Papers by Peter Phillimore
Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 2014
ABSTRACT Background Middle income countries are facing an epidemic of non-communicable diseases, ... more ABSTRACT Background Middle income countries are facing an epidemic of non-communicable diseases, especially coronary heart disease (CHD). We used a previously validated CHD mortality model (IMPACT) to examine recent trends in CHD mortality in Tunisia, Syria, the occupied Palestinian territory (oPt – West Bank) and Turkey. Methods Data on populations, mortality, patient groups and numbers, treatments and risk factor trends from national and local surveys in each country were collated over two time points. Populations of studied countries and timeframes for this analysis were: Tunisia (10 million, 1997–2009), Syria (19 million, 1996–2006), OPt (2.5 million, 1998–2009) and Turkey (73 million, 1995–2008). We integrated and analysed data using the IMPACT model, with uncertainty explored using probabilistic sensitivity analyses. We reported the percentage of the observed change in CHD deaths explained by changes in uptake of medical and surgical treatments and major CHD risk factors for each country. Results Risk factor trends: Regional smoking prevalences were high in men, persisting in Syria but decreasing in Tunisia (-11%), oPt (-25%) and Turkey (-45%). Obesity (body mass index) rose by 1–2kg/m2 and diabetes prevalence increased by 40%–50% in all four countries. Mean systolic blood pressure and cholesterol levels increased in Tunisia and Syria but decreased in oPt and stayed constant in Turkey. Mortality trends: Age adjusted CHD mortality rates rose by 30% in Tunisia (49/105 to 64/105) and by 56% in Syria (108/105 to 169/105). Much of this increase (98% in Tunisia, and 80% in Syria) was attributable to adverse trends in major risk factors, and occurred despite some improvements in treatment uptake. CHD mortality rates fell by 25% in oPt (85/105 to 64/105) and by 17% in Turkey (418/105 to 345/105), with risk factor changes accounting for around 65% and 60% of this reduction respectively. Increased uptake of community treatments accounted for the remainder. The IMPACT model explained approximately 77% of the observed mortality trends in Turkey and oPt, but less in Syria and Tunisia. Results remained fairly consistent following sensitivity analyses. Conclusion Eastern Mediterranean countries have shown highly heterogeneous trends in blood pressure, blood cholesterol and CHD mortality. Death rates are rising in Tunisia and Syria, whilst Turkey and occupied Palestinian territories demonstrate clear mortality falls, reflecting improvements in major cardiovascular risk factors, plus contributions from community-based medical treatments. However, across the region, smoking prevalence remains very high in men, and obesity and diabetes levels are rising dramatically. Powerful prevention policies exist and should now be implemented.
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We studied birth statistics in women living at varying proximity to major steel and petrochemical... more We studied birth statistics in women living at varying proximity to major steel and petrochemical industries in Teesside, UK. We found no evidence to support the hypothesis that living close to these major industries led to adverse birth outcomes.
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Awareness bias in environmental health research is the tendency to report more illness because of... more Awareness bias in environmental health research is the tendency to report more illness because of concerns arising from proximity to a hazard in the absence of a measurable biological effect. Such bias complicates the interpretation of self-reported symptoms in communities exposed to emissions from heavy industry. We used data from two epidemiologic studies in Northeast England where community concerns existed about health risks from industry. An association between proximity to industry and self-reported respiratory and nonrespiratory illnesses and symptoms had been found in one study but not in the other. An indicator of concern about industrial pollution was constructed from responses to a 17-item questionnaire about issues that had caused stress or anxiety. Univariate and multivariate analyses of health outcome variables in both studies showed that individuals with "industry-related worries" reported more illness, irrespective of proximity to industry. We conclude that self-reported illness was influenced by both worry and proximity to industry, but that worry about the hazard had the greatest effect on self-reported illness. We suggest that because absolute certainty about the role and extent of awareness bias in environmental epidemiology studies is unlikely to be achieved, self-reported data should be supplemented with other observations.
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International Journal of Public Health, 2014
The growing prevalence of non-communicable diseases across the Middle East and North Africa poses... more The growing prevalence of non-communicable diseases across the Middle East and North Africa poses major challenges for underfunded health services. This article presents data on the perspectives of ordinary Tunisians who are coping with two of these diseases--diabetes and hypertension--and who are obtaining treatment through Tunisian public health clinics. Little has been written to date on patient experiences of biomedical treatment in Maghreb countries. Based on qualitative methods and semi-structured interviews with 24 patients attending two clinics, one urban and one rural. We examine popular aetiological beliefs, ideas about biomedical treatment and its implications, and comparative views on the benefits and drawbacks of treatment in both public and private clinics. We highlight two main themes. One was nostalgia for a recent past when 'pure' and 'natural' food, 'proper' meals and less stressful lives meant less chronic illness, with demanding and costly treatment. The other concerned communication in the clinic, and the recurrent dismay patients felt at what they saw as the cursory attention and guidance they received from clinic staff in public facilities.
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International Journal of Public Health, 2014
The objective of this study was to present a qualitative &amp... more The objective of this study was to present a qualitative 'situation analysis' of the healthcare system in Tunisia, as it applies to management of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes. A primary concern was the institutional capacity to manage non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Research took place during 2010 (analysis of official documents, semi-structured interviews with key informants, and case studies in four clinics). Walt and Gilson's framework (1994) for policy analysis was used: content, actors, context, and process. Problems of integration and coordination have compounded funding pressures. Despite its importance in Tunisian healthcare, primary health is ill-equipped to manage NCDs. With limited funds, and no referral or health information system, staff morale in the public sector was low. Private healthcare has been the main development filling the void. This study highlights major gaps in the implementation of a comprehensive approach to NCDs, which is an urgent task across the region. In strategic planning, research on the health system is vital; but the capacity within Ministries of Health to use research has first to be built, with a commitment to grounding policy change in evidence.
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BMC Health Services Research, 2014
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Papers by Peter Phillimore