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CN117114621A - Hydrogen production cost analysis method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium - Google Patents

Hydrogen production cost analysis method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium Download PDF

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CN117114621A
CN117114621A CN202311167466.6A CN202311167466A CN117114621A CN 117114621 A CN117114621 A CN 117114621A CN 202311167466 A CN202311167466 A CN 202311167466A CN 117114621 A CN117114621 A CN 117114621A
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cost
hydrogen production
production system
hydrogen
initial investment
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任俊
张亚楠
黄泽武
李万军
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Xi'an Longji Hydrogen Energy Technology Co ltd
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Xi'an Longji Hydrogen Energy Technology Co ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/04Manufacturing

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Abstract

The embodiment of the application provides a hydrogen production cost analysis method, a hydrogen production cost analysis device, electronic equipment and a storage medium. The hydrogen production cost analysis method comprises the following steps: acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters. In the embodiment of the application, the initial investment cost and the operation cost corresponding to the hydrogen production system can represent the cost generated in the hydrogen production process, and the hydrogen production cost is obtained by comprehensive calculation based on the cost, so that the analysis result of the hydrogen production cost is more accurate and comprehensive.

Description

Hydrogen production cost analysis method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium
Technical Field
The application relates to the technical field of energy, in particular to a hydrogen production cost analysis method, a hydrogen production cost analysis device, electronic equipment and a storage medium.
Background
The water electrolysis hydrogen production refers to the electrolysis of water into hydrogen and oxygen under the action of electricity, and has important application in the field of hydrogen production.
Various costs are incurred in the hydrogen production process of the hydrogen production system, and thus the hydrogen production system is pursued with the aim of minimizing the hydrogen production cost as much as possible. However, no standard definition and formula exists in the current industry for the hydrogen production cost, and each user usually performs hydrogen production cost analysis according to own service range and service understanding. However, due to the difference between cognition and expertise, hydrogen production cost analysis is often not considered fully enough in many cases, resulting in poor accuracy of the hydrogen production cost analysis results.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of the above problems, the embodiments of the present application provide a method, an apparatus, an electronic device, and a storage medium for analyzing hydrogen production cost more accurately.
According to an aspect of an embodiment of the present application, there is provided a hydrogen production cost analysis method including: acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
Optionally, acquiring the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system includes: acquiring basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the basic initial investment cost as the initial investment cost; or, acquiring the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost as the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the basic initial investment cost includes at least one of equipment initial investment cost, factory initial investment cost, land initial investment cost, and additional initial investment cost.
Optionally, in the case that the external module initial investment cost exists, the external module initial investment cost includes at least one of a storage and transportation module initial investment cost and a downstream application module initial investment cost.
Optionally, the operation cost includes a basic operation cost, or the operation cost includes a basic operation cost and a non-business tax.
Optionally, if the hydrogen production system employs renewable energy or grid electricity as the energy supply, obtaining the basic operating cost of the hydrogen production system includes: acquiring the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a first sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost, and determining a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the first sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a second sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost, and determining a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the second sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, if the hydrogen production system employs electricity as the energy supply, obtaining the basic operating cost of the hydrogen production system includes: acquiring production cost, operation and maintenance cost and carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a third sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the third sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a fourth sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a fourth difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the fourth sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, obtaining the production cost of the hydrogen production system includes: acquiring hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system; calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption; and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption.
Optionally, acquiring the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system includes: acquiring a carbon emission step coefficient, a carbon emission price and a grid electricity carbon emission factor; and calculating the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system based on the carbon emission step coefficient, the carbon emission price and the net electricity carbon emission factor.
Optionally, calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters includes: calculating the operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost and the hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost and the hydrogen discount yield.
Optionally, the project parameters further comprise residual value; obtaining residual values for the hydrogen production system includes: obtaining the residual value depreciation rate of the hydrogen production system; the residual value is calculated based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the project parameters further comprise residual value; based on the project parameters, calculating a hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system, comprising: calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost, residual discount value corresponding to the residual value and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the ratio of the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost, the residual discount value and the hydrogen discount yield.
According to another aspect of an embodiment of the present application, there is provided a hydrogen production cost analysis apparatus including: the acquisition module is used for acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield; and the calculation module is used for calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
Optionally, the acquiring module includes: a first acquisition unit configured to acquire a basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determine the basic initial investment cost as the initial investment cost; or, acquiring the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost as the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the basic initial investment cost includes at least one of equipment initial investment cost, factory initial investment cost, land initial investment cost, and additional initial investment cost.
Optionally, in the case that the external module initial investment cost exists, the external module initial investment cost includes at least one of a storage and transportation module initial investment cost and a downstream application module initial investment cost.
Optionally, the operation cost includes a basic operation cost, or the operation cost includes a basic operation cost and a non-business tax.
Optionally, the acquiring module includes: the second acquisition unit is used for acquiring the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system when the hydrogen production system adopts renewable energy or network electricity as energy supply, and determining the sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a first sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost, and determining a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the first sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a second sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost, and determining a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the second sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, the acquiring module includes: a third obtaining unit, configured to obtain, when the hydrogen production system uses electricity as energy supply, a production cost, an operation and maintenance cost, and a carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determine a sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a third sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the third sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a fourth sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a fourth difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the fourth sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, the second acquisition unit includes: the first information acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system; the first cost calculation subunit is used for calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption, and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption.
Optionally, the third obtaining unit includes: a second information acquisition subunit for acquiring a carbon emission step factor, a carbon emission price and a grid electricity carbon emission factor; and a second cost calculation subunit, configured to calculate a carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system based on the carbon emission step factor, the carbon emission price, and the grid electricity carbon emission factor.
Optionally, the computing module includes: the first calculation unit is used for calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating a fifth sum of the initial investment cost and the operation discount cost, and determining the ratio of the fifth sum to the hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
Optionally, the project parameter further includes a residual value, and the obtaining module includes: a fourth obtaining unit, configured to obtain a residual value depreciation rate of the hydrogen production system; the residual value is calculated based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the project parameter further includes a residual value, and the calculation module includes: the second calculation unit is used for calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost, residual discount value corresponding to the residual value and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating a sixth sum of the initial investment cost and the operation discount cost, calculating a fifth difference value between the sixth sum and the residual discount value, and determining the ratio of the fifth difference value to the hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
According to another aspect of an embodiment of the present application, there is provided an electronic apparatus including: one or more processors; and one or more computer-readable storage media having instructions stored thereon; the instructions, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the processors to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method as described in any one of the above.
According to another aspect of embodiments of the present application, there is provided a computer-readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which, when executed by a processor, causes the processor to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method as described in any one of the above.
In the embodiment of the application, the project parameters of the hydrogen production system are obtained, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield, and then the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system is calculated based on the project parameters. In the embodiment of the application, the initial investment cost and the operation cost corresponding to the hydrogen production system can represent the cost generated in the hydrogen production process, and the hydrogen production cost is obtained by comprehensive calculation based on the cost, so that the analysis result of the hydrogen production cost is more accurate and comprehensive.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present application, the drawings that are needed in the description of the embodiments of the present application will be briefly described below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some drawings of the present application, and other drawings may be obtained according to these drawings without inventive effort for a person skilled in the art.
FIG. 1 is a system architecture diagram of a hydrogen production cost analysis in accordance with an embodiment of the present application.
FIG. 2 is a flow chart of a hydrogen production cost analysis method according to an embodiment of the present application.
FIG. 3 is a flow chart of another method of hydrogen production cost analysis according to an embodiment of the present application.
FIG. 4 is a block diagram of a hydrogen production cost analysis device according to an embodiment of the present application.
Fig. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to an embodiment of the present application.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions of the embodiments of the present application will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present application, and it is apparent that the described embodiments are only some embodiments of the present application, not all embodiments of the present application. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the application without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the application.
Currently, no standard definition and formula exist for the hydrogen production cost in the industry, and each user usually performs hydrogen production cost analysis according to own service range and service understanding. However, due to differences in cognition and expertise, hydrogen production cost analysis is often not considered comprehensive enough in many cases, for example, omission of some key influencing factors, or failure to analyze hydrogen production cost at a depth level sufficiently, and so on.
In addition, the current hydrogen production cost analysis mostly considers stable net electricity as energy supply. However, with the advent of the green-to-green hydrogen age supplied by renewable energy as an energy source, the hydrogen production cost analysis system has also, overall, the following problems:
(1) The hydrogen production cost analysis process does not incorporate carbon emission factors, and the advantages of green hydrogen cannot be fully displayed, so that the trend of future hydrogen production development is reflected;
(2) The performance change condition of the electrolytic tank in the whole life cycle of hydrogen production, namely the attenuation of yield or energy consumption, is not considered in the hydrogen production cost analysis process;
(3) The hydrogen production cost analysis process is not extensible, and partial modules cannot be incorporated into a unified analysis system when combined with upstream and downstream;
(4) The value of the byproduct oxygen is ignored in the analysis process of the hydrogen production cost, and the influence of the byproduct on the hydrogen production cost is not considered.
Aiming at the problems, the embodiment of the application provides a unified and standardized hydrogen production cost analysis method, which brings parameters in multiple dimensions into a normalized analysis standard and establishes a mature hydrogen production cost analysis system. And will be described in detail below.
Referring to FIG. 1, a system architecture diagram for hydrogen production cost analysis is shown in accordance with an embodiment of the present application.
As shown in fig. 1, an LCOH (Levelized cost of hydrogen, normalized hydrogen cost, a measure of the integrated cost per unit of hydrogen production normalized) analysis model may be included in the hydrogen production cost analysis system. The LCOH analysis model may include analysis of the hydrogen production link itself modules, such as initial investment costs, operating costs (which may include basic operating costs, non-business tax, etc.), project residuals, hydrogen production, and the like. The LCOH analysis model can be used for executing the hydrogen production cost analysis method of the embodiment of the application.
As shown in fig. 1, an interface extending the hydrogen production link may be further provided in the hydrogen production cost analysis system, and the system may be connected to an external module such as an energy supply side module, a storage and transportation module (the storage and transportation module may be a hydrogen/oxygen storage and transportation module specifically), a carbon transaction calculation module, a downstream application module (the downstream application module may be a downstream chemical application module, such as an ammonia synthesis module, etc.), and these external modules may be used as supplements for comprehensive hydrogen energy project generalized hydrogen production cost analysis using hydrogen production as a main body.
Referring to FIG. 2, a flow chart of a hydrogen production cost analysis method of an embodiment of the present application is shown.
As shown in fig. 2, the hydrogen production cost analysis method may include the steps of:
in step 201, project parameters of the hydrogen production system are obtained, including initial investment cost, operating cost, and hydrogen production.
Project parameters of the hydrogen production system can be obtained according to project feasibility research reports of the hydrogen production system. In embodiments of the application, project parameters of the hydrogen production system may include, but are not limited to, initial investment costs, operating costs, hydrogen production, and the like.
In an alternative embodiment, if only the own module of the hydrogen production link of the hydrogen production system is considered and the external module of the hydrogen production link is not considered, the process of obtaining the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system as the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system.
The basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system may be approximately equivalent to CAPEX (Capital Expenditure ). Illustratively, the basic initial investment costs of the hydrogen production system may include, but are not limited to, at least one of: equipment initial investment costs, plant initial investment costs, land initial investment costs, additional initial investment costs (additional initial investment costs may be other disposable capital expenditures in addition to equipment, plants, land), and the like. The initial investment cost of the equipment, the initial investment cost of the factory building, the initial investment cost of the land and the additional initial investment cost can be obtained from project feasibility research reports.
In this case, initial investment cost I of Hydrogen production System 0 The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
I 0 =I apparatus and method for controlling the operation of a device +I Factory building +I Land +I Others
Wherein I is Apparatus and method for controlling the operation of a device Indicating the initial investment cost of the equipment, I Factory building Representing the initial investment cost of the factory building, I Land Representing the initial investment cost of the land, I Others Representing additional initial investment costs. The range of the values of the parameters can be 1-1000000 ten thousand yuan.
In an alternative embodiment, if an external module is required to be connected to the hydrogen production link due to project requirements, in this case, both the self module of the hydrogen production link and the external module of the hydrogen production link of the hydrogen production system are considered, the process of obtaining the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system may include: acquiring the basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system and the initial investment cost of an external module of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system and the initial investment cost of the external module of the hydrogen production system as the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system. The method further considers the access of the external module and the upstream and downstream ring joints, so that the hydrogen production analysis method can be applied in wider dimension.
Illustratively, the external module initial investment cost may include, but is not limited to, at least one of: initial investment costs for the storage and transportation module, initial investment costs for the downstream application module, etc. The initial investment cost of the storage and transportation module and the initial investment cost of the downstream application module can be obtained from project feasibility research reports.
In this case, initial investment cost I of Hydrogen production System 0 The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
I 0 =I apparatus and method for controlling the operation of a device +I Factory building +I Land +I Others +(I Storage and transportation +I Downstream application )
Wherein I is Apparatus and method for controlling the operation of a device Indicating the initial investment cost of the equipment, I Factory building Representing the initial investment cost of the factory building, I Land Representing the initial investment cost of the land, I Others Representing additional initial investment costs, I Storage and transportation Indicating the initial investment cost of the storage and transportation module, I Downstream application Representing the initial investment costs of the downstream application modules. The range of the values of the parameters can be 1-1000000 ten thousand yuan.
It should be noted that if a bank loan exists in an item of the hydrogen production system, both the own funds and the bank loan principal should be charged into the basic initial investment cost.
In an alternative embodiment, the operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include the underlying operating costs of the hydrogen production system.
It should be noted that the operation cost of the hydrogen production system may include an operation cost of the hydrogen production system per sub-cycle within a preset total operation period of the hydrogen production system. Accordingly, the basic operational costs of the hydrogen production system may include the basic operational costs of each sub-cycle hydrogen production system within the total operational cycle of the hydrogen production system. Specific values of the total operation period and the sub-period can be set according to actual project requirements, and the embodiment of the application is not limited to this. For example, if the total operating period is n years, it may be one sub-period every 1 year, and so on.
In an alternative embodiment, the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system may be obtained in the same manner regardless of whether the hydrogen production system uses renewable energy or grid electricity as the energy supply, regardless of the carbon emissions generated by the hydrogen production system using grid electricity as the energy supply. Among other renewable energy sources, may include, but are not limited to, photovoltaic, wind, hydraulic, and the like.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining a basic operating cost for the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the production cost of the hydrogen production system and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, and the sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
Illustratively, the production costs of the hydrogen production system may include, but are not limited to, at least one of: electricity costs, water costs, lye costs, consumable costs, additional production costs, and the like. The operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include, but are not limited to, at least one of: labor costs, maintenance costs, tool costs, insurance costs, additional operation and maintenance costs, and the like.
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses renewable energy as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C green power ×q Hydrogen production +C Green power ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others ) t
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses electricity from the grid as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others ) t
In the above formula, C Green power Renewable energy power generation LCOE (Levelized cost of energy, normalized electricity cost for measuring the integrated cost per unit power generation) representing the t th sub-period, C Net electricity Network electricity price representing the t-th sub-period, q Hydrogen production Represents hydrogen production electricity consumption of the t th subcycle, q Auxiliary device Representing the auxiliary power consumption of the t-th sub-period. C (C) Green power ×q Hydrogen production +C Green power ×q Auxiliary device And C Net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device Representing the electricity costs of the t th sub-period. C (C) Water cost Representing the water cost of the t th sub-period, C Lye Representing the cost of lye for the t th sub-period, C Consumable material Representing consumable cost of the t th subcycle, C Others Representing the additional production cost of the t th sub-period (i.e., the total cost of production other than the above production cost, which may include the cost of production of the external module), M Manual work Representing the labor cost of the t th subcycle, M Maintenance of Represents maintenance cost of the t th sub-period, M Tool for cutting tools Representing tool cost for the t th sub-period, M Safety device Representing the insurance cost of the t th subcycle, M Others Representing additional operational costs for the t-th sub-period (i.e., in addition to the operational costs described aboveAnd may include the operating costs of the external module). The parameters C Green power The value range can be 0.01-5, C Net electricity The value range can be 0.1-10, and the value range of the other parameters can be 1-100000 ten thousand yuan.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining a basic operating cost for the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost as the basic operation cost. The method further considers the fund cost of loans and the like, and can more objectively reflect the technical and economic level of projects.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, and the sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses renewable energy as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C green power ×q Hydrogen production +C Green power ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR) t
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses electricity from the grid as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR) t
In the above formula, LR represents the loan cost (i.e., loan interest) of the t-th sub-period, and the meaning of other parameters is just described with reference to the above related description.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining a basic operating cost for the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a first sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost, and determining a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the first sum as the basic operation cost. The method further considers the value of the by-product oxygen, and can further reduce the hydrogen production LCOH and improve the analysis precision.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, a first sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is calculated, and a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle from the first sum is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses renewable energy as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C green power ×q Hydrogen production +C Green power ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others -C Oxygen gas ) t
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses electricity from the grid as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others -C Oxygen gas ) t
In the above formula, C Oxygen gas Indicating the value of the byproduct oxygen (i.e., the total gain in byproduct oxygen) for the t-th sub-period, and other parameters may be as described above with reference to the relevant descriptions.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining a basic operating cost for the hydrogen production system may include: and obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a second sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost, and determining a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the second sum as the basic operation cost.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, a second sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is calculated, and a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle from the second sum is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses renewable energy as the energy supply,basic operating cost OPEX of the t-th sub-period (e.g., t-th year of the total operating period) hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C green power ×q Hydrogen production +C Green power ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR-C Oxygen gas ) t
In this case, if the hydrogen production system uses electricity from the grid as the energy supply, then the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR-C Oxygen gas ) t
The meaning of each parameter in the above formula is as described above with reference to the relevant description.
In an alternative embodiment, where the hydrogen production system employs grid electricity as the energy source supply, carbon trade costs may also be added in the process of deriving the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system, taking into account the carbon emissions generated by the hydrogen production system. In the method, direct and indirect carbon emission are further considered, the influence of carbon transaction cost brought by network electricity supply is considered, and the accuracy of hydrogen production cost analysis is higher.
By way of example, where the hydrogen production system employs electricity from a grid as an energy supply, the process of obtaining the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, and the sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +C Carbon tax ) t
In the above formula, C Carbon tax Representing the carbon trade cost for the t-th sub-period, the meaning of the other parameters is as described above with reference to the relevant description.
By way of example, where the hydrogen production system employs electricity from a grid as an energy supply, the process of obtaining the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include: and acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system, the loan cost of the hydrogen production system and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system are obtained, and the sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system, the loan cost of the hydrogen production system and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system.
In this case, the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR+C Carbon tax ) t
In the above formula, the meaning of each parameter is described with reference to the above related description.
By way of example, where the hydrogen production system employs electricity from a grid as an energy supply, the process of obtaining the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include: and obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a third sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the third sum as the basic operation cost.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, obtaining the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, calculating a third sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle from the third sum as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) hydrogen production systemBasic operation cost OPEX of (E) t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +C Carbon tax -C Oxygen gas ) t
In the above formula, the meaning of each parameter is described with reference to the above related description.
By way of example, where the hydrogen production system employs electricity from a grid as an energy supply, the process of obtaining the basic operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include: and obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a fourth sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a fourth difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the fourth sum as the basic operation cost.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle are obtained, the fourth sum of the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, the loan cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle, and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle is calculated, and the fourth difference obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle from the fourth sum is determined as the basic operation cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-cycle.
In this case, the t-th sub-period (such as the t-th year in the total operation period) is the basic operation cost OPEX of the hydrogen production system t The expression can be expressed by the following formula:
OPEX t =(C net electricity ×q Hydrogen production +C Net electricity ×q Auxiliary device +C Water cost +C Lye +C Consumable material +C Others +M Manual work
+M Maintenance of +M Tool for cutting tools +M Safety device +M Others +LR+C Carbon tax -C Oxygen gas ) t
In the above formula, the meaning of each parameter is described with reference to the above related description.
In an alternative embodiment, in consideration of the variation of the performance of the electrolytic cell, when the electrolytic cell is operated for a period of time, the phenomenon of increasing the electricity consumption per unit hydrogen production, namely, the attenuation rate (such as the annual attenuation rate) occurs due to performance aging and the like. Thus, the core of cell performance degradation is manifested as a sub-cycle increase in hydrogen production electricity usage (e.g., annual hydrogen production electricity usage). Therefore, in the embodiment of the application, in the process of obtaining the production cost of the hydrogen production system, the influence generated by the performance change of the electrolytic tank can be added, so that the accuracy of hydrogen production cost analysis is further improved.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining the production cost of the hydrogen production system may include: acquiring hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system; calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption; and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption.
Specifically, for each sub-period, acquiring a hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period and an initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period; calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period; and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system in the sub-period.
Attenuation rate of hydrogen production electricity consumption (specifically, attenuation rate of sub-period hydrogen production electricity consumption, ratio)Such as annual decay rate) may be obtained from project feasibility study reports. The initial hydrogen production electricity consumption (in particular, the sub-cycle initial hydrogen production electricity consumption) may be based on the product of the hydrogen production (in particular, the sub-cycle hydrogen production) and the rated energy consumption of the electrolyzer. For example, the rated energy consumption of the electrolytic cell is 4.5kWh/Nm 3 The hydrogen yield is Q, and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption Q Initial hydrogen production =4.5×11.1235(Nm 3 Constant corresponding to kg) x Q.
Based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption, a process of calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system may include: hydrogen production power q of the t th sub-period Hydrogen production =q Initial hydrogen production ×(1+d) t Wherein d is the attenuation rate of the hydrogen production electricity consumption, and the value range of d can be 0-5%.
The process of calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption may be referred to the related description hereinabove, and this embodiment will not be discussed in detail here.
In an alternative embodiment, the carbon trade costs may be calculated in any suitable manner in conjunction with specific project policies and requirements, and the present embodiment is not limited in this regard.
For example, a stepped carbon credit may be employed as a calculation method of carbon trade costs, i.e., annual stepped accounting of carbon credits based on carbon emission credits and annual degradation coefficients, carbon emissions being eliminated by purchasing carbon credits. Thus, the process of acquiring the carbon trade costs of the hydrogen production system may include: acquiring a carbon emission step coefficient, a carbon emission price and a grid electricity carbon emission factor; based on the carbon emission step factor, the carbon emission price, and the net electricity carbon emission factor, a carbon trade cost (which may specifically include a carbon trade cost per sub-cycle) for the hydrogen production system is calculated.
The carbon emission step factor, the carbon emission price and the net electricity carbon emission factor can be set according to actual experience values.
For the process of calculating the carbon trade cost of the hydrogen production system based on the carbon emission step factor, the carbon emission price, and the net electricity carbon emission factor, the carbon trade cost for the t-th sub-period may be calculated using the following formula:
C carbon tax =(1-S t )×P×r
In the formula, S represents a carbon emission step coefficient, and the value range can be 0-1; p represents carbon emission price, and the value range can be 0-10000; r represents the electric carbon emission factor of the network electricity degree, and the value range can be 0-1.
In an alternative embodiment, the operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include the underlying operating costs of the hydrogen production system and the non-business tax of the hydrogen production system. It should be noted that the non-business tax of the hydrogen production system may include the non-business tax of each sub-cycle of the hydrogen production system during the total operating cycle of the hydrogen production system. The non-business tax for each sub-cycle hydrogen production system may be set in connection with specific project scenarios, which is not limiting in this embodiment.
The hydrogen yield of the hydrogen production system is a core yield index of projects, and the hydrogen yield of the hydrogen production system can be obtained according to project feasibility research reports of the hydrogen production system. The hydrogen production value of the hydrogen production system can range from 0 to 1000000. It should be noted that the hydrogen production of the hydrogen production system may include the hydrogen production of the hydrogen production system per sub-cycle of the total operating cycle of the hydrogen production system.
Step 202, calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
In an alternative embodiment, the process of calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters may include: calculating the operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost and the hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost and the hydrogen discount yield.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, calculating an operation discount cost corresponding to the sub-cycle operation cost and a hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the sub-cycle hydrogen yield; and calculating a fifth sum of the initial investment cost and the total sub-period operation discount cost, and determining the ratio of the fifth sum to the sum of the total sub-period hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
Illustratively, where the operating costs of the hydrogen production system include a base operating cost of the hydrogen production system, the process of calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters may include: calculating basic operation discount cost corresponding to the basic operation cost and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the initial investment cost, the basic operation discount cost and the hydrogen discount yield.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, calculating a basic operation discount cost corresponding to the sub-cycle basic operation cost and a hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the sub-cycle hydrogen yield; and calculating a sixth sum of the initial investment cost and the total subcycle basic operation discount cost, and determining the ratio of the sixth sum to the sum of the total subcycle hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
Illustratively, the hydrogen production cost LCOH of a hydrogen production system is calculated by the following formula:
wherein I is 0 Represents the initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, OPEX t Representing the basic operating cost of the t-th sub-cycle (such as the t-th year of the total operating cycle) hydrogen production system,represents the t subcycle basic operation discount cost, Q t Represents hydrogen production of the t-th sub-cycle hydrogen production system,/-)>The t sub-period hydrogen discount yield is represented, R represents discount rate, and n represents total operation period.
For example, where the operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include a basic operating cost of the hydrogen production system and a non-business tax of the hydrogen production system, the process of calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters may include: calculating basic operation discount cost corresponding to the basic operation cost, discount tax corresponding to the non-business tax and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the initial investment cost, the basic operation discount cost, the discount tax corresponding to the non-business tax and the hydrogen discount yield.
Specifically, for each sub-period, calculating basic operation discount cost corresponding to the sub-period basic operation cost, discount tax corresponding to the sub-period non-business tax and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the sub-period hydrogen yield; and calculating a seventh sum of the initial investment cost, the total subcycle basic operation discount cost and the total subcycle discount tax, and determining the ratio of the seventh sum to the sum of the total subcycle hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
Illustratively, the hydrogen production cost LCOH of a hydrogen production system is calculated by the following formula:
wherein TAX is t Representing non-business tax of the t-th sub-period hydrogen production system,representing the tax return for the t-th sub-period, the meaning of the other parameters is as described above with reference to the relevant description.
In an alternative embodiment, the project parameters of the hydrogen production system may also include the residual value of the hydrogen production system. The residual value of the hydrogen production system may refer to the residual value that the hydrogen production system is expected to recover at the end of the project, i.e., the price that the fixed asset can collect when it is disposed of when it is used up to expire, and may be given at the end of the project in combination with specific project conditions. The end of the project period may refer to the total operation period after completion, or may refer to other time.
Illustratively, the process of obtaining the residual value of the hydrogen production system may include: obtaining the residual value depreciation rate of the hydrogen production system; the residual value is calculated based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost.
Taking the example of the project end indicating the completion of the total operation period, based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost, the residual value SAF of the hydrogen production system can be calculated by the following formula n :SAF n =I 0 X (1-P x n), wherein I 0 Representing initial investment costs, P representing residual value depreciation rate, n representing total operating period. The specific value of the residual value depreciation rate may be set according to practical experience, and the present embodiment is not limited thereto.
Illustratively, the process of calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters may include: calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost, residual discount value corresponding to the residual value and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the ratio of the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost, the residual discount value and the hydrogen discount yield.
Specifically, for each sub-cycle, calculating an operation discount cost corresponding to the sub-cycle operation cost and a hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the sub-cycle hydrogen yield; calculating a residual discount value corresponding to the residual value; calculating an eighth sum of the initial investment cost and the full sub-period operation discount cost, and calculating a first difference value between the eighth sum and the residual discount value; and determining the ratio of the first difference value to the sum of all sub-period hydrogen discount yields as the hydrogen production cost.
Illustratively, where the operating costs of the hydrogen production system include the underlying operating costs of the hydrogen production system, the hydrogen production cost LCOH of the hydrogen production system is calculated by the following formula:
wherein SAF n Representing the residual value of the hydrogen production system,representing the residual discount value corresponding to the residual value of the hydrogen production system, taking the project end as the example after the total operation period is completed,/-up>In (c) and the meaning of the other parameters is referred to in the relevant description above.
Illustratively, where the operating costs of the hydrogen production system may include the underlying operating costs of the hydrogen production system and the non-business tax of the hydrogen production system, the hydrogen production cost LCOH of the hydrogen production system is calculated by the following formula:
The meaning of each parameter in the above formula is as described above with reference to the relevant description.
In the embodiment of the application, the initial investment cost and the operation cost corresponding to the hydrogen production system can represent the cost generated in the hydrogen production process, and the hydrogen production cost is obtained by comprehensive calculation based on the cost, so that the analysis result of the hydrogen production cost is more accurate and comprehensive.
Referring to FIG. 3, a flow chart of another method of hydrogen production cost analysis is shown in accordance with an embodiment of the present application.
As shown in fig. 3, the hydrogen production cost analysis method may include: determining an LCOH calculation formula; determining project boundary conditions of the hydrogen production system; acquiring project parameters of a hydrogen production system; calculating basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system; judging whether the hydrogen production system is supplied by renewable energy sources as energy sources; if renewable energy is used as energy source, calculating renewable energy power generation LCOE; if the network electricity is used as energy supply, the network electricity price is adopted, and the carbon transaction cost is calculated; calculating annual operation discount cost of the hydrogen production system; judging whether the storage and transportation module is included or not; if the storage and transportation module is included, the initial investment cost and annual operation discount cost of the storage and transportation module are calculated; if the storage and transportation module is not included, judging whether a downstream application module is included or not; if the method comprises the downstream application module, calculating the initial investment cost and annual operation discount cost of the downstream application module; if the downstream application module is not included, calculating the total operation period hydrogen discount output; LCOH is calculated as a hydrogen production evaluation standard. For a specific procedure of each step in fig. 3, reference may be made to the related description in the above embodiment, which is not discussed in detail here.
The following takes a renewable energy (photovoltaic) hydrogen production and storage project as an example, and the calculation method of the LCOH is quantitatively described:
according to the content in the project feasibility study report, basic input information is acquired, and annual hydrogen yield Q=20000 kg, project total operation period t=20 years, discount rate R=6%, loan interest rate 6%, loan rate 80% and loan period 20 years can be obtained.
The hydrogen production part is independently used as a module to obtain hydrogen production project I Apparatus and method for controlling the operation of a device 、I Factory building 、I Land 、I Others 、I Storage and transportation Accumulating according to the above formula to obtain I 0 =78000 kiloyuan.
The photovoltaic power station part is used as an independent module, and the LCOE of the photovoltaic power station, namely C, can be obtained through the feasibility study report of the photovoltaic project Green power =0.3 yuan/kWh.
Rated energy consumption of 4.5kWh/Nm according to parameters of the electrolyzer 3 And annual hydrogen production Q, Q can be obtained Initial hydrogen production =4.5×11.1235(Nm 3 Corresponding constant to kg) x q= 1001115kWh. According to formula q Hydrogen production =q Initial hydrogen production ×(1+d) t Taking annual attenuation rate d=0.5%, substituting the annual attenuation rate d=0.5% into the calculated q to obtain annual q Hydrogen production
Operating cost q of the remaining Hydrogen production section Auxiliary device 、C Water cost 、C Lye 、C Consumable material 、C Others 、M Manual work 、M Maintenance of 、M Tool for cutting tools 、M Safety device 、M Others Obtained from a feasibility study report. LR is acquired by a bank standard loan calculation method according to annual interest rate and loan proportion. C (C) Oxygen gas The value of the oxygen in the project is required to be analyzed according to the specific condition of the project, and the oxygen in the project is subjected to evacuation treatment, so that 0 is taken this time. All electric quantity of the project comes from green electricity, and no carbon emission cost exists.
According to the formula calculation in green electricity hydrogen production, the folded opex= 435000 ten thousand yuan can be obtained.
The non-business TAX per year, TAX, is calculated to be 0.
The residual value SAF of the project is calculated according to 5% of residual value depreciation, and the period of the project is 20 years, and the residual value of the project is 0.
Annual hydrogen production q=20000 kg, the hydrogen depreciation yield in the total operating cycle is 23070kg.
Synthesizing the calculation results of the processes, and preparing hydrogen by renewable energy
Referring to fig. 4, a block diagram of a hydrogen production cost analysis apparatus according to an embodiment of the present application is shown.
As shown in fig. 4, the hydrogen production cost analysis apparatus may include the following modules:
an acquisition module 401 for acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters include initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield;
a calculation module 402 is configured to calculate a hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
Optionally, the obtaining module 401 includes: a first acquisition unit configured to acquire a basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determine the basic initial investment cost as the initial investment cost; or, acquiring the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost as the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the basic initial investment cost includes at least one of equipment initial investment cost, factory initial investment cost, land initial investment cost, and additional initial investment cost.
Optionally, in the case that the external module initial investment cost exists, the external module initial investment cost includes at least one of a storage and transportation module initial investment cost and a downstream application module initial investment cost.
Optionally, the operation cost includes a basic operation cost, or the operation cost includes a basic operation cost and a non-business tax.
Optionally, the obtaining module 401 includes: the second acquisition unit is used for acquiring the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system when the hydrogen production system adopts renewable energy or network electricity as energy supply, and determining the sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a first sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost, and determining a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the first sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a second sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost, and determining a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the second sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, the obtaining module 401 includes: a third obtaining unit, configured to obtain, when the hydrogen production system uses electricity as energy supply, a production cost, an operation and maintenance cost, and a carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determine a sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a third sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the third sum as the basic operation cost; or, obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a fourth sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a fourth difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the fourth sum as the basic operation cost.
Optionally, the second acquisition unit includes: the first information acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system; the first cost calculation subunit is used for calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption, and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption.
Optionally, the third obtaining unit includes: a second information acquisition subunit for acquiring a carbon emission step factor, a carbon emission price and a grid electricity carbon emission factor; and a second cost calculation subunit, configured to calculate a carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system based on the carbon emission step factor, the carbon emission price, and the grid electricity carbon emission factor.
Optionally, the computing module 402 includes: the first calculation unit is used for calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating a fifth sum of the initial investment cost and the operation discount cost, and determining the ratio of the fifth sum to the hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
Optionally, the project parameter further includes a residual value, and the obtaining module includes: a fourth obtaining unit, configured to obtain a residual value depreciation rate of the hydrogen production system; the residual value is calculated based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost.
Optionally, the project parameters further include a residual value, and the calculating module 402 includes: the second calculation unit is used for calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost, residual discount value corresponding to the residual value and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield; and calculating a sixth sum of the initial investment cost and the operation discount cost, calculating a fifth difference value between the sixth sum and the residual discount value, and determining the ratio of the fifth difference value to the hydrogen discount yield as the hydrogen production cost.
In the embodiment of the application, the initial investment cost and the operation cost corresponding to the hydrogen production system can represent the cost generated in the hydrogen production process, and the hydrogen production cost is obtained by comprehensive calculation based on the cost, so that the analysis result of the hydrogen production cost is more accurate and comprehensive.
For the device embodiments, since they are substantially similar to the method embodiments, the description is relatively simple, and reference is made to the description of the method embodiments for relevant points.
In an embodiment of the application, an electronic device is also provided. The electronic device may include one or more processors and one or more computer-readable storage media having instructions stored thereon, such as an application program. The instructions, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the processors to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method of any of the embodiments described above.
Referring to fig. 5, a schematic diagram of an electronic device structure according to an embodiment of the present application is shown. As shown in fig. 5, the electronic device comprises a processor 501, a communication interface 502, a memory 503, and a communication bus 504. The processor 501, the communication interface 502 and the memory 503 perform communication with each other through the communication bus 504.
A memory 503 for storing a computer program.
Processor 501 is configured to implement the hydrogen production cost analysis method according to any one of the above embodiments when executing the program stored in memory 503.
The communication interface 502 is used for communication between the electronic device and other devices described above.
The communication bus 504 mentioned above may be a peripheral component interconnect standard (Peripheral Component Interconnect, PCI) bus or an extended industry standard architecture (Extended Industry Standard Architecture, EISA) bus, or the like. The communication bus may be classified as an address bus, a data bus, a control bus, or the like. For ease of illustration, the figures are shown with only one bold line, but not with only one bus or one type of bus.
The above-mentioned processor 501 may include, but is not limited to: central processing units (Central Processing Unit, CPU), network processors (Network Processor, NP), digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processing, DSP), application specific integrated circuits (Application Specific Integrated Circuit, ASIC), field-programmable gate arrays (Field-Programmable Gate Array, FPGA) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gate or transistor logic devices, discrete hardware components, and the like.
The above mentioned memory 503 may include, but is not limited to: read Only Memory (ROM), random access Memory (Random Access Memory RAM), compact disk Read Only Memory (Compact Disc Read Only Memory CD-ROM), electrically erasable programmable Read Only Memory (Electronic Erasable Programmable Read Only Memory EEPROM), hard disk, floppy disk, flash Memory, and the like.
In an embodiment of the present application, there is also provided a computer-readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program executable by a processor of an electronic device, the computer program, when executed by the processor, causing the processor to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method as described in any of the embodiments above.
In this specification, various embodiments are interrelated, and each embodiment is described in a progressive manner, and each embodiment is mainly described in a different manner from other embodiments, so that identical and similar parts between the various embodiments are referred to each other.
It is noted that relational terms such as first and second, and the like are used solely to distinguish one entity or action from another entity or action without necessarily requiring or implying any actual such relationship or order between such entities or actions. Moreover, the terms "comprises," "comprising," or any other variation thereof, are intended to cover a non-exclusive inclusion, such that a process, method, article, or terminal that comprises a list of elements does not include only those elements but may include other elements not expressly listed or inherent to such process, method, article, or terminal. Without further limitation, an element defined by the phrase "comprising one … …" does not exclude the presence of other like elements in a process, method, article or terminal device comprising the element.
From the above description of the embodiments, it will be clear to those skilled in the art that the above-described embodiment method may be implemented by means of software plus a necessary general hardware platform, but of course may also be implemented by means of hardware, but in many cases the former is a preferred embodiment. Based on such understanding, the technical solution of the present application may be embodied essentially or in a part contributing to the prior art in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium (such as ROM, RAM, magnetic disk, optical disk) and including several instructions for causing a terminal (which may be a mobile phone, a computer, a server, an air conditioner, or a network device, etc.) to perform the method according to the embodiments of the present application.
The embodiments of the present application have been described above with reference to the accompanying drawings, but the present application is not limited to the above-described embodiments, which are merely illustrative and not restrictive, and many forms may be made by those having ordinary skill in the art without departing from the spirit of the present application and the scope of the claims, which are to be protected by the present application.
Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that the various illustrative elements and algorithm steps described in connection with the embodiments disclosed herein may be implemented as electronic hardware, or combinations of computer software and electronic hardware. Whether such functionality is implemented as hardware or software depends upon the particular application and design constraints imposed on the solution. Skilled artisans may implement the described functionality in varying ways for each particular application, but such implementation decisions should not be interpreted as causing a departure from the scope of the present application.
It will be clear to those skilled in the art that, for convenience and brevity of description, specific working procedures of the above-described systems, apparatuses and units may refer to corresponding procedures in the foregoing method embodiments, and are not repeated herein.
In the embodiments provided in the present application, it should be understood that the disclosed apparatus and method may be implemented in other manners. For example, the apparatus embodiments described above are merely illustrative, e.g., the division of the units is merely a logical function division, and there may be additional divisions when actually implemented, e.g., multiple units or components may be combined or integrated into another system, or some features may be omitted or not performed. Alternatively, the coupling or direct coupling or communication connection shown or discussed with each other may be an indirect coupling or communication connection via some interfaces, devices or units, which may be in electrical, mechanical or other form.
The units described as separate units may or may not be physically separate, and units shown as units may or may not be physical units, may be located in one place, or may be distributed on a plurality of network units. Some or all of the units may be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the solution of this embodiment.
In addition, each functional unit in the embodiments of the present application may be integrated in one processing unit, or each unit may exist alone physically, or two or more units may be integrated in one unit.
The functions, if implemented in the form of software functional units and sold or used as a stand-alone product, may be stored in a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the technical solution of the present application may be embodied essentially or in a part contributing to the prior art or in a part of the technical solution, in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium, comprising several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, a network device, etc.) to perform all or part of the steps of the method according to the embodiments of the present application. And the aforementioned storage medium includes: a usb disk, a removable hard disk, a ROM, a RAM, a magnetic disk, or an optical disk, etc.
The foregoing is merely illustrative of the present application, and the present application is not limited thereto, and any person skilled in the art will readily recognize that variations or substitutions are within the scope of the present application. In view of the foregoing, this description should not be construed as limiting the application.

Claims (15)

1. A method of hydrogen production cost analysis, the method comprising:
acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield;
and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein obtaining an initial investment cost for the hydrogen production system comprises:
acquiring basic initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the basic initial investment cost as the initial investment cost;
or,
and acquiring basic initial investment cost and external module initial investment cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the basic initial investment cost and the external module initial investment cost as the initial investment cost.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the basic initial investment cost comprises at least one of equipment initial investment cost, plant initial investment cost, land initial investment cost, additional initial investment cost.
4. The method of claim 2, wherein in the presence of the external module initial investment cost, the external module initial investment cost comprises at least one of a storage module initial investment cost, a downstream application module initial investment cost.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein the operating costs comprise basic operating costs or the operating costs comprise basic operating costs and non-business tax.
6. The method of claim 5, wherein if the hydrogen production system employs renewable energy or grid electricity as an energy supply, obtaining a base operating cost for the hydrogen production system comprises:
acquiring the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost as the basic operation cost;
or,
acquiring production cost, operation and maintenance cost and loan cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost as the basic operation cost;
Or,
acquiring the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a first sum of the production cost and the operation and maintenance cost, and determining a first difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the first sum as the basic operation cost;
or,
and obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a second sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the loan cost, and determining a second difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the second sum as the basic operation cost.
7. The method of claim 5, wherein if the hydrogen production system employs electricity from a grid as an energy supply, obtaining a base operating cost for the hydrogen production system comprises:
acquiring production cost, operation and maintenance cost and carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost;
or,
acquiring production cost, operation and maintenance cost, loan cost and carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system, and determining the sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost as the basic operation cost;
Or,
acquiring production cost, operation and maintenance cost, carbon transaction cost and byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a third sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a third difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the third sum as the basic operation cost;
or,
and obtaining the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost, the carbon transaction cost and the byproduct oxygen value of the hydrogen production system, calculating a fourth sum of the production cost, the operation and maintenance cost, the loan cost and the carbon transaction cost, and determining a fourth difference value obtained by subtracting the byproduct oxygen value from the fourth sum as the basic operation cost.
8. The method of claim 6 or 7, wherein acquiring production costs of the hydrogen production system comprises:
acquiring hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and initial hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system;
calculating the hydrogen production electricity consumption of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption attenuation rate and the initial hydrogen production electricity consumption;
and calculating the production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the hydrogen production electricity consumption.
9. The method of claim 7, wherein obtaining a carbon transaction cost for the hydrogen production system comprises:
acquiring a carbon emission step coefficient, a carbon emission price and a grid electricity carbon emission factor;
and calculating the carbon transaction cost of the hydrogen production system based on the carbon emission step coefficient, the carbon emission price and the net electricity carbon emission factor.
10. The method of claim 1, wherein calculating a hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters comprises:
calculating the operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost and the hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield;
and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost and the hydrogen discount yield.
11. The method of claim 1, wherein the project parameters further comprise residual value; obtaining residual values for the hydrogen production system includes:
obtaining the residual value depreciation rate of the hydrogen production system;
the residual value is calculated based on the residual value depreciation rate and the initial investment cost.
12. The method of claim 1, wherein the project parameters further comprise residual value; based on the project parameters, calculating a hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system, comprising:
Calculating operation discount cost corresponding to the operation cost, residual discount value corresponding to the residual value and hydrogen discount yield corresponding to the hydrogen yield;
and calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the ratio of the initial investment cost, the operation discount cost, the residual discount value and the hydrogen discount yield.
13. A hydrogen production cost analysis apparatus, the apparatus comprising:
the acquisition module is used for acquiring project parameters of the hydrogen production system, wherein the project parameters comprise initial investment cost, operation cost and hydrogen yield;
and the calculation module is used for calculating the hydrogen production cost of the hydrogen production system based on the project parameters.
14. An electronic device, comprising:
one or more processors; and
one or more computer-readable storage media having instructions stored thereon;
the instructions, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the processors to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method as recited in any one of claims 1 to 12.
15. A computer readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which, when executed by a processor, causes the processor to perform the hydrogen production cost analysis method as claimed in any one of claims 1 to 12.
CN202311167466.6A 2023-09-11 2023-09-11 Hydrogen production cost analysis method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium Pending CN117114621A (en)

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Cited By (1)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN117670265A (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-03-08 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司 Method and device for cost accounting of battery, electronic equipment and storage medium

Cited By (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN117670265A (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-03-08 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司 Method and device for cost accounting of battery, electronic equipment and storage medium
CN117670265B (en) * 2024-02-01 2024-06-07 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司 Method and device for cost accounting of battery, electronic equipment and storage medium

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