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CN110705840A - Method for evaluating correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability - Google Patents

Method for evaluating correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability Download PDF

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CN110705840A
CN110705840A CN201910862446.8A CN201910862446A CN110705840A CN 110705840 A CN110705840 A CN 110705840A CN 201910862446 A CN201910862446 A CN 201910862446A CN 110705840 A CN110705840 A CN 110705840A
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王乐
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Abstract

本发明涉及一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,用于评估智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,包括以下步骤:S1、构建VAIC模型;S2、收集所需评估区域内各企业的财务数据,输入VAIC模型,得到量化的智力资本IC;S3、构建相关性评估模型,选定所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA为被解释变量,选定智力资本IC为解释变量,并选定控制变量;S4、将解释变量、被解释变量和控制变量分别输入相关性评估模型,得到被解释变量、解释变量和控制变量两两之间的相关系数,输出反映智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA的相关性关系以及大小,与现有技术相比,本发明具有可靠性高和实用性高等优点。

Figure 201910862446

The invention relates to a method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability, which is used for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and the profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries. The method includes the following steps: S1, building a VAIC model; S2, collecting data The financial data of each enterprise in the region needs to be evaluated, input the VAIC model, and obtain the quantified intellectual capital IC; S3. Build a correlation evaluation model, select ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager as the explained variables. Set intellectual capital IC as the explanatory variable, and select the control variable; S4. Input the explanatory variable, the explained variable and the control variable into the correlation evaluation model respectively, and obtain the correlation coefficient between the explained variable, the explanatory variable and the control variable , the output reflects the correlation and magnitude of intellectual capital IC and profitability ROE from the owner's perspective and ROA from the manager's perspective. Compared with the prior art, the invention has the advantages of high reliability and high practicability.

Figure 201910862446

Description

一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法A method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and corporate profitability

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及电力、热力生产和供应业企业的发展规划,尤其是涉及一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法。The invention relates to the development planning of enterprises in the electric power and heat production and supply industries, in particular to a method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability.

背景技术Background technique

智力资本为企业盈利能力的提升注入新动力,智力资本对企业绩效的现实影响也成为企业经营管理的重点问题。学术界对于智力资本较为普遍的认知是:为组织所拥有、促进组织绩效、无形资产。除商界外,智力资本同时引起科学界和学者们的兴趣,引发有关智力资本管理的激烈探讨。Intellectual capital injects new impetus into the improvement of enterprise profitability, and the realistic impact of intellectual capital on enterprise performance has also become a key issue in enterprise management. The more common cognition of intellectual capital in academic circles is that it is owned by an organization, promotes organizational performance, and is an intangible asset. In addition to the business world, intellectual capital is of interest to both the scientific community and academics, leading to intense discussions on intellectual capital management.

智力资本效率对电力、热力生产和供应业十分重要,智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的关系值得探讨。从资源维度和竞争力维度出发,智力资本对电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力具有显著的促进作用。从竞争力维度,电力、热力生产和供应业的资源具有价值、稀缺、独特和组织等特征,因此智力资本这一资源构成电力、热力生产和供应业的核心竞争力,因此智力资本对提升电力、热力生产和供应业的盈利能力具有非常重要的作用。Intellectual capital efficiency is very important to electricity and heat production and supply industries, and the relationship between intellectual capital and profitability of electricity and heat production and supply industries is worth exploring. From the dimension of resources and competitiveness, intellectual capital has a significant role in promoting the profitability of electricity and heat production and supply industries. From the perspective of competitiveness, the resources of the electricity and heat production and supply industries have the characteristics of value, scarcity, uniqueness and organization. Therefore, intellectual capital constitutes the core competitiveness of the electricity, heat production and supply industries. , the profitability of the heat production and supply industry plays a very important role.

从这两个维度可以看出,智力资本能显著促进电力、热力生产和供应业的盈利能力。但是目前对智力资本和企业盈利能力的研究主要集中在商业中,对智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业的盈利能力之间相互关系的研究较少,而由于商业与电力、热力生产和供应业存在着许多的不同,因此现有技术中没有合适的可用于评估智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业的盈利能力之间相关性的方法,使得电力、热力生产和供应业的相关企业无法合理地利用智力资本来提升本企业的盈利能力。From these two dimensions, it can be seen that intellectual capital can significantly promote the profitability of electricity and heat production and supply industries. However, the current research on intellectual capital and enterprise profitability is mainly concentrated in business, and there are fewer studies on the relationship between intellectual capital and profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries. There are many differences in the industry, so there is no suitable method in the prior art to assess the correlation between intellectual capital and the profitability of the electricity, heat production and supply industry, making it impossible for relevant enterprises in the electricity, heat production and supply industry to Reasonable use of intellectual capital to enhance the profitability of the enterprise.

同时不同区域的电力、热力生产和供应业的各发展特点和发展情况也不尽相同,因此需要设计一种适应不同区域的、可靠的且适合电力、热力生产和供应业的智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法。At the same time, the development characteristics and development conditions of the electricity and heat production and supply industries in different regions are also different. Therefore, it is necessary to design a reliable intellectual capital and corporate profitability that is suitable for different regions and suitable for the electricity and heat production and supply industries. Approaches for assessing competency-relatedness.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本发明的目的就是为了克服上述现有技术存在的缺陷而提供一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability in order to overcome the above-mentioned defects in the prior art.

本发明的目的可以通过以下技术方案来实现:The object of the present invention can be realized through the following technical solutions:

一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,用于评估智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,包括以下步骤:A method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability, which is used to evaluate the correlation between intellectual capital and profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries, including the following steps:

S1、构建VAIC模型;S1. Build a VAIC model;

S2、收集各企业的财务数据,输入VAIC模型,得到量化的智力资本IC;S2. Collect the financial data of each enterprise, input the VAIC model, and obtain the quantitative intellectual capital IC;

S3、构建相关性评估模型,选定所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA为被解释变量,选定智力资本IC为解释变量,并选定控制变量;S3. Build a correlation evaluation model, select ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager as the explained variable, select the intellectual capital IC as the explanatory variable, and select the control variable;

S4、将解释变量、被解释变量和控制变量分别输入相关性评估模型,输出智力资本IC分别与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA之间的相关系数。S4. Input the explanatory variable, the explained variable and the control variable into the correlation evaluation model respectively, and output the correlation coefficient between the intellectual capital IC and the profitability ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager.

进一步地,所述的VAIC模型用于量化智力资本IC,所述的量化的智力资本IC包括人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE,所述的人力资本效率HCE用于衡量人力资本的增值效率,所述的物质资本效率CEE用于衡量利用物质资本的增值效率,所述的结构资本效率SCE用于衡量结构资本的增值效率。Further, the VAIC model is used to quantify intellectual capital IC, and the quantified intellectual capital IC includes human capital efficiency HCE, structural capital efficiency SCE, and physical capital efficiency CEE, and the human capital efficiency HCE is used to measure human capital efficiency. The value-added efficiency of capital, the material capital efficiency CEE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of utilizing physical capital, and the structural capital efficiency SCE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of structural capital.

进一步地,所述的智力资本IC的表达式为:Further, the expression of described intellectual capital IC is:

IC=HCE+SCE+CEEIC=HCE+SCE+CEE

HCE=VA/HCHCE=VA/HC

VA=I+R+T+D+HCVA=I+R+T+D+HC

SCE=(VA-HC)/VASCE=(VA-HC)/VA

CEE=VA/CECEE=VA/CE

其中,VA为企业增值,HC为职工薪酬,I为利息支出,R为本年留存收益的增加,T为所得税费用,D为股利。Among them, VA is the value-added of the enterprise, HC is the employee compensation, I is the interest expense, R is the increase in retained earnings this year, T is the income tax expense, and D is the dividend.

进一步地,所述的管理者角度盈利能力ROA通过资产收益率表示,所述的资产收益率通过净利润与总资产的比值得到,所述的所有者角度盈利能力ROE通过净资产收益率表示,所述的净资产收益率通过净利润与所有者权益的比值得到。Further, the profitability ROA from the manager's perspective is represented by the return on assets, the return on assets is obtained by the ratio of net profit to total assets, and the profitability ROE from the owner's perspective is represented by the return on equity, The stated ROE is obtained by the ratio of net profit to owner's equity.

进一步地,所述的相关性评估模型中的控制变量包括宏观经济GDP G、企业规模ES、物资资本MC和融资杠杆FL,所述的宏观经济GDP G通过国民生产总值增幅表示,所述的企业规模ES通过营业收入的自然对数表示,所述的物资资本MC通过固定资产与总资产的比值表示,所述的融资杠杆FL通过负债与所有者权益的比值表示。Further, the control variables in the correlation evaluation model include macroeconomic GDP G, enterprise scale ES, material capital MC and financing leverage FL, and the macroeconomic GDP G is represented by the increase in gross national product, and the The enterprise scale ES is represented by the natural logarithm of operating income, the material capital MC is represented by the ratio of fixed assets to total assets, and the financing leverage FL is represented by the ratio of liabilities to owners' equity.

进一步地,所述的相关性评估模型对被解释变量、解释变量和控制变量两两之间进行相关性分析,得到对应的相关系数,所述的相关系数r的计算式为:Further, the correlation evaluation model performs correlation analysis between the explained variables, the explanatory variables and the control variables to obtain the corresponding correlation coefficient, and the calculation formula of the correlation coefficient r is:

Figure BDA0002200215490000032
Figure BDA0002200215490000032

Figure BDA0002200215490000033
Figure BDA0002200215490000033

其中,X和Y分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量,

Figure BDA0002200215490000035
Figure BDA0002200215490000036
分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量的均值,lXX为X的离均差平方和,lYY为Y的离均差平方和,lXY为X与Y之间的离均差积和。Among them, X and Y are two variables for correlation analysis, respectively,
Figure BDA0002200215490000035
and
Figure BDA0002200215490000036
are the mean values of the two variables for correlation analysis, lXX is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of X, lYY is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of Y, and lXY is the sum of the product of deviations from the mean between X and Y.

进一步地,该评估方法还包括以下步骤:Further, the evaluation method also includes the following steps:

S5、通过异方差检验和回归分析,得到智力资本IC和智力资本IC各组成部分,分别与管理者角度盈利能力ROA和所有者角度盈利能力ROE之间的相关性以及显著性水平。S5. Through heteroscedasticity test and regression analysis, obtain the correlation and significance level between intellectual capital IC and each component of intellectual capital IC, and the profitability ROA from the perspective of managers and ROE from the perspective of owners, respectively.

进一步地,所述的步骤S5具体包括:Further, the step S5 specifically includes:

51)对分别对智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC各组成部分与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和智力资本IC各组成部分与所有者角度盈利能力ROE进行回归分析,得到回归结果;51) For intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, each component of intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, intellectual capital IC and owner's profitability ROE and intellectual capital IC each component and owner From the perspective of profitability ROE, perform regression analysis to obtain regression results;

52)根据回归结果,进行异方差检验,判断相应的回归分析模型是否存在异方差性,若是,则将标准误经过怀特异方差修正,作为回归结果并执行步骤53),若否,则直接执行步骤53);52) According to the regression result, carry out the heteroscedasticity test to determine whether the corresponding regression analysis model has heteroscedasticity. If so, the standard error is corrected by White's heteroscedasticity as the regression result and execute step 53), if not, execute directly. step 53);

53)根据回归结果中的T值,得到各变量之间的相关性以及显著性水平。53) According to the T value in the regression result, the correlation and significance level between the variables are obtained.

进一步地,当T值的绝对值大于2.50时,两变量在1%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的绝对值大于2.00且小于等于2.50时,两变量在5%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的大于绝对值1.60且小于等于2.00时,两变量在10%的显著性水平下相关。Further, when the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.50, the two variables are related at the 1% significance level; when the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.00 and less than or equal to 2.50, the two variables are related at the 5% significance level ; When the T value is greater than the absolute value of 1.60 and less than or equal to 2.00, the two variables are correlated at the 10% significance level.

与现有技术相比,本发明具有以下优点:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following advantages:

1)通过对大量样本的统计性分析,发现在电力、热力生产和供应业中,所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA的数据分布存在较大差异,因此本发明提供智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业的盈利能力的评估方法,选用所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA作为评估模型的被解释变量,可以对智力资本与盈利能力之间的相关性做出更全面和可信的评估;1) Through the statistical analysis of a large number of samples, it is found that in the power and heat production and supply industries, there is a big difference in the data distribution of ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager. Therefore, the present invention provides intellectual capital and The evaluation method of profitability of electric power, heat production and supply industry, selecting the owner's perspective profitability ROE and manager's perspective profitability ROA as the explained variables of the evaluation model, can make a correlation between intellectual capital and profitability. more comprehensive and credible assessments;

2)通过对大量样本的统计性分析,得到在电力、热力生产和供应业中,物质资本效率CEE的最小值为-0.937,人力资本效率HCE的最小值为-49.263,结构资本效率SCE的最小值为-59.652,均呈现出负数,这说明我国的电力、热力生产和供应企业利用物资资本、人力资本、结构资本为企业盈利能力增值的效果较差,有待进一步的提高,因此本发明选用人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE来量化智力资本IC,以此来评估智力资本IC与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,为电力、热力生产和供应业利用物资资本、人力资本、结构资本为企业盈利能力增值提供有效的参考,实用性高;2) Through statistical analysis of a large number of samples, it is obtained that in the electricity and heat production and supply industries, the minimum value of CEE for physical capital efficiency is -0.937, the minimum value for human capital efficiency HCE is -49.263, and the minimum value for structural capital efficiency SCE is -49.263. The value is -59.652, all showing a negative number, which shows that my country's electric power, heat production and supply enterprises use material capital, human capital, and structural capital to increase the profitability of enterprises. The effect of adding value is poor, and it needs to be further improved. Capital Efficiency HCE, Structural Capital Efficiency SCE, and Physical Capital Efficiency CEE to quantify intellectual capital IC to assess the correlation of intellectual capital IC with the profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries to utilize materials for electricity, heat production and supply industries Capital, human capital and structural capital provide an effective reference for the appreciation of corporate profitability, with high practicability;

3)本发明根据企业所处区域内各同类型企业的财务数据作为数据依据,进行相应评估,且在完成相关性评估后,通过回归进行分析,进一步评估智力资本IC的各组成部分与企业盈利能力的相关性水平,通过本发明方法得到的评估结果更有针对性且结果更精准。3) The present invention uses the financial data of the same type of enterprises in the region where the enterprise is located as the data basis, and carries out corresponding evaluation, and after completing the correlation evaluation, it is analyzed by regression to further evaluate the components of intellectual capital IC and the profitability of the enterprise. The correlation level of ability, the evaluation result obtained by the method of the present invention is more targeted and the result is more accurate.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1为本发明评估方法流程示意图;Fig. 1 is the schematic flow chart of the evaluation method of the present invention;

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面结合附图和具体实施例对本发明进行详细说明。显然,所描述的实施例是本发明的一部分实施例,而不是全部实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动的前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都应属于本发明保护的范围。The present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. Obviously, the described embodiments are some, but not all, embodiments of the present invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative work shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

实施例Example

如图1所示,本发明提供一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,用于评估智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,包括以下步骤:As shown in Figure 1, the present invention provides a method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability, for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries, including the following steps:

S1、构建VAIC模型;S1. Build a VAIC model;

S2、收集各企业的财务数据,输入VAIC模型,得到量化的智力资本IC;S2. Collect the financial data of each enterprise, input the VAIC model, and obtain the quantitative intellectual capital IC;

S3、构建相关性评估模型,选定所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA为被解释变量,选定智力资本IC为解释变量,并选定控制变量;S3. Build a correlation evaluation model, select ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager as the explained variable, select the intellectual capital IC as the explanatory variable, and select the control variable;

S4、将解释变量、被解释变量和控制变量分别输入相关性评估模型,输出智力资本IC分别与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA之间的相关系数。S4. Input the explanatory variable, the explained variable and the control variable into the correlation evaluation model respectively, and output the correlation coefficient between the intellectual capital IC and the profitability ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager.

相关性评估模型各变量的设计如下:The variables of the correlation evaluation model are designed as follows:

(1)解释变量:智力资本IC。(1) Explanatory variable: intellectual capital IC.

智力资本IC包括人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE,人力资本效率HCE用于衡量人力资本的增值效率,物质资本效率CEE用于衡量利用物质资本的增值效率,结构资本效率SCE用于衡量结构资本的增值效率。Intellectual capital IC includes human capital efficiency HCE, structural capital efficiency SCE and physical capital efficiency CEE. Human capital efficiency HCE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of human capital, physical capital efficiency CEE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of utilizing physical capital, and structural capital efficiency SCE It is used to measure the value-added efficiency of structural capital.

智力资本IC的表达式为:The expression of intellectual capital IC is:

IC=HCE+SCE+CEEIC=HCE+SCE+CEE

人力资本效率HCE的表达式为:The expression of human capital efficiency HCE is:

HCE=VA/HCHCE=VA/HC

VA=I+R+T+D+HCVA=I+R+T+D+HC

其中,VA为企业增值,HC为职工薪酬,I为利息支出,R为本年留存收益的增加,T为所得税费用,D为股利;Among them, VA is the value-added of the enterprise, HC is the employee compensation, I is the interest expense, R is the increase in retained earnings this year, T is the income tax expense, and D is the dividend;

结构资本效率SCE的表达式为:The expression of structural capital efficiency SCE is:

SCE=(VA-HC)/VASCE=(VA-HC)/VA

物质资本效率CEE的表达式为:The expression of physical capital efficiency CEE is:

CEE=VA/CECEE=VA/CE

(2)被解释变量:所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA。(2) Explained variables: ROE from the owner's perspective and ROA from the manager's perspective.

管理者角度盈利能力ROA通过资产收益率表示,资产收益率通过净利润与总资产的比值得到,所有者角度盈利能力ROE通过净资产收益率表示,净资产收益率通过净利润与所有者权益的比值得到。The profitability ROA from the manager's perspective is expressed by the return on assets, the return on assets is obtained by the ratio of net profit to total assets, the profitability ROE from the owner's perspective is expressed by the return on equity, and the return on equity is expressed by the ratio of net profit to owner's equity. ratio is obtained.

(3)控制变量::宏观经济GDP G、企业规模ES、物资资本MC和融资杠杆FL。(3) Control variables: macroeconomic GDP G, enterprise scale ES, material capital MC and financing leverage FL.

宏观经济GDP G通过国民生产总值增幅表示,企业规模ES通过营业收入的自然对数表示,物资资本MC通过固定资产与总资产的比值表示,融资杠杆FL通过负债与所有者权益的比值表示。Macroeconomic GDP G is represented by the growth rate of gross national product, enterprise scale ES is represented by the natural logarithm of operating income, material capital MC is represented by the ratio of fixed assets to total assets, and financing leverage FL is represented by the ratio of liabilities to owners' equity.

本实施例中,通过对193个电力、热力生产和供应业财务数据样本,进行了解释变量、被解释变量、控制变量进项统计性分析,如表1所示:In this embodiment, 193 financial data samples of electric power, heat production and supply industries are subjected to statistical analysis of explanatory variables, explained variables, and control variables, as shown in Table 1:

表1模型变量的描述性统计Table 1 Descriptive statistics of model variables

Figure BDA0002200215490000061
Figure BDA0002200215490000061

由表中得出,物质资本效率CEE的最小值为-0.937,人力资本效率HCE的最小值为-49.263,结构资本效率SCE的最小值为-59.652,均呈现出负数,这说明我国的电力、热力生产和供应企业利用物资资本、人力资本、结构资本为企业盈利能力增值的效果较差,有待进一步的提高,因此本发明选用人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE来量化智力资本IC,以此来评估智力资本IC与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,可以为电力、热力生产和供应业利用物资资本、人力资本、结构资本为企业盈利能力增值提供有效的参考;From the table, the minimum value of physical capital efficiency CEE is -0.937, the minimum value of human capital efficiency HCE is -49.263, and the minimum value of structural capital efficiency SCE is -59.652, all showing negative numbers, which shows that my country's electricity, The thermal power production and supply enterprises use material capital, human capital, and structural capital to increase the value of the profitability of the enterprise. Capital IC, in order to evaluate the correlation between intellectual capital IC and the profitability of power, heat production and supply industries, can provide an effective method for the power, heat production and supply industries to use material capital, human capital, and structural capital to add value to corporate profitability. refer to;

同时可以看出,所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA的数据分布存在较大差异,因此选取所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA作为评估模型的被解释变量是必要的。At the same time, it can be seen that there is a big difference in the data distribution of ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager. Therefore, it is necessary to select the ROE from the owner's perspective and the ROA from the manager's perspective as the explained variables of the evaluation model. of.

相关性评估模型对被解释变量、解释变量和控制变量两两之间进行Pearson相关性分析,得到对应的Pearson相关系数,Pearson相关系数r的计算式为:The correlation evaluation model conducts Pearson correlation analysis between the explained variables, explanatory variables and control variables, and obtains the corresponding Pearson correlation coefficient. The calculation formula of the Pearson correlation coefficient r is:

Figure BDA0002200215490000071
Figure BDA0002200215490000071

Figure BDA0002200215490000072
Figure BDA0002200215490000072

Figure BDA0002200215490000074
Figure BDA0002200215490000074

其中,X和Y分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量,

Figure BDA0002200215490000075
分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量的均值,lXX为X的离均差平方和,lYY为Y的离均差平方和,lXY为X与Y之间的离均差积和。Among them, X and Y are two variables for correlation analysis, respectively,
Figure BDA0002200215490000075
and are the mean values of the two variables for correlation analysis, lXX is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of X, lYY is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of Y, and lXY is the sum of the product of deviations from the mean between X and Y.

在得到智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA的相关系数后,为了进一步评估组成智力资本IC的组成部分对所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA的相关性大小,本实施例还增加了步骤S5,步骤S5的具体步骤包括:After obtaining the correlation coefficient between intellectual capital IC and owner's point of view profitability ROE and manager's point of view profitability ROA, in order to further evaluate the correlation between the components of intellectual capital IC on owner's point of view profitability ROE and manager's point of view profitability ROA This embodiment also adds step S5, and the specific steps of step S5 include:

51)对分别对智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC各组成部分与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和智力资本IC各组成部分与所有者角度盈利能力ROE进行回归分析,得到回归结果;51) For intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, each component of intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, intellectual capital IC and owner's profitability ROE and intellectual capital IC each component and owner From the perspective of profitability ROE, perform regression analysis to obtain regression results;

52)根据回归结果,进行异方差检验,判断相应的回归分析模型是否存在异方差性,若是,则将标准误经过怀特异方差修正,作为回归结果并执行步骤53),若否,则直接执行步骤53);52) According to the regression result, carry out the heteroscedasticity test to determine whether the corresponding regression analysis model has heteroscedasticity. If so, the standard error is corrected by White's heteroscedasticity as the regression result and execute step 53), if not, execute directly. step 53);

53)根据回归结果中的T值,得到各变量之间的相关性以及显著性水平。53) According to the T value in the regression result, the correlation and significance level between the variables are obtained.

当T值的绝对值大于2.50时,两变量在1%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的绝对值大于2.00且小于等于2.50时,两变量在5%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的大于绝对值1.60且小于等于2.00时,两变量在10%的显著性水平下相关。When the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.50, the two variables are related at the 1% significance level; when the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.00 and less than or equal to 2.50, the two variables are related at the 5% significance level; When the absolute value of the value is greater than 1.60 and less than or equal to 2.00, the two variables are correlated at the 10% significance level.

本实施例对某一区域中的97家电力、热力生产和供应业相关企业的财务数据进行了处理,并利用本发明提供的评估方法进行智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估,数据处理工具为Stata10。In this embodiment, the financial data of 97 enterprises related to electric power and heat production and supply industries in a certain area are processed, and the evaluation method provided by the present invention is used to evaluate the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability. The data processing tool for Stata10.

得到被解释变量、解释变量和控制变量两两之间的相关系数如表2所示:The correlation coefficients between the explained variables, explanatory variables and control variables are obtained as shown in Table 2:

表2模型变量的Pearson相关系数Table 2 Pearson correlation coefficients of model variables

Figure BDA0002200215490000081
Figure BDA0002200215490000081

由表2可得,本实施例所选区域中的97家企业,管理者角度盈利能力ROA和所有者角度盈利能力ROE与智力资本IC均为正相关。It can be seen from Table 2 that in the 97 enterprises in the selected area of this example, ROA from the perspective of managers and ROE from the perspective of owners are both positively correlated with intellectual capital IC.

在得到各变量之间的Pearson相关系数后,本实施例又进行了回归分析,结果如下:After obtaining the Pearson correlation coefficient between the variables, regression analysis was carried out in this embodiment, and the results are as follows:

(1)智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA(1) Intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA

在回归结果的基础上,进行异方差检验,得出Prob>chi2=0.0000。因此,模型存在异方差性。在回归的options选项中选择robust选项,回归结果如表3所示:On the basis of the regression results, the heteroscedasticity test was carried out, and Prob>chi2=0.0000 was obtained. Therefore, the model has heteroscedasticity. Select the robust option in the options option of the regression, and the regression results are shown in Table 3:

表3智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA的回归结果Table 3 Regression results of intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA

Figure BDA0002200215490000082
Figure BDA0002200215490000082

其中,***、**、*分别表示1%、5%、10%的显著水平。Among them, ***, **, and * represent the significant levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.

将F值与P值结合,判断线性关系的显著性,由于Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001,故置信度达到99.99%以上。Combine the F value with the P value to judge the significance of the linear relationship. Since Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001, the confidence level is above 99.99%.

回归结果说明,智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA在5%的显著水平上正相关,即对于电力、热力生产和供应行业,智力资本对管理者角度盈利能力ROA有显著的正向促进作用。管理者角度盈利能力ROA与融资杠杆FL、宏观经济GDP G在1%的显著水平上负相关,与企业规模ES在1%的显著水平下正相关。The regression results show that the intellectual capital IC is positively correlated with the ROA of the profitability of the manager's perspective at a significant level of 5%, that is, for the electricity, heat production and supply industries, intellectual capital has a significant positive effect on the ROA of the profitability of the manager's perspective. . Managerial profitability ROA is negatively correlated with financing leverage FL and macroeconomic GDP G at a significant level of 1%, and positively correlated with enterprise scale ES at a significant level of 1%.

(2)人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE与管理者角度盈利能力ROA(2) Human Capital Efficiency HCE, Structural Capital Efficiency SCE, Physical Capital Efficiency CEE and Managerial Profitability ROA

在回归结果的基础上,进行异方差检验,得出Prob>chi2=0.7390,因此,模型不存在异方差性。回归结果如表4所示:On the basis of the regression results, the heteroscedasticity test was carried out, and it was concluded that Prob>chi2=0.7390, so the model did not have heteroscedasticity. The regression results are shown in Table 4:

表4智力资本各组成部分与管理者角度盈利能力(ROA)的回归结果Table 4 Regression results of each component of intellectual capital and managerial profitability (ROA)

Figure BDA0002200215490000091
Figure BDA0002200215490000091

其中,***、**、*分别表示1%、5%、10%的显著水平。Among them, ***, **, and * represent the significant levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.

将F值与P值结合,判断线性关系的显著性,由于Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001,故置信度达到99.99%以上。Combine the F value with the P value to judge the significance of the linear relationship. Since Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001, the confidence level is above 99.99%.

从智力资本各组成部分与管理者角度盈利能力ROA的回归结果看,人力资本效率HCE与管理者角度盈利能力ROA在5%的显著水平上正相关,结构资本效率SCE与管理者角度盈利能力ROA的关系不显著,物质资本效率CEE与管理者角度盈利能力ROA在1%的显著水平上正相关。即通过该评估结果可以得出,对于电力、热力生产和供应行业,智力资本对管理者角度盈利能力ROA的显著促进作用主要来源于物资资本和人力资本,结构资本对于管理者角度盈利能力ROA的影响不显著。From the regression results of each component of intellectual capital and the ROA of profitability from the perspective of managers, the human capital efficiency HCE is positively correlated with the ROA of profitability from the perspective of managers at a significant level of 5%, and the efficiency of structural capital SCE and the ROA of profitability from the perspective of managers The relationship between physical capital efficiency CEE and managerial profitability ROA is positively correlated at a significant level of 1%. That is to say, from the evaluation results, it can be concluded that for the electric power and heat production and supply industries, the significant promoting effect of intellectual capital on the profitability ROA from the perspective of managers mainly comes from material capital and human capital. The effect is not significant.

(3)智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE(3) Intellectual capital IC and profitability ROE from the perspective of owners

在回归结果的基础上,进行异方差检验,得出Prob>chi2=0.0000,因此模型存在异方差性。在回归的options选项中选择robust选项,回归结果如表5所示:On the basis of the regression results, the heteroscedasticity test is carried out, and it is concluded that Prob>chi2=0.0000, so the model has heteroscedasticity. Select the robust option in the options option of the regression, and the regression results are shown in Table 5:

表5智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE的回归结果Table 5 Regression results of intellectual capital IC and owner's perspective profitability ROE

其中,***、**、*分别表示1%、5%、10%的显著水平。Among them, ***, **, and * represent the significant levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.

将F值与P值结合,判断线性关系的显著性,由于Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001,故置信度达到99.99%以上。Combine the F value with the P value to judge the significance of the linear relationship. Since Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001, the confidence level is above 99.99%.

根据回归结果,智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE在1%的显著水平上正相关,即对于电力、热力生产和供应行业,智力资本IC对所有者角度盈利能力ROE有显著的正向促进作用,所有者角度盈利能力ROE与融资杠杆FL、宏观经济GDP G在1%的显著水平上负相关,与企业规模ES在1%的显著水平下正相关。According to the regression results, the intellectual capital IC is positively correlated with the ROE of the owner's profitability at a significant level of 1%, that is, for the electricity, heat production and supply industries, the intellectual capital IC has a significant positive effect on the ROE of the owner's profitability. From the perspective of owners, profitability ROE is negatively correlated with financing leverage FL and macroeconomic GDP G at a significant level of 1%, and positively correlated with enterprise scale ES at a significant level of 1%.

(4)人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE与所有者角度盈利能力ROE(4) Human Capital Efficiency HCE, Structural Capital Efficiency SCE, Physical Capital Efficiency CEE and Owner’s Perspective Profitability ROE

在回归结果的基础上,进行异方差检验,得出Prob>chi2=0.0000,因此模型存在异方差性。在回归的options选项中选择robust选项,回归结果如表6所示:On the basis of the regression results, the heteroscedasticity test is carried out, and it is concluded that Prob>chi2=0.0000, so the model has heteroscedasticity. Select the robust option in the options option of the regression, and the regression results are shown in Table 6:

表6智力资本各组成部分与所有者角度盈利能力ROE的回归结果Table 6 Regression results of each component of intellectual capital and ROE of profitability from the owner's perspective

Figure BDA0002200215490000102
Figure BDA0002200215490000102

Figure BDA0002200215490000111
Figure BDA0002200215490000111

其中,***、**、*分别表示1%、5%、10%的显著水平。Among them, ***, **, and * represent the significant levels of 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.

将F值与P值结合,判断线性关系的显著性,由于Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001,故置信度达到99.99%以上。Combine the F value with the P value to judge the significance of the linear relationship. Since Prob>F=0.0000<0.0001, the confidence level is above 99.99%.

从智力资本各组成部分与所有者角度盈利能力ROE的回归结果可得到,人力资本效率HCE与所有者角度盈利能力ROE在5%的显著水平上正相关,结构资本效率SCE、物质资本效率CEE与所有者角度盈利能力ROE在1%的显著水平上正相关。即对于电力、热力生产和供应行业,智力资本中的物资资本、人力资本和结构资本对所有者角度盈利能力ROE的均产生显著的促进作用。From the regression results of each component of intellectual capital and the profitability ROE from the owner's perspective, the human capital efficiency HCE is positively correlated with the owner's profitability ROE at a significant level of 5%, and the structural capital efficiency SCE, physical capital efficiency CEE and Owner's perspective profitability ROE is positively correlated at a significant level of 1%. That is to say, for the power and heat production and supply industries, the material capital, human capital and structural capital in intellectual capital all have a significant role in promoting the profitability of the owner's ROE.

以上所述,仅为本发明的具体实施方式,但本发明的保护范围并不局限于此,任何熟悉本技术领域的工作人员在本发明揭露的技术范围内,可轻易想到各种等效的修改或替换,这些修改或替换都应涵盖在本发明的保护范围之内。因此,本发明的保护范围应以权利要求的保护范围为准。The above are only specific embodiments of the present invention, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to this. Any person familiar with the technical field can easily think of various equivalents within the technical scope disclosed by the present invention. Modifications or substitutions should be included within the protection scope of the present invention. Therefore, the protection scope of the present invention should be subject to the protection scope of the claims.

Claims (9)

1.一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,用于评估智力资本与电力、热力生产和供应业盈利能力的相关性,其特征在于,包括以下步骤:1. A method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability, for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and profitability of electricity, heat production and supply industries, characterized in that it comprises the following steps: S1、构建VAIC模型;S1. Build a VAIC model; S2、收集各企业的财务数据,输入VAIC模型,得到量化的智力资本IC;S2. Collect the financial data of each enterprise, input the VAIC model, and obtain the quantitative intellectual capital IC; S3、构建相关性评估模型,选定所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA为被解释变量,选定智力资本IC为解释变量,并选定控制变量;S3. Build a correlation evaluation model, select ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager as the explained variable, select the intellectual capital IC as the explanatory variable, and select the control variable; S4、将解释变量、被解释变量和控制变量分别输入相关性评估模型,输出智力资本IC分别与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和管理者角度盈利能力ROA之间的相关系数。S4. Input the explanatory variable, the explained variable and the control variable into the correlation evaluation model respectively, and output the correlation coefficient between the intellectual capital IC and the profitability ROE from the perspective of the owner and ROA from the perspective of the manager. 2.根据权利要求1所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的VAIC模型用于量化智力资本IC,所述的量化的智力资本IC包括人力资本效率HCE、结构资本效率SCE和物质资本效率CEE,所述的人力资本效率HCE用于衡量人力资本的增值效率,所述的物质资本效率CEE用于衡量利用物质资本的增值效率,所述的结构资本效率SCE用于衡量结构资本的增值效率。2. the evaluation method of a kind of intellectual capital and enterprise profitability correlation according to claim 1, is characterized in that, described VAIC model is used for quantifying intellectual capital IC, and the intellectual capital IC of described quantification comprises human capital Efficiency HCE, Structural Capital Efficiency SCE, and Physical Capital Efficiency CEE, the Human Capital Efficiency HCE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of human capital, and the Physical Capital Efficiency CEE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of utilizing physical capital. The structural Capital Efficiency SCE is used to measure the value-added efficiency of structural capital. 3.根据权利要求2所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的智力资本IC的表达式为:3. the evaluation method of a kind of intellectual capital according to claim 2 and enterprise profitability correlation, it is characterized in that, the expression of described intellectual capital IC is: IC=HCE+SCE+CEEIC=HCE+SCE+CEE HCE=VA/HCHCE=VA/HC VA=I+R+T+D+HCVA=I+R+T+D+HC SCE=(VA-HC)/VASCE=(VA-HC)/VA CEE=VA/CECEE=VA/CE 其中,VA为企业增值,HC为职工薪酬,I为利息支出,R为本年留存收益的增加,T为所得税费用,D为股利。Among them, VA is the value-added of the enterprise, HC is the employee compensation, I is the interest expense, R is the increase in retained earnings this year, T is the income tax expense, and D is the dividend. 4.根据权利要求1所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的管理者角度盈利能力ROA通过资产收益率表示,所述的资产收益率通过净利润与总资产的比值得到,所述的所有者角度盈利能力ROE通过净资产收益率表示,所述的净资产收益率通过净利润与所有者权益的比值得到。4. The method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability according to claim 1, wherein the profitability ROA from the perspective of the manager is represented by the return on assets, and the return on assets is represented by the net return on assets. The ratio of profit to total assets is obtained, the profitability ROE from the owner's perspective is expressed by the return on equity, and the return on equity is obtained by the ratio of net profit to owner's equity. 5.根据权利要求4所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的相关性评估模型中的控制变量包括宏观经济GDP G、企业规模ES、物资资本MC和融资杠杆FL,所述的宏观经济GDP G通过国民生产总值增幅表示,所述的企业规模ES通过营业收入的自然对数表示,所述的物资资本MC通过固定资产与总资产的比值表示,所述的融资杠杆FL通过负债与所有者权益的比值表示。5. the assessment method of a kind of intellectual capital and enterprise profitability correlation according to claim 4, is characterized in that, the control variable in described correlation assessment model comprises macroeconomic GDP G, enterprise scale ES, material capital MC and financing leverage FL, the macroeconomic GDP G is expressed by the increase in gross national product, the enterprise scale ES is expressed by the natural logarithm of operating income, and the material capital MC is expressed by the ratio of fixed assets to total assets said that the financing leverage FL is expressed by the ratio of liabilities to owners' equity. 6.根据权利要求5所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的相关性评估模型对被解释变量、解释变量和控制变量两两之间进行相关性分析,得到对应的相关系数,所述的相关系数r的计算式为:6. The method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability according to claim 5, wherein the correlation evaluation model correlates between explained variables, explanatory variables and control variables. The corresponding correlation coefficient can be obtained by analyzing the correlation coefficient. The calculation formula of the correlation coefficient r is:
Figure FDA0002200215480000021
Figure FDA0002200215480000021
Figure FDA0002200215480000022
Figure FDA0002200215480000022
其中,X和Y分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量,
Figure FDA0002200215480000025
Figure FDA0002200215480000026
分别为两个进行相关性分析的变量的均值,lXX为X的离均差平方和,lYY为Y的离均差平方和,lXY为X与Y之间的离均差积和。
Among them, X and Y are two variables for correlation analysis, respectively,
Figure FDA0002200215480000025
and
Figure FDA0002200215480000026
are the mean values of the two variables for correlation analysis, lXX is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of X, lYY is the sum of squared deviations from the mean of Y, and lXY is the sum of the product of deviations from the mean between X and Y.
7.根据权利要求1所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,该评估方法还包括以下步骤:7. The evaluation method of the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability according to claim 1, wherein the evaluation method further comprises the following steps: S5、通过异方差检验和回归分析,得到智力资本IC和智力资本IC的各组成部分,分别与管理者角度盈利能力ROA和所有者角度盈利能力ROE之间的相关性以及显著性水平。S5. Through heteroscedasticity test and regression analysis, obtain the correlation and significance level between intellectual capital IC and each component of intellectual capital IC, and the profitability ROA from the perspective of managers and ROE from the perspective of owners, respectively. 8.根据权利要求7所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,所述的步骤S5具体包括:8. The method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability according to claim 7, wherein the step S5 specifically comprises: 51)对分别对智力资本IC与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC各组成部分与管理者角度盈利能力ROA、智力资本IC与所有者角度盈利能力ROE和智力资本IC各组成部分与所有者角度盈利能力ROE进行回归分析,得到回归结果;51) For intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, each component of intellectual capital IC and managerial profitability ROA, intellectual capital IC and owner's profitability ROE and intellectual capital IC each component and owner From the perspective of profitability ROE, perform regression analysis to obtain regression results; 52)根据回归结果,进行异方差检验,判断相应的回归分析模型是否存在异方差性,若是,则将标准误经过怀特异方差修正,作为回归结果并执行步骤53),若否,则直接执行步骤53);52) According to the regression result, carry out the heteroscedasticity test to determine whether the corresponding regression analysis model has heteroscedasticity. If so, the standard error is corrected by White's heteroscedasticity as the regression result and execute step 53), if not, execute directly. step 53); 53)根据回归结果中的T值,得到各变量之间的相关性以及显著性水平。53) According to the T value in the regression result, the correlation and significance level between the variables are obtained. 9.根据权利要求8所述的一种智力资本与企业盈利能力相关性的评估方法,其特征在于,当T值的绝对值大于2.50时,两变量在1%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的绝对值大于2.00且小于等于2.50时,两变量在5%的显著性水平下相关;当T值的大于绝对值1.60且小于等于2.00时,两变量在10%的显著性水平下相关。9. The method for evaluating the correlation between intellectual capital and enterprise profitability according to claim 8, characterized in that, when the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.50, the two variables are correlated at a significance level of 1%; When the absolute value of the T value is greater than 2.00 and less than or equal to 2.50, the two variables are related at the 5% significance level; when the absolute value of the T value is greater than 1.60 and less than or equal to 2.00, the two variables are related at the 10% significance level .
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