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CN110716012B - An Intelligent Monitoring System for Oil and Gas Concentration Based on Fieldbus Network - Google Patents

An Intelligent Monitoring System for Oil and Gas Concentration Based on Fieldbus Network Download PDF

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CN110716012B
CN110716012B CN201910854003.4A CN201910854003A CN110716012B CN 110716012 B CN110716012 B CN 110716012B CN 201910854003 A CN201910854003 A CN 201910854003A CN 110716012 B CN110716012 B CN 110716012B
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马从国
郇小城
周红标
周恒瑞
马海波
丁晓红
王建国
陈亚娟
杨玉东
张利兵
金德飞
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,所述系统由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台和加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统组成,该系统实现对加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度智能化检测和对油气泄露浓度等级进行分类;本发明不但有效解决了传统加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测装置油气浓度检测装备设计不合理、设备落后、检测系统不完善等原因导致加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测仍存在许多问题,而且有效解决了现有的加油站油罐区环境监测系统,对加油站油罐区环境的浓度进行检测与分类,从而极大的提高加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测的精确度和鲁棒性。

Figure 201910854003

The invention discloses an oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on a field bus network. The system consists of a gas station oil tank area environment parameter acquisition platform based on a CAN field bus network and a multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classifier in the gas station oil tank area environment. The system is composed of the system, which realizes the intelligent detection of the concentration of oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station and the classification of the concentration level of the oil and gas leakage; the invention not only effectively solves the problem of the traditional oil and gas concentration detection device in the oil tank area of the gas station, the design of the oil and gas concentration detection equipment Unreasonable, outdated equipment, imperfect detection system and other reasons lead to many problems in the detection of oil and gas concentration in the gas station tank area environment, and effectively solve the existing gas station tank area environment monitoring system. The concentration of the gas station can be detected and classified, so as to greatly improve the accuracy and robustness of the detection of the environmental oil and gas concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station.

Figure 201910854003

Description

一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统An Intelligent Monitoring System for Oil and Gas Concentration Based on Fieldbus Network

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及加油站油气环境自动化监测技术领域,具体涉及一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统。The invention relates to the technical field of automatic monitoring of oil and gas environment in gas stations, in particular to an intelligent monitoring system for oil and gas concentration based on a field bus network.

背景技术Background technique

加油站油罐区环境主要存储着油品存储容器或者管道如果发生泄漏,就会产生易燃液体蒸汽,当蒸汽压较高时,就会产生燃烧爆炸的危险,而可燃液体具有流淌性,在常温下遇到火源就会起火燃烧,如果存储容器发生泄漏就会在流淌的过程中不断蒸发可燃蒸汽,一旦接触火源,哪怕是最微小的火花,都会引起燃烧。因此,加强消防安全管理,即时检测引起火灾的油气泄露浓度,消除安全事故隐患,避免火灾事故发生是加油站油罐区环境火灾消防安全管理最重要的工作。当存储罐发生泄漏,遇到火星,引发火灾,如果扑救措施不及时,就会引起一系列的连锁反应,造成更大的损失,产生连续性爆炸,产生冲击波力量巨大可以在瞬间摧毁设备和厂房,破坏力极强。加油站油罐区环境是加油站涉及油品最多的区域,油品均属于易燃液体,发生火灾、爆炸事故的概率较大,而且一旦发生事故,后果相当严重。汽加油站油罐区环境发生火灾事故不仅对人及周围设备、设施产生危害,当蒸气浓度升高时,如达到汽油爆炸浓度极限时,将可能引发爆炸事故。如此则经济损失会更严重,社会影响会更强烈。因此在加油站油罐区环境的安全管理、应急管理方面还有大量工作要做。从加油站油罐区环境的事故类型分析来看,泄漏和火灾爆炸事故是加油站油罐区环境安全防范的重点。本发明专利发明了一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,该系统由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台和加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统组成,实现对加油站油罐区环境油气浓度的检测、预测和泄露浓度的分类,对加油站油罐区油气泄露浓度进行检测、预测和分类有比较高的精确度和鲁棒性。The environment of the oil tank area of the gas station mainly stores oil storage containers or pipelines. If there is a leak, flammable liquid vapor will be generated. When the vapor pressure is high, there will be a danger of combustion and explosion, and the flammable liquid has flowability. If it encounters a fire source at room temperature, it will catch fire and burn. If the storage container leaks, the flammable vapor will continue to evaporate in the process of flowing. Once it comes into contact with the fire source, even the smallest spark will cause combustion. Therefore, strengthening fire safety management, real-time detection of the concentration of oil and gas leakage caused by fire, eliminating hidden dangers of safety accidents, and avoiding fire accidents are the most important tasks of environmental fire safety management in gas station oil tank farms. When the storage tank leaks and encounters sparks, it will cause a fire. If the fire fighting measures are not timely, it will cause a series of chain reactions, resulting in greater losses, continuous explosions, and huge shock waves that can destroy equipment and workshops in an instant. , is extremely destructive. The oil tank area of the gas station is the area where the most oil products are involved in the gas station. The oil products are all flammable liquids, and the probability of fire and explosion accidents is high, and once an accident occurs, the consequences are quite serious. A fire accident in the oil tank area of a gasoline filling station not only causes harm to people and surrounding equipment and facilities, but also may cause an explosion accident when the vapor concentration increases, such as when the explosion concentration limit of gasoline is reached. In this way, the economic loss will be more serious and the social impact will be stronger. Therefore, there is still a lot of work to be done in the safety management and emergency management of the gas station tank farm environment. From the analysis of accident types in the oil tank farm environment of gas stations, leakage and fire and explosion accidents are the key points of environmental safety precautions for gas station oil tank farms. The patent of the present invention invents an intelligent monitoring system for oil and gas concentration based on a field bus network. The system is composed to realize the detection, prediction and classification of the environmental oil and gas concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station, and the detection, prediction and classification of the oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station have relatively high accuracy and robustness.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本发明提供了一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,本发明不但有效解决了传统加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测装置油气浓度检测装备设计不合理、设备落后、检测系统不完善等原因导致加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测仍存在许多问题,根据油气浓度变化的非线性、大滞后和加油站油罐区环境面积大油气浓度变化复杂等特点,而且有效解决了现有的加油站油罐区环境监测系统,对加油站油罐区环境的浓度进行检测与分类,从而极大的提高加油站油罐区环境油气浓度检测的精确度和鲁棒性。The invention provides an intelligent monitoring system for oil and gas concentration based on a field bus network, which not only effectively solves the problems of unreasonable design of oil and gas concentration detection equipment, backward equipment, imperfect detection system, etc. There are still many problems in the detection of the environmental oil and gas concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station. According to the characteristics of the non-linearity of oil and gas concentration changes, the large lag and the complex change of oil and gas concentration in the large environmental area of the gas station oil tank area, the existing oil and gas concentration is effectively solved. The station oil tank area environment monitoring system detects and classifies the environmental concentration of the gas station oil tank area, thereby greatly improving the accuracy and robustness of the gas station oil tank area environmental oil and gas concentration detection.

本发明通过以下技术方案实现:The present invention is achieved through the following technical solutions:

一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台和加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统组成,该系统实现对加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度智能化检测、预测和对油气泄露浓度进行分类。An intelligent monitoring system for oil and gas concentration based on a fieldbus network is composed of a CAN fieldbus network-based acquisition platform for gas station oil tank area environmental parameters and a multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the gas station oil tank area environment. Intelligent detection, prediction and classification of the concentration of oil and gas leakage in the environment of the station tank area.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台由检测节点和现场监控端组成,它们通过CAN现场总线构建成加油站油罐区参数采集平台。检测节点分别由传感器组模块、单片机和通信模块组成,传感器组模块负责检测加油站油罐区的温度、油气浓度、风速和烟雾等加油站油罐区环境参数,由单片机控制采样间隔并通过通信模块发送给现场监控端;现场监控端由一台工业控制计算机和RS232/CAN通信模块组成,实现对检测节点检测加油站油罐区参数进行管理和对加油站油罐区多点油气浓度融合、预测和分类。基于CAN现场总线的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台见图1所示。The environmental parameter acquisition platform of gas station oil tank farm based on CAN field bus network is composed of detection nodes and on-site monitoring terminals, which are constructed into a gas station oil tank farm parameter acquisition platform through CAN field bus. The detection nodes are respectively composed of a sensor group module, a single-chip microcomputer and a communication module. The sensor group module is responsible for detecting the temperature, oil and gas concentration, wind speed, smoke and other environmental parameters of the gas station tank area in the gas station tank area. The single-chip microcomputer controls the sampling interval and communicates with The module is sent to the on-site monitoring terminal; the on-site monitoring terminal is composed of an industrial control computer and RS232/CAN communication module, which realizes the management of the parameters of the gas station oil tank area detected by the detection node and the fusion of multi-point oil and gas concentrations in the gas station oil tank area. Prediction and classification. Figure 1 shows the environmental parameter acquisition platform of the gas station tank farm based on the CAN field bus.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统由多个检测点油气浓度传感器、多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络、加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型、三角模糊数预测模块和小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器共5部分组成,多个检测点油气浓度传感器感知被检测点油气泄露的浓度,每个检测点油气浓度传感器的输出作为对应的每个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输入,多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输出作为加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输入,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输出作为三角模糊数预测模块的输入,三角模糊数预测模块的输出作为小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输入,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器把被检测的加油站油气泄露浓度分为不同的等级,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统实现对加油站油气泄露浓度的检测、模糊量化、多点融合、预测和油气泄露浓度等级的分类过程,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统见图2所示。The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the gas station tank area environment consists of multiple detection point oil and gas concentration sensors, multiple time series triangular fuzzy number neural networks, multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model in the gas station tank area environment, and triangular fuzzy number prediction. The module and the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier are composed of 5 parts. The oil and gas concentration sensors at multiple detection points sense the concentration of oil and gas leakage at the detected points, and the output of the oil and gas concentration sensor at each detection point is used as the corresponding triangular fuzzy number for each time series. The input of the neural network, the output of multiple time-series triangular fuzzy number neural networks are used as the input of the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment, and the output of the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment is used as the triangular fuzzy number The input of the prediction module and the output of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module are used as the input of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier. The wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier divides the detected oil and gas leakage concentration into different levels. The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the tank area environment realizes the detection, fuzzy quantification, multi-point fusion, prediction and classification process of the oil and gas leakage concentration level of the gas station. The subsystem is shown in Figure 2.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络由每个检测点对应的每个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络组成,时间序列三角模糊数神经网络由被检测点的油气浓度传感器输出的一段常规时间序列值作为径向基神经网络的输入、径向基神经网络和被检测点的油气浓度的三角模糊数值作为径向基神经网络的输出组成,径向基神经网络输出的三角模糊数值分别表示被检测点的油气浓度的下限值、最大可能值和上限值;时间序列三角模糊数神经网络根据被检测点的油气浓度动态变化特征把被检测点的油气浓度的一段常规时间序列值转化为被检测的油气浓度的三角模糊值来表示,这种转化更加符合被检测点的油气浓度的动态变化规律。Multiple time series triangular fuzzy number neural networks are composed of each time series triangular fuzzy number neural network corresponding to each detection point. The input of the radial basis neural network, the triangular fuzzy value of the radial basis neural network and the oil and gas concentration of the detected point are composed as the output of the radial basis neural network, and the triangular fuzzy value output by the radial basis neural network respectively represents the The lower limit value, the maximum possible value and the upper limit value of the oil and gas concentration; the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network converts a conventional time series value of the oil and gas concentration of the detected point into the detected oil and gas concentration according to the dynamic change characteristics of the oil and gas concentration of the detected point. The triangular fuzzy value of oil and gas concentration is represented, and this transformation is more in line with the dynamic change law of oil and gas concentration at the detected point.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型由油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列、计算油气浓度三角模糊数预测值与正负理想值的相对帖近度、计算油气浓度三角模糊数融合值共3部分组成,一段时间多个参数检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,确定油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正负理想值,分别计算每个检测单元的油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正负理想值的距离,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离除以每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离与每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的正理想值的距离的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度除以所有检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的融合权重,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与该检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的融合权重的积的和得到多个检测点的时间序列三角模糊预测值的融合值。The multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment is composed of the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, the relative closeness of the predicted value of the oil and gas concentration triangular fuzzy number and the positive and negative ideal values, and the calculated triangular fuzzy number fusion value of the oil and gas concentration. It consists of 3 parts. The predicted values of the triangular fuzzy numbers of the oil and gas concentration of multiple parameter detection units for a period of time constitute a triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, and the positive and negative ideal values of the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series are determined, and each detection unit is calculated separately. The distance between the predicted value of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number and the positive and negative ideal values of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, divided by the distance of the negative ideal value of the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit by each detection unit The quotient obtained by summing the distance of the negative ideal value of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of the unit and the distance of the positive ideal value of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit is the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit The relative closeness of the predicted value, the quotient obtained by dividing the relative closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit by the sum of the relative closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of all detection units is each detection unit The fusion weight of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number, the sum of the product of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit and the fusion weight of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of the detection unit to obtain the time of multiple detection points The fused value of sequential triangular fuzzy predictions.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

三角模糊数预测模块由3个NARX神经网络预测模型和3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型组成,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型输出的被检测环境油气浓度的三角模糊数的下限值、最大可能值和上限值分别为NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3的输入,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型输出的被检测环境油气浓度三角模糊数的下限值、最大可能值和上限值分别与NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3的输出的差分别为相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3的输入,NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3的输出分别与相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3的输出相加和作为被检测环境油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值,该三角模糊数预测值作为三角模糊数预测模块输出。The triangular fuzzy number prediction module is composed of 3 NARX neural network prediction models and 3 Elman neural network prediction models of phase space reconstruction technology. The lower limit, maximum possible value and upper limit of the fuzzy number are the inputs of NARX neural network prediction model 1, NARX neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3, respectively. The difference between the lower limit, maximum possible value and upper limit of the triangular fuzzy number of the detected environmental oil and gas concentration output by the model and the output of NARX neural network prediction model 1, NARX neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3 respectively It is the input of Elman neural network prediction model 1 of phase space reconstruction technology, Elman neural network prediction model 2 of phase space reconstruction technology and Elman neural network prediction model 3 of phase space reconstruction technology, NARX neural network prediction model 1, NARX The outputs of neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3 are respectively the same as Elman neural network prediction model 1 of phase space reconstruction technology, Elman neural network prediction model 2 of phase space reconstruction technology and Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology. The sum of the outputs of the network prediction model 3 is used as the predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number of the oil and gas concentration in the detected environment, and the predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number is used as the output of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module.

本发明进一步技术改进方案是:The further technical improvement scheme of the present invention is:

小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器,根据被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的工程实践和国家关于《加油站渗泄漏污染控制标准》,建立评估被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的5种浓度等级的语言变量与5种不同三角模糊数对应关系表,将被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的分为油气泄露浓度很高、油气泄露浓度高、油气泄露浓度比较高、油气泄露浓度正常和油气泄露浓度很低共5种泄露等级;小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器对被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度泄露浓度等级进行分类,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出为代表油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数值,通过分别计算小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出与代表被检测的加油站油罐区环境5种油气泄露浓度等级的5种三角模糊数的相似度,其中相似度最大的三角模糊数对应的油气泄露等级即为该被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露当前浓度等级。The wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier is established to evaluate the environmental oil and gas leakage of the detected gas station oil tank area according to the engineering practice of the detected oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station and the national "Gas Station Seepage Leak Pollution Control Standard". The language variables of five concentration levels of concentration and the corresponding relationship table of five different triangular fuzzy numbers. There are 5 leakage levels: relatively high, normal oil and gas leakage concentration and very low oil and gas leakage concentration; the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier classifies the detected oil and gas concentration leakage concentration levels in the gas station tank area, and the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration class The output of the concentration classifier is a triangular fuzzy value representing the concentration level of oil and gas leakage. By calculating the output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier and the five kinds of triangles representing the five kinds of oil and gas leakage concentration levels of the detected gas station tank environment The similarity of the fuzzy numbers, where the oil and gas leakage level corresponding to the triangular fuzzy number with the largest similarity is the current concentration level of the detected oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station.

本发明与现有技术相比,具有以下明显优点:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following obvious advantages:

一、本发明针对加油站油罐区环境参数测量过程中,传感器精度误差、干扰和测量温度值异常等问题存在的不确定性和随机性,本发明专利将加油站油罐区环境参数的传感器测量的参数值通过时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型转化为三角模糊数形式表示,有效地处理了加油站油罐区环境环境被检测参数传感器测量参数的模糊性、动态性和不确定性,提高了加油站油罐区环境参数检测传感器值检测参数的客观性和可信度。1. The present invention aims at the uncertainty and randomness of the problems such as sensor accuracy error, interference and abnormal measured temperature value in the process of measuring the environmental parameters of the oil tank area of the gas station. The measured parameter values are converted into triangular fuzzy numbers through the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model, which effectively deal with the fuzziness, dynamics and uncertainty of the parameters measured by the parameter sensor in the gas station tank farm environment. The objectivity and reliability of the sensor value detection parameters of the environmental parameter detection in the gas station oil tank area are analyzed.

二、本发明加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型实现对多个检测点的油气浓度三角模糊预测值进行动态融合,通过确定多个检测点的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,确定油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正负理想值,分别计算每个检测单元的油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正负理想值的距离、每个检测单元的与正负理想值的相对贴近度和融合权重,提高被检测点油气浓度三角模糊数预测值的精确度。2. The multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station oil tank environment environment of the present invention realizes dynamic fusion of the oil and gas concentration triangular fuzzy prediction values of multiple detection points, and determines the oil and gas concentration of the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction values of the plurality of detection points. Time series triangular fuzzy number array, determine the positive and negative ideal values of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, respectively calculate the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit and the positive and negative values of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array The distance of the ideal value, the relative closeness of each detection unit to the positive and negative ideal values, and the fusion weight improve the accuracy of the predicted value of the oil and gas concentration triangle fuzzy number at the detected point.

三、本发明所采用NARX神经网络预测模型的输入包括被检测点的三角模糊数的下限值a、可能值b和上限值c的一段时间的输入和输出历史反馈,这部分反馈输入可以认为包含了一段时间的被检测的三角模糊数的状态历史信息参与被检测的三角模糊数的预测,对于一个合适的反馈时间长度,预测得到了很好的效果,本专利的NARX神经网络预测模式提供了一种有效的加油站油罐区环境参数的三角模糊数检测方法。3. The input of the NARX neural network prediction model used in the present invention includes the input and output history feedback of the lower limit a, the possible value b and the upper limit c of the triangular fuzzy number of the detected point for a period of time, and this part of the feedback input can be It is considered that the state history information of the detected triangular fuzzy numbers including a period of time participates in the prediction of the detected triangular fuzzy numbers. For a suitable feedback time length, the prediction has obtained a good effect. The NARX neural network prediction mode of this patent is used. An effective triangular fuzzy number detection method for environmental parameters of oil tank farms in gas stations is provided.

四、本发明所采用的NARX神经网络预测模型是一种能够有效对加油站被检测点参数的三角模糊数的下限值a、可能值b和上限值c的非线性、非平稳时间序列进行预测的动态神经网络模型,能够在时间序列非平稳性降低的情况下提高对加油站被检测点三角模糊数的时间序列的预测精度。与传统的预测模型方法相比,此方法具有处理非平稳时间序列效果好,计算速度快,准确率高的优点。通过对非平稳的油罐车油气泄漏浓度实验数据的实际对比,本专利验证了NARX神经网络预测模型对加油站被检测点的三角模糊数时间序列预测的可行性。同时,实验结果也证明了NARX神经网络预测模型在非平稳时间序列预测中比传统模型表现更加优异。4. The NARX neural network prediction model used in the present invention is a nonlinear and non-stationary time series that can effectively determine the lower limit a, possible value b and upper limit c of the triangular fuzzy number of the parameters of the detected point of the gas station. The dynamic neural network model for prediction can improve the prediction accuracy of the time series of the triangular fuzzy numbers of the detected points of the gas station when the non-stationarity of the time series is reduced. Compared with the traditional forecasting model method, this method has the advantages of good effect in dealing with non-stationary time series, fast calculation speed and high accuracy. Through the actual comparison of the experimental data of the non-stationary oil and gas leakage concentration of the oil tanker, this patent verifies the feasibility of the NARX neural network prediction model to predict the triangular fuzzy number time series of the detected points of the gas station. At the same time, the experimental results also prove that the NARX neural network forecasting model performs better than the traditional model in non-stationary time series forecasting.

五、本发明利用NARX神经网络建立加油站被检测点的三角模糊参数预测模型,由于通过引入延时模块及输出反馈建立模型的动态递归网络,它将输入和输出向量延时反馈引入网络训练中,形成新的输入向量,具有良好的非线性映射能力,网络模型的输入不仅包括原始输入数据,还包含经过训练后的输出数据,网络的泛化能力得到提高,使其在非线性油罐车油气泄漏浓度时间序列预测中较传统的静态神经网络具有更好的预测精度和自适应能力。5. The present invention uses the NARX neural network to establish the triangular fuzzy parameter prediction model of the detected point of the gas station. Since the dynamic recursive network of the model is established by introducing the delay module and the output feedback, it introduces the input and output vector delay feedback into the network training. , forming a new input vector, which has good nonlinear mapping ability. The input of the network model includes not only the original input data, but also the output data after training. The generalization ability of the network is improved, making it suitable for nonlinear oil tankers. Compared with the traditional static neural network, the time series prediction of oil and gas leakage concentration has better prediction accuracy and adaptive ability.

六、本发明所采用的相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型实现对被检测点的参数三角模糊数的残差进行预测,该预测值作为被检测点的三角模糊数的补偿值,提高被检测点的三角模糊数检测的精确度,该Elman神经网络预测模型一般分为4层:输入层、中间层(隐含层)、承接层和输出层,其输入层、隐含层和输出层的连接类似于前馈网络,输入层的单元仅起信号传输作用,输出层单元起线性加权作用。隐含层单元的传递函数可采用线性或非线性函数,承接层又称为上下文层或状态层,它用来记忆隐含层单元前一时刻的输出值,可以认为是一个一次延时算子。Elman神经网络预测模型的特点是隐含层的输出通过承接层的延迟与存储,自联到隐含层的输入,这种自联方式使其对历史状态的数据具有敏感性,内部反馈网络的加入增加了网络本身处理动态信息的能力,从而达到了动态建模的目的。Elman神经网络预测模型回归神经元网络的特点是隐层的输出通过结构单元的延迟、存储自联到隐层的输入,这种自联方式使其对历史状态的数据具有敏感性,内部反馈网络的加入增加了网络本身处理动态信息的能力,有利于动态过程的建模;该模型利用关联层动态神经元的反馈连接,将未来预测网络和过去预测网络的信息进行融合,使网络对时间序列特征信息的记忆得到加强,从而提高被检测点的三角模糊数的预测精度。6. The Elman neural network prediction model of the phase space reconstruction technology adopted in the present invention realizes the prediction of the residual error of the parametric triangular fuzzy number of the detected point, and the predicted value is used as the compensation value of the triangular fuzzy number of the detected point, which improves the The accuracy of the triangular fuzzy number detection of the detected points, the Elman neural network prediction model is generally divided into 4 layers: input layer, middle layer (hidden layer), successor layer and output layer, its input layer, hidden layer and output layer The connection of the layers is similar to the feedforward network, the units of the input layer only play the role of signal transmission, and the units of the output layer play the role of linear weighting. The transfer function of the hidden layer unit can be a linear or nonlinear function. The successor layer is also called the context layer or the state layer. It is used to memorize the output value of the hidden layer unit at the previous moment, which can be considered as a one-time delay operator. . The characteristic of Elman neural network prediction model is that the output of the hidden layer is self-connected to the input of the hidden layer through the delay and storage of the receiving layer. This self-connection method makes it sensitive to the data of historical state, and the internal feedback network Joining increases the ability of the network itself to deal with dynamic information, so as to achieve the purpose of dynamic modeling. Elman neural network prediction model regression neuron network is characterized in that the output of the hidden layer is self-connected to the input of the hidden layer through the delay of the structural unit, and the self-connection method makes it sensitive to the data of the historical state, and the internal feedback network The addition of the network increases the ability of the network itself to process dynamic information, which is beneficial to the modeling of the dynamic process; the model uses the feedback connection of the dynamic neurons in the association layer to fuse the information of the future prediction network and the past prediction network, so that the network can understand the time series. The memory of feature information is strengthened, thereby improving the prediction accuracy of triangular fuzzy numbers of detected points.

七、本发明将相空间重构和Elman神经网络二者结合起来构建相空间重构的Elman神经网络预测模型影响火灾危险度的油气浓度、温度和烟雾的参数进行补偿预测,该预测模型将重构相空间能够估计出预测参数的一维时间序列的演化信息并把一维时间序列拓展为包含着多态信息的多维序列,从而使被预测参数的结果跟实际值更加吻合;另外,使用相空间重构的输出向量作为Elman神经网络的输入值避免了选取Elman神经网络输入参数时的随意性,采用相空间重构的Elman神经网络预测模型提高预测影响加油站火灾参数的准确性和可靠性,对准确预测加油站火灾危险有重要价值。7. The present invention combines phase space reconstruction and Elman neural network to construct a phase space reconstructed Elman neural network prediction model to compensate and predict the parameters of oil and gas concentration, temperature and smoke that affect fire risk. The phase configuration space can estimate the evolution information of the one-dimensional time series of the predicted parameters and expand the one-dimensional time series to a multi-dimensional sequence containing polymorphic information, so that the results of the predicted parameters are more consistent with the actual values; The output vector of the spatial reconstruction is used as the input value of the Elman neural network to avoid the randomness when selecting the input parameters of the Elman neural network, and the Elman neural network prediction model of the phase space reconstruction is used to improve the accuracy and reliability of predicting the parameters affecting the gas station fire. , which is of great value in accurately predicting the fire hazards of gas stations.

八、本发明小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的科学性和可靠性,本专利的小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器根据被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的工程实践和国家关于《加油站渗泄漏污染控制标准》,建立评估被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的5种浓度等级的语言变量与5种不同三角模糊数对应关系表,将被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的分为油气泄露浓度很高、油气泄露浓度高、油气泄露浓度比较高、油气泄露浓度正常和油气泄露浓度很低共5种泄露等级;小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器对被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度泄露浓度等级进行分类,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出为代表油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数值,通过分别计算小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出与代表被检测的加油站油罐区环境5种油气泄露浓度等级的5种三角模糊数的相似度,其中相似度最大的三角模糊数对应的油气泄露等级即为该被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露当前浓度等级,实现对加油站火灾危险等级分类的动态性能和科学分类。8. The scientificity and reliability of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier of the present invention, the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier of the present invention is based on the engineering practice of the detected oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station and the national regulations on "Gas Oil and Gas Leakage". "Standards for Pollution Control of Station Seepage and Leakage", establishes a correspondence table between five concentration levels of linguistic variables and five different triangular fuzzy numbers to evaluate the concentration of oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station to be detected. The environmental oil and gas leakage concentration is divided into 5 leakage levels: high oil and gas leakage concentration, high oil and gas leakage concentration, relatively high oil and gas leakage concentration, normal oil and gas leakage concentration and very low oil and gas leakage concentration; wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier The detected oil and gas leakage concentration levels in the oil tank area of the gas station are classified. The output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier is a triangular fuzzy value representing the oil and gas leakage concentration level. The output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier is calculated separately. Similarity with 5 kinds of triangular fuzzy numbers representing the 5 kinds of oil and gas leakage concentration levels of the detected gas station oil tank environment, among which the oil and gas leakage level corresponding to the triangular fuzzy number with the largest similarity is the detected gas station oil tank The current concentration level of oil and gas leakage in the regional environment can realize the dynamic performance and scientific classification of the fire hazard classification of gas stations.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台;Fig. 1 The acquisition platform of environmental parameters of gas station oil tank farm based on CAN field bus network;

图2加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统;Figure 2. The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the oil tank area of the gas station;

图3检测节点功能图;Figure 3 Detection node function diagram;

图4现场监控端软件功能图;Figure 4 On-site monitoring terminal software function diagram;

图5时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型;Figure 5. Time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model;

图6加油站油罐区环境参数采集台平面布置图。Figure 6. The floor plan of the environmental parameter collection platform in the oil tank area of the gas station.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

结合附图1-6,对本发明技术方案作进一步描述:In conjunction with accompanying drawing 1-6, the technical scheme of the present invention is further described:

1、系统总体功能的设计1. Design of the overall function of the system

本发明实现对加油站油罐区环境因子参数进行检测和加油站油罐区环境多点油气泄露浓度的检测、预测和分类,该系统由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台和加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统两部分组成。由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台的多个检测节点1和现场监控端2组成,通过CAN现场总线方式构建成测控网络来实现检测节点1和现场监控端2之间的现场通信;检测节点1将检测的加油站油罐区环境参数发送给现场监控端2并对传感器数据进行初步处理;现场监控端2把控制信息传输到检测节点1。整个系统结构见图1所示。The invention realizes the detection of the environmental factor parameters of the oil tank area of the gas station and the detection, prediction and classification of the multi-point oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station. The system is collected by the environmental parameters of the gas station oil tank area based on the CAN field bus network The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the platform and the gas station tank area environment consists of two parts. It is composed of multiple detection nodes 1 and on-site monitoring terminal 2 of the environmental parameter acquisition platform of the gas station oil tank area based on the CAN fieldbus network. The monitoring and control network is constructed through the CAN fieldbus to realize the connection between the detection node 1 and the on-site monitoring terminal 2. The detection node 1 sends the detected environmental parameters of the gas station tank farm to the site monitoring terminal 2 and performs preliminary processing of the sensor data; the site monitoring terminal 2 transmits the control information to the detection node 1. The entire system structure is shown in Figure 1.

2、检测节点的设计2. Design of detection nodes

采用基于CAN现场总线的检测节点1作为加油站油罐区环境参数感知终端,检测节点1和和现场监控端2通过CAN现场总线方式实现与现场监控端2之间的信息相互交互。检测节点1包括采集加油站油罐区环境温度、油气浓度、风速和烟雾参数的传感器和对应的信号调理电路、STC89C52RC微处理器;检测节点的软件主要实现现场总线通信和加油站油罐区环境参数的采集与预处理。软件采用C语言程序设计,兼容程度高,大大提高了软件设计开发的工作效率,增强了程序代码的可靠性、可读性和可移植性。检测节点结构见图3。The detection node 1 based on the CAN fieldbus is used as the environmental parameter perception terminal of the oil tank area of the gas station. The detection node 1 includes sensors for collecting the ambient temperature, oil and gas concentration, wind speed and smoke parameters of the gas station oil tank area, the corresponding signal conditioning circuit, and STC89C52RC microprocessor; the software of the detection node mainly realizes the field bus communication and the gas station oil tank area environment. Parameter acquisition and preprocessing. The software adopts C language programming with high compatibility, which greatly improves the work efficiency of software design and development, and enhances the reliability, readability and portability of the program code. The structure of the detection node is shown in Figure 3.

3、现场监控端软件3. On-site monitoring software

现场监控端2是一台工业控制计算机,现场监控端2主要实现对加油站油罐区环境参数进行采集和多点油气浓度进行融合、预测和分类,实现与检测节点1与控制节点2的信息交互,现场监控端2主要功能为通信参数设置、数据分析与数据管理和加油站油罐区环境多点温度融合。该管理软件选择了Microsoft Visual++6.0作为开发工具,调用系统的Mscomm通信控件来设计通讯程序,现场监控端软件功能见图4。加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统由多个检测点油气浓度传感器、多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络、加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型、三角模糊数预测模块和小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器共5部分组成,多个检测点油气浓度传感器感知被检测点油气泄露的浓度,每个检测点油气浓度传感器的输出作为对应的每个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输入,多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输出作为加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输入,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输出作为三角模糊数预测模块的输入,三角模糊数预测模块的输出作为小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输入,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器把被检测的加油站油气泄露浓度分为不同的等级,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统实现对加油站油气泄露浓度的检测、模糊量化、多点融合、预测和油气泄露浓度等级的分类过程,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统见图2,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统算法如下:The on-site monitoring terminal 2 is an industrial control computer. The on-site monitoring terminal 2 mainly realizes the collection of environmental parameters of the gas station tank area and the fusion, prediction and classification of multi-point oil and gas concentrations, and realizes and detects the information of node 1 and control node 2. The main functions of the on-site monitoring terminal 2 are communication parameter setting, data analysis and data management, and multi-point temperature fusion of the gas station tank farm environment. The management software selects Microsoft Visual++6.0 as the development tool, and calls the Mscomm communication control of the system to design the communication program. The software functions of the on-site monitoring terminal are shown in Figure 4. The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the gas station tank area environment consists of multiple detection point oil and gas concentration sensors, multiple time series triangular fuzzy number neural networks, multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model in the gas station tank area environment, and triangular fuzzy number prediction. The module and the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier are composed of 5 parts. The oil and gas concentration sensors at multiple detection points sense the concentration of oil and gas leakage at the detected points, and the output of the oil and gas concentration sensor at each detection point is used as the corresponding triangular fuzzy number for each time series. The input of the neural network, the output of multiple time-series triangular fuzzy number neural networks are used as the input of the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment, and the output of the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment is used as the triangular fuzzy number The input of the prediction module and the output of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module are used as the input of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier. The wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier divides the detected oil and gas leakage concentration into different levels. The multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the tank area environment realizes the detection, fuzzy quantification, multi-point fusion, prediction and classification process of the oil and gas leakage concentration level of the gas station. The subsystem is shown in Figure 2. The algorithm of the multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the tank area of the gas station is as follows:

1、时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1. Time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model

设有加油站被检测点油气浓度值的时间序列为x(t),x(t-1),…,x(t-d+1),x(t-d),根据加油站被检测点油气浓度参数一段常规时间序列值作为径向基神经网络的输入,径向基神经网络的输出为t+1时刻加油站被检测点油气浓度参数的三角模糊数值为S,S三角模糊数表示为[a,b,c]等于[s1,s2,s3],a表示被检测点油气浓度下限值,b表示被检测点油气浓度最大可能值,c表示被检测点油气浓度上限值,被检测参数的t+1时刻三角模糊数值大小依赖于被检测参数的前d个时刻的常规时间序列数值状态值,d为时间窗口,根据S与前d个时刻的被检测点油气浓度值参数时间序列数值存在函数依赖关系这一特点,通过被检测点油气浓度值参数的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络来建立被检测点油气浓度值参数的一段时间序列常规序列值预测被检测点油气浓度值参数的t+1时刻的被检测点油气浓度值参数的三角模糊数值之间的关系,被检测点油气浓度值参数的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1结构图如5所示。神经网络的径向基向量为H=[h1,h2,…;hp]T,hp为基函数。径向基神经网络中常用的径向基函数是高斯函数,其表达式为:The time series of oil and gas concentration values at the detected points of the gas station are x(t), x(t-1),...,x(t-d+1), x(td). According to the oil and gas concentration of the detected points of the gas station A regular time series value of the parameter is used as the input of the radial basis neural network, and the output of the radial basis neural network is the triangular fuzzy value of the oil and gas concentration parameter at the detected point of the gas station at time t+1, and the triangular fuzzy number of S is expressed as [a ,b,c] is equal to [s 1 , s 2 , s 3 ], a represents the lower limit of the oil and gas concentration at the detected point, b represents the maximum possible value of the oil and gas concentration at the detected point, c represents the upper limit of the oil and gas concentration at the detected point, The value of the triangular fuzzy value at time t+1 of the detected parameter depends on the value state value of the conventional time series at the first d moments of the detected parameter, where d is the time window, according to the parameter S and the oil and gas concentration value of the detected point at the first d moments The time-series values have the characteristic of functional dependence. Through the time-series triangular fuzzy number neural network of the parameters of the oil and gas concentration values at the detected points, a time-series conventional sequence value of the parameters of the oil and gas concentration values of the detected points is established to predict the oil and gas concentration values of the detected points. The relationship between the triangular fuzzy values of the oil and gas concentration value parameters at the detected point at time t+1 of the parameter, and the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 structure diagram of the oil and gas concentration value parameter of the detected point is shown in Figure 5. The radial basis vector of the neural network is H=[h 1 , h 2 ,...; h p ] T , where h p is the basis function. The commonly used radial basis function in radial basis neural network is the Gaussian function, and its expression is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000101
Figure BDA0002197762680000101

式中X为被检测参数的传感器的时间序列输出,C为隐含层神经元高斯基函数中心点坐标向量,δj为隐含层第j个神经元高斯基函数的宽度;网络的输出连接权值向量为wij,时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型输出表达式为:In the formula, X is the time series output of the sensor of the detected parameter, C is the coordinate vector of the center point of the Gaussian base function of the hidden layer neuron, δj is the width of the Gaussian base function of the jth neuron in the hidden layer; the output connection of the network The weight vector is w ij , and the output expression of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000102
Figure BDA0002197762680000102

被检测点油气浓度参数的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1的关键就是要根据过去过去一段时间被检测点油气浓度值参数的d个时刻的被检测点油气浓度值数据和t+1时刻的被检测点油气浓度值参数的三角模糊数据来拟合出映射关系f,进而通过径向基神经网络前向传播得到检测点油气浓度值拟合函数的三角模糊数值S。被检测点油气浓度值参数的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的数学模型可表示为:The key point of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 of the oil and gas concentration parameters of the detected points is to use the oil and gas concentration value data of the detected points at d times of the oil and gas concentration value parameters of the detected points in the past period of time and the data at the time t+1. The triangular fuzzy data of the oil and gas concentration value parameters of the detected point is used to fit the mapping relationship f, and then the triangular fuzzy value S of the fitting function of the oil and gas concentration value of the detected point is obtained through the forward propagation of the radial basis neural network. The mathematical model of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network of the oil and gas concentration value parameters at the detected points can be expressed as:

S=f(x(t),x(t-1),…,x(t-d+1),x(t-d)) (3)S=f(x(t),x(t-1),...,x(t-d+1),x(t-d)) (3)

检测点温度传感器对应的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型2和检测点烟雾传感器对应的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型3的设计方法类似于时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1。The design method of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 2 corresponding to the temperature sensor at the detection point and the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 3 corresponding to the detection point smoke sensor is similar to the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1.

2、加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型2. Multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of gas station tank area environment

加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型由油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列、计算油气浓度三角模糊数预测值与理想值的相对帖近度、计算油气浓度三角模糊数融合值共3部分组成,一段时间多个参数检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,分别计算每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值的距离和每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的负理想值的距离,分别计算每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离除以每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离与每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的正理想值的距离的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的相对贴近度,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的对贴近度除以所有检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的对贴近度的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数的融合权重,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值与该检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数的融合权重的积的和得到多个检测点的时间序列三角模糊融合值;加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的算法如下:The multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment consists of three parts: the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, the calculation of the relative closeness between the predicted value and the ideal value of the oil and gas concentration triangular fuzzy number, and the calculation of the oil and gas concentration triangular fuzzy number fusion value. The triangular fuzzy number predicted value of oil and gas concentration of multiple parameter detection units for a period of time constitutes a triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, and the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit and the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array are calculated respectively. The distance between the positive ideal value of , and the distance between the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit and the negative ideal value of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, respectively calculate the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of each detection unit. The quotient obtained by dividing the distance of the negative ideal value by the distance of the negative ideal value of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit and the distance of the positive ideal value of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit is The relative closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy values of each detection unit, the quotient obtained by dividing the pair closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy values of each detection unit by the sum of the pair closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy values of all detection units is The fusion weight of the time-series triangular fuzzy numbers of each detection unit, the sum of the products of the time-series triangular fuzzy numbers of each detection unit and the fusion weight of the time-series triangular fuzzy numbers of the detection unit obtains the time-series triangular fuzzy numbers of multiple detection points Fuzzy fusion value; the algorithm of the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment is as follows:

⑴、构建油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列(1) Constructing the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series

一段时间多个参数检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,设有n个检测点和m个时刻的nm个参数检测单元的三角模糊数预测值构成n行和m列的油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,设不同时刻不同参数检测单元油气浓度的模糊三角数预测值为Xij(t),Xij(t+1),…,Xij(d),则油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列为:The triangular fuzzy number predicted values of the oil and gas concentration of multiple parameter detection units for a period of time constitute a triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, and there are n detection points and m time The triangular fuzzy number predicted values of the parameter detection units form n rows. and the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array in column m, set the fuzzy triangular number prediction value of oil and gas concentration of different parameter detection units at different times as X ij (t),X ij (t+1),…,X ij (d) , then the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000111
Figure BDA0002197762680000111

⑵、计算油气浓度三角模糊数预测值与理想值的相对帖近度(2) Calculate the relative closeness between the predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number of the oil and gas concentration and the ideal value

同一时刻所有检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值的平均值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值,时间序列三角模糊数正理想值为:The average value of the triangular fuzzy number prediction values of the oil and gas concentration of all detection units at the same time constitutes the positive ideal value of the triangular fuzzy number array of the oil and gas concentration time series, and the positive ideal value of the time series triangular fuzzy number is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000121
Figure BDA0002197762680000121

同一时刻检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值与正理想值的距离最大的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的负理想值,时间序列三角模糊数负理想值为:The predicted value of the triangle fuzzy number with the largest distance between the predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number and the positive ideal value of the oil and gas concentration of the detection unit at the same time constitutes the negative ideal value of the triangular fuzzy number array of the time series of oil and gas concentration, and the negative ideal value of the triangular fuzzy number of the time series is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000122
Figure BDA0002197762680000122

每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值的距离为:The distance between the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit and the positive ideal value of the time series triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000123
Figure BDA0002197762680000123

每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的负理想值的距离为:The distance between the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of each detection unit and the negative ideal value of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000124
Figure BDA0002197762680000124

每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离除以每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离与每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的正理想值的距离的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的相对贴近度为:The distance from the negative ideal value of the time-series triangular fuzzy number prediction value for each detection unit divided by the distance between the negative ideal value of the time-series triangular fuzzy number prediction value for each detection unit and the time-series triangular fuzzy number prediction for each detection unit The quotient obtained by the sum of the distances of the positive ideal values of the values is the relative closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy values of each detection unit:

Figure BDA0002197762680000125
Figure BDA0002197762680000125

⑶、计算油气浓度三角模糊数融合值(3) Calculate the triangular fuzzy number fusion value of oil and gas concentration

通过(9)公式计算可以知道,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正负理想值的相对贴近度越大,则该检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值离正理想值相对就越接近,否则该检测点的时间序列三角模糊数值离正理想值相对就越接远离,根据这个原理确定每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的对贴近度除以所有检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值的对贴近度的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数的融合权重为:It can be known from the calculation of formula (9) that the greater the relative closeness between the time series triangular fuzzy value of each detection unit and the positive and negative ideal values of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, the greater the relative closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy value of the detection unit. The closer it is to the positive ideal value, otherwise the time series triangular fuzzy value of the detection point is relatively far from the positive ideal value. According to this principle, the pair closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy value of each detection unit is divided by all The quotient obtained by the sum of the closeness of the time series triangular fuzzy numbers of the detection units is the fusion weight of the time series triangular fuzzy numbers of each detection unit:

Figure BDA0002197762680000131
Figure BDA0002197762680000131

根据每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数值与该检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数的融合权重的积的和得到多个检测点的时间序列三角模糊融合值为:According to the sum of the product of the time series triangular fuzzy value of each detection unit and the fusion weight of the time series triangular fuzzy number of the detection unit, the time series triangular fuzzy fusion value of multiple detection points is obtained:

Figure BDA0002197762680000132
Figure BDA0002197762680000132

3、三角模糊数预测模块3. Triangular fuzzy number prediction module

三角模糊数预测模块包括3个NARX神经网络预测模型和3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型,3个NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3分别对时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1输出S三角模糊数的被检测点参数下限值a、被检测点参数最大可能值b和对被检测点参数上限值c进行预测;3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3分别对被检测点的三角模糊数S的下限值a与NARX神经网络预测模型1输出的残差、被检测点被检测点的三角模糊数S最大可能值b与NARX神经网络预测模型2输出的残差和对被检测点的被检测点的三角模糊数S上限值c与NARX神经网络预测模型3的输出的残差进行预测;3个NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3的输出分别和3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3的输出分别相加得到的和分别为被检测点的三角模糊数S油气浓度下限值a预测值、被检测点的被检测点的三角模糊数S油气浓度最大可能值b预测值和被检测点的油气浓度上限值c预测值,并构成了三角模糊数预测值,即为s′为[a′,b′,c′]。3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3对3个NARX神经网络预测模型1、NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3分别预测时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1输出S三角模糊数a、b和c进一步残差预测进行补偿,提高了预测a、b和c准确性。The triangular fuzzy number prediction module includes 3 NARX neural network prediction models and 3 Elman neural network prediction models of phase space reconstruction technology, 3 NARX neural network prediction models 1, NARX neural network prediction models 2 and NARX neural network prediction models 3 The time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 outputs the lower limit value of the detected point parameter a, the maximum possible value b of the detected point parameter and the upper limit value c of the detected point parameter of the output S triangular fuzzy number respectively. Elman neural network prediction model of space reconstruction technology 1, Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 2 and Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 3 The lower limit of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point respectively The value a and the residual output of the NARX neural network prediction model 1, the maximum possible value of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point and the detected point b and the residual error output by the NARX neural network prediction model 2, and the difference between the detected point and the detected point. The upper limit value c of the triangular fuzzy number S and the residual error of the output of the NARX neural network prediction model 3 are predicted; the outputs of the three NARX neural network prediction model 1, NARX neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3 are respectively and 3 The outputs of the Elman neural network prediction model 1 of the phase space reconstruction technology, the Elman neural network prediction model 2 of the phase space reconstruction technology, and the Elman neural network prediction model 3 of the phase space reconstruction technology are added together to obtain the sum of the The triangular fuzzy number S of the detection point is the predicted value of the lower limit value of oil and gas concentration a, the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point of the detected point is the predicted value of the maximum possible value of oil and gas concentration b, and the predicted value of the upper limit value of oil and gas concentration c of the detected point, And constitute the predicted value of triangular fuzzy number, that is, s' is [a', b', c']. 3 Elman neural network prediction models of phase space reconstruction technology 1, Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 2 and Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 3 pairs of 3 NARX neural network prediction models 1, NARX neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3 respectively predict time series triangular fuzzy numbers. Neural network model 1 outputs S triangular fuzzy numbers a, b and c for further residual prediction compensation, which improves the accuracy of prediction a, b and c sex.

⑴、NARX神经网络预测模型设计⑴, NARX neural network prediction model design

本发明专利的3个NARX神经网络预测模型分别对3个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1输出S三角模糊数的被检测点参数下限值a、被检测点参数最大可能值b和对被检测点参数上限值c进行预测,NARX神经网络(Nonlinear Auto-Regression with Externalinput neural network)是一种动态的前馈神经网络,NARX神经网络是一个有着被预测输入参数的非线性自回归网络,它具有一个多步时延的动态特性,并通过反馈连接输入被输入参数的封闭网络的若干层,NARX回归神经网络是非线性动态系统中应用最广泛的一种动态神经网络,其性能普遍优于全回归神经网络。本专利的NARX神经网络预测模型由输入层、隐层、输出层及输入和输出延时延构成,在应用前一般要事先确定输入和输出的延时阶数、隐层神经元个数,NARX神经网络预测模型的当时输出不仅取决于过去的输出y(t-n),还取决于当时的输入向量X(t)以及输入向量的延迟阶数等。NARX神经网络预测模型结构包括输入层、输出层、隐层和时延层,其中被被预测输入参数通过时延层传递给隐层,隐层对输入的信号进行处理后传递到输出层,输出层将隐层输出信号做线性加权获得最终的神经网络预测输出信号,时延层将网络反馈的信号和输入层输出的信号进行延时,然后输送到隐层。NARX神经网络预测模型具有非线性映射能力、良好的鲁棒性和自适应性等特点,适宜对输入参数进行预测。x(t)表示神经网络的外部输入,即时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1输出S三角模糊数的被检测点参数下限值a;m表示外部输入a的延迟阶数;y(t)是神经网络的输出,即a的预测值;n是输出延迟阶数;s为隐含层神经元的个数;由此可以得到第j个隐含单元的输出为:The three NARX neural network prediction models of the patent of the present invention respectively output the lower limit value a of the detected point parameter of the S triangular fuzzy number, the maximum possible value b of the detected point parameter, and the The upper limit value c of the detection point parameter is predicted. The NARX neural network (Nonlinear Auto-Regression with External input neural network) is a dynamic feedforward neural network, and the NARX neural network is a nonlinear auto-regression network with predicted input parameters. It has the dynamic characteristics of a multi-step delay, and connects several layers of a closed network with input parameters through feedback. The NARX regression neural network is the most widely used dynamic neural network in nonlinear dynamic systems, and its performance is generally better than Fully Recurrent Neural Network. The NARX neural network prediction model of this patent is composed of input layer, hidden layer, output layer and input and output delay. The current output of the neural network prediction model depends not only on the past output y(t-n), but also on the current input vector X(t) and the delay order of the input vector. The structure of the NARX neural network prediction model includes an input layer, an output layer, a hidden layer and a delay layer. The predicted input parameters are transmitted to the hidden layer through the delay layer, and the hidden layer processes the input signal and then transmits it to the output layer. The layer will linearly weight the output signal of the hidden layer to obtain the final predicted output signal of the neural network, and the delay layer will delay the signal fed back by the network and the signal output by the input layer, and then send it to the hidden layer. The NARX neural network prediction model has the characteristics of nonlinear mapping ability, good robustness and adaptability, and is suitable for predicting input parameters. x(t) represents the external input of the neural network, that is, the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 outputs the lower limit value a of the detected point parameter of the S triangular fuzzy number; m represents the delay order of the external input a; y(t) is the output of the neural network, that is, the predicted value of a; n is the output delay order; s is the number of neurons in the hidden layer; from this, the output of the jth hidden unit can be obtained as:

Figure BDA0002197762680000151
Figure BDA0002197762680000151

上式中,wji为第i个输入与第j个隐含神经元之间的连接权值,bj是第j个隐含神经元的偏置值,NARX神经网络预测模型的输出y(t+1)代表a的预测值为:In the above formula, w ji is the connection weight between the i-th input and the j-th hidden neuron, b j is the bias value of the j-th hidden neuron, and the output y of the NARX neural network prediction model ( t+1) represents the predicted value of a:

y(t+1)=f[y(t),y(t-1),…,y(t-n),x(t),x(t-1),…,x(t-m+1);W] (13)y(t+1)=f[y(t),y(t-1),…,y(t-n),x(t),x(t-1),…,x(t-m+1) ;W] (13)

NARX神经网络预测模型2和NARX神经网络预测模型3分别对时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1输出S三角模糊数的被检测点参数最大可能值b和对被检测点参数上限值c进行预测,它们的设计方法与NARX神经网络预测模型1类似。NARX neural network prediction model 2 and NARX neural network prediction model 3 respectively predict the maximum possible value b of the detected point parameter of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 output S triangular fuzzy number and the upper limit value c of the detected point parameter , they are designed in a similar way to the NARX neural network prediction model 1.

⑵、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型设计⑵, Elman neural network prediction model design of phase space reconstruction technology

由相空间重构技术和Elman神经网络构成的3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3分别对被检测点的三角模糊数S的下限值a与NARX神经网络预测模型1输出的残差、被检测点的三角模糊数S的最大可能值b与NARX神经网络预测模型2输出的残差和对被检测点的三角模糊数S的上限值c与NARX神经网络预测模型3输出的残差进行预测;3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3分别用于对被检测点的三角模糊数S的下限值a、最大可能值b和的上限值c的残差进行预测,3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型经足够多的训练样本训练模拟出预测被检测点的三角模糊数S的下限值a、最大可能值b和的上限值c残差的变化量,从而实现对被检测点的三角模糊数S预测的补偿。The Elman neural network prediction model of the three phase space reconstruction techniques composed of the phase space reconstruction technology and the Elman neural network 1, the Elman neural network prediction model of the phase space reconstruction technology 2 and the Elman neural network prediction of the phase space reconstruction technology Model 3 is respectively for the lower limit a of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point and the residual output of the NARX neural network prediction model 1, the maximum possible value b of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point and the output of the NARX neural network prediction model 2 The residual sum of the upper limit c of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point and the residual output of the NARX neural network prediction model 3 are predicted; the Elman neural network prediction model of the three phase space reconstruction techniques The Elman neural network prediction model 2 of the reconstruction technology and the Elman neural network prediction model 3 of the phase space reconstruction technology are respectively used for the lower limit a, the maximum possible value b and the upper limit c of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point. The residual error is predicted, and the Elman neural network prediction model of the three phase space reconstruction technology is trained with enough training samples to simulate the lower limit a, the maximum possible value b and the upper limit of the triangular fuzzy number S for predicting the detected point. Limit the variation of the residual error of c, so as to realize the compensation for the prediction of the triangular fuzzy number S of the detected point.

3个相空间重构的Elman神经网络预测模型的预测方法的具体步骤如下:The specific steps of the prediction method of the Elman neural network prediction model reconstructed in three phase spaces are as follows:

第1步:收集被检测点传感器对应的时间序列三角模糊数神经网络模型1的输出三角模糊数S的的下限值a、最大可能值b和的上限值c分别和3个NARX神经网络预测模型1输出值、NARX神经网络预测模型2输出值和NARX神经网络预测模型3输出值的3个系列差,分别构成对应a、b和c的3个残差时间序列数据。Step 1: Collect the lower limit a, the maximum possible value b and the upper limit c of the output triangular fuzzy number S of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network model 1 corresponding to the detected point sensor and three NARX neural networks respectively The three series differences of the output value of prediction model 1, the output value of NARX neural network prediction model 2, and the output value of NARX neural network prediction model 3 constitute three residual time series data corresponding to a, b and c, respectively.

第2步:按照常规确定最优延时常数τ及嵌入维数m。Step 2: Determine the optimal delay constant τ and the embedding dimension m according to the routine.

第3步:构建Elman神经网络预测模型,Elman神经网络预测模型是一个具有局部记忆单元和局部反馈连接的前向神经网络,关联层从隐层接收反馈信号,每一个隐层节点都有一个与之对应的关联层节点连接。关联层将上一时刻的隐层状态连同当前时刻的网络输入一起作为隐层的输入作为状态反馈。隐层的传递函数一般为Sigmoid函数,关联层和输出层为线性函数。设Elman神经网络预测模型的输入层、输出层和隐层的个数分别为m,n和r;w1,w2,w3和w4分别表示结构层单元到隐层、输入层到隐层、隐层到输出层、结构层到输出层的连接权矩阵,则网络的隐含层、关联层和输出层的输出值表达式分别为:Step 3: Build the Elman neural network prediction model. The Elman neural network prediction model is a forward neural network with local memory units and local feedback connections. The association layer receives feedback signals from the hidden layer. Each hidden layer node has a The corresponding association layer nodes are connected. The association layer uses the state of the hidden layer at the previous moment together with the network input at the current moment as the input of the hidden layer as the state feedback. The transfer function of the hidden layer is generally a sigmoid function, and the correlation layer and the output layer are linear functions. Let the number of input layer, output layer and hidden layer of Elman neural network prediction model be m, n and r respectively; w 1 , w 2 , w 3 and w 4 represent the structure layer unit to the hidden layer, the input layer to the hidden layer, respectively. layer, the connection weight matrix from the hidden layer to the output layer, and the structure layer to the output layer, the output value expressions of the hidden layer, the correlation layer and the output layer of the network are:

Figure BDA0002197762680000161
Figure BDA0002197762680000161

cp(k)=xp(k-1) (15)c p (k) = x p (k-1) (15)

Figure BDA0002197762680000162
Figure BDA0002197762680000162

3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3的输入数据为三角模糊数神经网络模型1的输出三角模糊数S的下限值a、最大可能值b和的上限值c分别和3个NARX神经网络预测模型1输出值、NARX神经网络预测模型2输出值和NARX神经网络预测模型3输出值的3个系列差构成的3个对应a、b和c的残差时间序列数据,3个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型1、相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型2和相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型3的输出分别为a、b和c的预测补偿值。Elman神经网络预测模型输入维数等于嵌入维数m,每个输入数据之间时间相差τ个时间点,即将a、b和c的残差时间序列数据作为Elman神经网络预测模型的输入;隐含层取单层,个数按2m+1方法确定;输出层含有一个神经元,其输出即为要预测时间点的残差预测值。若其中一个残差时间序列数据是X(t0),X(t1),…,X(ti),…,X(tn),首先使用MatlabR2012a编程对时间序列进行相空间重构,相空间重构的输出结果如下:3 Elman neural network prediction models of phase space reconstruction technology 1, Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 2 and Elman neural network prediction model of phase space reconstruction technology 3 The input data is triangular fuzzy number neural network model The lower limit value a, the maximum possible value b and the upper limit value c of the output triangular fuzzy number S of 1 and the 3 NARX neural network prediction model 1 output value, NARX neural network prediction model 2 output value and NARX neural network prediction model are respectively 3 residual time series data corresponding to a, b and c composed of 3 series differences of output values, 3 Elman neural network prediction models of phase space reconstruction technology 1, Elman neural network prediction of phase space reconstruction technology The outputs of model 2 and Elman neural network prediction model 3 of the phase space reconstruction technique are the predicted compensation values of a, b and c, respectively. The input dimension of the Elman neural network prediction model is equal to the embedding dimension m, and the time difference between each input data is τ time points, that is, the residual time series data of a, b and c are used as the input of the Elman neural network prediction model; implicitly The layer is a single layer, and the number is determined by the 2m+1 method; the output layer contains a neuron, and its output is the residual prediction value of the time point to be predicted. If one of the residual time series data is X(t 0 ), X(t 1 ),…,X(t i ),…,X(t n ), first use MatlabR2012a programming to reconstruct the time series in phase space, The output of the phase space reconstruction is as follows:

Figure BDA0002197762680000171
Figure BDA0002197762680000171

第4步:Elman神经网络预测模型网络训练,从a、b和c的残差时间序列原始数据中选取部分数据,进行网络训练,直到训练达到要求为止。Step 4: Elman neural network prediction model network training, select some data from the original data of the residual time series of a, b and c, and conduct network training until the training meets the requirements.

第5步:从a、b和c的残差时间序列原始数据中选取测试样本,若达到要求,即可进入第6步进行预测,如测试误差较大,返回第4步重新训练,或返回第3步重新设计网络结构。Step 5: Select test samples from the original data of the residual time series of a, b and c. If the requirements are met, you can go to step 6 for prediction. If the test error is large, return to step 4 for retraining, or return to The third step is to redesign the network structure.

第6步:选取预测时间点,应用前面建立的Elman神经网络预测模型进行预测,Step 6: Select the prediction time point and apply the Elman neural network prediction model established earlier to make predictions.

可由下公式得到预测值:The predicted value can be obtained by the following formula:

Y=f(X(t0+mτ),X(t1+mτ)…X(ti+mτ)…X(tn+τ)) (18)Y=f(X(t 0 +mτ),X(t 1 +mτ)…X(t i +mτ)…X(t n +τ)) (18)

4、小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器设计4. The design of wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier

三角模糊数预测模块输出作为被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值,该预测值作为小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输入,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器根据被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度预测值的动态变化状况,将被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的分为油气泄露浓度很高、油气泄露浓度高、油气泄露浓度比较高、油气泄露浓度正常和油气泄露浓度很低共5种泄露等级,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出为代表油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数值;根据根据被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的工程实践和国家关于《加油站渗泄漏污染控制标准》,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器对被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度泄露浓度等级进行分类,通过分别计算小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出与代表被检测的加油站油罐区环境5种油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数相似度,其中相似度最大的三角模糊数对应的油气泄露等级为被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度等级即为该被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露当前浓度等级。小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器基于小波神经网络WNN(Wavelet Neural Networks)理论基础构建的加油站油气泄露浓度分类器,小波神经网络以小波函数为神经元的激励函数并结合人工神经网络提出的一种前馈型网络。小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器中小波的伸缩、平移因子以及连接权重在对误差能量函数的优化过程中被自适应调整。设一段连续时间加油站油气泄露浓度的三角模糊数预测值的清晰化值作为输入小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的一维向量xi(i=1,2,…,n),输出表示为加油站油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数值yk(k=1,2,…,m),其中m等于3,代表加油站油气泄露浓度等级的小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器输出层输出的计算公式为:The output of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module is the triangular fuzzy number prediction value of the detected oil and gas concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station. The predicted value is used as the input of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier. The wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier The dynamic change status of the detected oil and gas concentration prediction value in the oil tank area of the gas station is divided into the detected oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station into the high oil and gas leakage concentration, the high oil and gas leakage concentration, the relatively high oil and gas leakage concentration, There are 5 types of leakage levels: normal oil and gas leakage concentration and very low oil and gas leakage concentration. The output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier is a triangular fuzzy value representing the oil and gas leakage concentration level; According to the engineering practice and the national "Gas Station Seepage and Leakage Pollution Control Standard", the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier classifies the detected oil and gas concentration leakage concentration level of the gas station tank area, and calculates the oil and gas leakage through the wavelet neural network respectively. The output of the concentration classifier is similar to the triangular fuzzy numbers representing the five concentration levels of oil and gas leakage in the gas station oil tank environment. The oil and gas leakage level corresponding to the triangular fuzzy number with the largest similarity is the detected gas station oil tank. The concentration level of oil and gas leakage in the area environment is the current concentration level of the detected oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station. Wavelet Neural Network Oil and Gas Leak Concentration Classifier is a gas station oil and gas leakage concentration classifier constructed on the basis of wavelet neural network WNN (Wavelet Neural Networks). A feedforward network. In the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier, the wavelet scaling, translation factor and connection weight are adaptively adjusted in the process of optimizing the error energy function. Set the clear value of the predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number of the oil and gas leakage concentration in a continuous time period as the input one-dimensional vector x i (i=1,2,...,n) of the oil and gas leakage concentration classifier of the wavelet neural network, and the output is expressed as The triangular fuzzy value y k (k=1,2,...,m) of the oil and gas leakage concentration level of the gas station, where m is equal to 3, represents the calculation of the output layer output of the oil and gas leakage concentration classifier of the wavelet neural network of the oil and gas leakage concentration level of the gas station The formula is:

Figure BDA0002197762680000181
Figure BDA0002197762680000181

公式中ωij输入层i节点和隐含层j节点间的连接权值,

Figure BDA0002197762680000182
为小波基函数,bj为小波基函数的平移因子,aj小波基函数的伸缩因子,ωjk为隐含层j节点和输出层k节点间的连接权值。本专利中的小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的权值和阈值的修正算法采用梯度修正法来更新网络权值和小波基函数参数,从而使小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器输出不断逼近期望输出。分别求取小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器输出与代表5种加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度等级语言变量对应的三角模糊数的相似度,相似度最大的三角模糊数对应的油气泄露浓度等级为被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露等级。In the formula, ω ij is the connection weight between the input layer i node and the hidden layer j node,
Figure BDA0002197762680000182
is the wavelet basis function, b j is the translation factor of the wavelet basis function, a j is the scaling factor of the wavelet basis function, ω jk is the connection weight between the hidden layer j node and the output layer k node. The correction algorithm for the weights and thresholds of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier in this patent uses the gradient correction method to update the network weights and wavelet basis function parameters, so that the output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier is constantly approaching the expected output. . The similarity between the output of the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier and the linguistic variables representing five kinds of oil and gas leakage concentration levels in the gas station tank area environment is obtained respectively, and the oil and gas leakage concentration level corresponding to the triangular fuzzy number with the largest similarity is obtained. It is the level of oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station to be detected.

根据被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的工程实践和国家关于《加油站渗泄漏污染控制标准》,建立评估被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的5种浓度等级的语言变量与三角模糊数对应关系表,见表1所示。According to the engineering practice of the detected oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station and the national "Gas Station Seepage and Leakage Pollution Control Standard", the language variables of 5 concentration levels are established to evaluate the environmental oil and gas leakage concentration of the detected gas station oil tank area. The corresponding relationship table with triangular fuzzy numbers is shown in Table 1.

序号serial number 油气泄露等级Oil and gas leakage level 三角模糊数triangular fuzzy number 11 油气泄露浓度很低The concentration of oil and gas leakage is very low (0.00,0.00,0.25)(0.00, 0.00, 0.25) 22 油气泄露浓度正常The concentration of oil and gas leakage is normal (0.00,0.25,0.50)(0.00, 0.25, 0.50) 33 油气泄露浓度比较高The concentration of oil and gas leakage is relatively high (0.25,0.50,0.75)(0.25, 0.50, 0.75) 44 油气泄露浓度高High concentration of oil and gas leakage (0.50,0.75,1.00)(0.50, 0.75, 1.00) 55 油气泄露浓度很高High concentration of oil and gas leakage (0.75,1.00,1.0)(0.75, 1.00, 1.0)

5、加油站油罐区环境参数检测系统的设计举例5. An example of the design of the environmental parameter detection system in the oil tank farm of the gas station

根据加油站油罐区环境的状况,系统布置了检测节点1和现场监控端2的平面布置安装图,其中检测节点1均衡布置在被检测加油站油罐区环境中,整个系统平面布置见图6,通过该系统实现对加油站油罐区环境参数的采集与加油站油罐区环境油气浓度的智能化分类。According to the environment of the gas station oil tank area, the system has arranged the layout and installation diagram of the detection node 1 and the on-site monitoring terminal 2, in which the detection node 1 is evenly arranged in the environment of the oil tank area of the gas station to be tested, and the overall system layout is shown in the figure 6. Through this system, the collection of environmental parameters of the gas station oil tank area and the intelligent classification of the environmental oil and gas concentration of the gas station oil tank area are realized.

本发明方案所公开的技术手段不仅限于上述实施方式所公开的技术手段,还包括由以上技术特征任意组合所组成的技术方案。应当指出,对于本技术领域的普通技术人员来说,在不脱离本发明原理的前提下,还可以做出若干改进和润饰,这些改进和润饰也视为本发明的保护范围。The technical means disclosed in the solution of the present invention are not limited to the technical means disclosed in the above embodiments, but also include technical solutions composed of any combination of the above technical features. It should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, without departing from the principle of the present invention, several improvements and modifications can be made, and these improvements and modifications are also regarded as the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (5)

1.一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,其特征在于:所述系统由基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台和加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统组成,该系统实现对加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度智能化检测和对油气泄露浓度等级进行分类;加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统由多个检测点油气浓度传感器、多个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络、加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型、三角模糊数预测模块和小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器共五部分组成,多个检测点油气浓度传感器感知被检测点油气泄露的浓度,每个检测点油气浓度传感器的输出作为对应的每个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输入,时间序列三角模糊数神经网络的输出作为加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输入,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型的输出作为三角模糊数预测模块的输入,三角模糊数预测模块的输出作为小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输入,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器把被检测的加油站油气泄露浓度分为不同的等级,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度泄露分类子系统实现对加油站油气泄露浓度的检测、模糊量化、多点融合、预测和油气泄露浓度等级的分类过程;1. a kind of oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on field bus network, it is characterized in that: described system is leaked by the gas station oil tank area environment parameter acquisition platform and the gas station oil tank area environment multi-point oil and gas concentration based on CAN field bus network It is composed of a classification subsystem, which realizes intelligent detection of the concentration of oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station and classification of the concentration level of oil and gas leakage in the oil tank area of the gas station. Concentration sensor, multiple time series triangular fuzzy number neural network, multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of gas station tank area environment, triangular fuzzy number prediction module and wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier are composed of five parts. The concentration sensor senses the concentration of oil and gas leakage at the detected point. The output of the oil and gas concentration sensor at each detection point is used as the input of the corresponding time series triangular fuzzy number neural network, and the output of the time series triangular fuzzy number neural network is used as the gas station tank area. The input of the environmental multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model, the output of the environmental multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area is used as the input of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module, and the output of the triangular fuzzy number prediction module is used as the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier. Input, the wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier divides the detected gas station oil and gas leakage concentration into different levels, and the multi-point oil and gas concentration leakage classification subsystem in the gas station tank area environment realizes the detection and fuzzy detection of the gas station oil and gas leakage concentration. Quantification, multi-point fusion, prediction and classification process of oil and gas leakage concentration levels; 所述时间序列三角模糊数神经网络由每个检测点对应的每个时间序列三角模糊数神经网络组成,时间序列三角模糊数神经网络由被检测点的油气浓度传感器输出的一段常规时间序列值作为径向基神经网络的输入、径向基神经网络和被检测点的油气浓度的三角模糊数值作为径向基神经网络的输出组成,径向基神经网络输出的三角模糊数值分别表示被检测点的油气浓度的下限值、可能值和上限值;时间序列三角模糊数神经网络根据被检测点的油气浓度动态变化特征把被检测点的油气浓度的一段常规时间序列值转化为被检测的油气浓度的三角模糊值来表示。The time series triangular fuzzy number neural network is composed of each time series triangular fuzzy number neural network corresponding to each detection point. The input of the radial basis neural network, the triangular fuzzy value of the radial basis neural network and the oil and gas concentration of the detected point are composed as the output of the radial basis neural network, and the triangular fuzzy value output by the radial basis neural network respectively represents the Lower limit value, possible value and upper limit value of oil and gas concentration; time series triangular fuzzy number neural network converts a conventional time series value of oil and gas concentration at the detected point into detected oil and gas according to the dynamic change characteristics of oil and gas concentration at the detected point The density is represented by the triangular blur value. 2.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,其特征在于:所述加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型由油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列、计算油气浓度三角模糊数预测值与正理想值和负理想值的相对帖近度、计算油气浓度三角模糊数融合值共三部分组成,一段时间多个参数检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列,确定油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值和负理想值,分别计算每个检测单元的油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数预测值与油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值和负理想值的距离,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离除以每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的负理想值的距离与每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的正理想值的距离的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度除以所有检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的相对贴近度的和得到的商为每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的融合权重,每个检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值与该检测单元的时间序列三角模糊数预测值的融合权重的积的和得到多个检测点的时间序列三角模糊预测值的融合值;同一时刻所有检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值的平均值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的正理想值,同一时刻所有检测单元油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值与正理想值的距离最大的三角模糊数预测值构成油气浓度时间序列三角模糊数阵列的负理想值。2. a kind of oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on fieldbus network according to claim 1, is characterized in that: described gas station oil tank area environment multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model is composed of oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, Calculate the relative closeness of the predicted value of the oil and gas concentration triangle fuzzy number to the positive ideal value and negative ideal value, and calculate the fusion value of the triangle fuzzy number of the oil and gas concentration. It consists of three parts, and the predicted value of the triangle fuzzy number of the oil and gas concentration of the multi-parameter detection unit for a period of time Construct the triangular fuzzy number array of oil and gas concentration time series, determine the positive ideal value and negative ideal value of the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number array, and calculate the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of each detection unit and the oil and gas concentration time series triangular fuzzy number respectively. The distance between the positive ideal value and the negative ideal value of the fuzzy number array, the distance of the negative ideal value of the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of each detection unit divided by the negative ideal value of the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of each detection unit The quotient obtained from the sum of the distance between the positive ideal value of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit is the relative closeness of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit, and the time of each detection unit The quotient obtained by dividing the relative closeness of the predicted value of the sequential triangular fuzzy number by the sum of the relative closeness of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of all detection units is the fusion weight of the predicted value of the time series triangular fuzzy number of each detection unit. The sum of the products of the time series triangular fuzzy number predicted value of each detection unit and the fusion weight of the time series triangular fuzzy number prediction value of this detection unit obtains the fusion value of the time series triangular fuzzy predicted values of multiple detection points; The average value of the triangular fuzzy number predicted value of the unit oil and gas concentration constitutes the positive ideal value of the triangular fuzzy number array of the oil and gas concentration time series. The predicted value constitutes the negative ideal value of the triangular fuzzy number array of the oil and gas concentration time series. 3.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,其特征在于:所述三角模糊数预测模块由三个NARX神经网络预测模型和三个相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型组成,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型输出的被检测环境油气浓度的三角模糊数的下限值、可能值和上限值分别为对应NARX神经网络预测模型的输入,加油站油罐区环境多点油气浓度融合模型输出的被检测环境油气浓度三角模糊数的下限值、可能值和上限值分别与对应NARX神经网络预测模型的输出的差分别为对应相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型的输入,NARX神经网络预测模型的输出分别与对应的相空间重构技术的Elman神经网络预测模型的输出相加和作为被检测环境油气浓度的三角模糊数预测值,该三角模糊数预测值作为三角模糊数预测模块输出。3. a kind of oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on field bus network according to claim 1, is characterized in that: described triangular fuzzy number prediction module is composed of three NARX neural network prediction models and three phase space reconstruction techniques. The Elman neural network prediction model is composed. The lower limit, possible value and upper limit of the triangular fuzzy number of the detected environmental oil and gas concentration output by the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment are respectively corresponding to the NARX neural network prediction model. Input, the difference between the lower limit, possible value and upper limit of the triangular fuzzy number of the detected environmental oil and gas concentration output by the multi-point oil and gas concentration fusion model of the gas station tank area environment and the output of the corresponding NARX neural network prediction model respectively corresponds to The input of the Elman neural network prediction model of the phase space reconstruction technology and the output of the NARX neural network prediction model are respectively added with the output of the corresponding Elman neural network prediction model of the phase space reconstruction technology, and the sum is used as the triangular blur of the detected environmental oil and gas concentration. The predicted value of the triangular fuzzy number is output as the triangular fuzzy number prediction module. 4.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,其特征在于:所述小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器,根据被检测加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的工程实践和国家关于《加油站渗泄漏污染控制标准》,建立评估被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的五种浓度等级的语言变量与五种不同三角模糊数对应关系表,将被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露浓度的分为油气泄露浓度很高、油气泄露浓度高、油气泄露浓度比较高、油气泄露浓度正常和油气泄露浓度很低共五种泄露等级;小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器对被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气浓度泄露浓度等级进行分类,小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出为代表油气泄露浓度等级的三角模糊数值,通过分别计算小波神经网络油气泄露浓度分类器的输出与代表被检测的加油站油罐区环境五种油气泄露浓度等级的五种三角模糊数的相似度,其中相似度最大的三角模糊数对应的油气泄露等级即为该被检测的加油站油罐区环境油气泄露当前浓度等级。4. a kind of oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on field bus network according to claim 1, is characterized in that: described wavelet neural network oil and gas leakage concentration classifier, according to the detected gas station oil tank area environment oil and gas leakage concentration Engineering practice and the state's "Gas Station Seepage and Leakage Pollution Control Standards", establish a correspondence table between five concentration levels of linguistic variables and five different triangular fuzzy numbers to evaluate the detected gas station oil tank area environmental oil and gas leakage concentration, which will be used. The detected oil and gas leakage concentration in the oil tank area of the gas station is divided into five leakage levels: high oil and gas leakage concentration, high oil and gas leakage concentration, relatively high oil and gas leakage concentration, normal oil and gas leakage concentration, and very low oil and gas leakage concentration; wavelet neural network The oil and gas leakage concentration classifier classifies the detected oil and gas leakage concentration levels in the oil tank area of the gas station. The output of the oil and gas leakage concentration classifier of the wavelet neural network is a triangular fuzzy value representing the oil and gas leakage concentration level. By calculating the wavelet neural network respectively The similarity between the output of the oil and gas leakage concentration classifier and the five triangular fuzzy numbers representing the five oil and gas leakage concentration levels of the detected gas station tank area environment, where the oil and gas leakage level corresponding to the triangular fuzzy number with the largest similarity is the The current concentration level of the detected oil and gas leakage in the tank area of the gas station. 5.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于现场总线网络的油气浓度智能监测系统,其特征在于:所述基于CAN现场总线网络的加油站油罐区环境参数采集平台由多个参数检测节点和现场监控端组成,通过CAN现场总线网络实现它们之间的信息通信;检测节点负责检测加油站油罐区环境的油气浓度、温度、风速和烟雾的实际值,现场监控端实现对加油站油罐区环境参数进行管理和对加油站油罐区环境多点检测的参数管理、融合多个检测点油气浓度、预测和对油气泄露浓度等级进行分类。5. a kind of oil and gas concentration intelligent monitoring system based on field bus network according to claim 1, is characterized in that: described gas station oil tank farm environment parameter acquisition platform based on CAN field bus network is composed of a plurality of parameter detection nodes and It is composed of on-site monitoring terminals, and the information communication between them is realized through CAN field bus network; It can manage the environmental parameters of the gas station and the parameter management of the multi-point detection of the gas station tank area environment, integrate the oil and gas concentration of multiple detection points, predict and classify the oil and gas leakage concentration level.
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