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CN113805064B - Lithium ion battery pack health state prediction method based on deep learning - Google Patents

Lithium ion battery pack health state prediction method based on deep learning Download PDF

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CN113805064B
CN113805064B CN202111098929.9A CN202111098929A CN113805064B CN 113805064 B CN113805064 B CN 113805064B CN 202111098929 A CN202111098929 A CN 202111098929A CN 113805064 B CN113805064 B CN 113805064B
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王晓红
王立志
张钰
孙雅宁
林逸群
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Abstract

The invention discloses a lithium ion battery pack health state prediction method based on deep learning, which comprises the following steps of: s1, extracting the discharge characteristic parameters of the lithium ion battery pack, and carrying out correlation analysis on the discharge characteristic parameters; s2, obtaining an original feature data set according to the result of the correlation analysis, and performing feature dimension reduction; s3, constructing a node degradation data prediction model; s4, inputting the dimensionality reduction feature set into a node degradation data prediction model to obtain node degradation prediction data of the lithium ion battery pack; and S5, converting the node degradation prediction data into node state distribution prediction data, and acquiring the health state prediction result of the lithium ion battery pack based on the node state distribution prediction data. The method can realize accurate prediction of the health state of the lithium ion battery pack according to the processes of feature extraction, correlation analysis, feature dimension reduction, node state distribution prediction and system health state prediction.

Description

基于深度学习的锂离子电池组健康状态预测方法A method for predicting the state of health of lithium-ion battery packs based on deep learning

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及锂离子电池状态预测技术领域,特别涉及基于深度学习的锂离子电池组健康状态预测方法。The invention relates to the technical field of lithium ion battery state prediction, in particular to a method for predicting the state of health of lithium ion battery packs based on deep learning.

背景技术Background technique

锂离子电池以其高比能量,长循环寿命,较宽的工作温度范围等特性广泛用于电动汽车、混合动力船舶、无人机等设备的能源动力系统。由于单体锂离子电池电压较低,在动力供应过程中需要以电池组的方式进行能源供应,因此在实际使用中,成百上千的电池通过各种复合连接方式,以及各种成包成组方法组成复杂的能源供应系统。从单体电池到组合连接电池组再到复杂电池包最后形成完整的能源动力系统,是一个典型的多层级系统。Lithium-ion batteries are widely used in the energy power systems of electric vehicles, hybrid ships, drones and other equipment due to their high specific energy, long cycle life, and wide operating temperature range. Due to the low voltage of the single lithium-ion battery, the energy supply needs to be carried out in the form of a battery pack during the power supply process. Therefore, in actual use, hundreds of batteries are connected through various composite connections and various packaged components. Group methods compose complex energy supply systems. From single cells to combined and connected battery packs to complex battery packs, a complete energy power system is formed, which is a typical multi-level system.

另一方面,在锂离子电池组的实际使用过程中,由于电池间存在极强的相依作用,再加上电池初始差异和环境应力影响,电池组的一致性很难保持。在相依作用下,这种不一致性将愈发加重电池组的非均衡效应,使得电池间的退化过程和特征参数相互耦合复杂多变,相互的关联关系动态变化,难以准确预知。On the other hand, in the actual use of lithium-ion battery packs, due to the strong interdependence between batteries, coupled with the initial differences of batteries and the influence of environmental stress, the consistency of the battery pack is difficult to maintain. Under the influence of interdependence, this inconsistency will increasingly aggravate the non-equilibrium effect of the battery pack, which makes the degradation process and characteristic parameters between batteries complex and changeable, and the relationship between them changes dynamically, which is difficult to predict accurately.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

针对上述问题,本发明提出基于深度学习的锂离子电池组健康状态预测方法,以解决现有技术中存在的技术问题,能够按照试验—特征提取—相关性分析—特征降维—节点退化数据预测—节点状态分布预测—系统健康状态预测的流程,完整地进行了相应的分析工作,实现了对锂离子电池组健康状态的准确预知。In view of the above problems, the present invention proposes a lithium-ion battery pack health state prediction method based on deep learning, so as to solve the technical problems existing in the prior art, which can be based on experiment-feature extraction-correlation analysis-feature dimensionality reduction-node degradation data prediction —Node state distribution prediction—The process of system health state prediction, the corresponding analysis work has been carried out completely, and the accurate prediction of the health state of the lithium-ion battery pack has been realized.

为实现上述目的,本发明提供了如下方案:本发明提供基于深度学习的锂离子电池组健康状态预测方法,包括以下步骤:In order to achieve the above purpose, the present invention provides the following solutions: the present invention provides a method for predicting the state of health of a lithium-ion battery pack based on deep learning, including the following steps:

S1、提取锂离子电池组的放电特征参数,并对所述放电特征参数进行相关性分析;S1, extracting the discharge characteristic parameters of the lithium-ion battery pack, and performing a correlation analysis on the discharge characteristic parameters;

S2、根据所述相关性分析的结果获取原始特征数据集,并对所述原始特征数据集进行特征降维,获得降维特征集;S2, obtaining an original feature data set according to the result of the correlation analysis, and performing feature dimension reduction on the original feature data set to obtain a dimension reduction feature set;

S3、根据循环间放电容量的关联关系获取锂离子电池组循环间放电情况的时序性,并基于所述锂离子电池组循环间放电情况的时序性构建节点退化数据预测模型;S3. Acquire the time sequence of the inter-cycle discharge condition of the lithium-ion battery pack according to the correlation between the inter-cycle discharge capacities, and build a node degradation data prediction model based on the time sequence of the inter-cycle discharge condition of the lithium-ion battery pack;

S4、将所述降维特征集输入所述节点退化数据预测模型中,获取所述锂离子电池组的节点退化预测数据;S4. Input the dimensionality reduction feature set into the node degradation data prediction model, and obtain node degradation prediction data of the lithium-ion battery pack;

S5、将所述节点退化预测数据转化为节点状态分布预测数据,并基于所述节点状态分布预测数据获取锂离子电池组健康状态预测结果。S5. Convert the node degradation prediction data into node state distribution prediction data, and obtain a lithium-ion battery pack health state prediction result based on the node state distribution prediction data.

优选地,所述S1中的放电特征参数包括放电电流、放电电压、放电温度、放电容量数据。Preferably, the discharge characteristic parameters in the S1 include discharge current, discharge voltage, discharge temperature, and discharge capacity data.

优选地,所述S1中的相关性分析的过程为:对所述放电特征参数进行均值、中位数、方差计算,完成统计分析,并根据所述统计分析的结果进行相关可视化操作,完成相关性分析。Preferably, the process of the correlation analysis in the S1 is as follows: calculating the mean, median and variance of the discharge characteristic parameters, completing statistical analysis, and performing relevant visualization operations according to the results of the statistical analysis to complete the correlation Sexual Analysis.

优选地,所述S2中原始特征数据集的获取过程为:量化所述相关性分析的结果,获取所述放电特征参数的相关系数矩阵,并根据所述相关系数矩阵去除相关系数小于0.1的所述放电特征参数,获取原始特征数据集。Preferably, the acquisition process of the original feature data set in S2 is: quantifying the result of the correlation analysis, acquiring the correlation coefficient matrix of the discharge characteristic parameters, and removing all the correlation coefficients less than 0.1 according to the correlation coefficient matrix. Describe the discharge characteristic parameters to obtain the original characteristic data set.

优选地,所述S2中特征降维的过程包括以下步骤:Preferably, the process of feature dimensionality reduction in the S2 includes the following steps:

S2.1、对所述原始特征数据集进行网格化处理,获得网格特征矩阵;S2.1, performing grid processing on the original feature data set to obtain a grid feature matrix;

S2.2、基于所述网格特征矩阵构建卷积神经网络模型,并对所述卷积神经网络模型进行模型优化训练;S2.2, build a convolutional neural network model based on the grid feature matrix, and perform model optimization training on the convolutional neural network model;

S2.3、基于所述模型优化训练后的所述卷积神经网络模型获取降维特征参数,完成特征降维。S2.3. Obtain dimension reduction feature parameters based on the convolutional neural network model after optimization and training of the model, and complete feature dimension reduction.

优选地,所述S3中节点退化数据预测模型的构建包括以下步骤:Preferably, the construction of the node degradation data prediction model in S3 includes the following steps:

S3.1、获取所述锂离子电池组的循环退化数据集,并基于所述循环退化数据集获取模型数据集;S3.1. Acquire a cyclic degradation data set of the lithium-ion battery pack, and obtain a model data set based on the cyclic degradation data set;

S3.2、构建所述节点退化数据预测模型;S3.2, construct the node degradation data prediction model;

S3.3、基于所述模型数据集对所述节点退化数据预测模型进行参数优化训练,完成节点退化数据预测模型的构建。S3.3. Perform parameter optimization training on the node degradation data prediction model based on the model data set, and complete the construction of the node degradation data prediction model.

优选地,所述S5中锂离子电池组健康状态预测结果的获取过程包括以下步骤:Preferably, the process of obtaining the predicted result of the state of health of the lithium-ion battery pack in S5 includes the following steps:

S5.1、对所述节点退化预测数据进行离散化处理,完成对所述锂离子电池组退化过程的多状态划分;S5.1. Perform discretization processing on the node degradation prediction data to complete the multi-state division of the degradation process of the lithium-ion battery pack;

S5.2、构建贝叶斯神经网络混合模型;S5.2, build a Bayesian neural network hybrid model;

S5.3、基于所述贝叶斯神经网络混合模型获取节点状态分布预测数据,根据所述节点状态分布预测数据获取锂离子电池组健康状态预测结果。S5.3. Obtain node state distribution prediction data based on the Bayesian neural network hybrid model, and obtain a lithium-ion battery pack health state prediction result according to the node state distribution prediction data.

本发明公开了以下技术效果:The present invention discloses the following technical effects:

本发明利用多层级系统预测建模方法,通过电池充放电的多特征参数,建立电池组系统贝叶斯网络模型,并按照特征提取—相关性分析—特征降维—节点状态分布预测—系统健康状态预测的流程,完整地进行了相应的分析工作,实现了对锂离子电池组健康状态的准确预知。The invention uses the multi-level system prediction modeling method to establish a Bayesian network model of the battery system through the multi-feature parameters of battery charge and discharge, and according to feature extraction-correlation analysis-feature dimension reduction-node state distribution prediction-system health In the process of state prediction, the corresponding analysis work is completely carried out, and the accurate prediction of the health state of the lithium-ion battery pack is realized.

附图说明Description of drawings

为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动性的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the accompanying drawings required in the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings in the following description are only some of the present invention. In the embodiments, for those of ordinary skill in the art, other drawings can also be obtained according to these drawings without creative labor.

图1为本发明的方法流程图;Fig. 1 is the method flow chart of the present invention;

图2为本发明实施例的电池组试验平台示意图;2 is a schematic diagram of a battery pack test platform according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图3为本发明实施例的并串联电池组结构示意图;3 is a schematic structural diagram of a parallel series battery pack according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图4为本发明实施例的循环剖面示意图;其中,(a)为放电第5循环;(b)为放电第295循环;4 is a schematic diagram of a cycle section of an embodiment of the present invention; wherein, (a) is the 5th cycle of discharge; (b) is the 295th cycle of discharge;

图5为本发明实施例的特征降维示意图;5 is a schematic diagram of feature dimension reduction according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图6为本发明实施例的整合节点状态概率分布预测曲线;FIG. 6 is an integrated node state probability distribution prediction curve according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图7为本发明实施例的电池组系统贝叶斯网络模型;7 is a Bayesian network model of a battery pack system according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图8为本发明实施例的锂离子电池组系统状态预测结果。FIG. 8 is a state prediction result of a lithium-ion battery pack system according to an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, but not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

为使本发明的上述目的、特征和优点能够更加明显易懂,下面结合附图和具体实施方式对本发明作进一步详细的说明。In order to make the above objects, features and advantages of the present invention more clearly understood, the present invention will be described in further detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

参照图1所示,本实施例提供基于深度学习的锂离子电池组健康状态预测方法,包括以下步骤:Referring to FIG. 1 , this embodiment provides a method for predicting the state of health of a lithium-ion battery pack based on deep learning, including the following steps:

S1、提取锂离子电池组的放电特征参数,并对放电特征参数进行相关性分析。S1, extracting discharge characteristic parameters of the lithium-ion battery pack, and performing a correlation analysis on the discharge characteristic parameters.

其中,放电特征参数包括放电电流、放电电压、放电温度、放电容量数据。相关性分析的过程为:对放电特征参数进行均值、中位数、方差计算,完成统计分析,并根据统计分析的结果进行相关可视化操作,完成相关性分析。The discharge characteristic parameters include discharge current, discharge voltage, discharge temperature, and discharge capacity data. The process of correlation analysis is as follows: calculate the mean, median and variance of discharge characteristic parameters, complete statistical analysis, and perform relevant visualization operations according to the results of statistical analysis to complete correlation analysis.

S2、根据相关性分析的结果获取原始特征数据集,并通过卷积神经网络对原始特征数据集进行特征降维,获得降维特征集。S2. Obtain an original feature data set according to the result of the correlation analysis, and perform feature dimension reduction on the original feature data set through a convolutional neural network to obtain a dimension reduction feature set.

其中,原始特征数据集的获取过程为:量化相关性分析的结果,获取放电特征参数的相关系数矩阵,并根据相关系数矩阵去除相关系数小于0.1的放电特征参数,获取原始特征数据集。Among them, the acquisition process of the original feature data set is as follows: quantify the results of the correlation analysis, obtain the correlation coefficient matrix of the discharge characteristic parameters, and remove the discharge characteristic parameters whose correlation coefficient is less than 0.1 according to the correlation coefficient matrix to obtain the original feature data set.

特征降维的过程包括以下步骤:The process of feature dimensionality reduction includes the following steps:

S2.1、对原始特征数据集进行网格化处理,获得网格特征矩阵;S2.1. Perform grid processing on the original feature data set to obtain a grid feature matrix;

S2.2、基于网格特征矩阵构建卷积神经网络模型,并对卷积神经网络模型进行模型优化训练;S2.2. Construct a convolutional neural network model based on the grid feature matrix, and perform model optimization training on the convolutional neural network model;

S2.3、基于模型优化训练后的卷积神经网络模型获取降维特征参数,完成特征降维。S2.3. Obtain dimension reduction feature parameters based on the convolutional neural network model after model optimization and training, and complete feature dimension reduction.

S3、根据循环间放电容量的关联关系获取锂离子电池组循环间放电情况的时序性,并基于锂离子电池组循环间放电情况的时序性构建节点退化数据预测模型。S3. Obtain the time series of the discharge conditions between cycles of the lithium-ion battery pack according to the correlation between the discharge capacities between cycles, and build a node degradation data prediction model based on the time series of the discharge conditions of the lithium-ion battery packs between cycles.

节点退化数据预测模型的构建包括以下步骤:The construction of the node degradation data prediction model includes the following steps:

S3.1、获取锂离子电池组的循环退化数据集,并基于循环退化数据集获取模型数据集;S3.1. Obtain the cyclic degradation data set of the lithium-ion battery pack, and obtain the model data set based on the cyclic degradation data set;

S3.2、构建节点退化数据预测模型;S3.2. Build a node degradation data prediction model;

S3.3、基于模型数据集对节点退化数据预测模型进行参数优化训练,完成节点退化数据预测模型的构建。S3.3. Perform parameter optimization training on the node degradation data prediction model based on the model data set, and complete the construction of the node degradation data prediction model.

S4、将降维特征集输入节点退化数据预测模型中,获取锂离子电池组的节点退化预测数据。S4. Input the dimension reduction feature set into the node degradation data prediction model, and obtain node degradation prediction data of the lithium-ion battery pack.

S5、将节点退化预测数据转化为节点状态分布预测数据,并基于节点状态分布预测数据获取锂离子电池组健康状态预测结果。S5. Convert the node degradation prediction data into node state distribution prediction data, and obtain a lithium-ion battery pack health state prediction result based on the node state distribution prediction data.

S5.1、对节点退化预测数据进行离散化处理,完成对锂离子电池组退化过程的多状态划分;S5.1. Discretize the node degradation prediction data to complete the multi-state division of the degradation process of the lithium-ion battery pack;

S5.2、基于深度学习以及程序实现框架构建贝叶斯神经网络混合模型;S5.2, build a Bayesian neural network hybrid model based on deep learning and program implementation framework;

S5.3、基于贝叶斯神经网络混合模型获取节点状态分布预测数据,根据节点状态分布预测数据获取锂离子电池组健康状态预测结果。S5.3. Obtain the node state distribution prediction data based on the Bayesian neural network hybrid model, and obtain the lithium-ion battery pack health state prediction result according to the node state distribution prediction data.

在本实施例的锂离子电池组循环退化试验中,受试电池采用商用ICR18650锂离子电池,四节电池以先并联后串联的方式组成电池组,电池组循环退化试验平台和测试系统示意如图2所示。并串联电池组结构示意如图3所示,其中Cell_1、Cell_2、Cell_3、Cell_4为单体电池编号。In the cycle degradation test of the lithium-ion battery pack in this embodiment, the tested battery adopts a commercial ICR18650 lithium-ion battery, and four cells are connected in parallel and then in series to form a battery pack. The cycle degradation test platform and test system of the battery pack are shown in the figure. 2 shown. A schematic diagram of the structure of a parallel-connected battery pack is shown in Figure 3, where Cell_1, Cell_2, Cell_3, and Cell_4 are the numbers of the single cells.

为评估预测电池组的健康状态,退化试验主要从电池组的各个放电特征参数进行性能评估,相应的测量参数包括电池组及内部单体电池的放电电流、放电电压、放电温度等特征参数,同时测量电池组总体的循环放电容量作为电池组的健康状态指标。对退化数据向状态分布的转化内容部分,针对的对象均为Cell_1,Cell_2组成的并联模块整合节点(后面简称为并联模块)。In order to evaluate and predict the health state of the battery pack, the degradation test mainly evaluates the performance of each discharge characteristic parameter of the battery pack. The corresponding measurement parameters include the discharge current, discharge voltage, discharge temperature and other characteristic parameters of the battery pack and internal single cells. The overall cycle discharge capacity of the battery pack is measured as an indicator of the state of health of the battery pack. For the transformation content of the degradation data to the state distribution, the target objects are all parallel module integration nodes composed of Cell_1 and Cell_2 (hereinafter referred to as parallel modules).

并联模块循环退化试验数据集共包含320个循环的放电数据,特征参数包括并联模块和并联模块内部单体电池各个循环的充放电电流、充放电电压、充放电温度,以及并联模块整体的放电容量数据,并联模块的循环剖面示意图如图4所示。The parallel module cycle degradation test data set contains 320 cycles of discharge data. The characteristic parameters include the charge and discharge current, charge and discharge voltage, charge and discharge temperature of the parallel module and the single battery inside the parallel module in each cycle, as well as the overall discharge capacity of the parallel module. Data, a schematic diagram of the circulation profile of the parallel module is shown in Figure 4.

在实验中并联模块在放电阶段相依性质体现尤为明显,并且随着循环退化的进行电池组的放电特征差异明显,非均衡影响明显加强,放电特征能反映电池组当前的放电性能,能够很好的作为电池组健康状态的输入参数,并且放电容量是反应电池组健康状态的主要指标。在此基础上对并联模块循环剖面的放电阶段进行截取,分析放电阶段各特征之间以及与系统整体健康状态变化的相关性质。In the experiment, the interdependent nature of the parallel modules in the discharge stage is particularly obvious, and with the progress of cycle degradation, the discharge characteristics of the battery pack are significantly different, and the non-equilibrium effect is obviously strengthened. The discharge characteristics can reflect the current discharge performance of the battery pack, which can be very good. As an input parameter of the state of health of the battery pack, and the discharge capacity is the main indicator to reflect the state of health of the battery pack. On this basis, the discharge phase of the cycle profile of the parallel module is intercepted, and the correlation between the characteristics of the discharge phase and the change of the overall health state of the system is analyzed.

各特征参数随着退化状态的进行也发生明显改变:随着循环退化过程的进行,电流参数的波动性明显增加,电池间的不一致性也明显加强,不一致性的影响也从放电结束阶段蔓延到整个放电过程;对于电压参数,由于并联结构的特性,退化前期和后期变化不明显,能初步看出随着电池退化波动性的增强,需要进一步分析其与并联模块状态的相关性;温度参数也发生显著变化,首先温度均值显著提高,其次不一致性明显加强,两节电池的差异性增大。另一方面,从各个放电特征的剖面图也可以看出,电池健康状态的改变在特征参数的变化上的体现也具有一定的位置特性,例如从电流和温度数据来看,电池的退化过程主要从放电末期向前扩散,实现对于这类特征信息的捕捉,将对特征降维的效果带来提升,这也是卷积神经网络中卷积核的主要作用之一。The characteristic parameters also change significantly with the progress of the degradation state: with the progress of the cyclic degradation process, the fluctuation of the current parameters increases significantly, the inconsistency between cells is also significantly strengthened, and the influence of the inconsistency also spreads from the end of discharge stage to The entire discharge process; for the voltage parameters, due to the characteristics of the parallel structure, the changes in the early and late stages of degradation are not obvious. It can be initially seen that with the increase of the battery degradation fluctuation, the correlation with the state of the parallel module needs to be further analyzed; the temperature parameters are also Significant changes occur, firstly, the temperature mean value is significantly increased, secondly, the inconsistency is significantly strengthened, and the difference between the two batteries increases. On the other hand, it can also be seen from the cross-sectional views of each discharge feature that the change of the battery state of health also has certain positional characteristics in the change of the characteristic parameters. For example, from the current and temperature data, the degradation process of the battery is mainly Diffusion forward from the end of discharge to capture such feature information will improve the effect of feature dimensionality reduction, which is also one of the main functions of convolution kernels in convolutional neural networks.

并且放电参数的统计特征也能有效反映电池组的健康状态,例如温度的均值能反应电池内阻的变化趋势,电流电压的方差能反映电池放电的稳定性,对上述测得的多个并联模块放电特征参数进行统计分析,计算各参数的均值、中位数、方差,并进行相关可视化操作。In addition, the statistical characteristics of the discharge parameters can also effectively reflect the health status of the battery pack. For example, the average temperature can reflect the change trend of the internal resistance of the battery, and the variance of the current and voltage can reflect the stability of the battery discharge. For the above measured multiple parallel modules The discharge characteristic parameters were statistically analyzed, the mean, median, and variance of each parameter were calculated, and related visualization operations were performed.

各统计参数与并联模块的退化过程存在较强的相关性质,为了量化相关关系,计算特征参数相关系数矩阵,根据相关矩阵,将相关系数小于0.1的特征予以剔除,将剩下的特征与之前的放电电流、放电电压、放电温度作为原始特征集输入,如表1和表2所示。There is a strong correlation between each statistical parameter and the degradation process of the parallel module. In order to quantify the correlation, the feature parameter correlation coefficient matrix is calculated. According to the correlation matrix, the features with a correlation coefficient less than 0.1 are eliminated, and the remaining features The discharge current, discharge voltage, and discharge temperature are input as the original feature set, as shown in Table 1 and Table 2.

表1Table 1

放电特征Discharge characteristics 特征数据类型Feature data type Cell_1放电电流Cell_1 discharge current 张量Tensor Cell_1放电电压Cell_1 discharge voltage 张量Tensor Cell_1放电温度Cell_1 discharge temperature 张量Tensor Cell_2放电电流Cell_2 discharge current 张量Tensor Cell_2放电电压Cell_2 discharge voltage 张量Tensor Cell_2放电温度Cell_2 discharge temperature 张量Tensor Cell_1放电电流中位数Cell_1 median discharge current 标量scalar Cell_1放电电流均值Cell_1 discharge current average 标量scalar Cell_1放电电流方差Cell_1 discharge current variance 标量scalar Cell_2放电电流中位数Cell_2 median discharge current 标量scalar

表2Table 2

放电特征Discharge characteristics 特征数据类型Feature data type Cell_2放电电流均值Cell_2 discharge current average 标量scalar Cell_2放电电流方差Cell_2 discharge current variance 标量scalar Cell_1放电电压中位数Cell_1 median discharge voltage 标量scalar Cell_1放电电压均值Cell_1 discharge voltage average 标量scalar Cell_2放电电压中位数Cell_2 median discharge voltage 标量scalar Cell_2放电电压均值Cell_2 discharge voltage average 标量scalar Cell_1放电温度方差Cell_1 discharge temperature variance 标量scalar Cell_1放电温度均值Cell_1 average discharge temperature 标量scalar Cell_2放电温度方差Cell_2 discharge temperature variance 标量scalar Cell_2放电温度均值Cell_2 average discharge temperature 标量scalar

进一步分析相关系数矩阵可以看出,特征参数对并联模块健康状态基本都有较高的相关性说明提取出的电池充放电特征能够用来进行电池组健康状态的预测,但与此同时也存在温度中位数、电压方差值等相关性较小的参数(<0.1),同时也发现多特征参数之间存在着较强的相关性质,如果直接输入模型会造成权重偏移,降低模型预测精度,带来多特征数据的重叠问题,因此需要进一步进行特征降维工作。Further analysis of the correlation coefficient matrix shows that the characteristic parameters basically have a high correlation with the state of health of the parallel module, indicating that the extracted battery charge and discharge characteristics can be used to predict the state of health of the battery pack, but at the same time there is also a temperature Median, voltage variance value and other parameters with small correlation (<0.1), and it is also found that there is a strong correlation between multi-feature parameters. If the model is directly input, the weight will be shifted and the prediction accuracy of the model will be reduced. , which brings about the overlapping problem of multi-feature data, so further feature dimensionality reduction work is needed.

为了得到质量更高的输入特征以提高模型预测准确率,对于上述得到的原始特征数据集,基于特征降维方法,利用卷积神经网络对锂离子电池组放电特征进行特征降维,如图5所示。In order to obtain higher quality input features to improve the model prediction accuracy, for the original feature dataset obtained above, based on the feature dimension reduction method, the convolutional neural network is used to reduce the feature dimension of the discharge feature of the lithium-ion battery pack, as shown in Figure 5 shown.

为了对模型特征降维的结果进行分析评价,对并联模块健康状态进行多状态划分,并以健康、退化、失效作为预测标签,Adam算法作为优化算法进行模型参数的优化训练。In order to analyze and evaluate the results of model feature dimensionality reduction, the health state of the parallel module is divided into multiple states, and health, degradation, and failure are used as prediction labels, and Adam algorithm is used as an optimization algorithm to optimize model parameters.

针对多特征降维效果的评价,本实施例从降维特征可视化和模型分类性能两个方面对特征降维结果进行评价分析。将降维结果前三个降维主成分进行可视化处理。原始的多特征数据经过卷积神经网络,特征之间进行非线性组合得到降维特征参数。类比于主成分分析,对于可视化结果,图像中的三个坐标轴代表降维特征结果的前三个主成分维度,每个图像代表电池组的一个循环过程,曲线的变化趋势代表并联模块在当前放电循环过程中降维特征的变化情况。For the evaluation of the multi-feature dimensionality reduction effect, this embodiment evaluates and analyzes the feature dimensionality reduction result from two aspects of dimensionality reduction feature visualization and model classification performance. The first three dimensionality reduction principal components of the dimensionality reduction result are visualized. The original multi-feature data is passed through a convolutional neural network, and the features are nonlinearly combined to obtain dimensionality reduction feature parameters. Analogous to principal component analysis, for the visualization results, the three axes in the image represent the first three principal component dimensions of the dimensionality reduction feature results, each image represents a cycle process of the battery pack, and the change trend of the curve represents the parallel module in the current state. Changes in dimensionality reduction features during discharge cycles.

以模型预测准确率作为评价标准,模型预测结果acc如所示:Taking the model prediction accuracy as the evaluation standard, the model prediction result acc is as follows:

Figure BDA0003270125340000101
Figure BDA0003270125340000101

式中,m表示预测正确的样本数;n表示总的样本量。模型预测结果如表3所示。In the formula, m represents the number of correctly predicted samples; n represents the total sample size. The model prediction results are shown in Table 3.

表3table 3

总样本数(n)Total number of samples (n) 预测正确样本数(m)Number of correct predicted samples (m) 准确率Accuracy 320320 309309 96.6%96.6%

模型的预测精度结果为96.6%,具有良好的预测性能,也表示出卷积神经网络得到的降维特征能够对系统健康状态有很好的表征作用。以降维提取得到的三个主成分来表示每个循环的退化过程。随着循环退化过程的进行,并联模块的放电过程紊乱程度明显增加,从模式识别的角度来说,通过卷积神经网络降维得到的特征有效的对电池组的健康状态变化予以识别。The prediction accuracy of the model is 96.6%, which has good prediction performance. It also shows that the dimensionality reduction features obtained by the convolutional neural network can have a good representation of the health status of the system. The degradation process of each cycle is represented by the three principal components extracted by dimensionality reduction. With the progress of the cycle degradation process, the degree of disorder of the discharge process of the parallel modules increases significantly. From the perspective of pattern recognition, the features obtained through the dimensionality reduction of the convolutional neural network can effectively identify the changes in the health status of the battery pack.

在上述基础上,并联模块的退化特征参数与电池组到的健康状态变化有很强的相关性,能很好的表征电池组的退化状态,因此本实施例以并联模块健康状态为对象,将降维特征作为数据输入,进一步进行电池组退化预测。以循环放电容量作为表征电池组健康状态的主要指标,因此本节主要针对电池组的循环放电容量开展建模预测工作。On the basis of the above, the degradation characteristic parameters of the parallel module have a strong correlation with the change of the state of health of the battery pack, which can well characterize the degradation state of the battery pack. Therefore, this embodiment takes the health state of the parallel module as the object, and The dimensionality reduction features are used as data input for further battery pack degradation prediction. The cycle discharge capacity is used as the main indicator to characterize the state of health of the battery pack. Therefore, this section mainly focuses on the modeling and prediction of the cycle discharge capacity of the battery pack.

考虑电池组的健康状态在时间序列维度具有连续性,循环间的放电容量存在关联关系,即电池组循环间放电情况的时序性,建立卷积神经网络和LSTM循环神经网络的混合模型,对并联模块的循环放电容量进行预测。Considering that the health state of the battery pack has continuity in the time series dimension, and the discharge capacity between cycles is correlated, that is, the timing of the discharge conditions of the battery pack between cycles, a hybrid model of convolutional neural network and LSTM recurrent neural network is established. The cyclic discharge capacity of the module is predicted.

利用CNN+LSTM混合模型对并联模块放电容量进行预测,其中模型对于电池组的放电容量起到了较好的预测效果。以均方根误差(RMSE)、绝对误差(MAE)和R2值作为模型评价指标,相应的模型预测集评估结果如表4所示。The CNN+LSTM hybrid model is used to predict the discharge capacity of the parallel modules, and the model has a good prediction effect on the discharge capacity of the battery pack. Taking root mean square error (RMSE), absolute error (MAE) and R2 value as model evaluation indicators, the corresponding model prediction set evaluation results are shown in Table 4 .

表4Table 4

评价指标Evaluation indicators RMSE(mAh)RMSE(mAh) MAE(mAh)MAE(mAh) R<sup>2</sup>-valueR<sup>2</sup>-value 预测结果forecast result 9.909.90 8.688.68 0.870.87

从表4结果可以看出模型对容量的预测误差能达到10mAh左右,R2值>0.85,具有良好的预测性能。From the results in Table 4, it can be seen that the prediction error of the model for the capacity can reach about 10mAh, and the R 2 value is > 0.85, which has good prediction performance.

其中,RMSE、MAE,和R2值的计算公式分别如下所示:Among them, the calculation formulas of RMSE, MAE, and R 2 values are as follows:

Figure BDA0003270125340000111
Figure BDA0003270125340000111

Figure BDA0003270125340000121
Figure BDA0003270125340000121

Figure BDA0003270125340000122
Figure BDA0003270125340000122

式中,yi表示第i个真实值;

Figure BDA0003270125340000123
表示第i次预测的预测值;i表示测量次数,i=1,2,……,m。In the formula, y i represents the ith true value;
Figure BDA0003270125340000123
Indicates the predicted value of the i-th prediction; i indicates the number of measurements, i=1, 2, ..., m.

在此基础上,为了能够更清晰地对深度学习模型预测的有效性给出评估,本实施例继续对所提出模型的预测精度进行进一步评估。针对模型预测的稳定性予以分析,本实施例采用箱型图进行预测精度分散情况统计。首先将原预测结果转化为相对误差计算,相对误差的计算公式如下所示:On this basis, in order to evaluate the validity of the prediction of the deep learning model more clearly, this embodiment continues to further evaluate the prediction accuracy of the proposed model. In order to analyze the stability of the model prediction, in this embodiment, a box plot is used to perform statistics on the dispersion of prediction accuracy. First, the original prediction result is converted into a relative error calculation. The calculation formula of the relative error is as follows:

Figure BDA0003270125340000124
Figure BDA0003270125340000124

式中,

Figure BDA0003270125340000125
表示真实值;y表示预测值。In the formula,
Figure BDA0003270125340000125
represents the true value; y represents the predicted value.

通过箱型线分析结果,能够得出深度学习预测模型对并联模块健康状态退化量的预测结果波动性小,离群值少,性能良好。Through the box line analysis results, it can be concluded that the prediction results of the deep learning prediction model for the degradation of the health state of the parallel modules have small fluctuations, few outliers, and good performance.

上述实现了对电池健康状态退化过程的预测,但要实现对锂离子电池组系统状态推断,还需要将电池组的退化数据向状态分布数据进行转化,利用贝叶斯神经网络能够将退化数据转化为节点状态分布数据。The above has realized the prediction of the degradation process of the battery state of health, but in order to realize the inference of the lithium-ion battery system state, it is also necessary to convert the degradation data of the battery pack to the state distribution data, and the Bayesian neural network can be used to convert the degradation data. Distribute data for node states.

首先对电池组的退化过程进行状态划分。基于模糊理论分别将基层组件在不同时刻获取的连续数据采用模糊数进行离散化处理,即退化过程数据的多状态划分。锂离子电池容量退化数据状态划分越精细,越能准确把握其状态,然而随着状态数目的增多,计算的复杂度呈指数级别增长,对于锂离子电池组系统适合采用梯形模糊数将其连续数据划分为3状态(健康、退化、失效/normal、degraded、failure)或4状态(健康、轻微退化、严重退化、失效/normal、slight degraded、serious degraded、failure)进行研究。First, the degradation process of the battery pack is divided into states. Based on fuzzy theory, the continuous data obtained by the basic components at different times are discretized by fuzzy numbers, that is, the multi-state division of the degradation process data. The finer the state division of the lithium-ion battery capacity degradation data, the more accurate the state can be grasped. However, with the increase of the number of states, the computational complexity increases exponentially. For the lithium-ion battery system, it is suitable to use trapezoidal fuzzy numbers to classify its continuous data. Divide into 3 states (healthy, degraded, failed/normal, degraded, failure) or 4 states (healthy, slightly degraded, severely degraded, failed/normal, slightly degraded, serious degraded, failure) for research.

按多状态划分方法将归一化后的容量数据进行离散化处理,根据电池退化过程所建的网络节点状态,综合计算复杂度与准确度,将建立的电池组系统网络的节点状态划分为3状态(健康、退化、失效/normal、degraded、failure),得到电池组系统及单体节点多状态划分结果。According to the multi-state division method, the normalized capacity data is discretized. According to the network node state built in the battery degradation process, the computational complexity and accuracy are integrated, and the node state of the established battery system network is divided into 3 Status (health, degradation, failure/normal, degraded, failure), get the multi-state division results of battery system and single node.

利用深度学习以及程序实现框架的特点,在建立的CNN+LSTM混合模型的基础上,定义贝叶斯神经网络层,将隐藏神经元的先验分布设置为高斯分布,替换原模型的全连接网络层,并根据健康状态划分情况设置网络模型输出维度,建立CNN+LSTM+BNN(贝叶斯神经网络)混合模型。Using the characteristics of deep learning and program implementation framework, on the basis of the established CNN+LSTM hybrid model, the Bayesian neural network layer is defined, the prior distribution of hidden neurons is set to Gaussian distribution, and the fully connected network of the original model is replaced. The output dimension of the network model is set according to the division of health status, and a CNN+LSTM+BNN (Bayesian Neural Network) hybrid model is established.

在状态划分的基础上,建立贝叶斯神经网络模型,整合节点的状态概率分布预测曲线如图6-8所示。根据图8可以看出,整合节点在100循环左右,节点开始由健康状态向退化状态进行转变,在240循环左右,失效状态的概率猛增,电池并联模块迅速进入退化状态。On the basis of state division, a Bayesian neural network model is established, and the state probability distribution prediction curve of the integrated node is shown in Figure 6-8. According to Figure 8, it can be seen that the integration node is about 100 cycles, and the node begins to transition from a healthy state to a degraded state. At about 240 cycles, the probability of a failure state increases sharply, and the battery parallel module quickly enters a degraded state.

本发明公开了以下技术效果:The present invention discloses the following technical effects:

本发明利用多层级系统预测建模方法,通过电池充放电的多特征参数,建立电池组系统贝叶斯网络模型,并按照特征提取—相关性分析—特征降维—节点状态分布预测—系统健康状态预测的流程,完整地进行了相应的分析工作,实现了对锂离子电池组健康状态的准确预知。The invention uses the multi-level system prediction modeling method to establish a Bayesian network model of the battery system through the multi-feature parameters of battery charge and discharge, and according to feature extraction-correlation analysis-feature dimension reduction-node state distribution prediction-system health In the process of state prediction, the corresponding analysis work is completely carried out, and the accurate prediction of the health state of the lithium-ion battery pack is realized.

最后应说明的是:以上实施例,仅为本发明的具体实施方式,用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制,本发明的保护范围并不局限于此,尽管参照前述实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:任何熟悉本技术领域的技术人员在本发明揭露的技术范围内,其依然可以对前述实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改或可轻易想到变化,或者对其中部分技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改、变化或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明实施例技术方案的精神和范围。都应涵盖在本发明的保护范围之内。因此,本发明的保护范围应以权利要求的保护范围为准。Finally, it should be noted that the above embodiments are only specific implementations of the present invention, and are used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, but not to limit them. The protection scope of the present invention is not limited thereto, although with reference to the foregoing embodiments The present invention has been described in detail, and those of ordinary skill in the art should understand that: any person skilled in the art can still modify or modify the technical solutions described in the foregoing embodiments within the technical scope disclosed by the present invention. Changes are easily thought of, or equivalent replacements are made to some of the technical features; and these modifications, changes or replacements do not make the essence of the corresponding technical solutions deviate from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention. All should be covered within the protection scope of the present invention. Therefore, the protection scope of the present invention should be subject to the protection scope of the claims.

Claims (2)

1. The lithium ion battery pack health state prediction method based on deep learning is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
s1, extracting the discharge characteristic parameters of the lithium ion battery pack, and carrying out correlation analysis on the discharge characteristic parameters;
s2, obtaining an original feature data set according to the result of the correlation analysis, and performing feature dimension reduction on the original feature data set to obtain a dimension reduction feature set;
the acquiring process of the original feature data set in S2 is as follows: quantifying the result of the correlation analysis, obtaining a correlation coefficient matrix of the discharge characteristic parameters, removing the discharge characteristic parameters with the correlation coefficient less than 0.1 according to the correlation coefficient matrix, and obtaining an original characteristic data set;
s3, obtaining the time sequence of the discharge condition of the lithium ion battery pack among the cycles according to the incidence relation of the discharge capacity among the cycles, and constructing a node degradation data prediction model based on the time sequence of the discharge condition of the lithium ion battery pack among the cycles;
s4, inputting the dimensionality reduction feature set into the node degradation data prediction model to obtain node degradation prediction data of the lithium ion battery pack;
s5, converting the node degradation prediction data into node state distribution prediction data, and acquiring a health state prediction result of the lithium ion battery pack based on the node state distribution prediction data;
the correlation analysis in S1 includes: calculating the mean value, median and variance of the discharge characteristic parameters to complete statistical analysis, and performing related visual operation according to the result of the statistical analysis to complete correlation analysis;
the feature dimension reduction process in S2 includes the following steps:
s2.1, carrying out gridding processing on the original characteristic data set to obtain a grid characteristic matrix;
s2.2, constructing a convolutional neural network model based on the grid characteristic matrix, and performing model optimization training on the convolutional neural network model;
s2.3, obtaining dimension reduction characteristic parameters based on the convolutional neural network model after model optimization training, and completing characteristic dimension reduction;
the construction of the node degradation data prediction model in the step S3 includes the following steps:
s3.1, acquiring a cycle degradation data set of the lithium ion battery pack, and acquiring a model data set based on the cycle degradation data set;
s3.2, constructing a node degradation data prediction model;
s3.3, performing parameter optimization training on the node degradation data prediction model based on the model data set to complete construction of the node degradation data prediction model;
the process for obtaining the lithium ion battery pack health state prediction result in the step S5 includes the following steps: s5.1, discretizing the node degradation prediction data to finish multi-state division of the degradation process of the lithium ion battery pack;
s5.2, constructing a Bayesian neural network mixed model;
and S5.3, acquiring node state distribution prediction data based on the Bayesian neural network mixed model, and acquiring a health state prediction result of the lithium ion battery pack according to the node state distribution prediction data.
2. The deep learning-based lithium ion battery pack state of health prediction method of claim 1, wherein the discharge characteristic parameters in S1 include discharge current, discharge voltage, discharge temperature, discharge capacity data.
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