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CN110119827A - With the prediction technique and device of vehicle type - Google Patents

With the prediction technique and device of vehicle type Download PDF

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Publication number
CN110119827A
CN110119827A CN201810118481.4A CN201810118481A CN110119827A CN 110119827 A CN110119827 A CN 110119827A CN 201810118481 A CN201810118481 A CN 201810118481A CN 110119827 A CN110119827 A CN 110119827A
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vehicle type
prediction
vehicle
probability
order information
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张凌宇
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Beijing Didi Infinity Technology and Development Co Ltd
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Beijing Didi Infinity Technology and Development Co Ltd
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Priority to CN201810118481.4A priority Critical patent/CN110119827A/en
Priority to CN201980003279.XA priority patent/CN110869953B/en
Priority to PCT/CN2019/074723 priority patent/WO2019154398A1/en
Publication of CN110119827A publication Critical patent/CN110119827A/en
Priority to US16/729,281 priority patent/US20200134747A1/en
Priority to US17/936,352 priority patent/US20230044760A1/en
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    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/40Business processes related to the transportation industry

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Abstract

Prediction technique and device provided by the invention with vehicle type, by using the History Order information for obtaining user, prediction model is established with the time of using cars of vehicle type and/or with information such as vehicle places according to each in the History Order information, and predicted with vehicle type according to prediction model under current time and/or current location, so that vehicle type is used in available prediction.Since the user type utilizes prediction model and History Order acquisition of information, its compared with the existing technology for, the accuracy rate of prediction has obtained effective promotion, so that chauffeur platform is matched with lower single interface that vehicle type is switched with the actual demand of user using what the prediction obtained, reduce user's bill time, improves bill efficiency.

Description

With the prediction technique and device of vehicle type
Technical field
The present invention relates to Internet technical field more particularly to a kind of prediction techniques and device with vehicle type.
Background technique
With the development of internet technology, carrying out chauffeur on line using intelligent terminal becomes trend.And according to vehicle The difference of type, chauffeur platform provide lower single port accordingly for each chauffeur type, so that user is at corresponding lower single interface It places an order.
In the prior art, for the ease of the quick bill of user, chauffeur platform can use vehicle type needed for this to user It is predicted, and interface is jumped into corresponding lower single interface, to reduce user's single interface the time it takes under switching.
But it is existing to being to be determined according in the upper order of user with vehicle type with the prediction of vehicle type, in reality In the application of border, the accuracy rate of such prediction mode is relatively low.Once forecasting inaccuracy, user also needs to carry out current lower single interface Switching, bill time increased instead.
Summary of the invention
For it is above-mentioned refer to it is low to the accuracy rate with vehicle type prediction in the prior art, thus caused by bill low efficiency The problem of, the present invention provides a kind of prediction techniques and device with vehicle type.
On the one hand, a kind of prediction technique with vehicle type provided by the invention, comprising:
The History Order information for obtaining user, wherein including each with vehicle type of user in the History Order information Time of using cars and/or with vehicle place;
Prediction model is established according to the History Order information, and to current time and/or is worked as according to the prediction model It is predicted under preceding place with vehicle type.
It is described that prediction model, and root are established according to the History Order information in a kind of wherein optional embodiment It is predicted with vehicle type according to the prediction model under current time and/or current location, comprising:
To each use vehicle type in the History Order information, vehicle is used according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively Place carries out Cluster Decomposition, obtains each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type;
According to each mixed Gauss model, each probability density with vehicle type under current time and/or current location is determined Value;
According to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, according to each probability density value prediction vehicle class with vehicle type Type, comprising:
According to preset Bayesian model and each probability density value with vehicle type, calculate each with the first of vehicle type Probability;
Vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained using probability value in each first probability is highest.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, it is described using probability value in each first probability it is highest use vehicle type as Prediction obtain include: with vehicle type
It determines in each first probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is greater than Equal to the first preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, each use vehicle type in the History Order information, point Cluster Decomposition is not carried out with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively, obtains each corresponding mixed Gaussian of vehicle type Before model, further includes:
Each number with vehicle type in statistical history order information, and establish Markov model;
Last time in History Order information is input to the Markov model with vehicle type, obtains each vehicle type The second probability;
It determines in each second probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is greater than Equal to the second preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting;Otherwise, execution is described goes through to described Each use vehicle type in history order information, carries out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, The step of obtaining each mixed Gauss model corresponding with vehicle type.
On the other hand, a kind of prediction meanss with vehicle type provided by the invention, comprising:
Data obtaining module, for obtaining the History Order information of user, wherein including in the History Order information Each time of using cars with vehicle type of user and/or with vehicle place;
Prediction module, for establishing prediction model according to the History Order information, and according to the prediction model to working as It is predicted under preceding time and/or current location with vehicle type.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, the prediction module is specifically used for:
To each use vehicle type in the History Order information, vehicle is used according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively Place carries out Cluster Decomposition, obtains each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type;
According to each mixed Gauss model, each probability density with vehicle type under current time and/or current location is determined Value;
According to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, the prediction module is specifically used for:
According to preset Bayesian model and each probability density value with vehicle type, calculate each with the first of vehicle type Probability;
Vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained using probability value in each first probability is highest.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, the prediction module is specifically used for:
It determines in each first probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is greater than Equal to the first preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting.
In a kind of wherein optional embodiment, the prediction module, to each in the History Order information With vehicle type, Cluster Decomposition is carried out with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, is obtained each corresponding with vehicle type Mixed Gauss model before, be also used to:
Each number with vehicle type in statistical history order information, and establish Markov model;
Last time in History Order information is input to the Markov model with vehicle type, obtains each vehicle type The second probability;
It determines in each second probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is greater than Equal to the second preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting;Otherwise, execution is described goes through to described Each use vehicle type in history order information, carries out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, The step of obtaining each mixed Gauss model corresponding with vehicle type.
Prediction technique and device provided by the invention with vehicle type, by using obtain user History Order information, Prediction model is established with the time of using cars of vehicle type and/or with information such as vehicle places according to each in the History Order information, and It is predicted with vehicle type according to prediction model under current time and/or current location, so that vehicle is used in available prediction Type.Since the user type is using prediction model and History Order acquisition of information, compared with the existing technology for, in advance The accuracy rate of survey has obtained effective promotion, so that chauffeur platform is placed an order using what the prediction obtained with what vehicle type was switched Interface is matched with the actual demand of user, reduces user's bill time, improves bill efficiency.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is a kind of flow diagram for prediction technique with vehicle type that the embodiment of the present invention one provides;
Fig. 2 is a kind of flow diagram of the prediction technique with vehicle type provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention;
Fig. 3 a is the schematic diagram of the corresponding taxi frequency of History Order information provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention;
Fig. 3 b is the schematic diagram of the corresponding express frequency of History Order information provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention;
Fig. 4 is a kind of flow diagram for prediction technique with vehicle type that the embodiment of the present invention three provides;
Fig. 5 is a kind of structural schematic diagram of the prediction meanss with vehicle type provided by the invention.
Specific embodiment
In order to make the object, technical scheme and advantages of the embodiment of the invention clearer, below in conjunction with the embodiment of the present invention In attached drawing, technical scheme in the embodiment of the invention is clearly and completely described.
With the development of internet technology, carrying out chauffeur on line using intelligent terminal becomes trend.Along with chauffeur Business sustainable development, user have on chauffeur platform it is a variety of it is alternative use vehicle types, for example: taxi, express, Special train, windward driving are hired a car etc..
Conventionally, as every kind with the billing mechanism of vehicle type and the difference of chauffeur mechanism, different uses vehicle class Type has different lower single interfaces.And quickly place an order for the ease of user or quick bill, when user opens chauffeur platform or touching When sending out the chauffeur interface of chauffeur platform, chauffeur platform can to user this it is possible predicted with vehicle type, and switch to pre- Survey with the corresponding lower single interface of vehicle type so that user quickly places an order.
But existing vehicle type is used according to user's upper order when this possible prediction with vehicle type to user Determining.By taking the upper order of user is " express " as an example, when user opens chauffeur platform, chauffeur platform interface will directly switch To lower single interface of " express ", such mode is not inconsistent with the actual demand of user largely, once that is, user this It is not " express " with vehicle type, also needs to release lower single interface and switch to other lower single interfaces to carry out lower single operation, send out Single-action rate is lower instead.Therefore, how the accuracy rate of summary prediction so that this prediction obtain it is practical with vehicle type and user It is consistent as far as possible with vehicle type, to improve bill efficiency as technical problem urgently to be resolved.
For it is above-mentioned refer to it is low to the accuracy rate with vehicle type prediction in the prior art, thus caused by bill low efficiency The problem of, the present invention provides a kind of prediction technique with vehicle type, Fig. 1 provides a kind of with vehicle class for the embodiment of the present invention one The flow diagram of the prediction technique of type.
As shown in Figure 1, the prediction technique includes:
Step 101, the History Order information for obtaining user wherein include that each of user uses vehicle class in History Order information Time of using cars of type and/or with vehicle place.
Step 102 is established prediction model according to History Order information, and to current time and/or is worked as according to prediction model It is predicted under preceding place with vehicle type.
It should be noted that provided by the invention concretely use vehicle type with the executing subject of the prediction technique of vehicle type Prediction meanss, which can be realized by way of hardware and/or software.Chauffeur platform can be generally integrated in be based on Cloud server in, there is the data server of types of databases to be used cooperatively with the storage that chauffeur platform is based on, in addition, in advance Surveying the server that device is based on can be same server with data server, or to be under the jurisdiction of same server cluster not Same server, the present invention are not limited this.
In the present embodiment, History Order information refers to that user is serviced by the way that chauffeur platform is completed with vehicle.This uses vehicle Service, which may include, is directed to taxi, express, special train, suitable by what real-time chauffeur or the reservation chauffeurs mode such as chauffeur carried out Windmill is hired a car, the service of the vehicle type such as share-car.
It specifically may include user each order in History Order information with vehicle type, time of using cars and/or with vehicle Point, in addition, being also possible that O/No., transaction amount etc. in order information.Further, the time of using cars can be specially Order initiates time, order end time, order waiting time etc..It then may include having starting point, terminating point etc. with vehicle place Deng.
Due to including much information in History Order information, by the analysis to these information would know that user right With the Behavior law in the selection of vehicle type, i.e., probability is used with vehicle type under some special scenes.
For example, in the History Order information of a certain user, the order overwhelming majority that Mon-Fri issues is This hire a car with vehicle type, and the order overwhelming majority that Saturday and Sunday issue be express this use vehicle type, and by with The Behavior law of the user is analyzed on vehicle time dimension it is found that the user on weekdays be taxi with vehicle type Probability is bigger, and the user is bigger with the probability that vehicle type is express festivals or holidays.For another example in the history of a certain user In order information, use vehicle place be the order overwhelming majority from a certain office building as initial place be taxi this with vehicle class Type, and use vehicle place to be from the order overwhelming majority in order as the initial place of a certain cell be express this with vehicle type, And by analyzing the Behavior law of the user place of working it is found that the possible user of the office building in the dimension of in-use automotive place Point, it is required bigger with the probability that vehicle type is taxi when user sets out with going to other purposes to job site, The cell may be the location of the family of user, when user from family in going to other purposes when, it is required to use vehicle type It is bigger for the probability of express.Certainly, also the behavior of user can be advised for time of using cars dimension and with vehicle place dimension simultaneously Rule carries out comprehensive analysis, uses probability with vehicle type to obtain user under special scenes.
Therefore, the user behavior rule can be indicated by mathematical model and constructs corresponding prediction model to realize To user's prediction of vehicle type, which may include but be not limited to Markov model, Gauss model, mixed Gaussian mould The one of which model such as type, Bayesian model or a variety of models.Wherein, which can be used for according to the current time of using cars And/or the current determining historic scenery similar with current scene in vehicle place, and find and made under historic scenery with vehicle type Vehicle type is used for what prediction obtained.
The prediction technique with vehicle type that the embodiment of the present invention one provides is believed by using the History Order for obtaining user Breath establishes prediction model with the time of using cars of vehicle type and/or with information such as vehicle places according to each in the History Order information, And predicted with vehicle type according to prediction model under current time and/or current location, to can get the use of prediction Vehicle type.Since the user type is using prediction model and History Order acquisition of information, compared with the existing technology for, The accuracy rate of prediction has obtained effective promotion so that chauffeur platform using the prediction obtain switched with vehicle type under Single interface is matched with the actual demand of user, reduces user's bill time, improves bill efficiency.
On the basis of example 1, Fig. 2 is a kind of prediction technique with vehicle type provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention Flow diagram.As shown in Fig. 2, the prediction technique includes:
Step 201, the History Order information for obtaining user wherein include that each of user uses vehicle class in History Order information Time of using cars of type and/or with vehicle place.
Step 202 uses vehicle type to each in History Order information, respectively according to corresponding time of using cars and/or each Cluster Decomposition is carried out with vehicle place, obtains each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type.
Step 203, according to each mixed Gauss model, determine each under current time and/or current location with vehicle type Probability density value.
Step 204, according to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
In the present embodiment two, similarly with embodiment one, History Order information refers to user by chauffeur platform That completes is serviced with vehicle.This may include with vehicle service and is directed to by what the chauffeurs mode such as real-time chauffeur or reservation chauffeur carried out In taxi, express, special train, windward driving, hire a car, the service of the vehicle type such as share-car.Specifically may include in History Order information Each order of user with vehicle type, time of using cars and/or with vehicle place, ordered in addition, being also possible that in order information Single number, transaction amount etc..Further, the time of using cars can be specially that order initiates time, order end time, order etc. To time etc..It then may include having starting point, terminating point etc. with vehicle place.
And what is different from the first embodiment is that the present embodiment two provides the specific implementation that a kind of pair of user type is predicted Mode.In the present embodiment two, use vehicle type for each in History Order information, can respectively according to its it is corresponding with vehicle when Between and/or respectively carry out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place, obtain each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type, below will be to vehicle Time be illustrated for Cluster Decomposition.
Table 1 is the History Order information of a certain user, and Fig. 3 a is History Order information pair provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention The schematic diagram for the taxi frequency answered, Fig. 3 b are the corresponding express frequency of History Order information provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention Schematic diagram can first be handled the History Order information in table 1 by taking table 1 and Fig. 3 a and Fig. 3 b as an example, to extract the moment, It will then carry out with vehicle type with the moment corresponding to obtain histogram shown in Fig. 3 a and Fig. 3 b, can clearly be obtained by histogram Know, the use of the taxi of the user concentrates near 12 noon, and the frequency of use of express occurs respectively there are two peak value In 7 points and at 18 points in afternoon.Therefore, for this dimension of the time of using cars of the user, the result of the Cluster Decomposition of taxi Cluster centre for the time of using cars is 12 points, and it is 7 points and 18 that the Cluster Decomposition result of express, which is the cluster centre of time of using cars, Point.
Then, determine Gaussian Profile centered on each center using the cluster centre, that is, be directed to taxi this For vehicle type, the center that corresponds to is 12 points of Gauss model, and be directed to express this with for vehicle type, correspond to The mixed Gauss model that is formed by stacking by two Gaussian Profiles that 7 points and center are 18 points of center.
Table 1
Wherein, above-mentioned mixed Gauss model to be established specifically based on the time of using cars various ways realization can be used, wherein In a kind of mode, each use can be obtained by way of it will carry out constantly vectorization and calculate corresponding mean value of each moment and variance The mixed Gauss model based on the time of using cars of vehicle type.
Aforesaid way only establishes prediction model according to History Order information in the present invention by taking time of using cars dimension as an example It is illustrated, in other embodiments, can also establish mixed Gauss model according to vehicle place, or simultaneously according to the time of using cars And mixed Gauss model is established with vehicle place, this will not be repeated here.Certainly, at the time of aforesaid way is according only in the time of using cars This parameter, establishes mixed Gauss model, in other modes, can also be belonged to according to the date parameter in the time of using cars, festivals or holidays Property other time of using cars information such as parameter carry out the foundation of mixed Gauss model, be also similar with vehicle place.
Then, current time can be substituted into the corresponding mixed Gauss model of each use vehicle type, when obtaining in this prior Between under each user type probability density value, and according to each probability density value to the prediction with vehicle type.
Mixed Gauss model is established by using above-mentioned to realize the use according to the History Order information of user to user Vehicle type is predicted, so that the accuracy of prediction is effectively raised, so that chauffeur platform uses vehicle class using the prediction Corresponding chauffeur interface is pushed to user by type, improves user's bill efficiency.
On the basis of the above embodiment, it is preferred that in step 204 according to each pre- with the probability density value of vehicle type It surveys and uses vehicle type, specifically include: according to preset Bayesian model and each probability density value with vehicle type, calculating each vehicle class First probability of type;Vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained using probability value in each first probability is highest.
Specifically, Bayesian model can be used for indicating the probability under each dynamic condition with vehicle type, be appreciated that For to the mathematical expression form with vehicle type probability of happening.Therefore, in the present embodiment, by each probability with vehicle type Density value, which carries out processing, can calculate each the first probability with vehicle type of acquisition, which illustrates its corresponding vehicle type The current time of using cars and/or it is current use vehicle place this case that under generation a possibility that.Therefore, it is chosen in each second probability Probability value is highest to use vehicle type to use vehicle type as prediction, will further improve the accuracy of prediction.
More preferably, in order to make more matching with vehicle type with user demand for prediction output, by probability in each first probability It is worth and highest vehicle type is used to comprise determining that in each first probability that probability value is highest as what prediction obtained with vehicle type and use vehicle class Type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to the first preset threshold;If so, using vehicle type as in advance this Survey obtain with vehicle type and export.
Specifically, due to the difference of the History Order information of each user, above-mentioned prediction model may not be suitable for The prediction with vehicle type to the user of a certain type, such as the user that quantity on order is few.Therefore, by the way that the first default threshold is arranged Value to above-mentioned acquisition probability value is maximum with vehicle type to be verified, and only the probability value at this with vehicle type meets first in advance If when threshold value, just by this with vehicle type export, otherwise, then can be used other prediction models or it is existing in mode export prediction With vehicle type.Certainly, for the user of this part, once its History Order information is supported enough to its prediction model It establishes, mode above-mentioned also can be used and predicted.
Prediction technique provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention with vehicle type, on the basis of example 1, by history The Cluster Decomposition of order information, and combine mixed Gauss model, to be effectively predicted to vehicle type, predictablity rate It is high.
On the basis of example 2, Fig. 4 is a kind of prediction technique with vehicle type that the embodiment of the present invention three provides Flow diagram.As shown in figure 4, the prediction technique includes:
Step 301, the History Order information for obtaining user wherein include that each of user uses vehicle class in History Order information Time of using cars of type and/or with vehicle place.
Each number with vehicle type in step 302, statistical history order information, and establish Markov model.
Last time in History Order information is input to Markov model with vehicle type by step 303, and acquisition is each to use vehicle Second probability of type.
Step 304 determines the highest vehicle type of probability value in each second probability, and judges that this uses the probability value of vehicle type Whether the second preset threshold is more than or equal to.
If so, thening follow the steps 305;If it is not, thening follow the steps 306.
This is used vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type and exported by step 305.
Step 306 uses vehicle type to each in History Order information, respectively according to corresponding time of using cars and/or each Cluster Decomposition is carried out with vehicle place, obtains each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type.
Step 307, according to each mixed Gauss model, determine each under current time and/or current location with vehicle type Probability density value.
Step 308, according to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
In order to improve forecasting efficiency, the present embodiment three has carried out Markov model and aforementioned mixed Gauss model into one Step mixing, so that the forecasting efficiency of entire prediction meanss gets a promotion, but also the predictable user scope of prediction meanss obtains Further expansion.
Specifically, first as in embodiment one or embodiment two, History Order information refers to that user is flat by chauffeur Platform is completed to be serviced with vehicle.This may include through real-time chauffeur with vehicle service or reserves what the chauffeurs modes such as chauffeur carried out It is directed to taxi, express, special train, windward driving, hires a car, the service of the vehicle type such as share-car.Specifically may be used in History Order information Including user each order with vehicle type, time of using cars and/or with vehicle place, in addition, being also possible that in order information There are O/No., transaction amount etc..Further, the time of using cars can be specially that order is initiated the time, the order end time, ordered Single waiting time etc..It then may include having starting point, terminating point etc. with vehicle place.
It then,, can be first with Ma Erke after the History Order information for obtaining user unlike previous embodiment Husband's model is predicted with vehicle type the user's:
Table 2 is the History Order information of a certain user, counts each number with vehicle type in the History Order information, To obtain statistical matrix as shown in table 3.
Table 2
Table 3
Next time uses taxi Next time uses express
Last time uses taxi 18 2
Last time uses express 2 0
According to History Order information determine user it is the last use vehicle type, and according to it is the last with vehicle type and Above-mentioned statistical matrix jump the calculating of matrix, each the second probability with vehicle type predicted, that is, the express predicted Probability be 0, the probability of the taxi of prediction is 1.It is then determined that the highest vehicle type of probability value in each second probability, and When the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to the second preset threshold, vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained this It is exported, otherwise, then carries out the prediction with vehicle type using the mixed Gauss model in such as embodiment two, do not do herein superfluous It states.
In the present embodiment, it as shown in above-mentioned example, is directed to some largely using certain single user with vehicle type For, more effectively this kind of user can be predicted by Markov model, and for mixed Gauss model its Calculation amount needed for predicting is also smaller, is conducive to the treatment effeciency for improving entire prediction meanss.Certainly, it is accordingly set in present embodiment The second preset threshold has been set, so that when finding that Markov model is not suitable for the History Order information of user, it can be according to Mixed Gauss model above-mentioned is effectively predicted to such user's with vehicle type.
Fig. 5 is a kind of structural schematic diagram of the prediction meanss with vehicle type provided by the invention, as shown in figure 5, the prediction Structure, comprising:
Data obtaining module 10 includes wherein useful in History Order information for obtaining the History Order information of user Each time of using cars with vehicle type at family and/or with vehicle place.
Prediction module 20, for establishing prediction model according to History Order information, and according to prediction model to current time And/or it is predicted under current location with vehicle type.
Wherein the prediction meanss can be realized by way of hardware and/or software.Chauffeur platform institute base can be generally integrated in In cloud server in, there is the data server of types of databases to be used cooperatively with the storage that chauffeur platform is based on, in addition, The server that prediction meanss are based on can be same server with data server, or to be under the jurisdiction of same server cluster Different server, the present invention are not limited this.
In the present embodiment, History Order information refers to that user is serviced by the way that chauffeur platform is completed with vehicle.This uses vehicle Service, which may include, is directed to taxi, express, special train, suitable by what real-time chauffeur or the reservation chauffeurs mode such as chauffeur carried out Windmill is hired a car, the service of the vehicle type such as share-car.
And specifically may include in History Order information user each order with vehicle type, time of using cars and/or use vehicle Place, in addition, being also possible that O/No., transaction amount etc. in order information.Further, the time of using cars can be specific Time, order end time, order waiting time etc. are initiated for order.It then may include having starting point, terminating point with vehicle place Etc..
Due to including much information in History Order information, by the analysis to these information would know that user right With the Behavior law in the selection of vehicle type, i.e., probability is used with vehicle type under some special scenes.
For example, in the History Order information of a certain user, the order overwhelming majority that Mon-Fri issues is This hire a car with vehicle type, and the order overwhelming majority that Saturday and Sunday issue be express this use vehicle type, and by with The Behavior law of the user is analyzed on vehicle time dimension it is found that the user on weekdays be taxi with vehicle type Probability is bigger, and the user is bigger with the probability that vehicle type is express festivals or holidays.For another example in the history of a certain user In order information, use vehicle place be the order overwhelming majority from a certain office building as initial place be taxi this with vehicle class Type, and use vehicle place to be from the order overwhelming majority in order as the initial place of a certain cell be express this with vehicle type, And by analyzing the Behavior law of the user place of working it is found that the possible user of the office building in the dimension of in-use automotive place Point, it is required bigger with the probability that vehicle type is taxi when user sets out with going to other purposes to job site, The cell may be the location of the family of user, when user from family in going to other purposes when, it is required to use vehicle type It is bigger for the probability of express.Certainly, also the behavior of user can be advised for time of using cars dimension and with vehicle place dimension simultaneously Rule carries out comprehensive analysis, uses probability with vehicle type to obtain user under special scenes.
Therefore, the user behavior rule can be indicated by mathematical model and constructs corresponding prediction model to realize To user's prediction of vehicle type, which may include but be not limited to Markov model, Gauss model, mixed Gaussian mould The one of which model such as type, Bayesian model or a variety of models.Wherein, which can be used for according to the current time of using cars And/or the current determining historic scenery similar with current scene in vehicle place, and find and made under historic scenery with vehicle type Vehicle type is used for what prediction obtained.
Preferably, prediction module 20 is specifically used for each use vehicle type in History Order information, respectively according to correspondence Time of using cars and/or respectively carry out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place, obtain each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type;According to each Mixed Gauss model determines each probability density value with vehicle type under current time and/or current location;Vehicle class is used according to each The probability density value prediction vehicle type of type.More preferably, prediction module 20 is specifically used for: according to preset Bayesian model and The probability density value for respectively using vehicle type, calculates each the first probability with vehicle type;By the highest use of probability value in each first probability Vehicle type uses vehicle type as what prediction obtained.Further, prediction module 20 is specifically used for determining probability in each first probability Be worth it is highest use vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to the first preset threshold;If so, should It uses vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type and exports.
In addition, prediction module 20, vehicle type is being used to each in History Order information, when respectively according to corresponding with vehicle Between and/or respectively carry out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place, before obtaining each corresponding mixed Gauss model with vehicle type, be also used to: system Each number with vehicle type in History Order information is counted, and establishes Markov model;It will be upper in History Order information It once is input to Markov model with vehicle type, obtains each the second probability with vehicle type;Determine probability in each second probability Be worth it is highest use vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to the second preset threshold;If so, should It uses vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type and exports;Otherwise, it executes to each use vehicle type in History Order information, Cluster Decomposition is carried out with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, is obtained each high with the corresponding mixing of vehicle type The step of this model.
It is apparent to those skilled in the art that for convenience and simplicity of description, the system of foregoing description Specific work process and corresponding beneficial effect, can refer to corresponding processes in the foregoing method embodiment, herein no longer It repeats.
The prediction meanss with vehicle type that the embodiment of the present invention four provides are believed by using the History Order for obtaining user Breath establishes prediction model with the time of using cars of vehicle type and/or with information such as vehicle places according to each in the History Order information, And predicted with vehicle type according to prediction model under current time and/or current location, to can get the use of prediction Vehicle type.Since the user type is using prediction model and History Order acquisition of information, compared with the existing technology for, The accuracy rate of prediction has obtained effective promotion so that chauffeur platform using the prediction obtain switched with vehicle type under Single interface is matched with the actual demand of user, reduces user's bill time, improves bill efficiency.
Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that: realize that all or part of the steps of above-mentioned each method embodiment can lead to The relevant hardware of program instruction is crossed to complete.Program above-mentioned can be stored in a computer readable storage medium.The journey When being executed, execution includes the steps that above-mentioned each method embodiment to sequence;And storage medium above-mentioned include: ROM, RAM, magnetic disk or The various media that can store program code such as person's CD.
Finally, it should be noted that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solution of the present invention., rather than its limitations;To the greatest extent Pipe present invention has been described in detail with reference to the aforementioned embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that: its according to So be possible to modify the technical solutions described in the foregoing embodiments, or to some or all of the technical features into Row equivalent replacement;And these are modified or replaceed, various embodiments of the present invention technology that it does not separate the essence of the corresponding technical solution The range of scheme.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of prediction technique with vehicle type characterized by comprising
The History Order information for obtaining user, wherein including that each of user uses vehicle with vehicle type in the History Order information Time and/or with vehicle place;
Prediction model is established according to the History Order information, and according to the prediction model to current time and/or current position It is predicted under point with vehicle type.
2. prediction technique according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described established according to the History Order information is predicted Model, and predicted with vehicle type according to the prediction model under current time and/or current location, comprising:
To each use vehicle type in the History Order information, vehicle place is used according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively Cluster Decomposition is carried out, each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type is obtained;
According to each mixed Gauss model, each probability density value with vehicle type under current time and/or current location is determined;
According to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
3. prediction technique according to claim 2, which is characterized in that according to described each pre- with the probability density value of vehicle type It surveys and uses vehicle type, comprising:
According to preset Bayesian model and each probability density value with vehicle type, calculate each with the first of vehicle type general Rate;
Vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained using probability value in each first probability is highest.
4. prediction technique according to claim 3, which is characterized in that described by the highest use of probability value in each first probability Vehicle type as prediction obtain include: with vehicle type
It determines in each first probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to First preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting.
5. according to the described in any item prediction techniques of claim 2-4, which is characterized in that described in the History Order information It is each use vehicle type, according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively carries out Cluster Decomposition, each use vehicle class of acquisition with vehicle place respectively Before the corresponding mixed Gauss model of type, further includes:
Each number with vehicle type in statistical history order information, and establish Markov model;
Last in History Order information is input to the Markov model with vehicle type, is obtained each with the of vehicle type Two probability;
It determines in each second probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to Second preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting;Otherwise, execution is described orders the history Each use vehicle type in single information, carries out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, obtains Respectively the step of mixed Gauss model corresponding with vehicle type.
6. a kind of prediction meanss with vehicle type characterized by comprising
Data obtaining module, for obtaining the History Order information of user, wherein including user in the History Order information Each time of using cars with vehicle type and/or with vehicle place;
Prediction module, for establishing prediction model according to the History Order information, and according to the prediction model to it is current when Between and/or current location under predicted with vehicle type.
7. prediction meanss according to claim 6, which is characterized in that the prediction module is specifically used for:
To each use vehicle type in the History Order information, vehicle place is used according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively Cluster Decomposition is carried out, each corresponding mixed Gauss model of vehicle type is obtained;
According to each mixed Gauss model, each probability density value with vehicle type under current time and/or current location is determined;
According to each probability density value prediction vehicle type with vehicle type.
8. prediction meanss according to claim 7, which is characterized in that the prediction module is specifically used for:
According to preset Bayesian model and each probability density value with vehicle type, calculate each with the first of vehicle type general Rate;
Vehicle type is used to use vehicle type as what prediction obtained using probability value in each first probability is highest.
9. prediction meanss according to claim 8, which is characterized in that the prediction module is specifically used for:
It determines in each first probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to First preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting.
10. according to the described in any item prediction meanss of claim 7-9, which is characterized in that the prediction module is gone through to described Each use vehicle type in history order information, carries out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, Before obtaining each corresponding mixed Gauss model with vehicle type, it is also used to:
Each number with vehicle type in statistical history order information, and establish Markov model;
Last in History Order information is input to the Markov model with vehicle type, is obtained each with the of vehicle type Two probability;
It determines in each second probability that probability value is highest and uses vehicle type, and judge whether the probability value with vehicle type is more than or equal to Second preset threshold;
If so, using vehicle type as prediction acquisition with vehicle type this and exporting;Otherwise, execution is described orders the history Each use vehicle type in single information, carries out Cluster Decomposition with vehicle place according to the corresponding time of using cars and/or respectively respectively, obtains Respectively the step of mixed Gauss model corresponding with vehicle type.
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PCT/CN2019/074723 WO2019154398A1 (en) 2018-02-06 2019-02-03 Systems and methods for recommending transportation services
US16/729,281 US20200134747A1 (en) 2018-02-06 2019-12-27 Systems and methods for recommending transportation services
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