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CN118281917B - Distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, system, equipment and medium considering driving factors - Google Patents

Distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, system, equipment and medium considering driving factors Download PDF

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CN118281917B
CN118281917B CN202410365500.9A CN202410365500A CN118281917B CN 118281917 B CN118281917 B CN 118281917B CN 202410365500 A CN202410365500 A CN 202410365500A CN 118281917 B CN118281917 B CN 118281917B
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张仰飞
仇成志
陈光宇
姬铭泽
周龙麒
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Nanjing Institute of Technology
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    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
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    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/007Arrangements for selectively connecting the load or loads to one or several among a plurality of power lines or power sources
    • H02J3/0075Arrangements for selectively connecting the load or loads to one or several among a plurality of power lines or power sources for providing alternative feeding paths between load and source according to economic or energy efficiency considerations, e.g. economic dispatch
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Abstract

本发明公开计及驱动因素的配电网源‑储协同规划方法、系统、设备和介质,方法包括:S1、建立技术驱动因素、政策驱动因素和市场导向驱动因素的数学模型;S2、基于步骤S1建立的数学模型构建光储多阶段双层优化配置模型;所述光储多阶段双层优化配置模型包括上层的规划层和下层的运行层;规划层以配电网规划年限内总成本最低为目标,规划层的决策变量为光伏和储能选址定容;运行层以系统在总规划阶段内的有功损耗及节点电压偏移量最小为目标,运行层的决策变量为储能的调度策略;S3、采用粒子群算法求解光储多阶段双层优化配置模型,求解时考虑约束条件,得到最优解作为最优的配电网规划方案。本发明提升了新能源的利用率和规划方案的适应性。

The present invention discloses a distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, system, device and medium taking into account driving factors, and the method includes: S1, establishing a mathematical model of technical driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors; S2, constructing a multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model of photovoltaic storage based on the mathematical model established in step S1; the multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model of photovoltaic storage includes an upper planning layer and a lower operating layer; the planning layer takes the lowest total cost within the planning period of the distribution network as the goal, and the decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and capacity determination; the operating layer takes the lowest active power loss and node voltage offset of the system within the total planning stage as the goal, and the decision variables of the operating layer are the scheduling strategy of energy storage; S3, using a particle swarm algorithm to solve the multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model of photovoltaic storage, considering constraints when solving, and obtaining the optimal solution as the optimal distribution network planning scheme. The present invention improves the utilization rate of new energy and the adaptability of planning schemes.

Description

Power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, system, equipment and medium considering driving factors
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of power distribution network planning, in particular to a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, system, equipment and medium considering driving factors.
Background
The source storage location and volume determination is a process of optimizing and configuring addresses and capacities of a power generation source and an energy storage system in an electric power system, renewable energy sources can be utilized to the maximum extent through scientific location and accurate volume determination, dependence on fossil fuels is reduced, the energy storage system is added, the renewable energy sources can be integrated better, the problem of fluctuation of the power generation amount of new energy sources is solved, and the capacity of the power grid for absorbing the renewable energy sources is improved. Scientific power distribution network planning is an important ring of low-carbon power system construction, and source-storage characteristics and role characteristics are radically changed under the promotion of smart grid technology. At present, the research on the source storage site selection and volume fixation of the power distribution network is very in depth, but most of the existing researches are focused on system design and optimization under static conditions, and the form evolution of the power distribution network along with time and the influence of the form evolution on the source storage site selection and volume fixation are not considered. Therefore, the planning adaptability can be enhanced by considering the influence of morphological evolution in the planning stage of the power distribution network, and the method has great significance for the construction of a novel power system.
Disclosure of Invention
Aiming at the defects in the prior art, the invention provides a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method, a system, equipment and a medium considering driving factors. And the influence of the triple driving factors on the light-storage planning configuration of the power distribution network is researched by quantifying the technical progress, policy guidance and market guiding on the power distribution network planning in the aspect of economy.
In order to achieve the above purpose, the present invention adopts the following technical scheme:
a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method considering driving factors comprises the following steps:
S1, establishing a mathematical model of a technical driving factor, a policy driving factor and a market-oriented driving factor;
s2, constructing a light storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on the mathematical model established in the step S1, wherein the light storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model comprises an upper planning layer and a lower operation layer, the planning layer takes the minimum total cost in the planning period of the power distribution network as a target, and decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and volume determination;
and S3, solving the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model by adopting a particle swarm algorithm, and taking constraint conditions into consideration when solving to obtain an optimal solution as an optimal power distribution network planning scheme.
In order to optimize the technical scheme, the specific measures adopted further comprise:
further, the S1 is specifically S1.1, a mathematical model of a technical driving factor is established, and the method specifically comprises the following steps:
collecting the number of annual patent applications and the number of scientific papers published by each sub-technology, performing logarithmic curve fitting on the number of the annual patent applications and the number of the scientific papers published by each sub-technology to obtain a technology maturity curve, and further obtaining the technology maturity of each sub-technology;
Coupling the sub-technologies to obtain the technical maturity of the key technology;
S1.2, establishing a mathematical model of a policy driving factor, wherein the mathematical model is specifically as follows:
the calculation formula for building the photovoltaic power generation patch is as follows:
In the formula, The unit power generation patch of the photovoltaic in the stage T h is carried out; the photovoltaic unit power generation patch of the initial year is carried out; Backslide coefficients complementary to the photovoltaic power generation at stage T h; Backslide coefficients for supplementing photovoltaic power generation in a phase T h +delta T, wherein gamma is backslide coefficients in different phases, and delta T represents the number of planning phases;
s1.3, establishing a mathematical model of market-oriented driving factors, wherein the mathematical model is specifically as follows:
and predicting future change trend of photovoltaic and energy storage investment cost by adopting a cost learning curve, wherein the power function form of the cost learning curve is shown as the formula:
LR=1-2α
Wherein: investment cost for the equipment unit of the y-th year; The method comprises the steps of obtaining a unit investment cost of equipment in an initial year, obtaining an initial year installed capacity of the equipment by W 0, obtaining an accumulated installed capacity of the equipment in a y-th year by W y, obtaining a learning index by fitting historical data, and obtaining a learning rate by LR;
S1.4, coupling market-oriented driving factors and technical driving factors, and introducing technical maturity correction factors to correct a cost learning curve, wherein the formula of the corrected cost learning curve is as follows:
In the formula, Indicating the equipment investment cost of the modified y-th year,For the technology maturity correction factor in stage T h, the technology maturity coefficient is integratedObtained.
Further, in S2, the planning layer targets that the total cost of the power distribution network in the planning period is the lowest, and the objective function of the planning layer is as follows:
wherein, C Total represents the total cost in the planning period of the power distribution network, C invest represents the sum of the investment costs of the photovoltaic and the energy storage, and C operation is the sum of the operation and maintenance costs of the photovoltaic and the energy storage; c buy is the electricity purchasing cost of the system to the upper power grid;
In the formula, Representing the investment cost of the stored energy; Representing the investment cost of the photovoltaic;
In the formula, Is the unit installation cost of the photovoltaic,Is the unit installation cost of the energy storage capacity,The unit installation cost of the energy storage power is obtained by the corrected cost learning curve;
Photovoltaic installation capacity for node i within stage T h; And The method comprises the steps of setting energy storage capacity and power installation capacity of a node i in a stage T h, setting R as a fund recovery coefficient, setting R as a cash register, setting T h as a planning stage, setting omega pv as a photovoltaic installation point set, and setting omega ESS as an energy storage installation point set; representing a set of planning phases; Is a 0-1 decision variable when When the photovoltaic device is installed on the i node of the T h stage,When, representing that the photovoltaic equipment is not installed at the i node in the stage T h; a decision variable of 0-1 is used for indicating whether energy storage is installed at a node i in a stage T h;
C operation is the operation and maintenance cost of the system, expressed as:
In the formula, For the operational and maintenance costs of the photovoltaic,The photovoltaic only considers the operation and maintenance cost, and the energy storage also considers the replacement cost of the battery while considering the operation and maintenance cost, and the specific formula is as follows:
In the formula, Maintenance costs per unit capacity for photovoltaic at stage T h; the maintenance cost is the unit capacity of the energy storage in the stage T h;
Wherein, C t,buy is the electricity price at the time t, P t,buy is the main network purchase power at the time t; The photovoltaic power generation patch in the stage T h is carried out; Is the photovoltaic power at time T in phase T h.
Further, in S2, the operation layer targets that the active loss and the node voltage offset of the system in the overall planning stage are minimum, and the overall objective function of the operation layer is composed of a first sub objective function and a second sub objective function;
the expressions of the first sub-objective function and the second sub-objective function are as follows:
Wherein f 1 is a first sub-objective function of an operation layer, f 2 is a second sub-objective function of the operation layer, and P CL is the active loss of the system in a total planning stage; Active power at branch ij at time T in phase T h; Reactive power at branch ij at time T in phase T h; The voltage at a node i at T in a stage T h, r ij as a resistor at a line ij, U offest as a node voltage offset of the system in a total planning stage, N as the number of nodes, U k,min as the minimum rated voltage of a node k; the voltage amplitude of the k node at the moment T in the planning stage T h is set;
the overall objective function F of the run layer is:
Wherein ω 1 and ω 2 are the weighting coefficients of the system active loss and the node voltage offset, ω 12=1;f1 * and ω Is the sub objective function value after normalization processing.
Further, in S3, the constraint conditions comprise a power flow constraint condition, a power balance constraint condition, a node voltage constraint condition, a main network purchase power constraint condition, a photovoltaic installation capacity constraint condition, a photovoltaic active output constraint condition, a line capacity constraint condition, a multi-stage coordination constraint condition and an energy storage device constraint condition.
Further, the power flow constraint condition is:
Wherein: And The voltages of nodes i and j at the moment T in the planning stage T h are respectively; And Active power and reactive power of a node i in the planning stage T h respectively; For the voltage phase angle difference between nodes i and j at time T in the phase T h, G ij and B ij are respectively the conductance and susceptance of the branch ij, and omega Th,ij is the set of system nodes in the phase T h;
the power balance constraint conditions are as follows:
Wherein P t,buy is the main network purchase power at the time t, and P load,t is the power of the power distribution network at the time t; The output power of the photovoltaic at the moment T in the phase T h is obtained; To store the charge and discharge power at time T in the phase T h, Represents energy storage discharge; Representing energy storage charging;
the node voltage constraint conditions are as follows:
Wherein U min is the minimum voltage allowed during system operation; The voltages of the node i at the moment T in the planning stage T h are respectively, and U max is the maximum voltage allowed during the operation of the system;
the constraint conditions of the main network purchase power are as follows:
Pt,buy≥0
the photovoltaic installation capacity constraint conditions are as follows:
Photovoltaic installation capacity for node i within stage T h; Is the maximum photovoltaic installed quantity installable at the node i;
the photovoltaic active power output constraint conditions are as follows:
In the formula, Representing the photovoltaic output of node j; Photovoltaic installation capacity for node j within stage T h;
The line capacity constraint conditions are:
S ij,max is the capacity of the line ij; Active power at branch ij at time T in phase T h; Reactive power at branch ij at time T in phase T h;
The multi-stage coordination constraint conditions are:
When planning the photovoltaic and energy storage, the energy storage and the photovoltaic equipment capacity are constrained, and the formula is expressed as follows:
photovoltaic installation capacity for node i within stage T h -1; Photovoltaic installation capacity for node i within stage T h; for the energy storage capacity of node i within phase T h -1, The energy storage capacity of the node i in the phase T h;
The constraint conditions of the energy storage equipment are as follows:
Constraint conditions to be met when the energy storage device operates include charge and discharge constraint, residual capacity constraint and storage battery capacity constraint, and the formula is expressed as follows:
For maximum installed capacity of the energy storage device at the inode, AndThe energy storage charging and discharging state at the point T of the node i in the stage T h is 0-1 variable, whenWhen the energy storage device is in a charging state,When the energy storage device is in a non-charging state; when the energy storage device is in a discharge state, When the energy storage device is in a non-discharge state; The charging power at the moment T at the node i in the energy storage equipment stage T h; And The upper limit and the lower limit of the charging power at the node i in the stage T h are respectively; The discharge power at the moment T at the node i in the energy storage equipment stage T h; And The upper limit and the lower limit of the discharge power at the node i in the stage T h are respectively; the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the moment T at the node i in the stage T h; And Charging and discharging efficiency of the energy storage device at node i; rated capacity of the energy storage device for node i in stage T h; And The minimum and maximum proportions of the residual capacity of the energy storage equipment at the node i to the rated maximum capacity of the energy storage equipment are respectively; represents the energy storage operating state constraint at time T at node i in phase T h, Representing the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the moment T at the node i in the stage T h; the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the time T-1 at the node i in the stage T h is represented, and the delta T represents the charge and discharge time.
Further, the specific process of coupling the sub-technologies to obtain the technical maturity of the key technology is as follows:
obtaining a sub-technology maturity matrix T from the technology maturity of each sub-technology;
Wherein T n represents the technical maturity level of the nth sub-technology, and n is the number of sub-technologies;
Judging the integration relation among all the sub-technologies to obtain an integrated maturity matrix I;
wherein, I km represents the integration relationship between the kth sub-technology and the mth sub-technology;
normalizing the integrated maturity matrix I and the sub-technology maturity matrix T, and multiplying to obtain an integrated maturity grade matrix S;
wherein S k represents the integrated maturity level of the kth sub-technology;
the integrated maturity rating matrix S is normalized,
In the formula,And (3) representing the maturity coefficient of the integrated technology, wherein n k is the number of the sub-technologies with the integrated relation with the kth sub-technology, and n is the number of the sub-technologies.
The invention also provides a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning system considering driving factors, which comprises the following steps:
The driving factor modeling module is used for establishing mathematical models of technical driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors;
The optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model building module is used for building an optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on a mathematical model of a technical driving factor, a policy driving factor and a market guiding driving factor, wherein the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model comprises an upper planning layer and a lower running layer, the planning layer aims at the lowest total cost in the planning period of a power distribution network, decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and volume determination, the running layer aims at the minimum active loss and node voltage offset of the system in the total planning period, and decision variables of the running layer are energy storage scheduling strategies;
And the solving module is used for adopting a particle swarm algorithm to solve the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model, and taking constraint conditions into consideration when solving to obtain an optimal solution as an optimal power distribution network planning scheme.
The invention also provides electronic equipment, which comprises a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and capable of running on the processor, wherein the processor realizes the power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method considering driving factors when executing the computer program.
The invention also provides a computer readable storage medium storing a computer program for causing a computer to execute the power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method considering driving factors.
The beneficial effects of the invention are as follows:
The invention constructs a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method considering driving factors, and comprehensively considers three driving factors in the form evolution of a power system. I.e. technical progress, policy guidance, market guidance. The invention takes collaborative planning as a starting point, and establishes a photovoltaic-energy storage collaborative multi-stage double-layer planning model so as to realize overall planning of capacity expansion of a photovoltaic equipment installation and energy storage equipment construction. In the planning process, balance and economy between photovoltaic and energy storage are maintained, and economic indexes and technical indexes during system operation are fully considered. The economic indexes comprise investment cost of photovoltaic and energy storage, operation cost, and electricity purchasing cost of the photovoltaic power generation patch and system to the upper power grid. The technical index is the active loss of the system. And obtaining an optimal solution of the multi-stage planning model of the power distribution network by adopting a particle swarm algorithm, and obtaining an optimal planning scheme of the power distribution network. The utilization rate of new energy and the adaptability of a planning scheme are improved.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of the morphological evolution of a power distribution network;
FIG. 2 is a multi-stage optical storage dual-layer optimization configuration model.
Detailed Description
The invention will now be described in further detail with reference to the accompanying drawings.
Technological advances, policy guidance and market targeting have important effects on the planning of power distribution networks, and with the continuous development and updating of technology, equipment and systems of power distribution networks are also being continuously updated and upgraded. New technologies also offer more options and possibilities for power distribution network planning. The form evolution schematic diagram of the power distribution network is shown in fig. 1. Because of uncertainty and diversity of technical progress, the influence brought by the key technical progress of the power system is considered in the planning stage of the power distribution network, and the method has a strong supporting effect on the construction of a novel power system. At the same time, policy guidance and market targeting also play a positive role in facilitating distributed energy development, clean energy integration.
In an embodiment, the invention provides a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method considering driving factors, which comprises the following steps:
s1, establishing a mathematical model of a technical driving factor, a policy driving factor and a market guiding driving factor, wherein the mathematical model specifically comprises the following steps:
s1.1, establishing a mathematical model of a technical driving factor, wherein the mathematical model is specifically as follows:
For a key technology of an electric power system, there are a large number of sub-technologies, such as a photovoltaic power generation technology, and the related sub-technologies include a photovoltaic module technology, a photovoltaic array layout technology, a photovoltaic inverter technology, a photovoltaic power generation system management technology and the like. Collecting the number of past patent applications and the number of scientific papers published by each sub-technology, carrying out logarithmic curve fitting on the number of past patent applications and the number of scientific papers published by each sub-technology to obtain a technical maturity curve, and further obtaining the technical maturity of each sub-technology;
the sub-technologies are coupled to obtain the technical maturity of the key technology, and the specific process is as follows:
obtaining a sub-technology maturity matrix T from the technology maturity of each sub-technology;
Wherein T n represents the technical maturity level of the nth sub-technology, and n is the number of sub-technologies;
Judging the integration relation among the sub-technologies, comparing the patent applications of the two-by-two sub-technologies, and if the two sub-technologies do not overlap to obtain 0, acquiring corresponding values according to the overlapping degree if the two sub-technologies overlap to obtain 9, so as to obtain an integrated maturity matrix I;
wherein, I km represents the integration relationship between the kth sub-technology and the mth sub-technology;
normalizing the integrated maturity matrix I and the sub-technology maturity matrix T, and multiplying to obtain an integrated maturity grade matrix S;
wherein S k represents the integrated maturity level of the kth sub-technology;
the integrated maturity rating matrix S is normalized,
In the formula,The maturity coefficient of the integration technology is represented, n k is the number of the sub-technologies with the integration relation with the k sub-technology, n is the number of the sub-technologies, and the value range of S i is [0,1].
S1.2, establishing a mathematical model of a policy driving factor, wherein the policy driving factor plays an important role in promotion and support in power distribution network planning, namely, the policy guiding in the aspects of energy transformation, carbon neutralization and the like is embodied. But also shows policy incentives in aspects of financial subsidies, tax offers, service innovations and the like. In the method, photovoltaic and energy storage subsidy coefficients are selected as policy driving factors, excessive subsidy can bring financial pressure and surplus capacity, insufficient industrial development power can be caused by excessive subsidy, reasonable subsidy and step-out policies are researched, and sustainable development of a power distribution network can be promoted while the financial pressure is relieved. The method comprises the following steps:
the calculation formula for building the photovoltaic power generation patch is as follows:
In the formula, The unit power generation patch of the photovoltaic in the stage T h is carried out; the photovoltaic unit power generation patch of the initial year is carried out; Backslide coefficients complementary to the photovoltaic power generation at stage T h; Backslide coefficients for supplementing photovoltaic power generation in a phase T h +delta T, wherein gamma is backslide coefficients in different phases, and delta T represents the number of planning phases;
s1.3, establishing a mathematical model of market-oriented driving factors, wherein the typical expression form of the user market driving factors in power distribution network planning is to promote the continuous growth of renewable energy equipment and energy storage equipment. With the increasing demand for renewable energy at the user side, energy system optimization and enterprise transformation upgrades. The energy production can be continuously expanded at the supply end of the energy production source, and the installation quantity of the renewable energy source and the energy storage is increased. The low-carbon, high-efficiency and sustainable economic development is realized while the requirements of users are met. The method comprises the following steps:
And predicting future change trend of photovoltaic and energy storage investment cost by adopting a cost learning curve. The learning curve is an effective model for analyzing technical economy, which builds a mathematical expression based on the empirical relationship between accumulated yield and unit cost, and predicts future costs accordingly. The model reflects the reduced effect of learning, time and experience accumulation on production costs. At present, the progress of the technology is measured by a method of learning a curve generally in the world. The power function form of the cost learning curve is shown as follows:
LR=1-2α
Wherein: investment cost for the equipment unit of the y-th year; The method comprises the steps of determining a unit investment cost of equipment in an initial year, determining W 0 as initial year installed capacity of the equipment, determining W y as accumulated installed capacity of the equipment in a y-th year, determining alpha as learning index, fitting historical data to obtain a constant, wherein the constant is between (0 and 1), and determining LR as learning rate;
S1.4, coupling market-oriented driving factors and technical driving factors, and introducing technical maturity correction factors to correct a cost learning curve, wherein the formula of the corrected cost learning curve is as follows:
In the formula, Indicating the equipment investment cost of the modified y-th year,For the technology maturity correction factor in stage T h, the technology maturity coefficient is integratedThe value range is [0,1].
S2, constructing a light storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on the mathematical model established in the step S1, wherein a block diagram of the light storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model is shown in FIG. 2, the light storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model comprises an upper planning layer and a lower operation layer, the planning layer aims at the minimum total cost in the planning period of a power distribution network, decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and volume determination, the operation layer aims at the minimum active loss and node voltage offset of the system in the total planning stage, and decision variables of the operation layer are energy storage scheduling strategies, and the S2 specifically comprises:
s2.1, constructing a planning layer by taking the lowest total cost in the planning period of the power distribution network as a target, wherein the objective function of the planning layer is as follows:
Wherein, C invest represents the sum of investment costs of the photovoltaic and the energy storage, and C operation represents the sum of operation and maintenance costs of the photovoltaic and the energy storage; c buy is the electricity purchasing cost of the system to the upper power grid;
In the formula, Representing the investment cost of the stored energy; Representing the investment cost of the photovoltaic;
In the formula, Is the unit installation cost of the photovoltaic,Is the unit installation cost of the energy storage capacity,The unit installation cost of the energy storage power is obtained by the corrected cost learning curve;
Photovoltaic installation capacity for node i within stage T h; And The method comprises the steps of setting energy storage capacity and power installation capacity of a node i in a stage T h, setting R as a fund recovery coefficient, setting R as a cash register, setting T h as a planning stage, setting omega pv as a photovoltaic installation point set, and setting omega ESS as an energy storage installation point set; representing a set of planning phases; Is a 0-1 decision variable when When the photovoltaic device is installed on the i node of the T h stage,When, representing that the photovoltaic equipment is not installed at the i node in the stage T h; a decision variable of 0-1 is used for indicating whether energy storage is installed at a node i in a stage T h;
C operation is the operation and maintenance cost of the system, expressed as:
In the formula, For the operational and maintenance costs of the photovoltaic,The photovoltaic only considers the operation and maintenance cost, and the energy storage also considers the replacement cost of the battery while considering the operation and maintenance cost, and the specific formula is as follows:
In the formula, Maintenance costs per unit capacity for photovoltaic at stage T h; the maintenance cost is the unit capacity of the energy storage in the stage T h;
Wherein, C t,buy is the electricity price at the time t, P t,buy is the main network purchase power at the time t; The photovoltaic power generation patch in the stage T h is carried out; The photovoltaic power at the time T in the stage T h;
S2.2, the operation layer aims at the minimum active loss and node voltage offset of the system in the total planning stage, and the objective function is as follows:
Wherein f 1 is a first sub-objective function of an operation layer, f 2 is a second sub-objective function of the operation layer, and P CL is the active loss of the system in a total planning stage; Active power at branch ij at time T in phase T h; Reactive power at branch ij at time T in phase T h; The voltage at a node i at T in a stage T h, r ij as a resistor at a line ij, U offest as a node voltage offset of the system in a total planning stage, N as the number of nodes, U k,min as the minimum rated voltage of a node k; the voltage amplitude of the k node at the moment T in the planning stage T h is set;
Overall objective function of the run layer:
Wherein ω 1 and ω 2 are the weighting coefficients of the system active loss and the node voltage offset, ω 12=1;f1 * and ω Is the sub objective function value after normalization processing.
And S3, solving the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model by adopting a particle swarm algorithm, and taking constraint conditions into consideration when solving to obtain an optimal solution as an optimal power distribution network planning scheme.
The constraint conditions include:
(1) Tidal current constraint condition
Wherein: And The voltages of nodes i and j at the moment T in the planning stage T h are respectively; And Active power and reactive power of a node i in the planning stage T h respectively; Is the voltage phase angle difference between nodes i, j at time T in phase T h. G ij and B ij are the conductance, susceptance, respectively, of branch ij, Ω Th,ij is the set of system nodes within phase T h;
(2) Power balance constraint
Wherein P load,t is the power of the power distribution network at the time t; The output power of the photovoltaic at the moment T in the phase T h is obtained; To store the charge and discharge power at time T in the phase T h, Represents energy storage discharge; Representing energy storage charging;
(3) Node voltage constraint
Wherein U min is the minimum voltage allowed during system operation and U max is the maximum voltage allowed during system operation;
(4) Main network purchase electric power constraint
Pt,buy≥0
(5) Photovoltaic mounting capacity constraints
Is the maximum photovoltaic installed quantity installable at the node i;
(6) Photovoltaic active power output constraint
In the formula,Representing the photovoltaic output of node j;
(7) Line capacity constraints
S ij,max is the capacity of the line ij;
(8) Multi-stage coordination constraints
When planning the photovoltaic and the energy storage, the capacity of the energy storage and the photovoltaic equipment is constrained to ensure the engagement of the schemes in each stage, and the formula is expressed as follows:
(9) Energy storage device restraint
Constraint conditions to be met when the energy storage device operates include charge and discharge constraint, residual capacity constraint and storage battery capacity constraint, and the formula is expressed as follows:
Is the maximum installed capacity of the energy storage device at the inode. AndThe energy storage charging and discharging state at the point T of the node i in the stage T h is 0-1 variable, whenWhen the energy storage device is in a charging state,When the energy storage device is in a non-charging state; when the energy storage device is in a discharge state, When the energy storage device is in a non-discharge state; The charging power at the moment T at the node i in the energy storage equipment stage T h; And The upper limit and the lower limit of the charging power at the node i in the stage T h are respectively; The discharge power at the moment T at the node i in the energy storage equipment stage T h; And The upper limit and the lower limit of the discharge power at the node i in the stage T h are respectively; the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the moment T at the node i in the stage T h; And Charging and discharging efficiency of the energy storage device at node i; rated capacity of the energy storage device for node i in stage T h; And The minimum and maximum proportions of the residual capacity of the energy storage equipment at the node i to the rated maximum capacity of the energy storage equipment are respectively; represents the energy storage operating state constraint at time T at node i in phase T h, Representing the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the moment T at the node i in the stage T h; the residual electric quantity of the energy storage device in the time T-1 at the node i in the stage T h is represented, and the delta T represents the charge and discharge time.
In another embodiment, the present invention provides a power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning system accounting for driving factors corresponding to the method of the first embodiment, including:
The driving factor modeling module is used for establishing mathematical models of technical driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors;
The optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model building module is used for building an optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on a mathematical model of a technical driving factor, a policy driving factor and a market guiding driving factor, wherein the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model comprises an upper planning layer and a lower running layer, the planning layer aims at the lowest total cost in the planning period of a power distribution network, decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and volume determination, the running layer aims at the minimum active loss and node voltage offset of the system in the total planning period, and decision variables of the running layer are energy storage scheduling strategies;
And the solving module is used for adopting a particle swarm algorithm to solve the optical storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model, and taking constraint conditions into consideration when solving to obtain an optimal solution as an optimal power distribution network planning scheme.
The implementation manner of each module and the function of the module in the system are completely consistent with each step of the method in the first embodiment, so that a detailed description is omitted here.
In another embodiment, the invention provides an electronic device comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor, wherein the processor implements the power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method according to the first embodiment taking into account driving factors when executing the computer program.
In another embodiment, the present invention provides a computer readable storage medium storing a computer program for causing a computer to execute the power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method according to the first embodiment, wherein the power distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method includes a first storage device and a second storage device.
The method provided by the invention is subjected to simulation analysis by adopting an IEEE33 node system. The capacity of Shan Tai photovoltaic grid-connected power generation equipment is assumed to be 100KW, the upper limit of the capacity of a single node is 3MW, the capacity of a single energy storage equipment is 10KW (40 kwh), and in order to further study the planning method provided by the invention, the whole system is supplied by an upper power grid under the assumption that the system does not contain photovoltaic and energy storage equipment in the initial stage. The number of planning stages is 3, the stage growth rate of the load demand is 5% for 5 years as one planning stage, the electricity prices of each year are consistent, and the initial permeability of the photovoltaic and energy storage capacity is 0. The specific simulation model parameters are shown in table 1. The model is essentially a large-scale nonlinear programming model, and a Gurobi solver is adopted for optimization solving.
Because the output of the photovoltaic has stronger seasonal characteristics, the planning stage in the planning period is divided into two typical seasons of winter and summer according to seasons.
TABLE 1 model simulation parameters
The statistics of the installation capacity, number, net loss cost and investment operation cost of each device in each planning stage obtained finally are shown in table 2.
Table 2 planning results
As can be seen from table 2, the method according to the present invention is more prone to increase the installed photovoltaic amount in the first planning stage, while the installed photovoltaic amount gradually decreases in the second and third stages, but the total photovoltaic permeability continuously increases, with the decrease of the policy driving factors and the photovoltaic patch mechanism, taking into consideration the influence of the evolution driving factors. The energy storage loading is approximately the same in the three planning stages, but with the continuous development of technology, the energy storage cost is continuously reduced.
Through the analysis, the influence of the evolution driving factors of the power system in the power distribution network planning is considered, and the reasonable planning of the photovoltaic and the energy storage is realized.
In the disclosed embodiments, a computer storage medium may be a tangible medium that can contain, or store a program for use by or in connection with an instruction execution system, apparatus, or device. The computer storage medium may include, but is not limited to, an electronic, magnetic, optical, electromagnetic, infrared, or semiconductor system, apparatus, or device, or any suitable combination of the foregoing. More specific examples of a computer storage medium would include one or more wire-based electrical connections, a portable computer diskette, a hard disk, a Random Access Memory (RAM), a read-only memory (ROM), an erasable programmable read-only memory (EPROM or flash memory), an optical fiber, a portable compact disc read-only memory (CD-ROM), an optical storage device, a magnetic storage device, or any suitable combination of the foregoing.
Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that the various illustrative elements and algorithm steps described in connection with the embodiments disclosed herein may be implemented as electronic hardware or combinations of computer software and electronic hardware. Whether such functionality is implemented as hardware or software depends upon the particular application and design constraints imposed on the solution. Skilled artisans may implement the described functionality in varying ways for each particular application, but such implementation decisions should not be interpreted as causing a departure from the scope of the present application.
The above is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the above examples, and all technical solutions belonging to the concept of the present invention belong to the protection scope of the present invention. It should be noted that modifications and adaptations to the invention without departing from the principles thereof are intended to be within the scope of the invention as set forth in the following claims.

Claims (9)

1.一种计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,包括以下步骤:1. A distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking driving factors into account, characterized by comprising the following steps: S1、建立技术驱动因素、政策驱动因素和市场导向驱动因素的数学模型;S1具体为:S1.1、建立技术驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:S1. Establish a mathematical model of technology-driven factors, policy-driven factors and market-oriented driving factors; S1 is specifically as follows: S1.1. Establish a mathematical model of technology-driven factors; the details are as follows: 采用文献分析法收集电力系统关键技术的子技术,一项关键技术包括若干项子技术;收集各项子技术的历年专利申请数量及科技论文发表数量,将历年专利申请数量及科技论文发表数量进行对数曲线拟合,得到技术成熟度曲线,进而得到各项子技术的技术成熟度;The literature analysis method is used to collect sub-technologies of key technologies of power systems. A key technology includes several sub-technologies. The number of patent applications and scientific papers published over the years for each sub-technology is collected, and the number of patent applications and scientific papers published over the years are fitted with a logarithmic curve to obtain the technology maturity curve, and then the technology maturity of each sub-technology is obtained. 将子技术进行耦合,得到关键技术的技术成熟度;The sub-technologies are coupled to obtain the technical maturity of key technologies; S1.2、建立政策驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:S1.2. Establish a mathematical model of policy drivers; the details are as follows: 建立光伏发电补贴的计算公式如下:The calculation formula for establishing photovoltaic power generation subsidies is as follows: 式中,为光伏在阶段Th的单位发电补贴;为初始年的光伏单位发电补贴;为在阶段Th光伏发电补贴的退坡系数;为在阶段Th+Δt光伏发电补贴的退坡系数;Υ为不同阶段的退坡系数;Δt表示规划阶段数;In the formula, is the unit power generation subsidy of PV in stage T h ; Subsidy for PV unit electricity generation in the initial year; is the decline coefficient of photovoltaic power generation subsidy in stage T h ; is the decline coefficient of photovoltaic power generation subsidy in the stage T h +Δt; Υ is the decline coefficient in different stages; Δt represents the number of planning stages; S1.3、建立市场导向驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:S1.3. Establish a mathematical model of market-oriented driving factors; the details are as follows: 采用成本学习曲线来预测光伏及储能投资成本的未来变化趋势,成本学习曲线的幂函数形式如式所示:The cost learning curve is used to predict the future trend of photovoltaic and energy storage investment costs. The power function form of the cost learning curve is shown as follows: LR=1-2α LR=1-2 α 式中:为第y年的设备单位投资成本;为初始年设备单位投资成本;W0为设备的初始年装机容量;Wy为设备在第y年的累计装机容量,α为学习指数,由历史数据拟合而得,LR为学习率;Where: is the unit investment cost of equipment in year y; is the initial annual unit investment cost of the equipment; W0 is the initial annual installed capacity of the equipment; Wy is the cumulative installed capacity of the equipment in the yth year, α is the learning index, which is obtained by fitting historical data, and LR is the learning rate; S1.4、将市场导向驱动因素与技术驱动因素耦合,引入技术成熟度修正因子修正成本学习曲线,修正后的成本学习曲线的公式如下:S1.4. Couple the market-oriented driving factors with the technology-driven factors, introduce the technology maturity correction factor to correct the cost learning curve. The formula of the corrected cost learning curve is as follows: 式中,表示修正后的第y年的设备单位投资成本,为阶段Th内的技术成熟度修正因子,基于集成技术成熟度系数得到;In the formula, represents the revised unit investment cost of equipment in year y, is the technology maturity correction factor in stage T h , based on the integrated technology maturity coefficient get; S2、基于步骤S1建立的数学模型构建光储多阶段双层优化配置模型;所述光储多阶段双层优化配置模型包括上层的规划层和下层的运行层;规划层以配电网规划年限内总成本最低为目标,规划层的决策变量为光伏和储能选址定容;运行层以系统在总规划阶段内的有功损耗及节点电压偏移量最小为目标,运行层的决策变量为储能的调度策略;S2. Constructing a photovoltaic and energy storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on the mathematical model established in step S1; the photovoltaic and energy storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model includes an upper planning layer and a lower operation layer; the planning layer aims to minimize the total cost within the planning period of the distribution network, and the decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and capacity determination; the operation layer aims to minimize the active power loss and node voltage offset of the system within the total planning stage, and the decision variables of the operation layer are the scheduling strategy of energy storage; S3、采用粒子群算法求解光储多阶段双层优化配置模型,求解时考虑约束条件,得到最优解作为最优的配电网规划方案。S3. The particle swarm algorithm is used to solve the multi-stage two-layer optimization configuration model of photovoltaic storage. The constraints are taken into account when solving the model, and the optimal solution is obtained as the optimal distribution network planning scheme. 2.如权利要求1所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,S2中,所述规划层以配电网规划年限内总成本最低为目标,规划层的目标函数如下:2. The distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking driving factors into account according to claim 1 is characterized in that, in S2, the planning layer takes the lowest total cost within the planning period of the distribution network as the goal, and the objective function of the planning layer is as follows: 式中,CTotal表示配电网规划年限内总成本,Cinvest表示光伏和储能的投资成本之和;Coperation为光伏和储能的运维成本之和;为光伏的发电补贴;Cbuy为系统向上级电网的购电成本;In the formula, C Total represents the total cost of the distribution network within the planned life, C invest represents the sum of the investment costs of photovoltaic and energy storage; C operation is the sum of the operation and maintenance costs of photovoltaic and energy storage; is the power generation subsidy for photovoltaic power generation; Cbuy is the cost of purchasing electricity from the upper grid; 式中,表示储能的投资成本;表示光伏的投资成本;In the formula, represents the investment cost of energy storage; represents the investment cost of photovoltaics; 式中,为光伏的单位装机成本,为储能容量的单位装机成本,为储能功率的单位装机成本,三者由所述修正后的成本学习曲线获得;In the formula, is the unit installation cost of photovoltaic power, is the unit installed cost of energy storage capacity, is the unit installed cost of energy storage power, and the three are obtained from the modified cost learning curve; 为阶段Th内在节点i的光伏安装容量;为阶段Th内在节点i的储能容量及功率安装容量;R为资金回收系数;r为贴现率;Th表示规划阶段;Ωpv表示光伏的安装点集合;ΩESS表示储能的安装点集合;表示规划阶段的集合;为0-1决策变量,当时,代表在Th阶段i节点上安装光伏设备,时,代表在Th阶段不在i节点安装光伏设备;为0-1决策变量,表示阶段Th内在节点i是否安装储能;Year为设备的使用年限; is the PV installed capacity at node i in stage T h ; and is the energy storage capacity and power installation capacity of node i in stage Th ; R is the capital recovery coefficient; r is the discount rate; Th represents the planning stage; Ω pv represents the set of photovoltaic installation points; Ω ESS represents the set of energy storage installation points; represents a collection of planning stages; is a 0-1 decision variable. When , it means that photovoltaic equipment is installed on node i in stage T h . When , it means that photovoltaic equipment is not installed at node i in the T h stage; is a 0-1 decision variable, indicating whether energy storage is installed at node i in stage T h ; Year is the service life of the equipment; Coperation为系统的运维成本,表示为:C operation is the system operation and maintenance cost, expressed as: 式中,为光伏的运维成本,为储能的运维成本,其中,光伏仅考虑运行维护费用,储能在考虑运行维护费用的同时也考虑电池的更换费用,具体公式如下:In the formula, The operation and maintenance cost of photovoltaic power generation is is the operation and maintenance cost of energy storage. Among them, photovoltaic only considers the operation and maintenance cost, while energy storage considers the battery replacement cost while considering the operation and maintenance cost. The specific formula is as follows: 式中,为光伏在阶段Th的单位容量维护成本;为储能在阶段Th的单位容量维护成本;k为储能更换率;In the formula, is the unit capacity maintenance cost of PV in stage T h ; is the unit capacity maintenance cost of energy storage in stage T h ; k is the energy storage replacement rate; 式中,Ct,buy为t时刻的电价;Pt,buy为t时刻的主网购电功率;为阶段Th内的光伏发电补贴;为阶段Th内t时刻的光伏功率。Where, C t,buy is the electricity price at time t; P t,buy is the main grid purchased power at time t; is the photovoltaic power generation subsidy in stage T h ; is the photovoltaic power at time t in stage Th . 3.如权利要求1所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,S2中,所述运行层以系统在总规划阶段内的有功损耗及节点电压偏移量最小为目标,运行层的总目标函数由第一子目标函数和第二子目标函数组成;3. The distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors according to claim 1, characterized in that, in S2, the operation layer takes the minimum active power loss and node voltage offset of the system in the overall planning stage as the goal, and the overall objective function of the operation layer is composed of a first sub-objective function and a second sub-objective function; 所述第一子目标函数和第二子目标函数的表达式如下:The expressions of the first sub-objective function and the second sub-objective function are as follows: 式中,f1为运行层的第一子目标函数,f2为运行层的第二子目标函数,PCL为系统在总规划阶段内的有功损耗;为阶段Th内t时支路ij处的有功功率;为阶段Th内t时支路ij处的无功功率;为阶段Th内t时节点i处的电压;rij为线路ij处的电阻;Uoffest为系统在总规划阶段内的节点电压偏移量;N为节点数;Uk,min为节点k的最小额定电压;为规划阶段Th内t时刻的k节点的电压幅值;Where, f1 is the first sub-objective function of the operation layer, f2 is the second sub-objective function of the operation layer, and PCL is the active power loss of the system in the overall planning stage; is the active power at branch ij at time t in stage Th ; is the reactive power at branch ij at time t in stage Th ; is the voltage at node i at time t in stage T h ; r ij is the resistance at line ij; U offest is the node voltage offset of the system in the overall planning stage; N is the number of nodes; U k,min is the minimum rated voltage of node k; is the voltage amplitude of node k at time t in the planning stage T h ; 运行层的总目标函数F为:The overall objective function F of the operation layer is: 式中,ω1和ω2分别为系统有功损耗和节点电压偏移量的权重系数,ω12=1;为归一化处理后的子目标函数值。Wherein, ω 1 and ω 2 are the weight coefficients of system active power loss and node voltage offset, ω 12 =1; and is the normalized sub-objective function value. 4.如权利要求1所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,S3中,所述约束条件包括:潮流约束条件、功率平衡约束条件、节点电压约束条件、主网购电功率约束条件、光伏安装容量约束条件、光伏有功出力约束条件、线路容量约束条件、多阶段协调约束条件和储能设备约束条件。4. The distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors as described in claim 1 is characterized in that, in S3, the constraints include: flow constraints, power balance constraints, node voltage constraints, main network purchased power constraints, photovoltaic installation capacity constraints, photovoltaic active output constraints, line capacity constraints, multi-stage coordination constraints and energy storage equipment constraints. 5.如权利要求4所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,所述潮流约束条件为:5. The distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors according to claim 4, characterized in that the power flow constraint condition is: 式中:分别为规划阶段Th内t时刻节点i、j的电压;分别为规划阶段Th内节点i的有功和无功功率;为阶段Th内t时刻节点i、j之间的电压相角差,Gij和Bij分别为支路ij的电导、电纳;ΩTh,ij为阶段Th内的系统节点的集合;Where: and are the voltages of nodes i and j at time t in the planning stage T h ; and are the active and reactive power of node i in the planning stage T h respectively; is the voltage phase angle difference between nodes i and j at time t in stage Th , G ij and B ij are the conductance and susceptance of branch ij respectively; Ω Th,ij is the set of system nodes in stage Th ; 所述功率平衡约束条件为:The power balance constraint condition is: 式中,Pt,buy为t时刻的主网购电功率,Pload,t为配电网在t时刻的功率;为光伏在阶段Th内t时刻的输出功率;为储能在阶段Th内t时刻的充放电功率,代表储能放电;代表储能充电;Where, Pt,buy is the power purchased by the main grid at time t, and P load,t is the power of the distribution network at time t; is the output power of the photovoltaic power plant at time t in stage Th ; is the charging and discharging power of the energy storage at time t in the stage Th , represents the discharge of energy storage; Represents energy storage charging; 所述节点电压约束条件为:The node voltage constraint condition is: 式中;Umin为系统运行期间允许的最小电压;分别为规划阶段Th内t时刻节点i的电压,Umax为系统运行期间允许的最大电压;Where: U min is the minimum voltage allowed during system operation; are the voltage of node i at time t in the planning stage T h , and U max is the maximum voltage allowed during system operation; 所述主网购电功率约束条件为:The main grid power purchase constraint condition is: Pt,buy≥0Pt,buy≥0 所述光伏安装容量约束条件为:The photovoltaic installation capacity constraint condition is: 为阶段Th内在节点i的光伏安装容量;为在节点i处可安装的最大光伏装机量; is the PV installed capacity at node i in stage T h ; is the maximum photovoltaic capacity that can be installed at node i; 所述光伏有功出力约束条件为:The photovoltaic active output constraint condition is: 式中,表示节点j的光伏出力;为阶段Th内在节点j的光伏安装容量;In the formula, represents the photovoltaic output of node j; is the PV installed capacity at node j in stage T h ; 所述线路容量约束条件为:The line capacity constraint is: Sij,max为线路ij的容量;为阶段Th内t时支路ij处的有功功率;为阶段Th内t时支路ij处的无功功率;Sij,max is the capacity of line ij; is the active power at branch ij at time t in stage Th ; is the reactive power at branch ij at time t in stage T h ; 所述多阶段协调约束条件为:The multi-stage coordination constraints are: 在进行光伏和储能的规划时,对储能和光伏的设备容量进行约束,公式表达如下:When planning photovoltaic and energy storage, the capacity of energy storage and photovoltaic equipment is constrained. The formula is as follows: 为阶段Th-1内在节点i的光伏安装容量;为阶段Th内在节点i的光伏安装容量;为阶段Th-1内在节点i的储能容量,为阶段Th内在节点i的储能容量; is the PV installed capacity of node i in stage T h -1; is the PV installed capacity at node i in stage T h ; is the energy storage capacity of node i in stage Th -1, is the energy storage capacity at node i in stage T h ; 所述储能设备约束条件为:The energy storage device constraints are: 储能设备运行时需要满足的约束条件包括充放电约束、剩余容量约束和蓄电池容量约束,公式表达如下:The constraints that need to be met during the operation of energy storage equipment include charging and discharging constraints, remaining capacity constraints, and battery capacity constraints. The formula is as follows: 为储能设备在i节点的最大安装容量,为阶段Th内节点i处t时刻的储能充电和放电状态,为0-1变量,当时,储能设备处于充电状态,时,储能设备处于非充电状态;时,储能设备处于放电状态,时,储能设备处于非放电状态;为储能设备阶段Th内节点i处t时刻的充电功率;分别为阶段Th内节点i处充电功率的上限和下限;为储能设备阶段Th内节点i处t时刻的放电功率;分别为阶段Th内节点i处放电功率的上限和下限;为阶段Th内节点i处t时刻内储能设备的剩余电量;为节点i处的储能设备的充电及放电效率;为阶段Th内节点i的储能设备的额定容量;分别为节点i处的储能设备剩余容量占其额定最大容量的最小、最大比例;表示阶段Th内节点i处t时刻的储能运行状态约束,表示阶段Th内节点i处t时刻内储能设备的剩余电量;表示阶段Th内节点i处t-1时刻内储能设备的剩余电量,Δt表示充放电时间。 is the maximum installed capacity of the energy storage device at the i-node, and is the energy storage charging and discharging state at node i at time t in stage Th , which is a 0-1 variable. When the energy storage device is in charging state, When , the energy storage device is in a non-charging state; When the energy storage device is in the discharge state, When , the energy storage device is in a non-discharging state; is the charging power at node i at time t in the energy storage device stage T h ; and are the upper and lower limits of the charging power at node i in stage Th respectively; is the discharge power at node i at time t in the energy storage device stage T h ; and are the upper and lower limits of the discharge power at node i in stage Th respectively; is the remaining power of the energy storage device at node i at time t in stage Th ; and is the charging and discharging efficiency of the energy storage device at node i; is the rated capacity of the energy storage device at node i in stage T h ; and are the minimum and maximum proportions of the remaining capacity of the energy storage device at node i to its rated maximum capacity; represents the energy storage operation state constraint at node i at time t in stage Th , Represents the remaining power of the energy storage device at node i at time t in stage T h ; It represents the remaining capacity of the energy storage device at node i at time t-1 in stage Th , and Δt represents the charging and discharging time. 6.如权利要求1所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法,其特征在于,所述将子技术进行耦合,得到关键技术的技术成熟度的具体过程为:6. The distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors according to claim 1, characterized in that the specific process of coupling the sub-technologies to obtain the technical maturity of the key technology is: 由各项子技术的技术成熟度得到子技术成熟度矩阵T;The sub-technology maturity matrix T is obtained from the technology maturity of each sub-technology; 式中,Tn表示第n项子技术的技术成熟度等级,n为子技术的个数;In the formula, Tn represents the technology maturity level of the nth sub-technology, and n is the number of sub-technology; 判断各项子技术之间的集成关系,得到集成成熟度矩阵I;Determine the integration relationship between each sub-technology and obtain the integration maturity matrix I; 式中,Ikm表示第k项子技术与第m项子技术之间的集成关系;In the formula, I km represents the integration relationship between the k-th sub-technology and the m-th sub-technology; 将集成成熟度矩阵I与子技术成熟度矩阵T归一化后相乘得到集成成熟度等级矩阵S;Normalize the integration maturity matrix I and the sub-technology maturity matrix T and then multiply them to get the integration maturity level matrix S; 式中,Sk表示第k项子技术的集成成熟度等级;In the formula, S k represents the integration maturity level of the kth sub-technology; 对集成成熟度等级矩阵S进行标准化,Standardize the integration maturity level matrix S, 式中,S表示集成技术成熟度系数,nk为与第k项子技术有集成关系的子技术个数,n为子技术的个数。Where S represents the integration technology maturity coefficient, n k is the number of sub-technologies that have an integration relationship with the kth sub-technology, and n is the number of sub-technologies. 7.一种计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划系统,其特征在于,包括:7. A distribution network source-storage collaborative planning system taking driving factors into account, characterized by comprising: 驱动因素建模模块,用于建立技术驱动因素、政策驱动因素和市场导向驱动因素的数学模型;所述建立技术驱动因素、政策驱动因素和市场导向驱动因素的数学模型具体包括:S1.1、建立技术驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:The driving factor modeling module is used to establish mathematical models of technology driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors; the mathematical models of technology driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors are specifically established as follows: S1.1, establishing a mathematical model of technology driving factors; specifically as follows: 采用文献分析法收集电力系统关键技术的子技术,一项关键技术包括若干项子技术;收集各项子技术的历年专利申请数量及科技论文发表数量,将历年专利申请数量及科技论文发表数量进行对数曲线拟合,得到技术成熟度曲线,进而得到各项子技术的技术成熟度;The literature analysis method is used to collect sub-technologies of key technologies of power systems. A key technology includes several sub-technologies. The number of patent applications and scientific papers published over the years for each sub-technology is collected, and the number of patent applications and scientific papers published over the years are fitted with a logarithmic curve to obtain the technology maturity curve, and then the technology maturity of each sub-technology is obtained. 将子技术进行耦合,得到关键技术的技术成熟度;The sub-technologies are coupled to obtain the technical maturity of key technologies; S1.2、建立政策驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:S1.2. Establish a mathematical model of policy drivers; the details are as follows: 建立光伏发电补贴的计算公式如下:The calculation formula for establishing photovoltaic power generation subsidies is as follows: 式中,为光伏在阶段Th的单位发电补贴;为初始年的光伏单位发电补贴;为在阶段Th光伏发电补贴的退坡系数;为在阶段Th+Δt光伏发电补贴的退坡系数;Υ为不同阶段的退坡系数;Δt表示规划阶段数;In the formula, is the unit power generation subsidy of PV in stage T h ; Subsidy for PV unit electricity generation in the initial year; is the decline coefficient of photovoltaic power generation subsidy in stage T h ; is the decline coefficient of photovoltaic power generation subsidy in the stage T h +Δt; Υ is the decline coefficient in different stages; Δt represents the number of planning stages; S1.3、建立市场导向驱动因素的数学模型;具体如下:S1.3. Establish a mathematical model of market-oriented driving factors; the details are as follows: 采用成本学习曲线来预测光伏及储能投资成本的未来变化趋势,成本学习曲线的幂函数形式如式所示:The cost learning curve is used to predict the future trend of photovoltaic and energy storage investment costs. The power function form of the cost learning curve is shown as follows: LR=1-2α LR=1-2 α 式中:为第y年的设备单位投资成本;为初始年设备单位投资成本;W0为设备的初始年装机容量;Wy为设备在第y年的累计装机容量,α为学习指数,由历史数据拟合而得,LR为学习率;Where: is the unit investment cost of equipment in year y; is the initial annual unit investment cost of the equipment; W0 is the initial annual installed capacity of the equipment; Wy is the cumulative installed capacity of the equipment in the yth year, α is the learning index, which is obtained by fitting historical data, and LR is the learning rate; S1.4、将市场导向驱动因素与技术驱动因素耦合,引入技术成熟度修正因子修正成本学习曲线,修正后的成本学习曲线的公式如下:S1.4. Couple the market-oriented driving factors with the technology-driven factors, introduce the technology maturity correction factor to correct the cost learning curve. The formula of the corrected cost learning curve is as follows: 式中,表示修正后的第y年的设备单位投资成本,为阶段Th内的技术成熟度修正因子,基于集成技术成熟度系数S得到;光储多阶段双层优化配置模型建立模块,用于基于技术驱动因素、政策驱动因素和市场导向驱动因素的数学模型构建光储多阶段双层优化配置模型;所述光储多阶段双层优化配置模型包括上层的规划层和下层的运行层;规划层以配电网规划年限内总成本最低为目标,规划层的决策变量为光伏和储能选址定容;运行层以系统在总规划阶段内的有功损耗及节点电压偏移量最小为目标,运行层的决策变量为储能的调度策略;In the formula, represents the revised unit investment cost of equipment in year y, is the technology maturity correction factor within the stage Th , obtained based on the integrated technology maturity coefficient S; a photovoltaic storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model establishment module is used to construct a photovoltaic storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model based on a mathematical model of technology driving factors, policy driving factors and market-oriented driving factors; the photovoltaic storage multi-stage double-layer optimization configuration model includes an upper planning layer and a lower operation layer; the planning layer aims to minimize the total cost within the planning period of the distribution network, and the decision variables of the planning layer are photovoltaic and energy storage site selection and capacity determination; the operation layer aims to minimize the active power loss and node voltage offset of the system within the total planning stage, and the decision variables of the operation layer are the scheduling strategy of energy storage; 求解模块,用于采用粒子群算法求解光储多阶段双层优化配置模型,求解时考虑约束条件,得到最优解作为最优的配电网规划方案。The solution module is used to solve the multi-stage two-layer optimization configuration model of photovoltaic storage using a particle swarm algorithm, taking constraints into account when solving the problem, and obtaining the optimal solution as the optimal distribution network planning solution. 8.一种电子设备,其特征在于,包括:存储器、处理器及存储在存储器上并可在处理器上运行的计算机程序,所述处理器执行计算机程序时,实现如权利要求1-6任一项所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法。8. An electronic device, characterized in that it comprises: a memory, a processor, and a computer program stored in the memory and executable on the processor, wherein when the processor executes the computer program, it implements the distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors as described in any one of claims 1-6. 9.一种计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于:存储有计算机程序,所述计算机程序使计算机执行如权利要求1-6任一项所述的计及驱动因素的配电网源-储协同规划方法。9. A computer-readable storage medium, characterized in that: a computer program is stored therein, and the computer program enables a computer to execute the distribution network source-storage collaborative planning method taking into account driving factors as described in any one of claims 1 to 6.
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