CN118295045B - Meteorological monitoring alarm system and method based on big data - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明涉及气象监测技术领域,公开一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统及方法,包括气象数据获取模块用于获取气象局对各个待测点所在区域的区域气象数据;识别模块用于根据区域气象数据,识别出高风险气象的各个待测点;多维度分区模块用于根据高风险气象的各个待测点,形成各个待测点的多维度分区;多维度预测模块用于根据各个待测点的多维度分区,调取各个维度的本地气象预测模型,对各个维度的该待测点的气象情况进行预测;数据融合模块用于对各个维度的气象预测数据进行融合,形成该待测点的气象预测实际数据;预警模块用于根据该待测点的气象预测实际数据,判断该待测点是否为危险区域,若是,则向客户端发送报警信息。
The present invention relates to the field of meteorological monitoring technology, and discloses a meteorological monitoring and alarm system and method based on big data, comprising a meteorological data acquisition module for acquiring regional meteorological data of the area where each test point is located by the meteorological bureau; an identification module for identifying each test point with high-risk meteorology according to the regional meteorological data; a multi-dimensional partitioning module for forming multi-dimensional partitions of each test point according to each test point with high-risk meteorology; a multi-dimensional prediction module for calling local meteorological prediction models of each dimension according to the multi-dimensional partitions of each test point, and predicting the meteorological conditions of the test point in each dimension; a data fusion module for fusing meteorological prediction data of each dimension to form actual meteorological prediction data of the test point; and an early warning module for judging whether the test point is a dangerous area according to the actual meteorological prediction data of the test point, and if so, sending an alarm message to a client.
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及气象监测技术领域,具体涉及一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统及方法。The present invention relates to the technical field of meteorological monitoring, and in particular to a meteorological monitoring and alarm system and method based on big data.
背景技术Background Art
在气象领域,气象监测机构长期以来都致力于通过收集和分析气象数据,为公众提供准确、可靠的气象预测服务。然而,尽管现有的气象预测技术已经取得了长足的进步,但在针对单个待测点进行气象预测时,仍面临着诸多挑战和局限性。In the field of meteorology, meteorological monitoring agencies have long been committed to providing the public with accurate and reliable weather forecast services by collecting and analyzing meteorological data. However, although existing meteorological forecasting technology has made great progress, it still faces many challenges and limitations when conducting meteorological forecasts for a single test point.
从数据来源的角度来看,气象数据通常来自于分布在不同地点的气象观测站点。这些站点通过收集气压、温度、湿度、风速等气象要素的数据,为气象局提供分析和预测的依据。然而,由于观测站点的分布不均,以及观测设备本身的精度和分辨率限制,导致对于单个待测点的气象数据收集存在不足,导致对单一待测点的气象预测准确度低的问题出现。From the perspective of data sources, meteorological data usually comes from meteorological observation stations distributed in different locations. These stations provide the Meteorological Bureau with a basis for analysis and prediction by collecting data on meteorological elements such as air pressure, temperature, humidity, and wind speed. However, due to the uneven distribution of observation stations and the accuracy and resolution limitations of the observation equipment itself, there is a lack of meteorological data collection for a single test point, resulting in low accuracy of meteorological forecasts for a single test point.
从预测模型的角度来看,现有的气象预测模型大多基于区域性数据进行计算。这些模型通过模拟大气的物理和化学过程,预测未来一段时间内的天气变化。然而,由于模型的复杂性和计算资源的限制,这些模型在针对单个待测点进行预测时,往往无法充分考虑该待测点的实际情况,导致对单一待测点的气象预测结果可能存在较大偏差。From the perspective of prediction models, most existing meteorological prediction models are calculated based on regional data. These models simulate the physical and chemical processes of the atmosphere to predict weather changes in the future. However, due to the complexity of the models and the limitations of computing resources, these models often fail to fully consider the actual situation of a single test point when making predictions for the test point, resulting in large deviations in the meteorological prediction results for a single test point.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明的目的之一在于提供一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统及方法,能够解决现有技术中单一待测点的气象预测准确度低的问题,提高气象预测的精度。One of the purposes of the present invention is to provide a weather monitoring and alarm system and method based on big data, which can solve the problem of low accuracy of weather forecasting for a single test point in the prior art and improve the accuracy of weather forecasting.
为了达到上述目的,提供了一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统,包括:In order to achieve the above purpose, a meteorological monitoring and alarm system based on big data is provided, including:
气象数据获取模块,用于从气象局获取对各个待测点所在区域的区域气象数据;The meteorological data acquisition module is used to obtain regional meteorological data of the area where each test point is located from the meteorological bureau;
识别模块,用于根据各个区域气象数据,对各个区域气象数据所对应的气象内容和气象类型进行识别,并基于气象内容和气象类型,识别出高风险气象所对应的各个待测点;The identification module is used to identify the meteorological content and meteorological type corresponding to the meteorological data of each region according to the meteorological data of each region, and identify each test point corresponding to the high-risk meteorological condition based on the meteorological content and meteorological type;
多维度分区模块,用于根据识别出来的高风险气象所对应的各个待测点,基于预设的多维度分区策略,对各个待测点进行多维度的分区,形成各个待测点所对应的多维度分区;The multi-dimensional partitioning module is used to partition each test point in multiple dimensions according to each test point corresponding to the identified high-risk weather conditions based on a preset multi-dimensional partitioning strategy, thereby forming multi-dimensional partitions corresponding to each test point;
多维度预测模块,用于根据各个待测点所对应的多维度分区,调取各个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型,对各个维度所对应的该待测点的气象情况进行预测,形成各个维度所对应的气象预测数据;The multi-dimensional prediction module is used to retrieve the local meteorological prediction model corresponding to each dimension according to the multi-dimensional partition corresponding to each test point, predict the meteorological conditions of the test point corresponding to each dimension, and form meteorological prediction data corresponding to each dimension;
数据融合模块,用于根据该待测点所对应的各个维度所对应的气象预测数据,对各个维度所对应的气象预测数据进行融合,形成该待测点的气象预测实际数据;A data fusion module is used to fuse the meteorological forecast data corresponding to each dimension according to the meteorological forecast data corresponding to each dimension of the point to be measured, so as to form the actual meteorological forecast data of the point to be measured;
预警模块,用于根据该待测点的气象预测实际数据,判断该待测点是否为危险区域,若是,则向客户端发送报警信息;The early warning module is used to determine whether the point to be tested is a dangerous area based on the actual weather forecast data of the point to be tested. If so, an alarm message is sent to the client;
所述多维度分区策略为:The multi-dimensional partitioning strategy is:
从数据库中调取各个待测点所对应的历史气象实际数据、区域所对应的地理信息以及区域内各个待测点的历史实际情况;Retrieve the actual historical meteorological data corresponding to each test point, the geographical information corresponding to the region, and the actual historical conditions of each test point in the region from the database;
基于地理信息以及各个待测点的历史气象实际数据,对数据库中预先存储的维度集中的各个维度进行选取,从维度集中选出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度;Based on geographic information and actual historical meteorological data of each test point, each dimension in the dimension set pre-stored in the database is selected, and multiple dimensions that meet the actual situation of the area are selected from the dimension set;
根据选取出来的多个维度,基于区域内各个待测点的历史实际情况以及历史气象实际数据,对区域内的各个待测点进行多维度的划分,形成各个维度所对应的该区域的多维度划分方案。According to the selected multiple dimensions, based on the historical actual conditions of each test point in the region and the actual historical meteorological data, each test point in the region is divided into multiple dimensions to form a multi-dimensional division plan for the region corresponding to each dimension.
本方案的技术原理及效果:在本方案中,首先是从气象局中获取对应的各个待测点所在的区域所对应的区域气象数据,通过对区域气象数据的处理,识别出该区域所对应的气象内容和气象类型,从而实现对该区域内的各个高风险气象所对应的待测点,以此来实现对需要进行气象预测监测报警的待测点进行初步的确定。The technical principle and effect of this scheme: In this scheme, the regional meteorological data corresponding to the area where each test point is located is first obtained from the Meteorological Bureau. By processing the regional meteorological data, the meteorological content and meteorological type corresponding to the area are identified, so as to realize the test points corresponding to each high-risk meteorology in the area, so as to realize the preliminary determination of the test points that need to be tested for meteorological forecasting, monitoring and alarm.
之后通过识别出来的高风险气象所对应的各个待测点,通过多维度分区策略实现对各个待测点的多维度分区,从而实现了对该区域内的各个待测点的多维度划分,例如待测点i在维度AA中与其他待测点j、l、m、n划分到一起,而在维度BB中与待测点j、l、b、y划分到一起。Afterwards, through the identified high-risk weather points corresponding to the test points, multi-dimensional partitioning strategies are used to realize multi-dimensional partitioning of each test point, thereby realizing multi-dimensional division of each test point in the area. For example, the test point i is divided together with other test points j, l, m, and n in dimension AA, and is divided together with test points j, l, b, and y in dimension BB.
之后根据各个待测点所对应的多维度分区,调取各个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型对其进行多维度的气象情况的预测,形成待测点的多个维度上的气象预测数据,之后对这些维度上的气象预测数据进行融合,得到待测点的气象预测实际数据,基于气象预测实际数据实现对该待测点是否为危险区域的识别以及监测,并在待测点是危险区域时,向客户端发送报警信息,实现对待测点的准确监测和及时报警。Then, according to the multi-dimensional partitions corresponding to each test point, the local meteorological forecast model corresponding to each dimension is called to predict the multi-dimensional meteorological conditions, forming meteorological forecast data on multiple dimensions of the test point. Then, the meteorological forecast data on these dimensions are fused to obtain the actual meteorological forecast data of the test point. Based on the actual meteorological forecast data, it is possible to identify and monitor whether the test point is a dangerous area, and when the test point is a dangerous area, an alarm message is sent to the client to achieve accurate monitoring and timely alarm of the test point.
相比现有技术中气象局的气象数据只能对区域进行预测,无法实现对区域内单一待测点的气象的准确预测,这就使得区域内单一待测点的气象数据的预测极为不准确和可靠,导致无法对区域内单一待测点的气象数据进行准确的监控,以及在发生危险时进行及时的报警,而本申请中首先利用气象局中区域所对应的区域气象数据来进行初步的判断,以此来判断出可能存在危险的或者高风险气象的待测点,然后为了使得对这些待测点进行准确的气象预测,通过多维度划分、划分后的各个维度所对应的本地气象模型的调取和预测,从而实现对同一待测点的多维度的气象预测数据的预测,之后通过融合,实现对待测点的气象实际预测数据的准确且快速的预测,能够解决现有技术中单一待测点的气象预测准确度低的问题,提高气象预测的精度。Compared with the prior art, the meteorological data of the Meteorological Bureau can only predict the region, but cannot accurately predict the weather at a single test point in the region. This makes the prediction of the meteorological data of a single test point in the region extremely inaccurate and unreliable, resulting in the inability to accurately monitor the meteorological data of a single test point in the region, and to issue a timely alarm when a danger occurs. In this application, the regional meteorological data corresponding to the region in the Meteorological Bureau is first used to make a preliminary judgment, so as to judge the test points that may have dangerous or high-risk weather. Then, in order to make accurate meteorological predictions for these test points, multi-dimensional division is performed, and the local meteorological models corresponding to each dimension after division are retrieved and predicted, so as to realize the prediction of multi-dimensional meteorological prediction data of the same test point. After that, through fusion, accurate and rapid prediction of the actual meteorological prediction data of the test point can be realized, which can solve the problem of low accuracy of meteorological prediction for a single test point in the prior art and improve the accuracy of meteorological prediction.
进一步,所述从维度集中选出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度的逻辑为:根据维度集中的各个维度,通过聚类的方式对区域内的各个待测点进行单一维度的分块,形成各个维度所对应自身的多个子分区,根据历史气象实际数据,计算出各个子分区内各个待测点之间的第一气象差异值,以及各个子分区之间的第二气象差异值,基于第一气象差异值和第二气象差异值,判断第一气象差异值是否小于或者等于第一差异阈值,以及判断第二气象差异值是否大于或者等于第二差异阈值,若都满足,则判断该维度是符合本区域的实际情况的维度,以此来实现对维度集中所有维度的判断,从而选取出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度;Further, the logic of selecting multiple dimensions that meet the actual situation of the region from the dimension set is: according to each dimension in the dimension set, each test point in the region is divided into blocks of a single dimension by clustering to form multiple sub-divisions corresponding to each dimension; according to the actual historical meteorological data, the first meteorological difference value between each test point in each sub-division and the second meteorological difference value between each sub-division are calculated; based on the first meteorological difference value and the second meteorological difference value, it is judged whether the first meteorological difference value is less than or equal to the first difference threshold value, and whether the second meteorological difference value is greater than or equal to the second difference threshold value; if both are satisfied, it is judged that the dimension is a dimension that meets the actual situation of the region, so as to realize the judgment of all dimensions in the dimension set, thereby selecting multiple dimensions that meet the actual situation of the region;
所述第一气象差异值的计算逻辑为:The calculation logic of the first meteorological difference value is:
根据同一子分区的各个待测点所对应的历史气象实际数据,确定当前所对应的季节,基于当前所对应的季节,从历史气象实际数据中获取当前的季节所对应的各个待测点的历史温度值,计算出各个待测点所对应的在当前的季节的历史平均温度值,基于第一气象差异值计算公式,计算出同一子区间内各个待测点之间的第一气象差异值;According to the actual historical meteorological data corresponding to each test point in the same sub-area, the current corresponding season is determined; based on the current corresponding season, the historical temperature values of each test point corresponding to the current season are obtained from the actual historical meteorological data; the historical average temperature value corresponding to each test point in the current season is calculated; based on the first meteorological difference value calculation formula, the first meteorological difference value between each test point in the same sub-area is calculated;
所述第一气象差异值计算公式为:The first meteorological difference value calculation formula is:
式中,为第一气象差异值,为同一子分区内所有待测点的平均温度值,为同一子分区的第m个待测点在当前的季节所对应的历史平均温度值,为对应子分区内的待测点总个数;In the formula, is the first meteorological difference value, is the average temperature value of all test points in the same sub-division. is the historical average temperature value corresponding to the mth test point in the same sub-partition in the current season, is the total number of points to be tested in the corresponding sub-partition;
所述第二气象差异值的计算逻辑为:The calculation logic of the second meteorological difference value is:
计算出各个子分区所对应的在当前的季节所对应的历史平均温度,并基于第二气象差异值计算公式,计算出不同子区间之间的第二气象差异值;Calculate the historical average temperature corresponding to each sub-area in the current season, and calculate the second meteorological difference value between different sub-areas based on the second meteorological difference value calculation formula;
所述第二气象差异值计算公式为:The second meteorological difference value calculation formula is:
式中,为第二气象差异值,为不同子区间在当前的季节之间的平均温度,为子区间n所对应的区间历史平均温度值,为对应维度所对应的子区间的总个数。In the formula, is the second meteorological difference value, is the average temperature between different sub-intervals in the current season, is the historical average temperature value of the interval corresponding to subinterval n, is the total number of subintervals corresponding to the corresponding dimension.
有益效果:通过对子区间内部的待测点的之间的气象差异值以及子区间之间的气象差异值的计算和比较,从而提高了选出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度的准确性和可靠性,为后续提供可靠的数据支撑。Beneficial effect: By calculating and comparing the meteorological difference values between the test points within the sub-intervals and the meteorological difference values between the sub-intervals, the accuracy and reliability of selecting multiple dimensions that meet the actual conditions of the area are improved, providing reliable data support for the follow-up.
进一步,所述多维度预测模块包括:Furthermore, the multi-dimensional prediction module includes:
分区重合度计算模块,用于根据各个待测点所对应的多维度分区,计算出在该区域内的各个维度所对应的子分区之间的分区重合度;每一个多维度分区都包括多个子分区;A partition overlap calculation module is used to calculate the partition overlap between sub-partitions corresponding to each dimension in the area according to the multi-dimensional partitions corresponding to each test point; each multi-dimensional partition includes multiple sub-partitions;
判断模块,用于根据各个子分区之间的分区重合度,从数据库中调取预设重合度阈值,比较分区重合度和预设重合度阈值的大小,判断分区重合度是否大于或等于预设重合度阈值,并计算单一维度中的子分区与其他维度的子分区的分区重合度大于或等于预设重合度阈值的个数占比,若该个数占比大于预设阈值,则判断该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性高,反之则判断该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性低;A judgment module is used to retrieve a preset overlap threshold from a database according to the overlap between each sub-partition, compare the overlap between the sub-partition and the preset overlap threshold, judge whether the overlap is greater than or equal to the preset overlap threshold, and calculate the proportion of the number of sub-partitions in a single dimension and the sub-partitions in other dimensions whose overlap is greater than or equal to the preset overlap threshold. If the proportion is greater than the preset threshold, it is judged that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is high; otherwise, it is judged that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is low;
第一预测模块,用于在判断结果为该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性高时,识别出该子分区内所对应的待测点,并随机选取其中一个维度所对应的气象本地预测模型,基于该气象本地预测模型,选取其中一个待测点所对应的上一时刻历史气象数据以及该待测点所对应的区域气象数据,预测出该待测点所对应的气象预测数据;The first prediction module is used to identify the corresponding test point in the sub-partition when the judgment result is that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is high, and randomly select the meteorological local prediction model corresponding to one of the dimensions, and based on the meteorological local prediction model, select the historical meteorological data corresponding to one of the test points at the previous moment and the regional meteorological data corresponding to the test point to predict the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point;
第二预测模块,用于在判断结果为该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性低时,识别出该子分区内所对应的各个待测点,并调取各个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型,对各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据进行预测,形成各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据。The second prediction module is used to identify the corresponding points to be tested in the sub-partition when the judgment result is that the meteorological correlation of the points to be tested in the sub-partition is low, and to call up the local meteorological prediction model corresponding to each dimension, and predict the meteorological prediction data on each dimension corresponding to each point to be tested, so as to form the meteorological prediction data on each dimension corresponding to each point to be tested.
有益效果:在本方案中,充分考虑到在对区域内进行各个维度上的区间划分时,可能会存在多个维度之间在某一子区间存在重复,这样就出现了某些待测点不管维度的改变,对应待测点之间都能在同一子区间,为了更好的对这一类待测点进行识别,通过不同维度之间的子区间进行分区重合度的计算,以此来判断不同维度的各个子区间之间的分区重合度,并且计算单一维度的子区间与其他维度的子区间重合的个数占比,例如A维度对应的子区间i,在与其他维度的各个子区间进行重合度计算时,计算出其他维度的子区间与该子区间i重合度大于或者等于预设重合度阈值的个数占比大于阈值,则说明在不同维度上对子区间i内的各个待测点的划分时大多是划分到一起的,则就说明子区间i内的各个待测点之间的气象关联性高,此时,就可以直接随机选取一种维度上的本地气象预测模型进行气象预测即可完成对该子区间i内其他所有待测点的气象预测,在确保对子区间内所有待测点预测的准确度的同时提高预测效率,解决现有技术中系统的处理能力有限,提高预测效率有利于提高系统的处理性能。而待测点的气象关联性低的,则对每一个待测点都进行多维度的本地气象预测模型的预测,实现对气象关联性一般的待测点的多维度气象预测,能够提高对该待测点的气象预测的准确度和可靠性。Beneficial effect: In this scheme, it is fully considered that when dividing the intervals in various dimensions in the region, there may be duplications in a certain sub-interval between multiple dimensions. In this way, some test points can be in the same sub-interval regardless of the change of the dimension. In order to better identify this type of test points, the partition overlap degree is calculated by sub-intervals between different dimensions to judge the partition overlap degree between sub-intervals of different dimensions, and the proportion of the number of sub-intervals of a single dimension that overlap with sub-intervals of other dimensions is calculated. For example, when calculating the overlap degree of sub-interval i corresponding to dimension A with sub-intervals of other dimensions, the calculation If the proportion of the number of sub-intervals in other dimensions that overlap with the sub-interval i greater than or equal to the preset overlap threshold is greater than the threshold, it means that the various test points in the sub-interval i are mostly divided together when divided in different dimensions, which means that the meteorological correlation between the various test points in the sub-interval i is high. At this time, you can directly randomly select a local meteorological prediction model on a dimension to perform meteorological prediction to complete the meteorological prediction of all other test points in the sub-interval i, while ensuring the accuracy of the prediction of all test points in the sub-interval, while improving the prediction efficiency, solving the limited processing capacity of the system in the prior art, and improving the prediction efficiency is conducive to improving the processing performance of the system. If the meteorological correlation of the test point is low, a multi-dimensional local meteorological prediction model is used to predict each test point, and a multi-dimensional meteorological prediction of the test point with general meteorological correlation is achieved, which can improve the accuracy and reliability of the meteorological prediction of the test point.
进一步,所述数据融合模块包括:Furthermore, the data fusion module includes:
第一分配模块,用于将第一预测模块所生成该子分区所对应的某一待测点的气象预测数据同时分配给该子分区所对应的其他待测点,所述气象预测数据为该子分区内所有的待测点的气象预测实际数据;A first allocation module is used to allocate the meteorological forecast data of a certain test point corresponding to the sub-division generated by the first prediction module to other test points corresponding to the sub-division at the same time, wherein the meteorological forecast data is the actual meteorological forecast data of all the test points in the sub-division;
权重值计算模块,用于根据第二预测模块所形成的各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据,对待测点在不同维度上的子区间所处的位置进行识别,基于该待测点的位置与该待测点在不同维度上的子区间的中心位置,计算出该待测点距离不同维度上子区间的中心位置的距离值,并基于距离值,设定该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据所对应的权重值;A weight value calculation module is used to identify the position of the sub-interval of the test point in different dimensions according to the meteorological forecast data in each dimension corresponding to each test point formed by the second prediction module, calculate the distance value of the test point from the center position of the sub-interval in different dimensions based on the position of the test point and the center position of the sub-interval of the test point in different dimensions, and set the weight value corresponding to the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point in each dimension based on the distance value;
第一融合模块,用于根据该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据所对应的权重值,对该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据进行融合,形成该待测点的气象预测实际数据。The first fusion module is used to fuse the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point in each dimension according to the weight value corresponding to the meteorological forecast data of the test point in each dimension, so as to form the actual meteorological forecast data of the test point.
有益效果:在本方案中,面对第二预测模块所形成的各个待测点所对应的在各个维度上的气象预测数据的融合时,充分考虑到不同维度上的气象预测数据对该待测点的影响程度不同,为了能够准确的实现对该待测点的实际的气象数据进行确定,主要通过对各个待测点在各自维度上的子区间所处的位置进行确定,来计算出待测点距离各个维度上的子区间的中心位置的距离,以此来实现对该维度所对应的气象预测数据的权重值的确定,进而完成在面对多个维度上的气象预测数据的融合,提高数据融合的可靠性。Beneficial effect: In this scheme, when facing the fusion of meteorological forecast data in various dimensions corresponding to each test point formed by the second prediction module, full consideration is given to the different degrees of influence of meteorological forecast data in different dimensions on the test point. In order to accurately determine the actual meteorological data of the test point, the position of each test point in the sub-interval of each dimension is mainly determined to calculate the distance between the test point and the center position of the sub-interval in each dimension, so as to realize the determination of the weight value of the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the dimension, and then complete the fusion of meteorological forecast data in multiple dimensions, thereby improving the reliability of data fusion.
本发明还提供一种基于大数据的气象监测报警方法,使用上述的一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统。The present invention also provides a meteorological monitoring and alarm method based on big data, using the above-mentioned meteorological monitoring and alarm system based on big data.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
图1为本发明实施例一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统的逻辑框图。FIG1 is a logic block diagram of a meteorological monitoring and alarm system based on big data according to an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
下面通过具体实施方式进一步详细说明:The following is further described in detail through specific implementation methods:
实施例一Embodiment 1
一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统,基本如图1所示,包括:A meteorological monitoring and alarm system based on big data is basically shown in Figure 1, including:
气象数据获取模块,用于从气象局获取对各个待测点所在区域的区域气象数据;The meteorological data acquisition module is used to obtain regional meteorological data of the area where each test point is located from the meteorological bureau;
识别模块,用于根据各个区域气象数据,对各个区域气象数据所对应的气象内容和气象类型进行识别,并基于气象内容和气象类型,识别出高风险气象所对应的各个待测点;The identification module is used to identify the meteorological content and meteorological type corresponding to the meteorological data of each region according to the meteorological data of each region, and identify each test point corresponding to the high-risk meteorological condition based on the meteorological content and meteorological type;
在本实施例中,所述气象内容包括温度高低、湿度大小、风速快慢、风向变化、降雨量大小,所述气象类型包括晴天、多云、阴天、雨天、雪天、大风、沙尘暴。具体的气象内容和气象类型的识别为:首先对各个区域的气象数据进行标准化处理,将不同单位或者格式的气象数据转换为统一的格式和标准,以便于后续进行处理。在本实施例中高风险气象所对应的气象内容所对应的数据存在大于各自对应的阈值,以及气象类型为对应的雨天、雪天、大风或沙尘暴。In this embodiment, the meteorological content includes temperature, humidity, wind speed, wind direction change, and rainfall, and the meteorological types include sunny, cloudy, overcast, rainy, snowy, strong winds, and sandstorms. The identification of specific meteorological content and meteorological types is as follows: first, the meteorological data of each region is standardized, and the meteorological data of different units or formats are converted into a unified format and standard for subsequent processing. In this embodiment, the data corresponding to the meteorological content corresponding to the high-risk meteorology is greater than the corresponding thresholds, and the meteorological type is the corresponding rainy, snowy, strong winds or sandstorms.
多维度分区模块,用于根据识别出来的高风险气象所对应的各个待测点,基于预设的多维度分区策略,对各个待测点进行多维度的分区,形成各个待测点所对应的多维度分区;The multi-dimensional partitioning module is used to partition each test point in multiple dimensions according to each test point corresponding to the identified high-risk weather conditions based on a preset multi-dimensional partitioning strategy, thereby forming multi-dimensional partitions corresponding to each test point;
所述多维度分区策略为:The multi-dimensional partitioning strategy is:
从数据库中调取各个待测点所对应的历史气象实际数据、区域所对应的地理信息以及区域内各个待测点的历史实际情况;在本实施例中地理信息包括地理位置如经纬度、地形地貌。所述历史实际情况为对应的各个待测点在历史上所对应的划分情况。The actual historical meteorological data corresponding to each test point, the geographical information corresponding to the region, and the historical actual situation of each test point in the region are retrieved from the database; in this embodiment, the geographical information includes the geographical location such as longitude and latitude, topography and landforms. The historical actual situation is the division situation corresponding to each test point in history.
基于地理信息以及各个待测点的历史气象实际数据,对数据库中预先存储的维度集中的各个维度进行选取,从维度集中选出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度;在本实施例中,维度集中设置有多个维度,所述维度集中的各个维度包括海拔维度,距离维度,地表植被维度,当前气象相似维度,历史气象相似维度等。Based on the geographic information and the actual historical meteorological data of each test point, each dimension in the dimension set pre-stored in the database is selected, and multiple dimensions that meet the actual conditions of the area are selected from the dimension set; in this embodiment, multiple dimensions are set in the dimension set, and each dimension in the dimension set includes an altitude dimension, a distance dimension, a surface vegetation dimension, a current meteorological similarity dimension, a historical meteorological similarity dimension, etc.
在本实施例中,选出符合该区域实际情况的逻辑为:根据维度集中的各个维度,通过聚类的方式对区域内的各个待测点进行单一维度的分块,形成各个维度所对应自身的多个子分区,根据历史气象实际数据,计算出各个子分区内各个待测点之间的第一气象差异值,以及各个子分区之间的第二气象差异值,基于第一气象差异值和第二气象差异值,判断第一气象差异值是否小于或者等于第一差异阈值,以及判断第二气象差异值是否大于或者等于第二差异阈值,若都满足,则判断该维度是符合本区域的实际情况的维度,以此来实现对维度集中所有维度的判断,从而选取出符合该区域实际情况的多个维度。In this embodiment, the logic for selecting the actual situation in the area is: according to each dimension in the dimension set, each test point in the area is divided into blocks of a single dimension by clustering to form multiple sub-divisions corresponding to each dimension; according to the actual historical meteorological data, the first meteorological difference value between each test point in each sub-division and the second meteorological difference value between each sub-division are calculated; based on the first meteorological difference value and the second meteorological difference value, it is judged whether the first meteorological difference value is less than or equal to the first difference threshold value, and whether the second meteorological difference value is greater than or equal to the second difference threshold value; if both are satisfied, the dimension is judged to be a dimension that meets the actual situation in the area, so as to realize the judgment of all dimensions in the dimension set, and thus select multiple dimensions that meet the actual situation in the area.
所述第一气象差异值的计算逻辑为:The calculation logic of the first meteorological difference value is:
根据同一子分区的各个待测点所对应的历史气象实际数据,确定当前所对应的季节,基于当前所对应的季节,从历史气象实际数据中获取当前的季节所对应的各个待测点的历史温度值,计算出各个待测点所对应的在当前的季节的历史平均温度值,基于第一气象差异值计算公式,计算出同一子区间内各个待测点之间的第一气象差异值;According to the actual historical meteorological data corresponding to each test point in the same sub-area, the current corresponding season is determined; based on the current corresponding season, the historical temperature values of each test point corresponding to the current season are obtained from the actual historical meteorological data; the historical average temperature value corresponding to each test point in the current season is calculated; based on the first meteorological difference value calculation formula, the first meteorological difference value between each test point in the same sub-area is calculated;
所述第一气象差异值计算公式为:The first meteorological difference value calculation formula is:
式中,为第一气象差异值,为同一子分区内所有待测点的平均温度值,为同一子分区的第m个待测点在当前的季节所对应的历史平均温度值,为对应子分区内的待测点总个数;In the formula, is the first meteorological difference value, is the average temperature value of all test points in the same sub-division. is the historical average temperature value corresponding to the mth test point in the same sub-partition in the current season, is the total number of points to be tested in the corresponding sub-partition;
所述第二气象差异值的计算逻辑为:The calculation logic of the second meteorological difference value is:
计算出各个子分区所对应的在当前的季节所对应的历史平均温度,并基于第二气象差异值计算公式,计算出不同子区间之间的第二气象差异值;Calculate the historical average temperature corresponding to each sub-area in the current season, and calculate the second meteorological difference value between different sub-areas based on the second meteorological difference value calculation formula;
所述第二气象差异值计算公式为:The second meteorological difference value calculation formula is:
式中,为第二气象差异值,为不同子区间在当前的季节之间的平均温度,为子区间n所对应的区间历史平均温度值,为对应维度所对应的子区间的总个数。In the formula, is the second meteorological difference value, is the average temperature between different sub-intervals in the current season, is the historical average temperature value of the interval corresponding to subinterval n, is the total number of subintervals corresponding to the corresponding dimension.
在本实施例中,维度集中设置很多个维度,但是对于不同的区域,符合能够区域实际情况的维度是不同的,所以需要从维度集中选取出能够代表对应区域实际情况的维度,以此来实现更加准确和科学的区域内各个待测点的分组划分。In this embodiment, many dimensions are set in the dimension set, but for different areas, the dimensions that conform to the actual situation of the area are different, so it is necessary to select dimensions that can represent the actual situation of the corresponding area from the dimension set, so as to achieve more accurate and scientific grouping of each test point in the area.
根据选取出来的多个维度,基于区域内各个待测点的历史实际情况以及历史气象实际数据,对区域内的各个待测点进行多维度的划分,形成各个维度所对应的该区域的多维度划分方案。所述多维度划分方案为区域内的各个待测点在不同维度上所对应的划分方案,在本实施例中,多维度划分方案的形成主要是基于对应的维度,进行聚类,从而完成对应的维度划分方案的制作,例如海拔维度,则是根据各个待测点的海拔数据,将海拔数据在第一海拔阈值以内的分为一类,将海拔数据在第一海拔阈值和第二海拔阈值之间的分为一类,将海拔数据大于第二海拔阈值的分为一类,从而形成基于海拔维度,将该区域内的所有待测点分为三个子分区。然后不同的维度进行不同的划分,从而形成在区域内的各个待测点在不同维度上所对应的划分方案。即考虑海拔维度时,将海拔数据靠近的待测点分为一类,而考虑其他维度时,也就对应维度所对应的数据相靠近的待测点分为类型。According to the selected multiple dimensions, based on the historical actual conditions of each test point in the region and the actual historical meteorological data, each test point in the region is divided into multiple dimensions to form a multi-dimensional division scheme for the region corresponding to each dimension. The multi-dimensional division scheme is a division scheme corresponding to each test point in the region in different dimensions. In this embodiment, the formation of the multi-dimensional division scheme is mainly based on the corresponding dimensions, clustering is performed, so as to complete the production of the corresponding dimensional division scheme. For example, the altitude dimension is based on the altitude data of each test point, and the altitude data within the first altitude threshold is divided into one category, the altitude data between the first altitude threshold and the second altitude threshold is divided into one category, and the altitude data greater than the second altitude threshold is divided into one category, so as to form a division based on the altitude dimension, and divide all the test points in the region into three sub-divisions. Then different dimensions are divided differently, so as to form a division scheme corresponding to each test point in the region in different dimensions. That is, when considering the altitude dimension, the test points with close altitude data are divided into one category, and when considering other dimensions, the test points with close data corresponding to the corresponding dimensions are divided into types.
在本实施例中,根据不同的区域所选取的维度是不同的,例如,在面对平原时,考虑到平原所对应的地势比较平坦,在同一平原上的预设范围内所对应的气象变化不会太大,所以面对平原上的待测点可能会在距离维度上进行忽略,例如在同一平原上没有超出预设范围的就可以划分为同一类,而在平原上靠近山峰或者河流的可能会划分为同一类。In this embodiment, different dimensions are selected according to different regions. For example, when facing a plain, considering that the terrain corresponding to the plain is relatively flat, the corresponding meteorological changes within the preset range on the same plain will not be too large, so the test points on the plain may be ignored in the distance dimension. For example, those that do not exceed the preset range on the same plain can be classified into the same category, and those close to mountains or rivers on the plain may be classified into the same category.
多维度预测模块,用于根据各个待测点所对应的多维度分区,调取各个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型,对各个维度所对应的该待测点的气象情况进行预测,形成各个维度所对应的气象预测数据;The multi-dimensional prediction module is used to retrieve the local meteorological prediction model corresponding to each dimension according to the multi-dimensional partition corresponding to each test point, predict the meteorological conditions of the test point corresponding to each dimension, and form meteorological prediction data corresponding to each dimension;
所述多维度预测模块包括:The multi-dimensional prediction module comprises:
分区重合度计算模块,用于根据各个待测点所对应的多维度分区,计算出在该区域内的各个维度所对应的子分区之间的分区重合度;每一个多维度分区都包括多个子分区;例如,区域A中对应的待测点有N个,并分别进行编号为1、2、3、…、N;本区域所对应的维度分别为AA、BB、CC;在对各个维度进行划分时,分别得到AA维度所对应的子区间AA1、AA2、AA3;BB维度所对应的子区间BB1、BB2、BB3;CC维度所对应的子区间CC1、CC2、CC3;此时,就依次对各个子区间相比于其他维度的子区间进行分区重合度的计算。在本实施例中分区重合度计算逻辑为:对各个维度所对应的子分区所对应的待测点进行统计,形成对应的子分区所对应的待测点集合,在对某一维度的子分区所对应的分区重合度进行计算时,基于该维度所对应的各个子分区所对应的待测点集合,依次对其他的每一个维度所对应的子分区进行重合的待测点的计算,即判断该维度的各个子分区,分别与其他的维度所对应的各个子分区所对应的待测点重合个数与子分区之间的不同待测点总数的比值为对应的分区重合度。The partition overlap calculation module is used to calculate the partition overlap between the sub-partitions corresponding to each dimension in the area according to the multi-dimensional partitions corresponding to each point to be tested; each multi-dimensional partition includes multiple sub-partitions; for example, there are N corresponding points to be tested in area A, and they are numbered 1, 2, 3, ..., N respectively; the dimensions corresponding to this area are AA, BB, and CC respectively; when dividing each dimension, the sub-intervals AA1, AA2, and AA3 corresponding to the AA dimension are obtained; the sub-intervals BB1, BB2, and BB3 corresponding to the BB dimension; and the sub-intervals CC1, CC2, and CC3 corresponding to the CC dimension are obtained respectively; at this time, the partition overlap of each sub-interval is calculated in turn compared with the sub-intervals of other dimensions. In this embodiment, the partition overlap calculation logic is as follows: statistics are performed on the test points corresponding to the sub-partitions corresponding to each dimension to form a set of test points corresponding to the corresponding sub-partitions. When calculating the partition overlap corresponding to the sub-partitions of a certain dimension, based on the set of test points corresponding to each sub-partition corresponding to the dimension, the overlapping test points are calculated for the sub-partitions corresponding to each other dimension in turn, that is, the ratio of the number of overlaps between the test points corresponding to each sub-partition of the dimension and the test points corresponding to each sub-partition corresponding to other dimensions and the total number of different test points between the sub-partitions is the corresponding partition overlap.
判断模块,用于根据各个子分区之间的分区重合度,从数据库中调取预设重合度阈值,比较分区重合度和预设重合度阈值的大小,判断分区重合度是否大于或等于预设重合度阈值,并计算单一维度中的子分区与其他维度的子分区的分区重合度大于或等于预设重合度阈值的个数占比,若该个数占比大于预设阈值,则判断该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性高,反之则判断该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性低;在本实施例中,单一维度的子区间与其他的维度的子区间的分区重合度不仅需要大于预设重合度阈值的同时对应的符合该要求的维度个数还有满足要求,极大提高了对子区间内的各个待测点的气象关联度确定的准确性。The judgment module is used to retrieve a preset overlap threshold from a database according to the partition overlap between each sub-partition, compare the partition overlap with the preset overlap threshold, judge whether the partition overlap is greater than or equal to the preset overlap threshold, and calculate the proportion of sub-partitions in a single dimension and sub-partitions in other dimensions whose partition overlap is greater than or equal to the preset overlap threshold. If the proportion is greater than the preset threshold, it is judged that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is high, otherwise it is judged that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is low. In this embodiment, the partition overlap between the sub-interval of a single dimension and the sub-interval of other dimensions not only needs to be greater than the preset overlap threshold, but also the corresponding number of dimensions that meet the requirement must meet the requirement, which greatly improves the accuracy of determining the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-interval.
第一预测模块,用于在判断结果为该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性高时,识别出该子分区内所对应的待测点,并随机选取其中一个维度所对应的气象本地预测模型,基于该气象本地预测模型,选取其中一个待测点所对应的上一时刻历史气象数据以及该待测点所对应的区域气象数据,预测出该待测点所对应的气象预测数据;The first prediction module is used to identify the corresponding test point in the sub-partition when the judgment result is that the meteorological correlation of each test point in the sub-partition is high, and randomly select the meteorological local prediction model corresponding to one of the dimensions, and based on the meteorological local prediction model, select the historical meteorological data corresponding to one of the test points at the previous moment and the regional meteorological data corresponding to the test point to predict the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point;
第二预测模块,用于在判断结果为该子分区内的各个待测点的气象关联性低时,识别出该子分区内所对应的各个待测点,并调取各个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型,对各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据进行预测,形成各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据。The second prediction module is used to identify the corresponding points to be tested in the sub-partition when the judgment result is that the meteorological correlation of the points to be tested in the sub-partition is low, and to call up the local meteorological prediction model corresponding to each dimension, and predict the meteorological prediction data on each dimension corresponding to each point to be tested, so as to form the meteorological prediction data on each dimension corresponding to each point to be tested.
数据融合模块,用于根据该待测点所对应的各个维度所对应的气象预测数据,对各个维度所对应的气象预测数据进行融合,形成该待测点的气象预测实际数据;A data fusion module is used to fuse the meteorological forecast data corresponding to each dimension according to the meteorological forecast data corresponding to each dimension of the point to be measured, so as to form the actual meteorological forecast data of the point to be measured;
所述数据融合模块包括:The data fusion module comprises:
第一分配模块,用于将第一预测模块所生成该子分区所对应的某一待测点的气象预测数据同时分配给该子分区所对应的其他待测点,所述气象预测数据为该子分区内所有的待测点的气象预测实际数据;在本实施例中,对于子分区内的各个待测点,考虑到其气象关联性强,所以不进行多维度的本地气象预测模型的各个预测,而是随机选取其中一个维度所对应的本地气象预测模型来进行该子分区内所有待测点的气象预测数据的预测,不仅能够确保预测的准确性,同时也能够提高系统预测处理效率。The first allocation module is used to simultaneously allocate the meteorological forecast data of a certain test point corresponding to the sub-partition generated by the first prediction module to other test points corresponding to the sub-partition, and the meteorological forecast data is the actual meteorological forecast data of all the test points in the sub-partition; in this embodiment, for each test point in the sub-partition, considering their strong meteorological correlation, each prediction of the multi-dimensional local meteorological forecast model is not performed, but the local meteorological forecast model corresponding to one of the dimensions is randomly selected to predict the meteorological forecast data of all the test points in the sub-partition, which can not only ensure the accuracy of the prediction, but also improve the system prediction processing efficiency.
权重值计算模块,用于根据第二预测模块所形成的各个待测点所对应的各个维度上的气象预测数据,对待测点在不同维度上的子区间所处的位置进行识别,基于该待测点的位置与该待测点在不同维度上的子区间的中心位置,计算出该待测点距离不同维度上子区间的中心位置的距离值,并基于距离值,设定该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据所对应的权重值;A weight value calculation module is used to identify the position of the sub-interval of the test point in different dimensions according to the meteorological forecast data in each dimension corresponding to each test point formed by the second prediction module, calculate the distance value of the test point from the center position of the sub-interval in different dimensions based on the position of the test point and the center position of the sub-interval of the test point in different dimensions, and set the weight value corresponding to the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point in each dimension based on the distance value;
第一融合模块,用于根据该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据所对应的权重值,对该待测点在各个维度所对应的气象预测数据进行融合,形成该待测点的气象预测实际数据。The first fusion module is used to fuse the meteorological forecast data corresponding to the test point in each dimension according to the weight value corresponding to the meteorological forecast data of the test point in each dimension, so as to form the actual meteorological forecast data of the test point.
预警模块,用于根据该待测点的气象预测实际数据,判断该待测点是否为危险区域,若是,则向客户端发送报警信息。The early warning module is used to determine whether the point to be tested is a dangerous area based on the actual weather forecast data of the point to be tested. If so, an alarm message is sent to the client.
本实施例还提供一种基于大数据的气象监测报警方法,使用上述的一种基于大数据的气象监测报警系统。This embodiment also provides a meteorological monitoring and alarm method based on big data, using the above-mentioned meteorological monitoring and alarm system based on big data.
以上所述的仅是本发明的实施例,方案中公知的具体结构及特性等常识在此过多描述,所属领域普通技术人员知晓申请日或者优先权日之前发明所属技术领域所有的普通技术知识,能够获知该领域中所有的现有技术,并且具有应用该日期之前常规实验手段的能力,所属领域普通技术人员可以在本申请给出的启示下,结合自身能力完善并实施本方案,一些典型的公知结构或者公知方法不应当成为所属领域普通技术人员实施本申请的障碍。应当指出,对于本领域的技术人员来说,在不脱离本发明结构的前提下,还可以作出若干变形和改进,这些也应该视为本发明的保护范围,这些都不会影响本发明实施的效果和专利的实用性。本申请要求的保护范围应当以其权利要求的内容为准,说明书中的具体实施方式等记载可以用于解释权利要求的内容。The above is only an embodiment of the present invention. The common sense such as the known specific structure and characteristics in the scheme is described too much here. The ordinary technicians in the relevant field know all the common technical knowledge in the technical field of the invention before the application date or priority date, can know all the existing technologies in the field, and have the ability to apply the conventional experimental means before that date. The ordinary technicians in the relevant field can improve and implement this scheme in combination with their own abilities under the enlightenment given by this application. Some typical known structures or known methods should not become obstacles for ordinary technicians in the relevant field to implement this application. It should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, without departing from the structure of the present invention, several deformations and improvements can be made, which should also be regarded as the scope of protection of the present invention, which will not affect the effect of the implementation of the present invention and the practicality of the patent. The scope of protection required by this application shall be based on the content of its claims, and the specific implementation methods and other records in the specification can be used to interpret the content of the claims.
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