CN115564551A - A corporate credit rating method based on financial big data - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及企业信用评级领域,尤其涉及一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法。The invention relates to the field of enterprise credit rating, in particular to an enterprise credit rating method based on financial big data.
背景技术Background technique
企业信用指一家第三方征信机构通过征集另一家企业信息,根据征信机构的信用评级规则,评价出的企业信用等级,企业信用管理是对企业的受信活动和授信决策进行的科学管理,广义上讲,企业信用管理是指企业为获得他人提供的信用或授予他人信用而进行的管理活动,是对企业信用交易活动的全过程和企业诚信经营行为的全方位管理,其主要目的是为企业发展信用交易和获取信用资源服务。Enterprise credit refers to the credit rating of an enterprise evaluated by a third-party credit investigation agency based on the collection of another enterprise's information and according to the credit rating rules of the credit investigation agency. Generally speaking, enterprise credit management refers to the management activities carried out by enterprises to obtain credit provided by others or to grant credit to others. Develop credit transactions and obtain credit resource services.
当今主流的信用评级方法主要面向对象为上市公司,在中小企业的信用评级层面现有模型表现不尽如人意,其最主要原因是中小企业披露的财务指标无法客观的反应企业财务现状,而财务指标作为唯一定量分析的数据来源如果真实性得不到保证必将给评级结果的客观公正性大打折扣,为此,我们提出了一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法。Today's mainstream credit rating methods are mainly oriented to listed companies, and the performance of existing models at the credit rating level of small and medium-sized enterprises is not satisfactory. The main reason is that the financial indicators disclosed by small and medium-sized enterprises cannot objectively reflect the company's financial status. As the only data source for quantitative analysis, if the authenticity of indicators is not guaranteed, the objectivity and fairness of the rating results will be greatly compromised. Therefore, we propose a corporate credit rating method based on financial big data.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明的目的是为了解决现有技术中存在的缺点,而提出的一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法。The purpose of the present invention is to solve the shortcomings in the prior art, and propose a method for enterprise credit rating of financial big data.
为了实现上述目的,本发明采用了如下技术方案:In order to achieve the above object, the present invention adopts the following technical solutions:
一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法,包括以下步骤:An enterprise credit rating method based on financial big data, comprising the following steps:
S1:建立企业监管系统机构,将企业信息进行登录核实,同时通过企业监管系统机构对登录的企业进行信息核实分析处理;S1: Establish an enterprise supervision system organization, log in and verify enterprise information, and at the same time conduct information verification, analysis and processing on registered enterprises through the enterprise supervision system organization;
S2:建立企业信用评级机构:通过企业信用评级机构制定评级理念和公司信用分析机构,所述评级理念分为三个组合模块,分别为:主体评级与债项评级相结合,定性分析与定量分析相结合,注重现金流量分析;S2: Establish a corporate credit rating agency: formulate a rating concept and a company credit analysis agency through a corporate credit rating agency. The rating concept is divided into three combined modules, namely: the combination of subject rating and debt rating, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis Combined, pay attention to cash flow analysis;
S3:企业信用定量分析机构:所述企业信用定量分析由一系列考核指标体系构成,主要分三大类:①考察企业资金信用的指标、②考察企业经济效益的指标、③考察企业经营管理的指标;S3: Enterprise Credit Quantitative Analysis Agency: The enterprise credit quantitative analysis is composed of a series of evaluation index systems, which are mainly divided into three categories: ①Indicators for examining corporate capital credit, ②Indicators for examining corporate economic benefits, ③Inspection for corporate management index;
S4:企业信用评级程序:在对企业进行信用评级工作时,一般从调研、初评、复评和结果方面来进行评估,评估工作时间为5周;S4: Enterprise credit rating procedure: when performing credit rating work on an enterprise, it is generally evaluated from the aspects of research, initial evaluation, re-evaluation and results, and the evaluation time is 5 weeks;
S5:通过线性判别分析模型进行企业分析处理。S5: Carry out enterprise analysis processing through the linear discriminant analysis model.
进一步地,通过企业监管系统机构对企业历年企业经营过程是否存在违规情况的存在,同时对企业缴税情况进行分析,并且对企业法人进行个人信息核实审查,查看企业负责人是否存在个人违规行为存在。Further, through the corporate supervision system, the company will analyze whether there are violations in the business process of the company over the years, and at the same time analyze the tax payment of the company, and verify and review the personal information of the corporate legal person to check whether the person in charge of the company has any personal violations. .
进一步地,通过以发行人的主体评级为基础,以债项评级为重点,作为发债主体,企业整体的基本素质、财务状况、经营能力、盈利状况、现金流量、发展前景等方面,将对债券的信用等级确定起到评估基础的作用,同时,募集资金的用途、风险状况、偿债安排等也会直接影响债券的到期偿还。Furthermore, based on the issuer's subject rating and focusing on the debt rating, as the subject of bond issuance, the overall basic quality, financial status, operating capacity, profitability, cash flow, and development prospects of the company will be assessed. The determination of the credit rating of bonds serves as the basis for evaluation. At the same time, the use of raised funds, risk conditions, and debt repayment arrangements will also directly affect the repayment of bonds at maturity.
进一步地,所述注重现金流量分析:债务的到期偿还,需要大量的现金流支出,本公司在评级指标的设定上,采用历史考察、现状分析和未来预测相统一的方法,考察发行人正常经营活动产生现金净流量的能力以及融资项目产生稳定现金流的能力,同时,本公司还运用敏感性分析、压力测试、情景模拟等方法考察发行人在不同经营环境变化下现金流覆盖债务的情况。Further, the above-mentioned focus on cash flow analysis: the repayment of debts at maturity requires a large amount of cash flow expenditures. In setting rating indicators, the company adopts a unified method of historical inspection, current situation analysis and future prediction to examine the issuer's The ability of normal operating activities to generate net cash flow and the ability of financing projects to generate stable cash flow. At the same time, the company also uses methods such as sensitivity analysis, stress testing, and scenario simulation to examine the issuer's ability to cover debt with cash flow under different operating environments. Condition.
进一步地,所述评级程序分为两个步骤:Further, the rating procedure is divided into two steps:
一、实地调研,在对企业进行评估时,通过实地评估能够获取一手资料,能够真实有效的反映企业的情况,评估工作主要从对工作人员的访谈、决策者的设想、企业的工作环境以及企业的经营状况来进行,评估时还要和企业的相关部门以及企业债权人等人员进行调查;1. On-site research. When evaluating an enterprise, first-hand information can be obtained through on-site evaluation, which can truly and effectively reflect the situation of the enterprise. The evaluation work mainly starts from the interviews with the staff, the assumptions of the decision makers, the working environment of the enterprise and the situation of the enterprise. The operating conditions of the enterprise should be carried out, and the relevant departments of the enterprise and the creditors of the enterprise should be investigated during the evaluation;
二、初评建议,通过实地考察调研获取真实有效的数据之后,就可以进入初评阶段,初评阶段主要是由评级小组的人员根据企业的相关资料进行分析整理,根据信用评级体系的规定对企业的数据进行处理,之后将数据输入计算机进行分析。2. Preliminary evaluation suggestions. After obtaining real and effective data through on-the-spot investigation and research, you can enter the initial evaluation stage. The initial evaluation stage is mainly based on the analysis and arrangement of the personnel of the rating team based on the relevant information of the enterprise, and the data of the enterprise according to the provisions of the credit rating system. Processing is performed, after which the data is entered into a computer for analysis.
进一步地,所述其职责包括按照规定监督管理金融市场;发布有关金融监督管理和业务的命令和规章;监督管理金融机构的合法合规运作等,我国的金融监管机构包括“一行两会”,即中国人民银行、银保监会和证监会。Further, its responsibilities include supervising and managing the financial market in accordance with the regulations; issuing orders and regulations related to financial supervision and management and business; supervising and managing the legal and compliant operation of financial institutions, etc. my country's financial regulatory agencies include the "One Bank and Two Councils", namely People's Bank of China, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission and China Securities Regulatory Commission.
进一步地,所述线性判别分析模型为:Z=0.012X1+0.014X2+0.033X3+0.006X4+0.999X5,其中,X1为流动资金/总资产,X2为留存收益/总资产,X3为息税前收益/总资产,X4为股权市值/总负债账面值,X5为销售收入/总资产,临界值为2.675,如果Z小于临界值,借款人被划入违约组,信用级别较低,反之被划入正常组,信用级别较高。Further, the linear discriminant analysis model is: Z=0.012X 1 +0.014X 2 +0.033X 3 +0.006X 4 +0.999X 5 , where X 1 is working capital/total assets, and X 2 is retained earnings/ Total assets, X 3 is earnings before interest and taxes/total assets, X 4 is market value of equity/book value of total liabilities, X 5 is sales revenue/total assets, the critical value is 2.675, if Z is less than the critical value, the borrower is classified as The default group has a lower credit rating, otherwise it is classified into the normal group and has a higher credit rating.
本发明通过企业监管系统机构对企业信息的登录核实,并对企业的经营进行快速的核实,同时可以对企业单位和企业法人的个人违规行为进行快速分析排查处理,有效的对企业和企业法人进行快速信用评级处理。The invention checks the registration of enterprise information through the enterprise supervision system organization, and quickly verifies the operation of the enterprise. At the same time, it can quickly analyze, check, and process the personal violations of enterprise units and enterprise legal persons, and effectively monitor enterprises and enterprise legal persons. Fast credit rating processing.
附图说明Description of drawings
为了更清楚地说明本申请实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明中记载的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application or the prior art, the following will briefly introduce the accompanying drawings that are required in the embodiments. Obviously, the accompanying drawings in the following description are only described in the present invention For some embodiments of the present invention, those skilled in the art can also obtain other drawings according to these drawings.
图1为本发明提出的一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法的整体步骤框图。Fig. 1 is a block diagram of the overall steps of a corporate credit rating method for financial big data proposed by the present invention.
具体实施方式detailed description
下面对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。The following clearly and completely describes the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some of the embodiments of the present invention, but not all of them.
本方案提供的一种实施例:一种金融大数据的企业信用评级方法,包括以下步骤:An embodiment provided by this solution: a method for corporate credit rating of financial big data, including the following steps:
S1:建立企业监管系统机构,将企业信息进行登录核实,同时通过企业监管系统机构对登录的企业进行信息核实分析处理;S1: Establish an enterprise supervision system organization, log in and verify enterprise information, and at the same time conduct information verification, analysis and processing on registered enterprises through the enterprise supervision system organization;
S2:建立企业信用评级机构:通过企业信用评级机构制定评级理念和公司信用分析机构,评级理念分为三个组合模块,分别为:主体评级与债项评级相结合,定性分析与定量分析相结合,注重现金流量分析;S2: Establish a corporate credit rating agency: formulate rating concepts and corporate credit analysis agencies through corporate credit rating agencies. The rating concept is divided into three combined modules, namely: the combination of subject rating and debt rating, and the combination of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis , focusing on cash flow analysis;
S3:企业信用定量分析机构:企业信用定量分析由一系列考核指标体系构成,主要分三大类:①考察企业资金信用的指标、②考察企业经济效益的指标、③考察企业经营管理的指标;S3: Enterprise Credit Quantitative Analysis Institution: Enterprise Credit Quantitative Analysis consists of a series of evaluation index systems, which are mainly divided into three categories: ①Indicators for examining corporate capital credit, ②Indicators for examining corporate economic benefits, ③Indicators for examining corporate management;
S4:企业信用评级程序:在对企业进行信用评级工作时,一般从调研、初评、复评和结果方面来进行评估,评估工作时间一般是5周左右;S4: Enterprise credit rating procedure: when performing credit rating work on an enterprise, it is generally evaluated from the aspects of research, initial evaluation, re-evaluation and results, and the evaluation work time is generally about 5 weeks;
S5:通过线性判别分析模型进行企业分析处理。S5: Carry out enterprise analysis processing through the linear discriminant analysis model.
本实施例中,通过企业监管系统机构对企业历年企业经营过程是否存在违规情况的存在,同时对企业缴税情况进行分析,并且对企业法人进行个人信息核实审查,查看企业负责人是否存在个人违规行为存在。In this embodiment, through the enterprise supervision system organization, whether there are violations in the business process of the enterprise over the years, and at the same time analyze the tax payment of the enterprise, and verify and review the personal information of the enterprise legal person to check whether the person in charge of the enterprise has personal violations behavior exists.
本实施例中,通过以发行人的主体评级为基础,以债项评级为重点,作为发债主体,企业整体的基本素质、财务状况、经营能力、盈利状况、现金流量、发展前景等方面,将对债券的信用等级确定起到评估基础的作用,同时,募集资金的用途、风险状况、偿债安排等也会直接影响债券的到期偿还。In this embodiment, based on the subject rating of the issuer and focusing on the debt rating, as the subject of the bond issue, the overall basic quality, financial status, operating capacity, profitability, cash flow, and development prospects of the company, etc., It will serve as an evaluation basis for determining the credit rating of bonds. At the same time, the use of raised funds, risk conditions, and debt repayment arrangements will also directly affect the repayment of bonds at maturity.
本实施例中,注重现金流量分析:债务的到期偿还,需要大量的现金流支出,本公司在评级指标的设定上,采用历史考察、现状分析和未来预测相统一的方法,考察发行人正常经营活动产生现金净流量的能力以及融资项目产生稳定现金流的能力,同时,本公司还运用敏感性分析、压力测试、情景模拟等方法考察发行人在不同经营环境变化下现金流覆盖债务的情况。In this example, cash flow analysis is emphasized: the repayment of debts at maturity requires a large amount of cash flow expenditures. In setting rating indicators, the company adopts a unified method of historical investigation, current situation analysis and future forecasting to investigate the issuer's The ability of normal operating activities to generate net cash flow and the ability of financing projects to generate stable cash flow. At the same time, the company also uses methods such as sensitivity analysis, stress testing, and scenario simulation to examine the issuer's ability to cover debt with cash flow under different operating environments. Condition.
本实施例中,评级程序分为两个步骤:In this embodiment, the rating procedure is divided into two steps:
一、实地调研,在对企业进行评估时,通过实地评估能够获取一手资料,能够真实有效的反映企业的情况,评估工作主要从对工作人员的访谈、决策者的设想、企业的工作环境以及企业的经营状况来进行,评估时还要和企业的相关部门以及企业债权人等人员进行调查;1. On-site research. When evaluating an enterprise, first-hand information can be obtained through on-site evaluation, which can truly and effectively reflect the situation of the enterprise. The evaluation work mainly starts from the interviews with the staff, the assumptions of the decision makers, the working environment of the enterprise and the situation of the enterprise. The operating conditions of the enterprise should be carried out, and the relevant departments of the enterprise and the creditors of the enterprise should be investigated during the evaluation;
二、初评建议,通过实地考察调研获取真实有效的数据之后,就可以进入初评阶段,初评阶段主要是由评级小组的人员根据企业的相关资料进行分析整理,根据信用评级体系的规定对企业的数据进行处理,之后将数据输入计算机进行分析。2. Preliminary evaluation suggestions. After obtaining real and effective data through on-the-spot investigation and research, you can enter the initial evaluation stage. The initial evaluation stage is mainly based on the analysis and arrangement of the personnel of the rating team based on the relevant information of the enterprise, and the data of the enterprise according to the provisions of the credit rating system. Processing is performed, after which the data is entered into a computer for analysis.
本实施例中,其职责包括按照规定监督管理金融市场;发布有关金融监督管理和业务的命令和规章;监督管理金融机构的合法合规运作。In this embodiment, its responsibilities include supervising and managing the financial market in accordance with regulations; issuing orders and regulations related to financial supervision and management and business; supervising and managing the legal and compliant operation of financial institutions.
本实施例中,线性判别分析模型为: Z=0.012X1+0.014X2+0.033X3+0.006X4+0.999X5,其中,X1为流动资金/总资产,X2为留存收益/总资产,X3为息税前收益/总资产,X4为股权市值/总负债账面值,X5为销售收入/总资产,临界值为2.675,如果Z小于临界值,借款人被划入违约组,信用级别较低;反之被划入正常组,信用级别较高。In this embodiment, the linear discriminant analysis model is: Z=0.012X 1 +0.014X 2 +0.033X 3 +0.006X 4 +0.999X 5 , where X 1 is working capital/total assets, and X 2 is retained earnings/ Total assets, X 3 is earnings before interest and taxes/total assets, X 4 is market value of equity/book value of total liabilities, X 5 is sales revenue/total assets, the critical value is 2.675, if Z is less than the critical value, the borrower is classified as The default group has a lower credit rating; otherwise, it is classified into the normal group and has a higher credit rating.
本发明通过对企业经营行为的排查和企业负责人的行为排查进行同步快速分析处理进行初步评级处理,同时可以通过线性判别分析模型进行企业分析处理,有效的提高了对金融大数据的企业信用评级的效果和效率。The present invention conducts preliminary rating processing through synchronous rapid analysis and processing of the investigation of the business operation behavior of the enterprise and the behavior investigation of the person in charge of the enterprise. At the same time, the enterprise analysis and processing can be carried out through the linear discriminant analysis model, which effectively improves the corporate credit rating of financial big data effect and efficiency.
以上所述,仅为本发明较佳的具体实施方式,但本发明的保护范围并不局限于此,任何熟悉本技术领域的技术人员在本发明揭露的技术范围内,根据本发明的技术方案及其发明构思加以等同替换或改变,都应涵盖在本发明的保护范围之内。The above is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, but the scope of protection of the present invention is not limited thereto, any person familiar with the technical field within the technical scope disclosed in the present invention, according to the technical solution of the present invention Any equivalent replacement or change of the inventive concepts thereof shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
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CN116862661A (en) * | 2023-07-20 | 2023-10-10 | 苏银凯基消费金融有限公司 | Digital credit approval and risk monitoring system based on consumption financial scene |
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CN116862661A (en) * | 2023-07-20 | 2023-10-10 | 苏银凯基消费金融有限公司 | Digital credit approval and risk monitoring system based on consumption financial scene |
CN116862661B (en) * | 2023-07-20 | 2024-04-26 | 苏银凯基消费金融有限公司 | Digital credit approval and risk monitoring system based on consumption financial scene |
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