at different times, the calculation results are prone to deviations and are uncertain.
(2)指数法:指数法利用乘除的方式避免了加权计算法的不足,计算简单且客观。如有研究提出了一种快速定位和描述海上风电场场址的最佳热点识别指数。该指数结合了风资源可用性、月变化率和可开发风能的频率,是一种简单的辅助决策的计算方法。然而,由于该方法不适合同时考虑三者以上因素的影响,否则计算结果可能会出现无穷大值,使结果失去意义。(2) Index method: The index method uses multiplication and division to avoid the shortcomings of the weighted calculation method. The calculation is simple and objective. For example, a study proposed an optimal hotspot identification index for quickly locating and describing offshore wind farm sites. This index combines the availability of wind resources, the monthly change rate, and the frequency of exploitable wind energy. It is a simple calculation method to assist decision-making. However, since this method is not suitable for considering the influence of more than three factors at the same time, otherwise the calculation result may appear infinite value, making the result meaningless.
上述评估方法已被广泛应用于岸线单调的沿海或外海区域。然而在岸线曲折,岛屿众多 的沿岸地区,水深、地形等环境因素的局地空间差异性较强,常规的计算方法往往难以突显各类要素尤其是环境要素的空间异质性,使得评估结果的区分度较低,最佳建设区域难以被有效识别,选址效率有待提高。The above evaluation methods have been widely used in coastal or offshore areas with monotonous coastlines. However, in coastal areas with tortuous coastlines and numerous islands, the local spatial differences in environmental factors such as water depth and topography are strong. Conventional calculation methods often fail to highlight the spatial heterogeneity of various factors, especially environmental factors, resulting in low differentiation of evaluation results, and the best construction area is difficult to be effectively identified, and the efficiency of site selection needs to be improved.
综上所述,海上风场选址需要建立在最佳风场数据的基础上进行,此外,亟需提出一种能强调要素空间异质性的,同时考虑多类要素的,计算方法客观方便的海上风电场选址方法。In summary, the site selection of offshore wind farms needs to be based on the best wind farm data. In addition, it is urgent to propose an offshore wind farm site selection method that can emphasize the spatial heterogeneity of factors, consider multiple types of factors at the same time, and has an objective and convenient calculation method.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明的目的是克服现有技术中的不足,提供一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法、设备、介质。The purpose of the present invention is to overcome the deficiencies in the prior art and provide a method, device and medium for selecting an offshore wind farm site for near-shore multi-island areas.
第一方面,本发明实施例提供了一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法,所述方法包括:In a first aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a method for selecting an offshore wind farm site for a near-shore multi-island area, the method comprising:
获取待选址区域中迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域的风向实测数据和风速实测数据,计算风场数据集关于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的误差,从而筛选得到第一风场数据集;Obtaining wind direction measured data and wind speed measured data in a windward open area and a leeward sheltered area in the to-be-selected site area, calculating the error of the wind field data set with respect to the wind direction measured data and the wind speed measured data, thereby screening out a first wind field data set;
将第一风场数据集输入至中尺度气候模型,输出第二风场数据;基于第二风场数据计算风功率密度均值;Inputting the first wind field data set into the mesoscale climate model and outputting the second wind field data; calculating the mean wind power density based on the second wind field data;
计算待选址区域的风电场选址评分,所述风电场选址评分为风功率密度均值、能源要素指标与环境要素指标的乘积;其中,所述能源要素指标根据第二风场数据进行取值,环境要素指标根据岸线和测深取值。Calculate the wind farm site selection score of the area to be sited, where the wind farm site selection score is the product of the mean wind power density, the energy factor index and the environmental factor index; wherein the energy factor index is taken according to the second wind farm data, and the environmental factor index is taken according to the coastline and the depth measurement.
第二方面,本发明实施例提供了一种电子设备,包括存储器和处理器,所述存储器与所述处理器耦接;其中,所述存储器用于存储程序数据,所述处理器用于执行所述程序数据以实现上述的面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法。In a second aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides an electronic device, comprising a memory and a processor, wherein the memory is coupled to the processor; wherein the memory is used to store program data, and the processor is used to execute the program data to implement the above-mentioned offshore wind farm site selection method for near-shore multi-island areas.
第三方面,本发明实施例提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,所述程序被处理器执行时实现上述的面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法。In a third aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer-readable storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, which, when executed by a processor, implements the above-mentioned offshore wind farm site selection method for near-shore multi-island areas.
第四方面,本发明实施例提供了一种计算机程序产品,包括计算机程序/指令,该计算机程序/指令被处理器执行时实现上述的面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法。In a fourth aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer program product, including a computer program/instruction, which, when executed by a processor, implements the above-mentioned offshore wind farm site selection method for near-shore multi-island areas.
本发明的有益效果是:通过在开阔迎风区和遮蔽背风区评估风场数据集,可综合得到最适合近岸多岛区域的风场数据集,进而提高中尺度气候模型WRF模拟高精度风场的准确度,从而有效提高风能评估的准确性;基于风功率密度的多因素指数型修正计算法,计算客观方便,能在确保各类要素之间的独立性的同时,有效突显影响要素的空间差异性,提高评估结果的空间区分度。The beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows: by evaluating the wind field data set in the open windward area and the sheltered leeward area, the most suitable wind field data set for the nearshore multi-island area can be comprehensively obtained, thereby improving the accuracy of the high-precision wind field simulation of the mesoscale climate model WRF, thereby effectively improving the accuracy of wind energy assessment; the multi-factor exponential correction calculation method based on wind power density is objective and convenient to calculate, and can effectively highlight the spatial differences of the influencing factors while ensuring the independence of various factors, thereby improving the spatial differentiation of the assessment results.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例中的技术方案,下面将对实施例描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动性的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention, the drawings required for use in the description of the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without creative work.
图1为本发明实施例提供的面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法的流程示意图;FIG1 is a schematic flow chart of a method for selecting an offshore wind farm site for a near-shore multi-island area provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图2为本发明实施例提供的筛选第一风场数据集的流程示意图;FIG2 is a schematic diagram of a process for screening a first wind field data set provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图3为本发明实施例提供一种电子设备的示意图。FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of an electronic device provided according to an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
下面结合实施例对本发明做进一步描述。下述实施例的说明只是用于帮助理解本发明。应当指出,对于本技术领域的普通技术人员来说,在不脱离本发明原理的前提下,还可以对本发明进行若干改进和修饰,这些改进和修饰也落入本发明权利要求的保护范围内。The present invention is further described below in conjunction with embodiments. The description of the following embodiments is only used to help understand the present invention. It should be noted that for those of ordinary skill in the art, without departing from the principles of the present invention, several improvements and modifications may be made to the present invention, and these improvements and modifications also fall within the scope of protection of the claims of the present invention.
另外,各个实施例之间的技术方案可以相互结合,但是必须是以本领域普通技术人员能够实现为基础,当技术方案的结合出现相互矛盾或无法实现时应当认为这种技术方案的结合不存在,也不在本申请要求的保护范围之内。In addition, the technical solutions between the various embodiments can be combined with each other, but they must be based on the fact that they can be implemented by ordinary technicians in this field. When the combination of technical solutions is contradictory or cannot be implemented, it should be deemed that such combination of technical solutions does not exist and is not within the scope of protection required by this application.
如图1所示,本发明提供了一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法、设备、介质,所述方法包括:As shown in FIG1 , the present invention provides a method, device, and medium for selecting an offshore wind farm site for a near-shore multi-island area, the method comprising:
步骤S1,获取待选址区域中迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域的风向实测数据和风速实测数据,计算风场数据集关于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的误差,从而筛选得到第一风场数据集。Step S1, obtaining measured wind direction data and wind speed data in the windward open area and the leeward sheltered area in the site selection area, calculating the error of the wind field data set with respect to the measured wind direction data and the measured wind speed data, thereby screening out a first wind field data set.
需要说明的是,各类风场资料的表现和下垫面地形密切影响,尤其在岸线曲折破碎、岛屿较多的近岸区域,风场资料在迎风开阔和背风受遮蔽区域的性能差异较大。因此,需要选取尽可能多的实测站点对多种风场资料的风速和风向进行长周期验证,总结出最契合待选址区域的实际风场的风场资料。这是准确风能评估的重要基础。It should be noted that the performance of various types of wind field data is closely affected by the underlying surface topography, especially in coastal areas with tortuous and broken coastlines and many islands. The performance of wind field data in the open windward area and the leeward and sheltered area is quite different. Therefore, it is necessary to select as many actual measurement sites as possible to conduct long-term verification of the wind speed and wind direction of various wind field data, and summarize the wind field data that best fits the actual wind field in the area to be selected. This is an important basis for accurate wind energy assessment.
进一步地,在待选址区域的迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域,获取不同高度、不同时间跨度下的风向实测数据和风速实测数据。Furthermore, in the windward open area and the leeward sheltered area of the site to be selected, actual wind direction data and wind speed data at different heights and different time spans are obtained.
在本实例中,为了全面、合理的评估风场资料在不同地形区域的表现,实测站点需要平均分布在开阔迎风区域和遮蔽区域。为了减小风廓线函数在风速高度转换过程中产生的误差,由浮标、自动站、测风仪等记录的10m高度处周期较长的风向实测数据和风速实测数据,用于验证各类风场数据集的准确度;其次,由于风机轮毂高度大多在100m左右,因此还应尽量获取由测风塔记录的70m、90m、100m高度的风速和风向数据,用于验证WRF模式输出的对应高度处的风场的准确性。In this example, in order to comprehensively and reasonably evaluate the performance of wind field data in different terrain areas, the measured sites need to be evenly distributed in open windward areas and shielded areas. In order to reduce the error of the wind profile function in the process of wind speed height conversion, the long-period wind direction and wind speed measured data at a height of 10m recorded by buoys, automatic stations, anemometers, etc. are used to verify the accuracy of various wind field data sets; secondly, since the hub height of wind turbines is mostly around 100m, the wind speed and wind direction data at heights of 70m, 90m, and 100m recorded by the wind tower should be obtained as much as possible to verify the accuracy of the wind field at the corresponding height output by the WRF model.
进一步地,全球风场数据集可分为三类:分析数据(如FNL),再分析数据(如ERA5、CFSv2、JRA-55,MERRA-2,CAMS等等),多卫星融合资料(如CCMP)。Furthermore, global wind data sets can be divided into three categories: analysis data (such as FNL), reanalysis data (such as ERA5, CFSv2, JRA-55, MERRA-2, CAMS, etc.), and multi-satellite fusion data (such as CCMP).
在风场数据集质量评估方面,需要将研究区分为迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域,从月、季、年三种时间尺度分别验证各类风场资料的准确性,得出综合误差最小且相关性最强的风场数据集。In terms of the quality assessment of wind field datasets, it is necessary to divide the research area into windward open areas and leeward sheltered areas, and verify the accuracy of various types of wind field data at three time scales: monthly, seasonal, and annual, to obtain a wind field dataset with the smallest comprehensive error and the strongest correlation.
进一步地,如图2所示,计算每一风场数据集关于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的绝对误差、均方根误差、偏差、标准差和/或离散指数;Further, as shown in FIG2 , the absolute error, root mean square error, deviation, standard deviation and/or dispersion index of each wind field data set with respect to the wind direction measured data and the wind speed measured data are calculated;
对绝对误差、均方根误差、偏差、标准差和/或离散指数的绝对值进行加权平均,得到每一风场数据集对应的误差综合指标;表达式如下:The absolute values of absolute error, root mean square error, deviation, standard deviation and/or discrete index are weighted averaged to obtain the comprehensive error index corresponding to each wind field data set; the expression is as follows:
式中,E表示误差综合指标,k1表示绝对误差对应的权重,MAE表示绝对误差,k2表示均方根误差对应的权重,RMSE表示均方根误差,k3表示偏差对应的权重,BIAS表示偏差,k4表示标准差对应的权重,STDE表示标准差,k5表示离散指数对应的权重,SI表示离散指数。Where E represents the comprehensive error index, k1 represents the weight corresponding to the absolute error, MAE represents the absolute error, k2 represents the weight corresponding to the root mean square error, RMSE represents the root mean square error, k3 represents the weight corresponding to the bias, BIAS represents the bias, k4 represents the weight corresponding to the standard deviation, STDE represents the standard deviation, k5 represents the weight corresponding to the dispersion index, and SI represents the dispersion index.
计算每一风场数据集的相关性系数;Calculate the correlation coefficient for each wind field data set;
选取误差综合指标最小且相关性最强的风场数据集,作为第一风场数据集。The wind field data set with the smallest comprehensive error index and the strongest correlation is selected as the first wind field data set.
需要说明的是,误差综合指标越小,即越趋近0,风场资料的表现越好;反之,风场资料的表现越差。相关性系数越大,即越趋近1,风场资料的表现越好;反之,风场资料的表现越差。It should be noted that the smaller the error comprehensive index is, that is, the closer it is to 0, the better the performance of the wind farm data is; conversely, the worse the performance of the wind farm data is. The larger the correlation coefficient is, that is, the closer it is to 1, the better the performance of the wind farm data is; conversely, the worse the performance of the wind farm data is.
步骤S2,将第一风场数据集输入至中尺度气候模型,输出第二风场数据;基于第二风场数据计算风功率密度均值。Step S2: input the first wind field data set into the mesoscale climate model, and output the second wind field data; and calculate the mean wind power density based on the second wind field data.
进一步地,将第一风场数据集作为中尺度气候模型WRF中模拟的背景风场,输出第二风场数据,所述第二风场数据为多年高精度风场数据。Furthermore, the first wind field data set is used as a background wind field simulated in the mesoscale climate model WRF to output second wind field data, which are multi-year high-precision wind field data.
在本实例中,为了保证模拟结果的准确性,需要将第二风场数据和风向实测数据和风速实测数据进行对比验证,要求其误差小于输入第一风场数据集的误差,并通过调整参数化方案,尽量降低误差,提高相关度,最终输出合适的高精度风场数据。In this example, in order to ensure the accuracy of the simulation results, it is necessary to compare and verify the second wind field data with the measured wind direction data and the measured wind speed data. The error is required to be less than the error of the input first wind field data set. By adjusting the parameterization scheme, the error can be minimized and the correlation can be improved. Finally, suitable high-precision wind field data can be output.
进一步地,所述风功率密度均值的表达式如下:Furthermore, the expression of the mean wind power density is as follows:
式中,N表示风速或时刻的数量,vi表示i时刻的风速,ρ表示某高度的空气密度。Where N represents the number of wind speeds or moments, vi represents the wind speed at moment i, and ρ represents the air density at a certain height.
步骤S3,计算待选址区域的风电场选址评分,所述风电场选址评分为风功率密度均值、能源要素指标与环境要素指标的乘积;其中,所述能源要素指标根据第二风场数据进行取值。表达式如下:Step S3, calculating the wind farm site selection score of the area to be selected, wherein the wind farm site selection score is the product of the mean wind power density, the energy factor index and the environmental factor index; wherein the energy factor index is determined according to the second wind farm data. The expression is as follows:
式中,WPD表示风功率密度均值,Kenergy表示能源要素指标,Kenvironment表示环境要素指标,fpositives表示每一要素指标对应的正面指标,fnegatives表示每一要素指标对应的负面指标。Where WPD represents the mean wind power density, K energy represents the energy factor index, K environment represents the environmental factor index, f positives represents the positive index corresponding to each factor index, and f negatives represents the negative index corresponding to each factor index.
进一步地,所述环境要素指标根据岸线和测深得到。Furthermore, the environmental factor index is obtained based on the coastline and bathymetry.
需要说明的是,假设某要素同时涉及正面和负面指标,则Y值等于正面指标之和与负面指标相较于1的差值之和的乘积,以确保Y值计算的单调性;若某要素不考虑正面或负面指标的影响,则仅表示为负面指标相较于1的差值之和,或正面指标之和。It should be noted that, assuming that a certain factor involves both positive and negative indicators, the Y value is equal to the product of the sum of the positive indicators and the sum of the differences between the negative indicators and 1, so as to ensure the monotonicity of the Y value calculation; if a certain factor does not consider the impact of positive or negative indicators, it is only expressed as the sum of the differences between the negative indicators and 1, or the sum of the positive indicators.
在本实例中,能源要素指标Kenergy为能源正面指标fpositives-energy和能源负面指标fnegatives-energy的乘积。所述能源正面指标fpositives-energy包括:最佳风功率密度发生频率、可利用的风速发生频率、最佳风速发生频率等;所述能源负面指标fnegatives-energy包括:极端风速发生频率,风速的年变化率、季变化率、月变化率等。In this example, the energy factor index K energy is the product of the energy positive index f positives-energy and the energy negative index f negatives-energy . The energy positive index f positives-energy includes: the frequency of occurrence of the best wind power density, the frequency of occurrence of the available wind speed, the frequency of occurrence of the best wind speed, etc.; the energy negative index f negatives-energy includes: the frequency of occurrence of the extreme wind speed, the annual change rate, seasonal change rate, monthly change rate of the wind speed, etc.
环境要素指标Kenvironment主要通过环境负面指标fnegatives-environment和来衡量环境因素对风机建设、安装、以及维护的影响。所述环境负面指标fpositives-environment包括:测深、离岸距离、最大波高等。The environmental factor index K environment is mainly used to measure the impact of environmental factors on wind turbine construction, installation, and maintenance through the negative environmental index f negatives-environment and the negative environmental index f positives-environment. The negative environmental index f positives-environment includes: depth measurement, offshore distance, maximum wave height, etc.
进一步地,正面指标指益于风机发电或建设的指标,其归一化后的值越接近1,则表现越好,越适合风能选址。反之,负面指标指不利于风机发电或建设的指标,其归一化后的值越接近1,表现越差,越不适合风能选址。在多因素综合评估前,需要将除风功率密度指标外的其余指标归一化,以统一量级,确保计算的公平性。Furthermore, positive indicators refer to indicators that are beneficial to wind turbine power generation or construction. The closer the normalized value is to 1, the better the performance is and the more suitable it is for wind energy site selection. Conversely, negative indicators refer to indicators that are not conducive to wind turbine power generation or construction. The closer the normalized value is to 1, the worse the performance is and the less suitable it is for wind energy site selection. Before comprehensive evaluation of multiple factors, it is necessary to normalize the remaining indicators except the wind power density indicator to unify the magnitude and ensure the fairness of the calculation.
需要说明的是,本发明基于风功率密度的多因素指数型修正计算法,计算客观方便,面向环境要素的小区域差异性,能在确保各类要素之间的独立性的同时,有效突显影响要素的空间差异性,提高评估结果的空间区分度。It should be noted that the multi-factor exponential correction calculation method based on wind power density in the present invention is objective and convenient to calculate, and is oriented to the small-area differences in environmental factors. While ensuring the independence of various factors, it can effectively highlight the spatial differences influencing factors and improve the spatial differentiation of evaluation results.
进一步地,所述方法还包括:Furthermore, the method further comprises:
步骤S4,查询空间限制区域;基于剔除空间限制区域后的待选址区域,并根据风电场选址评分,得到海上风电场备选区域。Step S4, querying the spatially restricted area; based on the area to be selected after eliminating the spatially restricted area and according to the wind farm site selection score, obtaining the candidate area for the offshore wind farm.
需要说明的是,海上风电场除了要建设在风资源最丰富的区域外,更要符合空间规划要求。例如,要避开国际航道、鸟道、影响人类生活作业的离岸距离和海洋功能区域(例如休闲娱乐区、船运锚地区、海洋保护区)等空间限制区域。It should be noted that offshore wind farms must not only be built in areas with the richest wind resources, but also comply with spatial planning requirements. For example, they must avoid international waterways, bird paths, offshore distances that affect human life and work, and marine functional areas (such as recreational areas, shipping anchorage areas, marine protected areas) and other spatially restricted areas.
在本实例中,基于ArcGIS平台,通过将各类空间规划要素的矢量数据在研究区域内叠加,即可获得空间限制区域和空间非限制区域;在剔除空间限制区域后,将空间非限制区域和风电场选址评分Y值结果叠加,寻找潜在的最佳风电场开发区域。In this example, based on the ArcGIS platform, by superimposing the vector data of various spatial planning elements in the study area, the spatially restricted area and the spatially unrestricted area can be obtained; after eliminating the spatially restricted area, the spatially unrestricted area and the Y value result of the wind farm site selection score are superimposed to find the potential optimal wind farm development area.
实施例1Example 1
以某近岸多岛区域中的某一地点为例,详细阐述本实例提供的一种面向近岸多岛区域的海上风电场选址方法的具体实施过程,所述方法具体包括以下步骤:Taking a certain location in a near-shore multi-island area as an example, the specific implementation process of a method for selecting an offshore wind farm site for a near-shore multi-island area provided in this example is described in detail. The method specifically includes the following steps:
步骤S1,获取待选址区域中迎风开阔区域和背风遮蔽区域的风向实测数据和风速实测数据,计算风场数据集关于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的误差,从而筛选得到第一风场数据集。Step S1, obtaining measured wind direction data and wind speed data in the windward open area and the leeward sheltered area in the site selection area, calculating the error of the wind field data set with respect to the measured wind direction data and the measured wind speed data, thereby screening out a first wind field data set.
在本实例,下载2010年1月1日至2020年12月31日,时间间隔为6小时的JRA-55风场数据集和CCMP风场数据集的10m高度处的风速和风向数据。同时,获取对应时刻和高度的风向实测数据和风速实测数据。In this example, the wind speed and direction data at a height of 10m of the JRA-55 wind field dataset and CCMP wind field dataset are downloaded with a time interval of 6 hours from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. At the same time, the measured wind direction data and wind speed data at the corresponding time and height are obtained.
计算JRA-55风场数据集和CCMP风场数据集相较于风向实测数据和风速实测数据的相关性系数、绝对误差、均方根误差、偏差以及误差综合指标,计算结果如表1、表2所示。需要说明的是,在本实例中,由于各误差值处于同一量级,故误差综合指标中的各权重系数均取1。The correlation coefficient, absolute error, root mean square error, deviation and comprehensive error index of the JRA-55 wind field data set and the CCMP wind field data set compared with the measured wind direction data and wind speed data are calculated, and the calculation results are shown in Tables 1 and 2. It should be noted that in this example, since the error values are at the same order of magnitude, the weight coefficients in the comprehensive error index are all 1.
表1:JRA-55和CCMP风场数据集相较于风速实测数据的计算结果表Table 1: Calculation results of JRA-55 and CCMP wind field datasets compared with measured wind speed data
表2:JRA-55和CCMP风场数据集相较于风向实测数据的计算结果表Table 2: Calculation results of JRA-55 and CCMP wind field datasets compared with wind direction measured data
由表1、表2可知,CCMP风场数据集的风速和风向误差均小于JRA-55风场数据集,且CCMP风场数据集的相关性系数得分也高于JRA-55风场数据集,所以在本实例中选取CCMP风场数据集作为待选址区域对应的最佳风场资料,作为第一风场数据集。It can be seen from Tables 1 and 2 that the wind speed and wind direction errors of the CCMP wind field dataset are smaller than those of the JRA-55 wind field dataset, and the correlation coefficient score of the CCMP wind field dataset is also higher than that of the JRA-55 wind field dataset. Therefore, in this example, the CCMP wind field dataset is selected as the best wind field data corresponding to the site selection area as the first wind field dataset.
步骤S2,将第一风场数据集(即时间区间为2010年1月1日至2020年12月31日的CCMP风场数据集)输入至中尺度气候模型,输出第二风场数据;Step S2, inputting the first wind field data set (i.e., the CCMP wind field data set with a time interval from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020) into the mesoscale climate model, and outputting the second wind field data;
基于第二风场数据计算得到该地点的多年平均风功率密度WPD为510W/m²。Based on the data of the second wind field, the multi-year average wind power density WPD of this location is calculated to be 510W/m².
步骤S3,计算待选址区域的风电场选址评分,所述风电场选址评分为风功率密度均值、能源要素指标与环境要素指标的乘积;其中,所述能源要素指标根据第二风场数据进行取值,环境要素指标根据岸线和测深取值。Step S3, calculating the wind farm site selection score of the area to be sited, wherein the wind farm site selection score is the product of the mean wind power density, the energy factor index and the environmental factor index; wherein the energy factor index is taken according to the second wind farm data, and the environmental factor index is taken according to the coastline and the depth measurement.
具体地,基于第二风场数据,计算该地点处归一化后的下述能源指标值,包括:Specifically, based on the second wind farm data, the following normalized energy index values at the location are calculated, including:
最佳风功率密度发生频率:0.86;最佳风速发生频率:0.85;极端风速发生频率:0.31;季变化率SV:0.14;月变化率MV:0.26。The frequency of occurrence of optimal wind power density is 0.86; the frequency of occurrence of optimal wind speed is 0.85; the frequency of occurrence of extreme wind speed is 0.31; the seasonal variation rate SV is 0.14; the monthly variation rate MV is 0.26.
计算能源要素总得分Kenergy,表达式如下:Calculate the total energy factor score K energy , the expression is as follows:
Kenergy=fpositives-energy×fnegatives-energy=(0.91+0.86+0.85)×((1-0.31)+(1-0.14)+(1-0.26))=5.998K energy =f positives-energy ×f negatives-energy =(0.91+0.86+0.85)×((1-0.31)+(1-0.14)+(1-0.26))=5.998
根据岸线和测深取值计算环境要素指标,包括:Environmental factor indicators are calculated based on the shoreline and bathymetric values, including:
假设该点处仅设置正面环境指标,不设置负面环境指标(即fnegatives-environment值为1)。正面指标离岸距离和水深归一化后的值分别为0.6和0.5。计算环境要素总得分Kenvironment,表达式如下:Assume that only positive environmental indicators are set at this point, and no negative environmental indicators are set (i.e., the value of f negatives-environment is 1). The normalized values of the positive indicators offshore distance and water depth are 0.6 and 0.5, respectively. The total score of environmental factors K environment is calculated as follows:
Kenvironment=fpositives-environment*fnegatives-environment=(0.6+0.5)×1=1.1K environment =f positives-environment* f negatives-environment = (0.6+0.5)×1=1.1
最终的,风电场选址评分Y值为=510×5.998×1.1=3364.88。Finally, the Y value of the wind farm site selection score is =510×5.998×1.1=3364.88.
再在研究区域范围内对Y值归一化,得值0.87。根据下面列出的归一化后的Y值分级表(表3)可知,该点归一化后的Y值处于等级5,表示该点处资源丰富,是建设海上风机的最佳地点,非常适合建设海上风电场。Then the Y value is normalized within the study area, and the value is 0.87. According to the normalized Y value classification table listed below (Table 3), the normalized Y value of this point is at level 5, which means that the resources at this point are rich, and it is the best location for building offshore wind turbines, which is very suitable for building offshore wind farms.
参照上述方法,可获得某待选址区域内各点的Y值。By referring to the above method, the Y value of each point in a certain area to be selected can be obtained.
表3:归一化后的风电场选址评分Y值分级表Table 3: Normalized wind farm site selection score Y value classification table
步骤S4,查询空间限制区域,基于剔除空间限制区域后的待选址区域,并根据风电场选址评分,得到海上风电场备选区域。Step S4, querying the spatially restricted area, based on the area to be selected after eliminating the spatially restricted area and according to the wind farm site selection score, obtaining the candidate area for the offshore wind farm.
具体地,基于ArcGIS平台,将空间限制区域(如国际航道、鸟道、影响人类生活作业的离岸距离和海洋功能区域(例如休闲娱乐区、船运锚地区、海洋保护区等)的矢量数据和某区域的归一化后的Y值分级结果在空间上叠加,寻找符合空间规范的最佳风电场开发位置。Specifically, based on the ArcGIS platform, the vector data of spatially restricted areas (such as international waterways, bird paths, offshore distances that affect human life and operations, and marine functional areas (such as leisure and entertainment areas, shipping anchorage areas, marine protected areas, etc.) and the normalized Y-value classification results of a certain area are spatially superimposed to find the best wind farm development location that meets spatial specifications.
如图3所示,本申请实施例提供一种电子设备,其包括存储器101,用于存储一个或多个程序;处理器102。当一个或多个程序被处理器102执行时,实现如上述第一方面中任一项的方法。As shown in Fig. 3, an embodiment of the present application provides an electronic device, which includes a memory 101 for storing one or more programs and a processor 102. When the one or more programs are executed by the processor 102, any method in the first aspect described above is implemented.
还包括通信接口103,该存储器101、处理器102和通信接口103相互之间直接或间接地电性连接,以实现数据的传输或交互。例如,这些元件相互之间可通过一条或多条通讯总线或信号线实现电性连接。存储器101可用于存储软件程序及模块,处理器102通过执行存储在存储器101内的软件程序及模块,从而执行各种功能应用以及数据处理。该通信接口103可用于与其他节点设备进行信令或数据的通信。The memory 101, the processor 102 and the communication interface 103 are directly or indirectly electrically connected to each other to achieve data transmission or interaction. For example, these elements can be electrically connected to each other through one or more communication buses or signal lines. The memory 101 can be used to store software programs and modules, and the processor 102 executes various functional applications and data processing by executing the software programs and modules stored in the memory 101. The communication interface 103 can be used to communicate signaling or data with other node devices.
其中,存储器101可以是但不限于,随机存取存储器101(Random Access Memory,RAM),只读存储器101(Read Only Memory,ROM),可编程只读存储器101(ProgrammableRead-Only Memory,PROM),可擦除只读存储器101(Erasable Programmable Read-OnlyMemory,EPROM),电可擦除只读存储器101(Electric Erasable Programmable Read-OnlyMemory,EEPROM)等。Among them, the memory 101 can be, but is not limited to, a random access memory 101 (Random Access Memory, RAM), a read only memory 101 (Read Only Memory, ROM), a programmable read-only memory 101 (Programmable Read-Only Memory, PROM), an erasable programmable read-only memory 101 (Erasable Programmable Read-Only Memory, EPROM), an electrically erasable read-only memory 101 (Electric Erasable Programmable Read-Only Memory, EEPROM), etc.
处理器102可以是一种集成电路芯片,具有信号处理能力。该处理器102可以是通用处理器102,包括中央处理器102(Central Processing Unit,CPU)、网络处理器102(Network Processor,NP)等;还可以是数字信号处理器102(Digital Signal Processing,DSP)、专用集成电路(Application Specific Integrated Circuit,ASIC)、现场可编程门阵列(Field-Programmable Gate Array,FPGA)或者其他可编程逻辑器件、分立门或者晶体管逻辑器件、分立硬件组件。The processor 102 may be an integrated circuit chip with signal processing capability. The processor 102 may be a general-purpose processor 102, including a central processing unit 102 (CPU), a network processor 102 (NP), etc.; it may also be a digital signal processor 102 (DSP), an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), a field programmable gate array (FPGA), or other programmable logic devices, discrete gate or transistor logic devices, or discrete hardware components.
在本申请所提供的实施例中,应该理解到,所揭露的方法及系统,也可以通过其它的方式实现。以上所描述的方法及系统实施例仅仅是示意性的,例如,附图中的流程图和框图显示了根据本申请的多个实施例的方法及系统、方法和计算机程序产品的可能实现的体系架构、功能和操作。在这点上,流程图或框图中的每个方框可以代表一个模块、程序段或代码的一部分,所述模块、程序段或代码的一部分包含一个或多个用于实现规定的逻辑功能的可执行指令。也应当注意,在有些作为替换的实现方式中,方框中所标注的功能也可以以不同于附图中所标注的顺序发生。例如,两个连续的方框实际上可以基本并行地执行,它们有时也可以按相反的顺序执行,这依所涉及的功能而定。也要注意的是,框图和/或流程图中的每个方框、以及框图和/或流程图中的方框的组合,可以用执行规定的功能或动作的专用的基于硬件的系统来实现,或者可以用专用硬件与计算机指令的组合来实现。In the embodiments provided in the present application, it should be understood that the disclosed method and system can also be implemented in other ways. The method and system embodiments described above are merely schematic. For example, the flowcharts and block diagrams in the accompanying drawings show the possible architecture, functions and operations of the method and system, method and computer program product according to multiple embodiments of the present application. In this regard, each box in the flowchart or block diagram can represent a module, a program segment or a part of a code, and the module, a program segment or a part of a code contains one or more executable instructions for implementing the specified logical function. It should also be noted that in some alternative implementations, the functions marked in the box can also occur in a different order from the order marked in the accompanying drawings. For example, two consecutive boxes can actually be executed substantially in parallel, and they can sometimes be executed in the opposite order, depending on the functions involved. It should also be noted that each box in the block diagram and/or the flowchart, and the combination of boxes in the block diagram and/or the flowchart can be implemented with a dedicated hardware-based system that performs a specified function or action, or can be implemented with a combination of dedicated hardware and computer instructions.
另外,在本申请各个实施例中的各功能模块可以集成在一起形成一个独立的部分,也可以是各个模块单独存在,也可以两个或两个以上模块集成形成一个独立的部分。In addition, the functional modules in the various embodiments of the present application may be integrated together to form an independent part, or each module may exist separately, or two or more modules may be integrated to form an independent part.
另一方面,本申请实施例提供一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序被处理器102执行时实现如上述第一方面中任一项的方法。所述功能如果以软件功能模块的形式实现并作为独立的产品销售或使用时,可以存储在一个计算机可读取存储介质中。基于这样的理解,本申请的技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分或者该技术方案的部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来,该计算机软件产品存储在一个存储介质中,包括若干指令用以使得一台计算机设备(可以是个人计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)执行本申请各个实施例所述方法的全部或部分步骤。而前述的存储介质包括:U盘、移动硬盘、只读存储器101(ROM,Read-Only Memory)、随机存取存储器101(RAM,RandomAccess Memory)、磁碟或者光盘等各种可以存储程序代码的介质。On the other hand, an embodiment of the present application provides a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored, and when the computer program is executed by the processor 102, a method as described in any one of the first aspects above is implemented. If the function is implemented in the form of a software function module and sold or used as an independent product, it can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the technical solution of the present application is essentially or the part that contributes to the prior art or the part of the technical solution can be embodied in the form of a software product, and the computer software product is stored in a storage medium, including several instructions for a computer device (which can be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to perform all or part of the steps of the method described in each embodiment of the present application. The aforementioned storage medium includes: U disk, mobile hard disk, read-only memory 101 (ROM, Read-Only Memory), random access memory 101 (RAM, RandomAccess Memory), disk or optical disk and other media that can store program codes.
以上实施例仅用于说明本发明的设计思想和特点,其目的在于使本领域内的技术人员能够了解本发明的内容并据以实施,本发明的保护范围不限于上述实施例。所以,凡依据本发明所揭示的原理、设计思路所作的等同变化或修饰,均在本发明的保护范围之内。The above embodiments are only used to illustrate the design ideas and features of the present invention, and their purpose is to enable those skilled in the art to understand the content of the present invention and implement it accordingly. The protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the above embodiments. Therefore, any equivalent changes or modifications made based on the principles and design ideas disclosed by the present invention are within the protection scope of the present invention.
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