CN116703135B - Power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method - Google Patents
Power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
Description
技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及电力线路技术领域,具体而言,涉及一种电力线路建设规划分析评估方法。The present invention relates to the technical field of power lines, and specifically to a power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method.
背景技术Background technique
随着全球经济的快速发展和城市化进程的加速,对可靠、高效、可持续的电力供应的需求也在不断增加。电力线路作为能源输送的重要环节,其规划、建设和运营至关重要。通过评估工业园区的电力需求、分析用电量增长趋势、测算输电损耗,便于为工业园区制定合理、适应未来需求的电力线路建设规划方案。这有助于提前预测和解决目标园区潜在的电力供应短缺问题,确保电力供应的持续稳定性输出,因此,对工业园区的电力线路进行建设规划是极其有必要的。With the rapid development of the global economy and the acceleration of urbanization, the demand for reliable, efficient, and sustainable power supply is also increasing. As an important link in energy transmission, power lines’ planning, construction and operation are crucial. By assessing the power demand of the industrial park, analyzing the growth trend of electricity consumption, and measuring transmission losses, it is easy to formulate a reasonable power line construction plan for the industrial park that adapts to future needs. This helps to predict and solve potential power supply shortages in the target park in advance and ensure the continued stable output of power supply. Therefore, it is extremely necessary to plan the construction of power lines in the industrial park.
现有技术中对工业园区的电力线路的建设规划在一定程度上可以满足当前要求,但是还存在一定的缺陷,其具体体现在以下几个层面:(1)现有技术中对工业园区的用电量波动的分析力度不够深入,工业园区在历史周期内的用电量波动和高峰时段的用电量波动在一定程度上反映了工业园区的线路扩张的紧急性,用电量波动性越大和高峰时段的用电量波动越大,则说明工业园区对电量的需求量更大,现有技术中对这一层面的忽视导致对工业园区的用电量波动性的把控,进而无法做出更优的电力扩张前瞻性决策,可能出现工业园区的电量供应不足而导致的工业园区电力线路瘫痪的现象,从而降低工业园区电力线路提前规划的价值性和参考性。The construction planning of power lines in industrial parks in the existing technology can meet the current requirements to a certain extent, but there are still certain defects, which are specifically reflected in the following levels: (1) The use of industrial parks in the existing technology The analysis of power fluctuations is not in-depth enough. The fluctuations in power consumption in industrial parks within historical cycles and during peak hours reflect the urgency of line expansion in industrial parks to a certain extent. The greater the fluctuation in power consumption and the The greater the fluctuation in electricity consumption during peak hours, the greater the demand for electricity in the industrial park. The neglect of this aspect in the existing technology leads to the control of the fluctuation of electricity consumption in the industrial park, which makes it impossible to make decisions. Better forward-looking decisions on power expansion may lead to the paralysis of power lines in the industrial park due to insufficient power supply in the industrial park, thereby reducing the value and reference of advance planning of power lines in the industrial park.
(2)现有技术中对工业园区的用电设备的增长趋势的关注度不高,用电设备的增长趋势在一定程度上反映了工业园区的用电量需求,现有技术对这一层面的忽视导致工业园区的用电量需求的分析不精准,进而无法为工业园区的电力线路扩张的分析提供强有力的数据支持,从而降低工业园区电力线路扩张分析的精确性和准确性,难以确保电力供应的可靠性,容易造成资源浪费和投资冗余。(2) The existing technology does not pay much attention to the growth trend of electrical equipment in industrial parks. The growth trend of electrical equipment reflects the power demand of industrial parks to a certain extent. The existing technology does not pay much attention to this aspect. Neglect leads to inaccurate analysis of power demand in industrial parks, which in turn fails to provide strong data support for the analysis of power line expansion in industrial parks, thereby reducing the accuracy and accuracy of power line expansion analysis in industrial parks and making it difficult to ensure The reliability of power supply can easily lead to resource waste and investment redundancy.
发明内容Contents of the invention
为了克服背景技术中的缺点,本发明实施例提供了一种电力线路建设规划分析评估方法,能够有效解决上述背景技术中涉及的问题。In order to overcome the shortcomings in the background technology, embodiments of the present invention provide a power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method, which can effectively solve the problems involved in the above-mentioned background technology.
本发明的目的可以通过以下技术方案来实现:一种电力线路建设规划分析评估方法,包括:S1、目标园区历史用电信息获取:从供电中心获取目标园区的历史用电信息。The purpose of the present invention can be achieved through the following technical solutions: a power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method, including: S1. Obtaining historical power consumption information of the target park: acquiring historical power consumption information of the target park from the power supply center.
S2、目标园区历史用电分析:基于目标园区的历史用电信息分析目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数和用电量波动系数。S2. Analysis of historical power consumption of the target park: Based on the historical power consumption information of the target park, the corresponding power consumption growth trend coefficient and power consumption fluctuation coefficient of the target park are analyzed.
S3、目标园区人口数量增长趋势分析:从云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的人员数量,并据此分析目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数。S3. Analysis of the growth trend of population in the target park: Extract the number of personnel corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database, and analyze the growth trend coefficient of the enterprise size corresponding to the target park accordingly.
S4、目标园区用电设备增长趋势分析:从云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的用电设备信息,其中用电设备信息包括各用电设备类型所属各用电设备对应的使用时长,并据此分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数。S4. Analysis on the growth trend of electric equipment in the target park: Extract the electric equipment information corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database. The electric equipment information includes the electric equipment information corresponding to each electric equipment type. The usage time, and based on this, the growth trend coefficient of electrical equipment corresponding to the target park is analyzed.
S5、目标园区扩张紧急系数分析:综合分析目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数。S5. Analysis of the emergency coefficient of expansion of the target park: Comprehensive analysis of the emergency coefficient of power line expansion corresponding to the target park.
S6、目标园区扩张紧急系数处理:将目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数进行显示。S6. Target park expansion emergency coefficient processing: Display the power line expansion emergency coefficient corresponding to the target park.
作为一种优选的方案,所述历史用电信息包括各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量。As a preferred solution, the historical electricity consumption information includes the total electricity consumption of each enterprise in each historical period corresponding to each natural day and each period.
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:从目标园区的历史用电信息中提取各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量,并将其进行汇总,进而得到目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量,其中/>表示为各企业的编号,/>,/>表示为各历史周期的编号,/>,/>表示为各自然日的编号,/>。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method for the electricity consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park is: extracting from the historical electricity consumption information of the target park the data of each enterprise in each historical period corresponding to each natural day and each period. The total electricity consumption is summarized to obtain the total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day. , of which/> Expressed as the number of each enterprise,/> ,/> Expressed as the number of each historical period,/> ,/> Expressed as the number of each natural day,/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数。Analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period .
依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数,筛选目标园区所属各企业的最大用电量增长趋势系数和最小用电量增长趋势系数/>。Based on the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period, screen the maximum electricity consumption growth trend coefficient of each enterprise in the target park. and the minimum electricity consumption growth trend coefficient/> .
将目标园区所属各企业的用电量增长趋势系数大于或等于预定义的用电量增长趋势系数阈值对应的各历史周期标记为各增长历史周期,进而得到目标园区所属各企业对应的各增长历史周期,并统计目标园区所属各企业对应增长历史周期的数量。Each historical period corresponding to the power consumption growth trend coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park is greater than or equal to the predefined power consumption growth trend coefficient threshold is marked as each growth history period, and then the growth history corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park is obtained cycles, and count the number of corresponding growth historical cycles for each enterprise in the target park. .
统计历史周期的数量,分析目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数,/>,/>,/>,其中为自然常数,/>为预定义的用电量增长趋势系数的允许误差,/>为企业的数量,/>为历史周期的数量。Count the number of historical periods , analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park ,/> ,/> ,/> ,in is a natural constant,/> is the allowable error of the predefined electricity consumption growth trend coefficient,/> is the number of enterprises,/> is the number of historical periods.
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量绘制目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的总用电量折线图,进而从中提取各段线段,并获取各段线段对应起点的坐标和终点的坐标,进而统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的各段线段所属起点的总用电量和终点的总用电量/>,其中/>为各段线段的编号,/>。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method of the electricity consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to each historical period of each enterprise belonging to the target park is: based on the total power consumption of each natural day corresponding to each historical period of each enterprise affiliated to the target park. Electricity draws the total electricity consumption line chart corresponding to each historical period of each enterprise belonging to the target park, and then extracts each line segment from it, and obtains the coordinates of the starting point and end point corresponding to each line segment, and then counts the total electricity consumption of each enterprise affiliated to the target park. The total electricity consumption at the starting point of each line segment corresponding to each historical period and the total power consumption of the end point/> , of which/> is the number of each line segment,/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段线段对应的斜率,并据此筛选目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期斜率大于零的各段线段,将其标记为各段增长线段,进而统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段增长线段。Analyze the slope of each line segment corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period , and based on this, each line segment with a slope greater than zero in each historical cycle of each enterprise belonging to the target park is screened, marked as each growth line segment, and then statistics are collected on each growth line segment corresponding to each historical cycle of each enterprise affiliated to the target park.
提取目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段增长线段对应的斜率,将其标记为,其中/>为各段增长线段的编号,/>,并统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期所属增长线段的数量/>,进而分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数/>,其中/>,/>,,/>、/>、/>分别表示为预定义的增长线段数量、增长线段的斜率、线段的平均斜率对应的权重影响印象因子,/>为线段的数量,/>为增长线段的数量。Extract the slope corresponding to each growth line segment of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period, and mark it as , of which/> Add the number of line segments to each segment,/> , and count the number of growth line segments of each enterprise in the target park in each historical cycle/> , and then analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period/> , of which/> ,/> , ,/> ,/> ,/> Respectively expressed as the weight influencing impression factors corresponding to the predefined number of growth line segments, the slope of the growth line segments, and the average slope of the line segments,/> is the number of line segments,/> is the number of growing line segments.
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区对应的用电量波动系数,其具体分析方法为:依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量分析目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method for the power consumption fluctuation coefficient corresponding to the target park is: analyze the total power consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day. Corresponding peak hour electricity consumption deviation coefficient .
从目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量中选取目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的最大总用电量和最小总用电量/>。Select the maximum total electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the total electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each natural day in each historical period. and minimum total power consumption/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期的用电量波动系数,其中/>为目标园区所属第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个自然日的总用电量,/>为预定义的最大总用电量与最小总用电量之间的允许误差,/>为自然日的数量。Analyze the fluctuation coefficient of electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period , of which/> The target park belongs to/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> Total electricity consumption per calendar day,/> It is the allowable error between the predefined maximum total power consumption and the minimum total power consumption,/> is the number of calendar days.
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期的用电量波动系数进行均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业的用电量波动系数均值,将其标记为。The average power consumption fluctuation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period is processed, and then the average power consumption fluctuation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park is obtained, which is marked as .
综合分析目标园区对应的用电量波动系数,其中/>、/>分别表示为预定义的高峰时段用电量偏差系数、用电量波动系数均值对应的权重系数。Comprehensive analysis of the power consumption fluctuation coefficient corresponding to the target park , of which/> ,/> Respectively expressed as the weight coefficient corresponding to the predefined peak hour power consumption deviation coefficient and the average power consumption fluctuation coefficient.
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数,其具体分析方法为:基于目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量,并结合云数据库中存储的各历史周期对应的各高峰时段,筛选目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各高峰时段的总用电量,将其标记为,其中/>为各高峰时段的编号,/>。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method for the deviation coefficient of electricity consumption during peak hours corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park is: based on the total power consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day and each time period. Electricity, and combined with the peak hours corresponding to each historical period stored in the cloud database, screen the total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day, and mark it as , of which/> is the number of each peak period,/> .
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各高峰时段的总用电量进行均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属高峰时段的总用电量均值。The total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park during each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day is averaged, and then the total electricity consumption of each enterprise affiliated to the target park during each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day is obtained. mean .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的高峰时段用电量偏差系数,其中/>为目标园区所属第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个自然日所属第/>个高峰时段的总用电量,/>为高峰时段的数量。Analyze the deviation coefficients of electricity consumption during peak hours of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each natural day in each historical period. , of which/> The target park belongs to/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> The natural day belongs to/> Total electricity consumption during peak hours,/> is the number during peak hours.
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的高峰时段用电量偏差系数进行两次均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业的高峰时段用电量偏差系数均值,将其记为目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数。Perform two average processing on the peak hour electricity consumption deviation coefficients of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day, and then obtain the average value of the peak hour electricity consumption deviation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park, and record it as the target Deviation coefficient of electricity consumption during peak hours corresponding to each enterprise in the park .
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:依据云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的人员数量,并据此构建目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期与相邻历史周期对应的人员数量变化量,其中/>为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应的人员数量,进而据此构建目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化量/>。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method for the enterprise scale growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park is: extract the number of personnel corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database , and based on this, the target park is constructed to correspond to the changes in the number of personnel of each enterprise in each historical period and adjacent historical periods. , of which/> Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The number of personnel corresponding to each historical period, and then based on this, the change in the number of personnel of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each historical period and the corresponding unit period of the adjacent historical period/> .
从云数据库中提取目标园区对应的实际可容纳企业数量,并统计目标园区所属当前企业的数量/>,进而据此分析目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数,/>,/>,/>,其中/>为预定义历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化值的允许误差,为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化量,/>、/>、/>分别表示为预定义的人员数量变化量、当前企业数量的占比、人员数量变化稳定性对应的权值因子。Extract the actual number of enterprises that can be accommodated in the target park from the cloud database , and count the number of current enterprises belonging to the target park/> , and then analyze the growth trend coefficient of enterprise size corresponding to the target park. ,/> ,/> ,/> , of which/> It is the allowable error in the change value of the number of personnel per unit time corresponding to the predefined historical period and the adjacent historical period, Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The change in the number of personnel per unit of time between a historical period and an adjacent historical period,/> ,/> ,/> They are respectively expressed as the weight factors corresponding to the predefined change in the number of personnel, the proportion of the current number of enterprises, and the stability of the change in the number of personnel.
作为一种优选的方案,所述分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:从目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的用电设备信息中提取各用电设备类型所属各用电设备对应的使用时长,其中/>为各用电设备类型的编号,/>,/>为各用电设备的编号,/>。As a preferred solution, the specific analysis method of analyzing the growth trend coefficient of electrical equipment corresponding to the target park is: extracting each electrical equipment type from the electrical equipment information corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period. The corresponding usage time of each electrical equipment , of which/> is the number of each type of electrical equipment,/> ,/> is the number of each electrical equipment,/> .
从云数据库中提取各用电设备类型对应的单位时长耗电量,进而分析目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各用电设备类型对应的耗电量总和。Extract the power consumption per unit time corresponding to each type of electrical equipment from the cloud database , and then analyze the total power consumption of each enterprise in the target park and each type of electrical equipment in each historical period. .
将目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期的耗电量总和大于或等于预定义的耗电量阈值对应的各用电设备类型记为各高耗电用电设备类型,进而得到目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的各高耗电用电设备类型。Record each power equipment type corresponding to each enterprise in the target park whose total power consumption in each historical period is greater than or equal to the predefined power consumption threshold as each high power consumption equipment type, and then obtain the power consumption corresponding to each enterprise in the target park. Types of high-power-consuming electrical equipment corresponding to each historical period.
统计目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各高耗电用电设备类型所属用电设备的总数量,进而将用电设备总数量大于或等于预定义的用电设备数量对应的各高耗电用电设备类型记为各目标用电设备类型,进而得到目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的各目标用电设备类型。Count the total number of power-consuming equipment belonging to each high-power-consuming equipment type for each enterprise in the target park in each historical period, and then set the total number of power-consuming equipment to be greater than or equal to the predefined number of high-power-consuming equipment. The types of electrical equipment are recorded as each target electrical equipment type, and then the target electrical equipment types corresponding to each enterprise in the target park and in each historical period are obtained.
统计目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各目标用电设备类型所属用电设备的数量,其中/>表示为各目标用电设备类型的编号,/>。Count the number of electrical equipment belonging to each target electrical equipment type corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period. , of which/> Represented as the number of each target electrical equipment type,/> .
分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数,其中/>为预定义的两个目标用电类型对应的用电设备数量的允许误差,/>为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个目标用电设备类型所属用电设备的数量,/>为目标用电设备类型的数量。Analyze the growth trend coefficient of electrical equipment corresponding to the target park , of which/> The allowable error in the number of electrical equipment corresponding to the two predefined target power consumption types,/> Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> The number of electrical devices belonging to each target electrical device type,/> is the number of target electrical equipment types.
作为一种优选的方案,所述目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数,其具体计算公式为:。As a preferred solution, the specific calculation formula for the power line expansion emergency coefficient corresponding to the target park is: .
相对于现有技术,本发明的实施例至少具有如下优点或有益效果:(1)本发明在目标园区历史用电信息获取中从供电中心获取目标园区的历史用电信息,进而为后续目标园区的历史用电分析提供了数据支持。Compared with the existing technology, embodiments of the present invention at least have the following advantages or beneficial effects: (1) In the acquisition of historical power consumption information of the target park, the present invention obtains the historical power consumption information of the target park from the power supply center, and then provides information for subsequent target parks. Historical electricity consumption analysis provides data support.
(2)本发明在目标园区历史用电分析中通过目标园区的历史用电信息对目标园区在历史周期内的用电量波动和高峰时段的用电量波动进行分析,进而弥补了现有技术中对这一层面忽视的缺陷,进而有利于相关工作人员对工业园区的用电量波动性的把控,进而做出更优益的电力扩张前瞻性决策,避免出现工业园区电量供应不足而导致的工业园区电力线路瘫痪的现象,从而提高了工业园区电力线路提前规划的价值性和参考性。(2) In the historical power consumption analysis of the target park, the present invention analyzes the power consumption fluctuations of the target park within the historical period and the power consumption fluctuations during peak hours through the historical power consumption information of the target park, thereby making up for the existing technology. The neglected shortcomings at this level will help relevant staff to control the fluctuation of power consumption in industrial parks, and then make better forward-looking decisions on power expansion to avoid insufficient power supply in industrial parks. The phenomenon of paralysis of power lines in industrial parks has improved the value and reference of advance planning of power lines in industrial parks.
(3)本发明在目标园区人口数量增长趋势分析中对目标园区的企业规模增长趋势进行分析,目标园区内企业的员工数量越多,在一定程度上体现着目标园区内企业的用电需求增加,进而丰富了目标园区的电力扩张紧急系数的分析层面,提高了目标园区电力线路扩张分析的准确性。(3) The present invention analyzes the growth trend of the enterprise scale in the target park in the analysis of the population growth trend of the target park. The greater the number of employees of the enterprises in the target park, to a certain extent, it reflects the increase in the power demand of the enterprises in the target park. , thereby enriching the analysis level of the emergency coefficient of power expansion in the target park and improving the accuracy of the analysis of power line expansion in the target park.
(4)本发明在目标园区用电设备增长趋势分析中通过工业园区内高耗电设备的数量分析工业园区的用电设备的增长趋势,进而克服了现有技术中对工业园区内用电设备增长趋势关注度不高的困难,进而保障了工业园区的用电量需求分析的精准性,为工业园区的电力线路扩张的分析提供强有力的数据支持,从而提高了工业园区电力线路扩张分析的精确性和准确性,确保电力供应的可靠性,避免造成资源浪费和投资冗余。(4) In the analysis of the growth trend of electrical equipment in the target park, the present invention analyzes the growth trend of electrical equipment in the industrial park through the number of high power-consuming equipment in the industrial park, thereby overcoming the existing technology's concerns about the electrical equipment in the industrial park. The difficulty of not paying enough attention to the growth trend ensures the accuracy of the power demand analysis of the industrial park and provides strong data support for the analysis of the power line expansion of the industrial park, thereby improving the accuracy of the power line expansion analysis of the industrial park. Precision and accuracy ensure the reliability of power supply and avoid resource waste and investment redundancy.
附图说明Description of the drawings
利用附图对本发明作进一步说明,但附图中的实施例不构成对本发明的任何限制,对于本领域的普通技术人员,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据以下附图获得其它的附图。The present invention is further described using the accompanying drawings, but the embodiments in the accompanying drawings do not constitute any limitation to the present invention. For those of ordinary skill in the art, without exerting creative efforts, other embodiments can be obtained based on the following drawings. Picture attached.
图1为本发明的方法流程图。Figure 1 is a flow chart of the method of the present invention.
图2为本发明的总用电量折线示意图。Figure 2 is a schematic broken line diagram of the total power consumption of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the scope of protection of the present invention.
参照图1所示,本发明提供一种电力线路建设规划分析评估方法,包括:S1、目标园区历史用电信息获取、S2、目标园区历史用电分析、S3、目标园区人口数量增长趋势分析、S4、目标园区用电设备增长趋势分析、S5、目标园区扩张紧急系数分析和S6、目标园区扩张紧急系数处理。Referring to Figure 1, the present invention provides a power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method, which includes: S1, acquisition of historical power consumption information of the target park, S2, analysis of historical power consumption of the target park, S3, analysis of the population growth trend of the target park, S4, analysis of the growth trend of electrical equipment in the target park, S5, analysis of the emergency coefficient of expansion of the target park, and S6, processing of the emergency coefficient of expansion of the target park.
S1、目标园区历史用电信息获取:从供电中心获取目标园区的历史用电信息。S1. Obtain the historical power consumption information of the target park: obtain the historical power consumption information of the target park from the power supply center.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述历史用电信息包括各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the historical electricity consumption information includes the total electricity consumption of each enterprise in each historical period corresponding to each natural day and each period.
本发明在目标园区历史用电信息获取中从供电中心获取目标园区的历史用电信息,进而为后续目标园区的历史用电分析提供了数据支持。The present invention obtains the historical power consumption information of the target park from the power supply center during the acquisition of the target park's historical power consumption information, thereby providing data support for subsequent historical power consumption analysis of the target park.
S2、目标园区历史用电分析:基于目标园区的历史用电信息分析目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数和用电量波动系数。S2. Analysis of historical power consumption of the target park: Based on the historical power consumption information of the target park, the corresponding power consumption growth trend coefficient and power consumption fluctuation coefficient of the target park are analyzed.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:从目标园区的历史用电信息中提取各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量,并将其进行汇总,进而得到目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量,其中/>表示为各企业的编号,/>,/>表示为各历史周期的编号,,/>表示为各自然日的编号,/>。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for the power consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park is: extracting from the historical power consumption information of the target park the corresponding power consumption of each enterprise in each historical period corresponding to each natural day. The total electricity consumption during the period is summarized to obtain the total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day. , of which/> Expressed as the number of each enterprise,/> ,/> Expressed as the number of each historical period, ,/> Expressed as the number of each natural day,/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数。Analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period .
依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数,筛选目标园区所属各企业的最大用电量增长趋势系数和最小用电量增长趋势系数/>。Based on the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period, screen the maximum electricity consumption growth trend coefficient of each enterprise in the target park. and the minimum electricity consumption growth trend coefficient/> .
将目标园区所属各企业的用电量增长趋势系数大于或等于预定义的用电量增长趋势系数阈值对应的各历史周期标记为各增长历史周期,进而得到目标园区所属各企业对应的各增长历史周期,并统计目标园区所属各企业对应增长历史周期的数量。Each historical period corresponding to the power consumption growth trend coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park is greater than or equal to the predefined power consumption growth trend coefficient threshold is marked as each growth history period, and then the growth history corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park is obtained cycles, and count the number of corresponding growth historical cycles for each enterprise in the target park. .
统计历史周期的数量,分析目标园区对应的用电量增长趋势系数,/>,/>,/>,其中/>为自然常数,/>为预定义的用电量增长趋势系数的允许误差,/>为企业的数量,/>为历史周期的数量。Count the number of historical periods , analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park ,/> ,/> ,/> , of which/> is a natural constant,/> is the allowable error of the predefined electricity consumption growth trend coefficient,/> is the number of enterprises,/> is the number of historical periods.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:参照图2所示,其中X轴为自然日,Y轴为总用电量,依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量绘制目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的总用电量折线图,进而从中提取各段线段,并获取各段线段对应起点的坐标和终点的坐标,进而统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的各段线段所属起点的总用电量和终点的总用电量/>,其中/>为各段线段的编号,/>。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for the electricity consumption growth trend coefficient corresponding to each historical period of each enterprise belonging to the target park is: as shown in Figure 2, in which the X-axis is the natural day and the Y-axis is the total electricity consumption. Draw a line chart of the total electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period based on the total electricity consumption of each natural day in each historical period, and then extract each line segment from it. , and obtain the coordinates of the starting point and the end point of each line segment, and then count the total electricity consumption of the starting point of each line segment corresponding to each historical period of each enterprise belonging to the target park. and the total power consumption of the end point/> , of which/> is the number of each line segment,/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段线段对应的斜率,并据此筛选目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期斜率大于零的各段线段,将其标记为各段增长线段,进而统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段增长线段。Analyze the slope of each line segment corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period , and based on this, each line segment with a slope greater than zero in each historical cycle of each enterprise belonging to the target park is screened, marked as each growth line segment, and then statistics are collected on each growth line segment corresponding to each historical cycle of each enterprise affiliated to the target park.
提取目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各段增长线段对应的斜率,将其标记为,其中/>为各段增长线段的编号,/>,并统计目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期所属增长线段的数量/>,进而分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的用电量增长趋势系数/>,其中/>,/>,,/>、/>、/>分别表示为预定义的增长线段数量、增长线段的斜率、线段的平均斜率对应的权重影响印象因子,/>为线段的数量,/>为增长线段的数量。Extract the slope corresponding to each growth line segment of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period, and mark it as , of which/> Add the number of line segments to each segment,/> , and count the number of growth line segments of each enterprise in the target park in each historical cycle/> , and then analyze the electricity consumption growth trend coefficients of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period/> , of which/> ,/> , ,/> ,/> ,/> Respectively expressed as the weight influencing impression factors corresponding to the predefined number of growth line segments, the slope of the growth line segments, and the average slope of the line segments,/> is the number of line segments,/> is the number of growing line segments.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区对应的用电量波动系数,其具体分析方法为:依据目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量分析目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for the power consumption fluctuation coefficient corresponding to the target park is: analyze the target park to which the target park belongs based on the total power consumption of each enterprise to which the target park belongs in each historical period and corresponding to each natural day. The deviation coefficient of electricity consumption during peak hours corresponding to each enterprise .
从目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的总用电量中选取目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应的最大总用电量和最小总用电量/>。Select the maximum total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period from the total electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each natural day in each historical period. and minimum total power consumption/> .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期的用电量波动系数,其中/>为目标园区所属第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个自然日的总用电量,/>为预定义的最大总用电量与最小总用电量之间的允许误差,/>为自然日的数量。Analyze the fluctuation coefficient of electricity consumption of each enterprise in the target park in each historical period , of which/> The target park belongs to/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> Total electricity consumption per calendar day,/> It is the allowable error between the predefined maximum total power consumption and the minimum total power consumption,/> is the number of calendar days.
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期的用电量波动系数进行均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业的用电量波动系数均值,将其标记为。The average power consumption fluctuation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period is processed, and then the average power consumption fluctuation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park is obtained, which is marked as .
综合分析目标园区对应的用电量波动系数,其中/>、/>分别表示为预定义的高峰时段用电量偏差系数、用电量波动系数均值对应的权重系数。Comprehensive analysis of the power consumption fluctuation coefficient corresponding to the target park , of which/> ,/> Respectively expressed as the weight coefficient corresponding to the predefined peak hour power consumption deviation coefficient and the average power consumption fluctuation coefficient.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数,其具体分析方法为:基于目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各时段的总用电量,并结合云数据库中存储的各历史周期对应的各高峰时段,筛选目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各高峰时段的总用电量,将其标记为,其中为各高峰时段的编号,/>。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for the deviation coefficient of electricity consumption during peak hours corresponding to each enterprise belonging to the target park is as follows: based on the power consumption deviation coefficients of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day and each time period. The total electricity consumption, combined with the peak hours corresponding to each historical period stored in the cloud database, selects the total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day, and marks it as ,in is the number of each peak period,/> .
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属各高峰时段的总用电量进行均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日所属高峰时段的总用电量均值。The total electricity consumption of each enterprise belonging to the target park during each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day is averaged, and then the total electricity consumption of each enterprise affiliated to the target park during each historical period corresponding to each peak period on each natural day is obtained. mean .
分析目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的高峰时段用电量偏差系数,其中/>为目标园区所属第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个自然日所属第/>个高峰时段的总用电量,/>为高峰时段的数量。Analyze the deviation coefficients of electricity consumption during peak hours of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each natural day in each historical period. , of which/> The target park belongs to/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> The natural day belongs to/> Total electricity consumption during peak hours,/> is the number during peak hours.
将目标园区所属各企业在各历史周期对应各自然日的高峰时段用电量偏差系数进行两次均值处理,进而得到目标园区所属各企业的高峰时段用电量偏差系数均值,将其记为目标园区所属各企业对应的高峰时段用电量偏差系数。Perform two average processing on the peak hour electricity consumption deviation coefficients of each enterprise belonging to the target park in each historical period corresponding to each natural day, and then obtain the average value of the peak hour electricity consumption deviation coefficient of each enterprise belonging to the target park, and record it as the target Deviation coefficient of electricity consumption during peak hours corresponding to each enterprise in the park .
本发明在目标园区历史用电分析中通过目标园区的历史用电信息对目标园区在历史周期内的用电量波动和高峰时段的用电量波动进行分析,进而弥补了现有技术中对这一层面忽视的缺陷,进而有利于相关工作人员对工业园区的用电量波动性的把控,进而做出更优益的电力扩张前瞻性决策,避免出现工业园区电量供应不足而导致的工业园区电力线路瘫痪的现象,从而提高了工业园区电力线路提前规划的价值性和参考性。In the historical power consumption analysis of the target park, the present invention analyzes the power consumption fluctuations of the target park within the historical period and the power consumption fluctuations during peak hours through the historical power consumption information of the target park, thereby making up for the problem in the prior art. Defects ignored at one level will help relevant staff control the fluctuation of power consumption in the industrial park, thereby making better forward-looking decisions on power expansion and avoiding industrial park failures caused by insufficient power supply in the industrial park. The phenomenon of power line paralysis has improved the value and reference of advance planning of power lines in industrial parks.
S3、目标园区人口数量增长趋势分析:从云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的人员数量,并据此分析目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数。S3. Analysis of the growth trend of population in the target park: Extract the number of personnel corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database, and analyze the growth trend coefficient of the enterprise size corresponding to the target park accordingly.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:依据云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的人员数量,并据此构建目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期与相邻历史周期对应的人员数量变化量,其中/>为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应的人员数量,进而据此构建目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化量/>。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for the enterprise scale growth trend coefficient corresponding to the target park is: extracting the number of personnel corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database , and based on this, the target park is constructed to correspond to the changes in the number of personnel of each enterprise in each historical period and adjacent historical periods. , of which/> Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The number of personnel corresponding to each historical period, and then based on this, the change in the number of personnel of each enterprise in the target park corresponding to each historical period and the corresponding unit period of the adjacent historical period/> .
从云数据库中提取目标园区对应的实际可容纳企业数量,并统计目标园区所属当前企业的数量/>,进而据此分析目标园区对应的企业规模增长趋势系数,/>,/>,/>,其中/>为预定义历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化值的允许误差,为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期与相邻历史周期对应单位时长的人员数量变化量,/>、/>、/>分别表示为预定义的人员数量变化量、当前企业数量的占比、人员数量变化稳定性对应的权值因子。Extract the actual number of enterprises that can be accommodated in the target park from the cloud database , and count the number of current enterprises belonging to the target park/> , and then analyze the growth trend coefficient of enterprise size corresponding to the target park. ,/> ,/> ,/> , of which/> It is the allowable error in the change value of the number of personnel per unit time corresponding to the predefined historical period and the adjacent historical period, Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The change in the number of personnel per unit of time between a historical period and an adjacent historical period,/> ,/> ,/> They are respectively expressed as the weight factors corresponding to the predefined change in the number of personnel, the proportion of the current number of enterprises, and the stability of the change in the number of personnel.
本发明在目标园区人口数量增长趋势分析中对目标园区的企业规模增长趋势进行分析,目标园区内企业的员工数量越多,在一定程度上体现着目标园区内企业的用电需求增加,进而丰富了目标园区的电力扩张紧急系数的分析层面,提高了目标园区电力线路扩张分析的准确性。The present invention analyzes the growth trend of the enterprise scale in the target park in the analysis of the population growth trend of the target park. The greater the number of employees of the enterprises in the target park, to a certain extent, it reflects the increase in the power demand of the enterprises in the target park, thereby enriching It improves the analysis level of the emergency coefficient of power expansion in the target park and improves the accuracy of the analysis of power line expansion in the target park.
S4、目标园区用电设备增长趋势分析:从云数据库中提取目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的用电设备信息,其中用电设备信息包括各用电设备类型所属各用电设备对应的使用时长,并据此分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数。S4. Analysis on the growth trend of electric equipment in the target park: Extract the electric equipment information corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period from the cloud database. The electric equipment information includes the electric equipment information corresponding to each electric equipment type. The usage time, and based on this, the growth trend coefficient of electrical equipment corresponding to the target park is analyzed.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数,其具体分析方法为:从目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的用电设备信息中提取各用电设备类型所属各用电设备对应的使用时长,其中/>为各用电设备类型的编号,,/>为各用电设备的编号,/>。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific analysis method for analyzing the growth trend coefficient of electric equipment corresponding to the target park is: extracting each electric equipment information corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period. The corresponding usage time of each electrical device belonging to the device type , of which/> is the number of each type of electrical equipment, ,/> is the number of each electrical equipment,/> .
从云数据库中提取各用电设备类型对应的单位时长耗电量,进而分析目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各用电设备类型对应的耗电量总和。Extract the power consumption per unit time corresponding to each type of electrical equipment from the cloud database , and then analyze the total power consumption of each enterprise in the target park and each type of electrical equipment in each historical period. .
将目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期的耗电量总和大于或等于预定义的耗电量阈值对应的各用电设备类型记为各高耗电用电设备类型,进而得到目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的各高耗电用电设备类型。Record each power equipment type corresponding to each enterprise in the target park whose total power consumption in each historical period is greater than or equal to the predefined power consumption threshold as each high power consumption equipment type, and then obtain the power consumption corresponding to each enterprise in the target park. Types of high-power-consuming electrical equipment corresponding to each historical period.
统计目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各高耗电用电设备类型所属用电设备的总数量,进而将用电设备总数量大于或等于预定义的用电设备数量对应的各高耗电用电设备类型记为各目标用电设备类型,进而得到目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应的各目标用电设备类型。Count the total number of power-consuming equipment belonging to each high-power-consuming equipment type for each enterprise in the target park in each historical period, and then set the total number of power-consuming equipment to be greater than or equal to the predefined number of high-power-consuming equipment. The types of electrical equipment are recorded as each target electrical equipment type, and then the target electrical equipment types corresponding to each enterprise in the target park and in each historical period are obtained.
统计目标园区对应各企业在各历史周期对应各目标用电设备类型所属用电设备的数量,其中/>表示为各目标用电设备类型的编号,/>。Count the number of electrical equipment belonging to each target electrical equipment type corresponding to each enterprise in the target park in each historical period. , of which/> Represented as the number of each target electrical equipment type,/> .
分析目标园区对应的用电设备增长趋势系数,其中/>为预定义的两个目标用电类型对应的用电设备数量的允许误差,/>为目标园区对应第/>个企业在第/>个历史周期对应第/>个目标用电设备类型所属用电设备的数量,/>为目标用电设备类型的数量。Analyze the growth trend coefficient of electrical equipment corresponding to the target park , of which/> The allowable error in the number of electrical equipment corresponding to the two predefined target power consumption types,/> Corresponding to the target park/> Enterprises in No./> The historical period corresponds to the /> The number of electrical devices belonging to each target electrical device type,/> is the number of target electrical equipment types.
本发明在目标园区用电设备增长趋势分析中通过工业园区内高耗电设备的数量分析工业园区的用电设备的增长趋势,进而克服了现有技术中对工业园区内用电设备增长趋势关注度不高的困难,进而保障了工业园区的用电量需求分析的精准性,为工业园区的电力线路扩张的分析提供强有力的数据支持,从而提高了工业园区电力线路扩张分析的精确性和准确性,确保电力供应的可靠性,避免造成资源浪费和投资冗余。In the analysis of the growth trend of electric equipment in the target park, the present invention analyzes the growth trend of electric equipment in the industrial park through the number of high power consumption equipment in the industrial park, thereby overcoming the existing technology's concern about the growth trend of electric equipment in the industrial park. The difficulty is not high, thereby ensuring the accuracy of the power demand analysis of the industrial park, and providing strong data support for the analysis of the power line expansion of the industrial park, thus improving the accuracy and accuracy of the power line expansion analysis of the industrial park. Accuracy, ensuring the reliability of power supply and avoiding resource waste and investment redundancy.
S5、目标园区扩张紧急系数分析:综合分析目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数。S5. Analysis of the emergency coefficient of expansion of the target park: Comprehensive analysis of the emergency coefficient of power line expansion corresponding to the target park.
在本发明的具体实施例中,所述目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数,其具体计算公式为:。In a specific embodiment of the present invention, the specific calculation formula for the power line expansion emergency coefficient corresponding to the target park is: .
S6、目标园区扩张紧急系数处理:将目标园区对应的电力线路扩张紧急系数进行显示。S6. Target park expansion emergency coefficient processing: Display the power line expansion emergency coefficient corresponding to the target park.
以上内容仅仅是对本发明结构所作的举例和说明,所属本技术领域的技术人员对所描述的具体实施例做各种各样的修改或补充或采用类似的方式替代,只要不偏离发明的结构或者超越本发明所定义的范围,均应属于本发明的保护范围。The above contents are only examples and descriptions of the structure of the present invention. Those skilled in the art may make various modifications or supplements to the described specific embodiments or substitute them in similar ways, as long as they do not deviate from the structure of the invention or Anything beyond the scope defined by the present invention shall belong to the protection scope of the present invention.
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