CN116341788A - A Power Fingerprint Precise Governance Method for Distribution Network Line Loss Analysis - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明属于电网线损分析智能化治理技术领域,具体涉及一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法。The invention belongs to the technical field of intelligent management of power grid line loss analysis, and in particular relates to a precise power fingerprint management method for distribution network line loss analysis.
背景技术Background technique
电网损耗大多发生在中、低压配电网中,通过配电网线路和台区线损的治理不但可以降低电能损耗,还能及时发现计量装置异常、三相负荷不平衡、窃电等各类用电异常行为。因此,线损管理直接关系到企业的经济效益和国家节能政策的贯彻落实,而如何降低线损已经成为了供电企业的重点工作以及电力工作者的重点研究对象。Most of the grid loss occurs in the medium and low voltage distribution network. The management of the distribution network line and the line loss of the station area can not only reduce the power loss, but also detect the abnormality of the metering device, the imbalance of the three-phase load, and theft of electricity in time. Abnormal behavior of electricity consumption. Therefore, line loss management is directly related to the economic benefits of enterprises and the implementation of national energy-saving policies, and how to reduce line loss has become the key work of power supply enterprises and the key research object of electric power workers.
目前电网公司在用的线损分析智能化技术手段主要是通过同期线损系统和用电信息采集系统的台区体检、降损闭环管理等功能模块实现线损诊断,定位线损异常问题,但仍存在其局限性,缺失一套从大数据角度聚焦线损与电量的关系模型方案,挖掘识别线损与电量数据问题的线损精准治理方法,从而提高线损治理工作效率。At present, the intelligent technical means of line loss analysis used by power grid companies mainly realizes line loss diagnosis and locates abnormal line loss problems through functional modules such as the simultaneous line loss system and the power consumption information collection system, such as station area physical examination and loss reduction closed-loop management. It still has its limitations. It lacks a set of relationship model solutions that focus on line loss and power from the perspective of big data, and digs out the accurate management method of line loss to identify the problems of line loss and power data, so as to improve the efficiency of line loss management.
发明内容Contents of the invention
为了解决背景技术中的问题,切实降低线损治理人工工作量,提高线损治理工作效率,本发明提供了一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,实现了线损异常点定位并对是否可能发生异常进行嫌疑诊断和预警,具备降低线损治理人工工作量,提高线损治理工作效率的优点。In order to solve the problems in the background technology, effectively reduce the manual workload of line loss management, and improve the efficiency of line loss management, the present invention provides a precise power fingerprint management method for distribution network line loss analysis, which realizes the location of line loss abnormal points and Suspicion diagnosis and early warning for possible abnormalities have the advantages of reducing the manual workload of line loss control and improving the efficiency of line loss control.
为了实现以上目的,本发明采用的技术方案为:一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,包括如下步骤:In order to achieve the above objectives, the technical solution adopted by the present invention is: a method for accurately managing power fingerprints for distribution network line loss analysis, including the following steps:
S1、数据采集;所采集数据包括运行信息数据,按照数据申请流程采集所需数据;S1. Data collection; the collected data includes operation information data, and the required data is collected according to the data application process;
S2、数据处理:在分析线损率与下挂用户用电量相关性时,对于骤变数据处理;对线损和电量的数据信号进行模态分解,提前将用户数据取出;对于有缺失的用电量数据使用拉格朗日插值法进行数据填补;S2. Data processing: when analyzing the correlation between the line loss rate and the power consumption of the downlink users, for the sudden change data processing; for the data signal of the line loss and power consumption, the modal decomposition is performed, and the user data is taken out in advance; for missing The electricity consumption data is filled with Lagrangian interpolation method;
S3、“电力指纹”提取分析:S3. "Power fingerprint" extraction and analysis:
3.1)、将指纹识别带入到电力曲线数据生成,将包括台区的各层级对象的连续型数据转换为图数纹理,对图数纹理进行拟合,形成真实的配电网线损变动状态的图谱,即线损“电力指纹”,分别构建线损、电量指纹图谱;3.1) Bring fingerprint recognition into the generation of power curve data, convert the continuous data of each level object including the station area into a map texture, and fit the map texture to form a real distribution network line loss change state Atlas, that is, the "power fingerprint" of line loss, constructs line loss and electric quantity fingerprints respectively;
3.2)、抽样选取线损异常台区的“电力指纹”,从集中趋势、离散程度、分布特征描述性统计视角对提取的指纹进行特征分析,直观呈现电量与线损的影响关系;3.2) Sampling and selecting the "power fingerprint" of the station area with abnormal line loss, analyzing the characteristics of the extracted fingerprint from the perspective of central tendency, degree of dispersion, and descriptive statistics of distribution characteristics, and intuitively presenting the influence relationship between power and line loss;
S4、建模分析:S4. Modeling analysis:
4.1)、指纹图谱相关性分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹的波动与下挂用户电量指纹的波动相关性分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户;4.1) Fingerprint correlation analysis model: By carrying out the correlation analysis between the fluctuation of the line loss fingerprint in the station area and the fluctuation of the fingerprint of the connected user's electricity, locate the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area;
4.2)、指纹波动变化量分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的变化拐点分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户;4.2) The analysis model of fingerprint fluctuation variation: through the analysis of the inflection point of the change of the fingerprint fluctuation of the line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the user's electricity under the connection, locate the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area;
4.3)、指纹信号经验模态分解模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的时频信号分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户;4.3) Empirical mode decomposition model of fingerprint signal: by analyzing the time-frequency signal analysis of the fingerprint fluctuation of the line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the electricity quantity of the downlink user, locate the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area;
S5、以异常用户嫌疑程度分级为落脚点,建立方法策略模型。S5. Based on the grading of the suspicion degree of abnormal users as a foothold, a method strategy model is established.
进一步的,步骤S1中,所述运行信息数据包括10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及日冻结电量、线损;Further, in step S1, the operation information data includes the file information of 10 kV distribution network line, station area, high and low voltage users, and daily frozen power and line loss;
步骤S2中,提前将日均用电量为0及日均用电量小于1kW·h用户数据取出;In step S2, the data of users whose daily average power consumption is 0 and daily average power consumption is less than 1kW·h are taken out in advance;
步骤S3中,所述各层级对象的连续型数据包括线路、台区、用户的数据。In step S3, the continuous data of each hierarchical object includes data of lines, stations, and users.
再进一步的,步骤4.1)的建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除每日用电量均为零用户、删除无用字段;②提取指纹图谱,包括台区线损率与挂接用户用电量的指纹曲线图谱;③计算相关系数,利用皮尔逊等相关系数方法量化分析每个用户电量指纹与台区线损率指纹的相关程度;④定位强相关用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的相关系数结果,筛选定位电量指纹与线损指纹同向变动强相关的异常嫌疑用户。Further, the modeling process of step 4.1): ①data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, eliminating users with zero daily electricity consumption, and deleting useless fields; ②extracting fingerprints, including station area lines The fingerprint curve map of the loss rate and the electricity consumption of the connected users; ③Calculate the correlation coefficient, and use Pearson and other correlation coefficient methods to quantitatively analyze the correlation degree between each user’s power fingerprint and the line loss rate fingerprint of the station area; ④Locate the strongly related users, Using the results of the correlation coefficient between the power consumption of each user and the line loss of the station area, screen and locate the abnormal suspect users whose power fingerprint and line loss fingerprint have a strong correlation in the same direction.
再进一步的,步骤4.2)的建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除无效数据、数据宽表拼接;②锁定变化拐点日期,选择台区线损曲线变化最明显的突变点;③计算拐点k值,利用定义好的“K值=用户电量变化量/台区损耗电量变化量”模型规则计算每个用户电量变化速度所引起台区线损电量变化速度的K值;④定位异常用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的K值结果,筛选定位对台区线损异常相对偏离度大的异常嫌疑用户。Further, the modeling process of step 4.2): ①Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, elimination of invalid data, and splicing of wide data tables; ②Lock the date of the inflection point of change, and select the most obvious change in the line loss curve of the station area ③Calculate the k value of the inflection point, and use the defined "K value = user power change amount/station area loss power change" model rule to calculate the K of the station area line loss power change rate caused by each user's
再进一步的,步骤4.3)的建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、对缺失数据进行拉格朗日插值、日均用电量计算、宽表拼接;②计算用户用电量与台区线损率的相关系数r,并基于日均用电量和相关系数r进行结果排序;③抽取排序前5%用户作为初筛用户,通过EMD算法对用户用电量和台区损耗电量进行信号模态分解,分别提取高频分量(IMF),并完成信号图谱拟合;④标记异常用户,利用指纹信号经验模态分解结果,筛选定位线损异常嫌疑用户。Further, the modeling process of step 4.3): ①Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, Lagrangian interpolation for missing data, calculation of daily average electricity consumption, and wide table splicing; ②Calculation of user electricity consumption Correlation coefficient r between power consumption and station area line loss rate, and sort the results based on daily average power consumption and correlation coefficient r; ③ Select the top 5% users as the primary screening users, and use the EMD algorithm to analyze the user power consumption and Decompose the power consumption in the station area for signal mode decomposition, extract high-frequency components (IMF) respectively, and complete signal spectrum fitting; ④ mark abnormal users, use the empirical mode decomposition results of fingerprint signals to screen and locate suspected users with abnormal line loss.
再进一步的,所述步骤S5包括:Still further, the step S5 includes:
方法策略模型构建:以“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”三大配电网线损“电力指纹”异常用户识别算法模型,分别定位出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围,并为异常用户嫌疑程度进行梯度标签划分;针对用户在各个分析模型下的划分结果,结合用户自身在线损正常和异常时段的运行数据,进行电量变化趋势分析、异常事件分析、设备运行状态分析维度的分析,以辅助核实具体的用电异常行为及发生时段;Method Strategy model construction: The three major distribution network line loss "power fingerprint" abnormal user identification algorithm models are "fingerprint correlation analysis model", "fingerprint fluctuation variation analysis model", and "fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition model". Locate the scope of suspected users that have a strong correlation with line loss abnormalities, and divide the suspicion degree of abnormal users into gradient labels; according to the division results of users under each analysis model, combined with the user's own operating data during normal and abnormal online loss periods, Carry out power trend analysis, abnormal event analysis, and equipment operation status analysis to assist in the verification of specific abnormal power consumption behaviors and occurrence periods;
应用流程:①将10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及电量、线损相关数据,导入至三大线损异常用户识别算法模型;②输出模型结果:基于三大模型分别输出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围;③匹配融合三大模型结果标签,完成对异常用户的嫌疑程度综合评级,将嫌疑用户差异化划分;④对不同归类的嫌疑用户,分类执行,直至达到降损目标。Application process: ① Import the file information of 10 kV distribution network lines, station areas, high and low voltage users, and data related to power consumption and line loss into the three major line loss abnormal user identification algorithm models; ② Output model results: based on the three models Respectively output the scope of suspected users that have a strong correlation with line loss anomalies; ③ match and fuse the three major model result labels to complete the comprehensive rating of the degree of suspicion of abnormal users, and differentiate the suspected users; ④ for different categories of suspected users, Execute by category until the loss reduction target is achieved.
进一步的,步骤S4建模分析是基于线损与电量关联分析进行异常用户定位的业务实现逻辑及前期数据处理,框定机器学习、深度学习大数据相关算法范围,通过Python训练对算法之间的效果、效率和稳定性进行优劣对比分析,最终基于电量与线损图谱指纹,完成“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”三大线损异常用户识别算法模型的训练及构建。Furthermore, the modeling analysis in step S4 is based on the correlation analysis of line loss and power consumption for abnormal user positioning business implementation logic and early data processing, frame the scope of machine learning, deep learning big data related algorithms, and use Python training to affect the effect between algorithms , Efficiency and stability for comparative analysis, and finally based on the power and line loss spectrum fingerprints, complete the "Fingerprint Correlation Analysis Model", "Fingerprint Fluctuation Variation Analysis Model", and "Fingerprint Signal Empirical Mode Decomposition Model" The training and construction of the algorithm model of line loss abnormal user identification.
本发明的技术效果在于:本发明的一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,实现了线损异常点定位并对是否可能发生异常进行嫌疑诊断和预警,具备降低线损治理人工工作量,提高线损治理工作效率的优点。The technical effect of the present invention lies in: the precise power fingerprint management method of the distribution network line loss analysis of the present invention realizes the location of the abnormal point of the line loss and conducts suspicious diagnosis and early warning on whether the abnormality may occur, and has the ability to reduce the manual work of line loss management The advantages of improving the efficiency of line loss management.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为本发明的具体实施例中台区A日线损率指纹图谱曲线图;Fig. 1 is the fingerprint spectrum graph of line loss rate A day in Taiwan area in the specific embodiment of the present invention;
图2为本发明的具体实施例中台区A日供售电量指纹图谱曲线图;Fig. 2 is a graph of the fingerprint spectrum graph of electricity supply and sales in Taiwan District A day in a specific embodiment of the present invention;
图3为本发明的具体实施例中台区下挂用户a电量与线损相关性分析图表;Fig. 3 is a graph showing the correlation analysis between power consumption and line loss of user a under the station area in a specific embodiment of the present invention;
图4为本发明的具体实施例中台区A日线损变化拐点指纹曲线图;Fig. 4 is the inflection point fingerprint graph of line loss change in Taiwan area A day in the specific embodiment of the present invention;
图5为本发明的具体实施例中台区下挂用户b指纹信号高频分量图;Fig. 5 is a high-frequency component diagram of the fingerprint signal of user b under the platform area in a specific embodiment of the present invention;
图6为本发明的具体实施例中配电网线损分析的“电力指纹”精准治理方法应用流程图;Fig. 6 is a flow chart of the application of the "power fingerprint" precise management method for distribution network line loss analysis in a specific embodiment of the present invention;
图7为本发明的具体实施例中相关性建模算法示意图。Fig. 7 is a schematic diagram of a correlation modeling algorithm in a specific embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some, not all, embodiments of the present invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts belong to the protection scope of the present invention.
一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,包括以下步骤:A precise power fingerprint management method for distribution network line loss analysis, comprising the following steps:
S1、数据采集:所采集数据包括10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及日冻结电量、线损等运行信息数据,按照数据申请流程采集所需数据;S1. Data collection: The collected data includes the file information of 10kV distribution network lines, station areas, high and low voltage users, daily frozen power, line loss and other operational information data, and collects the required data according to the data application process;
S2、数据处理:在分析线损率与下挂用户用电量相关性时,对于突增、突减等骤变数据同样具有分析价值,无需进行异常值的处理;对线损和电量的数据信号进行模态分解,提前将“零电量”(日均用电量为0)及“小电量”(日均用电量小于1kW·h)等用户数据取出,以避免影响到算法准确性和适用性;对于有缺失的用电量数据使用拉格朗日插值法进行数据填补;S2. Data processing: When analyzing the correlation between the line loss rate and the power consumption of the downlink users, it is also valuable to analyze sudden changes such as sudden increase and decrease, without the need to process abnormal values; for the data of line loss and power consumption The signal is modal decomposed, and user data such as "zero power consumption" (the average daily power consumption is 0) and "small power consumption" (the average daily power consumption is less than 1kW h) are taken out in advance to avoid affecting the accuracy of the algorithm and Applicability; use Lagrangian interpolation method to fill in missing electricity consumption data;
S3、“电力指纹”提取分析:S3. "Power fingerprint" extraction and analysis:
3.1)、将指纹识别带入到电力曲线数据生成,将线路、台区、用户等各层级对象的连续型数据转换为图数纹理,对图数纹理进行拟合,形成真实的配电网线损变动状态的图谱,即线损“电力指纹”,分别构建线损、电量指纹图谱;3.1) Bring fingerprint recognition into power curve data generation, convert the continuous data of various levels of objects such as lines, stations, users, etc. into map textures, and fit the map textures to form real distribution network line losses The map of the changing state, that is, the "power fingerprint" of the line loss, respectively constructs the line loss and electric power fingerprints;
3.2)、抽样选取线损异常台区的“电力指纹”,从集中趋势、离散程度、分布特征等描述性统计视角对提取的指纹进行特征分析,直观呈现电量与线损的影响关系;分析方法同样适用于其它10千伏配网线路与台区分析;3.2) Sampling and selecting the "power fingerprint" of the abnormal line loss station area, analyzing the characteristics of the extracted fingerprint from the perspective of descriptive statistics such as central tendency, degree of dispersion, and distribution characteristics, and intuitively presenting the influence relationship between power and line loss; analysis method It is also applicable to the analysis of other 10 kV distribution network lines and station areas;
S4、建模分析:S4. Modeling analysis:
4.1)、指纹图谱相关性分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹的波动与下挂用户电量指纹的波动相关性分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。4.1) Fingerprint correlation analysis model: By carrying out the correlation analysis between the fluctuation of the line loss fingerprint in the station area and the fluctuation of the power fingerprint of the connected user, locate the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area.
建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除每日用电量均为零用户、删除无用字段等;②提取指纹图谱,包括台区线损率与挂接用户用电量的指纹曲线图谱;③计算相关系数,利用皮尔逊等相关系数方法量化分析每个用户电量指纹与台区线损率指纹的相关程度;④定位强相关用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的相关系数结果,筛选定位电量指纹与线损指纹同向变动强相关的异常嫌疑用户;Modeling process: ① Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user power consumption data, eliminating users with zero daily power consumption, deleting useless fields, etc.; Electricity fingerprint curve; ③Calculate the correlation coefficient, and use Pearson and other correlation coefficient methods to quantitatively analyze the degree of correlation between each user’s electricity fingerprint and the line loss rate fingerprint of the station area; ④Locate strongly related users, and use the electricity consumption of each user Based on the results of the correlation coefficient with the line loss in the station area, screen and locate abnormal suspects whose power fingerprints and line loss fingerprints are strongly correlated with changes in the same direction;
4.2)、指纹波动变化量分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的变化拐点分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。4.2) Analysis model of fingerprint fluctuation variation: By analyzing the inflection point of the change of fingerprint fluctuation of line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the electricity quantity of the connected users, the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of line loss in the station area is located.
建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除无效数据、数据宽表拼接等;②锁定变化拐点日期,选择台区线损曲线变化最明显的突变点;③计算拐点k值,利用定义好的“K值=用户电量变化量/台区损耗电量变化量”模型规则计算每个用户电量变化速度所引起台区线损电量变化速度的K值;④定位异常用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的K值结果,筛选定位对台区线损异常相对偏离度大的异常嫌疑用户;Modeling process: ①Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, elimination of invalid data, data wide table splicing, etc.; ②Lock the date of the inflection point of change, and select the most obvious mutation point of the line loss curve in the station area; ③Calculate the inflection point K value, using the defined model rule of "K value = change of user's power quantity/change of power consumption in the station area" to calculate the K value of the change speed of line loss power in the station area caused by the change speed of each user's power; ④ locate abnormal users, Use the K value results of each user's electricity consumption and the line loss of the station area to screen and locate the abnormal suspect users with a large relative deviation from the abnormal line loss of the station area;
4.3)、指纹信号经验模态分解模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的时频信号分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。4.3) Empirical mode decomposition model of fingerprint signal: By analyzing the time-frequency signal analysis of the fingerprint fluctuation of the line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the electricity quantity of the downlink user, the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area is located.
建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、对缺失数据进行拉格朗日插值、日均用电量计算、宽表拼接等;②计算用户用电量与台区线损率的相关系数r,并基于日均用电量和相关系数r进行结果排序;③抽取排序前5%用户作为初筛用户,通过EMD算法对用户用电量和台区损耗电量进行信号模态分解,分别提取高频分量(IMF),并完成信号图谱拟合;④标记异常用户,利用指纹信号经验模态分解结果,筛选定位线损异常嫌疑用户;Modeling process: ① Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, Lagrangian interpolation for missing data, daily average electricity consumption calculation, wide table splicing, etc.; ② Calculation of user electricity consumption and station area lines The correlation coefficient r of the loss rate, and the results are sorted based on the daily average power consumption and the correlation coefficient r; ③ The top 5% users are selected as the primary screening users, and the signal simulation of the user power consumption and the power consumption of the station area is carried out through the EMD algorithm. modal decomposition, extract high-frequency components (IMF) respectively, and complete signal spectrum fitting; ④ mark abnormal users, and use fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition results to screen and locate suspected users with abnormal line loss;
S5、建立精准治理方法策略模型,是在大数据建模分析成果如何落地应用的视角,以异常用户嫌疑程度分级为落脚点,提供一套差异化治理策略(模型)及模型结果应用流程:S5. Establishing a precise governance method strategy model is to provide a set of differentiated governance strategies (models) and the application process of model results from the perspective of how big data modeling and analysis results are implemented and applied based on the classification of abnormal user suspicion levels:
方法策略模型构建:以(“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”)三大配电网线损“电力指纹”异常用户识别算法模型,分别定位出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围,并为异常用户嫌疑程度进行梯度标签划分,划分规则由各模型规则确定。针对用户在各个分析模型下的划分结果,结合用户自身在线损正常和异常时段的运行数据,进行电量变化趋势分析、异常事件分析、设备运行状态分析等维度的分析,以辅助核实具体的用电异常行为及发生时段,辅助进行降损治理规划。Method Strategy model construction: using ("fingerprint correlation analysis model", "fingerprint fluctuation analysis model", "fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition model") three major distribution network line loss "power fingerprint" abnormal user identification algorithm models , respectively locate the range of suspected users that have a strong correlation with the line loss anomaly, and perform gradient label division for the degree of suspicion of abnormal users, and the division rules are determined by each model rule. Based on the user's division results under each analysis model, combined with the user's own operating data during normal and abnormal periods of online loss, analysis of power variation trend analysis, abnormal event analysis, and equipment operating status analysis are carried out to assist in verifying specific power consumption. Abnormal behavior and occurrence time, assisting in loss reduction management planning.
应用流程:①将10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及电量、线损等相关数据,导入至(“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”)三大线损异常用户识别算法模型;②输出模型结果:基于三大模型分别输出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围;③匹配融合三大模型结果标签,完成对异常用户的嫌疑程度综合评级,将嫌疑用户差异化划分(如划分为“重点关注、一般关注、不重点关注”);④对不同归类的嫌疑用户,(提出采用差异化的精准治理策略,)分类(施策)执行,直至达到降损目标。Application process: ① Import the file information of 10 kV distribution network lines, station areas, high and low voltage users, power consumption, line loss and other related data into ("Fingerprint Correlation Analysis Model", "Fingerprint Fluctuation Variation Analysis Model" , "Fingerprint Signal Empirical Mode Decomposition Model") three major line loss abnormal user identification algorithm models; ② output model results: based on the three models, respectively output the range of suspected users that have a strong correlation with line loss anomalies; ③ matching and fusion of the three major The model result label completes the comprehensive rating of the degree of suspicion of abnormal users, and differentiates the suspected users (such as dividing into "key attention, general attention, and non-key attention"); According to the precise management strategy,) classification (policy) implementation, until the loss reduction target is achieved.
本发明的一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,该方法针对基层人员在线损治理过程中人工排查效率低、基础数据量大、异常根因诊断难度大等问题,依托多算法融合的大数据建模分析技术,聚焦线损与电量时序波动关联关系深入分析研究,构建了一套配电网线损分析“电力指纹”大数据分析模型及精准治理方法,助力线损异常嫌疑用户定位和分析,提供差异化精准治理策略,从而降低线损治理人工工作量,提高线损治理工作效率。The present invention relates to a power fingerprint precision management method for distribution network line loss analysis. This method aims at problems such as low efficiency of manual investigation, large amount of basic data, and difficulty in diagnosis of abnormal root causes in the process of line loss management by grassroots personnel, relying on multi-algorithm fusion Advanced big data modeling and analysis technology, focusing on in-depth analysis and research on the relationship between line loss and power time series fluctuations, and constructing a set of distribution network line loss analysis "power fingerprint" big data analysis model and precise management methods to help locate users suspected of abnormal line loss And analysis, providing differentiated and precise management strategies, thereby reducing the manual workload of line loss management and improving the efficiency of line loss management.
基于本发明的具体实施例,仅为本发明较佳的具体实施方式,但本发明的保护范围并不局限于此,任何熟悉本技术领域的技术人员在本发明揭露的技术范围内,根据本发明的技术方案及其发明构思加以等同替换或改变,都应涵盖在本发明的保护范围之内。Based on the specific embodiment of the present invention, it is only a preferred specific implementation mode of the present invention, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited thereto. Any equivalent replacement or change of the technical solution of the invention and its inventive concept shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
具体的,一种配电网线损分析的电力指纹精准治理方法,包括以下步骤:Specifically, a precise power fingerprint management method for distribution network line loss analysis includes the following steps:
S1、数据采集:采集所需数据包括10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及日冻结电量、线损等运行信息,按照数据申请流程采集所需数据;S1. Data collection: the data required for collection includes file information of 10kV distribution network lines, station areas, high and low voltage users, daily frozen power, line loss and other operational information, and the required data is collected according to the data application process;
S2、数据处理:在分析线损率与下挂用户用电量相关性时,对于突增、突减等骤变数据同样具有分析价值,无需进行异常值的处理;对线损和电量的数据信号进行模态分解,提前将“零电量”(日均用电量为0)及“小电量”(日均用电量小于1kW·h)等用户数据取出,以避免影响到算法准确性和适用性;对于有缺失的用电量数据使用拉格朗日插值法进行数据填补;S2. Data processing: When analyzing the correlation between the line loss rate and the power consumption of the downlink users, it is also valuable to analyze sudden changes such as sudden increase and decrease, without the need to process abnormal values; for the data of line loss and power consumption The signal is modal decomposed, and user data such as "zero power consumption" (the average daily power consumption is 0) and "small power consumption" (the average daily power consumption is less than 1kW h) are taken out in advance to avoid affecting the accuracy of the algorithm and Applicability; use Lagrangian interpolation method to fill in missing electricity consumption data;
S3、“电力指纹”提取分析:S3. "Power fingerprint" extraction and analysis:
3.1)、将指纹识别带入到电力曲线数据生成,将线路、台区、用户等各层级对象的连续型数据转换为图数纹理,对图数纹理进行拟合,形成真实的配电网线损变动状态的图谱,即线损“电力指纹”,分别构建线损、电量指纹图谱;3.1) Bring fingerprint recognition into power curve data generation, convert the continuous data of various levels of objects such as lines, stations, users, etc. into map textures, and fit the map textures to form real distribution network line losses The map of the changing state, that is, the "power fingerprint" of the line loss, respectively constructs the line loss and electric power fingerprints;
3.2)、抽样选取线损异常台区的“电力指纹”,从集中趋势、离散程度、分布特征等描述性统计视角对提取的指纹进行特征分析,直观呈现电量与线损的影响关系;具体实施结果参照图1、2;该步骤同样适用于其它10千伏配网线路与台区分析;3.2) Sampling and selecting the "power fingerprint" of the abnormal line loss station area, analyzing the characteristics of the extracted fingerprint from the perspective of descriptive statistics such as central tendency, degree of dispersion, and distribution characteristics, and intuitively presenting the influence relationship between power and line loss; specific implementation Refer to Figures 1 and 2 for the results; this step is also applicable to the analysis of other 10 kV distribution network lines and station areas;
S4、建模分析:基于线损与电量关联分析进行异常用户定位的业务实现逻辑及前期数据处理,框定机器学习、深度学习大数据相关算法范围,通过Python训练对算法之间的效果、效率和稳定性进行优劣对比分析,最终基于电量与线损图谱指纹,完成“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”三大线损异常用户识别算法模型的训练及构建:S4. Modeling analysis: Based on the correlation analysis of line loss and power consumption, the business implementation logic and early data processing of abnormal user location are framed, and the scope of machine learning and deep learning big data related algorithms is framed. The effect, efficiency and The advantages and disadvantages of the stability are compared and analyzed, and finally based on the fingerprint of the electric quantity and the line loss map, the three major line loss anomalies of the "fingerprint map correlation analysis model", "fingerprint fluctuation variation analysis model", and "fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition model" are completed Training and construction of user identification algorithm model:
4.1)、指纹图谱相关性分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹的波动与下挂用户电量指纹的波动相关性分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除每日用电量均为零用户(共8个)、删除无用字段;②提取指纹图谱,包括台区线损率与挂接用户用电量的指纹曲线图谱;③计算相关系数,利用皮尔逊等相关系数方法量化分析每个用户电量指纹与台区线损率指纹的相关程度;④定位强相关用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的相关系数结果,筛选定位电量指纹与线损指纹同向变动强相关的异常嫌疑用户;参照图3;4.1) Fingerprint correlation analysis model: By carrying out the correlation analysis between the fluctuation of the line loss fingerprint in the station area and the fluctuation of the power fingerprint of the connected user, locate the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area. Modeling process: ① Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, elimination of users with zero daily electricity consumption (8 in total), and deletion of useless fields; ② Fingerprint extraction, including line loss rate and Connect the fingerprint curve of the user's power consumption; ③ calculate the correlation coefficient, and use Pearson and other correlation coefficient methods to quantitatively analyze the degree of correlation between each user's power fingerprint and the line loss rate fingerprint of the station area; ④ locate strongly related users, use each The results of the correlation coefficient between the user's electricity consumption and the line loss of the station area are used to screen and locate abnormal suspected users whose electricity fingerprints and line loss fingerprints are strongly correlated with changes in the same direction; refer to Figure 3;
4.2)、指纹波动变化量分析模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的变化拐点分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、剔除无效数据、数据宽表拼接等;②锁定变化拐点日期,选择台区线损曲线变化最明显的突变点;③计算拐点k值,利用定义好的模型规则计算每个用户电量变化速度所引起台区线损电量变化速度的K值;④定位异常用户,利用每个用户用电量与台区线损的K值结果,筛选定位对台区线损异常相对偏离度大的异常嫌疑用户;参照图4;4.2) Analysis model of fingerprint fluctuation variation: By analyzing the inflection point of the change of fingerprint fluctuation of line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the electricity quantity of the connected users, the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of line loss in the station area is located. Modeling process: ①Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, elimination of invalid data, data wide table splicing, etc.; ②Lock the date of the inflection point of change, and select the most obvious mutation point of the line loss curve in the station area; ③Calculate the inflection point K value, use the defined model rules to calculate the K value of the change speed of power loss in the station area caused by the power change speed of each user; ④ locate abnormal users, use the K value results of the power consumption of each user and the line loss of the station area , screening and locating abnormal suspected users with a large relative deviation from line loss anomalies in the station area; refer to Figure 4;
4.3)、指纹信号经验模态分解模型:通过开展台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的时频信号分析,定位影响台区线损异常波动的嫌疑用户。建模过程:①数据预处理,包括用户用电量数据去重、对缺失数据进行拉格朗日插值、日均用电量计算、宽表拼接等;②计算用户用电量与台区线损率的相关系数r,并基于日均用电量和相关系数r进行结果排序;③抽取排序前5%用户作为初筛用户,通过EMD算法对用户用电量和台区损耗电量进行信号模态分解,分别提取高频分量(IMF),并完成信号图谱拟合;④标记异常用户,利用指纹信号经验模态分解结果,筛选定位线损异常嫌疑用户;参照图5;4.3) Empirical mode decomposition model of fingerprint signal: By analyzing the time-frequency signal analysis of the fingerprint fluctuation of the line loss in the station area and the fingerprint fluctuation of the electricity quantity of the downlink user, the suspected user who affects the abnormal fluctuation of the line loss in the station area is located. Modeling process: ① Data preprocessing, including deduplication of user electricity consumption data, Lagrangian interpolation for missing data, daily average electricity consumption calculation, wide table splicing, etc.; ② Calculation of user electricity consumption and station area lines The correlation coefficient r of the loss rate, and the results are sorted based on the daily average power consumption and the correlation coefficient r; ③ The top 5% users are selected as the primary screening users, and the signal simulation of the user power consumption and the power consumption of the station area is carried out through the EMD algorithm. Mode decomposition, extracting high-frequency components (IMF) respectively, and completing signal spectrum fitting; ④ mark abnormal users, and use fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition results to screen and locate suspected users with abnormal line loss; refer to Figure 5;
S5、建立精准治理方法策略模型:以异常用户嫌疑程度分级为落脚点,建立方法策略模型;S5. Establish a precise governance method strategy model: take the abnormal user suspicion level as the foothold, and establish a method strategy model;
方法策略模型构建:以“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”三大配电网线损“电力指纹”异常用户识别算法模型,分别定位出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围,并为异常用户嫌疑程度进行梯度标签划分。Method Strategy model construction: The three major distribution network line loss "power fingerprint" abnormal user identification algorithm models are "fingerprint correlation analysis model", "fingerprint fluctuation variation analysis model", and "fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition model". Locate the range of suspected users that have a strong correlation with line loss anomalies, and divide the suspected degree of abnormal users into gradient labels.
匹配融合三大模型结果标签,完成对异常用户的嫌疑程度综合评级;参照下表:Match and fuse the result labels of the three major models to complete the comprehensive rating of the degree of suspicion of abnormal users; refer to the following table:
具体应用流程:①将10千伏配网线路、台区、高低压用户的档案信息以及电量、线损等相关数据,导入至“指纹图谱相关性分析模型”、“指纹波动变化量分析模型”、“指纹信号经验模态分解模型”三大线损异常用户识别算法模型;②输出模型结果:基于三大模型分别输出与线损异常存在较强关联的嫌疑用户范围;③匹配融合三大模型结果标签,完成对异常用户的嫌疑程度综合评级,将嫌疑用户差异化划分(具体划分为“重点关注、一般关注、不重点关注”);④对不同归类的嫌疑用户,(提出采用差异化的精准治理策略,)分类施策,直至达到降损目标;参照图6。Specific application process: ① Import the file information of 10 kV distribution network lines, station areas, high and low voltage users, power consumption, line loss and other related data into the "Fingerprint Correlation Analysis Model" and "Fingerprint Fluctuation Variation Analysis Model" , "Fingerprint Signal Empirical Mode Decomposition Model" three major line loss abnormal user identification algorithm models; ②Output model results: based on the three models, respectively output the range of suspected users that have a strong correlation with line loss abnormalities; ③Matching and fusion of the three major models The result label completes the comprehensive rating of the degree of suspicion of abnormal users, and differentiates the suspected users (specifically divided into "key attention, general attention, and non-key attention"); precise governance strategy,) implement classified policies until the loss reduction target is achieved; refer to Figure 6.
上述步骤S4建模算法,为找到与台区线损波动关联性强的用户(以用户王某的用电量为例),使用皮尔逊相关系数、斯皮尔曼相关性分析方法,计算每个用户电量与台区线损率的关联性,并给定相关系数阈值,若相关系数的绝对值大于给定阈值,则定义为该用户电量与台区线损关联性异常;The above step S4 modeling algorithm, in order to find the user with strong correlation with the line loss fluctuation in the station area (take the electricity consumption of user Wang as an example), use the Pearson correlation coefficient and Spearman correlation analysis method to calculate each Correlation between user electricity and station area line loss rate, and a correlation coefficient threshold is given. If the absolute value of the correlation coefficient is greater than the given threshold, it is defined as the abnormal correlation between the user electricity and station area line loss;
相关系数是研究变量之间线性相关程度的量,用字母r表示。相关表和相关图反映两个变量之间的相互关系及其相关方向,但无法确切地表明两个变量之间相关的程度。相关系数是用以反映变量之间相关关系密切程度的统计指标。相关系数是按积差方法计算,以两变量与各自平均值的离差为基础,通过两个离差相乘来反映两变量之间相关程度,公式如下(其中Cov(X,Y)为X与Y的协方差,Var[X]为X的方差,Var[Y]为Y的方差)。The correlation coefficient is the measure of the degree of linear correlation between the studied variables, denoted by the letter r. Correlation tables and correlograms reflect the relationship between two variables and their direction of correlation, but cannot exactly indicate the degree of correlation between two variables. The correlation coefficient is a statistical indicator used to reflect the closeness of the correlation between variables. The correlation coefficient is calculated according to the product difference method, based on the deviation between the two variables and their respective average values, and the degree of correlation between the two variables is reflected by multiplying the two deviations. The formula is as follows (where Cov(X,Y) is X Covariance with Y, Var[X] is variance of X, Var[Y] is variance of Y).
r值的绝对值介于0~1之间。|r|越接近1,表示两个变量之间的相关程度就越强,反之,|r|越接近于0,两个变量之间的相关程度就越弱;相关系数r结果分类表:The absolute value of r is between 0 and 1. The closer |r| is to 1, the stronger the degree of correlation between the two variables, conversely, the closer |r| is to 0, the weaker the degree of correlation between the two variables; the correlation coefficient r result classification table:
上述步骤基于指纹图谱相关性分析的用户嫌疑分级:The above steps are based on user suspicion classification of fingerprint correlation analysis:
基于指纹图谱相关性分析模型,实现了线路/台区线损与下挂用户用电量之间的相关系数分析计算,根据相关系数值进行用户嫌疑的差异化评级,具体如下:Based on the fingerprint correlation analysis model, the correlation coefficient analysis and calculation between the line/station area line loss and the power consumption of the connected users is realized, and the user suspicion is differentiated according to the correlation coefficient value. The details are as follows:
|r|值在0.9以上的为“极强相关”,|r|值在0.7-0.9之间的为“强相关”,|r|值在0.4-0.7之间的为“中度相关”,|r|值在0.2-0.4之间的为“弱相关”,|r|值在0.2以下的为“极弱相关”。The |r| value is above 0.9 as "very strong correlation", the |r| value is between 0.7-0.9 as "strong correlation", and the |r| value is between 0.4-0.7 as "moderate correlation". The value of |r| between 0.2-0.4 is "weak correlation", and the value of |r| below 0.2 is "very weak correlation".
对标签是“极强相关”、“强相关”、“中度相关”分类的用户进行关注,核查此类用户是否存在异常用电情况。Pay attention to users whose labels are classified as "extremely relevant", "strongly relevant", and "moderately relevant", and check whether such users have abnormal power consumption.
上述步骤基于指纹波动变化量分析的用户嫌疑分级:The above steps are based on user suspicion classification based on fingerprint fluctuation analysis:
基于指纹波动变化量分析模型,实现了计算线路/台区线损与下挂用户电量变化速度关系,即用电电量变化所引起线路/台区线损电量变化速度的K值计算。根据K值进行用户嫌疑的二分类,具体如下:Based on the analysis model of fingerprint fluctuation variation, the calculation of the relationship between the line/station area line loss and the power change speed of the downlink user is realized, that is, the K value calculation of the line/station area line loss power change speed caused by the change of power consumption. According to the K value, the two classifications of user suspicion are carried out, as follows:
K值为正时,说明此用户对线路/台区线损异常加成,作为异常嫌疑用户进一步诊断分析是否有异常用电行为。当K值越大时,说明此用户用电对线损异常相对偏离度越大。When the K value is positive, it means that the user has an abnormal addition to the line/station area line loss, and further diagnoses and analyzes whether there is abnormal power consumption behavior as an abnormal suspected user. When the K value is larger, it means that the relative deviation degree of the user's power consumption to the abnormal line loss is larger.
上述步骤基于指纹信号经验模态分解的用户嫌疑分级:The above steps are based on user suspicion classification of fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition:
基于指纹信号经验模态分解模型,实现了线损/台区线损指纹波动与下挂用户电量指纹波动的高频信号分析。根据信号波形重合度进行用户嫌疑的二分类,具体如下:Based on the fingerprint signal empirical mode decomposition model, the high-frequency signal analysis of line loss/station area line loss fingerprint fluctuation and downlink user power fingerprint fluctuation is realized. Two classifications of user suspicions are performed according to the coincidence degree of signal waveforms, as follows:
当用户用电量高频分量和线路/台区损耗电量高频分量波形重合度相对较高时,作为异常嫌疑用户进一步诊断分析是否有异常用电行为。当两个波形重合度越高时,说明此用户异常嫌疑越高。When the coincidence degree of the high-frequency component of the user's power consumption and the high-frequency component of the power consumption of the line/station area is relatively high, the user as an abnormal suspect is further diagnosed and analyzed for abnormal power consumption behavior. The higher the coincidence degree of the two waveforms, the higher the user's suspicion of abnormality.
需要说明的是,在本文中术语“包括”、“包含”或者其任何其他变体意在涵盖非排他性的包含,从而使得包括一系列要素的过程、方法、物品或者设备不仅包括那些要素,而且还包括没有明确列出的其他要素,或者是还包括为这种过程、法、物品或者设备所固有的要素。It should be noted that the term "comprising", "comprising" or any other variation thereof is intended to cover a non-exclusive inclusion such that a process, method, article or apparatus comprising a set of elements includes not only those elements, but also Also includes other elements not expressly listed, or which are inherent in the process, method, article, or device.
尽管已经示出和描述了本发明的实施例,对于本领域的普通技术人员而言,可以理解在不脱离本发明的原理和精神的情况下可以对这些实施例进行多种变化、修改、替换和变型。Although the embodiments of the present invention have been shown and described, those skilled in the art can understand that various changes, modifications and substitutions can be made to these embodiments without departing from the principle and spirit of the present invention. and variants.
以上所述仅为本发明的较佳实施例而已,并不用以限制本发明,凡在本发明的精神和方案之内,所作的任何修改、等同替换、改进等,均应包含在本发明的保护范围之内。The above descriptions are only preferred embodiments of the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention. Any modifications, equivalent replacements, improvements, etc. made within the spirit and scheme of the present invention shall be included in the scope of the present invention. within the scope of protection.
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