CN114668371A - Sudden Death Warning System - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及个人健康风险评估技术领域,具体涉及一种猝死预警系统。The invention relates to the technical field of personal health risk assessment, in particular to a sudden death early warning system.
背景技术Background technique
心脏性猝死是指由各类心脏原因导致的意外性、非暴力性自然死亡,其特点为快速、不可预测,多数患者发病前处于正常生活状态甚至是睡眠之中,但在急性症状开始1小时内即可出现骤然意识丧失。心脏性猝死的主要原因是血液动力学发生变化,当患者的冠状动脉血管受到阻碍,心肌代谢出现异常、自主神经张力变化的时候极易导致患者出现心脏性猝死。目前临床对于心脏性猝死尚无有效治疗措施,而早期预防与风险评估,在降低心脏性猝死发生风险方面就显得尤为重要。Sudden cardiac death refers to unexpected, non-violent natural death caused by various cardiac causes, which is characterized by rapid and unpredictable death. Sudden loss of consciousness can occur. The main cause of sudden cardiac death is the change of hemodynamics. When the coronary blood vessels of the patient are blocked, the myocardial metabolism is abnormal, and the autonomic nervous tension changes, it is easy to cause sudden cardiac death in the patient. At present, there is no effective treatment for sudden cardiac death, and early prevention and risk assessment are particularly important in reducing the risk of sudden cardiac death.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
针对现有技术存在的不足,本发明提出一种猝死预警系统,可以评估用户的猝死风险趋势,以降低猝死发生风险,具体技术方案如下:In view of the deficiencies in the prior art, the present invention proposes a sudden death early warning system, which can evaluate the user's sudden death risk trend to reduce the risk of sudden death. The specific technical scheme is as follows:
一种猝死预警系统,在第一种可实现方式中,包括:A sudden death early warning system, in a first achievable manner, includes:
用户终端,配置为采集用户的低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息;a user terminal, configured to collect low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, intermediate-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and high-frequency sudden death risk factor information of the user;
预警云平台,设置有智能分析模块和风险评估模块;The early warning cloud platform is equipped with an intelligent analysis module and a risk assessment module;
所述智能分析模块配置为根据所述低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,以及各项猝死风险因子对应的权重,计算用户的猝死风险指数;The intelligent analysis module is configured to calculate the sudden death risk index of the user according to the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the high-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and the corresponding weights of each sudden death risk factor;
所述风险评估模块配置为通过相应的历史猝死风险指数评估用户的猝死风险趋势。The risk assessment module is configured to assess the sudden death risk trend of the user through a corresponding historical sudden death risk index.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第二种可实现方式中,所述用户终端包括风险因子选择模块,配置选择需采集的猝死风险因子。In combination with the first implementable manner, in the second implementable manner, the user terminal includes a risk factor selection module configured to select the sudden death risk factor to be collected.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第三种可实现方式中,所述低频猝死风险因子信息包括用户个人基本信息,长期生活习惯信息,长期用药习惯信息,长期身体症状信息,家族疾病史信息,个人疾病史信息;In combination with the first achievable manner, in the third achievable manner, the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information includes the user's personal basic information, long-term living habit information, long-term medication habit information, long-term physical symptom information, and family disease history information. personal medical history information;
所述中频猝死风险因子信息包括用户短期生活习惯信息,短期用药习惯信息,短期身体症状信息,体检报告参数信息;The intermediate frequency sudden death risk factor information includes the user's short-term living habit information, short-term medication habit information, short-term physical symptom information, and physical examination report parameter information;
所述高频猝死风险因子信息包括用户的实时生理特征信息,语音信息,当日生活习惯信息。The high-frequency sudden death risk factor information includes the user's real-time physiological characteristic information, voice information, and daily living habit information.
结合第三种可实现方式,在第四种可实现方式中,猝死风险因子对应的权重包括:In combination with the third achievable manner, in the fourth achievable manner, the weights corresponding to sudden death risk factors include:
结合第二种可实现方式,在第五种可实现方式中,所述预警云平台还包括风险因子排序模块,所述风险因子排序模块配置为对所述风险因子选择模块选择的猝死风险因子进行排序。In combination with the second achievable manner, in the fifth achievable manner, the early warning cloud platform further includes a risk factor sorting module, and the risk factor sorting module is configured to perform the sudden death risk factors selected by the risk factor selection module. sort.
结合第五种可实现方式,在第六种可实现方式中,所述风险因子排序模块包括:With reference to the fifth implementable manner, in the sixth implementable manner, the risk factor ranking module includes:
数据采集单元,配置为采集多位用户选择的猝死风险因子对应的猝死风险因子数据,构建猝死风险因子数据集;a data collection unit, configured to collect sudden death risk factor data corresponding to sudden death risk factors selected by multiple users, and construct a sudden death risk factor data set;
聚类分析单元,配置为采用聚类算法对猝死风险因子数据集进行聚类分析;a cluster analysis unit, configured to use a clustering algorithm to perform cluster analysis on the sudden death risk factor data set;
风险因子排序单元,配置为基于所述聚类分析单元的分析结果,采用随机森林模型对所有猝死风险因子进行重要性排序。The risk factor ranking unit is configured to, based on the analysis result of the cluster analysis unit, use a random forest model to rank the importance of all sudden death risk factors.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第七种可实现方式中,所述智能分析模块包括:In combination with the first achievable manner, in a seventh achievable manner, the intelligent analysis module includes:
指数计算单元,配置为根据低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,分别计算用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数;The index calculation unit is configured to calculate the user's low-frequency sudden death risk index, intermediate-frequency sudden death risk index, and high-frequency sudden death risk index respectively according to the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and the high-frequency sudden death risk factor information;
综合计算单元,配置为结合所述低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数,以及相应的权重系数,计算用户的所述猝死风险指数。The comprehensive calculation unit is configured to calculate the sudden death risk index of the user by combining the low frequency sudden death risk index, the medium frequency sudden death risk index, the high frequency sudden death risk index, and the corresponding weight coefficients.
结合第七种可实现方式,在第八种可实现方式中,所述指数计算单元包括:With reference to the seventh implementable manner, in the eighth implementable manner, the index calculation unit includes:
信息采集单元,配置为采集多位专家的调查问卷数据;an information collection unit, configured to collect questionnaire data of a plurality of experts;
矩阵构建单元,配置为通过采集到的调查问卷数据,构建猝死风险因子的模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵;The matrix construction unit is configured to construct the fuzzy adjacency matrix and the fuzzy reachability matrix of sudden death risk factors through the collected questionnaire data;
权重计算单元,配置为根据所述模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵的阈值分布情况进行权重分析,得出每种猝死风险因子的权重;a weight calculation unit, configured to perform weight analysis according to the threshold distribution of the fuzzy adjacency relationship matrix and the fuzzy reachability matrix to obtain the weight of each sudden death risk factor;
风险指数计算单元,配置为基于相应的猝死风险因子的权重,分别根据所述低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,计算用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数。The risk index calculation unit is configured to calculate the user's low frequency sudden death risk index and intermediate frequency sudden death risk according to the low frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium frequency sudden death risk factor information and the high frequency sudden death risk factor information based on the weight of the corresponding sudden death risk factor. Index and High Frequency Sudden Death Risk Index.
结合第八种可实现方式,在第九种可实现方式中,所述用户终端包括权重调整模块,该权重调整模块配置为对所述权重计算单元得出的各种猝死风险因子的权重进行调整。With reference to the eighth implementable manner, in the ninth implementable manner, the user terminal includes a weight adjustment module, and the weight adjustment module is configured to adjust the weights of various sudden death risk factors obtained by the weight calculation unit. .
结合第一种可实现方式,在第十种可实现方式中,所述风险评估模块包括:In combination with the first achievable manner, in a tenth achievable manner, the risk assessment module includes:
指数序列构建单元,配置为获取用户的历史猝死风险指数,并按照猝死风险指数的得出时间进行排序,得到用户的预警指数序列;The index sequence construction unit is configured to obtain the historical sudden death risk index of the user, and sort it according to the obtaining time of the sudden death risk index, so as to obtain the user's early warning index sequence;
指数序列处理单元,配置为对所述预警指数序列中的历史猝死风险指数进行对数处理,得到对数风险变化率序列;an index sequence processing unit, configured to perform logarithmic processing on the historical sudden death risk index in the early warning index sequence to obtain a logarithmic risk change rate sequence;
预警模型构建单元,配置为根据所述对数风险变化率序列,构建自回归条件异方差回归模型;an early warning model construction unit, configured to construct an autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic regression model according to the logarithmic risk change rate sequence;
预警指数预测单元,配置为通过所述自回归条件异方差回归模型预测用户未来的猝死预警指数;an early warning index prediction unit, configured to predict the user's future sudden death early warning index through the autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model;
猝死风险评估单元,配置为将未来的猝死预警指数与历史猝死风险指数进行比较,评估用户的猝死风险趋势。The sudden death risk assessment unit is configured to compare the future sudden death early warning index with the historical sudden death risk index, and evaluate the sudden death risk trend of the user.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第十一种可实现方式中,所述用户终端还包括智能推送模块,该智能推送模块配置为根据所述风险评估模块的评估结果,向用户推送相应的健康知识信息。In combination with the first implementable manner, in an eleventh implementable manner, the user terminal further includes an intelligent push module, and the intelligent push module is configured to push corresponding health information to the user according to the assessment result of the risk assessment module. knowledge information.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第十二种可实现方式中,所述用户终端还包括报警模块,该报警模块配置为根据所述风险评估模块的评估结果向用户发送报警信息。With reference to the first implementable manner, in a twelfth implementable manner, the user terminal further includes an alarm module, and the alarm module is configured to send alarm information to the user according to the evaluation result of the risk assessment module.
结合第一种可实现方式,在第十三种可实现方式中,还包括可穿戴设备,该可穿戴设备用于采集用户的实时生理特征信息。In combination with the first implementable manner, in a thirteenth implementable manner, a wearable device is further included, and the wearable device is used to collect real-time physiological feature information of the user.
有益效果:采用本发明的猝死预警系统,通过设置的用户终端可以采集用户关于猝死风险的各种风险因子信息,通过设置的智能分析模块可以对采集到风险因子信息进行分析,得出用户未来的猝死风险指数,通过设置的风险评估模块可以结合预测的猝死风险指数和用户过去的猝死风险指数,评估用户的猝死风险趋势,以便用户进行健康管理,降低猝死风险。Beneficial effect: by adopting the sudden death early warning system of the present invention, various risk factor information of the user about the risk of sudden death can be collected through the set user terminal, and the collected risk factor information can be analyzed through the set intelligent analysis module, and the user's future risk factor information can be obtained. Sudden death risk index, the set risk assessment module can combine the predicted sudden death risk index and the user's past sudden death risk index to evaluate the user's sudden death risk trend, so that the user can conduct health management and reduce the risk of sudden death.
附图说明Description of drawings
为了更清楚地说明本发明具体实施方式,下面将对具体实施方式中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍。在所有附图中,各元件或部分并不一定按照实际的比例绘制。In order to describe the specific embodiments of the present invention more clearly, the accompanying drawings required for the specific embodiments will be briefly introduced below. In all the drawings, elements or sections are not necessarily drawn to actual scale.
图1为本发明一实施例提供的猝死预警系统的系统框图;FIG. 1 is a system block diagram of a sudden death early warning system provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图2为本发明一实施例提供的风险因子排序模块的的系统框图;2 is a system block diagram of a risk factor ranking module provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图3为本发明一实施例提供的指数计算单元的的系统框图;3 is a system block diagram of an index calculation unit provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图4为本发明一实施例提供的风险评估模块的的系统框图;4 is a system block diagram of a risk assessment module provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图5为本发明一实施例提供的用户终端的系统框图;5 is a system block diagram of a user terminal provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图6为模糊邻接矩阵阈值和模糊可达矩阵阈值的分布情况示意图;6 is a schematic diagram of the distribution of the fuzzy adjacency matrix threshold and the fuzzy reachable matrix threshold;
图7为本发明一实施例提供的预警系统的系统界面;7 is a system interface of an early warning system provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图8为本发明一实施例提供的风险因子选择模块的系统界面;8 is a system interface of a risk factor selection module provided by an embodiment of the present invention;
图9为本发明一实施例提供的猝死风险因子的量化柱。FIG. 9 is a quantification column of sudden death risk factors provided by an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合附图对本发明技术方案的实施例进行详细的描述。以下实施例仅用于更加清楚地说明本发明的技术方案,因此只作为示例,而不能以此来限制本发明的保护范围。Embodiments of the technical solutions of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. The following examples are only used to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, and are therefore only used as examples, and cannot be used to limit the protection scope of the present invention.
如图1所示的猝死预警系统的系统框图,该预警系统包括:The system block diagram of the sudden death early warning system shown in Figure 1, the early warning system includes:
用户终端,配置为采集用户的低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息;a user terminal, configured to collect low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, intermediate-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and high-frequency sudden death risk factor information of the user;
预警云平台,设置有智能分析模块和风险评估模块;The early warning cloud platform is equipped with an intelligent analysis module and a risk assessment module;
所述智能分析模块配置为根据所述低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,以及各项猝死风险因子对应的权重,计算用户的猝死风险指数;The intelligent analysis module is configured to calculate the sudden death risk index of the user according to the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the high-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and the corresponding weights of each sudden death risk factor;
所述风险评估模块配置为通过相应的历史猝死风险指数评估用户的猝死风险趋势。The risk assessment module is configured to assess the sudden death risk trend of the user through a corresponding historical sudden death risk index.
具体而言,预警系统由用户终端和预警云平台组成,其中,用户终端包括信息采集模块,信息采集模块可以采集与用户相关的低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,并将采集到的信息上传给预警云平台。预警云平台包括智能分析模块和风险评估模块,智能分析模块可以根据用户终端采集到的所有风险因子信息,对用户的猝死风险进行分析,得到用户未来的猝死风险指数。风险评估模块可以根据用户未来的猝死风险指数和过去的历史猝死风险指数,评估用户的猝死风险趋势,以便用户进行健康管理。Specifically, the early warning system consists of a user terminal and an early warning cloud platform. The user terminal includes an information collection module, and the information collection module can collect low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, intermediate-frequency sudden death risk factor information and high-frequency sudden death risk factors related to users. information, and upload the collected information to the early warning cloud platform. The early warning cloud platform includes an intelligent analysis module and a risk assessment module. The intelligent analysis module can analyze the user's sudden death risk according to all the risk factor information collected by the user terminal, and obtain the user's future sudden death risk index. The risk assessment module can evaluate the user's sudden death risk trend according to the user's future sudden death risk index and the past historical sudden death risk index, so as to facilitate the user's health management.
下文将结合附图2至9对预警系统的具体构成进行详细说明。The specific composition of the early warning system will be described in detail below with reference to FIGS. 2 to 9 .
在本实施例中,可选的,用户终端采集的低频猝死风险因子信息包括用户的生活习惯、用药习惯、个人病史等。用户终端可以通过问卷调查的方式采集用户的生活习惯、用药习惯等信息。对于个人病史,用户终端可以与医院的管理系统建立起连接,以直接从医院的管理系统中调取用户的个人病史等信息。In this embodiment, optionally, the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information collected by the user terminal includes the user's living habits, medication habits, personal medical history, and the like. The user terminal may collect information such as the user's living habits and medication habits through a questionnaire survey. For personal medical history, the user terminal can establish a connection with the management system of the hospital, so as to directly retrieve information such as the personal medical history of the user from the management system of the hospital.
中频猝死风险因子信息包括用户的短期生活习惯,短期用药习惯,短期身体症状和体检报告等信息。用户可以通过用户终端录入短期生活习惯,短期用药习惯,短期身体症状等信息。对于体检报告,用户终端可以直接从医院的管理系统调取,如心电图数据,血液检验参数,医学影像数据。The risk factor information of intermediate frequency sudden death includes information such as the user's short-term living habits, short-term medication habits, short-term physical symptoms and physical examination reports. Users can enter information such as short-term living habits, short-term medication habits, and short-term physical symptoms through the user terminal. For the medical examination report, the user terminal can directly retrieve from the hospital's management system, such as electrocardiogram data, blood test parameters, and medical image data.
用户可以通过用户终端自身的输入输出设备填写生活习惯等信息,在填写短期生活习惯,短期用药习惯等信息的时候,用户终端可以将这些猝死风险因子以量化柱的形式进行显示,用户可以直接通过量化柱录入生活习惯等信息,以便每项猝死风险因子信息的快速手动录入。Users can fill in information such as living habits through the input and output devices of the user terminal. When filling in information such as short-term living habits and short-term medication habits, the user terminal can display these sudden death risk factors in the form of quantitative columns. Information such as living habits is entered in the quantification column, so that each sudden death risk factor information can be quickly and manually entered.
具体的,如图9所示,用户终端可以将猝死风险因子的量化评价划分为5 级,采用量化柱的形式进行展示,一级评价对应于最低的量化柱,五级评价对应于最高的量化柱。Specifically, as shown in FIG. 9 , the user terminal can divide the quantitative evaluation of sudden death risk factors into five levels, and display them in the form of quantitative columns. The first-level evaluation corresponds to the lowest quantitative column, and the fifth-level evaluation corresponds to the highest quantitative column. column.
高频猝死风险因子信息包括用户的实时生理特征信息,如实时心电、实时心率、血压、血糖、血氧等信息,还包括用户当日的生活习惯,如运动情况、饮食情况、饮酒情况、吸烟情况等。用户终端可以通过用于监测生理特征信息的可穿戴设备采集用户的实时生理特征信息。对于用户当日的生活习惯等信息,用户可以通过手机等终端填写这些信息并发送给用户终端。High-frequency sudden death risk factor information includes the user's real-time physiological characteristic information, such as real-time ECG, real-time heart rate, blood pressure, blood sugar, blood oxygen, etc., as well as the user's daily living habits, such as exercise, diet, alcohol consumption, smoking situation etc. The user terminal may collect the real-time physiological feature information of the user through the wearable device for monitoring the physiological feature information. For information such as the user's living habits of the day, the user can fill in the information through a terminal such as a mobile phone and send it to the user terminal.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述用户终端包括风险因子选择模块,配置选择需采集的猝死风险因子。如图8所示,用户终端设置有风险因子选择模块,用户可以通过风险因子选择模块选择自身所存在的猝死风险因子发送给预警云平台,以便预警云平台制定个性化的猝死风险评估方式,得出个性化的猝死预警评估结果。In this embodiment, optionally, the user terminal includes a risk factor selection module configured to select sudden death risk factors to be collected. As shown in Figure 8, the user terminal is provided with a risk factor selection module. The user can select the risk factor of sudden death that exists in himself through the risk factor selection module and send it to the early warning cloud platform, so that the early warning cloud platform can formulate a personalized sudden death risk assessment method. Personalized sudden death early warning assessment results.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述预警云平台还包括风险因子排序模块,所述风险因子排序模块配置为对所述风险因子选择模块选择的猝死风险因子进行排序。用户可以将重点关注的风险因子排序在前,这样更有利于用户移动端的使用。In this embodiment, optionally, the early warning cloud platform further includes a risk factor sorting module, and the risk factor sorting module is configured to sort the sudden death risk factors selected by the risk factor selection module. Users can prioritize the risk factors that they focus on, which is more conducive to the use of the user's mobile terminal.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述风险因子排序模块包括:In this embodiment, optionally, the risk factor sorting module includes:
数据采集单元,配置为采集多位用户的猝死风险因子数据,构建猝死风险因子数据集;a data collection unit, configured to collect sudden death risk factor data of multiple users, and construct a sudden death risk factor data set;
聚类分析单元,配置为采用聚类算法对猝死风险因子数据集进行聚类分析;a cluster analysis unit, configured to use a clustering algorithm to perform cluster analysis on the sudden death risk factor data set;
风险因子排序单元,配置为基于所述聚类分析单元的分析结果,采用随机森林模型对所有猝死风险因子进行重要性排序。The risk factor ranking unit is configured to, based on the analysis result of the cluster analysis unit, use a random forest model to rank the importance of all sudden death risk factors.
具体而言,风险因子排序模块是由数据采集单元、聚类分析单元和风险因子排序单元组成。其中,数据采集单元可以采集多位用户的猝死风险因子数据,构建起猝死风险因子数据集。数据采集单元可以直接从用户终端调取多位用户的风险因子信息,从而获取到多位用户的猝死风险因子数据,调取的猝死风险因子数据包括用户的频猝死风险因子数据、中频猝死风险因子数据和高频猝死风险因子数据。Specifically, the risk factor ranking module is composed of a data collection unit, a cluster analysis unit and a risk factor ranking unit. Among them, the data collection unit can collect the sudden death risk factor data of a plurality of users to construct a sudden death risk factor data set. The data acquisition unit can directly retrieve the risk factor information of multiple users from the user terminal, so as to obtain the sudden death risk factor data of multiple users. The retrieved sudden death risk factor data includes the user's frequency sudden death risk factor data, intermediate frequency sudden death risk factor data data and high-frequency sudden death risk factor data.
聚类分析单元可以采用聚类算法,如K-均值聚类算法对数据采集单元构建的猝死风险因子数据集中的数据进行聚类分析,将猝死风险因子数据集中的猝死风险因子数据分类成猝死低危数据和猝死高危数据。The cluster analysis unit may use a clustering algorithm, such as K-means clustering algorithm, to perform cluster analysis on the data in the sudden death risk factor data set constructed by the data acquisition unit, and classify the sudden death risk factor data in the sudden death risk factor data set as low sudden death risk factors. Risk data and sudden death high risk data.
具体的,首先,从猝死风险因子数据集中随机地将2个数据点分到2个簇中,并将该2个点视为当前簇的质心。基于接下来每个点到这2个初始点之间的质心距离,确定下一个给定的输入数据点将被划分到哪一个簇中。待所有点归类结束,重新计算所有簇的质心,然后再次计算每一个点到质心的距离。该过程不断重复,直至满足收敛状态。Specifically, first, 2 data points are randomly divided into 2 clusters from the sudden death risk factor data set, and the 2 points are regarded as the centroid of the current cluster. Determines into which cluster the next given input data point will be divided based on the centroid distance between each next point and these 2 initial points. After all points are classified, recalculate the centroids of all clusters, and then calculate the distance from each point to the centroid again. This process is repeated until the convergence state is satisfied.
风险因子排序单元可以采用随机森林重要性排序方法对聚类分析单元的聚类结果进行排序,具体的:The risk factor sorting unit can use the random forest importance sorting method to sort the clustering results of the clustering analysis unit, specifically:
首先,用有抽样放回的方法从猝死风险因子数据集中选取若干样本作为训练集;然后,用抽样得到的训练集生成一棵决策树。在生成的每一个结点随机不重复地选择若干个猝死风险因子对训练集进行划分,找到最佳的划分猝死风险因子,寻找过程中可用基尼系数、增益率或者信息增益等进行判别。如此重复步骤多次,从而构建起多个决策树;之后,确定每种猝死风险因子对于每颗决策树的贡献值,取平均值,记为每种猝死风险因子的权重。最后,按照每种猝死风险因子的权重对所有猝死风险因子进行排序。First, a number of samples are selected from the sudden death risk factor data set as a training set by the method of sampling and replacement; then, a decision tree is generated by using the training set obtained by sampling. In each generated node, several sudden death risk factors are randomly selected to divide the training set, and the best divided sudden death risk factors are found. Repeat the steps for many times to build multiple decision trees; after that, determine the contribution value of each sudden death risk factor to each decision tree, take the average value, and record it as the weight of each sudden death risk factor. Finally, all sudden death risk factors are ranked according to the weight of each sudden death risk factor.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述智能分析模块包括:In this embodiment, optionally, the intelligent analysis module includes:
指数计算单元,配置为根据低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,分别计算用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数;The index calculation unit is configured to calculate the user's low-frequency sudden death risk index, intermediate-frequency sudden death risk index, and high-frequency sudden death risk index respectively according to the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium-frequency sudden death risk factor information, and the high-frequency sudden death risk factor information;
综合计算单元,配置为结合所述低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数,以及相应的权重系数,计算用户的所述猝死风险指数。The comprehensive calculation unit is configured to calculate the sudden death risk index of the user by combining the low frequency sudden death risk index, the medium frequency sudden death risk index, the high frequency sudden death risk index, and the corresponding weight coefficients.
具体而言,智能分析模块是由指数计算单元和综合计算单元组成。其中,指数计算单元可以从用户终端调取与用户的低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息。指数计算单元可以根据低频猝死风险因子信息计算用户的低频猝死风险指数,根据中频猝死风险因子信息计算用户的中频猝死风险指数,以及通过高频猝死风险因子信息计算用户的高频猝死风险指数。Specifically, the intelligent analysis module is composed of an index calculation unit and a comprehensive calculation unit. Wherein, the index calculation unit can retrieve the low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, the intermediate-frequency sudden death risk factor information and the high-frequency sudden death risk factor information related to the user from the user terminal. The index calculation unit can calculate the user's low frequency sudden death risk index according to the low frequency sudden death risk factor information, calculate the user's intermediate frequency sudden death risk index according to the medium frequency sudden death risk factor information, and calculate the user's high frequency sudden death risk index by using the high frequency sudden death risk factor information.
指数计算单元可以将计算得出用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数发送给综合计算单元。综合计算单元可以根据低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数,以及预设的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数对应的权重系数,计算出用户的猝死风险指数。具体的计算式如下:The index calculation unit can send the low-frequency sudden death risk index, the intermediate-frequency sudden death risk index and the high-frequency sudden death risk index of the user to the comprehensive calculation unit. The comprehensive calculation unit can calculate the sudden death of the user according to the low-frequency sudden death risk index, the medium-frequency sudden death risk index and the high-frequency sudden death risk index, as well as the preset weight coefficients of the low-frequency sudden death risk index, the medium-frequency sudden death risk index and the high-frequency sudden death risk index risk index. The specific calculation formula is as follows:
CS=LC×LCweight+MC×MCweight+HC×HCweight;CS=LC×LC weight +MC×MC weight +HC×HC weight ;
其中,CS为猝死风险指数,LC为低频猝死风险指数,LCweight为低频猝死风险指数对应的权重系数,MC为中频猝死风险指数,MCweight为中频猝死风险指数对应的权重系数,HC为高频猝死风险指数,HCweight为高猝死风险指数对应的权重系数。Among them, CS is the sudden death risk index, LC is the low frequency sudden death risk index, LC weight is the weight coefficient corresponding to the low frequency sudden death risk index, MC is the medium frequency sudden death risk index, MC weight is the weight coefficient corresponding to the medium frequency sudden death risk index, and HC is the high frequency sudden death risk index. Sudden death risk index, HC weight is the weight coefficient corresponding to the high sudden death risk index.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述指数计算单元包括:In this embodiment, optionally, the index calculation unit includes:
信息采集单元,配置为采集多位专家的调查问卷数据;an information collection unit, configured to collect questionnaire data of a plurality of experts;
矩阵构建单元,配置为通过采集到的调查问卷数据,构建猝死风险因子的模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵;The matrix construction unit is configured to construct the fuzzy adjacency matrix and the fuzzy reachability matrix of sudden death risk factors through the collected questionnaire data;
权重计算单元,配置为根据所述模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵的阈值分布情况进行权重分析,得出每种猝死风险因子的权重;A weight calculation unit, configured to perform weight analysis according to the threshold distribution of the fuzzy adjacency relationship matrix and the fuzzy reachability matrix to obtain the weight of each sudden death risk factor;
风险指数计算单元,配置为基于相应的猝死风险因子的权重,分别根据所述低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,计算用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数。The risk index calculation unit is configured to calculate the user's low frequency sudden death risk index and intermediate frequency sudden death risk according to the low frequency sudden death risk factor information, the medium frequency sudden death risk factor information and the high frequency sudden death risk factor information based on the weight of the corresponding sudden death risk factor. Index and High Frequency Sudden Death Risk Index.
具体而言,指数计算单元是由信息采集单元、矩阵构建单元、权重计算单元和风险指数计算单元组成。其中,信息采集单元可以采集多份关于影响猝死的风险因子调查信息。可以通过向多位医疗与健康行业的资深临床医师及研究人员进行调研,从而采集到风险因子调查信息。Specifically, the index calculation unit is composed of an information collection unit, a matrix construction unit, a weight calculation unit and a risk index calculation unit. Among them, the information collection unit can collect multiple pieces of investigation information about risk factors affecting sudden death. Risk factor survey information can be collected by conducting surveys with a number of senior clinicians and researchers in the medical and health industries.
具体的调研方式可以是信息采集单元向每位专家人员所使用的电脑或手机发送调查问卷,专家人员通过电脑或手机填写完问卷后,将填写好的调查问卷信息通过电脑或手机等用户终端发送给信息采集单元。The specific research method can be that the information collection unit sends a questionnaire to the computer or mobile phone used by each expert. After the expert completes the questionnaire through the computer or mobile phone, the completed questionnaire information is sent to the user terminal such as the computer or mobile phone. to the information collection unit.
信息采集单元可以将采集到的调查问卷信息发送给矩阵构建单元,调查问卷信息包括专家人员评估的每项猝死风险因子的权重数据。矩阵构建单元可以对所有调查问卷信息中的数据进行统计,确定每项猝死风险因子对应的权重平均值,再基于所有猝死风险因子对应的权重平均值,构建起猝死风险因子的模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵。The information collection unit may send the collected questionnaire information to the matrix construction unit, where the questionnaire information includes weight data of each sudden death risk factor assessed by experts. The matrix construction unit can count the data in all the questionnaire information, determine the weighted average value corresponding to each sudden death risk factor, and then construct the fuzzy adjacency relationship matrix of sudden death risk factors based on the weighted average value corresponding to all sudden death risk factors. Fuzzy reachability matrix.
矩阵构建单元在构建模糊邻接关系矩阵和模糊可达矩阵时,以问卷的形式对15名资深专家进行调研,得到初步的问卷结果后,对其中的有效问卷数据求算术平均值,整理后构建起猝死风险因子之间的初始模糊关系矩阵A0。再选用最大最小模糊算子,由矩阵幂乘求出模糊可达矩阵。When constructing the fuzzy adjacency matrix and fuzzy reachability matrix, the matrix construction unit conducts surveys on 15 senior experts in the form of questionnaires. Initial fuzzy relationship matrix A 0 between sudden death risk factors. Then select the maximum and minimum fuzzy operators, and obtain the fuzzy reachability matrix by matrix power multiplication.
根据构建起的模糊邻接矩阵和模糊可达矩阵,可以得到模糊邻接矩阵的阈值集合,具体如下表1所示。阈值集合的分布情况如图6所示:According to the constructed fuzzy adjacency matrix and fuzzy reachability matrix, the threshold set of fuzzy adjacency matrix can be obtained, as shown in Table 1 below. The distribution of the threshold set is shown in Figure 6:
表1模糊邻接矩阵阈值集合Table 1 Fuzzy adjacency matrix threshold set
权重计算单元可以选取出模糊可达矩阵中的非0和1的数据,得出如下表所示的模糊可达矩阵的阈值集合,再求出阈值集合的截距阵,采用ISM算法计算出初始模糊关系矩阵中不同猝死风险因子之间的可达矩阵和骨架矩阵。The weight calculation unit can select the non-0 and 1 data in the fuzzy reachability matrix, obtain the threshold set of the fuzzy reachability matrix as shown in the following table, and then obtain the intercept matrix of the threshold set, and use the ISM algorithm to calculate the initial value. Reachability and skeleton matrices between different sudden death risk factors in a fuzzy relationship matrix.
表2模糊可达矩阵阈值集合Table 2 Fuzzy reachability matrix threshold set
权重计算单元可以根据计算出的可达矩阵和骨架矩阵构建起ANP网络架构,并基于ANP网络架构构造未加权矩阵,通过未加权矩阵确定每项猝死风险因子的权重。通过ANP网络结构分析得到的猝死风险因子的权重如下表所示:The weight calculation unit can construct an ANP network architecture according to the calculated reachability matrix and skeleton matrix, and construct an unweighted matrix based on the ANP network architecture, and determine the weight of each sudden death risk factor through the unweighted matrix. The weights of sudden death risk factors obtained through ANP network structure analysis are shown in the following table:
表3猝死风险因子权重表Table 3 Sudden death risk factor weight table
风险指数计算单元可以基于权重计算单元得出的每种猝死风险因子的权重和预设的灰色评价矩阵,根据用户的低频猝死风险因子信息、中频猝死风险因子信息和高频猝死风险因子信息,计算出用户的低频猝死风险指数、中频猝死风险指数和高频猝死风险指数。The risk index calculation unit can calculate the weight of each sudden death risk factor obtained by the weight calculation unit and the preset gray evaluation matrix, and calculate the user's low-frequency sudden death risk factor information, medium-frequency sudden death risk factor information and high-frequency sudden death risk factor information. The user's low-frequency sudden death risk index, medium-frequency sudden death risk index and high-frequency sudden death risk index are obtained.
风险指数计算单元可以基于信息采集单元采集到的调查问卷信息构建起风险等级评价样本,并根据风险等级评价样本构建起样本矩阵。风险指数计算单元可以通过样本矩阵确定风险等级评价样本的灰度和可能度函数,并以此计算得到灰色评价系数,从而构建起灰色评价矩阵。风险指数计算单元可以结合每项猝死风险因子的权重和灰色评价矩阵计算出用户的猝死风险指数。The risk index calculation unit may construct a risk level evaluation sample based on the questionnaire information collected by the information collection unit, and construct a sample matrix according to the risk level evaluation sample. The risk index calculation unit can determine the gray level and the possibility function of the risk level evaluation sample through the sample matrix, and calculate the gray evaluation coefficient based on this, thereby constructing the gray evaluation matrix. The risk index calculation unit can calculate the user's sudden death risk index by combining the weight of each sudden death risk factor and the gray evaluation matrix.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述用户终端包括权重调整模块,该权重调整模块配置为对所述权重计算单元得出的各种猝死风险因子的权重进行调整。In this embodiment, optionally, the user terminal includes a weight adjustment module, and the weight adjustment module is configured to adjust the weights of various sudden death risk factors obtained by the weight calculation unit.
权重计算单元可以将计算出每项猝死风险因子的权重发送给用户终端,用户可以通过用户终端的权重调整模块对每项猝死风险因子的权重进行调整,加大或减小每项猝死风险因子的权重,从而得到与用户对应的个性化的猝死预警指数。The weight calculation unit can send the calculated weight of each sudden death risk factor to the user terminal, and the user can adjust the weight of each sudden death risk factor through the weight adjustment module of the user terminal, and increase or decrease the weight of each sudden death risk factor. weight, so as to obtain a personalized sudden death warning index corresponding to the user.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述风险评估模块包括:In this embodiment, optionally, the risk assessment module includes:
指数序列构建单元,配置为获取用户的历史猝死风险指数,并按照猝死风险指数的得出时间进行排序,得到用户的预警指数序列;The index sequence construction unit is configured to obtain the user's historical sudden death risk index, and sort it according to the obtaining time of the sudden death risk index, so as to obtain the user's early warning index sequence;
指数序列处理单元,配置为对所述预警指数序列中的历史猝死风险指数进行对数处理,得到对数风险变化率序列;an index sequence processing unit, configured to perform logarithmic processing on the historical sudden death risk index in the early warning index sequence to obtain a logarithmic risk change rate sequence;
预警模型构建单元,配置为根据所述对数风险变化率序列,构建自回归条件异方差回归模型;an early warning model construction unit, configured to construct an autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic regression model according to the logarithmic risk change rate sequence;
预警指数预测单元,配置为通过所述自回归条件异方差回归模型预测用户未来的猝死预警指数;an early warning index prediction unit, configured to predict the user's future sudden death early warning index through the autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model;
猝死风险评估单元,配置为将未来的猝死预警指数与历史猝死风险指数进行比较,评估用户的猝死风险趋势。The sudden death risk assessment unit is configured to compare the future sudden death early warning index with the historical sudden death risk index, and evaluate the sudden death risk trend of the user.
具体而言,风险评估模块由指数序列构建单元、指数序列处理单元、预警模型构建单元、预警指数预测单元和猝死风险评估单元组成。其中,指数序列构建单元可以采集智能分析模块计算出的用户未来的猝死风险指数和过去的历史猝死风险指数,并按照计算时间顺序对采集到的猝死风险指数和历史猝死风险指数进行排序,生成用户的预警指数序列w1={CS1,CS2,CS2......,CSn}。Specifically, the risk assessment module is composed of an index sequence construction unit, an index sequence processing unit, an early warning model construction unit, an early warning index prediction unit and a sudden death risk assessment unit. Among them, the index sequence construction unit can collect the user's future sudden death risk index and past historical sudden death risk index calculated by the intelligent analysis module, and sort the collected sudden death risk index and historical sudden death risk index according to the calculation time sequence, and generate a user The early warning index sequence w 1 ={CS 1 , CS 2 , CS 2 ......, CS n }.
指数序列处理单元可以对指数序列构建单元生成的预警指数序列w1中的所有猝死风险指数进行对数处理,得到与用户相关的对数风险变化率序列 w2={w1,w2,w3......wn}。具体计算式如下:The exponential sequence processing unit can perform logarithmic processing on all the sudden death risk indices in the early warning index sequence w 1 generated by the exponential sequence building unit to obtain a user-related logarithmic risk change rate sequence w 2 ={w 1 , w 2 , w 3 ...... w n }. The specific calculation formula is as follows:
预警模型构建单元可以根据对数风险变化率序列,构建自回归条件异方差回归模型,模型的具体构建步骤如下:The early warning model building unit can build an autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic regression model according to the logarithmic risk change rate sequence. The specific building steps of the model are as follows:
首先,设随机残差项εt∈N(0,σ2),ARCH(p)的条件异方差表示成P 期残差序列的线性函数则有:First, let the random residual term ε t ∈ N(0,σ 2 ), the conditional heteroskedasticity of ARCH(p) Expressed as a linear function of the P-period residual series Then there are:
εt=etσt;ε t =e t σ t ;
建立广义自回归条件异方差回归模型GARCH,GARCH模型表达为如下形式:A generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model GARCH is established, and the GARCH model is expressed as follows:
其中,α0,βi为不同时间点的猝死风险指数,p,q为不同时间段内猝死风险指数个数。Among them, α 0 , β i are sudden death risk indices at different time points, p, q are the number of sudden death risk indices in different time periods.
在实际应用中,为了计算的简便,通常采用GARCH(1,1)模型来刻画条件方差,即GARCH(1,1)模型可以是;In practical applications, in order to simplify the calculation, the GARCH(1,1) model is usually used to describe the conditional variance, that is, the GARCH(1,1) model can be;
根据所述对数风险变化率序列w2通过线性函数即可确定GARCH(1,1)模型中的各个系数值,比如截距项C、滞后项系数D等。最后,根据确定的各个系数值即可构建起自回归条件异方差回归模型,模型具体为:According to the logarithmic risk change rate sequence w 2 , each coefficient value in the GARCH(1, 1) model can be determined by a linear function, such as the intercept term C, the lag term coefficient D, and the like. Finally, the autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model can be constructed according to the determined coefficient values. The model is as follows:
yt=C+εt-Dyt-1;y t =C+ε t -Dy t-1 ;
其中,E为截距系数,F为滞后项系数。where E is the intercept coefficient and F is the lag term coefficient.
预警模型构建单元可以将构建好的自回归条件异方差回归模型发送给预警指数预测单元,预警指数预测单元通过自回归条件异方差回归模型预测未来一定时间段内用户的猝死预警指数,并将预测得到的猝死预警指数发送给猝死风险评估单元,猝死风险评估单元可以将未来的猝死预警指数与历史猝死风险指数进行比较,从而评估用户的猝死风险趋势,得出的猝死风险趋势如图7 所示。如果猝死预警指数大于历史猝死风险指数,则表明用户的猝死风险增大,用户需要进行健康管理,反之则不需要进行健康管理。The early warning model construction unit can send the constructed autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model to the early warning index prediction unit, and the early warning index prediction unit predicts the user's sudden death early warning index within a certain period of time in the future through the autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regression model, and predicts The obtained sudden death early warning index is sent to the sudden death risk assessment unit. The sudden death risk assessment unit can compare the future sudden death early warning index with the historical sudden death risk index to evaluate the sudden death risk trend of the user. The obtained sudden death risk trend is shown in Figure 7. . If the sudden death early warning index is greater than the historical sudden death risk index, it indicates that the risk of sudden death of the user increases, and the user needs to perform health management, otherwise, no health management is required.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述用户终端还包括智能推送模块,该智能推送模块配置为根据所述风险评估模块的评估结果,向用户推送相应的健康知识信息。In this embodiment, optionally, the user terminal further includes an intelligent push module, and the intelligent push module is configured to push corresponding health knowledge information to the user according to the assessment result of the risk assessment module.
具体而言,用户终端还包括智能推送模块,该智能推送模块可以根据预警云平台的评估结果,向用户推送相应的健康知识信息。比如,当用户的猝死风险增大时,智能推送模块就可以向用户以邮件、短信等方式发送相关的健康信息。Specifically, the user terminal further includes an intelligent push module, which can push corresponding health knowledge information to the user according to the evaluation result of the early warning cloud platform. For example, when the risk of sudden death of a user increases, the intelligent push module can send relevant health information to the user through emails, text messages, etc.
在本实施例中,可选的,所述用户终端还包括报警模块,该报警模块配置为根据所述风险评估模块的评估结果向用户发送报警信息。具体的,用户终端还包括报警模块,当预警云平台评估出用户的猝死风险增大时,该报警模块可以声光的形式发出报警信号。In this embodiment, optionally, the user terminal further includes an alarm module, and the alarm module is configured to send alarm information to the user according to the evaluation result of the risk evaluation module. Specifically, the user terminal further includes an alarm module. When the early warning cloud platform assesses that the risk of sudden death of the user increases, the alarm module can send out an alarm signal in the form of sound and light.
以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制;尽管参照前述各实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分或者全部技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明各实施例技术方案的范围,其均应涵盖在本发明的权利要求和说明书的范围当中。The above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, but not to limit them; although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, those of ordinary skill in the art should understand that the foregoing embodiments can still be used for The recorded technical solutions are modified, or some or all of the technical features thereof are equivalently replaced; and these modifications or replacements do not make the essence of the corresponding technical solutions deviate from the scope of the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention, and should be included in the The invention is within the scope of the claims and description.
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