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CN110571795A - Arrangement method of energy storage unit in high wind penetration power system - Google Patents

Arrangement method of energy storage unit in high wind penetration power system Download PDF

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CN110571795A
CN110571795A CN201910791895.8A CN201910791895A CN110571795A CN 110571795 A CN110571795 A CN 110571795A CN 201910791895 A CN201910791895 A CN 201910791895A CN 110571795 A CN110571795 A CN 110571795A
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吕项羽
都明亮
田春光
李德鑫
王佳蕊
曾博
董厚琦
张海锋
刘畅
高松
孟涛
庄冠群
蔡丽霞
王伟
姜栋潇
张家郡
张宗宝
武赓
隆竹寒
闫彤
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
North China Electric Power University
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Jilin Electric Power Co Ltd
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North China Electric Power University
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Jilin Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,所述布置方法建立基于市场的概率最优潮流,所述潮流具有储能集成和风力发电,包括以下步骤:步骤1:根据风力发电和负荷概率建模;步骤2:利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移;步骤3:压缩空气蓄能的经济特性;步骤4:建立功率池模型,将单边拍卖市场纳入最优潮流;步骤5:使用概率最优潮流,在潮流计算中考虑风电输出和可变负荷等不确定因素;步骤6:利用遗传算法进行优化,基于电力市场的概率最优潮流来确定不受管制的风力发电系统中储能单元的最优位置。

The invention discloses an arrangement method of an energy storage unit in a high wind penetration power system. The arrangement method establishes a market-based probabilistic optimal power flow, and the power flow has energy storage integration and wind power generation, including the following steps: Step 1 : Modeling based on wind power generation and load probability; Step 2: Use energy storage system to time-shift the electric energy of renewable energy; Step 3: Economic characteristics of compressed air energy storage; Step 4: Establish a power pool model, and unilaterally auction The market is included in the optimal power flow; step 5: use the probabilistic optimal power flow, and consider uncertain factors such as wind power output and variable loads in the power flow calculation; step 6: use genetic algorithms to optimize and determine based on the probabilistic optimal power flow in the power market Optimal location of energy storage units in an unregulated wind power system.

Description

一种储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法Arrangement method of energy storage unit in high wind penetration power system

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及电力储能技术领域,特别是涉及储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法。The invention relates to the technical field of electric power storage, in particular to a method for arranging energy storage units in a power system with high wind penetration.

背景技术Background technique

随着电力系统向不受管制的结构过渡,系统运营商必须有效地提供新服务以实现电力市场目标。储能可以提高社会福利,同时提高电网性能和可靠性。这些服务可以管理高峰需求,集成间歇性可再生能源技术,提供负荷跟踪和监管等辅助服务,解决输电线路拥堵,推迟输电和配电(T&D)升级以及支持需求响应资源,参考文献[1]:S.Eckroad,EPRI DOEHandbook for Energy Storage for Transmission or Distribution Applications,Palo Alto,CA,Dec.2003。根据桑迪亚国家实验室的报告,这些可以通过减少因停电导致的最终用户财务损失来避免传输接入费用和14.3亿美元的利润,从而节省2.3亿美元的资金,参考文献[2]:J.Eyer and G.Corey,Energy Storage for the Electricity Grid:Benefits and Market Potential Assessment Guide,Sandia National Laboratories,Albuquerque,NM, SAND2010-0815,Feb.2010。As the electricity system transitions to an unregulated structure, system operators must efficiently deliver new services to achieve electricity market goals. Energy storage can improve social welfare while improving grid performance and reliability. These services can manage peak demand, integrate intermittent renewable energy technologies, provide ancillary services such as load following and regulation, resolve transmission line congestion, defer transmission and distribution (T&D) upgrades, and support demand response resources, Ref. [1]: S. Eckroad, EPRI DOE Handbook for Energy Storage for Transmission or Distribution Applications, Palo Alto, CA, Dec. 2003. According to the report of Sandia National Laboratories, these can save 230 million US dollars by reducing the financial loss of end users due to power outages, avoiding transmission access fees and 1.43 billion US dollars in profits, reference [2]: J . Eyer and G. Corey, Energy Storage for the Electricity Grid: Benefits and Market Potential Assessment Guide, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, SAND 2010-0815, Feb. 2010.

可再生能源投资标准(RPS)将通过间歇性输出增加可再生能源发电,需要采取适当的策略来最大化储能单元的效用,参考文献[3]:I.P.Gyuk and S.Eckroad,EnergyStorage for Grid Connected Wind Generation Applications,U.S.Department ofEnergy,Washington,DC,EPRI-DOE Handbook Supplement,1008703,Dec.2004。为此,必须有效解决最优储能单元大小和放置问题,参考文献[4]:G.Celli,S.Mocci,F.Pilo,andM.Loddo,“Optimal integration of energy storage in distribution networks,”inProc.IEEE Power Tech Conf.,Bucharest,Oct.2009。在具有高风力穿透的不受管制的电力系统中,储能单元的最优配给提供了若干益处,包括基于市场的机会,例如可再生能源时移,可再生能源产能确认,通过收入或降低成本和与储能相关的社会效益,参考文献[2]整合更多可再生能源,减少排放和提高电网资产利用率的形式推迟的输配电升级。储能系统的经济评估也需要进行成本效益分析。在大风期间有限的输电能力可能需要减缩风力,这取决于合同协议,可能导致风力发电机的收入损失或电网运营商的额外成本。存储超过传输容量的风能使其可在之后传输容量可用时调度。因此,储能单元的最优分配导致传输容量的高效利用。风资源本身所具有的间歇性对最终输出功率造成了很大的不确定性,典型误差在30%- 50%范围内,参考文献[5]:J.Garcia-Gonzalez,R.M.R.de la Muela,L.M.Santos,and A.M.Gon-zalez,“Stochastic joint optimization of windgeneration and pumped-storage units in an electricity market,”IEEETrans.Power Syst.,vol.23,no.2,pp.460–468, May 2008。充足的储能容量的最优布置提供了遵守市场中清除风电计划和对冲预测不确定性所需的灵活性,参考文献[6]:H.Bludszuweit and J.A. Dominguez-Navarro,“A probabilistic method for energystorage sizing based on wind power forecast uncertainty,”IEEE Trans. PowerSyst.,vol.26,no.3,pp.1651–1658,Aug.2011,参考文献 [7]:T.K.A.Brekken,A.Yokochi,A.V.Jouanne,Z.Z.Yen,H.M. Hapke,and D.A.Halamay,“Optimal energy storage sizingand control for wind power applications,”IEEE Trans.Sustain.Energy, vol.2,no.1,pp.69–77,Jan.2011。当风力产生高于清除计划时,通过存储多余的能量来实现这种灵活性。所存储的能量被用来避免与生成比清除计划更少的能量相关的惩罚。此外,为了更有效地利用储能容量同时保持传输热约束,还需要储能系统的最优布置。随后,净功率输送更准确地遵循市场上的清除计划。The Renewable Energy Portfolio Standard (RPS) will increase renewable energy generation through intermittent output, and appropriate strategies need to be adopted to maximize the utility of energy storage units, reference [3]: I.P.Gyuk and S.Eckroad, EnergyStorage for Grid Connected Wind Generation Applications, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC, EPRI-DOE Handbook Supplement, 1008703, Dec. 2004. For this reason, the problem of optimal energy storage unit size and placement must be effectively solved, reference [4]: G.Celli, S.Mocci, F.Pilo, and M.Loddo, “Optimal integration of energy storage in distribution networks,” inProc . IEEE Power Tech Conf., Bucharest, Oct. 2009. In unregulated power systems with high wind penetration, optimal allocation of energy storage units offers several benefits, including market-based opportunities such as renewable energy time-shifting, renewable energy capacity recognition, through revenue or reduction Costs and societal benefits associated with energy storage, Ref. [2] Delayed transmission and distribution upgrades in the form of integrating more renewables, reducing emissions and improving grid asset utilization. The economic evaluation of energy storage systems also requires a cost-benefit analysis. Limited transmission capacity during periods of high winds may require curtailment, which, depending on contractual agreements, may result in lost revenue for wind turbines or additional costs for grid operators. Storing wind energy in excess of transmission capacity makes it dispatchable later when transmission capacity becomes available. Thus, an optimal allocation of energy storage units leads to an efficient utilization of the transmission capacity. The intermittency of the wind resource itself has caused great uncertainty to the final output power, and the typical error is in the range of 30%-50%. Reference [5]: J.Garcia-Gonzalez, R.M.R.de la Muela, L.M. Santos, and A.M. Gon-zalez, “Stochastic joint optimization of windgeneration and pumped-storage units in an electricity market,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol.23, no.2, pp.460–468, May 2008. Optimal placement of sufficient energy storage capacity provides the flexibility needed to comply with clearing wind power schedules and hedging forecast uncertainty in the market, reference [6]: H.Bludszuweit and J.A. Dominguez-Navarro, “A probabilistic method for energystorage sizing based on wind power forecast uncertainty," IEEE Trans. PowerSyst., vol.26, no.3, pp.1651–1658, Aug.2011, reference [7]: T.K.A.Brekken, A.Yokochi, A.V.Jouanne, Z.Z. Yen, H.M. Hapke, and D.A. Halamay, “Optimal energy storage sizing and control for wind power applications,” IEEE Trans. Sustain. Energy, vol.2, no.1, pp.69–77, Jan. 2011. This flexibility is achieved by storing excess energy when wind production is higher than the removal plan. The stored energy is used to avoid penalties associated with generating less energy than the scavenging plan. Furthermore, an optimal arrangement of the energy storage system is also required in order to utilize the energy storage capacity more efficiently while maintaining the transfer thermal constraints. Subsequently, the net power delivery more accurately follows the clearance schedule in the market.

目前,很少有出版物讨论在具有可再生能源发电的电力系统中储能的最优布置参考文献[4],参考文献[8]-[10],Currently, few publications discuss the optimal placement of energy storage in power systems with renewable energy generation Ref. [4], Refs. [8]–[10],

参考文献[8]:K.Dvijotham,S.Backhaus,and M.Chertkov, Operation-BasedPlan-ning for Placement and Sizing of Energy Storage in a Grid With a HighPenetration of Renewables,arXiv: 1107.1382v2,Reference [8]: K.Dvijotham, S.Backhaus, and M.Chertkov, Operation-Based Plan-ning for Placement and Sizing of Energy Storage in a Grid With a High Penetration of Renewables, arXiv: 1107.1382v2,

参考文献[9]:G.Carpinelli,F.Mottola,D.Porto,and A.Russo, “Optimalallocation of dispersed generators,capacitors and distributed energy storagesys-tems in distribution networks,”in Proc.Int.Symp.of Modern Electric PowerSyst.(MEPS),Sep.2010, pp.1–6,Reference [9]: G.Carpinelli, F.Mottola, D.Porto, and A.Russo, “Optimalallocation of dispersed generators, capacitors and distributed energy storagesys-tems in distribution networks,” in Proc.Int.Symp.of Modern Electric Power Syst. (MEPS), Sep.2010, pp.1–6,

参考文献[10]:H.Kihara,A.Yokoyama,K.M.Liyanage,and H. Sakuma,“Optimalplacement and control of BESS for a distribution system integrated with PVsystems,”J.Int.Council Elect.Eng., vol.1,no.3,pp.298–303,2011。Reference [10]: H.Kihara, A.Yokoyama, K.M.Liyanage, and H. Sakuma, "Optimalplacement and control of BESS for a distribution system integrated with PVsystems," J.Int.Council Elect.Eng., vol.1 , no. 3, pp. 298–303, 2011.

除了参考文献[4],这些研究是基于不代表可再生能源的随机性的确定性模型。除此之外,参考文献[4]中的模型没有适当的表现可再生能源的不确定性。此外,这些出版物都没有考虑到电力系统的不受管制结构。储能单元及其在不受管制市场环境中的应用在参考文献[11]-[17]中进行了调查。Except for reference [4], these studies are based on deterministic models that do not represent the stochastic nature of renewable energy. Besides, the model in Ref. [4] does not properly represent the uncertainty of renewable energy. Furthermore, none of these publications take into account the unregulated structure of the power system. Energy storage units and their application in unregulated market environments are investigated in Refs [11]–[17].

参考文献[11]:M.G.Hoffman,A.Sadovsky,M.C.Kintner-Meyer, andJ.G.DeSteese,Analysis Tools for Sizing and Placement of Energy Storage inGrid Applications,U.S.Department of Energy, Sep.2010Reference [11]: M.G.Hoffman, A.Sadovsky, M.C.Kintner-Meyer, and J.G.DeSteese, Analysis Tools for Sizing and Placement of Energy Storage in Grid Applications, U.S.Department of Energy, Sep.2010

参考文献[12]:R.Sioshansi,P.Denholm,T.Jenkin,and J. Weiss,“Estimatingthe value of electricity storage in PJM: Arbitrage and some welfare ef-fects,”Energy Econ.,vol.31,pp. 269–277,2009Reference [12]: R. Sioshansi, P. Denholm, T. Jenkin, and J. Weiss, "Estimating the value of electricity storage in PJM: Arbitrage and some welfare ef-fects," Energy Econ., vol.31, pp . 269–277, 2009

参考文献[13]:R.Walawalkar,J.Apt,and R.Mancini, “Economics of electricen-ergy storage for energy arbitrage and regulation in new york,”EnergyPolicy,vol.35,pp.2558–2568, Apr.2007Reference [13]: R.Walawalkar, J.Apt, and R.Mancini, “Economics of electricityn-energy storage for energy arbitrage and regulation in new york,” EnergyPolicy, vol.35, pp.2558–2568, Apr. 2007

参考文献[14]:F.C.Figueiredo,P.C.Flynn,and E.A.Cabral, “The economicsof energy storage in 14deregulated power markets,”Energy Studies Rev.,vol.14,pp.131–152,Oct.2006Reference [14]: F.C.Figueiredo, P.C.Flynn, and E.A.Cabral, “The economics of energy storage in 14 deregulated power markets,” Energy Studies Rev., vol.14, pp.131–152, Oct.2006

参考文献[15]:E.Drury,P.Delholm,and R.Sioshansi,“The value ofcompressed air energy storage in energy and reserve markets,”Energy,vol.36,pp.4959–4973,Aug.2011Reference [15]: E.Drury, P.Delholm, and R.Sioshansi, "The value of compressed air energy storage in energy and reserve markets," Energy, vol.36, pp.4959–4973, Aug.2011

参考文献[16]:EPRI-DOEHandbook of Energy Storage for Transmission&Distribu-tion Applications,EPRI,Palo Alto,CA,and U.S.Department of En-ergy,Washington,DC,1001834Reference [16]: EPRI-DOE Handbook of Energy Storage for Transmission&Distribution Applications, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA, and U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 1001834

参考文献[17]:J.M.Eyer,J.J.Iannucci,and G.P.Corey, Energy storagebenefits and market analysis handbook,A study for the DOE Energy StorageSyst.Program 2004Reference [17]: J.M.Eyer, J.J.Iannucci, and G.P.Corey, Energy storage benefits and market analysis handbook, A study for the DOE Energy StorageSyst.Program 2004

这些研究都假设调度储能设备不会影响市场价格。这种“价格接受者”分析不适用于批发电力市场中储能单元对市场清算价格有显著影响的大规模储能应用。此外,这些研究都没有探讨最优的储能位置和储能分配,由于会增加社会福利,需要综合随机优化框架来优化地将储能单元放置和调度在具有高风穿透的不受管制的电力系统内。These studies all assume that dispatching energy storage equipment does not affect market prices. This "price taker" analysis is not applicable to large-scale energy storage applications in wholesale electricity markets where storage units have a significant impact on market clearing prices. Furthermore, none of these studies explored optimal energy storage location and energy storage allocation, which would increase social welfare, requiring a comprehensive stochastic optimization framework to optimally place and dispatch energy storage units in unregulated areas with high wind penetration. within the power system.

因此希望有一种储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法能够解决现有技术中存在的问题。Therefore, it is desired to have a method for arranging energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems that can solve the problems existing in the prior art.

发明内容Contents of the invention

本发明公开了储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,所述布置方法建立基于市场的概率最优潮流,所述潮流具有储能集成和风力发电,包括以下步骤:The invention discloses an arrangement method of an energy storage unit in a high wind penetration power system. The arrangement method establishes a market-based probabilistic optimal power flow, and the power flow has energy storage integration and wind power generation, including the following steps:

步骤1:根据风力发电和负荷概率建模;Step 1: Modeling according to wind generation and load probabilities;

步骤2:利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移;Step 2: Time-shift the electric energy of renewable energy by using the energy storage system;

步骤3:压缩空气蓄能的经济特性;Step 3: Economic characteristics of compressed air energy storage;

步骤4:建立功率池模型,将单边拍卖市场纳入最优潮流;Step 4: Establish a power pool model and incorporate the unilateral auction market into the optimal trend;

步骤5:使用概率最优潮流,在潮流计算中考虑风电输出和可变负荷等不确定因素;Step 5: Use the probabilistic optimal power flow to consider uncertain factors such as wind power output and variable load in the power flow calculation;

步骤6:利用遗传算法进行优化,基于电力市场的概率最优潮流来确定不受管制的风力发电系统中储能单元的最优位置。Step 6: Optimizing using genetic algorithm to determine the optimal location of the energy storage unit in the unregulated wind power generation system based on the probabilistic optimal power flow of the electricity market.

优选地,所述步骤1具体包括:根据风速和负荷的历史数据,使用概率密度函数表征所述风力发电和负荷的不确定性,使用韦伯分布对风速进行统计建模,其概率密度函数为公式(1):Preferably, the step 1 specifically includes: according to the historical data of wind speed and load, using a probability density function to characterize the uncertainty of the wind power generation and load, and using Weibull distribution to statistically model the wind speed, the probability density function of which is the formula (1):

λ为韦伯分布的比例因子,k为韦伯分布的形状因子,v为风速;λ is the scale factor of Weibull distribution, k is the shape factor of Weibull distribution, v is the wind speed;

使用曲线拟合的方法,对历史每小时风速数据计算韦伯分布参数的最大似然估计,风力发电机的输出功率为公式(2)的风速函数:Using the method of curve fitting, the maximum likelihood estimation of the Weibull distribution parameters is calculated for the historical hourly wind speed data, and the output power of the wind turbine is the wind speed function of the formula (2):

Gw为风力输出功率,为风力额定功率,vi为切入风速,vo为切断风速,vr为额定风速; Gw is the wind output power, is the rated wind power, v i is the cut-in wind speed, v o is the cut-off wind speed, and v r is the rated wind speed;

使用高斯分布对荷载变化进行静态建模,高斯分布的概率密度函数为公式(3):Static modeling of load changes is performed using a Gaussian distribution, and the probability density function of the Gaussian distribution is Equation (3):

μLL为高斯分布的期望值和标准差负荷;μ L , σ L are the expected value and standard deviation load of Gaussian distribution;

采用曲线拟合的方法,对历史小时负荷数据计算高斯分布参数的最大似然估计。The method of curve fitting is used to calculate the maximum likelihood estimation of Gaussian distribution parameters for historical hourly load data.

优选地,所述步骤2利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移具体包括:当的非高峰时段,储能单元使用超过负荷或传输容量的风电充电,或传输容量限制风电的传输;当时,储存的能量在高峰负荷时段被释放;其中,为风力在t时刻的输出功率,Lt为t时刻的负荷需求。Preferably, the step 2 using the energy storage system to time-shift the electric energy of the renewable energy specifically includes: when During off-peak hours, the energy storage unit is charged with wind power exceeding the load or transmission capacity, or the transmission capacity limits the transmission of wind power; , the stored energy is released during peak load hours; where, is the output power of wind power at time t, and L t is the load demand at time t.

优选地,所述步骤3的压缩空气蓄能总成本为公式(10)中涡轮机、蓄水池和压缩机的总和,涡轮机即压缩空气蓄能的额定功率,蓄水池即压缩空气蓄能的额定能量,Preferably, the total cost of the compressed air energy storage in step 3 is the sum of the turbine, the storage tank and the compressor in the formula (10), the turbine is the rated power of the compressed air energy storage, and the water storage is the rated power of the compressed air energy storage rated energy,

CInv为压缩空气蓄能总的投资成本,CC,CP,CS为压缩空气蓄能的压缩机,动力,能源成本,Pmax为储能系统额定功率,为压缩机额定功率;C Inv is the total investment cost of compressed air energy storage, C C , C P , C S are the compressors, power and energy costs of compressed air energy storage, P max is the rated power of the energy storage system, is the rated power of the compressor;

压缩空气蓄能的运行成本为公式(11),包括燃料成本、固定运行成本和维护成本:The operating cost of compressed air energy storage is formula (11), including fuel cost, fixed operating cost and maintenance cost:

HR为压缩空气蓄能的涡轮机热耗率,为储能系统在t时刻的发电能力,CNG为压缩空气蓄能的天然气成本,COM为压缩空气蓄能的固定运行和维护成本;HR is the heat rate of the turbine for compressed air energy storage, is the power generation capacity of the energy storage system at time t, C NG is the natural gas cost of compressed air energy storage, and C OM is the fixed operation and maintenance cost of compressed air energy storage;

每年等价成本是公式(12):The annual equivalent cost is Equation (12):

优选地,所述步骤4的建立功率池模型中,每个市场参与者以边际成本的形式提交每小时的价格出价,出价被作为最优潮流的输入,确定供应和节点边际电价以最小化每小时社会成本,风电供应商和储能所有者之间的双边合同用于购买被削减的风电,每小时社会成本表示为发电出价的函数。采用增量成本法进行投标,基于电力市场最优潮流的目标函数为:Preferably, in the establishment of the power pool model in step 4, each market participant submits an hourly price bid in the form of marginal cost, and the bid is used as the input of the optimal power flow, and the supply and node marginal electricity price are determined to minimize each Hourly social cost, a bilateral contract between wind power suppliers and energy storage owners for the purchase of curtailed wind power, hourly social cost expressed as a function of generation bids. The incremental cost method is used for bidding, and the objective function based on the optimal power flow in the electricity market is:

为t时刻第i个发电机组的发电量,ai,bi为投标函数第i个发电机组的系数; is the generating capacity of the i-th generator set at time t, a i and b i are the coefficients of the i-th generator set in the bidding function;

利用电力系统的直流模型,功率平衡方程式为公式(14):Using the DC model of the power system, the power balance equation is Equation (14):

为t时刻母线i的需要; is the demand of bus i at time t;

功率损失被忽略了,电力生产的界限给出了不等式(15)Power losses are neglected, and the bounds on power production give the inequality (15)

发电机的斜坡上升和斜坡下降为公式(16)和(17):The ramp-up and ramp-down of the generator are formulas (16) and (17):

线路流量限制为公式(18)The line flow is limited by Equation (18)

Hl-i为有功功率流对母线i功率注入变化的灵敏度;H li is the sensitivity of active power flow to the change of power injection of bus i;

基于市场的最优潮流的拉格朗日函数为公式(19)The Lagrange function of market-based optimal power flow is formula (19)

在一个基于节点边际电价的电力市场中,在时刻t的母线节点边际电价为母线λi,t提供下一个需求增量的边际成本;In an electricity market based on node marginal electricity price, the node marginal electricity price of the bus at time t provides the marginal cost of the next demand increment for the bus λ i,t ;

基于Karush–Kuhn–Tucker最优条件,拉格朗日函数的一阶导数在每条母线产生节点边际电价为公式(20)和(21):Based on the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker optimal condition, the first derivative of the Lagrangian function The node marginal electricity price generated at each bus is formula (20) and (21):

在节点边际电价市场,负荷支付和发电机支付基于节点边际电价,在时刻t母线i的发电机收入为公式(22):In the node marginal electricity price market, the load payment and generator payment are based on the node marginal electricity price, and the generator income of bus i at time t is the formula (22):

优选地,所述步骤5通过点估计近似方法执行概率最优潮流。Preferably, step 5 implements the probabilistic optimal power flow through a point estimation approximation method.

本发明提出了一种储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,该方法基于市场的概率最优潮流(POPF),该潮流具有储能集成和风力发电。提出的方法将储能单元视为市场清算过程中的市场参与者,最优地放置和安排它们来最小化社会成本。The present invention proposes a method for the placement of energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems based on a market-based probabilistically optimal power flow (POPF) with energy storage integration and wind power generation. The proposed method considers energy storage units as market participants in the market clearing process, optimally placing and arranging them to minimize social costs.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1是增强的遗传算法基于电力市场的概率最优潮流流程图。Figure 1 is a flow chart of the enhanced genetic algorithm based on the probabilistic optimal power flow of the electricity market.

图2是有两个分布式储能系统的45%的风电渗透结果线型图。Figure 2 is a line graph of the 45% wind penetration results with two distributed energy storage systems.

图3是没有储能的母线14的每小时节点边际电价线型图。FIG. 3 is a line diagram of the hourly node marginal electricity price of the bus 14 without energy storage.

图4是两单元和45%风电渗透仿真结果线型图;Figure 4 is a line diagram of the simulation results of two units and 45% wind power penetration;

具体实施方式Detailed ways

为使本发明实施的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行更加详细的描述。在附图中,自始至终相同或类似的标号表示相同或类似的元件或具有相同或类似功能的元件。所描述的实施例是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。下面通过参考附图描述的实施例是示例性的,旨在用于解释本发明,而不能理解为对本发明的限制。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。In order to make the objectives, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be described in more detail below in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. In the drawings, the same or similar reference numerals denote the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions throughout. The described embodiments are some, but not all, embodiments of the invention. The embodiments described below by referring to the figures are exemplary and are intended to explain the present invention and should not be construed as limiting the present invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

本发明储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,所述布置方法建立基于市场的概率最优潮流,所述潮流具有储能集成和风力发电,包括以下步骤:The arrangement method of the energy storage unit in the high wind penetration power system of the present invention, the arrangement method establishes a market-based probabilistic optimal flow, and the flow has energy storage integration and wind power generation, including the following steps:

步骤1:根据风力发电和负荷概率建模;Step 1: Modeling according to wind generation and load probabilities;

使用概率密度函数(pdfs)表征风力发电和负荷的不确定性,其数据来自风速和负荷的历史数据。使用韦伯分布对风速进行统计建模,其概率密度函数为公式(1):Uncertainty in wind power generation and load is characterized using probability density functions (pdfs) derived from historical wind speed and load data. The wind speed is statistically modeled using the Weibull distribution, whose probability density function is Equation (1):

使用曲线拟合的方法,对历史每小时风速数据计算韦伯分布参数的最大似然估计。风力发电机的输出功率是风速的函数为公式(2):Maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of the Weibull distribution are calculated for historical hourly wind speed data using a curve-fitting method. The output power of the wind turbine is a function of wind speed as formula (2):

本文使用高斯分布对荷载变化进行静态建模,高斯分布的概率密度函数为公式(3):In this paper, the Gaussian distribution is used to statically model the load change, and the probability density function of the Gaussian distribution is formula (3):

采用曲线拟合的方法,对历史小时负荷数据计算高斯分布参数的最大似然估计。The method of curve fitting is used to calculate the maximum likelihood estimation of Gaussian distribution parameters for historical hourly load data.

步骤2:利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移;Step 2: Time-shift the electric energy of renewable energy by using the energy storage system;

储能单元使用超过负荷或传输容量的风电来充电,否则将被削减。这发生在(非高峰时段)或传输容量限制决定了风电的传输。储存的能量在一天中最有价值的高峰负荷时段被释放并且在输电网络中,对风力发电的能量时移转换的大规模和经济性储能要求使得压缩空气蓄能(CAES)和抽水蓄能(PHES)成为一种有前景的能源套利服务技术。然而,后者的地理限制使得压缩空气蓄能成为本文所使用的可行技术。储能系统中的瞬时能量平衡是:The energy storage unit is charged with wind power that exceeds load or transmission capacity and would otherwise be curtailed. this happens in (off-peak hours) or transmission capacity constraints determine the transmission of wind power. Stored energy is released during the most valuable peak load hours of the day and In transmission networks, large-scale and economical energy storage requirements for time-shifted conversion of wind-generated energy make compressed air energy storage (CAES) and pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) a promising technology for energy arbitrage services. However, the latter geographic constraints make CAES a viable technology as used in this paper. The instantaneous energy balance in an energy storage system is:

a)对于充电公式(4):a) For charging formula (4):

b)对于放电公式(5):b) For discharge formula (5):

对于最小储能容量Smin和最大储能容量Smax在时刻t的储能满足公式 (6):For the minimum energy storage capacity S min and the maximum energy storage capacity S max at time t, the energy storage satisfies formula (6):

假设最大充放电率相同(Pmax),储能系统每小时的功率必须满足以下不等式公式(7):Assuming the same maximum charge and discharge rate (P max ), the hourly power of the energy storage system must satisfy the following inequality formula (7):

与所有发电机类似,涡轮机的自己的斜坡上升和斜坡下降约束条件由下式给出公式(8)和(9):Similar to all generators, the turbine's own ramp-up and ramp-down constraints are given by equations (8) and (9):

循环生命周期和这种储能技术的日历生命周期相同都是等于30年。The cycle life cycle and the calendar life cycle of this energy storage technology are equal to 30 years.

步骤3:压缩空气蓄能的经济特性;Step 3: Economic characteristics of compressed air energy storage;

压缩空气蓄能的总成本是涡轮机(压缩空气蓄能的额定功率),蓄水池 (压缩空气蓄能的额定能量)和压缩机的总和为公式(10):The total cost of CAES is the sum of turbine (rated power of CAES), reservoir (rated energy of CAES) and compressor as Equation (10):

Cs为53$/kWh。假设压缩空气蓄能和压缩机具有相同的额定功率,功率和压缩机的成本为425$/kW。压缩空气蓄能的运行成本包括燃料(天然气) 成本,固定运行成本和维护(O&M)成本为公式(11):C s is 53$/kWh. Assuming the CAES and compressor have the same rated power, the cost of power and compressor is 425$/kW. The operating cost of CAES includes fuel (natural gas) cost, fixed operating cost and maintenance (O&M) cost as Equation (11):

HR,CNG和COM分别是4300Btu/kWh,5$/Mbtu和2.5$/kW-年。所有初始投资支出必须转换为一系列统一的年度成本。HR, C NG and C OM are 4300Btu/kWh, 5$/Mbtu and 2.5$/kW-year respectively. All initial investment expenditures must be converted into a uniform series of annual costs.

每年等价成本为公式(12):The annual equivalent cost is formula (12):

d和N分别是10%和30年。d and N are 10% and 30 years, respectively.

步骤4:建立功率池模型,将单边拍卖市场纳入最优潮流;Step 4: Establish a power pool model and incorporate the unilateral auction market into the optimal trend;

在功率池模型中,每个市场参与者以边际成本的形式提交每小时的价格出价。出价被作为最优潮流的输入,最佳地确定供应和节点边际电价(LMP) 以最小化每小时社会成本(HSC)。风电供应商和储能所有者之间的双边合同用于购买被削减的风电。每小时社会成本可以表示为发电出价的函数。采用增量成本法进行投标,基于电力市场最优潮流的目标函数为公式(13):In the power pool model, each market participant submits an hourly price bid in the form of marginal cost. Bids are taken as input for optimal power flow, which optimally determines supply and node marginal price (LMP) to minimize hourly social cost (HSC). Bilateral contracts between wind suppliers and storage owners are used to purchase curtailed wind power. The hourly social cost can be expressed as a function of the electricity generation bid. The incremental cost method is used for bidding, and the objective function based on the optimal power flow in the electricity market is formula (13):

在单边市场中,每小时社会成本以发电成本的形式存在。独立系统运营商(ISO)在满足以下等式和不等式约束的同时,执行这一市场清算过程。利用电力系统的直流模型,功率平衡方程式为公式(14):In a one-sided market, hourly social costs exist in the form of generation costs. Independent system operators (ISOs) perform this market clearing process while satisfying the following equation and inequality constraints. Using the DC model of the power system, the power balance equation is Equation (14):

功率损失被忽略了,电力生产的界限给出了不等式公式(15):Power losses are neglected, and the bounds on power production are given by the inequality equation (15):

经济方面的考虑因素决定了下限发电量,而发电机的物理约束则限制上限发电量。发电机的斜坡上升和斜坡下降为公式(16)和(17):Economic considerations determine the lower limit, while the physical constraints of the generator limit the upper limit. The ramp-up and ramp-down of the generator are formulas (16) and (17):

线路流量限制为公式(18):The line flow is limited by Equation (18):

这个极限由传输线的热容量决定的。方程的左边表示通过传输线l的有功功率。Hl-i是有功功率流对母线i功率注入变化的灵敏度。基于市场的最优潮流的拉格朗日函数为公式(19):This limit is determined by the heat capacity of the transmission line. The left side of the equation represents the active power passing through the transmission line l. H li is the sensitivity of active power flow to changes in the power injection of bus i. The Lagrangian function of market-based optimal power flow is formula (19):

在一个基于节点边际电价的电力市场中,在时刻t的母线节点边际电价为母线λi,t提供下一个需求增量的边际成本。基于Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT)最优条件,拉格朗日函数的一阶导数将在每条母线产生节点边际电价为公式(20)和(21):In an electricity market based on node marginal price, the bus node marginal price at time t provides the marginal cost of the next demand increment for bus λi ,t . Based on the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) optimal condition, the first derivative of the Lagrange function The nodal marginal electricity price will be generated at each bus as formulas (20) and (21):

在节点边际电价市场,负荷支付和发电机支付基于节点边际电价。在时刻t母线i的发电机收入为公式(22):In the node marginal price market, the load payment and the generator payment are based on the node marginal price. The generator income of bus i at time t is formula (22):

在发电模式运行期间,储能系统销售能源所获得的收入使用公式(22) 计算;During the operation of the power generation mode, the income obtained by the energy storage system from the sale of energy is calculated using formula (22);

步骤5:使用概率最优潮流,在潮流计算中考虑风电输出和可变负荷等不确定因素;Step 5: Use the probabilistic optimal power flow to consider uncertain factors such as wind power output and variable load in the power flow calculation;

通过使用概率最优潮流,可以在潮流计算中考虑风电输出和可变负荷等不确定因素。提出的几种方法来执行概率最优潮流问题中的概率分析。这些方法被分类为仿真,分析和近似方法,蒙特.卡罗仿真(MCS)是一种简单而准确的方法,它使用概率量的历史数据来找到它们的概率密度函数.选择这些概率密度函数中的随机值并用于量化不确定性。大量的计算工作是有效使用这种方法的主要障碍。概率最优潮流分析方法的主要缺点是其复杂的数学计算。已经提出几种近似的方法来分别减少与蒙特.卡罗仿真和分析方法相关的计算负担和数学计算。点估计(PE)是一种常用的近似方法,具有精度高、计算简单、速度快等优点。两点估计(2PE)是点估计的一种变形,用来对不确定性进行建模。与蒙特.卡罗仿真相比,该方法在概率最优潮流问题的应用中表现出高精度水平,同时显着降低了计算负担。输入随机变量和输出随机变量的矢量和相应的非线性函数分别为公式(23)、(24)和(25):By using probabilistic optimal power flow, uncertain factors such as wind power output and variable load can be considered in the power flow calculation. Several methods are proposed to perform probabilistic analysis in probabilistic optimal power flow problems. These methods are categorized as simulation, analysis and approximation methods. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is a simple and accurate method that uses historical data of probability quantities to find their probability density functions. Among these probability density functions are selected Random values of and used to quantify uncertainty. The large amount of computational effort is a major obstacle to the effective use of this method. The main disadvantage of the probabilistic optimal power flow analysis method is its complex mathematical calculations. Several approximate methods have been proposed to reduce the computational burden and mathematical calculations associated with Monte Carlo simulation and analytical methods, respectively. Point Estimation (PE) is a commonly used approximation method, which has the advantages of high precision, simple calculation, and fast speed. Two-point estimation (2PE) is a variant of point estimation to model uncertainty. Compared to Monte Carlo simulations, the method exhibits a level of high accuracy in the application of probabilistic optimal power flow problems, while significantly reducing the computational burden. The vectors of input random variables and output random variables and the corresponding nonlinear functions are formulas (23), (24) and (25), respectively:

X=[Wind Speed,Loads] (23)X=[Wind Speed, Loads] (23)

Y=[HSC] (24)Y=[HSC] (24)

Y=h(X) (25)Y=h(X) (25)

h是一个函数用于控制以市场为基础的概率最优潮流,其中包括整合和风力发电中的储能。通过匹配其前三个时刻两个浓度被用来代替Xk和h(Xk)的函数关系被用于生成Y的两个变量估计值(Yk,iPk,1和Pk,2缩放估算值以计算输出的期望值和标准差。h is a function used to control market-based probabilistic optimal power flow, which includes integration and storage in wind power generation. Two concentrations by matching their previous three moments is used instead of The functional relationship between X k and h(X k ) is used to generate two variable estimates of Y (Y k,i = P k,1 and P k,2 scale the estimates to compute the expected value and standard deviation of the output.

该方法采用基于单元分解的直流最优潮流对每小时发电进行调度。单元分解程序提供了一种机制,可以关闭运行成本高的发电机,并找到成本最低的承诺和调度。这导致系统在调度周期内的经济运行。所提出的方法将能量存储结合到基于市场的OPF模型中,以使来自风力的电能时移。所提出的方法将能量存储纳入到基于市场的最优潮流模型中,以使来自风力的电能时移。为此,储能被视为可变负荷或可变发电机。当风电比负荷高(非高峰时期)或超过传输容量限制时,储能作为一种可变负荷储存多余的风能,否则将被削减。这种交易是通过风电供应商和存储所有者之间的双边合同来完成的。然后,在一天的高峰时段,这种储能作为一个可变的发电机,在储存的能量最有价值的时候出售。针对调度周期提出的概率最优潮流算法概述如以下步骤:The method uses DC optimal power flow based on unit decomposition to schedule hourly generation. The unit resolver provides a mechanism to shut down generators that are expensive to run and find the least costly commitments and schedules. This results in economical operation of the system within the dispatch cycle. The proposed method incorporates energy storage into a market-based OPF model to time-shift electricity from wind. The proposed method incorporates energy storage into a market-based optimal power flow model to time-shift electricity from wind. For this purpose, energy storage is considered as a variable load or variable generator. When the specific load of wind power is high (off-peak period) or exceeds the transmission capacity limit, energy storage acts as a variable load to store excess wind energy, otherwise it will be curtailed. This transaction is done through a bilateral contract between the wind supplier and the storage owner. Then, during peak hours of the day, this energy storage acts as a variable generator, selling when the stored energy is most valuable. The probabilistic optimal power flow algorithm proposed for the scheduling period is summarized as follows:

1.加载输入数据(风速和负荷)。1. Load the input data (wind speed and load).

2.令t=1。2. Let t=1.

3.为每个概率变量分配适当的概率密度函数。3. Assign an appropriate probability density function to each probability variable.

4.令E(Y)=E(Y2)=0。4. Let E(Y)=E(Y 2 )=0.

5.令k=1。5. Let k=1.

6.确定2PEM的必要参数为公式(26a)、(26b)和(26c):6. The necessary parameters to determine 2PEM are formulas (26a), (26b) and (26c):

n表示概率变量的数量。n represents the number of probability variables.

7.使用输入向量X设置浓度为公式(27):7. Set the concentration using the input vector X as formula (27):

注意,由步骤2给出的变换用于从风速中获得风力。Note that the transformation given by step 2 is used to obtain wind force from wind speed.

8.计算注意在每次迭代中被xk,i(i= 1,2)代替。8. Calculate Note that in each iteration is replaced by x k,i (i=1,2).

9.如果GW-L>0或风电超过传输容量,储能装置通过双边合同购买多余的风能,并在以下约束条件下作为可变负荷:9. If GW- L >0 or the wind power exceeds the transmission capacity, the energy storage device purchases the excess wind power through a bilateral contract and acts as a variable load under the following constraints:

否则,储能单元作为发电机有以下约束:Otherwise, the energy storage unit as a generator has the following constraints:

10.运行基于确定性市场的最优潮流,将储能系统作为可变负荷或发电机使用Z10. Run the optimal power flow based on the deterministic market, and use the energy storage system as a variable load or generator Z

用步骤4-5计算充电状态Calculate state of charge with steps 4-5

12.计算每小时社会成本12. Calculate hourly social cost

13.更新均值E(Y)和均方E(Y)2为公式(28a)和(28b)13. Update mean E(Y) and mean square E(Y) 2 to formulas (28a) and (28b)

14.令k=k+1,并对所有输入变量重复步骤6-1314. Let k=k+1 and repeat steps 6-13 for all input variables

15.计算期望值和标准差为公式(29a)和(29b):15. Calculate the expected value and standard deviation as formulas (29a) and (29b):

μY=E(Y) (29a)μ Y = E(Y) (29a)

16.令t=t+1,并重复步骤3-15直至t>T。16. Let t=t+1, and repeat steps 3-15 until t>T.

上述概率最优潮流算法在满足调度周期内每小时约束的情况下,使系统社会成本最小化。The above probabilistic optimal power flow algorithm minimizes the social cost of the system under the condition of satisfying the hourly constraints in the scheduling period.

步骤6:利用遗传算法进行优化,基于电力市场的概率最优潮流来确定不受管制的风力发电系统中储能单元的最优位置;Step 6: Optimizing using genetic algorithm to determine the optimal location of the energy storage unit in the unregulated wind power generation system based on the probabilistic optimal power flow of the electricity market;

利用遗传算法(GAS)进行优化是一个强有力的工具,它可以在一个不受管制的高风渗透电力系统中获得最佳的储能位置。通常,从可行解空间中随机选择一组初始解(初始总体),用于启动遗传算法。对每个解决方案评估适应度函数,然后对解决方案进行排序。种群通过繁殖、交叉、变异等多种操作进行进化,优化适应度函数,得到最终的最优解。重复此过程,直到满足终止标准。这种进化算法优于经典优化方法,因为它可以处理储能放置的非线性,非凸和混合整数优化问题。该问题的非凸性使得经典优化方法难以获得全局最优解。遗传算法,在另一方面,全局搜索可能解的域以获得最优解。与传统的优化方法相比,遗传算法需要更少的变量。然而,如果不仔细执行,遗传算法可能收敛到局部最小值。Optimization using a genetic algorithm (GAS) is a powerful tool for obtaining optimal energy storage locations in an unregulated high wind penetration power system. Usually, a set of initial solutions (initial population) are randomly selected from the feasible solution space for starting the genetic algorithm. Evaluate the fitness function for each solution, then rank the solutions. The population evolves through multiple operations such as reproduction, crossover, and mutation, and the fitness function is optimized to obtain the final optimal solution. This process is repeated until the termination criteria are met. This evolutionary algorithm outperforms classical optimization methods because it can handle nonlinear, non-convex and mixed integer optimization problems for energy storage placement. The non-convexity of this problem makes it difficult for classical optimization methods to obtain a global optimal solution. Genetic algorithms, on the other hand, globally search the domain of possible solutions to obtain an optimal solution. Genetic algorithms require fewer variables than traditional optimization methods. However, genetic algorithms may converge to local minima if not executed carefully.

一些实施策略避免收敛到局部最小值。较大的总体规模会增加收敛到全局最小值的概率,但这将显著增加计算负担。每代保留两个优质个体来确保保留理想的解决方案。杂交后代和突变后代之间的良好平衡是通过将杂交分数保持在78%左右来实现的。为了满足约束条件,对违反约束条件的解分配了较大的惩罚因子。遗传算法的参量在附录的表4中给出:Some implementation strategies avoid converging to local minima. A larger population size increases the probability of converging to the global minimum, but this will significantly increase the computational burden. Keep two high-quality individuals per generation to ensure retention of the ideal solution. A good balance between hybrid and mutant offspring was achieved by keeping the hybrid fraction around 78%. In order to satisfy the constraint, a larger penalty factor is assigned to the solution that violates the constraint. The parameters of the genetic algorithm are given in Table 4 of the appendix:

表4:遗传算法参量Table 4: Genetic Algorithm Parameters

本发明采用一种增强的遗传算法基于电力市场的概率最优潮流来确定不受管制的风力发电系统中储能单元的最优位置。该方案最小化了系统的每小时社会成本,并在调度期间最大化了电力池市场中的风电利用率。压缩空气蓄能必须具有足够的储能容量来存储超过负荷的风能,同时满足传输约束。然后基于优化结果计算存储容量。所提出的优化方法的适应度函数为:The present invention uses an enhanced genetic algorithm to determine the optimal location of energy storage units in an unregulated wind power generation system based on the probabilistic optimal power flow of the electricity market. This scheme minimizes the hourly social cost of the system and maximizes the utilization of wind power in the power pool market during dispatch. CAES must have sufficient energy storage capacity to store excess wind energy while satisfying transmission constraints. Storage capacity is then calculated based on the optimization results. The fitness function of the proposed optimization method is:

如图1所示为该方法的流程图,初始化决策变量的第一个种群,以优化储能系统的位置,并使调度期间的风能利用率最大化。利用基于市场的概率最优潮流,基于储能系统的最优位置计算系统每小时的最小社会成本。对所有个体进行评估的适应度函数由公式(30)给出。接下来,检查约束是否违反。违反的约束被分配一个大的惩罚因子(v),并结合适应度函数f为公式 (31):The flowchart of the method is shown in Fig. 1, where the first population of decision variables is initialized to optimize the location of the energy storage system and maximize the utilization of wind energy during dispatch. Using the market-based probabilistic optimal power flow, the minimum social cost of the system per hour is calculated based on the optimal location of the energy storage system. The fitness function evaluated for all individuals is given by Equation (30). Next, check for constraint violations. Violated constraints are assigned a large penalty factor (v), combined with a fitness function f as formula (31):

f′(x,u)=f(x,u)+v[h(x,u)]2 (31)f'(x,u)=f(x,u)+v[h(x,u)] 2 (31)

这使得不可行的解决方案比具有相同目标值的可行方案的成本更高。通过对染色体进行交叉和突变操作,产生后代群体,然后通过选择和繁殖产生下一代。这个进化算法重复执行,直到满足终止准则。最终,选择最佳染色体作为优化问题的最优解决方案。在调度期间最大化风能利用率确保储能单元被最佳地放置以最大化系统的社会福利。This makes an infeasible solution more expensive than a feasible solution with the same objective value. Through crossover and mutation operations on chromosomes, offspring populations are generated, and then the next generation is produced through selection and reproduction. This evolutionary algorithm is executed repeatedly until a termination criterion is met. Ultimately, the best chromosome is selected as the optimal solution to the optimization problem. Maximizing wind energy utilization during dispatch ensures that energy storage units are placed optimally to maximize the social welfare of the system.

本发明所提出的概率最优潮流,在两种不同风渗透水平的情况下,对 IEEE24总线系统内的储能单元进行优化放置,并评估其仿真结果。压缩空气蓄能的经济效益也通过比较相关成本和套利收入进行评估。成本是24小时调度期间的等价投资成本和运营成本之和。套利收益是指储能系统出售能源所获得的收益与通过双边合同购买过剩风能所支付的成本之间的差额。风渗透量定义为安装的风力发电容量与系统峰值负荷的比率。对于这两种情况,主要能源是安装在母线14上的风电场。首先,所有发电机组在调度期间的每小时都被提交。如果需要,储能系统的放置应使具有最低边际成本功能的发电机在24小时内进行调度。这最小化系统的每小时社会成本,同时最大化调度期间的风能利用率。发电机组的投标函数系数在附录中给出(表5)。风速和负荷来自于BPA权威机构和Mesonet的历史小时数据。The probabilistic optimal power flow proposed by the present invention optimizes the placement of energy storage units in the IEEE24 bus system under two different wind penetration levels, and evaluates the simulation results. The economics of CAES are also assessed by comparing the associated costs and arbitrage income. The cost is the sum of equivalent investment and operating costs during a 24-hour dispatch period. The arbitrage yield is the difference between what the energy storage system earns from selling energy and the cost it pays to buy excess wind energy through bilateral contracts. Wind infiltration is defined as the ratio of installed wind capacity to system peak load. For both cases, the primary energy source is a wind farm installed on the busbar 14 . First, all gensets are committed every hour during the scheduling period. Storage systems should be placed such that the generator with the lowest marginal cost function can be dispatched within 24 hours, if required. This minimizes the hourly social cost of the system while maximizing wind energy utilization during dispatch. The bidding function coefficients for generating units are given in the appendix (Table 5). Wind speeds and loads are from historical hourly data from BPA authorities and Mesonet.

表5:发电机数据Table 5: Generator Data

A.方案Ⅰ:无限容量的分布式储能A. Scheme Ⅰ: Distributed energy storage with unlimited capacity

此方案评估了风电渗透(WP)水平及其对储能单元的最优布局的潜在影响以及IEEE 24总线系统中基于市场的能源套利机会。所有市场参与者都根据历史数据在日前能源市场进行竞价。寻找风力和储能的最优投标策略超出了本文的范围。假设风电业主的出价使得风力发电成为市场上的主要能源。可用的生产税抵免使这一假设合理。This scenario evaluates wind power penetration (WP) levels and their potential impact on optimal placement of energy storage units and market-based energy arbitrage opportunities in IEEE 24 bus systems. All market participants bid in the day-ahead energy market based on historical data. Finding optimal bidding strategies for wind and energy storage is beyond the scope of this paper. Assume that wind power owners bid to make wind power the dominant source of energy in the market. Available production tax credits make this assumption reasonable.

针对这种情况,研究了几种风力渗透水平。首先,使用没有储能的基于市场的概率最优潮流来计算24小时调度期间的风能利用率。其次,储能单元的放置使用增强的遗传算法基于市场的概率最优潮流来最大化风电利用率。For this scenario, several levels of wind infiltration were investigated. First, a market-based probabilistic optimal power flow without energy storage is used to calculate wind energy utilization during a 24-hour dispatch period. Second, the placement of energy storage units uses an enhanced genetic algorithm based on a market-based probabilistic optimal power flow to maximize wind power utilization.

表1:储能系统最优放置的仿真结果(方案Ⅰ)Table 1: Simulation results of optimal placement of energy storage system (Scheme Ⅰ)

仿真结果总结在表1,图2,图3中。所有数据都提供了24小时调度期间中每个小时的期望值。结果表明,在风电渗透水平较低的情况下,24小时内风电负荷低于系统负荷时,几乎所有产生的风电都被利用,不需要存储。这是在风电渗透水平为20%的情况下,96.11%的风电被利用。在母线4上安装一个容量为100.1mwh、额定功率为99.82mw的储能系统,可以将风能利用率略微提高到97.37%。在非高峰时段,将风电渗透水平提高到25%会使风力发电量高于系统负荷。将一个容量为396.65mwh、额定功率为260.1mw 的存储系统最优地放置在母线4上,会使风电利用率从90.37%(没有储能单元)增加到97.37%(有储能单元)。超过25%的风电渗透水平,产生的风电可能超过连接到风电母线(母线14)的输电容量限制。虽然一个适当大小和位置的储能系统可以储存多余的能量,但是将储能系统放置在任何总线而不是风力总线上将会违反输电线路的约束,或者需要减少风力的产生。这对于30%-45%的风电渗透来说是显而易见的,正如人们直观地预测的那样,储能单元的最优位置在母线14。比较不同风电渗透水平下的仿真结果发现,仅凭套利收益并不能证明低风电渗透水平下压缩空气蓄能的总成本是合理的(20%和25%)。然而,如果将其他与储能相关的好处或信贷包括进来,比如可再生能源产能的加强和生产税收抵免,那么成本可能是合理的。套利收入证明了更高风电渗透水平的压缩空气蓄能成本是合理的(30%–45%).然而,连接到风力总线的线路的物理限制将45%风电渗透的风力利用率期望值降低到92.61%,这比较低风电渗透水平的97.37%风力利用率效率更低。The simulation results are summarized in Table 1, Figure 2, and Figure 3. All data provides expected values for each hour of the 24-hour scheduling period. The results show that at a low level of wind power penetration, when the wind power load is lower than the system load within 24 hours, almost all the wind power generated is utilized and does not need to be stored. This is at a wind power penetration level of 20%, 96.11% of wind power is utilized. Installing an energy storage system with a capacity of 100.1mwh and a rated power of 99.82mw on busbar 4 can slightly increase the utilization rate of wind energy to 97.37%. During off-peak hours, increasing wind penetration levels to 25% would allow wind generation to be higher than system load. Optimally placing a storage system with a capacity of 396.65mwh and a rated power of 260.1mw on bus 4 will increase the utilization rate of wind power from 90.37% (without energy storage unit) to 97.37% (with energy storage unit). Above a wind penetration level of 25%, the wind power generated may exceed the transmission capacity limit connected to the wind power busbar (busbar 14). While a properly sized and located energy storage system can store excess energy, placing the energy storage system on any bus other than the wind bus would violate transmission line constraints or require reduced wind generation. This is evident for a wind penetration of 30%-45%, as one would intuitively predict, the optimal location of the energy storage unit is at busbar 14. Comparing simulation results at different wind penetration levels reveals that arbitrage benefits alone do not justify the total cost of CAES at low wind penetration levels (20% and 25%). However, the cost may be justified if other storage-related benefits or credits are included, such as enhanced renewable energy capacity and production tax credits. Arbitrage income justifies the cost of CAES for higher wind penetration levels (30%–45%). However, the physical constraints of the lines connected to the wind bus reduce the wind utilization expectation for 45% wind penetration to 92.61 %, which is less efficient than the 97.37% wind utilization rate for low wind penetration levels.

表2:分布式储能系统的最优放置的仿真结果(方案Ⅰ-45%风电渗透)Table 2: Simulation results of optimal placement of distributed energy storage systems (Scheme I - 45% wind power penetration)

45%的风电渗透仿真结果在图2中。当风能超过系统负荷或连接到风力总线的线路的传输容量时,储能系统在一天的早些时候充电。这种能源可以通过风力发电场和储能业主之间的双边合同购买。风电是满足电力需求的主要能源,总线14上的储能可作为可变负荷。在这一时期,没有任何一家传统发电公司承诺向市场提供风力发电的补充。在中午负荷超过风力发电的高峰时段,储能单元作为发电机在市场上竞价,释放储存的能量补充风力发电,同时保持输电约束。当风力发电和储能不足以供应负荷时,常规发电被调度以满足需求。当风点大于系统负荷时,储能单元在15到17小时之间再次充电。当负荷超过风力发电时,储存的能量在一天的晚些时候被释放以补充风力发电。然而,储能不是完全释放,还需要传统的发电来满足负载。这是由于夜间风速大提高了风力发电量,使之超过了与风力总线相连的输电线的物理限制。超过这个约束时风能就被储存在母线14,在此期间没有能量释放。图3展示了没有储能的母线14的每小时节点边际电价。通过提高非高峰电价和降低峰值电价,优化风力总线的集中储能单元布局,使节点边际电价水平下降。The simulation results for 45% wind power penetration are shown in Fig. 2. The energy storage system is charged earlier in the day when wind energy exceeds the system load or the transmission capacity of the lines connected to the wind bus. This energy can be purchased through bilateral contracts between wind farm and energy storage owners. Wind power is the main energy source to meet the electricity demand, and the energy storage on the bus 14 can be used as a variable load. During this period, no traditional power generation company has committed to supplying wind power supplements to the market. During peak hours at noon when the load exceeds wind power generation, the energy storage unit bids in the market as a generator, releasing stored energy to supplement wind power generation while maintaining transmission constraints. When wind power and energy storage are insufficient to supply the load, conventional generation is dispatched to meet demand. When the wind point is greater than the system load, the energy storage unit is recharged between 15 and 17 hours. When loads exceed wind power generation, the stored energy is released later in the day to supplement wind power generation. However, energy storage is not fully released, and traditional power generation is still required to meet the load. This is due to the high wind speeds at night that increase wind power production beyond the physical limits of the transmission lines connected to the wind bus. Wind energy is stored in bus 14 when this constraint is exceeded, during which time no energy is released. Figure 3 shows the hourly node marginal price for a bus 14 without energy storage. By increasing the off-peak electricity price and reducing the peak electricity price, the layout of the centralized energy storage unit of the wind bus is optimized to reduce the level of node marginal electricity price.

45%的高风电渗透水平的仿真结果表明连接到风力总线的线路传输约束如何限制风电集成。输电扩展是一种有效但昂贵的选择,可通过高效利用现有输电容量来避免。然而,由于传输的限制,集中储能不能满足许多网络的这一目标。图2展示出有两个分布式储能系统的45%的风电渗透的结果:一个两单元和一个三单元系统。对集中储能的结果进行重复比较。分布式储能可以更高效地利用传输容量,将渗透率更高的风电集成起来。将净收益定义为套利收益与成本之间的差额,集中式存储的净收益为(公式),两单元系统第一个储能和第二个储能的净收益分别为(公式)(公式)。因此,净收入随着单元数量的增加而增加,即这种分布式存储系统增加了套利收入。Simulation results for a high wind penetration level of 45% show how transmission constraints on lines connected to the wind bus limit wind integration. Transmission extension is an effective but expensive option that can be avoided by efficient use of existing transmission capacity. However, centralized energy storage cannot meet this goal for many networks due to transmission constraints. Figure 2 shows the results for a 45% wind penetration with two distributed energy storage systems: a two-unit and a three-unit system. The results for centralized energy storage were repeated for comparison. Distributed energy storage can use transmission capacity more efficiently and integrate wind power with higher penetration. Defining the net income as the difference between the arbitrage income and the cost, the net income of centralized storage is (formula), and the net income of the first energy storage and the second energy storage of the two-unit system are respectively (formula) (formula) . Therefore, the net income increases with the number of units, i.e. this distributed storage system increases the arbitrage income.

图4展示了两单元和45%风电渗透仿真结果。概率最优潮流将储能系统放置在母线14和10.在非高峰时段,当风电超过需求时,额外的能量被分配到存储系统中,以最大限度地提高存储,同时满足连接到风力总线的线路的物理约束。与集中式存储系统相比,这更有效地利用了传输线。很明显,在一天的最后几个小时,储存的能量几乎全部释放出来,以补充风力发电。在45%风电渗透情况下,在IEEE 24总线系统中进行分布式储能,将集中式储能的风能利用率从92.61%提高到两单元和三单元储能的97.31%。然而,没有使用三单元储能系统中的第三个单元。因此,分布式两单元储能系统为 45%风电渗透的高效风电集成提供了最优解决方案。两单元系统的压缩空气蓄能总成本是由套利市场收益决定的。Figure 4 shows the simulation results for two units and 45% wind power penetration. Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow places energy storage systems on buses 14 and 10. During off-peak hours, when wind power exceeds demand, additional energy is allocated to storage systems to maximize storage while meeting the demand for connections to the wind bus. The physical constraints of the line. This makes more efficient use of transmission lines than centralized storage systems. Apparently, in the last few hours of the day, almost all of the stored energy is released to supplement wind power generation. In the case of 45% wind power penetration, distributed energy storage in the IEEE 24 bus system increases the wind energy utilization rate of centralized energy storage from 92.61% to 97.31% for two-unit and three-unit energy storage. However, the third unit in the three-unit energy storage system was not used. Therefore, the distributed two-unit energy storage system provides an optimal solution for efficient wind power integration with 45% wind power penetration. The total cost of compressed air energy storage for a two-cell system is determined by arbitrage market returns.

表3:分布式储能系统最优放置的仿真结果(方案Ⅱ-45%风电渗透)Table 3: Simulation results of optimal placement of distributed energy storage system (Scheme II-45% wind power penetration)

B.方案Ⅱ:有限容量的分布式储能B. Scheme Ⅱ: Distributed energy storage with limited capacity

此场景考虑在IEEE 24总线系统中,受可用能源和电力容量的地理和物理限制,能量存储的最佳位置。为简单起见,母线分为两类,压缩空气蓄能容量分别为400MW(1200MWh)和300MW(1000MWh)。母线1,2,3,4, 10,11,12,13,14,19,21,和23属于第一类,第二组包含剩余的总线。表3 展示了这种方案的仿真结果。分布式两单元储能系统是风电与45%风电渗透高效集成的最优方案。来自风力发电的能源时间转移收入证明了这个解决方案的合理性。This scenario considers the optimal location of energy storage within an IEEE 24 bus system, subject to geographic and physical constraints of available energy and power capacity. For simplicity, the busbars are divided into two categories, with compressed air energy storage capacities of 400MW (1200MWh) and 300MW (1000MWh), respectively. Buses 1, 2, 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 19, 21, and 23 belong to the first group, and the second group contains the remaining buses. Table 3 shows the simulation results of this scheme. The distributed two-unit energy storage system is the optimal solution for the efficient integration of wind power and 45% wind power penetration. Energy time shift revenues from wind power justify this solution.

本发明研究了在不受管制的电力系统中储能单元的最优位置,以最小化每小时的社会成本。利用历史数据和曲线拟合,对风和负荷进行了随机建模。一种增强的遗传算法基于市场的概率最优潮流,具有储能集成和风力发电,最大限度地提高了风电在调度期间的利用率。开发了能量套利模型来评估压缩空气蓄能的经济性。对IEEE 24总线系统的仿真结果表明,共混风电和储能风电的优点在于能够高效集成具有更高渗透水平的风电。最优的储能分配使得风电集成化的输电能力得到有效利用,同时满足连接到风电母线的线路的输电约束。这消除了昂贵的传输扩展的需要。针对不同的储能分布情况,计算储能单元的最优位置,选择最高效集成风电和高渗透水平的解决方案。仿真结果还表明,在低风电渗透水平下,仅凭套利收益无法证明压缩空气蓄能的总成本是合理的。然而,如果包括一些与存储相关的其他好处或信贷,比如可再生能源产能的加强和生产税收抵免,成本可能是合理的。对于较高的风电渗透水平,集中式和分布式储能系统都可以通过可再生能源时移市场的收入实现经济可行性。案例研究表明,分布式存储系统增加了净套利收入The present invention studies the optimal location of energy storage units in an unregulated power system to minimize the hourly social cost. Wind and loads were stochastically modeled using historical data and curve fitting. An enhanced genetic algorithm for market-based probabilistic optimal power flow with energy storage integration and wind generation maximizes the utilization of wind power during dispatch. An energy arbitrage model was developed to assess the economics of compressed air energy storage. The simulation results of the IEEE 24 bus system show that the advantage of hybrid wind power and energy storage wind power lies in the efficient integration of wind power with a higher penetration level. Optimal energy storage allocation enables efficient utilization of the transmission capacity of the wind power integration while satisfying the transmission constraints of the lines connected to the wind power bus. This eliminates the need for costly transport extensions. According to different energy storage distribution conditions, calculate the optimal location of energy storage units, and choose the most efficient integrated wind power and high penetration level solution. The simulation results also show that at low wind penetration levels, the total cost of CAES cannot be justified by the arbitrage benefits alone. However, the cost may be justified if some other storage-related benefits or credits are included, such as enhanced renewable energy capacity and production tax credits. For higher wind penetration levels, both centralized and distributed energy storage systems can be economically viable through revenues from the time-shifted market for renewable energy. Case study shows distributed storage system increases net arbitrage income

最后需要指出的是:以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制。尽管参照前述实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明各实施例技术方案的精神和范围。Finally, it should be pointed out that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, rather than to limit them. Although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the aforementioned embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that: they can still modify the technical solutions described in the aforementioned embodiments, or perform equivalent replacements for some of the technical features; and these The modification or replacement does not make the essence of the corresponding technical solutions deviate from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the various embodiments of the present invention.

Claims (6)

1.一种储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于,所述布置方法建立基于市场的概率最优潮流,所述潮流具有储能集成和风力发电,包括以下步骤:1. An arrangement method of an energy storage unit in a high wind penetration power system, characterized in that the arrangement method establishes a market-based probabilistic optimal flow, and the flow has energy storage integration and wind power generation, comprising the following steps: 步骤1:根据风力发电和负荷概率建模;Step 1: Modeling according to wind generation and load probabilities; 步骤2:利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移;Step 2: Time-shift the electric energy of renewable energy by using the energy storage system; 步骤3:压缩空气蓄能的经济特性;Step 3: Economic characteristics of compressed air energy storage; 步骤4:建立功率池模型,将单边拍卖市场纳入最优潮流;Step 4: Establish a power pool model and incorporate the unilateral auction market into the optimal trend; 步骤5:使用概率最优潮流,在潮流计算中考虑风电输出和可变负荷等不确定因素;Step 5: Use the probabilistic optimal power flow to consider uncertain factors such as wind power output and variable load in the power flow calculation; 步骤6:利用遗传算法进行优化,基于电力市场的概率最优潮流来确定不受管制的风力发电系统中储能单元的最优位置。Step 6: Optimizing using genetic algorithm to determine the optimal location of the energy storage unit in the unregulated wind power generation system based on the probabilistic optimal power flow of the electricity market. 2.根据权利要求1所述的储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于:所述步骤1具体包括:根据风速和负荷的历史数据,使用概率密度函数表征所述风力发电和负荷的不确定性,使用韦伯分布对风速进行统计建模,其概率密度函数为公式(1):2. The method for arranging energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems according to claim 1, characterized in that: said step 1 specifically includes: using probability density function to characterize said wind force according to historical data of wind speed and load Uncertainty in power generation and load, the wind speed is statistically modeled using the Weibull distribution, whose probability density function is Equation (1): λ为韦伯分布的比例因子,k为韦伯分布的形状因子,v为风速;λ is the scale factor of Weibull distribution, k is the shape factor of Weibull distribution, v is the wind speed; 使用曲线拟合的方法,对历史每小时风速数据计算韦伯分布参数的最大似然估计,风力发电机的输出功率为公式(2)的风速函数:Using the method of curve fitting, the maximum likelihood estimation of the Weibull distribution parameters is calculated for the historical hourly wind speed data, and the output power of the wind turbine is the wind speed function of the formula (2): Gw为风力输出功率,为风力额定功率,vi为切入风速,vo为切断风速,vr为额定风速; Gw is the wind output power, is the rated wind power, v i is the cut-in wind speed, v o is the cut-off wind speed, and v r is the rated wind speed; 使用高斯分布对荷载变化进行静态建模,高斯分布的概率密度函数为公式(3):Static modeling of load changes is performed using a Gaussian distribution, and the probability density function of the Gaussian distribution is Equation (3): μLL为高斯分布的期望值和标准差负荷;μ L , σ L are the expected value and standard deviation load of Gaussian distribution; 采用曲线拟合的方法,对历史小时负荷数据计算高斯分布参数的最大似然估计。The method of curve fitting is used to calculate the maximum likelihood estimation of Gaussian distribution parameters for historical hourly load data. 3.根据权利要求1所述的储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于:所述步骤2利用储能系统对可再生能源的电能进行时移具体包括:当的非高峰时段,储能单元使用超过负荷或传输容量的风电充电,或传输容量限制风电的传输;当时,储存的能量在高峰负荷时段被释放;其中,为风力在t时刻的输出功率,Lt为t时刻的负荷需求。3. The method for arranging energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems according to claim 1, characterized in that: the step 2 using the energy storage system to time-shift the electric energy of renewable energy specifically includes: when During off-peak hours, the energy storage unit is charged with wind power exceeding the load or transmission capacity, or the transmission capacity limits the transmission of wind power; , the stored energy is released during peak load hours; where, is the output power of wind power at time t, and L t is the load demand at time t. 4.根据权利要求1所述的储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于:所述步骤3的压缩空气蓄能总成本为公式(10)中涡轮机、蓄水池和压缩机的总和,涡轮机即压缩空气蓄能的额定功率,蓄水池即压缩空气蓄能的额定能量,4. The method for arranging energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems according to claim 1, characterized in that: the total cost of compressed air energy storage in step 3 is the turbine, water storage tank and The sum of the compressor, the turbine is the rated power of the compressed air energy storage, the reservoir is the rated energy of the compressed air energy storage, CInv为压缩空气蓄能总的投资成本,CC,CP,CS为压缩空气蓄能的压缩机,动力,能源成本,Pmax为储能系统额定功率,为压缩机额定功率;C Inv is the total investment cost of compressed air energy storage, C C , C P , C S are the compressors, power and energy costs of compressed air energy storage, P max is the rated power of the energy storage system, is the rated power of the compressor; 压缩空气蓄能的运行成本为公式(11),包括燃料成本、固定运行成本和维护成本:The operating cost of compressed air energy storage is formula (11), including fuel cost, fixed operating cost and maintenance cost: HR为压缩空气蓄能的涡轮机热耗率,为储能系统在t时刻的发电能力,CNG为压缩空气蓄能的天然气成本,COM为压缩空气蓄能的固定运行和维护成本;HR is the heat rate of the turbine for compressed air energy storage, is the power generation capacity of the energy storage system at time t, C NG is the natural gas cost of compressed air energy storage, and C OM is the fixed operation and maintenance cost of compressed air energy storage; 每年等价成本是公式(12):The annual equivalent cost is Equation (12): 5.一种如权利要求1所述的储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于,所述步骤4的建立功率池模型中,每个市场参与者以边际成本的形式提交每小时的价格出价,出价被作为最优潮流的输入,确定供应和节点边际电价以最小化每小时社会成本,风电供应商和储能所有者之间的双边合同用于购买被削减的风电,每小时社会成本表示为发电出价的函数,采用增量成本法进行投标,基于电力市场最优潮流的目标函数为:5. A method for arranging energy storage units in high wind penetration power systems according to claim 1, characterized in that, in step 4 of establishing a power pool model, each market participant in the form of marginal cost Hourly price bids are submitted, bids are used as input for optimal power flow, supply and node marginal prices are determined to minimize hourly social costs, and bilateral contracts between wind suppliers and storage owners are used to purchase curtailed wind power , the hourly social cost is expressed as a function of the power generation bid, and the incremental cost method is used for bidding, and the objective function based on the optimal power flow in the electricity market is: 为t时刻第i个发电机组的发电量,ai,bi为投标函数第i个发电机组的系数; is the generating capacity of the i-th generator set at time t, a i and b i are the coefficients of the i-th generator set in the bidding function; 利用电力系统的直流模型,功率平衡方程式为公式(14):Using the DC model of the power system, the power balance equation is Equation (14): 为t时刻母线i的需要; is the demand of bus i at time t; 功率损失被忽略了,电力生产的界限给出了不等式(15)Power losses are neglected, and the bounds on power production give the inequality (15) 发电机的斜坡上升和斜坡下降为公式(16)和(17):The ramp-up and ramp-down of the generator are formulas (16) and (17): 线路流量限制为公式(18)The line flow is limited by Equation (18) Hl-i为有功功率流对母线i功率注入变化的灵敏度;H li is the sensitivity of active power flow to the change of power injection of bus i; 基于市场的最优潮流的拉格朗日函数为公式(19)The Lagrange function of market-based optimal power flow is formula (19) 在一个基于节点边际电价的电力市场中,在时刻t的母线节点边际电价为母线λi,t提供下一个需求增量的边际成本;In an electricity market based on node marginal electricity price, the node marginal electricity price of the bus at time t provides the marginal cost of the next demand increment for the bus λ i,t ; 基于Karush–Kuhn–Tucker最优条件,拉格朗日函数的一阶导数在每条母线产生节点边际电价为公式(20)和(21):Based on the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker optimal condition, the first derivative of the Lagrangian function The node marginal electricity price generated at each bus is formula (20) and (21): 在节点边际电价市场,负荷支付和发电机支付基于节点边际电价,在时刻t母线i的发电机收入为公式(22):In the node marginal electricity price market, the load payment and generator payment are based on the node marginal electricity price, and the generator income of bus i at time t is the formula (22): 6.根据权利要求1所述的储能单元在高风力渗透电力系统中的布置方法,其特征在于:所述步骤5通过点估计近似方法执行概率最优潮流。6. The method for arranging energy storage units in a high wind penetration power system according to claim 1, characterized in that: said step 5 implements the probabilistic optimal power flow through a point estimation approximation method.
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